Diffusion imaging genomics provides novel insight into early mechanisms of cerebral small vessel disease.

Cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) is a leading cause of stroke and dementia. Genetic risk loci for white matter hyperintensities (WMH), the most common MRI-marker of cSVD in older age, were recently shown to be significantly associated with white matter (WM) microstructure on diffusion tensor imaging (signal-based) in young adults. To provide new insights into these early changes in WM microstructure and their relation with cSVD, we sought to explore the genetic underpinnings of cutting-edge tissue-based diffusion imaging markers across the adult lifespan. We conducted a genome-wide association study of neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI) markers in young adults (i-Share study: N = 1 758, (mean[range]) 22.1[18-35] years), with follow-up in young middle-aged (Rhineland Study: N = 714, 35.2[30-40] years) and late middle-aged to older individuals (UK Biobank: N = 33 224, 64.3[45-82] years). We identified 21 loci associated with NODDI markers across brain regions in young adults. The most robust association, replicated in both follow-up cohorts, was with Neurite Density Index (NDI) at chr5q14.3, a known WMH locus in VCAN. Two additional loci were replicated in UK Biobank, at chr17q21.2 with NDI, and chr19q13.12 with Orientation Dispersion Index (ODI). Transcriptome-wide association studies showed associations of STAT3 expression in arterial and adipose tissue (chr17q21.2) with NDI, and of several genes at chr19q13.12 with ODI. Genetic susceptibility to larger WMH volume, but not to vascular risk factors, was significantly associated with decreased NDI in young adults, especially in regions known to harbor WMH in older age. Individually, seven of 25 known WMH risk loci were associated with NDI in young adults. In conclusion, we identified multiple novel genetic risk loci associated with NODDI markers, particularly NDI, in early adulthood. These point to possible early-life mechanisms underlying cSVD and to processes involving remyelination, neurodevelopment and neurodegeneration, with a potential for novel approaches to prevention.

Brain-age prediction: Systematic evaluation of site effects, and sample age range and size.

Structural neuroimaging data have been used to compute an estimate of the biological age of the brain (brain-age) which has been associated with other biologically and behaviorally meaningful measures of brain development and aging. The ongoing research interest in brain-age has highlighted the need for robust and publicly available brain-age models pre-trained on data from large samples of healthy individuals. To address this need we have previously released a developmental brain-age model. Here we expand this work to develop, empirically validate, and disseminate a pre-trained brain-age model to cover most of the human lifespan. To achieve this, we selected the best-performing model after systematically examining the impact of seven site harmonization strategies, age range, and sample size on brain-age prediction in a discovery sample of brain morphometric measures from 35,683 healthy individuals (age range: 5-90 years; 53.59% female). The pre-trained models were tested for cross-dataset generalizability in an independent sample comprising 2101 healthy individuals (age range: 8-80 years; 55.35% female) and for longitudinal consistency in a further sample comprising 377 healthy individuals (age range: 9-25 years; 49.87% female). This empirical examination yielded the following findings: (1) the accuracy of age prediction from morphometry data was higher when no site harmonization was applied; (2) dividing the discovery sample into two age-bins (5-40 and 40-90 years) provided a better balance between model accuracy and explained age variance than other alternatives; (3) model accuracy for brain-age prediction plateaued at a sample size exceeding 1600 participants. These findings have been incorporated into CentileBrain (https://centilebrain.org/#/brainAGE2), an open-science, web-based platform for individualized neuroimaging metrics.

Brain artery diameters and risk of dementia and stroke.

INTRODUCTION: We tested the association of brain artery diameters with dementia and stroke risk in three distinct population-based studies using conventional T2-weighted brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images. METHODS: We included 8420 adults > 40 years old from three longitudinal population-based studies with brain MRI scans. We estimated and meta-analyzed the hazard ratios (HRs) of the brain and carotids and basilar diameters associated with dementia and stroke. RESULT: Overall and carotid artery diameters > 95th percentile increased the risk for dementia by 1.74 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-2.68) and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.12-1.96) fold, respectively. For stroke, meta-analyses yielded HRs of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.04-2.42) for overall arteries and 2.11 (95% CI, 1.45-3.08) for basilar artery diameters > 95th percentile. DISCUSSION: Individuals with dilated brain arteries are at higher risk for dementia and stroke, across distinct populations. Our findings underline the potential value of T2-weighted brain MRI-based brain diameter assessment in estimating the risk of dementia and stroke.

Normative modelling of brain morphometry across the lifespan with CentileBrain: algorithm benchmarking and model optimisation.

The value of normative models in research and clinical practice relies on their robustness and a systematic comparison of different modelling algorithms and parameters; however, this has not been done to date. We aimed to identify the optimal approach for normative modelling of brain morphometric data through systematic empirical benchmarking, by quantifying the accuracy of different algorithms and identifying parameters that optimised model performance. We developed this framework with regional morphometric data from 37 407 healthy individuals (53% female and 47% male; aged 3-90 years) from 87 datasets from Europe, Australia, the USA, South Africa, and east Asia following a comparative evaluation of eight algorithms and multiple covariate combinations pertaining to image acquisition and quality, parcellation software versions, global neuroimaging measures, and longitudinal stability. The multivariate fractional polynomial regression (MFPR) emerged as the preferred algorithm, optimised with non-linear polynomials for age and linear effects of global measures as covariates. The MFPR models showed excellent accuracy across the lifespan and within distinct age-bins and longitudinal stability over a 2-year period. The performance of all MFPR models plateaued at sample sizes exceeding 3000 study participants. This model can inform about the biological and behavioural implications of deviations from typical age-related neuroanatomical changes and support future study designs. The model and scripts described here are freely available through CentileBrain.