A predictive algorithm for perioperative complications and readmission after ankle arthrodesis.

PURPOSE: Ankle arthrodesis is a mainstay of surgical management for ankle arthritis. Accurately risk-stratifying patients who undergo ankle arthrodesis would be of great utility. There is a paucity of accurate prediction models that can be used to pre-operatively risk-stratify patients for ankle arthrodesis. We aim to develop a predictive model for major perioperative complication or readmission after ankle arthrodesis. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent ankle arthrodesis at any non-federal California hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome is readmission within 30 days or major perioperative complication. We build logistic regression and ML models spanning different classes of modeling approaches, assessing discrimination and calibration. We also rank the contribution of the included variables to model performance for prediction of adverse outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1084 patients met inclusion criteria for this study. There were 131 patients with major complication or readmission (12.1%). The XGBoost algorithm demonstrates the highest discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.707 and is well-calibrated. The features most important for prediction of adverse outcomes for the XGBoost model include: diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, teaching hospital status, morbid obesity, history of musculoskeletal infection, history of hip fracture, renal failure, implant complication, history of major fracture. CONCLUSION: We report a well-calibrated algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complications and 30-day readmission after ankle arthrodesis. This tool may help accurately risk-stratify patients and decrease likelihood of major complications.

Machine learning-driven identification of novel patient factors for prediction of major complications after posterior cervical spinal fusion.

PURPOSE: Posterior cervical fusion is associated with increased rates of complications and readmission when compared to anterior fusion. Machine learning (ML) models for risk stratification of patients undergoing posterior cervical fusion remain limited. We aim to develop a novel ensemble ML algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complications and readmission after posterior cervical fusion and identify factors important to model performance. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of adults who underwent posterior cervical fusion at non-federal California hospitals between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was readmission or major complication. We developed an ensemble model predicting complication risk using an automated ML framework. We compared performance with standard ML models and logistic regression (LR), ranking contribution of included variables to model performance. RESULTS: Of the included 6822 patients, 18.8% suffered a major complication or readmission. The ensemble model demonstrated slightly superior predictive performance compared to LR and standard ML models. The most important features to performance include sex, malignancy, pneumonia, stroke, and teaching hospital status. Seven of the ten most important features for the ensemble model were markedly less important for LR. CONCLUSION: We report an ensemble ML model for prediction of major complications and readmission after posterior cervical fusion with a modest risk prediction advantage compared to LR and benchmark ML models. Notably, the features most important to the ensemble are markedly different from those for LR, suggesting that advanced ML methods may identify novel prognostic factors for adverse outcomes after posterior cervical fusion.

Development of a Novel, Potentially Universal Machine Learning Algorithm for Prediction of Complications After Total Hip Arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: As the prevalence of hip osteoarthritis increases, the number of total hip arthroplasty (THA) procedures performed is also projected to increase. Accurately risk-stratifying patients who undergo THA would be of great utility, given the significant cost and morbidity associated with developing perioperative complications. We aim to develop a novel machine learning (ML)-based ensemble algorithm for the prediction of major complications after THA, as well as compare its performance against standard benchmark ML methods. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of 89,986 adults who underwent primary THA at any California-licensed hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was major complications (eg infection, venous thromboembolism, cardiac complication, pulmonary complication). We developed a model predicting complication risk using AutoPrognosis, an automated ML framework that configures the optimally performing ensemble of ML-based prognostic models. We compared our model with logistic regression and standard benchmark ML models, assessing discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: There were 545 patients who had major complications (0.61%). Our novel algorithm was well-calibrated and improved risk prediction compared to logistic regression, as well as outperformed the other four standard benchmark ML algorithms. The variables most important for AutoPrognosis (eg malnutrition, dementia, cancer) differ from those that are most important for logistic regression (eg chronic atherosclerosis, renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease). CONCLUSION: We report a novel ensemble ML algorithm for the prediction of major complications after THA. It demonstrates superior risk prediction compared to logistic regression and other standard ML benchmark algorithms. By providing accurate prognostic information, this algorithm may facilitate more informed preoperative shared decision-making.

Adipose-derived Human Perivascular Stem Cells May Improve Achilles Tendon Healing in Rats.

BACKGROUND: Achilles tendon rupture is a common injury and the best treatment option remains uncertain between surgical and nonoperative methods. Biologic approaches using multipotent stem cells such as perivascular stem cells pose a possible treatment option, although there is currently a paucity of evidence regarding their clinical therapeutic use. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: The purpose of this study was to determine whether injected perivascular stem cells (PSCs) would (1) improve histologic signs of tendon healing (such as percent area of collagen); and (2) improve biomechanical properties (peak load or stiffness) in a rat model of Achilles tendon transection. METHODS: Two subtypes of PSCs were derived from human adipose tissue: pericytes (CD146CD34CD45CD31) and adventitial cells (CD146CD34CD45CD31). Thirty-two athymic rats underwent right Achilles transection and were randomized to receive injection with saline (eight tendons), hydrogel (four tendons), pericytes in hydrogel (four tendons), or adventitial cells in hydrogel (eight tendons) 3 days postoperatively with the left serving as an uninjured control. Additionally, a subset of pericytes was labeled with CM-diI to track cell viability and localization. At 3 weeks, the rats were euthanized, and investigators blinded to treatment group allocation evaluated tendon healing by peak load and stiffness using biomechanical testing and percent area of collagen using histologic analysis with picrosirius red staining. RESULTS: Histologic analysis showed a higher mean percent area collagen for pericytes (30%) and adventitial cells (28%) than hydrogel (21%) or saline (26%). However, a nonparametric statistical analysis yielded no statistical difference. Mechanical testing demonstrated that the pericyte group had a higher peak load than the saline group (41 ± 7 N versus 26 ± 9 N; mean difference 15 N; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4-27 N; p = 0.003) and a higher peak load than the hydrogel group (41 ± 7 N versus 25 ± 3 N; mean difference 16; 95% CI, 8-24 N; p = 0.001). The pericyte group demonstrated higher stiffness than the hydrogel group (36 ± 12 N/mm versus 17 ± 6 N/mm; mean difference 19 N/mm; 95% CI, 5-34 N/mm; p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that injection of PSCs improves mechanical but not the histologic properties of early Achilles tendon healing. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: This is a preliminary study that provides more insight into the use of adipose-derived PSCs as a percutaneous therapy in the setting of Achilles tendon rupture. Further experiments to characterize the function of these cells may serve as a pathway to development of minimally invasive intervention aimed at improving nonoperative management while avoiding the complications associated with surgical treatment down the line.

Neer Award 2018: Platelet-derived growth factor receptor α co-expression typifies a subset of platelet-derived growth factor receptor ß-positive progenitor cells that contribute to fatty degeneration and fibrosis of the murine rotator cuff.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: After massive tears, rotator cuff muscle often undergoes atrophy, fibrosis, and fatty degeneration. These changes can lead to high surgical failure rates and poor patient outcomes. The identity of the progenitor cells involved in these processes has not been fully elucidated. Platelet-derived growth factor receptor ß (PDGFRß) and platelet-derived growth factor receptor α (PDGFRα) have previously been recognized as markers of cells involved in muscle fibroadipogenesis. We hypothesized that PDGFRα expression identifies a fibroadipogenic subset of PDGFRß+ progenitor cells that contribute to fibroadipogenesis of the rotator cuff. METHODS: We created massive rotator cuff tears in a transgenic strain of mice that allows PDGFRß+ cells to be tracked via green fluorescent protein (GFP) fluorescence. We then harvested rotator cuff muscle tissues at multiple time points postoperatively and analyzed them for the presence and localization of GFP+ PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells. We cultured, induced, and treated these cells with the molecular inhibitor CWHM-12 to assess fibrosis inhibition. RESULTS: GFP+ PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells were present in rotator cuff muscle tissue and, after massive tears, localized to fibrotic and adipogenic tissues. The frequency of PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells increased at 5 days after massive cuff tears and decreased to basal levels within 2 weeks. PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells were highly adipogenic and significantly more fibrogenic than PDGFRß+ PDGFRα- cells in vitro and localized to adipogenic and fibrotic tissues in vivo. Treatment with CWHM-12 significantly decreased fibrogenesis from PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells. CONCLUSION: PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells directly contribute to fibrosis and fatty degeneration after massive rotator cuff tears in the mouse model. In addition, CWHM-12 treatment inhibits fibrogenesis from PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cells in vitro. Clinically, perioperative PDGFRß+ PDGFRα+ cell inhibition may limit rotator cuff tissue degeneration and, ultimately, improve surgical outcomes for massive rotator cuff tears.

Outcomes of Blood Flow Restriction Training After ACL Reconstruction in NCAA Division I Athletes.

Background: Blood flow restriction training (BFRT) is a safe and potentially effective adjunctive therapeutic modality for postoperative rehabilitation related to various knee pathologies. However, there is a paucity of literature surrounding BFRT in high-performance athletes after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR). Purpose: To (1) compare the overall time to return to sports (RTS) in a cohort of National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) Division I athletes who underwent a standardized rehabilitation program either with or without BFRT after ACLR and (2) identify a postoperative time interval for which BFRT has the maximum therapeutic benefit. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A total of 55 student-athletes who underwent ACLR between 2000 and 2023 while participating in NCAA Division I sports at a single institution were included in this study. Athletes were allocated to 1 of 2 groups based on whether they participated in a standardized postoperative rehabilitation program augmented with BFRT (BFRT group; n = 22) or completed the standardized protocol alone (non-BFRT group [control]; n = 33). Our primary outcome measure was time to RTS. The secondary outcome measure was handheld dynamometry quadriceps strength testing at various postoperative time points, converted to a limb symmetry index (LSI). Quadriceps strength was not tested between the BFRT and non-BFRT groups because of the limited amount of data on the control group. Results: The mean age at the date of surgery was 18.59 ± 1.10 years for the BFRT group and 19.45 ± 1.30 years for the non-BFRT group (P = .011), and the mean RTS time was 409 ± 134 days from surgery for the BFRT group and 332 ± 100 days for the non-BFRT cohort (P = .047). For the BFRT group, the mean quadriceps strength LSI increased by 0.67% (95% CI, 0.53%-0.81%) for every week of rehabilitation, and there was a significantly positive rate of change in quadriceps strength in weeks 13-16 compared with weeks 9-12 (ΔLSI, 8.22%; P < .001). Conclusion: In elite NCAA Division I athletes, a statistically significant delay was observed in RTS with BFRT compared with standardized physical therapy alone after undergoing ACLR. There also appeared to be an early window during the rehabilitation period where BFRT had a beneficial impact on quadriceps strength.

Fracture Lines and Patterns in Intra-articular Distal Femur Fractures.

INTRODUCTION: Distal femur fractures are complex injuries that often present with multiple fragments, posing notable challenges to fixation. This study aimed to (1) use preoperative CT scans to graphically display fracture lines in intra-articular distal femur fractures and (2) identify common fracture patterns in these injuries. METHODS: All skeletally mature patients that underwent surgical fixation of Orthopaedic Trauma Association type 33C distal femur fractures between 2012 and 2022 were identified across two level 1 trauma centers (n = 63). Preoperative axial, sagittal, and coronal computed tomography scans were obtained. Fracture lines in each plane were traced out and superimposed on standardized distal femur cross-sections, generating a fracture map for each plane. Injury and fracture characteristics were summarized and compared between fracture patterns. RESULTS: On axial scans, 59 of 63 fractures contained a central intercondylar split from the intercondylar notch to the trochlea. On coronal scans, fracture lines originated at the notch and exited laterally and medially in the supracondylar region, creating a Y-shape. One-third of all fractures contained coronal fracture lines, with most involving the lateral condyle. Based on fracture line orientation and location, fractures were divided into four main fracture pattern types. Type 4 fractures (central split and medial coronal fracture line) were associated with lower average medial fracture height and a lower rate of medial metaphyseal comminution. DISCUSSION: We found that C-type distal femur fractures can present with four main fracture patterns. Most fractures contain a central sagittal intercondylar split, and a high proportion of fractures contain either medial or lateral coronal fracture lines. Fracture pattern was associated with mechanism of injury, presence of medial comminution, and medial fracture line height. Future studies should focus on clinical outcomes and surgical management of these distinct fracture patterns. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.

The Effects of Unitizing Nail-Plate Constructs in Distal Femur Fractures: A Biomechanical Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the biomechanical differences between linked and unlinked constructs in young and osteoporotic cadavers in addition to osteoporotic sawbones. METHODS: Intraarticular distal femur fractures with comminuted metaphyseal regions were created in three young matched pair cadavers, three osteoporotic matched pair cadavers, and six osteoporotic sawbones. Precontoured distal femur locking plates were placed in addition to a standardized retrograde nail, with unitized constructs having one 4.5 mm locking screw placed distally through the nail. Nonunitized constructs had seven 4.5 mm locking screws placed through the plate around the nail, with one 5 mm distal interlock placed through the nail alone. Cadaveric specimens were subjected to axial fatigue loads between 150 and 1500 N (R Ratio = 10) with 1 Hx frequency for 10,000 cycles. Sawbones were axially loaded at 50% of the ultimate load for fatigue testing to achieve runout, with testing performed with 30 and 300 N (R Ratio = 10) loads with 1 Hz frequency for 10,000 cycles. RESULTS: In young cadavers, there was no difference in the mean cyclic displacement of the unitized constructs (1.51 ± 0.62mm) compared to the non-unitized constructs (1.34 ± 0.47mm) (Figure 4A), (p = 0.722). In osteoporotic cadavers, there was no difference in the mean cyclic displacement of the unitized constructs (2.46 ± 0.47mm) compared to the non-unitized constructs (2.91 ± 1.49mm) (p =0.639). There was statistically no significant difference in cyclic displacement between the unitized and non-unitized groups in osteoporotic sawbones(p = 0.181). CONCLUSIONS: Linked constructs did not demonstrate increased axial stiffness or decreased cyclical displacement in comparison to unlinked constructs in young cadaveric specimens, osteoporotic cadaveric specimens, or osteoporotic sawbones.

Similar Medium-Term Revision Rates Following Acute Total Hip Arthroplasty Versus Open Reduction and Internal Fixation for Acetabular Fractures in the Elderly.

BACKGROUND: The management of elderly acetabular fractures is complex, with high rates of conversion total hip arthroplasty (THA) after open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF), but potentially higher rates of complications after acute THA. METHODS: The California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development database was queried between 2010 and 2017 for all patients aged 60 years or older who sustained a closed, isolated acetabular fracture and underwent ORIF, THA, or a combination. Chi-square tests and Student t tests were used to identify demographic differences between groups. Multivariate regression was used to evaluate predictors of 30-day readmission and 90-day complications. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model were used to estimate the revision surgery-free survival (revision-free survival [RFS]), with revision surgery defined as conversion THA, revision ORIF, or revision THA. RESULTS: A total of 2,184 surgically managed acetabular fractures in elderly patients were identified, with 1,637 (75.0%) undergoing ORIF and 547 (25.0%) undergoing THA with or without ORIF. Median follow-up was 295 days (interquartile range, 13 to 1720 days). 99.4% of revisions following ORIF were for conversion arthroplasty. Unadjusted KM analysis showed no difference in RFS between ORIF and THA (log-rank test P = 0.27). RFS for ORIF patients was 95.1%, 85.8%, 78.3%, and 71.4% at 6, 12, 24 and 60 months, respectively. RFS for THA patients was 91.6%, 88.9%, 87.2%, and 78.8% at 6, 12, 24 and 60 months, respectively. Roughly 50% of revisions occurred within the first year postoperatively (49% for ORIF, 52% for THA). In propensity score-matched analysis, there was no difference between RFS on KM analysis ( P = 0.22). CONCLUSIONS: No difference was observed in medium-term RFS between acute THA and ORIF for elderly acetabular fractures in California. Revision surgeries for either conversion or revision THA were relatively common in both groups, with roughly half of all revisions occurring within the first year postoperatively. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Timing of radiographic healing for distal femur fractures treated with intramedullary nails.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to profile modified Radiographic Union Scale for Tibia (mRUST) scores over time in distal femur fractures treated with intramedullary nails and identify predictors of radiographic union timing and delayed progression. METHODS: Design: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten Level I Trauma Centers. PATIENT SELECTION CRITERIA: The inclusion criteria were patients with distal femur fractures (OTA/AO 33A and 33C) treated with intramedullary nails, with a minimum follow-up of one year or until radiographic union or reoperation. The exclusion criteria were fractures treated with combination nail-plate constructs, pathologic fractures, and patients under 18 years old.Outcome Measures and Comparisons: The primary outcome was the mRUST score at 3, 6, and 12 months post-operatively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified the optimal 3-month mRUST score predicting reoperation. Multivariable models were used to identify predictors of radiographic union timing and delayed progression. RESULTS: The study included 155 fractures in 152 patients, with a mean patient age of 51 and a mean follow-up of 17 months. A 3-month mRUST score of ≤8 predicted reoperation with a PPV of 25%, and a NPV of 99%. The timing of radiographic union was associated with tobacco use (1.2 months later; p = 0.04), open fracture (1.4 months later; p = 0.04), and the use of topical antibiotics (2.1 months longer; 95% CI: 0.33 - 3.84; p = 0.02), however topical antibiotics was at high risk of being confounded by injury severity. Delayed progression to fracture healing, wherein the most rapid radiographic healing occurs more than 3 months post-operatively, was predicted by chronic kidney disease (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: A 3-month mRUST score >8 suggests a very high likelihood of avoiding reoperation for nonunion.Tobacco use and open fractures were associated with a longer time to radiographic union. Chronic kidney disease is associated with a delayed radiographic progression, suggesting a need for adjusted expectations and management strategies in these patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Risk Factors of Failure in 228 Periprosthetic Distal Femur Fractures: A Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify risk factors of reoperation to promote union or to address deep surgical-site infection (DSSI) in periprosthetic distal femur fractures treated with lateral distal femoral locking plates (LDFLPs). DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten level-I trauma centers. PATIENT SELECTION CRITERIA: Patients with Orthopaedic Trauma Association/Association of Osteosynthesis (OTA/AO) 33A or 33C periprosthetic distal femur fractures who underwent surgical fixation between January 2012 and December 2019 exclusively using LDFLPs were eligible for inclusion. Patients with pathologic fractures or with follow-up less than 3 months without an outcome event (unplanned reoperation to promote union or for deep surgical infection) before this time point were excluded. Fracture fixation constructs used medial plates, intramedullary nails, or hybrid fixation constructs were excluded from analysis. OUTCOME MEASURES AND COMPARISONS: To examine the influence of patient demographics, injury characteristics, and features of the fracture fixation construct on the occurrence of unplanned reoperation to promote union or to address a DSSI. RESULTS: There was an 8.3% rate (19/228) of unplanned reoperation to promote union. Predictive factors for the need for reoperation to promote union included increasing body mass index (odds ratio [OR] = 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.16; P = 0.01), increasing number of screws in the distal fracture segment (OR = 1.73; 95% CI: 1.06-2.95; P = 0.03), and decreasing proportion of proximal segment screws that are locking (OR = 0.17; 95% CI: 0.03-0.70; P = 0.02) There was a 4.8% rate (11/228) of reoperation to address DSSI. There were no statistically significant predictive factors identified as risk factors of the need for reoperation to address DSSI ( P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: 8.3% of periprosthetic distal femur fractures treated at 10 centers with LDFLPs underwent unplanned reoperation to promote union. Increasing patient body mass index and increasing number of screws in the distal fracture segment were found to be predictive factors, whereas increased locking screws in the proximal segment were found to be protective. 4.8% of patients in this cohort underwent reoperation to address DSSI. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Technical Factors Contributing to Nonunion in Supracondylar Distal Femur Fractures Treated With Lateral Locked Plating: A Risk-Stratified Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify technical factors associated with nonunion after operative treatment with lateral locked plating. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten Level I trauma centers. PATIENT SELECTION CRITERIA: Adult patients with supracondylar distal femur fractures (OTA/AO type 33A or C) treated with lateral locked plating from 2010 through 2019. OUTCOME MEASURES AND COMPARISONS: Surgery for nonunion stratified by risk for nonunion. RESULTS: The cohort included 615 patients with supracondylar distal femur fractures. The median patient age was 61 years old (interquartile range: 46 -72years) and 375 (61%) were female. Observed were nonunion rates of 2% in a low risk of nonunion group (n = 129), 4% in a medium-risk group (n = 333), and 14% in a high-risk group (n = 153). Varus malreduction with an anatomic lateral distal femoral angle greater than 84 degrees, was associated with double the odds of nonunion compared to those without such varus [odds ratio, 2.1; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.1-4.2; P = 0.03]. Malreduction by medial translation of the articular block increased the odds of nonunion, with 30% increased odds per 4 mm of medial translation (95% CI, 1.0-1.6; P = 0.03). Working length increased the odds of nonunion in the medium risk group, with an 18% increase in nonunion per 10-mm increase in working length (95% CI, 1.0-1.4; P = 0.01). Increased proximal screw density was protective against nonunion (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.53-0.92; P = 0.02) but yielded lower mRUST scores with each 0.1 increase in screw density associated with a 0.4-point lower mRUST (95% CI, -0.55 to -0.15; P < 0.001). Lateral plate length and type of plate material were not associated with nonunion. ( P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Malreduction is a surgeon-controlled variable associated with nonunion after lateral locked plating of supracondylar distal femur fractures. Longer working lengths were associated with nonunion, suggesting that bridge plating may be less likely to succeed for longer fractures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Comparison of a 2.7-mm and 3.5-mm locking compression plate for ulnar fractures: a biomechanical evaluation.

Objectives: Implant prominence after ulnar fracture fixation may be mitigated by the use of lower profile plates. The biomechanical strength and stability of 2.7-mm and 3.5-mm locking compression plates for fixation were compared. Methods: Two fracture conditions, transverse (N = 10) and oblique (N = 10), were evaluated in an in vitro study. Half of the specimens for each condition were fixed with 2.7-mm plates and the other half with 3.5-mm plates, all fixed with conventional dynamic compression mechanisms. Specimens were loaded under ±2 Nm of cyclic axial torsion, then under 10 Nm of cyclic cantilever bending, and bending to failure. Interfragmentary motion and strain were analyzed to determine construct stability as a function of fracture pattern and plate size. Results: Interfragmentary motion was significantly larger in all constructs fixed with 2.7-mm plates, compared with 3.5-mm plates (P < 0.01). The 2.7-mm constructs with transverse fractures had the greatest motion, ranging between 5° and 10° under axial rotation and 5.0-6.0 mm under bending. Motions were the lowest for 3.5-mm constructs with oblique fractures, ranging between 3.2 and 4.2 mm under bending and 2°-3.5° for axial rotation. For oblique fractures, the bending moment at ultimate failure was 31.4 ± 3.6 Nm for the 2.7-mm constructs and 10.0 ± 1.9 Nm for 3.5-mm constructs (P < 0.01). Similarly, for transverse fractures, the bending moment was 17.9 ± 4.0 Nm for the 2.7-mm constructs and 9.7 ± 1.3 Nm for the 3.5-mm constructs (P < 0.01). Conclusions: Although 3.5-mm plates were more effective at reducing fracture motion, they were consistently associated with refracture at the distal-most screw hole under load to failure. By contrast, 2.7-mm plates plastically deformed despite excessive loads, potentially avoiding a subsequent fracture. Level of Evidence: Level V.

Higher Rates of Readmission After Acute Total Hip Arthroplasty Versus Open Reduction Internal Fixation for Elderly Acetabular Fractures, a National Study From 2010 to 2019.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the initial complications and short-term readmissions and reoperations after open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) versus acute total hip arthroplasty (THA) for elderly acetabular fractures. DESIGN: Retrospective database review. SETTING: All hospitalizations in the National Readmissions Database and National Inpatient Sample. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Patients 60 years of age or older with closed acetabular fractures managed surgically identified from the National Readmissions Database or National Inpatient Sample between 2010 and 2019. INTERVENTION: Acute THA with or without ORIF. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: 30-, 90-, and 180-day readmissions and reoperations and index hospitalization complications. RESULTS: An estimated 12,538 surgically managed acetabular fractures in elderly patients occurred nationally between 2010 and 2019, with 10,008 (79.8%) undergoing ORIF and 2529 (20.2%) undergoing THA. Length of stay was 1.7 days shorter ( P < 0.001) and probability of nonhome discharge was reduced (OR 0.68, P = 0.009) for THA patients than for ORIF patients. THA was associated with lower rates of pneumonia (4.6 vs. 9.1%, P < 0.001) and other respiratory complications (10.2 vs. 17.6%) when compared with ORIF. At 30 days, THA patients had higher rates of readmission (13.9 vs. 10.1%, P = 0.007), related readmission (5.4 vs. 1.2%, P < 0.001), readmission for dislocation (3.1 vs. 0.3%, P < 0.001), and reoperations (2.9 vs. 0.9%, P = 0.002). At 180 days, THA patients had higher rates of related readmission (10.1% vs. 3.9%, P < 0.001), readmission for dislocation (5.1% vs. 1.3%, P < 0.001), and readmission for SSI (3.4 vs. 0.8%, P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Acute THA is associated with lower length of stay and certain index hospitalization complications, but higher rates of readmissions for related reasons and specifically for dislocation. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Development and External Validation of a Risk Calculator for Prediction of Major Complications and Readmission After Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion.

STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective, case-control study. OBJECTIVE: We aim to build a risk calculator predicting major perioperative complications after anterior cervical fusion. In addition, we aim to externally validate this calculator with an institutional cohort of patients who underwent anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: The average age and proportion of patients with at least one comorbidity undergoing ACDF have increased in recent years. Given the increased morbidity and cost associated with perioperative complications and unplanned readmission, accurate risk stratification of patients undergoing ACDF is of great clinical utility. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of adults who underwent anterior cervical fusion at any nonfederal California hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was major perioperative complication or 30-day readmission. We built standard and ensemble machine learning models for risk prediction, assessing discrimination, and calibration. The best-performing model was validated on an external cohort comprised of consecutive adult patients who underwent ACDF at our institution between 2013 and 2020. RESULTS: A total of 23,184 patients were included in this study; there were 1886 cases of major complication or readmissions. The ensemble model was well calibrated and demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.728. The variables most important for the ensemble model include male sex, medical comorbidities, history of complications, and teaching hospital status. The ensemble model was evaluated on the validation cohort (n=260) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.802. The ensemble algorithm was used to build a web-based risk calculator. CONCLUSION: We report derivation and external validation of an ensemble algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complications and 30-day readmission after anterior cervical fusion. This model has excellent discrimination and is well calibrated when tested on a contemporaneous external cohort of ACDF cases.

Nail Plate Combination Fixation Versus Lateral Locked Plating for Distal Femur Fractures: A Multicenter Experience.

OBJECTIVES: To (1) report on clinical, radiographic, and functional outcomes after nail-plate fixation (NPF) of distal femur fractures and (2) compare outcomes after NPF with a propensity matched cohort of fractures treated with single precontoured lateral locking plates. DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten Level 1 trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Patients with OTA/AO 33A or 33C fractures. INTERVENTION: Fixation with (1) retrograde intramedullary nail combined with lateral locking plate (n = 33) or (2) single precontoured lateral locking plate alone (n = 867). MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The main outcomes of interest were all-cause unplanned reoperation and presence of varus collapse at final follow-up. RESULTS: One nail-plate patient underwent unplanned reoperation excluding infection and 2 underwent reoperation for infection at an average of 57 weeks after surgery. No nail-plate patients required unplanned reoperation to promote union and none exhibited varus collapse. More than 90% were ambulatory with no or minimal pain at final follow-up. In comparison, 7 of the 30 matched lateral locked plating patients underwent all-cause unplanned reoperation excluding infection (23% vs. 3%, P = 0.023), and an additional 3 lateral locked plating patients were found to have varus collapse on final radiographs (10% vs. 0%, P = 0.069). CONCLUSIONS: Despite a high proportion of high-energy, open, and comminuted fractures, no NPF patients underwent unplanned reoperation to promote union or demonstrated varus collapse. Propensity score matched analysis revealed significantly lower rates of nonunion for NPF compared with lateral locked plating alone. Larger studies are needed to identify which distal femur fracture patients would most benefit from NPF. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Predictors of Deep Infection After Distal Femur Fracture: A Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify potentially modifiable risk factors for deep surgical site infection after distal femur fracture. DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten Level-I trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Patients with OTA/AO 33A or C distal femur fractures (n = 1107). INTERVENTION: Surgical fixation of distal femur fracture. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENT: The outcome of interest was deep surgical site infection. RESULTS: There was a 7% rate (79/1107) of deep surgical site infection. In the multivariate analysis, predictive factors included alcohol abuse [odds ratio (OR) = 2.36; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.17-4.46; P = 0.01], intra-articular injury (OR = 1.73; 95% CI, 1.01-3.00; P = 0.05), vascular injury (OR = 3.90; 95% CI, 1.63-8.61; P < 0.01), the use of topical antibiotics (OR = 0.50; 95% CI, 0.25-0.92; P = 0.03), and the duration of the surgery (OR = 1.15 per hour; 95% CI, 1.01-1.30; P = 0.04). There was a nonsignificant trend toward an association between infection and type III open fracture (OR = 1.73; 95% CI, 0.94-3.13; P = 0.07) and lateral approach (OR = 1.60; 95% CI, 0.95-2.69; P = 0.07). The most frequently cultured organisms were methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (22%), methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus (20%), and Enterobacter cloacae (11%). CONCLUSIONS: Seven percent of distal femur fractures developed deep surgical site infections. Alcohol abuse, intra-articular fracture, vascular injury, and increased surgical duration were risk factors, while the use of topical antibiotics was protective. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Risk Factors for Reoperation to Promote Union in 1111 Distal Femur Fractures.

OBJECTIVES: To identify modifiable and nonmodifiable risk factors for reoperation to promote union after distal femur fracture. DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Ten Level-I trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Patients with OTA/AO 33A or C distal femur fractures (n = 1111). INTERVENTION: Surgical fixation of distal femur fracture. Fixation constructs were classified as lateral plate, dual plate, nail, or nail plate combination. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The outcome of interest was unplanned reoperation to promote union. RESULTS: There was an 11% (121/1111) rate of unplanned reoperation to promote union. In the multivariate analysis, predictive factors included body mass index [odds ratio (OR) = 1.18; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.32; P < 0.01], intra-articular fracture (OR = 1.57; 95% CI, 1.01-2.45; P = 0.04), type III open injury (OR = 2.29; 95% CI, 1.41-3.72; P < 0.01), the presence of medial comminution (OR = 1.85; 95% CI, 1.14-3.06; P = 0.01), and medial translation on postoperative radiographs (OR = 1.23 per one 10th of condylar width; 95% CI, 1.01-1.48; P = 0.03). Construct type was not significantly predictive. CONCLUSIONS: Eleven percent of distal femur fractures underwent unplanned reoperation to promote union. Body mass index, intra-articular fracture, type III open injury, medial comminution, and medial translation on postoperative radiographs were predictive factors. Construct type was not associated with unplanned reoperation; however, this conclusion was limited by small numbers in the dual plate and nail plate groups. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Disparities in ACL Reconstruction: the Influence of Gender and Race on Incidence, Treatment, and Outcomes.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) rupture is a common injury that has important clinical and economic implications. We aimed to review the literature to identify gender, racial and ethnic disparities in incidence, treatment, and outcomes of ACL injury. RECENT FINDINGS: Females are at increased risk for ACL injury compared to males. Intrinsic differences such as increased quadriceps angle and increased posterior tibial slope may be contributing factors. Despite lower rates of injury, males undergo ACL reconstruction (ACLR) more frequently. There is conflicting evidence regarding gender differences in graft failure and ACL revision rates, but males demonstrate higher return to sport (RTS) rates. Females report worse functional outcome scores and have worse biomechanical metrics following ACLR. Direct evidence of racial and ethnic disparities is limited, but present. White athletes have greater risk of ACL injury compared to Black athletes. Non-White and Spanish-speaking patients are less likely to undergo ACLR after ACL tear. Black and Hispanic youth have greater surgical delay to ACLR, increased risk for loss to clinical follow-up, and less physical therapy sessions, thereby leading to greater deficits in knee extensor strength during rehabilitation. Hispanic and Black patients also have greater risk for hospital admission after ACLR, though this disparity is improving. Females have higher rates of ACL injury with inconclusive evidence on anatomic predisposition and ACL failure rate differences between genders. Recent literature has suggested inferior RTS and functional outcomes following ACLR in females. Though there is limited and mixed data on incidence and outcome differences between races and ethnic groups, recent studies suggest there may be disparities in those who undergo ACLR and time to treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of fixation versus arthroplasty for geriatric distal femur fractures.

INTRODUCTION: Geriatric distal femur fractures are challenging to treat. The high mortality rate associated with a loss of mobility in this population has led some authors to compare distal femur fractures to femoral neck fractures with respect to the importance of rapidly regaining mobility in the geriatric population. Acute distal femur replacement has been advocated by some as a preferred treatment over internal fixation because arthroplasty may facilitate a more rapid return to a patient's baseline mobility level. The purpose of this study was to systematically review the literature on the costs and outcomes of fixation and arthroplasty in the geriatric distal femur fracture population and to employ decision modeling techniques to generate evidence-based treatment recommendations. METHODS: A systematic literature review of clinical studies published since 2000 was conducted to synthesize the available data on outcomes, reoperation rates, and mortality rates after fixation or arthroplasty for distal femur fractures in patients with an average age greater than 70 years. A Markov decision analysis model was created. Costs, health state utilities, reoperation rates, and mortality rates were derived from the systematic literature review and publicly available data. The model was analyzed via probabilistic statistical analysis as well as sensitivity analyses with a willingness-to-pay threshold set at $100,000 per QALY and a 5-year time horizon. RESULTS: From a US societal perspective, fixation was associated with a greater quality of life benefit (2.44 QALYs vs. 2.34 QALYs) and lower cost ($25,556 vs. $65,536) compared with distal femur replacement for geriatric distal femur fractures. Probabilistic analysis demonstrated that 82 in 100 model outcomes favored fixation over arthroplasty and 18 in 100 model outcomes favored distal femur replacement. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that this result was robust to small deviations in the cost and functional outcome variables in the model. CONCLUSION: Compared to distal femur replacement, ORIF is likely to be a more cost-effective treatment for distal femur fractures in the geriatric patient population, though this recommendation is tempered by the relatively low quality of evidence available on the comparative functional outcomes of these treatments.