Prevalence and Predictors of Emergency Medical Service Use in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.

AIM: We aim to describe prevalence of Emergency Medical Service (EMS) use, investigate factors predictive of EMS use, and determine if EMS use predicts treatment delay and mortality in our ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) cohort. METHOD: We prospectively collected data on 5,602 patients presenting with STEMI for primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) transported to PCI-capable hospitals in Victoria, Australia, from 2013-2018 who were entered into the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR). We linked this dataset to the Ambulance Victoria and National Death Index (NDI) datasets. We excluded late presentation, thrombolysed, and in-hospital STEMI, as well as patients presenting with cardiogenic shock and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. RESULTS: In total, 74% of patients undergoing primary PCI for STEMI used EMS. Older age, female gender, higher socioeconomic status, and a history of prior ischaemic heart disease were independent predictors of using EMS. EMS use was associated with shorter adjusted door-to-balloon (53 vs 72 minutes, p<0.001) and symptom-to-balloon (183 vs 212 minutes, p<0.001) times. Mode of transport was not predictive of 30-day or 12-month mortality. CONCLUSIONS: EMS use in Victoria is relatively high compared with internationally reported data. EMS use reduces treatment delay. Predictors of EMS use in our cohort are consistent with those prevalent in prior literature. Understanding the patients who are less likely to use EMS might inform more targeted education campaigns in the future.

Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown on Emergency Medical Service Utilisation, and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Volume-An Australian Perspective.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) admissions and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) volume declined during periods of COVID-19 lockdown internationally in 2020. The effect of lockdown on emergency medical service (EMS) utilisation, and PCI volume during the initial phase of the pandemic in Australia has not been well described. METHOD: We analysed data from the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR), a state-wide PCI registry, linked with the Ambulance Victoria EMS registry. PCI volume, 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, unplanned revascularisation, and stroke), and EMS utilisation were compared over four time periods: lockdown (26 Mar 2020-12 May 2020); pre-lockdown (26 Feb 2020-25 Mar 2020); post-lockdown (13 May 2020-10 Jul 2020); and the year prior (26 Mar 2019-12 May 2019). Interrupted time series analysis was performed to assess PCI trends within and between consecutive periods. RESULTS: The EMS utilisation for ACS during lockdown was higher compared with other periods: lockdown 39.4% vs pre-lockdown 29.7%; vs post-lockdown 33.6%; vs year prior 27.1%; all p<0.01. Median daily PCI cases were similar: 31 (IQR 10, 38) during lockdown; 39 (15, 49) pre-lockdown; 39.5 (11, 44) post-lockdown; and, 42 (10, 49) the year prior; all p>0.05. Median door-to-procedure time for ACS indication during lockdown was shorter at 3 hours (1.2, 20.6) vs pre-lockdown 3.9 (1.7, 21); vs post-lockdown 3.5 (1.5, 21.26); and, the year prior 3.5 (1.5, 23.7); all p<0.05. Lockdown period was associated with lower odds for 30-day MACCE compared to pre-lockdown (odds ratio [OR] 0.55 [0.33-0.93]; p=0.026); post-lockdown (OR 0.66; [0.40-1.06]; p=0.087); and the year prior (OR 0.55 [0.33-0.93]; p=0.026). CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to international trends, EMS utilisation for ACS increased during lockdown but PCI volumes remained similar throughout the initial stages of the pandemic in Victoria, with no observed adverse effect on 30-day MACCE during lockdown. These data suggest that the public health response in Victoria was not associated with poorer quality cardiovascular care in patients receiving PCI.

Sex Differences in Pharmacotherapy and Long-Term Outcomes in Patients With Ischaemic Heart Disease and Comorbid Left Ventricular Dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular (LV) dysfunction and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) are common among women. However, women tend to present later and are less likely to receive guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) compared with men. METHODS: We analysed prospectively collected data (2005-2018) from a multicentre registry on GDMT 30 days after percutaneous coronary intervention in 13,015 patients with LV ejection fraction <50%. Guideline-directed medical therapy was defined as beta blocker, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker±mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist. Long-term mortality was determined by linkage with the Australian National Death Index. RESULTS: Women represented 20% (2,634) of the total cohort. Mean age was 65±12 years. Women were on average >5 years, with higher body mass index and higher rates of hypertension, diabetes, renal dysfunction, prior stroke, and rheumatoid arthritis. Guideline-directed medical therapy was similar between sexes (73% vs 72%; p=0.58), although women were less likely to be on an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker (80% vs 82%; p=0.02). Women were less likely to be on statin therapy (p<0.001) or a second antiplatelet agent (p=0.007). Women had higher unadjusted long-term mortality (25% vs 19%; p<0.001); however, there were no differences in long-term mortality between sexes on adjusted analysis (hazard ratio 0.99; 95% confidence interval 0.87-1.14; p=0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Rates of GDMT for LV dysfunction were high and similar between sexes; however, women were less likely to be on appropriate IHD secondary prevention. The increased unadjusted long-term mortality in women was attenuated in adjusted analysis, which highlights the need for optimisation of baseline risk to improve long-term outcomes of women with IHD and comorbid LV dysfunction.

Long-term mortality in asymptomatic patients with stable ischemic heart disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

OBJECTIVES: Patients with stable ischemic heart disease (SIHD) may present with a variety of symptoms including typical angina, angina equivalents such as dyspnea or no symptoms. We sought to determine whether symptom status affects periprocedural safety and long-term mortality in patients undergoing PCI. METHODS: Prospectively enrolled consecutive patients undergoing PCI for SIHD at six hospitals in Australia between 2005 to 2018 as part of the Melbourne Interventional Group registry. Symptom status was recorded at the time of PCI and patients undergoing staged PCI were excluded. RESULTS: Overall, 11,730 patients with SIHD were followed up for a median period of 5 years (maximum 14.0 years, interquartile range 2.2-9.0 years) with 1,317 (11.2%) being asymptomatic. Asymptomatic patients were older, and more likely to be male, have triple-vessel disease, with multiple comorbidities including renal failure, diabetes and heart failure (all P < .01). These patients had significantly higher rates of periprocedural complications and major adverse cardiovascular events at 30-days. Long-term mortality was significantly higher in asymptomatic patients (27.2% vs 18.0%, P < .001). On cox regression for long-term mortality, after adjustment for more important clinical variables, asymptomatic status was an independent predictor (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.39 95% CI 1.16-1.66, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world cohort of patients undergoing revascularization for SIHD, absence of symptoms was associated with higher rates of periprocedural complications and, after adjustment for more important clinical variables, was an independent predictor of long-term mortality. As the primary goal of revascularization in SIHD remains angina relief, the appropriateness of PCI in the absence of symptoms warrants justification.

Health-related quality of life following percutaneous coronary intervention during the COVID-19 pandemic.

PURPOSE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, widespread public health measures were implemented to control community transmission. The association between these measures and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among patients following percutaneous coronary intervention has not been studied. METHODS: We included consecutive patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the state-wide Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry between 1/3/2020 and 30/9/2020 (COVID-19 period; n = 5024), with a historical control group from the identical period one year prior (control period; n = 5041). HRQOL assessment was performed via telephone follow-up 30 days following PCI using the 3-level EQ-5D questionnaire and Australian-specific index values. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, but during the COVID-19 period indication for PCI was more common for acute coronary syndromes. No patients undergoing PCI were infected with COVID-19 at the time of their procedure. EQ-5D visual analogue score (VAS), index score, and individual components were higher at 30 days following PCI during the COVID-19 period (all P < 0.01). In multivariable analysis, the COVID-19 period was independently associated with higher VAS and index scores. No differences were observed between regions or stage of restrictions in categorical analysis. Similarly, in subgroup analysis, no significant interactions were observed. CONCLUSION: Measures of HRQOL following PCI were higher during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the previous year. These data suggest that challenging community circumstances may not always be associated with poor patient quality of life.

Management of Acute Decompensated Heart Failure in Rural Versus Metropolitan Settings: An Australian Experience.

BACKGROUND: Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is the most common cause of hospital admission in patients over 65, with poorer outcomes demonstrated in rural versus metropolitan areas. The aim of this study was to compare the in-hospital and post-discharge management of ADHF patients admitted to rural versus metropolitan hospitals in Victoria. METHODS: Data from the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry, Heart Failure (VCOR-HF) project was used. This was a prospective, observational, non-randomised study of consecutive patients admitted to participating hospitals in Victoria, Australia, with ADHF as their primary diagnosis over four 30-day periods during consecutive years. All patients were followed up for 30 days post discharge. RESULTS: 1,357 patients (1,260 metropolitan, 97 rural) were admitted to study hospitals with ADHF during the study periods. Cohorts were similar in age (average 76.87±13.12 yrs) and percentage of male gender (56.4% overall). Metropolitan patients were more likely to have diabetes (44.4% vs 34.0%, p=0.046), kidney disease (65.8% vs 37.1%, p<0.01) and anaemia (31.9% vs 19.6%, p=0.01). There was no significant difference in length of stay between metropolitan and rural patients (7.49 vs 6.37 days, p=0.12). There was no significant difference between metropolitan and rural patients in 30-day rehospitalisations (19.1% vs 11.6%, p=0.07, respectively) and all-cause 30-day mortality (8.2% vs 4.1%, p=0.15, respectively). Metropolitan patients were significantly more likely to have seen their general practitioner (GP) (68.1% vs 53.2%, p<0.01) or attend an outpatient clinic (35.9% vs 10.6%, p<0.01) by 30 days. There was no significant difference in number of days to follow-up of any kind between groups. Referrals to a heart failure home visiting program remained low overall (19.9%). CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in 30-day rehospitalisations or mortality between patients admitted to rural versus metropolitan hospitals. Geographical discrepancies were noted in follow-up by 30 days, with significantly more metropolitan patients having seen a doctor by 30 days post-discharge. Overall follow-up rates remain suboptimal.

Adverse impact of chronic kidney disease on clinical outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention.

AIMS: We aimed to assess the impact of the severity of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with long-term clinical outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: We analyzed data on consecutive patients undergoing PCI enrolled in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR) from January 2014 to December 2018. Patients were stratified into tertiles of renal function; estimated glomerular filtration (eGFR) ≥60, 30-59 and < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2 (including dialysis). The primary outcome was long-term all-cause mortality obtained from linkage with the Australian National Death Index (NDI). The secondary endpoint was a composite of 30 day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events. RESULTS: We identified a total of 51,480 patients (eGFR ≥60, n = 40,534; eGFR 30-59, n = 9,521; eGFR <30, n = 1,425). Compared with patients whose eGFR was ≥60, those with eGFR 30-59 and eGFR<30 were on average older (77 and 78 vs. 63 years) and had a greater burden of cardiovascular risk factors. Worsening CKD severity was independently associated with greater adjusted risk of long-term NDI mortality: eGFR<30 hazard ratio 4.21 (CI 3.7-4.8) and eGFR 30-59; 1.8 (CI 1.7-2.0), when compared to eGFR ≥60, all p < .001. CONCLUSION: In this large, multicentre PCI registry, severity of CKD was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality underscoring the high-risk nature of this patient cohort.

Sex Differences in Radial Access for Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Acute Coronary Syndrome Are Independent of Body Size.

BACKGROUND: Radial access reduces bleeding and is associated with improved survival following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We evaluated the association between sex, markers of body size and radial access, and its impact on bleeding and mortality following PCI for ACS. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 2013-2016, consecutive patients treated with PCI for ACS across 30 centres were prospectively entered into the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry and followed for 30 days. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyse predictors of the primary endpoint of PCI access site and secondary endpoints of major bleeding and mortality. A total of 16,330 ACS patients (40.9% ST elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI]) underwent PCI (23.5% female). Women were older with significantly lower weight and height compared to men. Women had lower radial access use (41.6% versus 51.0%, p<0.001), with higher 30-day major bleeding (2.4% versus 1.4%, p<0.001) and mortality (4.4% versus 3.4%, p<0.001) than men. Female sex independently predicted lower radial access use (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.68-0.83, p<0.001) while body surface area, height and body mass index did not. Female sex was an independent predictor of higher 30-day major bleeding (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.05-1.81, p=0.019) and mortality in STEMI patients (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01-1.70. p=0.039). Radial access was associated with lower major bleeding (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.53-0.91, p=0.009) and mortality (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.48-0.75, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Radial access, despite being associated with lower bleeding and mortality, was used less frequently in women, independent of co-morbidities and objective markers of body size.

Clinical Outcomes in Older Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Non-ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Distinguishing the subgroup of older, comorbid patients presenting with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTEACS) who will benefit from percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains challenging. Identifying risk factors for major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (MACCE) post PCI may help define this cohort. The objective of this study was to describe contemporary outcomes of older patients with NSTEACS undergoing PCI and identify pre-procedural risk factors for MACCE. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data for 1,875 patients aged ≥80 years entered in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR) who underwent PCI for NSTEACS between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2017. MACCE was a composite outcome comprising 30-day mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, major bleeding, target lesion revascularisation or target vessel revascularisation; in-hospital cardiogenic shock or stent thrombosis; and new requirement for dialysis. Patient demographic data and pre-procedural comorbidities were compared between the groups with and without a MACCE. RESULTS: The rate of MACCE at 30 days was 8.0% (n=150). Thirty-day (30-day) mortality was 3.0% (n=57). Pre-procedural left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)<45% (OR 2.32; 95% CI 1.47-3.68; p<0.001) and eGFR≤30 mL/min/1.73m2 or renal replacement therapy (OR 2.10; 95% CI 1.27-3.46; p<0.01) were independent predictors of a MACCE. CONCLUSIONS: Older patients presenting with NSTEACS who have left ventricular systolic dysfunction or renal impairment are at increased risk of MACCE post PCI. Randomised studies are required to determine if invasive management remains beneficial for these patents compared with medical therapy.

Effect of Age on Clinical Outcomes in Elderly Patients (>80 Years) Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Insights From a Multi-Centre Australian PCI Registry.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effect of age in an all-comers population undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). BACKGROUND: Age is an important consideration in determining appropriateness for invasive cardiac assessment and perceived clinical outcomes. METHODS: We analysed data from 29,012 consecutive patients undergoing PCI in the Melbourne Interventional Group (MIG) registry between 2005 and 2017. 25,730 patients <80 year old (78% male, mean age 62±10 years; non-elderly cohort) were compared to 3,282 patients ≥80 year old (61% male, mean age 84±3 years; elderly cohort). RESULTS: The elderly cohort had greater prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and previous myocardial infarction (all p<0.001). Elderly patients were more likely to present with acute coronary syndromes, left ventricular ejection fraction <45% and chronic kidney disease (p<0.0001). In-hospital, 30-day and long-term all-cause mortality (over a median of 3.6 and 5.1 years for elderly and non-elderly cohorts, respectively) were higher in the elderly cohort (5.2% vs. 1.9%; 6.4% vs. 2.2%; and 43% vs. 14% respectively, all p<0.0001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (HR 3.8, 95% CI: 3.4-4.3), cardiogenic shock (HR 3.0, 95% CI: 2.6-3.4), ejection fraction <30% (HR 2.5, 95% CI: 2.1-2.9); and age ≥80 years (HR 2.8, 95% CI: 2.6-3.1) were independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality (all p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: The elderly cohort is a high-risk group of patients with increasing age being associated with poorer long-term mortality. Age, thus, should be an important consideration when individualising treatment in elderly patients.

Comparison of short-term clinical outcomes of proximal versus nonproximal lesion location in patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-elevation myocardial infarction: The PROXIMITI study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to investigate the association of proximal and nonproximal location of culprit coronary lesions with clinical outcomes of patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated by primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). BACKGROUND: Proximal culprit lesion location in patients presenting with STEMI is associated with increased mortality when compared to distal culprit lesions in the thrombolytic era. The impact of lesion location on clinical outcomes in the era of PCI remains unclear. METHODS: We analyzed 3,283 patients with STEMI who enrolled in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry. We compared outcomes in those with proximal lesion location versus patients with nonproximal location. RESULTS: Of 3,283 participants, 1,376 (41.9%) had a proximal lesion location. Patients with proximal lesion location presented with greater rates of cardiogenic shock and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, and left ventricular systolic dysfunction, all P < .01. Procedural success rates were similar (96% vs. 95%, P = .08). Patients with proximal lesion location had higher rates of in-hospital and 30-day mortality, major adverse cardiac events (MACE; mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, and unplanned revascularization) and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; MACE, and stroke) compared to the nonproximal group, all P < .001. However, on multivariable regression analysis, proximal lesion location was not independently associated with MACE during in-hospital stay or at 30-days (OR 1.32, 95% CI 0.95-1.83, P = .09 and OR 1.23, 95% CI 0.92-1.65, P = .15) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with proximal lesion location had greater hemodynamic instability and higher-risk features; however, proximal lesions per se were not independently associated with worse clinical outcomes compared to nonproximal lesions.

Impact of smoking status on outcomes after concomitant aortic valve replacement and coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of data on the impact of smoking status on outcomes after concomitant aortic valve replacement and coronary artery bypass graft (AVR-CABG) surgery. METHODS: Data obtained prospectively between June 2001 and December 2009 by the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons National Cardiac Surgery Database Program were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic and operative data were compared between patients who were nonsmokers, previous smokers, and current smokers using chi-square test and t-test. The independent impact of smoking status on 14 short-term complications and long-term mortality was determined using binary logistic and Cox regression, respectively. RESULTS: Concomitant AVR-CABG surgery was performed in 2,563 patients; smoking status was recorded in 2,558 (99.8%) patients. Of these, 1,052 (41.1%) patients had no previous smoking history, 1,345 (52.6%) patients were previous smokers, and 161 (6.3%) patients were current smokers. The 30-day mortality rate was 3.5% in nonsmokers, 4.1% in previous smokers, and 3.1% in current smokers (p = nonsignificant). The incidence of perioperative complications was similar in the three groups. The mean follow-up period for this study was 36 months (range, 0-105 months). After adjusting for differences in patient variables, the incidence of late mortality was higher in previous smokers (hazard ratio [HR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-1.81; p = 0.002) compared with nonsmokers. A trend toward increased late mortality in current smokers was noted (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.86-2.08; p = 0.201). CONCLUSION: Smoking is not associated with adverse outcomes after concomitant AVR-CABG surgery. Smoking status should not, therefore, preclude these patients from undergoing this procedure. Given the adverse effect of smoking on overall cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and late postoperative mortality, patients should be encouraged to quit smoking.

Prevalence and outcomes of patients with SMuRF-less acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: There is increasing awareness that patients without standard modifiable risk factors (SMuRFs; diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension and smoking) may represent a unique subset of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We aimed to investigate the prevalence and outcomes of patients with SMuRF-less ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with those with SMuRFs. METHODS: We analysed data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI Registry. Patients with coronary artery disease were excluded. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital and 30-day events. Long-term mortality was investigated using Cox-proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: From 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2020, 2727/18 988 (14.4%) patients were SMuRF less, with the proportion increasing over time. Mean age was similar for patients with and without SMuRFs (63 years), and fewer females were SMuRF-less (19.8% vs 25.4%, p<0.001). SMuRF-less patients were more likely to present with cardiac arrest (6.6% vs 3.9%, p<0.001) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (59.1% vs 50.8%, p<0.001) and were more likely to experience postprocedural cardiogenic shock (4.5% vs 3.6%, p=0.019) and arrhythmia (11.2% vs 9.9%, p=0.029). At 30 days, mortality, myocardial infarction, revascularisation and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events did not differ between the groups. During median follow-up of 7 years, SMuRF-less patients had an adjusted 13% decreased rate of mortality (HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.97)). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of SMuRF-less patients increased over time. Presentation was more often a devastating cardiac event compared with those with SMuRFs. No difference in 30-day outcomes was observed and SMuRF-less patients had lower hazard for long-term mortality.

No-Reflow Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome During Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: The NORPACS Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal coronary reperfusion (no reflow) is common in acute coronary syndrome percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and is associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinical risk score for angiographic no reflow for use following angiography and before PCI. METHODS: We developed and externally validated a logistic regression model for prediction of no reflow among adult patients undergoing PCI for acute coronary syndrome using data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI registry (2005-2020; development cohort) and the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society PCI registry (2006-2020; external validation cohort). RESULTS: A total of 30 561 patients (mean age, 64.1 years; 24% women) were included in the Melbourne Interventional Group development cohort and 440 256 patients (mean age, 64.9 years; 27% women) in the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society external validation cohort. The primary outcome (no reflow) occurred in 4.1% (1249 patients) and 9.4% (41 222 patients) of the development and validation cohorts, respectively. From 33 candidate predictor variables, 6 final variables were selected by an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model for inclusion (cardiogenic shock, ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction with symptom onset >195 minutes pre-PCI, estimated stent length ≥20 mm, vessel diameter <2.5 mm, pre-PCI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow <3, and lesion location). Model discrimination was very good (development C statistic, 0.808; validation C statistic, 0.741) with excellent calibration. Patients with a score of ≥8 points had a 22% and 27% risk of no reflow in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The no-reflow prediction in acute coronary syndrome risk score is a simple count-based scoring system based on 6 parameters available before PCI to predict the risk of no reflow. This score could be useful in guiding preventative treatment and future trials.

Impact of smoking status on early and late outcomes after isolated aortic valve replacement surgery.

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: Currently, insufficient data exist relating to the impact of smoking status on outcomes after isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR) surgery. METHODS: Data obtained prospectively between June 2001 and December 2009 by the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (SCTS) Cardiac Surgery Database Program was analyzed retrospectively. Demographic and operative data were compared between patients who were non-smokers, previous smokers and current smokers, using chi-square and t-tests. The independent impact of smoking status on 14 short-term complications and long-term mortality was determined using binary logistic and Cox regression, respectively. RESULTS: Isolated AVR surgery was performed in 2,790 patients; smoking status was recorded in 2,784 cases (99.8%). Of these patients 1,346 (48.3%) had no previous smoking history, 1,232 (44.3%) were previous smokers, and 206 (7.4%) were current smokers. The 30-day mortality rate was 2.3% in nonsmokers, 2.7% in previous smokers, and 0.5% in current smokers (p = NS). The incidence of perioperative complications was generally similar in the three groups, but current smokers were at an increased risk of pneumonia (p = 0.030) and postoperative myocardila infarction (p = 0.007). The mean follow up period for the study was 37 months (range: 0-105 months). After adjusting for differences in patient variables, the incidence of late mortality was not higher in previous smokers (HR 1.13; 95% CI 0.87-1.46; p = 0.372) or current smokers (HR 1.25; 95% CI 0.66-2.36; p = 0.494) compared to non-smokers. CONCLUSION: Smoking status does not necessarily portend a poorer perioperative outcome in patients undergoing isolated AVR.

Estimating the cost-effectiveness and return on investment of the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry in Australia: a minimum threshold analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to establish the minimum level of clinical benefit attributable to the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR) for the registry to be cost-effective. DESIGN: A modelled cost-effectiveness study of VCOR was conducted from the Australian healthcare system and societal perspectives. SETTING: Observed deaths and costs attributed to coronary heart disease (CHD) over a 5-year period (2014-2018) were compared with deaths and costs arising from a hypothetical situation which assumed that VCOR did not exist. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics and published sources were used to construct a decision analytic life table model to simulate the follow-up of Victorians aged ≥25 years for 5 years, or until death. The assumed contribution of VCOR to the proportional change in CHD mortality trend observed over the study period was varied to quantify the minimum level of clinical benefits required for the registry to be cost-effective. The marginal costs of VCOR operation and years of life saved (YoLS) were estimated. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The return on investment (ROI) ratio and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: The minimum proportional change in CHD mortality attributed to VCOR required for the registry to be considered cost-effective was 0.125%. Assuming this clinical benefit, a net return of $A4.30 for every dollar invested in VCOR was estimated (ROI ratio over 5 years: 4.3 (95% CI 3.6 to 5.0)). The ICER estimated for VCOR was $A49 616 (95% CI $A42 228 to $A59 608) per YoLS. Sensitivity analyses found that the model was sensitive to the time horizon assumed and the extent of registry contribution to CHD mortality trends. CONCLUSIONS: VCOR is likely cost-effective and represents a sound investment for the Victorian healthcare system. Our evaluation highlights the value of clinical quality registries in Australia.

Differences in outcomes of patients with in-hospital versus out-of-hospital ST-elevation myocardial infarction: a registry analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) that occur while already in hospital ('in-hospital STEMI') face high mortality. However, data about this patient population are scarce. We sought to investigate differences in reperfusion and outcomes of in-hospital versus out-of-hospital STEMI. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive patients with STEMI all treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) across 30 centres were prospectively recruited into the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (2013-2018). PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES: Patients with in-hospital STEMI were compared with patients with out-of-hospital STEMI with a primary endpoint of 30-day major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary endpoints included ischaemic times, all-cause mortality and major bleeding. RESULTS: Of 7493 patients with PCI-treated STEMI, 494 (6.6%) occurred in-hospital. Patients with in-hospital STEMI were older (67.1 vs 62.4 years, p<0.001), more often women (32% vs 19.9%, p<0.001), with more comorbidities. Patients with in-hospital STEMI had higher 30-day MACE (20.4% vs 9.8%, p<0.001), mortality (12.1% vs 6.9%, p<0.001) and major bleeding (4.9% vs 2.3%, p<0.001), than patients with out-of-hospital STEMI. According to guideline criteria, patients with in-hospital STEMI achieved symptom-to-device times of ≤70 min and ≤90 min in 29% and 47%, respectively. Patients with out-of-hospital STEMI achieved door-to-device times of ≤90 min in 71%. Occurrence of STEMI while in hospital independently predicted higher MACE (adjusted OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.36, p<0.001) and 12-month mortality (adjusted OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.07, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with in-hospital STEMI experience delays to reperfusion with significantly higher MACE and mortality, compared with patients with out-of-hospital STEMI, after adjustment for confounders. Focused strategies are needed to improve recognition and outcomes in this high-risk and understudied population.

Temporal Changes in Pollen Concentration Predict Short-Term Clinical Outcomes in Acute Coronary Syndromes.

Background Atmospheric changes in pollen concentration may affect human health by triggering various allergic processes. We sought to assess if changes in pollen concentrations were associated with different acute coronary syndrome (ACS) subtype presentations and short-term clinical outcomes. Methods and Results We analyzed data in consecutive patients presenting with ACS (unstable angina, non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction) treated with percutaneous coronary intervention between January 2014 and December 2017 and enrolled in the VCOR (Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry). Baseline characteristics were compared among patients exposed to different grass and total pollen concentrations. The primary outcome was occurrence of ACS subtypes and 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, target vessel revascularization, or stroke). Of 15 379 patients, 7122 (46.3%) presented with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, 6781 (44.1%) with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, and 1476 (9.6%) with unstable angina. The mean age was 62.5 years, with men comprising 76% of patients. No association was observed between daily or seasonal grass and total pollen concentrations with the frequency of ACS subtype presentation. However, grass and total pollen concentrations in the preceding days (2-day average for grass pollen and 7-day average for total pollen) correlated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.17 [95% CI, 1.12-4.21]; P=0.021 and OR, 2.78 [95% CI, 1.00-7.74]; P=0.05), respectively, with a trend of 2-day grass pollen for 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (OR, 1.50 [95% CI, 0.97-2.32]; P=0.066). Conclusions Increased pollen concentrations were not associated with differential ACS subtype presentation but were significantly related to in-hospital mortality following percutaneous coronary intervention, underscoring a potential biologic link between pollen exposure and clinical outcomes.

Incidence, predictors and clinical implications of new renal impairment following percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Renal impairment post-percutaneous coronary intervention (post-PCI) is a well-described adverse effect following the administration of contrast media. Within a large cohort of registry patients, we aimed to explore the incidence, predictors and clinical outcomes of renal impairment post-PCI. METHODS: The Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry is an Australian state-based clinical quality registry focusing on collecting data from all PCI capable centres. Data from 36 970 consecutive PCI cases performed between 2014 and 2018 were analysed. Patients were separated into three groups based on post-procedure creatinine levels (new renal impairment (NRI), defined as an absolute rise in serum creatinine>44.2 µmol/L or>25% of baseline creatinine; new renal impairment requiring dialysis (NDR), defined as worsening renal failure that necessitated a new requirement for renal dialysis; no NRI). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the impact of NRI and NDR on clinical outcomes. RESULTS: 3.1% (n=1134) of patients developed NRI, with an additional 0.6% (n=225) requiring dialysis. 96.3% (n=35 611) of patients did not develop NRI. Those who developed renal impairment were more comorbid, with higher rates of diabetes (22% vs 38% vs 38%, p<0.001), peripheral vascular disease (3.4% vs 8.2% vs 11%, p<0.001), chronic kidney disease (19% vs 49.7% vs 54.2%) and severe left ventricular dysfunction (5% vs 22% vs 40%, p<0.001). Multivariable analysis found that when compared with the no NRI group, those in the combined NRI/NDR group were at a greater risk of 30-day mortality (OR 4.77; 95% CI 3.89 to 5.86, p<0.001) and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (OR 3.72; 95% CI 3.15 to 4.39, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: NRI post-PCI remains a common occurrence, especially among comorbid patients, and is associated with a significantly increased morbidity and mortality risk.