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Although strict lockdown measurements implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic have dramatically reduced the anthropogenic-based emissions, changes in air quality and its health impacts remain unclear in China. We comprehensively described air pollution during and after the lockdown periods in 2020 compared with 2018-2019, and estimated the mortality burden indicated by the number of deaths and years of life lost (YLL) related to the air pollution changes. The mean air quality index (AQI), PM10, PM2.5, NO2, SO2 and CO concentrations during the lockdown across China declined by 18.2 (21.2%), 27.0 µg/m3 (28.9%), 10.5 µg/m3 (18.3%), 8.4 µg/m3 (44.2%), 13.1 µg/m3 (38.8%), and 0.3 mg/m3 (27.3%) respectively, when compared to the same periods during 2018-2019. We observed an increase in O3 concentration during the lockdown by 5.5 µg/m3 (10.4%), and a slight decrease after the lockdown by 3.4 µg/m3 (4.4%). As a result, there were 51.3 (95%CI: 32.2, 70.1) thousand fewer premature deaths (16.2 thousand during and 35.1 thousand after the lockdown), and 1066.8 (95%CI: 668.7, 1456.8) thousand fewer YLLs (343.3 thousand during and 723.5 thousand after the lockdown) than these in 2018-2019. Our findings suggest that the COVID-19 lockdown has caused substantial decreases in air pollutants except for O3, and that substantial human health benefits can be achieved when strict control measures for air pollution are taken to reduce emissions from vehicles and industries. Stricter tailored policy solutions of air pollution are urgently needed in China and other countries, especially in well-developed industrial regions, such as upgrading industry structure and promoting green transportation.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , COVID-19 , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , China/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Monitoramento Ambiental , Humanos , Pandemias , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/toxicidade , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The effects of COVID-19 lockdown measures on maternal and fetal health remain unclear. We examined the associations of COVID-19 lockdown with gestational length and preterm birth (PTB) in a Chinese population. METHODS: We obtained medical records of 595,396 singleton live infants born between 2015 and 2020 in 5 cities in Guangdong Province, South China. The exposed group (N = 101,900) included women who experienced the COVID-19 Level I lockdown (1/23-2/24/2020) during pregnancy, while the unexposed group (N = 493,496) included women who were pregnant during the same calendar months in 2015-2019. Cumulative exposure was calculated based on days exposed to different levels of emergency responses with different weighting. Generalized linear regression models were applied to estimate the associations of lockdown exposure with gestational length and risk of PTB (< 37 weeks). RESULTS: The exposed group had a shorter mean gestational length than the unexposed group (38.66 vs 38.74 weeks: adjusted ß = - 0.06 week [95%CI, - 0.07, - 0.05 week]). The exposed group also had a higher risk of PTB (5.7% vs 5.3%; adjusted OR = 1.08 [95%CI, 1.05, 1.11]). These associations seemed to be stronger when exposure occurred before or during the 23rd gestational week (GW) than during or after the 24th GW. Similarly, higher cumulative lockdown exposure was associated with a shorter gestational length and a higher risk of PTB. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 lockdown measures were associated with a slightly shorter gestational length and a moderately higher risk of PTB. Early and middle pregnancy periods may be a more susceptible exposure window.
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COVID-19/epidemiologia , Exposição Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Resultado da Gravidez/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Adulto , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Quarentena , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Although studies have assessed the associations of maternal exposure to ozone (O3) during pregnancy with blood pressure and the risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), the results were inconsistent. Furthermore, no studies have been conducted in China where the ambient O3 concentration continuedly increased. The present study aimed to estimate the effects of maternal exposure to O3 during pregnancy on the HDP risk, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and pulse pressure (PP). All participants of pregnant women were selected from the prospective birth cohort study on Prenatal Environments and Offspring Health conducted in Guangzhou, China. A spatiotemporal land-use-regression model was used to estimate individual monthly air pollution exposure from three months before pregnancy to childbirth date. Information on HDP, SBP, DBP and PP was obtained from maternal medical records. A Logistic regression model and a mixed linear model were used to estimate the associations of maternal exposure to O3 with the risk of HDP and blood pressure (SBP, DBP and PP), respectively. We found significant associations of maternal exposure to O3 during the third (OR = 1.31, 95%CI: 1.07, 1.60) and the second month (OR = 1.25, 95%CI: 1.02, 1.51) before pregnancy with the risk of HDP. Observed significantly positive associations of O3 exposures with SBP, DBP and PP during the two months before pregnancy and during the early pregnancy. The peak effects of O3 exposure on SBP, DBP and PP were respectively observed during the second month of pregnancy (ß = 1.07 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.84, 1.31 mmHg), the first month before pregnancy (ß = 0.40 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.21, 0.50 mmHg) and the second month of pregnancy (ß = 0.78 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.59, 0.97 mmHg). Our results suggest that maternal exposure to O3 were positively associated with blood pressure and the risk of HDP, and the period from three months before pregnancy to the first trimester might be the critical exposure window.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Pressão Sanguínea , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez , Exposição Materna , Ozônio , China , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez/epidemiologia , Ozônio/toxicidade , Gravidez , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Importance: The ongoing pandemic of COVID-19 is still affecting our life, but the effects of lockdown measures on gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in pregnant women remain unclear. Aim: To investigate the association between COVID-19 lockdown and GDM. Subjects and Methods: Medical records of 140844 pregnant women during 2015-2020 were extracted from 5 hospitals in Guangdong Province, China. Pregnant women who underwent the COVID-19 Level I lockdown (1/23 - 2/24/2020) during pregnancy were defined as the exposed group (N=20472) and pregnant women who underwent the same calendar months during 2015-2019 (1/23 - 2/24) were defined as the unexposed group (N=120372). Subgroup analyses were used to explore the potential susceptible exposure window of COVID-19 lockdown on GDM. Cumulative exposure is quantitatively estimated by assigning different weights to response periods with different exposure intensities. A logistic regression model was used to estimate the association between COVID-19 lockdown exposure and GDM. Results: The rates of GDM in the exposed and unexposed groups were 15.2% and 12.4%, respectively. The overall analyses showed positive associations (odds ratio, OR=1.22, 95%CI: 1.17, 1.27) between lockdown exposure and GDM risk in all pregnant women. More pronounced associations were found in women who underwent the COVID-19 lockdown in their first four months of pregnancy, and the adjusted OR values ranged from 1.24 (95%CI: 1.10, 1.39) in women with 5-8 gestational weeks (GWs) to 1.35 (95%CI: 1.20, 1.52) with < 5 GWs. In addition, we found a positive exposure-response association of cumulative lockdown exposure with the risk of GDM. Conclusions: The COVID-19 lockdown was associated with an increased risk of GDM, and the first four months of pregnancy may be the window for sensitive exposure.
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COVID-19 , Diabetes Gestacional , COVID-19/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , GestantesRESUMO
Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has brought significant challenges to health system and consumed a lot of health resources. However, evidence on the hospitalization costs and their associated factors in COVID-19 cases is scarce. Objectives: To describe the total and components of hospitalization costs of COVID-19 cases, and investigate the associated factors of costs. Methods: We included 876 confirmed COVID-19 cases admitted to 33 designated hospitals from January 15th to April 27th, 2020 in Guangdong, China, and collected their demographic and clinical information. A multiple linear regression model was performed to estimate the associations of hospitalization costs with potential associated factors. Results: The median of total hospitalization costs of COVID-19 cases was $2,869.4 (IQR: $3,916.8). We found higher total costs in male (% difference: 29.7, 95% CI: 15.5, 45.6) than in female cases, in older cases than in younger ones, in severe cases (% difference: 344.8, 95% CI: 222.5, 513.6) than in mild ones, in cases with clinical aggravation than those without, in cases with clinical symptoms (% difference: 47.7, 95% CI: 26.2, 72.9) than those without, and in cases with comorbidities (% difference: 21.1%, 21.1, 95% CI: 4.4, 40.6) than those without. We also found lower non-pharmacologic therapy costs in cases treated with traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) therapy (% difference: -47.4, 95% CI: -64.5 to -22.0) than cases without. Conclusion: The hospitalization costs of COVID-19 cases in Guangdong were comparable to the national level. Factors associated with higher hospitalization costs included sex, older age, clinical severity and aggravation, clinical symptoms and comorbidities at admission. TCM therapy was found to be associated with lower costs for some non-pharmacologic therapies.
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BACKGROUND: The adverse effects of TI exposure on pregnant women are still unclear, especially regarding the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) Objective: We explored the association between maternal urinary Tl burden and the risk of GDM. METHODS: A subsample of 1789 pregnant women were enrolled who provided spot urine samples before the diagnostic 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Urinary Tl concentration was measured using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Logistic regression and covariance analysis were carried out to estimate the association between Tl exposure and GDM risk. RESULTS: The median of urinary Tl concentration was 0.382 µg/L or 0.525 µg/g creatinine (CC-Tl). There were 437 (24.4%) participants who were diagnosed with GDM, and the urinary CC-Tl concentrations of pregnant women with GDM were higher than that of pregnant women without GDM [0.548 (0.402, 0.788) vs 0.518 (0.356, 0.724), p = 0.014]. After adjusting for the relevant covariates, an association between urinary Tl concentrations and GDM was found. In comparison to the pregnant women in the lowest quartile of urinary CC-Tl concentration, the pregnant women in the highest quartile had a higher risk of GDM [OR (95% CI) = 1.44 (1.03, 2.02), p-trend = 0.055]. If limited to the pregnant women without family history of diabetes, the results were still robust [OR (95% CI) = 1.59 (1.11, 2.30), p-trend = 0.012]. CONCLUSION: Urinary CC-Tl concentration was associated with GDM among Chinese pregnant women. Our findings provide evidence that moderately high Tl exposure may be a novel risk factor for pregnant women health.
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Diabetes Gestacional , China , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Gestacional/induzido quimicamente , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Exposição Materna/efeitos adversos , Gravidez , Fatores de Risco , TálioRESUMO
Selenium (Se) is an essential element and also toxic at an excessive level for human body. However, few studies have investigated adverse effects of Se exposure on birth weight and placental weight. METHODS: All participants were selected from the Prenatal Environment and Offspring Health cohort conducted in 2016 in Guangzhou, China. Se in each participant was measured by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry in their urine samples. The urinary Se concentrations were corrected by creatinine and transformed by natural logarithm (ln-Se). Multiple-linear regression models were applied to estimate the associations among Se exposure levels, placenta weight, and birth weight. RESULTS: A total of 2758 mother-newborn pairs were included in this study. Each interquartile range (0.53 µg/g creatinine) increment in urine ln-Se concentration during the first trimester was associated with a mean 21.7 g (95% CI = -41.3g to -2.1g) decrease in birth weight and 3.6g (95% CI = -6.3g to -0.9g) decrease in placental weight. Compared with the lowest quartile (Q1) of ln-Se concentrations during the first trimester, significantly lower birth weight was found in the highest quartile (Q4) (ß = -45.7g; 95% CI = -90.7g to -0.7g). Similar dose-response associations with birthweight and placental weight were found for Se exposure during the third trimester. Mediation analyses showed that 44.2% and 18.2% of the effects of Se exposure in first and third trimester on birth weight were mediated by decreased placental weight, respectively. CONCLUSION: Maternal Se exposure during pregnancy was negatively associated with birth weight, the reduction of placental weight may partially mediate the association of prenatal Se exposure with birth weight.
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Background: Previous studies have demonstrated the embryotoxicity and fetotoxicity of thallium (Tl). However, the effects of prenatal exposure to Tl on birth weight and placental weight and the mediating role of placental weight in the association of Tl with birth weight remain unclear. Methods: We recruited 2,748 participants from the ongoing Prenatal Environment and Offspring Health Cohort (PEOH Cohort) study, which was initiated in 2016 in Guangzhou, China. The Tl concentrations in maternal urine samples collected during the first and third trimester were determined by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Birth weight and placental weight were extracted from maternal medical records. Results: Pregnant women exposed to the highest tertile of Tl in the first trimester (ß = -42.7 g, 95% CI: -82.3, -3.1 g) and third trimester (ß = -50.6 g, 95% CI: -99.0, -2.3 g) had babies with lower birth weights than those exposed to the lowest tertile. We also found significant negative associations of exposure to Tl concentrations in the first and third trimester with placental weight. Mediation analyses showed that 50.3% (95% CI: 15.9, 79.2%) and 33.5% (95% CI: 1.3, 80.3%) of the effects of Tl exposure in the first and third trimester on birth weight were mediated by decreased placental weight. Conclusion: Our results suggest that prenatal exposure to Tl is negatively associated with birth weight and that this association may be mediated by decreased placental weight.
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Efeitos Tardios da Exposição Pré-Natal , Tálio , Peso ao Nascer , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Exposição Materna/efeitos adversos , Placenta , Gravidez , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
Miscarriage is one of the commonest complications of pregnancy. Although previous studies suggested that environmental factors were important causes of miscarriage, evidence is still inadequate. Here, we examined the association of maternal exposure to temperature with the risk of miscarriage and further assessed the modifying effects of surrounding residential greenness. A case-control study was conducted at a large hospital in Guangzhou, China. All participants' information was extracted from hospital records. An inverse distance weighted method was used to estimate the temperature exposure at each residential address, where the greenness was measured by Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). A logistic regression model was applied to estimate the association of temperature exposure with the risk of miscarriage. A total of 2044 cases of miscarriage and 2285 controls were included in the present study. We observed a generally non-linear positive relationship between temperature exposure and the risk of miscarriage. More pronounced effects of high temperatures vs. low temperatures were found during the two months prior to hospitalization than in other periods. The odds ratio (OR) of 29.4⯰C (95th centile) compared with 15⯰C during the first month prior to hospitalization was 1.480 (95% CI: 1.021-2.145). Smaller effects of temperatures were seen on the risk of miscarriage among participants with moderately great surrounding greenness compared with those with less greenness. We concluded that maternal exposure to moderately high temperature during pregnancy may increase the risk of miscarriage, but the modifying effects of greenness on these associations need to be further tested in future studies.
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Aborto Espontâneo/epidemiologia , Exposição Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Temperatura , Adulto , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Desenvolvimento SustentávelRESUMO
BACKGROUND: A small number of epidemiological studies have suggested the association of antimony (Sb) exposure with type 2 diabetes risk. However, little is known about the relationship between Sb exposure during pregnancy and risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). OBJECTIVES: To investigate the associations of urinary Sb concentrations with GDM risk and blood glucose levels in pregnant women. METHODS: We analyzed the baseline data of 1789 pregnant women enrolled in the Birth Cohort Study on Prenatal Environments and Offspring Health (PEOH) in Guangzhou, China. Sb concentrations in urine were measured by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Logistic regression and analysis of covariance were used to evaluate associations of Sb exposure with GDM risk and blood glucose levels. RESULTS: A total of 437 (24.4%) women were diagnosed with GDM. The relative risk of GDM for women in the highest quartile of creatinine-corrected Sb (CC-Sb) concentrations was 1.55 [RR (95% CI)â¯=â¯1.55 (1.12, 2.15), p-trendâ¯=â¯0.005], compared with women in the lowest quartile. Moreover, the women in the top quartile of CC-Sb levels had a 5.2% higher 1â¯h blood glucose and a 4.2% higher 2â¯h blood glucose than those in the bottom quartile. We also found an interactive effect between maternal age and CC-Sb on the risk of GDM (p-interactionâ¯<â¯0.001). CONCLUSION: This study suggested significant positive associations of Sb exposure with increased GDM risk and impaired blood glucose homeostasis in pregnant women, and the Sb-GDM association might be modified by maternal age.
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Antimônio/toxicidade , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiologia , Poluentes Ambientais/toxicidade , Exposição Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Glicemia , China , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , GravidezRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The placenta performs crucial functions to ensure normal fetal development. Experimental studies have indicated associations between exposure to elevated temperatures during pregnancy and reduction in placental weight and volume. However, epidemiological studies in humans are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the associations between prenatal exposure to ambient temperature with placental weight, volume, and the placental weight to birth weight ratio (PFR). METHODS: We conducted a prospective birth cohort study using the Prenatal Environment and Offspring Health Cohort (PEOH Cohort) beginning in 2016 in Guangzhou, China. Women in early pregnancy were recruited and followed up during their hospitalization for childbirth. An inverse distance-weighted method was employed to estimate the average temperature exposure of every 4 weeks as well as the trimester-specific average temperature exposure at the individual's residential address. A generalized linear model was applied to estimate the effects of temperature exposure during pregnancy on the placental weight, volume, and PFR. RESULTS: A total of 4051 pregnant women were enrolled. Compared with the reference temperature of 20 °C, maternal exposure to 29 °C (95th centile) during late pregnancy was associated with an average of -6.03 g (95% confidence interval [CI]: -11.28 g, -0.78 g) in placental weight, -16.15 cm3 (95% CI: -26.24 cm3, -6.07 cm3) in placental volume, and 0.26 (95% CI: 0.07, 0.45) in PFR. The peak effects of high temperatures on placental weight, volume, and PFR were found from 29 to 32 weeks (ß = -3.79 g, 95% CI: -8.39 g, 0.82 g), 37 to 40 weeks (ß = -19.34 cm3, 95% CI: -30.99 cm3, -7.69 cm3), and 25 to 28 weeks (ß = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.04, 0.66), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal exposure to elevated temperatures was associated with a decrease in placental weight and volume and an increase in PFR. The associations were stronger when exposures occurred during late pregnancy.
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Exposição Materna , Parto , Peso ao Nascer , China , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Exposição Materna/efeitos adversos , Placenta , Gravidez , Estudos Prospectivos , TemperaturaRESUMO
Maternal exposures to ambient temperatures during pregnancy may increase the preterm birth (PTB) risk; however, which periods have stronger effects remain controversial. The effects of temperature exposure on PTB in first- and second-born neonate groups may be different during the new baby boom that has followed the Two-child Policy in China. We examined a birth cohort of 4928 pregnant women beginning in 2016 in Guangzhou, China. An inverse distance weighted method was used to estimate the temperature exposure at each individual residential address. A distribution lag non-linear model incorporating a Cox proportional hazard model was employed to estimate the effects of temperature exposure on PTB and test the effects modification of birth order related to the new baby boom. A total of 4101 pregnant women were included, of which 234 (5.7%) experienced PTB. Compared with the mean temperature (23.0 °C), we found a significantly higher risks of PTB associated with high temperatures (i.e, 30 °C [95th centile]) from the 4th to 8th, and 22nd to 27th gestational weeks. A peak effect was found during the 6th week (HR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.26, 2.54) and 24th week (HR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.27, 2.62). The risks of PTB were reduced for low temperatures (i.e. 14 °C [5th centile] versus 23.0 °C) from the 2nd to 10th and 20th to 26th gestational weeks, and the negative peak effect was found during the 4th week (HR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.26, 0.72) and 23rd week (HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.83). Stratification analyses showed that significant effects of 30 °C versus 23 °C on PTB were observed during the 4th to 8th weeks in the second-born neonate, and the peak effect was found in the 6th week (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.31, 3.47). However, we did not find significant effects of 30 °C during the same weeks in the first-born neonate group. Maternal exposures to higher temperatures during pregnancy may increase the risk of PTB, and lower temperatures may decrease the risk of PTB. Stronger effects of temperature exposures during the first trimester on PTB risk were found among the second-born neonates than among the first-born neonates.
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Ordem de Nascimento , Exposição Materna , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Temperatura , Adulto , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Modificador do Efeito Epidemiológico , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Gravidez , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
This study aimed to estimate the attack rates, and identify the risk factors of COVID-19 infection. Based on a retrospective cohort study, we investigated 11,580 contacts of COVID-19 cases in Guangdong Province from 10 January to 15 March 2020. All contacts were tested by RT-PCR to detect their infection of SARS-COV-2. Attack rates by characteristics were calculated. Logistic regression was used to estimate the risk factors of infection for COVID-19. A total of 515 of 11,580 contacts were identified to be infected with SARS-COV-2. Compared to young adults aged 20-29 years, the infected risk was higher in children (RR: 2.59, 95%CI: 1.79-3.76), and old people aged 60-69 years (RR: 5.29, 95%CI: 3.76-7.46). Females also had higher infected risk (RR: 1.66, 95%CI: 1.39-2.00). People having close relationship with index cases encountered higher infected risk (RR for spouse: 20.68, 95%CI: 14.28-29.95; RR for non-spouse family members: 9.55, 95%CI: 6.73-13.55; RR for close relatives: 5.90, 95%CI: 4.06-8.59). Moreover, contacts exposed to index case in symptomatic period (RR: 2.15, 95%CI: 1.67-2.79), with critically severe symptoms (RR: 1.61, 95%CI: 1.00-2.57), with symptoms of dizzy (RR: 1.58, 95%CI: 1.08-2.30), myalgia (RR: 1.49, 95%CI: 1.15-1.94), and chill (RR: 1.42, 95%CI: 1.05-1.92) had higher infected risks. Children, old people, females, and family members are susceptible of COVID-19 infection, while index cases in the incubation period had lower contagiousness. Our findings will be helpful for developing targeted prevention and control strategies to combat the worldwide pandemic.
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Busca de Comunicante , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19 , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China , Estudos de Coortes , Suscetibilidade a Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias , Quarentena , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
We aimed to establish a spatiotemporal land-use-regression (ST-LUR) model assessing individual level long-term exposure to fine particulate matters (PM2.5) among 6627 adults enrolled in Guangdong province, China from 2015 to 2016. We collected weekly average PM2.5 concentration (from the air quality monitoring stations) and visibility, population density, road density and types of land use of each air quality monitoring station and participant's residential address from April 2013 to December 2016. A ST-LUR model was established using these spatiotemporal data, and was employed to estimate the weekly average PM2.5 concentration of each individual residential address. Data analysis was carried out by R software (version 3.5.1) and the SpatioTemporal package was used. The results showed that the ST-LUR model applying the land use data extracted using a buffer radius of 1300 m had the best modelling fitness. The results of 10-fold cross validation showed that the R2 was 88.86% and the RMSE (Root mean square error) was 5.65 µg/m3. The two-year average of PM2.5 prior to the date of investigation were calculated for each participant. This study provided a novel method to precisely assess individual level long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5, which may extend our understanding on the health impacts of air pollution. â¢Variables input in the spatiotemporal land-use-regression (ST-LUR) model include visibility, population density, road density, and types of land use.â¢The land use data should be extracted using a buffer radius of 1300 m.â¢The R2 of the ST-LUR model was 88.86% and the RMSE was 5.65 µg/m3, indicating the good performance of the model.
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The aim of this study was to estimate the weekly time-weighted (outdoor and indoor activity patterns) individual exposure to particulate air pollutants (PM10, PM2.5 and PM1) of pregnant women. A total of 4928 pregnancy women were recruited during their early pregnancy, and 4278 (86.8%) were successfully followed-up at childbirth. Each individual weekly average PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at the residential and workplace addresses from three months before pregnancy to childbirth was estimated using a spatiotemporal land use regression (ST-LUR) model, and the weekly PM1 concentration was estimated employing a generalized additive model (GAM) which utilized weekly PM2.5 and meteorological factors as independent predictors. Then, the time-weighted individual exposure to particulate air pollutants during workdays and non-workdays during the period from three months before pregnancy to childbirth was estimated based on the estimated weekly air pollutant concentrations and each participant's indoor and outdoor activity model, respectively. Data analysis was carried out by R software (version 3.5.1) and packages "SpatioTemporal", "mgcv" and "splines" were mainly used. This method takes a full consideration of indoor and outdoor activity patterns in the individual exposure to particulate air pollutants. â¢A ST-LUR model was used to estimate the individual weekly average PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at their residential and workplace addresses.â¢A GAM was applied to estimate the weekly average PM1 concentration at individual residential and workplace addresses.â¢Individual weekly exposure to particulate air pollutants during workdays and non-workdays was assessed based on the estimated particulate air pollutant concentrations and their indoor and outdoor activity model.