Associations between surgeons' preoperative expectations of lumbar surgery and patient-reported 2-year outcomes.

PURPOSE: Surgeons' preoperative expectations of lumbar surgery may be associated with patient-reported postoperative outcomes. METHODS: Preoperatively spine surgeons completed a validated Expectations Survey for each patient estimating amount of improvement expected (range 0-100). Preoperative variables were clinical characteristics, spine-specific disability (ODI), and general health (RAND-12). Two years postoperatively patients again completed these measures and global assessments of satisfaction. Surgeons' expectations were compared to preoperative variables and to clinically important pre- to postoperative changes (MCID) in ODI, RAND-12, and pain and to satisfaction using hierarchical models. RESULTS: Mean expectations survey score for 402 patients was a 57 (IQR 44-68) reflecting moderate expectations. Lower scores were associated with preoperative older age, abnormal gait, sensation loss, vacuum phenomena, foraminal stenosis, prior surgery, and current surgery to more vertebrae (all p ≤ .05). Lower scores were associated postoperatively with not attaining MCID for the ODI (p = .02), RAND-12 (p = .01), and leg pain (p = .01). There were no associations between surgeons' scores and satisfaction (p = .06-.27). 55 patients (14%) reported unfavorable global outcomes and were more likely to have had fracture/infection/repeat surgery (OR 3.2, CI 1.6-6.7, p = .002). CONCLUSION: Surgeons' preoperative expectations were associated with patient-reported postoperative improvement in symptoms and function, but not with satisfaction. These findings are consistent with clinical practice in that surgeons expect some but not complete improvement from surgery and do not anticipate that any particular patient will have markedly unfavorable satisfaction ratings. In addition to preoperative discussions about expectations, patients and surgeons should acknowledge different types of outcomes and address them jointly in postoperative discussions.

The Association between prior arthroplasty and Paraspinal Muscle Degeneration in patients undergoing elective lumbar surgery.

PURPOSE: Spinal and lower extremity degeneration often causes pain and disability. Lower extremity osteoarthritis, eventually leading to total knee- (TKA) and -hip arthroplasty (THA), can alter posture through compensatory mechanisms, potentially causing spinal misalignment and paraspinal muscle (PM) atrophy. This study aims to evaluate the association between prior THA or TKA and PM-degeneration in patients undergoing elective lumbar surgery for degenerative conditions. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients undergoing lumbar surgery for degenerative conditions was conducted. Patients were categorized based on prior THA, TKA, or both. Quantitative analysis of functional cross-sectional area (fCSA) and fat infiltration (FI) of psoas, multifidus (MF), and erector spinae (ES) muscles at L4-level was performed using T2-weighted MRI images. The association between the FI and fCSA of the PM and prior arthroplasty was investigated. Differences were assessed using ANOVA and multivariable linear regression. RESULTS: Overall, 584 patients (60% female, 64 ± 12 years) were included. 66 patients (11%) had prior TKA, 36 patients (6%) THA, and 15 patients (3%) both TKA and THA. Patients with arthroplasty were mostly female (57%) and notably older (p < 0.001). The FI of the MF and the ES was significantly higher in the arthroplasty-group (both p < 0.001). Patients with prior TKA showed significantly higher FI (Est = 4.3%, p = 0.013) and lower fCSA (Est=-0.9 cm2, p = 0.012) in the MF compared to the non-arthroplasty-group. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates a significant lower fCSA and higher FI in the MF among individuals with prior TKA. This highlights the complex knee-spine relationship and how these structures interact with each other.

Differences in imaging and clinical characteristics are associated with higher rates of decompression-fusion versus decompression-alone in women compared to men for lumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis.

PURPOSE: The goals were to ascertain if differences in imaging/clinical characteristics between women and men were associated with differences in fusion for lumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis. METHODS: Patients had preoperative standing radiographs, CT scans, and intraoperative fluoroscopic images. Symptoms and comorbidity were obtained from patients; procedure (fusion-surgery or decompression-alone) was obtained from intraoperative records. With fusion surgery as the dependent variable, men and women were compared in multivariable logistic regression models with clinical/imaging characteristics as independent variables. The sample was dichotomized, and analyses were repeated with separate models for men and women. RESULTS: For 380 patients (mean age 67, 61% women), women had greater translation, listhesis angle, lordosis, and pelvic incidence, and less diastasis and disc height (all p ≤ 0.03). The rate of fusion was higher for women (78% vs. 65%; OR 1.9, p = 0.008). Clinical/imaging variables were associated with fusion in separate models for men and women. Among women, in the final multivariable model, less comorbidity (OR 0.5, p = 0.05), greater diastasis (OR 1.6, p = 0.03), and less anterior disc height (OR 0.8, p = 0.0007) were associated with fusion. Among men, in the final multivariable model, opioid use (OR 4.1, p = 0.02), greater translation (OR 1.4, p = 0.0003), and greater diastasis (OR 2.4, p = 0.0002) were associated with fusion. CONCLUSIONS: There were differences in imaging characteristics between men and women, and women were more likely to undergo fusion. Differences in fusion within groups indicate that decisions for fusion were based on composite assessments of clinical and imaging characteristics that varied between men and women.

Perceived Risk of SARS-CoV-2 at the Start of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Subsequent Vaccination Attitudes in Patients With Rheumatic Diseases: A Longitudinal Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: In a cohort assembled at the start of the pandemic in New York City, objectives of this longitudinal study were to ascertain whether perspectives about SARS-CoV-2 risks obtained at enrollment were associated with clinical course and vaccination intent obtained at follow-up with the advent of vaccines. METHODS: Patients with diverse rheumatologist-diagnosed diseases taking immunosuppressive medications were interviewed in April 2020 during the height of mortality-associated COVID-19 in New York City and were asked whether they perceived greater infection risk due to rheumatic diseases/medications. Patients were interviewed again when vaccines became available and asked about flares, medication changes, disease activity during the pandemic, and current disease status. They also reported SARS-CoV-2 testing, vaccination intent, and vaccination concerns. RESULTS: Ninety-six patients had follow-ups (January-March 2021; 83% women; mean age, 50 years). At enrollment, 53%/57% perceived much greater infection risk from autoimmune disease/medications; at follow-up, patients reported flares (63%), greater/unpredictable disease activity (40%), and more medications (44%). Current disease was excellent/very good/good (73%) and fair/poor (27%). Enrollment perspectives were not associated with follow-up status. Seventy percent had SARS-CoV-2 testing. Twenty-three percent would not/were hesitant about vaccination. In multivariable analysis, younger age, concern about effects on rheumatic disease, and distrusting vaccine information were main reasons for not intending/hesitancy to be vaccinated. Eighty-six percent did not report rheumatologists as sources of vaccine information. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical status at follow-up and vaccination intent were not associated with perceived SARS-CoV-2 risk at the start of the pandemic. Concern about vaccine effects on rheumatic disease and distrust in vaccine information deterred patients from vaccination.

Coping Mechanisms Mitigate Psychological Stress in Patients With Rheumatologic Diseases During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Coping with stress is part of self-managing systemic rheumatic diseases. Our objective was to assess stress and coping during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. METHODS: During the pandemic in New York City, patients taking disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs answered open-ended questions about the pandemic's effects on daily life and their rheumatic condition. Themes of stress and coping were discerned from volunteered responses. Patients also completed the standard Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) scale/PROMIS Anxiety surveys. Anxiety scores were independent variables in multivariable analyses with stress and coping themes as combined dependent variables. RESULTS: Of the 112 patients interviewed (86% women; mean age, 50 years), 72 volunteered COVID-19-related stress on their rheumatic condition, home, work, and finances. Patients volunteering stress were younger, had disease longer, were taking more than 1 medication, had worse GAD-7 scores and a positive anxiety screen, and had worse PROMIS scores that were significantly worse than population norms (all comparisons, p ≤ 0.01; all variables remained associated in multivariable analyses). Fourty-one patients volunteered coping mechanisms including support from others, engaging in activities, and resilience already establish in dealing with rheumatic diseases. Of these, 18 volunteered both coping and stress and 23 volunteered coping and no stress. Patients in the latter (coping-only) group were more likely to be older, taking only 1 medication, and had better GAD-7 and PROMIS scores (all comparisons, p ≤ 0.02). In multivariable analysis, older age (p = 0.02) and lower GAD-7 (p = 0.03) or PROMIS scores (p = 0.03) remained associated. CONCLUSIONS: Patients reported stress and coping due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Analyses with standard anxiety measures demonstrated lower anxiety in patients who volunteered coping mechanisms.

Psychological Stress Reported at the Start of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Subsequent Stress and Successful Coping in Patients With Rheumatic Diseases: A Longitudinal Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: In a cohort assembled during the height of mortality-associated coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in New York City, the objectives of this qualitative-quantitative mixed-methods study were to assess COVID-related stress at enrollment with subsequent stress and clinical and behavioral characteristics associated with successful coping during longitudinal follow-up. METHODS: Patients with rheumatologist-diagnosed rheumatic disease taking immunosuppressive medications were interviewed in April 2020 and were asked open-ended questions about the impact of COVID-19 on psychological well-being. Stress-related responses were grouped into categories. Patients were interviewed again in January-March 2021 and asked about interval and current disease status and how well they believed they coped. Patients also completed the 29-item Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS-29) measuring physical and emotional health during both interviews. RESULTS: Ninety-six patients had follow-ups; 83% were women, and mean age was 50 years. Patients who reported stress at enrollment had improved PROMIS-29 scores, particularly for the anxiety subscale. At the follow-up, patients reported persistent and new stresses as well as numerous self-identified coping strategies. Overall coping was rated as very well (30%), well (48%), and neutral-fair-poor (22%). Based on ordinal logistic regression, variables associated with worse overall coping were worse enrollment-to-follow-up PROMIS-29 anxiety (odds ratio [OR], 4.4; confidence interval [CI], 1.1-17.3; p = 0.03), not reporting excellent/very good disease status at follow-up (OR, 2.7; CI, 1.1-6.5; p = 0.03), pandemic-related persistent stress (OR, 5.7; CI, 1.6-20.1; p = 0.007), and pandemic-related adverse long-lasting effects on employment (OR, 6.1; CI, 1.9-20.0; p = 0.003) and health (OR, 3.0; CI, 1.0-9.0; p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reflects the evolving nature of COVID-related psychological stress and coping, with most patients reporting they coped well. For those not coping well, multidisciplinary health care providers are needed to address long-lasting pandemic-associated adverse consequences.

Qualitative assessment of patients' perspectives and willingness to improve healthy lifestyle physical activity after lumbar surgery.

PURPOSE: Many patients retain sedentary lifestyles after lumbar surgery and incur increased risks of adverse health outcomes. The goal of this study was to assess patients' perspectives about postoperative physical activity. METHODS: During routine post-lumbar surgery visits in a tertiary care center, 260 patients were asked open-ended questions about their spine and physical activity. Three investigators reviewed responses and determined themed categories. Patients also completed surveys measuring disability, depressive symptoms, anxiety, and fear-avoidance of physical activity. Surgical complexity was assigned based on operative features. RESULTS: Mean age was 63, and 53% were men. Thirty-nine percent thought walking was good for the spine, particularly among those with less fear-avoidance, less disability, and less complex surgery. Spine benefits were cited (42%) for the short-term ("faster recovery") and long-term ("decreases chances of another surgery"), particularly by younger patients. To increase activity, patients suggested spine-specific techniques (35%, "use railings") and advised caution (24%, "pace yourself"). The major deterrent was persistent back pain (36%) particularly for those with worse disability, and more depressive symptoms, anxiety, complex surgery, and fear-avoidance. Our findings consistently fit with the Social Cognitive Theory of health behavior which posits a dynamic three-way interaction of personal factors, environmental influences, and behavior. CONCLUSIONS: Patients acknowledge short- and long-term benefits of physical activity for their spine and overall health; however, many are deterred from increasing activity by spine-related concerns. Interventions to improve physical activity should foster self-efficacy and self-direction and should be reinforced by members of the spine care team who are knowledgeable about prudent activities.

Variables Associated With Perceived Risk of Contracting SARS-CoV-2 Infection During the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Patients With Systemic Rheumatic Diseases.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess patients' perceived risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 at the peak of the pandemic in NYC in terms of their systemic rheumatic disease and medications. METHODS: With the approval of their rheumatologists, patients were interviewed by telephone and were asked about their perceived risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 considering their rheumatic condition and whether medications increased this risk. Patients also completed surveys assessing beliefs about medication and multidimensions of physical/mental well-being. Information about current medications and rheumatologist-initiated changes in medications during the pandemic were reported by patients and verified from medical records. RESULTS: One hundred twelve patients (86% women; mean age, 50 years; 81% White, 15% Latino) with diverse diagnoses were enrolled. Fifty-four percent thought they were at "very much greater risk" of COVID-19 because of their rheumatic condition, and 57% thought medications "definitely" put them at greater risk. In multivariable analysis, the perception of "very much greater risk" was associated with greater belief that rheumatic disease medications were necessary, worse physical function, chronic pulmonary comorbidity, and more anxiety. In a separate model, the perception that medications "definitely" caused greater risk was associated with White race, not taking hydroxychloroquine, rheumatologists initiating change in medications, more anxiety, and taking biologics and corticosteroids. CONCLUSIONS: Patients' perceived increased risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 was associated with beliefs about their rheumatic disease, medications, comorbidity, and anxiety. Clinicians should be aware of patients' perceptions and foster self-management practices that will alleviate anxiety, minimize exposure to the virus, and optimize systemic rheumatic disease outcomes.

Patients' expectations of lumbar spine surgery.

PURPOSE: Patients undergoing lumbar spine surgery are a heterogeneous population and their expectations of surgery are likely to vary depending on individual and group characteristics. Our goal was to assess associations between expectations and demographic, psychological, and clinical characteristics in patients undergoing lumbar spine surgery. METHODS: Shortly before surgery (mean 7 ± 3 days) 420 patients completed the valid and reliable Hospital for Special Surgery, Lumbar Spine Surgery Expectations Survey, which encompasses physical and psychological expectations; scores range from 0 to 100, higher scores reflect greater expectations. Patients completed additional surveys addressing multiple variables, including disability due to pain with a modified version of the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). RESULTS: The mean age was 55 ± 15 years, 57 % were men, and most surgery was for painful conditions. The mean Expectations Survey score was 72 ± 20 (range 2.5-100). In multivariate analysis, patients had higher scores (i.e., greater expectations) if they were younger (OR 1.02, CI 1.01, 1.04; p = .002), were not widowed (OR 4.9; CI 1.5, 15.5; p = .007), had prior chiropractic care (OR 1.8; CI 1.1, 2.8; p = .02), had worse ODI scores (OR 2.3; CI 1.5, 3.5; p = .0001), and had worse mental health scores (OR 1.8; CI 1.2, 2.8; p = .006). In additional multivariate analyses, worse ODI score was the clinical variable most closely associated with expecting more Expectations Survey items and expecting more improvement per item. CONCLUSIONS: There were wide variations in expectations among patients. Multiple demographic, psychological, and clinical characteristics were associated with expectations, with disability due to pain being the most consistently associated variable.

Enhanced rho-associated protein kinase activation in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Rho-associated protein kinases (ROCKs) have been implicated in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular and renal disorders. We recently showed that ROCKs could regulate the differentiation of murine Th17 cells and the production of interleukin-17 (IL-17) and IL-21, two cytokines associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The goal of this study was to assess ROCK activation in human Th17 cells and to evaluate ROCK activity in SLE patients. METHODS: An enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA)-based ROCK activity assay was used to evaluate ROCK activity in human cord blood CD4+ T cells differentiated under Th0 or Th17 conditions. We then performed a cross-sectional analysis of 28 SLE patients and 25 healthy matched controls. ROCK activity in peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) lysates was determined by ELISA. Cytokine and chemokine profiles were analyzed by ELISA. RESULTS: Human cord blood CD4+ T cells differentiated under Th17 conditions expressed higher levels of ROCK activity than did CD4+ T cells stimulated under Th0 conditions. Production of IL-17 and IL-21 was inhibited by the addition of a ROCK inhibitor. SLE PBMCs expressed significantly higher levels of ROCK activity than did healthy control PBMCs (1.25 versus 0.56; P = 0.0015). Sixteen SLE patients (57%) expressed high levels of ROCK (optical density at 450 nm >1). Disease duration, lymphocyte count, and azathioprine use were shown to be significant independent predictors of ROCK activity in multivariable analyses. CONCLUSION: Consistent with previous results in the murine system, increased ROCK activation was associated with Th17 cell differentiation. Moreover, enhanced ROCK activity was observed in a subgroup of SLE patients. These data support the concept that the ROCK pathway could represent an important therapeutic target for SLE.

Differences at Index Surgery in Operative Complexity and Residual Disease for Earlier and Later Repeat Lumbar Surgery.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective review, single-institution cohort studies. OBJECTIVE: To compare patients with earlier (i.e. <1.5 y) and later (i.e. >1.5 y) repeat lumbar surgery to patients with no repeat surgery according to clinical characteristics at index surgery. BACKGROUND: Grouping patients as earlier or later repeat surgery may reveal different associations when compared to patients with no repeat surgery. METHODS: Patients undergoing index surgery for diverse conditions reported preoperative demographic/clinical variables, including comorbidity and depressive symptoms. Extent (i.e. complexity) of surgery was assigned based on a valid index that included decompression, fusion and instrumentation. Co-existing disease at non-operated levels was ascertained from imaging reports. Postoperative records of all medical visits up to the time of this study (12 y) were reviewed for repeat surgery. Patients were grouped as earlier (<1.5 y) or later surgery (≥1.5 y) and compared to patients with no repeat surgery in separate multivariable analyses. RESULTS: Among 1,334 patients (51% men, mean age 59), 82% did not have repeat surgery, 7% had earlier and 11% had later repeat surgery. Compared to no surgery, earlier surgery was associated with more comorbidity (OR 1.7, CI 1.1-2.6, P=0.02), positive depression screen (OR 1.9, CI 1.2-2.9, P=0.006), opioid use (OR 1.8, CI 1.2-2.8, P=0.008), and greater extent of index surgery (OR 1.1, CI 1.0-1.1, P=0.0009). Compared to no surgery, later surgery was associated with pre-index lumbar surgery (OR 1.9, CI 1.3-2.8, P=0.0005) and disease at non-operated levels at index surgery (OR 1.6, CI 1.0-2.4, P=0.05). Earlier surgeries were more likely to involve only the same vertebra as index surgery (51% vs. 16%) and later surgeries were more likely to involve only other levels (5% vs. 36%, P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Earlier and later repeat lumbar surgeries differed in complexity and residual disease compared to no repeat surgery. These findings have implications for patient counseling regarding short and long-term postoperative spine health.

What is the Association of the Subsections of the Oswestry Disability Index and Overall Improvement Two Years after Lumbar Surgery for Degenerative Lumbar Spondylolisthesis?

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective review of a prospective cohort study. OBJECTIVE: To identify the association between Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) subsections and overall improvement 2 years after lumbar surgery for degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis (DLS). BACKGROUND: DLS often necessitates lumbar surgery. The ODI is a trusted measure for patient-reported outcomes (PROMs) in assessing spinal disorder outcomes. Surgeons utilize the ODI for baseline functional assessment and post-surgery progress tracking. However, it remains uncertain if and how each subsection influences overall ODI improvement. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analyzed patients who underwent lumbar surgery for DLS between 2016 and 2018. Preoperative and 2-year postoperative ODI assessments were conducted. The study analyzed postoperative subsection scores and defined ODI improvement as ODIpreop-ODIpostop >0. Univariate linear regression was applied, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis determined cut-offs for subsection changes and postoperative target values to achieve overall ODI improvement. RESULTS: 265 patients (60% female, mean age 67±8 y) with a baseline ODI of 50±6 and a postoperative ODI of 20±7 were included. ODI improvement was noted in 91% (242 patients). Achieving a postoperative target score of ≤2 in subsections correlated with overall ODI improvement. Walking had the highest predictive value for overall ODI improvement (AUC 0.91, sensitivity 79%, specificity 91%). Pain intensity (AUC 0.90, sensitivity 86%, specificity 83%) and changing degree of pain (AUC 0.87, sensitivity 86%, specificity 74%) were also highly predictive. Sleeping had the lowest predictability (AUC 0.79, sensitivity 84%, specificity 65%). Except for sleeping, all subsections had a Youden-index >50%. CONCLUSION: These findings demonstrate how the different ODI subsections associate with overall improvement post-lumbar surgery for DLS. This understanding is crucial for refining preoperative education, addressing particular disabilities, and evaluating surgical efficacy. Additionally, it shows that surgical treatment does not affect all subsections equally.

Association Between Osteoarthritis Burden and Intervertebral Disk Degeneration in Patients Undergoing Lumbar Spine Surgery for Degenerative Lumbar Spondylolisthesis.

STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between intervertebral disk degeneration and hip and knee osteoarthritis (OA) in patients with degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis. BACKGROUND: The co-occurrence of hip OA and degenerative spinal pathologies was first described as the "hip-spine syndrome" and has also been observed in knee OA. It remains unclear whether both pathologies share an underlying connection beyond demographic factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Intervertebral disk degeneration was classified by the Pfirrmann Classification and intervertebral vacuum phenomenon. Intervertebral vacuum phenomenon was classified into mild (1 point), moderate (2 points), and severe (3 points) at each level and combined into a lumbar vacuum score (0-15 points). Similarly, a lumbar Pfirrmann grade was calculated (5-25 points). Patients with previous hip or knee replacement surgery were classified as having an OA burden. We used multivariable regression to assess the association between OA and disk degeneration, adjusted for age, body mass index, and sex. RESULTS: A total of 246 patients (58.9% female) were included in the final analysis. Of these, 22.3% had OA burden. The multivariable linear regression showed an independent association between OA burden and lumbar vacuum (ß = 2.1, P <0.001) and Pfirrmann grade (ß = 2.6, P <0.001). Representing a 2.1 points higher lumbar vacuum and 2.6 points higher lumbar Pfirrmann grade after accounting for demographic differences. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that OA burden was independently associated with the severity of the intervertebral disk degeneration of the lumbar spine. These findings give further weight to a shared pathology of OA of large joints and degenerative processes of the lumbar spine. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

Decision-making Algorithm for the Surgical Treatment of Degenerative Lumbar Spondylolisthesis of L4/L5.

STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. OBJECTIVE: To report the decision-making process for decompression alone (DA) and decompression and fusion (DF) at a tertiary orthopedic center and compare the operative outcomes between both groups. BACKGROUND: Controversy exists around the optimal operative treatment for DLS, either with DF or DA. Although previous studies tried to establish specific indications, clinical decision-making algorithms are needed. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients undergoing spinal surgery for DLS at L4/5 were retrospectively analyzed. A survey of spine surgeons was performed to identify factors influencing surgical decision-making, and their association with the surgical procedure was tested in the clinical data set. We then developed a clinical score based on the statistical analysis and survey results. The predictive capability of the score was tested in the clinical data set with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. To evaluate the clinical outcome, two years follow-up postoperative Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), postoperative low back pain (LBP) (Numeric Analog Scale), and patient satisfaction were compared between the DF and DA groups. RESULTS: A total of 124 patients were included in the analysis; 66 received DF (53.2%) and 58 DA (46.8%). Both groups showed no significant differences in postoperative ODI, LBP, or satisfaction. The degree of spondylolisthesis, facet joint diastasis and effusion, sagittal disbalance, and severity of LBP were identified as the most important factors for deciding on DA or DF. The area under the curve of the decision-making score was 0.84. At a cutoff of three points indicating DF, the accuracy was 80.6%. CONCLUSIONS: The two-year follow-up data showed that both groups showed similar improvement in ODI after both procedures, validating the respective decision. The developed score shows excellent predictive capabilities for the decision processes of different spine surgeons at a single tertiary center and highlights relevant clinical and radiographic parameters. Further studies are needed to assess the external applicability of these findings.

Severe Intervertebral Vacuum Phenomenon is Associated With Higher Preoperative Low Back Pain, ODI, and Indication for Fusion in Patients With Degenerative Lumbar Spondylolisthesis.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective study of prospective collected data. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the association between intervertebral vacuum phenomenon (IVP) and clinical parameters in patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: IVP is a sign of advanced disc degeneration. The correlation between IVP severity and low back pain in patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis has not been previously analyzed. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis who underwent surgery. Vacuum phenomenon was measured on computed tomography scan and classified into mild, moderate, and severe. A lumbar vacuum severity (LVS) scale was developed based on vacuum severity. The associations between IVP at L4/5 and the LVS scale, preoperative and postoperative low back pain, as well as the Oswestry Disability Index was assessed. The association of IVP at L4/5 and the LVS scale and surgical decision-making, defined as decompression alone or decompression and fusion, was assessed through univariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 167 patients (52.7% female) were included in the study. The median age was 69 years (interquartile range 62-72). Overall, 100 (59.9%) patients underwent decompression and fusion and 67 (40.1%) underwent decompression alone. The univariable regression demonstrated a significantly increased odds ratio (OR) for back pain in patients with more severe IVP at L4/5 [OR=1.69 (95% CI 1.12-2.60), P =0.01]. The univariable regressions demonstrated a significantly increased OR for increased disability with more severe L4/L5 IVP [OR=1.90 (95% CI 1.04-3.76), P =0.04] and with an increased LVS scale [OR=1.17 (95% CI 1.02-1.35), P =0.02]. IVP severity of the L4/L5 were associated with higher indication for fusion surgery. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that in patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis undergoing surgery, the severity of vacuum phenomenon at L4/L5 was associated with greater preoperative back pain and worse Oswestry Disability Index. Patients with severe IVP were more likely to undergo fusion.

Association of abdominal aortic calcification and lower back pain in patients with degenerative spondylolisthesis.

ABSTRACT: Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is hypothesized to lead to ischemic pain of the lower back. This retrospective study aims to identify the relationship between AAC and lower back pain (LBP) in patients with degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis. Lower back pain was assessed preoperatively and 2 years after surgery using the numeric analogue scale. Abdominal aortic calcification was assessed according to the Kauppila classification and was grouped into no, moderate, and severe. A multivariable regression, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, and smoking status, was used to assess the association between AAC and preoperative/postoperative LBP as well as change in LBP after surgery. A total of 262 patients were included in the final analysis. The multivariable logistic regression demonstrated an increased odds ratio (OR) for preoperative LBP ≥ 4 numeric analogue scale (OR = 9.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.71-40.59, P < 0.001) and postoperative LBP ≥ 4 (OR = 1.72, 95% CI: 0.92-3.21, P = 0.008) in patients with severe AAC compared with patients with no AAC. Both moderate and severe AAC were associated with reduced improvement in LBP after surgery (moderate AAC: OR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.22-0.85, P = 0.016; severe AAC: OR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.2-0.82, P = 0.012). This study demonstrates an independent association between AAC and LBP and reduced improvement after surgery. Evaluation of AAC could play a role in patient education and might be considered part of the differential diagnosis for LBP, although further prospective studies are needed.

The relationship between paraspinal muscle atrophy and degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis at the L4/5 level.

BACKGROUND/CONTEXT: Degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis (DLS) is a prevalent spinal condition that can result in significant disability. DLS is thought to result from a combination of disc and facet joint degeneration, as well as various biological, biomechanical, and behavioral factors. One hypothesis is the progressive degeneration of segmental stabilizers, notably the paraspinal muscles, contributes to a vicious cycle of increasing slippage. PURPOSE: To examine the correlation between paraspinal muscle status on MRI and severity of slippage in patients with symptomatic DLS. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: Retrospective cross-sectional study at an academic tertiary care center. PATIENT SAMPLE: Patients who underwent surgery for DLS at the L4/5 level between 2016-2018 were included. Those with multilevel DLS or insufficient imaging were excluded. OUTCOME MEASURES: The percentage of relative slippage (RS) at the L4/5 level evaluated on standing lateral radiographs. Muscle morphology measurements including functional cross-sectional area (fCSA), body height normalized functional cross-sectional area (HI) of Psoas, erector spinae (ES) and multifidus muscle (MF) and fatty infiltration (FI) of ES and MF were measured on axial MR. Disc degeneration and facet joint arthritis were classified according to Pfirrmann and Weishaupt, respectively. METHODS: Descriptive and comparative statistics, univariable and multivariable linear regression models were utilized to examine the associations between RS and muscle parameters, adjusting for confounders sex, age, BMI, segmental degeneration, and back pain severity and symptom duration. RESULTS: The study analyzed 138 out of 183 patients screened for eligibility. The median age of all patients was 69.5 years (IQR 62 to 73), average BMI was 29.1 (SD±5.1) and average preoperative ODI was 46.4 (SD±16.3). Patients with Meyerding-Grade 2 (M2, N=25) exhibited higher Pfirrmann scores, lower MFfCSA and MFHI, and lower BMI, but significantly more fatty infiltration in the MF and ES muscles compared to those with Meyerding Grade 1 (M1). Univariable linear regression showed that each cm2 decrease in MFfCSA was associated with a 0.9%-point increase in RS (95% CI -1.4 to - 0.4, p<.001), and each cm2/m2 decrease in MFHI was associated with an increase in slippage by 2.2%-points (95% CI -3.7 to -0.7, p=.004). Each 1%-point rise in ESFI and MFFI corresponded to 0.17%- (95% CI 0.05-0.3, p=.01) and 0.20%-point (95% CI 0.1-0.3 p<.001) increases in relative slippage, respectively. Notably, after adjusting for confounders, each cm2 increase in PsoasfCSA and cm2/m2 in PsoasHI was associated with an increase in relative slippage by 0.3% (95% CI 0.1-0.6, p=.004) and 1.1%-points (95% CI 0.4-1.7, p=.001). While MFfCSA tended to be negatively associated with slippage, this did not reach statistical significance (p=.105). However, each 1%-point increase in MFFI and ESFI corresponded to increases of 0.15% points (95% CI 0.05-0.24, p=.002) and 0.14% points (95% CI 0.01-0.27, p=.03) in relative slippage, respectively. CONCLUSION: This study found a significant association between paraspinal muscle status and severity of slippage in DLS. Whereas higher degeneration of the ES and MF correlate with a higher degree of slippage, the opposite was found for the psoas. These findings suggest that progressive muscular imbalance between posterior and anterior paraspinal muscles could contribute to the progression of slippage in DLS.

How much improvement in Oswestry Disability Index is Necessary to make your Patient Satisfied after Lumbar Surgery?

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective review of cohort studies. OBJECTIVE: To clarify the necessary ODI improvement for patient satisfaction two years after lumbar surgery. BACKGROUND: Evaluating elective lumbar surgery care often involves patient-reported outcomes (PRO). While postoperative functional improvement measured by ODI is theoretically linked to satisfaction, conflicting evidence exists regarding this association. METHODS: Baseline ODI and 2-year postoperative ODI were assessed. Patient satisfaction, measured on a scale from 1 to 5, with scores ≥4 considered satisfactory, was evaluated. Patients with incomplete follow-up were excluded. Statistical analyses included Mann-Whitney-U and multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and BMI. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis determined threshold values for ODI improvement and postoperative target ODI indicative of patient satisfaction. RESULTS: 383 patients were included (mean age 65±10 y, 57% female). ODI improvement was observed in 91% of patients, with 77% reporting satisfaction scores ≥4. Baseline ODI (median 62, IQR 46-74) improved to a median of 10 (IQR 1-10) 2 years postoperatively. Baseline (OR 0.98, P=0.015) and postoperative ODI scores (OR 0.93, P<0.001), as well as the difference between them (OR 1.04, P< 0.001), were significantly associated with patient satisfaction. Improvement of ≥38 ODI points or a relative change of ≥66% was indicative for patient satisfaction, with higher sensitivity (80%) and specificity (82%) for the relative change versus the absolute change (69%, 68%). With a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 77%, a postoperative target ODI of ≤24 indicated patient satisfaction. CONCLUSION: Lower baseline ODI and greater improvements in postoperative ODI are associated with an increased likelihood of patient satisfaction. A relative improvement of ≥66% or achieving a postoperative ODI score of ≤24 were the most indicative thresholds for predicting patient satisfaction, proving more sensitivity and specificity than an absolute change of ≥38 points.

Predicting postoperative outcomes in lumbar spinal fusion: development of a machine learning model.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis (DLS) is a prevalent spinal disorder, often requiring surgical intervention. Accurately predicting surgical outcomes is crucial to guide clinical decision-making, but this is challenging due to the multifactorial nature of postoperative results. Traditional risk assessment tools have limitations, and with the advent of machine learning, there is potential to enhance the precision and comprehensiveness of preoperative evaluations. PURPOSE: We aimed to develop a machine-learning algorithm to predict surgical outcomes in patients with degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis (DLS) undergoing spinal fusion surgery, only using preoperative data. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional study. PATIENT SAMPLE: Patients with DLS undergoing lumbar spinal fusion surgery. OUTCOME MEASURES: This study aimed to predict the occurrence of lower back pain (LBP) ≥4 on the numeric analogue scale (NAS) 2 years after surgery. LBP was evaluated as the average pain patients experienced at rest in the week before questioning. NAS ranges from 0 to 10, 0 representing no pain and 10 representing the worst pain imaginable. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively enrolled patients who underwent spinal fusion surgery for degenerative lumbar spondylolistheses at our institution in the United States between January 2016 and December 2018. The initial patient characteristics to be included in the training of the model were chosen by clinical expertise and through a literature review and included demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and radiologic features. The data was split into a training and validation datasets using a 60/40 split. Four different machine learning models were trained, including the modern XGBoost model, logistic regression, random-forest, and support vector machine (SVM). The models were evaluated according to the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. An AUC of 0.7 to 0.8 was considered fair, 0.8 to 0.9 good, and ≥ 0.9 excellent. Additionally, a calibration plot and the Brier score were calculated for each model. RESULTS: A total of 135 patients (66% female) were included. A total of 38 (28%) patients reported LBP ≥ 4 after 2 years, representing the positive class. The XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance in the validation set with an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.67-0.95). The other machine learning models performed significantly worse: with an AUC of 0.52 (95% CI 0.37-0.68) for the SVM, 0.56 (95% CI 0.37-0.76) for the logistic regression and an AUC of 0.56 (95% CI 0.37-0.78) for the random forest. In the XGBoost model age, composition of the erector spinae, and severity of lumbar spinal stenosis as were identified as the most important features. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents a novel approach to predicting surgical outcomes in spinal fusion patients. The XGBoost demonstrated a better performance compared with classical models and highlighted the potential contributions of age and paraspinal musculature atrophy as significant factors. These findings have important implications for enhancing patient care through the identification of high-risk individuals and modifiable risk factors. As the incorporation of machine learning algorithms into clinical decision-making continues to gain traction in research and clinical practice, our insights reinforce this trajectory by showcasing the potential of these techniques in forecasting surgical results.

High preoperative expectations and postoperative fulfillment of expectations two years after decompression alone and decompression plus fusion for lumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Fulfillment of expectations is a patient-centered outcome that has not been assessed based on fusion status for lumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis (LDS). PURPOSE: To compare preoperatively cited expectations and 2-year postoperative fulfillment of expectations between patients undergoing decompression alone (no-fusion) vs. decompression plus fusion (fusion) for LDS. STUDY DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort. PATIENT SAMPLE: A total of 357 patients. OUTCOME MEASURES: Postoperative version of Lumbar Spine Surgery Expectations Survey, Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), satisfaction with surgery. METHODS: Preoperatively patients completed the 20-item Expectations Survey measuring amount of 'improvement expected' for symptoms, physical function, and psychosocial well-being (score range 0-100); two years postoperatively patients completed the follow-up survey measuring 'improvement received'. The proportion of expectations fulfilled was calculated as 'improvement received' divided by 'improvement expected' (<1 some expectations fulfilled, >1 expectations surpassed). Patients also completed the ODI, SF-12 mental health subscale, satisfaction with surgery, and measures of comorbidity and psychosocial status, including social support (ie, help at home) and prior orthopedic surgery (ie, hip/knee arthroplasty). RESULTS: Patients' mean age was 67 years, 61% were women, 82% had single-level LDS, 73% had fusion, and mean follow-up was 26.2 months. Compared to patients with no-fusion, patients with fusion had more pain, spinal instability, use of opioids, disability, and greater preoperative Expectations Survey scores (69 vs 74, p=.008). The proportion of expectations fulfilled postoperatively was high and similar for both groups (.82 vs. .79, p=.40), but more variable for fusion (IQR .32 vs. .40). In multivariable analysis with the proportion as the dependent variable, fulfilled expectations was associated with better mental well-being (coeff=1.1, 95% CI 0.6-1.7, p=.0001) and more social support (coeff=3.3, 95% CI 1.1-5.6, p=.004) and unfulfilled expectations was associated with prior arthroplasty (coeff=-8.6, 95% CI -15.4-(-1.9), p=.01) and subsequent lumbar surgery (coeff=-15.6, 95% CI -25.2-(-6.0), p=.002). Similar associations were found for change in ODI and satisfaction. CONCLUSIONS: Patients had high preoperative expectations of surgery with greater expectations for decompression-fusion compared to decompression-alone. Although more variable for the fusion group, both groups had high proportions of expectations fulfilled. This study highlights the spectrum of clinical and psychosocial variables that impacts fulfillment of expectations for both decompression-alone and decompression-fusion for LDS surgery.