Predictors of near-term fracture in osteoporotic women aged ≥65 years, based on data from the study of osteoporotic fractures.

Using data from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF), several clinical characteristics predictive of near-term (1-year) risk of hip and non-vertebral fracture among elderly osteoporotic women were identified, and a subset of those for hip fracture was incorporated into a risk assessment tool. Additional research is needed to validate study findings. INTRODUCTION: While several risk factors are known to contribute to long-term fracture risk in women with osteoporosis, factors predicting fracture risk over a shorter time horizon, such as over a 1-year period, are less well-established. METHODS: We utilized a repeated-observations design and data from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures to identify factors contributing to near-term risk of hip fracture and any non-vertebral fracture, respectively, among osteoporotic women aged ≥65 years. Potential predictors of hip fracture and any non-vertebral fracture over the 1-year period subsequent to each qualifying SOF exam were examined using multivariable frailty models. Because the discriminative ability of the hip fracture model was acceptable, a corresponding risk-prediction tool was also developed. RESULTS: Study population included 2499 women with osteoporosis, who contributed 6811 observations. Incidence of fracture in the 1-year period subsequent to each exam was 2.2% for hip fracture and 6.6% for any non-vertebral fracture. Independent predictors of hip fracture included low total hip T-score, prior fracture, and risk factors for falls (multivariable model c-statistic = 0.71 (95% CI 0.67-0.76)). Independent predictors of any non-vertebral fracture included age, total hip T-score, prior falls, prior fracture, walking speed, Parkinson's disease or stroke, and smoking (multivariable model c-statistic = 0.62 (0.59-0.65)). CONCLUSIONS: Several clinical characteristics predictive of hip and non-vertebral fracture within a 1-year follow-up period among elderly women with osteoporosis were identified, and a subset of those for hip fracture was incorporated into a risk assessment tool. Assessment of these risk factors may help guide osteoporosis treatment choices by identifying patients in whom there is urgency to treat. Additional research is needed to validate the findings of this study and the accuracy of the risk assessment tool.

[Generalized anxiety disorder in primary care. Patterns of healthcare utilization in Germany]. / Generalisierte Angststörung in der primärärztlichen Versorgung. Eine Analyse administrativ-epidemiologischer Daten zu Inanspruchnahme und Versorgungsmerkmalen.

BACKGROUND: Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD) has been described in community studies as a frequent and costly high utilizer group in the primary care sector. Administrative data supporting this observation are lacking so far. METHODS: This paper reports utilization and prescription data of a nationally representative sample of over 900 primary care physicians, over 75 million prescriptions and 12-month utilization and prescription patterns of n = 3,340 GAD patients.These are compared to a matched control group without GAD, and without any anxiety or depressive disorder (n = 3,340). RESULTS: GAD patients in comparison to the matched controls revealed: (1) 2-fold increased primary care, (2) almost 3-fold specialist referrals, (3) almost 2-fold increased overall prescription rates, and (4) 3.5-fold increased sick certificates. However, only 58.3% of GAD patients were treated with any psychotropic medication. DISCUSSION: The data of this administrative-epidemiological cohort study support strongly the view that GAD ranks among the most costly high utilizer patient group in primary care in Germany. However, they are rarely treated according to evidence-based guidelines. The paper discusses these findings by suggesting that comorbid conditions might be a barrier for primary care physicians to initiate existing, more appropriate state of the art treatments.

Cost of neutropenic complications of chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Cost of neutropenic complications of myelosuppressive chemotherapy has been reported to be substantial. Prior research, however, has focused on initial hospitalization only and has failed to account for follow-on care. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using a US health-care claims database, all adult cancer patients who received a course of chemotherapy were identified. For each such patient, each unique cycle of chemotherapy within the course and each occurrence of neutropenic complications within these cycles were characterized. Patients developing neutropenic complications in a given cycle (neutropenia patients), starting with the first, were matched (1:1) to those who did not develop neutropenic complications in that cycle (comparison patients), and health-care costs (i.e. expenditures) were tallied for each matched pair. RESULTS: Neutropenia patients (n = 373) and comparison patients were similar in terms of baseline characteristics. Costs of neutropenia-related care were $12,397 (95% confidence interval $10,274-$14,754) higher for neutropenia versus comparison patients [$14,407 ($12,357-$16,743) versus $2010 ($1490-$2553)]. Among neutropenia patients, mean cost of initial hospitalization for neutropenic complications was $7813 ($6537-$9379); cost of all subsequent neutropenia-related care averaged $6594 ($5217-$8272). CONCLUSIONS: Neutropenic complications of myelosuppressive chemotherapy are costly. Prior research focusing on initial hospitalization only may have underestimated the cost of these complications by as much as 40%.

Risk of chronic kidney disease in hypertensive patients with other metabolic conditions.

Using a retrospective cohort design and electronic medical records, we examined chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk over a 6-year period among hypertensive patients in relation to the presence of diabetes, hyperlipidaemia and/or high body mass index. After adjusting for age, sex, smoking status and baseline glomerular filtration rate (GFR), hypertensive patients without other metabolic risk factors had a relative risk of CKD (versus normotensive patients) of 2.0 (95% CI 1.8-2.2); hypertensive patients with other metabolic conditions had adjusted relative risks ranging from 2.4 to 2.6 for those without comorbid diabetes, and from 3.3 to 5.5 for those with comorbid diabetes. Our study thus confirms prior research demonstrating elevated CKD risk in hypertensive patients, and suggests that this risk varies substantially in relation to other metabolic conditions, especially diabetes.

Risk of diabetes in a real-world setting among patients initiating antihypertensive therapy with valsartan or amlodipine.

In the Valsartan Antihypertensive Long-Term Use Evaluation (VALUE) trial, the risk of new-onset diabetes was reported to be 23% lower among patients initiating therapy with valsartan versus amlodipine. The objective of our study was to examine whether this finding is generalizable to 'real-world' clinical practice. A retrospective cohort design and a large US health insurance database were employed for analyses. Study subjects included all hypertensive patients, aged >or=35 years, who were free from diabetes and who initiated treatment with valsartan (n=9999) or amlodipine (n=18 698) between January 1999 and March 2005. Unadjusted absolute risks of diabetes were 21.4 (95% confidence interval (CI) 18.9-24.3) and 26.3 (95% CI 24.3-28.3) per 1000 patient-years for valsartan and amlodipine, respectively; the corresponding relative risk (RR) for valsartan was 0.82 (95% CI 0.70-0.94). Multivariate analyses - controlling for age, sex, presence of hypercholesterolemia, cardiovascular disease and kidney disease, and pretreatment medical care expenditures - yielded similar results (RR=0.79, 95% CI 0.68-0.92). Our study thus corroborates the finding from VALUE that diabetes risk is lower for patients who receive valsartan versus amlodipine, and extends this finding to a 'real-world' setting.

Oral mucositis and the clinical and economic outcomes of hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation.

PURPOSE: To explore the relationship between oral mucositis and selected clinical and economic outcomes in blood and marrow transplant patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Subjects consisted of 92 transplant patients from eight centers who participated in a multinational pilot study of a new oral mucositis scoring system (Oral Mucositis Assessment Scale [OMAS]). In the pilot study, patients were evaluated for erythema and ulceration/pseudomembrane formation beginning on the first day of conditioning and continuing for 28 days. We examined the relationship between patients' peak OMAS scores and days with fever (body temperature > 38.0 degrees C), the occurrence of significant infection, days of total parenteral nutrition (TPN), and days of injectable narcotic therapy (all over 28 days), days in hospital (over 60 days), total hospital charges for the index admission, and vital status at 100 days. RESULTS: Patients' peak OMAS scores spanned the full range of possible values (0 to 5) and were significantly (P <.05) correlated with all of the outcomes of interest except days with fever (P =.21). In analyses controlling for type of graft (autologous v allogeneic) and study center, a 1-point increase in peak OMAS score was associated with (1) 1.0 additional day with fever (P <.01), (2) a 2.1-fold increase in risk of significant infection (P <.01), (3) 2.7 additional days of TPN (P <.0001), (4) 2.6 additional days of injectable narcotic therapy (P <.0001), (5) 2.6 additional days in hospital (P <.01), (6) $25,405 in additional hospital charges (P <.0001), and (7) a 3.9-fold increase in 100-day mortality risk (P <.01). Mean hospital charges were $42,749 higher among patients with evidence of ulceration compared with those without (P =.06). CONCLUSION: Oral mucositis is associated with significantly worse clinical and economic outcomes in blood and marrow transplantation.

Lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is an established risk factor for several chronic diseases. The lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity for individual patients have not been documented. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity. METHODS: We developed a dynamic model of the relationship between body mass index and the risks and associated costs of 5 obesity-related diseases: hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, type 2 diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and stroke. The model was estimated using data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, the Framingham Heart Study, and other secondary sources. We used this model to estimate (1) risks of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and type 2 diabetes mellitus at future ages; (2) lifetime risks of coronary heart disease and stroke; (3) life expectancy; and (4) expected lifetime medical care costs of these 5 diseases for men and women aged 35 to 64 years with body mass indexes of 22.5, 27.5, 32.5, and 37.5 kg/m2 (nonobese and mildly, moderately, and severely obese, respectively). RESULTS: Disease risks and costs increase substantially with increased body mass index. The risk of hypertension for moderately obese 45- to 54-year-old men, for example, is roughly 2-fold higher than for their nonobese peers (38.1% vs 17.7%), whereas the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus is almost 3-fold higher (8.1% vs 3.0%). Lifetime risks of coronary heart disease and stroke are similarly elevated (41.8% vs 34.9% and 16.2% vs 13.9%, respectively), whereas life expectancy is reduced by 1 year (26.5 vs 27.5 years). Total discounted lifetime medical care costs for the treatment of these 5 diseases are estimated to differ by $10,000 ($29,600 vs $19,600). Similar results were obtained for women. CONCLUSIONS: The lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity are substantial and suggest that efforts to prevent or reduce this problem might yield significant benefits.

The clinical and economic burden of obesity in a managed care setting.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the clinical and economic burden of obesity in a managed care setting. STUDY DESIGN: Prevalence-based cost-of-illness evaluation using modeling techniques and data from secondary sources. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The health and economic burden of obesity was estimated for a hypothetical health plan with 1 million members between the ages of 35 and 84 years, based on projections of the numbers of cases of 8 diseases for which obesity is an established risk factor (coronary heart disease, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, gallbladder disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes, osteoarthritis of the knee, and endometrial cancer), obesity-attributable "etiologic fractions," and estimates of associated medical care costs. Our analysis was based on data from a variety of secondary sources, including a large managed care plan in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. RESULTS: In a population of 1 million persons aged 35 to 84 years, it was estimated that obesity would account for approximately 132,900 cases of hypertension (45% of all cases), 58,500 cases of type 2 diabetes (85%), 51,500 cases of hypercholesterolemia (18%), and 16,500 cases of coronary heart disease (35%). Healthcare costs attributable to obesity were estimated to total $345.9 million annually (or 41% of the total for the 8 diseases of interest). CONCLUSION: The clinical and economic burden of obesity in a managed care setting is substantial.

Estimated economic costs of obesity to U.S. business.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the economic costs of obesity to U.S. business. METHODS: Standard epidemiologic methods for risk attribution and techniques for ascertaining cost of illness were used to estimate obesity-attributable expenditures on selected employee benefits, including health, life, and disability insurance and paid sick leave by private-sector firms in the U.S. in 1994. Data were obtained from a variety of secondary sources, including the National Health Interview Survey, reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other federal agencies, and the published literature. Attention was focused on employees between the ages of 25 and 64 years who were classified according to body mass index (BMI) as "nonobese" (BMI < 25 kg/m2), "mildly obese" (BMI = 25-28.9 kg/m2), or "moderately to severely obese" (BMI > or = 29 kg/m2). RESULTS: The cost of obesity to U.S. business in 1994 was estimated to total $12.7 billion, including $2.6 billion as a result of mild obesity and $10.1 billion due to moderate to severe obesity. Health insurance expenditures constituted $7.7 billion of the total amount, representing 43% of all spending by U.S. business on coronary heart disease, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, stroke, gallbladder disease, osteoarthritis of the knee, and endometrial cancer. Obesity-attributable business expenditures on paid sick leave, life insurance, and disability insurance amounted to $2.4 billion, $1.8 billion, and $800 million, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The health-related economic cost of obesity to U.S. business is substantial, representing approximately 5% of total medical care costs. Further research is needed to determine the cost-effectiveness of worksite weight management programs and of other efforts to reduce the prevalence of obesity in the U.S. workforce.

Venous thromboembolism following major orthopedic surgery: review of epidemiology and economics.

The epidemiology and economics of venous thromboembolism (VTE) associated with hip and knee arthroplasty and surgical repair of hip fracture are reviewed. In the 1960s and 1970s, prior to the widespread use of prophylaxis, the risk of VTE following major orthopedic surgery was substantial. The risk of fatal pulmonary embolism (PE) following hip fracture repair may have been as high as 7.5%. With improvements in surgical and anesthetic techniques and the use of anticoagulant prophylaxis, these risks have decreased significantly for most patients. Current risks after hip and knee arthroplasty appear to be about 2.5% for deep vein thrombosis, 1% for nonfatal PE, and a few tenths of 1% for fatal PE over a three-month period following surgery. Because of the traumatic nature of the injury, delays in getting to surgery, and their more advanced age and poorer overall health, hip fracture patients appear to have a greater risk of postoperative VTE, but data are lacking for a reliable estimate of current risk. The cost of VTE after major orthopedic surgery includes initial therapy (the chief component), follow-up care, and the expected costs of major hemorrhage (due to anticoagulation), recurrent VTE, and postthrombotic syndrome. The total cost per patient of such care is approximately $11,600. The risk of VTE after surgery to replace hip and knee joints and repair hip fracture is far lower today than in the 1960s and 1970s, but the cost of treating VTE remains high: an estimated $11,600 per patient, including hospitalization costs.

The acute scrotum.

In boys and adolescents, the acute scrotum usually results from one of three diseases: torsion of the spermatic cord, torsion of the appendix testis, or epididymitis. A rapid diagnosis of torsion of the cord, if present, is essential, and as soon as this diagnosis is made, arrangements must be made for timely surgical correction. Although a diagnosis for the acute scrotum in this age group can sometimes be made on the basis of the history, pathognomonic signs, and basic laboratory analysis of the urine and a urethral discharge, in the usual case diagnosis requires a Doppler ultrasound examination (which if positive for torsion makes the diagnosis), a radionuclide scan (for cases negative or indeterminate for torsion on the Doppler examination), or, as a last resort, scrotal exploration. In men, by far the most common cause of the acute scrotum is epididymitis, with the torsions being much less common. In heterosexual young men with epididymitis, N. gonorrhoeae and C. trachomatis are the most likely etiologic organisms; in homosexual men and older men (and boys), E. coli, Pseudomonas sp., and the gram-positive cocci are the most common pathogens. Ceftriaxone plus tetracycline is the initial antimicrobial regimen of choice in heterosexual young men; in the absence of evidence of a sexually transmitted pathogen, one of the antimicrobials effective against common urinary tract pathogens is the initial antimicrobial of choice in all other patients. When torsion of the cord is suspected in adult male patients, the Doppler examination and the radionuclide scan (if the Doppler is negative or indeterminate) can again make the diagnosis or rule it out.

Characteristics and healthcare costs of patients with fibromyalgia syndrome.

PURPOSE: To examine the characteristics and healthcare costs of fibromyalgia syndrome (FMS) patients in clinical practice. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using a US health-insurance database, we identified all patients, aged > or = 18 years, with any healthcare encounters for FMS (ICD-9-CM diagnosis code 729.1) in each year of the 3-year period, 1 July 2002 to 30 June 2005. A comparison group was then constituted, consisting of randomly selected patients without any healthcare encounters for FMS during this 3-year period. Comparison group patients were matched to FMS patients based on age and sex. Characteristics and healthcare costs of FMS patients and comparison group patients were then examined over the 1-year period, 1 July 2004 to 30 June 2005 (the most recent year for which data were available at the time of the study). RESULTS: The study sample consisted of 33,176 FMS patients and an identical number in the comparison group. Mean age was 46 years, and 75% were women. FMS patients were more likely to have various comorbidities, including painful neuropathies (23% vs. 3% for comparison group), anxiety (5% vs. 1%), and depression (12% vs. 3%) (all p < 0.001); they also were more likely to have used pain-related pharmacotherapy (65% vs. 34% for comparison group; p < 0.001). Mean (SD) total healthcare costs over 12 months were about three times higher among FMS patients [$9573 ($20,135) vs. $3291 ($13,643); p < 0.001]; median costs were fivefold higher ($4247 vs. $822; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with FMS have comparatively high levels of comorbidities and high levels of healthcare utilization and cost.

Compliance with osteoporosis drug therapy and risk of fracture.

INTRODUCTION: Patient compliance with osteoporosis drug therapy is often poor in clinical practice and may be associated with higher risk of fracture. METHODS: A nested case-control study was undertaken using a US health insurance claims database. The source population included all women aged >or=45 years who began drug therapy for osteoporosis. Cases consisted of those who experienced an osteoporosis-related fracture; they were matched to controls without osteoporosis-related fracture. Compliance with osteoporosis drug treatment was assessed in terms of the number of therapy-days received and medication possession ratio (MPR). Conditional logistic regression was employed to examine the relationship between compliance and fracture risk. RESULTS: A total of 453 women with osteoporosis-related fracture were identified and matched to 2,160 controls. Fracture risk was significantly lower for patients with >180 days of therapy [181-360 days: odds ratio (OR) = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.49-0.99; >360 days: OR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.43-0.99) versus those with or=90% (OR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.52-0.93) versus those with MPR <30%. Fracture risk decreased as compliance increased (p(trend) < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Among women initiating drug therapy for osteoporosis, better compliance is associated with reduced risk of fracture.

Compliance with drug therapy for postmenopausal osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION: Patient compliance with pharmacotherapy for osteoporosis is typically poor in clinical practice; less frequent dosing with bisphosphonates may improve compliance. METHODS: Using data from 49 US health plans, we identified all women aged >/=45 years with osteoporosis who initiated therapy with a bisphosphonate, calcitonin, estrogen, or raloxifene. Compliance was examined alternatively in terms of incidence of adherence failure (medication days <80% of possible) and persistence failure (gap in therapy >/=90 days), and was compared across treatment groups using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The study population included 18,822 women, 48% of whom initiated weekly bisphosphonate therapy. Overall risk of adherence failure was 47% at 3 months, 70% at 1 year, and 84% at 3 years. Risk of persistence failure was 47% at 1 year, and 77% at 3 years. In multivariate analyses, risk of adherence failure was higher for calcitonin (hazard ratio=2.7 vs weekly bisphosphonate therapy, p<0.01), but comparable for all other therapies. Relative risks of persistence failure were generally similar. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately three-quarters of women who initiate osteoporosis drug therapy are non-adherent with treatment within 12 months, and almost 50% have discontinued such therapy by this time. Compliance with weekly bisphosphonate therapy is generally no better than that with osteoporosis medications requiring more frequent dosing.

Lifetime health and economic benefits of weight loss among obese persons.

OBJECTIVES: This study estimated the lifetime health and economic benefits of sustained modest weight loss among obese persons. METHODS: We developed a dynamic model of the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and the risks and costs of 5 obesity-related diseases: hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke. We then calculated the lifetime health and economic benefits of a sustained 10% reduction in body weight for men and women aged 35 to 64 years with mild, moderate, and severe obesity. RESULTS: Depending on age, gender, and initial BMI, a sustained 10% weight loss would (1) reduce the expected number of years of life with hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and type 2 diabetes by 1.2 to 2.9, 0.3 to 0.8, and 0.5 to 1.7, respectively; (2) reduce the expected lifetime incidence of CHD and stroke by 12 to 38 cases per 1000 and 1 to 13 cases per 1000, respectively; (3) increase life expectancy by 2 to 7 months; and (4) reduce expected lifetime medical care costs of these 5 diseases by $2200 to $5300. CONCLUSIONS: Sustained modest weight loss among obese persons would yield substantial health and economic benefits.