Implementing a formal curriculum on surgical ethics and palliative care for otolaryngology residents.

OBJECTIVE: Residents are faced with ethical issues every day but most residency curriculums do not routinely include formal ethics skills training. In order to address this, a comprehensive curriculum on ethics and surgical palliative care was implemented for otolaryngology residents. METHODS: An 8-h ethics didactics curriculum was designed in collaboration with our institution's Institute of Ethics. Varied strategies were used to cover basic principles and practical skills. Anonymous assessments were completed by learners at 3 points during the curriculum on a 5-point scale. RESULTS: Nine residents were surveyed. Prior to the curriculum, a large majority of residents (85 %) expressed little to no familiarity with basic ethical principles. There was statistically significant improvement in understanding of and familiarity with bioethics topics, including the four principles of bioethics (Δ = 2.4, p = 0.004). There was also statistically significant improvement in comfort with the implementation of ethical decision making and palliative care skills, including with difficult conversations with patients (Δ = 1.3, p = 0.03). Participation in sessions was excellent with positive qualitative feedback. CONCLUSION: An interactive curriculum in ethics and palliative care can be engaging and practical for busy surgical residents, with measurable improvement in comfort with challenging cases and ethical, patient-centered care.

Predicting nodal metastases in squamous cell carcinoma of the oral tongue using artificial intelligence.

OBJECTIVE: The presence of occult nodal metastases in patients with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the oral tongue has implications for treatment. Upwards of 30% of patients will have occult nodal metastases, yet a significant number of patients undergo unnecessary neck dissection to confirm nodal status. This study sought to predict the presence of nodal metastases in patients with SCC of the oral tongue using a convolutional neural network (CNN) that analyzed visual histopathology from the primary tumor alone. METHODS: Cases of SCC of the oral tongue were identified from the records of a single institution. Only patients with complete pathology data were included in the study. The primary tumors were randomized into 2 groups for training and testing, which was performed at 2 different levels of supervision. Board-certified pathologists annotated each slide. HALO-AI convolutional neural network and image software was used to perform training and testing. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and the Youden J statistic were used for primary analysis. RESULTS: Eighty-nine cases of SCC of the oral tongue were included in the study. The best performing algorithm had a high level of supervision and a sensitivity of 65% and specificity of 86% when identifying nodal metastases. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC curve for this algorithm was 0.729. CONCLUSION: A CNN can produce an algorithm that is able to predict nodal metastases in patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the oral tongue by analyzing the visual histopathology of the primary tumor alone.

Post-Procedural Opioid Prescribing in Children: A Survey of the American Academy of Pediatrics.

INTRODUCTION: North America is in the midst of an opioid epidemic. The role of pediatric surgeons and other procedural specialists in this public health crisis remains unclear. There is likely considerable variation in the use of opioid and non-opioid analgesics, but the spectrum of practice is still uncertain. METHODS: We performed an online survey in July 2018 of the 2086 pediatric surgeons and proceduralists who were active members in the American Academy of Pediatrics. The survey inquired about practice environment, use of opioid and non-opioid pain medications, and attitudes towards the opioid epidemic. RESULTS: 178 specialists completed the survey for a response rate of 8.5%. Most respondents utilize oral acetaminophen (86%) and ibuprofen (80%) after procedures >75% of the time. Self-reported opioid prescribing increases with age after both outpatient and inpatient procedures (P < 0.001). Pediatric general surgeons prescribe opioids less frequently than other specialists, particularly after inpatient procedures. The majority of respondents (81%) believe that the opioid epidemic is a major problem but only 31% indicated that they have a major role to play. CONCLUSIONS: There is significant variation in opioid prescribing patterns as reported by pediatric surgeons and proceduralists. Guidelines are needed to standardize the use of non-opioid analgesics and decrease reliance on opioids for outpatient and inpatient procedures.

Ibuprofen prescription following adult tonsillectomy reduces postoperative opioid use.

BACKGROUND: Based on a 2018 American Academy of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery survey, an average of 37 tablets of opioid medication, or about a week's worth of medication, were prescribed after adult tonsillectomy. Nearly 15% of patients will still be taking opioids one year after an initial weeklong prescription, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications have traditionally been avoided in adult tonsillectomy patients due to concern for increased bleeding risk from platelet dysfunction, despite little evidence supporting this claim. This study sought to demonstrate that ibuprofen prescriptions after tonsillectomy could be a safe and effective way to reduce postoperative opioid use. METHODS: This study was a retrospective chart review of patients undergoing tonsillectomy with one surgeon over three years. Half of the patients received a prescription for postoperative opioid medications and were counseled against taking ibuprofen. The other half of patients were prescribed ibuprofen following surgery and only provided with opioid analgesia as a rescue medication. The New Mexico Prescription Monitoring System was used to verify opioid prescriptions. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression were used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Ninety-nine patients were included in analysis, with 53 in the first group that did not receive ibuprofen and 46 in the second group that did receive ibuprofen. There was no difference in the bleeding rate between the two groups. Significantly fewer patients in the ibuprofen group filled postoperative opioid prescriptions when compared to the group that did not receive ibuprofen (40% vs. 96.2%, p < 0.0001, OR = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Ibuprofen is a safe and effective analgesic following adult tonsillectomy and significantly reduces the proportion of patients who must fill a postoperative opioid prescription.

One-year patient survival correlates with surgeon volume after elective open abdominal aortic surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Volume-outcome relationships in surgery have been well established. Studies have shown that high-volume surgeons provide improved outcomes in performing open abdominal aneurysm repairs. The hypothesis of this study was that high-volume surgeons provide superior short-term and midterm outcomes of elective open aortic operations compared with low-volume surgeons. METHODS: We evaluated patients undergoing elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, aortofemoral bypass, and aortomesenteric bypass by board-certified vascular surgeons using the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database from 2002 to 2014. The Contal and O'Quigley technique was used to estimate a cut point objectively and provided an estimate of significance. A division using average yearly volumes (averaged during 3 years) of seven or more cases and fewer than seven cases per year returned the highest Q statistic, and this grouping was used to classify high-volume and low-volume provider groups. Rates of complications during index hospitalization, length of stay, 30-day survival, 90-day survival, 1-year survival, and cause of death were analyzed using mixed effect models. RESULTS: In 118 hospitals during the 13-year period, 266 board-certified vascular surgeons performed 244 aortomesenteric bypasses, 4202 aortofemoral bypasses, and 6126 abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs. High-volume surgeons' rates of complications during index hospitalization, 30-day survival, 90-day survival, and 1-year survival were superior to those of low-volume surgeons. The Contal and O'Quigley technique returned an estimate of seven operations per year for optimal survival during 1 year. This cutoff is associated with an adjusted 1-year hazard ratio of 0.687 (P = .003), a 2.69% difference in 1-year all-cause survival (P = .003), and a 1.76-day reduction in the mean length of stay at index hospitalization (P < .001). Higher volume surgeons showed a 25.0%, 43.4%, 42.4%, 40.6%, and 45.0% reduction in postoperative rates of acute renal failure (P < .001), hemorrhage (P < .001), pulmonary failure (P < .001), sepsis (P < .001), and venous thromboembolism (P < .001), respectively. Abdominal abscess, acute renal failure, hemorrhage, myocardial infarction, and sepsis were associated with increased cardiovascular cause-specific mortality after open aortic operations (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate that high-volume surgeons performing elective open aortic operations provide reduced complications and improved short-term and midterm survival compared with low-volume surgeons. Clinical and postoperative variables that are associated with increased cardiovascular cause-specific mortality are also identified. These data provide further evidence that elective open abdominal vascular surgery should be centralized to high-volume surgeons.

Evaluation of Antibiotic Prophylaxis for Acute Nonoperative Orbital Fractures.

PURPOSE: The use of antibiotic prophylaxis for the prevention of infection in nonoperative orbital fractures is controversial, with limited high-quality evidence and inconsistent recommendations in the current scientific literature. Our primary study objective was to identify the prophylactic antibiotic prescribing pattern at our institution for nonoperative orbital fractures and to determine the effect of antibiotic prophylaxis. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 16 years of data from a single institution on patients with acute traumatic fractures of the orbital floor or medial orbital wall. Prophylactic administration of antibiotics and complication rates were evaluated, and complication rates and patient characteristics analyzed. RESULTS: Of 154 patients with nonoperative orbital fractures, 17 patients (group 1) received IV or oral antibiotics and 137 patients (group 2) did not. No patient in either group had documented infectious orbital complications following their orbital injury. Patients receiving antibiotics were more likely to have a concurrent periorbital laceration (58.8% ± 11.9% vs. 28.5% ± 3.9%; P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: We present the largest cohort yet reported of patients managed without antibiotic prophylaxis for nonoperative orbital fractures, with no infectious complications identified. Currently there is no evidence of utility to prophylactic antibiotics in the setting of nonoperative traumatic orbital fractures. Rather than prescribing antibiotics, we recommend clinicians educate patients on return precautions and offer close follow up for the rare, but potentially severe infectious complications of orbital trauma.

Increasing surgeon volume correlates with patient survival following open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVE: The annual number of open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs has decreased dramatically over the last decade, making the search for physician case volume thresholds more important. The purpose of this study was to identify a minimum threshold for annual surgeon case volume in open AAA repair. METHODS: The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System inpatient database was used to identify all patients undergoing open repair of an intact AAA between 2000 and 2008. Thirty-day survival was calculated using New York State vital records, which contain all New York State death certificates. The annual case volume for each surgeon was defined as the number of open AAA repairs performed in the year of the index procedure. The Contal and O'Quigley method was used to identify a minimum volume threshold. RESULTS: A total of 11,086 patients were included in the analysis. The selected cutpoint was six or more cases per year based on maximization of the Contal and O'Quigley test statistic. The high-volume group had comparable rates of cardiovascular comorbidities, but significantly improved 30-day and 5-year survival rates as well as shorter lengths of stay in the hospital. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies an ideal threshold for minimum annual surgeon case volume for open AAA repair. Over the study period, perioperative mortality would not have occurred in up to 150 patients if all procedures had been done by high-volume surgeons performing at least six repairs per year. However, even a minimum annual threshold of at least two repairs per year provided a mortality benefit. Ideal minimum volume thresholds should be developed using rigorous statistical analysis as well as local information about practice patterns.

Prevalence and Perceptions of Team Training Programs for Pediatric Surgeons and Anesthesiologists.

BACKGROUND: Team training programs adapt crew resource management principles from aviation to foster communication and prevent medical errors. Although multiple studies have demonstrated that team training programs such as TeamSTEPPS improve patient outcomes and safety across medical disciplines, limited data exist about their application to pediatric surgical teams. The purpose of this study was to investigate usage and perceptions of team training programs by pediatric surgeons and anesthesiologists. We hypothesized that team training programs are not widely available to pediatric surgical teams. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed an online survey of Pediatric Surgery (General, Plastic, Urologic, Orthopedic, Otolaryngologic, and Ophthalmologic) and Anesthesiology members of the American Academy of Pediatrics. The survey inquired about completion and perceptions regarding efficacy of team training programs. Simple descriptive statistics and a Student t-test were used to evaluate the data. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-two pediatric surgeons and 12 anesthesiologists completed the survey with a 10% response rate. Over half of the respondents were general pediatric surgeons. Home institutions offered TeamSTEPPS or another crew resource management style team training program for 39% of respondents. Of those with a program, 77% of respondents had completed training. Although most (76%) who participated in team training programs did so by requirement, 90% found it helpful. Of the 61% of surgeons who said their institution did not offer team training programs, 60% said they would participate if one were offered and an additional 32% said they might participate. The biggest barriers to participation were not enough free time or that the team training program was not offered to their department. CONCLUSIONS: Team training programs are considered beneficial among pediatric surgeons and anesthesiologists who have completed them. Unfortunately, despite substantial evidence showing training for team work improves team functioning and patient outcomes, many pediatric surgical teams do not have team training programs at their institutions. Further expansion of team training programs may be valuable to improving a culture of safety in children's hospitals.

Superior 3-Year Value of Open and Endovascular Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm with High-Volume Providers.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting literature exists regarding resource utilization for cardiovascular care when stratified by provider volume. This study investigates the differences in value of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair by high- and low-volume providers. The hypothesis of this study is that high-volume providers will provide superior value AAA repairs when compared to low-volume providers. METHODS: Using the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database and its linked death database, patients undergoing intact open and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) were identified over a 10-year period. Charge data were normalized to year 2016 dollars and the data stratified by repair modality and annual surgeon volume. Univariate technique was used to compare the 2 groups over a 3-year follow-up period. RESULTS: Nine hundred eleven surgeons performed open AAA repairs and 615 performed EVAR. For both repair modalities, and despite a patient population with more vascular risk factors, the cumulative adjusted charge for all aneurysm-related care was significantly less for high-volume providers than low-volume providers. The calculated 3-year value-patient life years per cumulative charge-was also superior for high-volume providers compared to low-volume providers. This difference in charge and value persisted after propensity score matching for race, sex, insurance status, and common vascular comorbidities including hypertension, dyslipidemia, and a history of smoking. CONCLUSIONS: High-volume surgeons performing repair of aortic aneurysms provide superior value when compared to low-volume providers. The improved value margin is driven by both lower charge and improved survival, despite an increased incidence of cardiovascular comorbidities. This study adds support for the regionalization of care for patients with aortic aneurysm.

Drug Shortages and Otolaryngology.

Every year in the United States, hundreds of shortages of life-saving, essential drugs impact patients and health care workers. While otolaryngologists may be shielded from these relative to other specialties, there is still a significant clinical impact with potentially dangerous consequences. Shortages of local anesthetics lead to increased costs, labor demands, and risk of medical errors. Shortages of cisplatin and carboplatin, workhorses in head and neck oncology, may leave patients without proven alternative therapies. The economic and geopolitical challenges that provoke these shortages are well described. So too are potential solutions at the national, regional, and local levels. Otolaryngologists have a responsibility to contribute to coordinated responses to drug shortages to protect and advocate for their current and future patients.

Clarifying the Diagnosis and Management of Acute Uncomplicated Pediatric Mastoiditis.

INTRODUCTION: Acute pediatric mastoiditis is a bacterial infection of the mastoid bone most commonly associated with acute otitis media. Complicated mastoiditis is traditionally characterized by intracranial complications or subperiosteal abscess, but definitions are inconsistent in the literature. Surgical intervention is identified as the main treatment for complicated mastoiditis, but there is some evidence to support medical management of uncomplicated mastoiditis. This study sought to clarify the diagnostic criteria and management of uncomplicated acute mastoiditis. METHODS: All cases of acute pediatric mastoiditis were identified from a single institution over a 16-year period and reviewed for demographic and clinical data. Two different definitions of uncomplicated mastoiditis were compared; the traditional one that excluded patients with intracranial complications or subperiosteal abscess (SPA) and the proposed definition that also excluded patients with any evidence of bony erosion including coalescence, not just SPA. Univariate and multivariate analysis was conducted. RESULTS: Eighty cases were identified. Using the traditional definition of uncomplicated mastoiditis, 46.3% of cases were uncomplicated, compared to 36.2% when using the proposed definition. Truly uncomplicated patients, categorized with the proposed definition, were treated more consistently: no patients underwent mastoidectomy and they were less likely to receive a long term course of antibiotics. On multivariate regression analysis, only categorization with the proposed definition of uncomplicated mastoiditis was independently associated with less long-term antibiotic therapy and non-surgical management. CONCLUSION: Uncomplicated acute mastoiditis should be defined using clinical criteria and exclude any cases with evidence of bony erosion, including coalescence or subperiosteal abscess. These truly uncomplicated patients often do not require mastoidectomy and can be prescribed a shorter course of antibiotics. Further research into treatment pathways is necessary to optimize the management of uncomplicated acute pediatric mastoiditis.

Frailty as a Predictor of Post-Surgical Outcomes in Patients With Cutaneous Malignancies of the Scalp and Neck Requiring Flap Reconstruction.

BACKGROUND: Investigate the ability of frailty status to predict post-surgical outcomes in patients with cutaneous malignancies of the scalp and neck undergoing flap reconstruction. METHODS: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to isolate patients with cutaneous malignancies of the scalp and neck who underwent surgical resection between 2015 to 2019. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine if frailty score correlated with negative post-operative outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves allowed testing of the discriminative performance of age versus frailty. RESULTS: This study demonstrated an independent correlation between frailty and major complications as well as non-home discharge. In ROC curve analysis, frailty demonstrated superior discrimination compared to age for predicting major complications. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated an association between increasing frailty and major complications as well as the likelihood of a non-home discharge. When compared to age, frailty was also shown to be a better predictor of major complications.

Thyroid Cancer Incidence and Tumor Size in New Mexico American Indians, Hispanics, and Non-Hispanic Whites, 1992 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of thyroid cancer in the United States has risen dramatically since the 1970s, driven by an increase in the diagnosis of small tumors. There is a paucity of published New Mexico (NM) specific data regarding thyroid cancer. We hypothesized that due to New Mexico's unique geographic and cultural makeup, the incidence of thyroid cancer and tumor size at diagnosis in this state would differ from that demonstrated on a national level. METHODS: The New Mexico Tumor Registry (NMTR) was queried to include all NM residents diagnosed with thyroid cancer between 1992 and 2019. For 2010 to 2019, age-adjusted incidence rates were calculated via direct method using the 2000 United States population as the adjustment standard. Differences in incidence rate and tumor size by race/ethnicity and residence (metropolitan vs non-metropolitan) were assessed with rate ratios between groups. For 1992 to 2019, temporal trends in age-adjusted incidence rates for major race/ethnic groups in NM [Non-Hispanic White (NHW), Hispanic, and American Indian (AI)] were assessed by joinpoint regression using National Cancer Institute software. RESULTS: Our study included 3,161 patients for the time period 2010 to 2019, including NHW (1518), Hispanic (1425), and AI (218) cases. The overall incidence rates for NM AIs were lower than those for Hispanics and NHWs because of a decreased incidence of very small tumors (<1.1 cm). The incidence rates for large tumors (>5.1 cm) was equivalent among groups. In the early 2000s, Hispanics also had lower rates of small tumors when compared to NHWs but this trend disappeared over time. CONCLUSION: AIs in New Mexico have been left out of the nationwide increase in incidental diagnosis of small thyroid tumors. This same pattern was noted for Hispanics in the early 2000s but changed over time to mirror incidence rates for NHWs. These data are illustrative of the health care disparities that exist among New Mexico's population and how these disparities have changed over time.

Laryngeal Trauma.

Laryngeal trauma is rare but potentially fatal. Initial evaluation includes efficient history and physical examination, imaging, bedside flexible laryngoscopy, and if necessary, operative endoscopic evaluation. Multiple classification systems exist for laryngeal trauma, and each has its merits. We recommend a patient-centered approach, rather than using the classification alone. Secure airways are the primary goal of acute management, with awake tracheostomy more often indicated over oral intubation compared with traumas not involving the larynx. More severe injuries typically require surgical intervention. Early intervention results in optimal voice and airway outcomes.

Lymph Node Metastases in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma can be Predicted by a Convolutional Neural Network: a Multi-Institution Study.

OBJECTIVES: The presence of nodal metastases in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) has both staging and treatment implications. However, lymph nodes are often not removed during thyroidectomy. Prior work has demonstrated the capability of artificial intelligence (AI) to predict the presence of nodal metastases in PTC based on the primary tumor histopathology alone. This study aimed to replicate these results with multi-institutional data. METHODS: Cases of conventional PTC were identified from the records of 2 large academic institutions. Only patients with complete pathology data, including at least 3 sampled lymph nodes, were included in the study. Tumors were designated "positive" if they had at least 5 positive lymph node metastases. First, algorithms were trained separately on each institution's data and tested independently on the other institution's data. Then, the data sets were combined and new algorithms were developed and tested. The primary tumors were randomized into 2 groups, one to train the algorithm and another to test it. A low level of supervision was used to train the algorithm. Board-certified pathologists annotated the slides. HALO-AI convolutional neural network and image software was used to perform training and testing. Receiver operator characteristic curves and the Youden J statistic were used for primary analysis. RESULTS: There were 420 cases used in analyses, 45% of which were negative. The best performing single institution algorithm had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.64 with a sensitivity and specificity of 65% and 61% respectively, when tested on the other institution's data. The best performing combined institution algorithm had an AUC of 0.84 with a sensitivity and specificity of 68% and 91% respectively. CONCLUSION: A convolutional neural network can produce an accurate and robust algorithm that is capable of predicting nodal metastases from primary PTC histopathology alone even in the setting of multi-institutional data.

Holding Curative and Palliative Intentions.

When a patient is diagnosed with an advanced head and neck cancer, a decision about whether to have surgery can dominate what remains of that patient's life: prospective benefits can be limited, and complication risks can be high. Realizing dual curative and palliative intention with a single operation can be a reasonable surgical oncological care goal. In such cases, differentiating between the curative and palliative potential of surgery is key to developing dual intentional clarity. Informed consent should be generated by clear communication exchanges about patients' and surgeons' hopes and expectations, patients' and surgeons' risk tolerance, and the risk that surgeons or patients could experience regret.

Predicting nodal metastases in papillary thyroid carcinoma using artificial intelligence.

BACKGROUND: The presence of nodal metastases is important in the treatment of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). We present our experience using a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict the presence of nodal metastases in a series of PTC patients using visual histopathology from the primary tumor alone. METHODS: 174 cases of PTC were evaluated for the presence or absence of lymph metastases. The artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm was trained and tested on its ability to discern between the two groups. RESULTS: The best performing AI algorithm demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 94% and 100%, respectively, when identifying nodal metastases. CONCLUSION: A CNN can be used to accurately predict the likelihood of nodal metastases in PTC using visual data from the primary tumor alone.

Aortic Anatomic Severity Grade Correlates with Midterm Mortality in Patients Undergoing Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Anatomic severity grade (ASG) can be used to assess abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) anatomic complexity. High ASG is associated with complications following endovascular repair of AAAs and we have demonstrated that ASG correlates with resource utilization. The hypothesis of this study is that ASG is directly related to midterm mortality in patients undergoing AAA repair. METHODS: Patients who underwent infrarenal AAA repairs between July 2007 and August 2014 were retrospectively reviewed and ASG scores were calculated using 3-dimensional computed tomography reconstructions. Perioperative mortalities (≤30 days) were excluded. The ASG value of 15 was chosen based on previous receiver-operator curve analysis, which showed that an ASG of 15 was predictive of postoperative complications and resource utilization. The 5-year survivors and mortalities were compared utilizing comorbidities, pharmacologic variables, and anatomic variables at or above the defined threshold. RESULTS: A total of 402 patients (80% male and 96% Caucasian) with complete anatomic and survival data were included in the analysis. Mean ASG and age at the time of repair were 16 ± 0.15 and 73 ± 0.43 years old, respectively. The 5-year mortality was significantly associated with ASG >15 (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.504, confidence interval [CI]: 1.077-2.100, P < .017), hyperlipidemia (HR: 1.987, CI: 1.341-2.946, P < .001), coronary artery disease (HR: 1.432, CI: 1.037-1.978, P < .029), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR: 1.412, CI: 1.027-1.943, P < .034). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated improved survival in the low score ASG ≤15 group at 1, 3, and 5 years (96% vs 93%, 81% vs 69%, and 53% vs 41%; P = .0182; Figure 1). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing aortic anatomic complexity as characterized by ASG >15 is an independent predictor of midterm mortality following elective infrarenal AAA repair. Therefore, it may be a useful tool for appropriate patient selection and risk stratification prior to elective infrarenal AAA repair.