The Health Inequality Impact of a New Cancer Therapy Given Treatment and Disease Characteristics.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to perform a simulation study to quantify the health inequality impact of a cancer therapy given cancer and treatment characteristics using the distributional cost-effectiveness framework. METHODS: The following factors were varied in 10 000 simulations: lifetime risk of the disease, median overall survival (OS) with standard of care (SOC), difference in OS between non-Hispanic (NH)-Black and NH-White patients (prognostic effect), treatment effect of the new therapy relative to SOC, whether the treatment effect differs between NH-Black and NH-White patients (effect modification), health utility, drug costs, and preprogression and postprogression costs. Based on these characteristics, the incremental population net health benefits were calculated for the new therapy and applied to a US distribution of quality-adjusted life expectancy at birth. The health inequality impact was quantified as the difference in the degree of inequality in the "post-new therapy" versus "pre-new therapy" quality-adjusted life expectancy distributions. RESULTS: For cancer types characterized by relatively large lifetime risk, large median OS with SOC, large treatment effect, and large effect modification, the direction of the impact of the new therapy on inequality is easy to predict. When effect modification is minor or absent, which is a realistic scenario, the direction of the inequality impact is difficult to predict. Larger incremental drug costs have a worsening effect on health inequality. CONCLUSIONS: The findings provide a guide to help decision makers and other stakeholders make an initial assessment whether a new therapy with known treatment effects for a specific tumor type can have a positive or negative health inequality impact.

Lifetime Economic Burden of Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis by Age at Diagnosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Understanding the burden of Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) is important for measuring treatment value. We estimated lifetime health care costs incurred by patients with CD or UC by age at diagnosis. METHODS: We collected data from 78,620 patients with CD, 85,755 with UC, and propensity score-matched control subjects from the Truven Health MarketScan insurance claims databases (2008‒2015). Total medical (inpatient, outpatient) and pharmacy costs were captured. Cost variations over a lifetime were estimated in cost-state Markov models by age at diagnosis, adjusted to 2016 U.S. dollars and discounted at 3% per annum. We measured lifetime total and lifetime incremental cost (the difference between costs of CD or UC patients vs matched controls). RESULTS: For CD, the lifetime incremental cost was $707,711 among patients who received their diagnosis at 0‒11 years, and $177,614 for patients 70 years or older, averaging $416,352 for a diagnosis at any age. Lifetime total cost was $622,056, consisting of outpatient ($273,056), inpatient ($164,298), pharmacy ($163,722), and emergency room (ER) ($20,979) costs. For UC, the lifetime incremental cost was $369,955 among patients who received their diagnosis at 0‒11 years, and $132,396 for individuals 70 years or older, averaging $230,102 for a diagnosis at any age. Lifetime total cost was $405,496, consisting of outpatient ($163,670), inpatient ($123,190), pharmacy ($105,142), and ER ($13,493) costs. Therefore, the prevalent populations of patients with CD or UC in the United States in 2016 are expected to incur lifetime total costs of $498 billion and $377 billion, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using a Markov model, we estimated lifetime costs for patients with CD or UC to exceed previously published estimates. Individuals who receive a diagnosis of CD or UC at an early age (younger than 11 years) incur the highest lifetime cost burden. Advancing management strategies may significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce lifetime health care spending.

Increased Lifetime Risk of Intestinal Complications and Extraintestinal Manifestations in Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis.

Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) have high morbidity rates owing to debilitating intestinal complications and extraintestinal manifestations (EIMs). We retrospectively identified patients in the Truven MarketScan databases with an incident CD or UC diagnosis from January 2008 to September 2015 to quantify the incremental lifetime risk of experiencing an intestinal complication or EIM after CD or UC diagnosis. Seven intestinal complications and 13 categories of EIMs by site were identified, and lifetime risk of experiencing an intestinal complication or EIM from age at CD or UC diagnosis to end of life was estimated using parametric models. Results were compared with controls' propensity score matched by age, sex, health plan, and pre-index Charlson Comorbidity Index. The CD or UC incremental risk was calculated using the difference in rates between CD or UC patients and matched controls. A total of 34,692 CD patients and 48,196 UC patients with 1:1 matched controls were included. CD and UC patients had an increased lifetime risk of intestinal complications, which varied across ages, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) types, and categories of intestinal complications and EIMs. CD and UC patients aged 0 to 11 years had the highest incremental lifetime risk for all 7 intestinal complications and the majority of EIMs, with blood EIMs associated with the highest incremental risk (CD: 32%; UC: 21%). CD and UC patients of all ages have a higher lifetime risk of experiencing intestinal complications and EIMs than patients without CD or UC. When evaluating the burden of disease on patients with IBD, it is important to include the burden of these intestinal complications and EIMs in the assessment.