[Metabolic syndrome components and breast cancer risk in Chinese females: a population based prospective study].

Objective: To investigate the relationship between metabolic syndrome (MS) and the risk of breast cancer in Chinese females. Methods: From May 2006 to December 2015, based on the Kailuan Women's Dynamic Cohort,a total of 25 618 female employees and retirees of the Kailuan Group were included and followed. Questionnaire surveys, physical measurements and laboratory tests were used to collect baseline sociodemographic characteristics, height, weight, blood glucose, blood lipids, blood pressure, tumor incidence and outcome information. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the relationship between MS and its components (body mass index, blood pressure, blood glucose and blood lipid) and the risk of breast cancer in females. Results: The age of 25 618 women was (47.65±12.02) years old and median follow-up time was 8.78 years; 235 new cases of breast cancer were detected, and the incidence density was 113.19/100 000 person-years. After adjusting for age, education, income, smoking status, drinking status and other factors, people who were overweight or obese had a higher risk of breast cancer, with HR (95%CI) about 1.47 (1.12-1.93), than those with normal body mass index. Compared with those without MS abnormal components, women with two MS abnormal components had an increased risk of breast cancer (HR=1.70, 95%CI: 1.16-2.50). With the increase of the number of MS abnormal components, the risk of breast cancer increased gradually (Ptrend value<0.05). Conclusion: Overweight/obesity and the number of abnormal components of MS can increase the risk of breast cancer in women.

[Metabolic syndrome components and renal cell cancer risk in Chinese males: a population-based prospective study].

Objective: To investigate the association between metabolic syndrome (MS) components and renal cell cancer in Chinese males. Methods: All male employees and retirees of the Kailuan Group were recruited in the Chinese Kailuan Male Cohort Study. They had been experienced routine physical examinations ever two years since May 2006. A total of 104 274 males were prospectively observed by 31 December 2015. Information on demographics, height, weight, blood glucose, blood lipid, blood pressure, as well as the information of incident renal cell cancer cases were collected at the baseline investigation by questionnaire, physical measurement and laboratory test. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the association between baseline MS and MS components (body mass index, blood glucose, blood lipid, blood pressure) and the risk of renal cell cancer in males. Results: A total of 104 274 males were recruited in our study with a age of (51.21±13.46) years, with 823 892.96 person-years follow-up and the median follow-up time was 8.88 years. A total of 131 new renal cell cancer cases were identified in the Kailuan male cohort study, and the crude incidence density was 15.90 per 100,000 person-years. Compared with no MS, the hazard ratios (HR) (95% CI) of MS was 1.97 (1.32-2.94).When compared with normal level, the HR (95%CI) of obesity or overweight, hypertension, and dyslipidemia was 1.49 (1.04-2.14), 1.56 (1.06-2.29), and 1.77(1.23-2.54), after adjusting for potential confounding factors (i.e., age, education, income, smoke, and alcohol drink), respectively. In addition, a statistically significant trend (P for trend<0.001) of increased renal cell cancer risk with an increasing number of abnormal MS components was observed. Conclusion: Obesity or overweight, hypertension, dyslipidemia and MS may increase the risk of renal cell cancer for Chinese males.

[Total cholesterol and the risk of primary liver cancer in Chinese males: a prospective cohort study].

Objective: To investigate the association between total cholesterol (TC) and primary liver cancer in Chinese males. Methods: Since May 2006, all the male workers, including the employees and the retirees in Kailuan Group were recruited in the Kailuan male dynamic cohort study. Information about demographics, medical history and TC levels was collected at the baseline interview, as well as information on newly-diagnosed primary liver cancer cases during the follow-up period. A total of 110 612 males were recruited in the cohort by 31 December 2015. TC levels were divided into four categories by quartile (<4.27, 4.27-4.90, 4.90-5.56 and ≥5.56 mmol/L), with the first quartile group serving as the referent category. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate the association between TC levels and primary liver cancer risk. Results: By December 31, 2015, a follow-up of 861 711.45 person-years was made with a median follow-up period of 8.83 years. During the follow-up, 355 primary liver cancer cases were identified. Compared with the first quartile, the HR of incident primary liver cancer among participants with the second, third and highest quartile TC levels were 0.76 (95%CI: 0.58-1.01), 0.59 (95%CI: 0.43-0.79), and 0.36 (95%CI: 0.25-0.52), respectively after adjusting for age, educational level, income level, smoking status, drinking status, body mass index, and HBsAg status (Pfor trend<0.001). Subgroup analyses found that the association between TC levels and primary liver cancer was robust (all Pfor trend<0.05). The results didn't change significantly after exclusion of newly-diagnosed cases within the first 2 years, males with history of cirrhosis or subjects who took antihyperlipidemic drugs, participants with higher TC levels had a lower risk of primary liver cancer (all Pfor trend<0.05) and HR(95%CI) of incident primary liver cancer among participants with the highest quartile TC levels were 0.41 (0.28-0.61), 0.36 (0.25-0.53) and 0.38 (0.26-0.54), respectively. Conslusion: In this large prospective study, we found that baseline TC levels were inversely associated with primary liver cancer risk, and low TC level might increase the risk of primary liver cancer.

[Exploratory research on developing lung cancer risk prediction model in female non-smokers].

Objective: To develop a lung cancer risk prediction model for female non-smokers. Methods: Based on the Kailuan prospective dynamic cohort (2006.05-2015.12), a nested case-control study was conducted. Participants diagnosed with primary pathologically confirmed lung cancer during follow-up were identified as the case group, and others were identified as the control group. A total of 24 701 subjects were included in the study, including 86 lung cancer cases and 24 615 control population, respectively. Questionnaires, physical examinations, and laboratory tests were conducted to collect relevant information. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regressions were conducted to develop a lung cancer risk prediction model. Area Under the Curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests were used to evaluate discrimination and calibration, respectively. Ten-fold cross-validation was used for internal validation. Results: Two sets of models were developed: the simple model (including age and monthly income) and the metabolic index model [including age, monthly income, fasting blood glucose (FBG), total cholesterol (TC) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)].The AUC (95%CI) [0.745 (0.719-0.771)] of the metabolic index model was higher than that of the simple prediction model [0.688 (0.660-0.716)] (P=0.004). Both the simple model (PHL=0.287) and the metabolic index model (PHL=0.134) were well-calibrated. The results of ten-fold cross-validation indicated sufficient stability, with an average AUC of 0.699 and a standard error (SD) of 0.010. Conclusion: By incorporating metabolic markers, accurate and reliable lung cancer risk prediction model for female non smokers could be developed.

[The development and validation of risk prediction model for lung cancer: a systematic review].

Objective: To systematically understand the global research progress in the construction and validation of lung cancer risk prediction models. Methods: "lung neoplasms" , "lung cancer" , "lung carcinoma" , "lung tumor" , "risk" , "malignancy" , "carcinogenesis" , "prediction" , "assessment" , "model" , "tool" , "score" , "paradigm" , and "algorithm" were used as search keywords. Original articles were systematically searched from Chinese databases (CNKI, and Wanfang) and English databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science) published prior to December 2018. The language of studies was restricted to Chinese and English. The inclusion criteria were human oriented studies with complete information for model development, validation and evaluation. The exclusion criteria were informal publications such as conference abstracts, Chinese dissertation papers, and research materials such as reviews, letters, and news reports. A total of 33 papers involving 27 models were included. The population characteristics of all included studies, study design, predicting factors and the performance of models were analyzed and compared. Results: Among 27 models, the number of American-based, European-based and Asian-based model studies was 12, 6 and 9, respectively. In addition, there were 6 Chinese-based model studies. According to the factors fitted into the models, these studies could be divided into traditional epidemiological models (11 studies), clinical index models (6 studies), and genetic index models (10 studies). 15 models were not validated after construction or were cross-validated only in the internal population, and the extrapolation effect of models was not effectively evaluated; 8 models were validated in single external population; only 4 models were verified in multiple external populations (3-7); the area under the curve (AUC) of models ranged from 0.57 to 0.90. Conclusion: Research on risk prediction models for lung cancer is in development stage. In addition to the lack of external validation of existing models, the exploration of potential clinical indicators was also limited.

[The relationship between inflammatory markers and the risk of lung cancer: a prospective cohort study].

Objective: To investigate whether elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil (NE) in the blood is associated with an increased risk of lung cancer incidence. Methods: From 2006 to 2007, all employees and retirees from Kailuan (Group) Limited liability Corporation were included in this Kailuan Cohort study. The last follow-up date was December 2015. Data on new cases of lung cancer were collected, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to the relationship between baseline CRP and NE at baseline and risk of lung cancer. Results: A total of 92 735 participants were enrolled in this study. During the follow-up, 850 new cases of lung cancer were identified. All subjects were divided into four groups according to the combination level of CRP and NE at baseline: CRP≤3 mg/L and NE≤4×10(9)/L(Group A), CRP≤3 mg/L and NE>4×10(9)/L(Group B), CRP>3 mg/L and NE≤4×10(9)/L(Group C), CRP>3 mg/L and NE>4×10(9)/L(Group D). The cumulative incidence of lung cancer were 950/100 000, 1 030/100 000, 1 081/100 000 and 1 596/100 000 in these four groups, respectively (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional risk model showed that participants from Group D had an significantly increased 72% risks of lung cancer when compared to Group A (95% CI: 1.40~2.12, P<0.001). Stratified analyses gender showed that males in Group D had higher risk of lung cancer when compared with participants in Group A (HR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.40~2.15, P<0.001). Conclusion: Elevated levels of CRP and NE might increase the risk of lung cancer.

[Progress in construction and verification of colorectal cancer risk prediction models: a systematic review].

Objective: To systematically review available risk prediction models evidence on construction and verification of colorectal cancer risk prediction models. Methods: "Colorectal neoplasms", "risk assessment", "colorectal cancer", "colorectal tumor", "colon cancer", "colon tumor", "rectal cancer", "rectal tumor", "anal cancer", "anal tumor", "risk prediction", "malignancy", "carcinogenesis", "model" were used as search keywords. Journal papers and grey literature were searched from Chinese electronic databases (CNKI and Wanfang) and English electronic databases (PubMed and Embase) from their inception to 30 Apr 2018. The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. The inclusion criteria were human-oriented researches with complete information for model construction,verification and evaluation. The exclusion criteria were informal publications such as conference abstracts, Chinese disertation papers, and non-primary research materials such as reviews,letters,and news reports. Descriptive characteristics,targeted population, study design, model construction method and prediction results were extracted. A total of 36 papers involving 27 models were included. The population characteristics of all included studies,the type of research, the method of model construction and the prediction results of the model were analyzed. Results: As for model construction,there were 13 European and American population based model studies,14 Asian population based model studies,including 7 Chinese mainland based model studies. According to the factors selected into the model, these models can be divided into traditional epidemiological models (17 models), clinical index combined models (4 models),and genetic susceptibility index combined models (6 models). As for model verification,only 9 models were cross-verified in the internal population after model construction, and the extrapolation of model prediction effect was not effectively evaluated; 17 models were verified in an external population; there was only one model verified in two external populations in terms of risk prediction effect; the area under the curve of 27 models was 0.56-0.85. Conclusion: The risk prediction model of colorectal cancer is in the development stage. The external evaluation of model prediction effect is less and the prediction ability is not good, and the existing models have limited exploration of clinical indicators.

[Systematic review of the methodology quality and reporting quality in colorectal cancer screening guidelines].

Objective: To systematically review the quality and reporting quality of colorectal cancer screening guidelines, and to provide reference for the update of colorectal cancer screening guidelines and colorectal cancer screening in China. Methods: "Colorectal cancer", "colorectal tumor", "screening", "screening", "guide", "consensus", "Colorectal cancer", "Colorectal neoplasms", "Screening", "Early Detection of Cancer", "Guideline" and "recommendation" were used as search keywords. The literature retrieval for all the Chinese and English guidelines published before April 2018 was conducted by using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Data, China Biology Medicine disc (CBMdisc), Cochrane Library, Guideline International Network, China Guidelines Clearinghouse (CGC) and the official website of the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), the American Cancer Society (ACS), International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Australia Cancer Council (ACC) and Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain & Ireland (ACPGBI). The inclusion criteria were independent guidance documents for colorectal cancer screening. The language is limited to Chinese and English. The exclusion criteria were literature on interpretation, evaluation, introduction, etc., as well as the translated version of the guide and old guides. The quality and reporting norms of colorectal cancer screening guidelines were compared and evaluated using the European Guideline Research and Assessment Tool (AGREE Ⅱ) and the Practice Guideline Reporting Standard (RIGHT). Results: A total of 15 guides were included. The results of the AGREE Ⅱ quality evaluation showed that the overall quality of 15 guides was high. Among them, there were 9 guides with an overall score of 50 or more, 10 with a recommendation level of "A", and 2 with a rating of "B". There were 3 guides for "C"; each guide scores higher in scope and purpose, and clarity, and scores vary greatly in the areas of participants, rigor, applicability, and independence. The results of the RIGHT evaluation showed that 15 guides were insufficient in six areas except for background information, evidence, recommendations, reviews and quality assurance, funding and conflict of interest statements and management, and other aspects. Conclusion: The overall quality of included guidelines for colorectal cancer screening is high, but the normative nature needs to be strengthened.

[Anthropometry and the risk of colorectal cancer in males: a prospective cohort study].

Objective: To investigate the association between anthropometry and colorectal cancer risk in Chinese males. Methods: Anthropometry and incident colorectal cancer cases were collected on a biennial basis starting in May 2006 among males in Kailuan Cohort (2006-2014). In addition, electronic database of hospitals affiliated to Kailuan Community, Insurance System of Kailuan Community and Tangshan were also searched for supplementary information. Cox proportional hazards regression models and linear models were used to evaluate the association between baseline anthropometry and the risk of colorectal cancer in males. Results: A total of 106 786 males were included and 318 new colorectal cancer cases were identified in the Kailuan male cohort study, with 747 337.60 person-years follow-up by 31 December 2014. The median follow-up time was 7.90 years. Highest quartile waist circumference (≥94.0 cm) or WHtR (≥0.55) had 1.45 (95%CI: 1.05-2.02) and 1.66 (95%CI: 1.15-2.41) higher risk of colorectal cancer when compared with lowest waist circumference (<82.0 cm) or WHtR (<0.48) after adjusting for age, education, smoking, alcohol drinking, sitting time and dust exposure. Subgroup analyses by site indicated that males with BMI ≥26.27 kg/m(2), waist circumference ≥94.0 cm or WHtR ≥0.55 had HRs (95%CI) of 2.18(1.27-3.73), 2.20 (1.27-3.78) and 2.42 (1.29-4.56) for colon cancer risk, respectively. Linear models showed the HR of colon cancer and 95%CI would be 1.59 (1.24-2.02) with every 0.1 growth in WHtR. Conclusion: Obesity may be responsible for an increased risk of colorectal cancer in male. Reasonable weight control may be one of the effective measures to prevent colorectal cancer.

[Tea consumption and the risk of lung cancer in Chinese males: a prospective cohort study].

Objective: To investigate the association between tea consumption and lung cancer risk in Chinese males. Methods: Tea consumption and incident lung cancer cases were collected on a biennial basis among males in Kailuan Cohort during 2006-2015. Up to 31st December 2015, a total of 103 010 male candidates from the Chinese Kailuan Male Cohort Study were enrolled in the present study. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate the association between tea consumption and risk of lung cancer in males. Results: The age of male candidates was (51.3±13.4)years old. There were 828 810.74 person-years of follow-up and 8.91 years of median follow-up period. During the follow-up, 964 lung cancer cases were identified. In male, the rate of never cosumers, tea drinkers (<4/week) and tea drinkers (≥4/week) were 58.17%(n=59 926), 24.04%(n=24 765) and 17.78%(n=18 319), respectively. After adjustment for potential confounding factors, HR (95%CI) of lung cancer for subjects with tea drinkers (<4/week) and tea drinkers (≥4/week) were 0.80 (0.63-1.02) and 1.02 (0.80-1.30), respectively, as compared with never cosumers. The results showed no significant association with lung cancer. Stratification analysis and sensitivity analysis showed no significant changes. Conclusion: Our study has not found that tea consumption is significantly associated with the risk of male lung cancer.

[Relationship between inflammatory markers and the risk of colorectal cancer in Kailuan male cohort].

Objective: To investigate whether elevated levels of high sensitivity C-Reactive Protein (hsCRP) and neutrophil (NE) at baseline are associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer in Kailuan male cohort. Methods: Since May 2006, males from Kailuan cohort were included in this study. Information on demographics, medical history, anthropometry, hsCRP and NE were collectedat baseline for all subjects. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) of association between baseline hsCRP and NE and colorectal cancer risk. Results: By December 31, 2015, a total of 73 869 participants were enrolled in this study. During the follow-up, 336 incident colorectal cancer cases were identified. All participants were divided into three groups according to the level of hsCRP (<1 mg/L, 1-3 mg/L and >3 mg/L). The cumulative incidence of colorectal cancer were 456/10(5,) 510/10(5) and 746/10(5) in these 3 groups, respectively (χ(2)=10.79, P=0.005). Compared with participants with lower hsCRP levels (<1 mg/L), individuals with the highest hsCRP (>3 mg/L) levels had significant increased risks of colorectal cancer (HR=1.38, 95%CI: 1.05-1.81, P=0.020)after adjusting for age, gender, smoking, drinking, BMI, diabetes and income. Furthermore, subjects were divided into two groups according to the level of NE (≤ 4.08×10(9)/L and > 4.08×10(9)/L). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models indicated that there is no statistical significance of association between NE and colorectal cancer. Conclusions: Elevated levels of hsCRP at baseline might increase the risk of colorectal cancer in males.

[A prospective follow-up study on the association between serum level of C-reactive protein and risk of digestive system cancers in Chinese women].

Objective: It has been reported by some prospective studies that C-reactive protein (CRP) is associated with cancer risk. However, the correlation between CRP and digestive system cancers has not been evaluated in Chinese females. We conducted a large population-based cohort study to investigate whether elevated level of CRP in serum is associated with an increased risk of digestive system cancers in Chinese women. Methods: From the Chinese Kailuan Female Cohort, 19, 437 women were enrolled in this study in July 2006, and all of the subjects were followed up through 2014. At the baseline investigation, the serum levels of high-sensitivity CRP (hsCRP) were tested for all subjects, and demographic information and risk factor data were collected. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to calculate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the baseline levels of hsCRP after adjusting for age, marital status, smoking, drinking, body mass index (BMI), diabetes and physical activity, and risk of digestive system tumors (including colorectal cancer, stomach cancer, pancreas cancer, liver and gallbladder cancer, and other cancers). Results: By Dec 31, 2014, a total of 100 incident cancer cases were observed, including 47 colorectal cancers, 17 stomach cancers, and altogether 29 pancreas, liver and gallbladder cancers. All the subjects investigated were divided into three groups according to the level of hsCRP (<1 mg/L, 1-3 mg/L and >3 mg/L). The 8-year cumulative incidence of digestive system cancers were 405/100 000, 520/100 000 and 787/100 000 in these 3 groups, respectively (Log rank test χ2 = 8.37, P=0.015). Compared to those with lower hsCRP levels (<1 mg/L), the women with higher hsCRP (>3 mg/L) had a significantly increased risk of pancreas, liver and gallbladder cancers (HR = 2.70, 95% CI = 1.06-6.91; Ptrend = 0.036). Conclusions: Elevated levels of hsCRP at baseline may be associated with increased risk of certain digestive system cancers.

[Body mass index and the risk of lung cancer incidence in smokers: a prospective cohort study].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of baseline body mass index (BMI) on the risk of lung cancer incidence in male smokers. METHODS: All the male employees and retirees of the Kailuan Group were recruited in the Chinese Kailuan Male Cohort Study, and they had been experienced routine physical examinations every two years since May, 2006. Up to 31st December 2011, a total of 3 rounds physical examinations had been completed. A total of 42 718 male smokers candidates from the Chinese Kailuan Male Cohort Study were enrolled in the present study. The date of entering this study was defined as that of taking first check-up, and the date of end-of-observation was defined as that of cancer diagnosis, death or end of follow-up (31 December 2011). Information on demographics, lifestyle such as smoking, alcohol consumption, anthropometries such as height and weight, as well as the information of newly-diagnosed cancer cases, were collected at the baseline investigation. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between levels of the baseline BMI and risk of lung cancer. RESULTS: Of the 42 718 male smokers, there were 181 998.09 person-years of follow-up, taking 4.26 years of average follow-up period. During follow-up, 234 new lung cancer cases were identified among the 42 718 male smokers and the crude incidence density was 128.57/100 000. After the factors adjustment for age, education level, alcohol consumption, physical activity, work environment and cumulative smoking levels (pack-years), compared with subjects of normal BMI group, hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals of lung cancer for subjects of underweight, overweight, and obesity were 1.63 (0.79-3.37), 0.79 (0.57-1.09) and 0.50 (0.27-0.91), respectively. After the facotors adjustment for age, education level, alcohol consumption, physical activity, work environment and cumulative smoking levels (pack-years), compared with subjects of normal BMI, hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals of lung cancer for subjects of obesity among subjects who aged 50 years or above, smoked more than 20 pack-years, and exercised less than 4 times per week were 0.33 (0.15-0.71), 0.27 (0.10-0.75), and 0.44 (0.20-0.96), respectively. Obesity subjects who worked above the well had decreased risk of lung cancer (HR=0.38, 95% CI: 0.15-0.96) compared with normal BMI ones who worked above the well. CONCLUSION: BMI was negatively correlated with the risk of lung cancer in male smokers. As for male smokers, one of the most effective approaches to prevent and control the lung cancer has been shown to quit smoking and keep fit.

Detection of autoantibodies to a panel of tumor-associated antigens for the diagnosis values of gastric cardia adenocarcinoma.

To evaluate the diagnostic values of using autoantibodies in sera to a panel of eight tumor-associated antigens (TAAs) of P53, Koc, P62, C-myc, IMP1, Survivn, P16 and Cyclin B1 full-length recombinant proteins for early detection of patients with gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA) and high-risk subjects screening. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect autoantibodies against the eight selected TAAs in 383 sera samples from four groups, including 140 subjects with normal gastric cardia epithelia (NOR), 76 patients with chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), 79 patients with gastric cardia dysplasia (DYS) and 88 patients with GCA. In addition, the expression of the eight antigens was analyzed in gastric cardia tissues by immunohistochemical method. The individual autoantibodies to six TAAs (P53, P62, IMP1, Survivn P16 and Cyclin B1) were significantly higher in sera from patients with GCA than that in normal subjects (P < 0.05). When autoantibody assay successively accumulated to seven TAAs (P53, Koc, P62, C-myc, IMP1, Survivn and P16), a stepwise increased detection frequency of autoantibodies was found in the four sera groups (13% in NOR, 39% in CAG, 46% in DYS, and 64% in GCA, respectively), the risks to CAG, DYS and GCA steadily increased about 4.4-, 5.7- and 12.0-fold. The sensitivity and the specificity for autoantibodies against the seven TAAs in diagnosing GCA reached up to 64% and 87%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the seven anti-TAA autoantibodies was 0.73 (95%CI: 0.68-0.78) No more increase in sensitivity was found with the addition of new anti-TAA autoantibodies. A combination detection of autoantibodies to TAAs might be helpful to distinguish GCA patients from normal subjects and the patients with gastric cardia precancerous lesions. In addition, further studies in patients with GCA and precancerous lesions using enlarged TAA panels might improve the sensitivity and specificity of cancer detection and high-risk subjects screening.

Additional flight delays and magnetospheric-ionospheric disturbances during solar storms.

Although the sun is really far away from us, some solar activities could still influence the performance and reliability of space-borne and ground-based technological systems on Earth. Those time-varying conditions in space caused by the sun are also called solar storm or space weather. It is known that aviation activities can be affected during solar storms, but the exact effects of space weather on aviation are still unclear. Especially how the flight delays, the top topic concerned by most people, will be affected by space weather has never been thoroughly researched. By analyzing huge amount of flight data (~ 4 × 106 records), for the first time, we quantitatively investigate the flight delays during space weather events. It is found that compared to the quiet periods, the average arrival delay time and 30-min delay rate during space weather events are significantly increased by 81.34% and 21.45% respectively. The evident negative correlation between the yearly flight regularity rate and the yearly mean total sunspot number during 22 years also confirms such correlation. Further studies show that the flight delay time and delay rate will monotonically increase with the geomagnetic field fluctuations and ionospheric disturbances. These results indicate that the interferences in communication and navigation during space weather events may be the most probable reason accounting for the increased flight delays. The above analyses expand the traditional field of space weather research and could also provide us with brand new views for improving the flight delay predications.

Characteristics of flight delays during solar flares.

Solar flares are one of the severest solar activities that have important effects on near-Earth space. Previous studies have shown that flight arrival delays increase as a result of solar flares, but the intrinsic mechanism behind this relationship is still unknown. In this study, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of flight departure delays during 57 solar X-ray events by using a huge amount of flight data (~ 5 × 106 records) gathered over a 5-year period. It is found that the average flight departure delay time during solar X-ray events increased by 20.68% (7.67 min) compared to quiet periods. Our analysis also revealed apparent time and latitude dependencies, with flight delays being more serious on the dayside than on the nightside and longer (shorter) delays tending to occur in lower (higher) latitude airports during solar X-ray events. Furthermore, our results suggest that the intensity of solar flares (soft X-ray flux) and the Solar Zenith Angle directly modulate flight departure delay time and delay rate. These results indicate that communication interferences caused by solar flares directly affect flight departure delays. This work expands our conventional understanding of the impacts of solar flares on human society and provides new insights for preventing or coping with flight delays.

Can the parental socio-economic status promote the children to participate in physical exercise? An empirical study based on the survey data of CGSS 2017.

OBJECTIVE: This paper discusses the promotion effect and mechanism of the parental socio-economic status (SES) on their offspring's participation in physical exercise and provides direction and guidance for the formulation of sports public policies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 7,965 data were obtained from the 2017 Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) dataset. To investigate the effect and mechanism of parental SES in encouraging offspring to engage in physical activity, this paper used a binary logistic regression model and an ordinal logistic regression model. The moderating effects of urban-rural variables and birth cohorts were explored through hierarchical regression analysis and regression coefficient difference test. Robustness tests were performed by sample screening and model replacement. RESULTS: After controlling for related variables, the parental SES can improve the possibility of children's participation in physical exercise (OR = 1.134, p < 0.01). Part of this promotion effect is realized by improving their children's education level (19.87%) and social communication (2.56%), and the promotion effect increases gradually with the passage of time and social changes. The robustness test results show that the empirical research results are reliable. CONCLUSIONS: The parental SES can promote their children to participate in physical exercise.

[Progress in cohort study of lung cancer in high-risk population in communities].

The cohort study of lung cancer in high-risk population in communities in China was a part of Lung Cancer Cohort Study initiated in 2017 and funded by Precision Medicine Research of National Key Research and Development Program. Around 50 000 participants from the communities were enrolled from 7 cities in 7 regions in China. Information about the risk factors for lung cancer were collected and the populations at high risk for lung cancer were identified. Then, low-dose CT (LDCT) screening of lung cancer was conducted in the populations at high risk, and further information about the diagnosis of lung cancer cases and death cases were collected. Therefore, a community population-based cohort was established for lung cancer risk factor exposure survey, high risk population evaluation, LDCT screening and lung cancer case and death follow up. Meanwhile, biological samples were collected from all the participants in the cohort to support the future precision medicine research of lung cancer.

Energetic electrons associated with magnetic reconnection in the magnetic cloud boundary layer.

Here is reported in situ observation of energetic electrons (∼100-500 keV) associated with magnetic reconnection in the solar wind by the ACE and Wind spacecraft. The properties of this magnetic cloud driving reconnection and the associated energetic electron acceleration problem are discussed. Further analyses indicate that the electric field acceleration and Fermi-type mechanism are two fundamental elements in the electron acceleration processes and the trapping effect of the specific magnetic field configuration maintains the acceleration status that increases the totally gained energy.

CX3CR1 participates in pulmonary angiogenesis in experimental hepatopulmonary syndrome mice through inhibiting AKT/ERK signaling pathway and regulating NO/NOS release.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatopulmonary syndrome (HPS) is a kind of pulmonary microvascular disease and occurs in 15%-30% cirrhosis. This study aimed to investigate the effects of pulmonary CX3CR1 on angiogenesis and associated mechanisms in HPS animal models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: CX3CR1GFP/GFP mice were constructed by replacing CX3CR1 with GFP. Common bile duct ligation (CBDL) mouse model was established with surgery. Release of nitric oxide (NO) was evaluated. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was employed to examine the inflammation of lung tissues. CD31 expression was detected with immunohistochemistry assay. Western blotting was used to evaluate the expression of CX3CL1, CX3CR1, phosphorylated-AKT (p-AKT), phosphorylated-ERK (p-ERK). Quantitative Real Time-PCR (qRT-PCR) assay was used to examine VEGF, PDGF, iNOS, eNOS, and HO-1 expression. RESULTS: CX3CR1-deficiency (CX3CR1GFP/GFP-sham or CX3CR1GFP/GFP-CBDL mice) significantly reduced NO release compared to wide type (WT)-mice or WT-CBDL mice (p<0.05). CX3CR1-deficiency significantly alleviated inflammation compared to wide type (WT)-mice or WT-CBDL mice (p<0.05). CX3CR1-deficiency significantly reduced CD31 expression compared to WT-sham and WT-CBDL mice, respectively (p<0.05). CX3CR1 also participated in anti-angiogenesis efficacy of Bevacizumab. CX3CR1-deficiency significantly down-regulated the ratio of p-AKT/AKT and p-ERK/ERK and inhibited the secretion of VEGF and PDGF compared to WT-mice (p<0.05). CX3CR1-deficiency significantly reduced iNOS, eNOS, and HO-1 expression compared to WT-mice (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: CX3CR1 deficiency reduced VEGF and PDGF production, inhibited p-AKT, and p-ERK activation and down-regulated iNOS, eNOS, and HO-1 expression. Therefore, CX3CR1 participates in pulmonary angiogenesis in the experimental HPS mice via inhibiting AKT/ERK signaling pathway and regulating NO/NOS release. These findings would provide a potential insight for clarifying the pathological mechanisms of HPS.