Frailty Prevalence, Incidence, and Association with Incident Disability in the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

INTRODUCTION: Data on frailty frequency are heterogeneous and mostly based on cross-sectional studies. Little is known about frailty development and progression over time. Our aim was to conduct a systematic analysis of frailty prevalence and incidence in a large cohort of older adults and to evaluate the association with incident disability, in order to tackle the current paucity and fragmentation of longitudinal data on frailty. METHODS: As secondary analysis of the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA) population-based cohort (n = 5,632, 65-84), frailty status was operationalized according to Fried criteria (n = 2,457). Weighted prevalence and incidence rates were calculated at each ILSA wave (T0 1992-1993, T1 1995-1996, T2 2000-2001). The association with incident disability in Activities of Daily Living (ADL) or Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) was investigated through Cox proportional hazard models, controlling for possible confounders. RESULTS: Prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty at baseline (mean age 71.6 years; women 58.9%) were 4.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.4-4.6) and 44.6% (95% CI: 43.1-46.1), respectively. Incidence rates per 1,000 person-years for the T0-T1 interval were 7.3 (95% CI: 5.2-9.3) for frailty and 83.7 (95% CI: 73.6-93.8) for pre-frailty. Prevalence and incidence of frailty, and to a lesser degree of pre-frailty, were overall higher for women and increased with age, yet no increasing trend with advancing age was detected for pre-frailty incidence. Frailty incidence rates were significantly higher among pre-frail than non-frail individuals at follow-up entry. After full adjustment, being frail markedly increased the risk of incident disability in ADL (hazard ratio [HR] 3.58, 95% CI: 1.97-6.52) and IADL (HR 2.56, 95% CI: 1.58-4.16) over a 4-year period. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: According to our findings, frailty is common among older people and is a strong and independent predictor of disability. Further research on factors and characteristics related to frailty progression, and especially remission, over time is crucial to calibrate effective public health preventive measures.

Biopsychosocial frailty and mild cognitive impairment subtypes: Findings from the Italian project on the epidemiology of Alzheimer's disease (IPREA).

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is a critical intermediate status of the aging process including physical, cognitive, and psychosocial phenotypes. We operationalized a biopsychosocial frailty construct, estimating its association with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and its subtypes. METHODS: In 1980, older individuals from the population-based Italian PRoject on the Epidemiology of Alzheimer's disease (IPREA), we investigated cross-sectional associations among biopsychosocial frailty, MCI, and its subtypes. RESULTS: Participants with biopsychosocial frailty showed an increased odds ratio (OR) of MCI [OR: 4.36; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.60-7.29; Fisher's exact p < 0.01], particularly for nonamnestic MCI single domain (naMCI-SD, OR:3.28; 95% CI: 1.35-7.97; Fisher's exact p = 0.02) and for nonamnestic MCI multiple domain (naMCI-MD, OR:6.92; 95% CI: 3.37-14.21; Fisher's exact p < 0.01). No statistically significant associations between amnestic MCI single or multiple domain and biopsychosocial frailty were observed. DISCUSSION: In a large, older Italian cohort, a biopsychosocial frailty phenotype was associated with MCI, in particular, could be associated with some of its subtypes, that is, naMCI-SD, and naMCI-MD.

Orthogeriatric co-management for the care of older subjects with hip fracture: recommendations from an Italian intersociety consensus.

BACKGROUND: Health outcomes of older subjects with hip fracture (HF) may be negatively influenced by multiple comorbidities and frailty. An integrated multidisciplinary approach (i.e. the orthogeriatric model) is, therefore, highly recommended, but its implementation in clinical practice suffers from the lack of shared management protocols and poor awareness of the problem. The present consensus document has been implemented to address these issues. AIM: To develop evidence-based recommendations for the orthogeriatric co-management of older subjects with HF. METHODS: A 20-member Expert Task Force of geriatricians, orthopaedics, anaesthesiologists, physiatrists, physiotherapists and general practitioners was established to develop evidence-based recommendations for the pre-, peri-, intra- and postoperative care of older in-patients (≥ 65 years) with HF. A modified Delphi approach was used to achieve consensus, and the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force system was used to rate the strength of recommendations and the quality of evidence. RESULTS: A total of 120 recommendations were proposed, covering 32 clinical topics and concerning preoperative evaluation (11 topics), perioperative (8 topics) and intraoperative (3 topics) management, and postoperative care (10 topics). CONCLUSION: These recommendations should ease and promote the multidisciplinary management of older subjects with HF by integrating the expertise of different specialists. By providing a convenient list of topics of interest, they might assist in identifying unmet needs and research priorities.

Management of hip fracture in the older people: rationale and design of the Italian consensus on the orthogeriatric co-management.

BACKGROUND: Hip fracture (HF) is a burdening health problem in older people. The orthogeriatric approach has been shown to favour functional recovery and reduce mortality, but its implementation in clinical practice cannot rely upon shared management protocols and greatly varies among different healthcare systems. Here, we present the rationale and design of the Italian consensus document on the management of HF in older people. METHODS: A panel of multidisciplinary experts from ten Italian scientific societies involved in the care of HF and including geriatricians, orthopaedics, anaesthesiologists, physiatrists and general practitioners, will join to establish the content validity of a list of statements. A Delphi consensus methodology will be applied to obtain the opinions of the panel and to provide the final recommendations. OBJECTIVES: The document will include indications on the following relevant topics: (1) optimal care path of older subjects with HF; (2) management of comorbidities and pre-operative alteration of physiological parameters; (3) management of selected categories of patients at expected increased risk of adverse outcomes; (4) continuity of care out of hospital; (5) screening and correction of risk factors for HF in older subjects; (6) information and divulgation of shared management strategies. The objective of the consensus will be to inform clinicians, patients, researchers, and health policy makers about the best management strategies for HF in older people and their inherent limitations, thus facilitating communication between stakeholders and promoting the most cost/effective models of care.

European Collaborative and Interprofessional Capability Framework for Prevention and Management of Frailty-a consensus process supported by the Joint Action for Frailty Prevention (ADVANTAGE) and the European Geriatric Medicine Society (EuGMS).

BACKGROUND: Interprofessional collaborative practice (ICP) is currently recommended for the delivery of high-quality integrated care for older people. Frailty prevention and management are key elements to be tackled on a multi-professional level. AIM: This study aims to develop a consensus-based European multi-professional capability framework for frailty prevention and management. METHODS: Using a modified Delphi technique, a consensus-based framework of knowledge, skills and attitudes for all professions involved in the care pathway of older people was developed within two consultation rounds. The template for the process was derived from competency frameworks collected in a comprehensive approach from EU-funded projects of the European Commission (EC) supported best practice models for health workforce development. RESULTS: The agreed framework consists of 25 items structured in 4 domains of capabilities. Content covers the understanding about frailty, skills for screening and assessment as well as management procedures for every profession involved. The majority of items focused on interprofessional collaboration, communication and person-centred care planning. DISCUSSION: This framework facilitates clarification of professionals' roles and standardizes procedures for cross-sectional care processes. Despite a lack of evidence for educational interventions, health workforce development remains an important aspect of quality assurance in health care systems. CONCLUSIONS: The multi-professional capability framework for frailty prevention and management incorporated interprofessional collaborative practice, consistent with current recommendations by the World Health Organization, Science Advice for Policy by European Academies and the European Commission.

Biopsychosocial frailty and the risk of incident dementia: The Italian longitudinal study on aging.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is a critical intermediate status of the aging process including physical, cognitive, and psychosocial domains/phenotypes. We operationalized a new biopsychosocial frailty (BF) construct, estimating its impact on the risk of incident dementia and its subtypes. METHODS: In 2171 older individuals from the population-based Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA), we identified by latent class procedures the BF construct as the physical frail status plus at least one of the two items of the 30-item Geriatric Depression Scale impaired (items 3/10). RESULTS: Over a 3.5-year follow-up, participants with BF showed an increased risk of overall dementia (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.07-4.37), particularly vascular dementia (VaD) (HR: 3.21, 95% CI: 1.05-9.75). Similarly, over a 7-year follow-up, an increased risk of overall dementia (HR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.06-3.20), particularly VaD (HR: 2.53, 95% CI: 1.08-5.91), was also observed. DISCUSSION: In a large cohort of Italian older individuals without cognitive impairment at baseline, a BF model was a short- and long-term predictor of overall dementia, particularly VaD.

Additive Role of a Potentially Reversible Cognitive Frailty Model and Inflammatory State on the Risk of Disability: The Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

OBJECTIVE: Cognitive frailty is a condition recently defined by operationalized criteria describing the simultaneous presence of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Two subtypes for this clinical construct have been proposed: "potentially reversible" cognitive frailty (physical frailty plus MCI) and "reversible" cognitive frailty (physical frailty plus pre-MCI subjective cognitive decline). Here the prevalence of a potentially reversible cognitive frailty model was estimated. It was also evaluated if introducing a diagnosis of MCI in older subjects with physical frailty could have an additive role on the risk of dementia, disability, and all-cause mortality in comparison with frailty state or MCI condition alone, with analyses separately performed for inflammatory state. METHODS: In 2,373 individuals from the population-based Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging with a 3.5-year-follow-up, we operationally categorized older individuals without dementia into four groups: non-frail/non-MCI, non-frail/MCI, frail/non-MCI, and frail/MCI. RESULTS: The prevalence of potentially reversible cognitive frailty was 1%, increasing with age and more represented in women than in men, and all groups were associated with significant increased incident rate ratios of dementia, disability, and mortality. A significant difference in rates of disability has been found between the MCI and non-MCI groups (contrasts of adjusted predictions: 0.461; 95% confidence interval: 0.187-0.735) in frail individuals with high inflammatory states (fibrinogen >339 mg/dL). CONCLUSION: In older individuals without dementia and with elevated inflammation, a potentially reversible cognitive frailty model could have a significant additional predictive effect on the risk of disability than the single conditions of frailty or MCI.

Hippocampal atrophy in people with memory deficits: results from the population-based IPREA study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical studies have shown that hippocampal atrophy is present before dementia in people with memory deficits and can predict dementia development. The question remains whether this association holds in the general population. This is of interest for the possible use of hippocampal atrophy to screen population for preventive interventions. The aim of this study was to assess hippocampal volume and shape abnormalities in elderly adults with memory deficits in a cross-sectional population-based study. METHODS: We included individuals participating in the Italian Project on the Epidemiology of Alzheimer Disease (IPREA) study: 75 cognitively normal individuals (HC), 31 individuals with memory deficits (MEM), and 31 individuals with memory deficits not otherwise specified (MEMnos). Hippocampal volumes and shape were extracted through manual tracing and the growing and adaptive meshes (GAMEs) shape-modeling algorithm. We investigated between-group differences in hippocampal volume and shape, and correlations with memory deficits. RESULTS: In MEM participants, hippocampal volumes were significantly smaller than in HC and were mildly associated with worse memory scores. Memory-associated shape changes mapped to the anterior hippocampus. Shape-based analysis detected no significant difference between MEM and HC, while MEMnos showed shape changes in the posterior hippocampus compared with HC and MEM groups. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support the discriminant validity of hippocampal volumetry as a biomarker of memory impairment in the general population. The detection of shape changes in MEMnos but not in MEM participants suggests that shape-based biomarkers might lack sensitivity to detect Alzheimer's-like pathology in the general population.

Frailty syndrome and the risk of vascular dementia: the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a clinical syndrome generally associated with a greater risk for adverse outcomes such as falls, disability, institutionalization, and death. Cognition and dementia have already been considered as components of frailty, but the role of frailty as a possible determinant of dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) has been poorly investigated. We estimated the predictive role of frailty syndrome on incident dementia and its subtypes in a nondemented, Italian, older population. METHODS: We evaluated 2581 individuals recruited from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging sample population consisting of 5632 subjects aged 65 to 84 years and with a 3.9-year median follow-up. A phenotype of frailty according to a modified measurement of Cardiovascular Health Study criteria was operationalized. Dementia, AD, and VaD were classified using current published criteria. RESULTS: Over a 3.5-year follow-up, 65 of 2581 (2.5%) older subjects, 16 among 252 frail individuals (6.3%), of which 9 were affected by VaD (3.6%), developed overall dementia. In a proportional hazards model, frailty syndrome was associated with a significantly increased risk of overall dementia (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.85; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-3.40) and, in particular, VaD (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.68; 95% confidence interval: 1.16-7.17). The risk of AD or other types of dementia did not significantly change in frail individuals in comparison with subjects without frailty syndrome. CONCLUSION: In our large population-based sample, frailty syndrome was a short-term predictor of overall dementia and VaD.

Associations of a biopsychosocial frailty phenotype with all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease, vascular dementia, and other dementias: the Italian PRoject on the Epidemiology of Alzheimer's disease (IPREA).

Frailty is a critical intermediate status of the aging process including physical, cognitive, and psychosocial domains/phenotypes. We operationalized a new biopsychosocial frailty construct, estimating its impact on the odds of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD), vascular dementia (VaD), and other dementias in 2838 older individuals from the population-based Italian PRoject on the Epidemiology of Alzheimer's disease (IPREA). Biopsychosocial frailty operationalization was based on the results of a previous comprehensive geriatric assessment and the presence of physical frailty. In this cross-sectional study, participants with biopsychosocial frailty showed an increased odds ratio of all-cause dementia [odds ratio (OR): 5.55, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.72-8.28, p < 0.001], in particular for probable AD (OR: 3.62, 95% CI: 1.55-8.45, p < 0.001), probable VaD (OR: 10.05, 95% CI: 5.05-19.97, p < 0.001), and possible VaD (OR: 17.61, 95% CI: 6.42-48.32, p < 0.001). No statistically significant association was found between this biopsychosocial frailty phenotype and possible AD (OR: 2.84, 95% CI: 0.81-9.97, p = 0.09) or other dementias (OR: 1.77, 95% CI: 0.75-0.21, p = 0.19). In conclusion, in a large cohort of Italian older individuals, a biopsychosocial frailty model was associated to all-cause dementia, probable AD, and probable and possible VaD. In the next future, other large and prospective population-based studies evaluating the association between the biopsychosocial frailty phenotype and incident all-cause dementia, AD, and VaD are needed, addressing also potential bias and confounding sources.

Trends in hip and distal femoral fracture rates in Italy from 2007 to 2017.

Osteoporosis-related fractures are a growing public health concern worldwide due to high societal and economic burden. The study aims to assess trends in incidence rates of hip and distal femoral fractures and in the use of anti-osteoporosis drugs in Italy between 2007 and 2017. Patients with hip and distal femoral fractures (ICD-9-CM codes 820.x and 821.x) were identified in the Italian National Hospital Discharge Database while anti-osteoporosis medication data were retrieved from the National Observatory on the Use of Medicines Database. A joinpoint regression analysis was performed to identify the years where the trends in incidence rates of hip and distal femoral fractures changed significantly; the average annual percentage change for the period of observation was estimated. Hospitalizations for femoral fractures were 991,059, of which 91.4% were hip fractures and 76.5% occurred in women. Age-standardized hip fractures rate per 100,000 person-years decreased both in women (-8.7%; from 789.9 in 2007 to 721.5 in 2017) and in men (-4.3%; from 423.9 to 405.6), while the rate of distal femoral fractures increased by 23.9% in women (from 67.78 to 83.95) and 22.7% in men (from 27.76 to 34.06). These changes were associated with an increment in the use of anti-osteoporosis drugs from 2007 to 2011 (from 9.1 to 12.4 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), followed by a plateau in the period 2012-2017. The use of bisphosphonates increased progressively from 2007 to 2010 (from 8.2 to 10.5 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), followed by a plateau and then decreased from 2015 onwards. The decreasing trend of hip fractures could be related to a major intake of anti-osteoporosis medications while the increment of distal femoral fractures might be due to population aging and to the use of bisphosphonates and denosumab. Further research is needed to identify and implement interventions to prevent hip and distal femoral fractures.

Metabolic syndrome and the risk of vascular dementia: the Italian Longitudinal Study on Ageing.

OBJECTIVE: The authors investigated the relationship of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its individual components with incident dementia in a prospective population-based study with a 3.5-year follow-up. METHODS: A total of 2097 participants from a sample of 5632 subjects (65-84 years old) from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Ageing were evaluated. MetS was defined according to the Third Adults Treatment Panel of the National Cholesterol Education Program criteria. Dementia, Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) were classified using current published criteria. RESULTS: MetS subjects (N=918) compared with those without MetS (N=1179) had an increased risk for VaD (1.63% vs 0.85%, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.71, 95% CI 1.40 to 9.83). After excluding 338 subjects with baseline undernutrition, MetS subjects compared with those without MetS had an elevated risk of VaD (adjusted HR, 3.82; 95% CI 1.32 to 11.06). Moreover, those with MetS and high inflammation had a still further higher risk of VaD (multivariate adjusted HR, 9.55; 95% CI 1.17 to 78.17) compared with those without MetS and high inflammation. On the other hand, those with MetS and low inflammation compared with those without MetS and low inflammation did not exhibit a significant increased risk of VaD (adjusted HR, 3.31, 95% CI 0.91 to 12.14). Finally, a synergistic MetS effect versus its individual component effects was verified on the risk of VaD. CONCLUSION: In our population, MetS subjects had an elevated risk of VaD that increased after excluding patients with baseline undernutrition and selecting MetS subjects with high inflammation.

Liver fibrosis score, physical frailty, and the risk of dementia in older adults: The Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

INTRODUCTION: Liver fibrosis increases progressively with aging and has been associated with poorer cognitive performance in middle-aged and older adults. We investigated the relationships between a non-invasive score for advanced liver fibrosis (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] fibrosis score [NFS]) and dementia risk. We also assessed physical frailty, a common geriatric condition which is associated to dementia. We tested the joint effects of physical frailty and fibrosis on dementia incidence. METHODS: A total of 1061 older adults (65 to 84 years), from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging, were prospectively evaluated for the risk of dementia in a period between 1992 and 2001. Liver fibrosis was defined according to the NFS. Physical frailty was assessed according to the Fried's criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the short- and long-term risk of overall dementia, associated to the NFS, testing the effect modifier of physical frailty status. RESULTS: Older adults with only high NFS (F3-F4) did not exhibit a significant increased risk of overall dementia. Over 8 years of follow-up, frail older adults with high NFS had an increased risk of overall dementia (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.23; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22 to 14.70, P = .023). Finally, physically frail older adults with low albumin serum levels (albumin < 4.3 g/dL) and with advanced liver fibrosis (F3-F4 NFS) compared to those with lower liver fibrosis score (F0-F2 NFS) were more likely to have a higher risk of overall dementia in a long term-period (HR: 16.42; 95% CI: 1.44 to 187.67, P = .024). DISCUSSION: Advanced liver fibrosis (F3-F4 NFS) could be a long-term predictor for overall dementia in people with physical frailty. These findings should encourage a typical geriatric, multidisciplinary assessment which accounts also for the possible co-presence of frail condition in older adults with chronic liver disease and liver fibrosis.

Marital and cohabitation status as predictors of mortality: a 10-year follow-up of an Italian elderly cohort.

The relationship between mortality and marital status has long been recognized, but only a small number of investigations consider also the association with cohabitation status. Moreover, age and gender differences have not been sufficiently clarified. In addition, little is known on this matter about the Italian elderly population. The aim of this study is to examine differentials in survival with respect to marital status and cohabitation status in order to evaluate their possible predictive value on mortality of an Italian elderly cohort. This paper employs data from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA), an extensive epidemiologic project on subjects aged 65-84 years. Of the 5376 individuals followed-up from 1992 to 2002, 1977 died, and 1492 were lost during follow-up period. The baseline interview was administered to 84% of the 5376 individuals and 65% of them underwent biological and instrumental examination. Relative risks of mortality for marital (married vs. non-married) and cohabitation (not living alone vs. living alone) categories are estimated through hazard ratios (HR), obtained by means of the Cox proportional hazards regression model, adjusting for age and several other potentially confounding variables. Non-married men (HR=1.25; 95% CI: 1.03-1.52) and those living alone (HR=1.42; 95% CI: 1.05-1.92) show a statistically significant increased mortality risk compared to their married or cohabiting counterparts. After age-adjustment, women's survival is influenced neither by marital status nor by cohabitation status. None of the other covariates significantly alters the observed differences in mortality, in either gender. Neither marital nor cohabitation status are independent predictors of mortality among Italian women 65+, while among men living alone is a predictor of mortality even stronger than not being married. These results suggest that Italian men benefit more than women from the protective effect of living with someone.

Hypertension and frailty: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To review the association between hypertension and frailty in observational studies. DESIGN: A systematic review of the PubMed, Web of Science and Embase databases was performed. A meta-analysis was performed if at least three studies used the same definition of frailty and a dichotomous definition of hypertension. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND MEASURES: Studies providing information on the association between frailty and hypertension in adult persons, regardless of the study setting, study design or definition of hypertension and frailty were included. RESULTS: Among the initial 964 articles identified, 27 were included in the review. Four longitudinal studies examined the incidence of frailty according to baseline hypertension status, providing conflicting results. Twenty-three studies assessed the cross-sectional association between frailty and hypertension: 13 of them reported a significantly higher prevalence of frailty in hypertensive participants and 10 found no significant association. The pooled prevalence of hypertension in frail individuals was 72% (95% CI 66% to 79%) and the pooled prevalence of frailty in individuals with hypertension was 14% (95% CI 12% to 17%). Five studies, including a total of 7656 participants, reported estimates for the association between frailty and hypertension (pooled OR 1.33; 95% CI 0.94 to 1.89). CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is common in persons with hypertension. Given the possible influence of frailty on the risk-benefit ratio of treatment for hypertension and its high prevalence, it is important to assess the presence of this condition in persons with hypertension. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42017058303.

Transitions and trajectories in frailty states over time: a systematic review of the European Joint Action ADVANTAGE.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is a dynamic syndrome and may be reversible. Despite this, little is known about trajectories or transitions between different stages of frailty. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted, selecting studies reporting frailty trajectories or transition states for adults in any settings in European ADVANTAGE Joint Action Member States. RESULTS: Only three papers were included. Data were from longitudinal community-based cohorts in the United Kingdom, Netherlands and Italy. The English study investigated the effect of physical activity on the progression of frailty over a 10-year period. Two presented data on the proportion of participants experiencing at least one frailty transition over time (32.6% in the Italian sample aged ≥ 65 years followed for 4.4 years; 34.3% in the Dutch sample aged 65-75 years, followed for 2 years). CONCLUSIONS: Data on frailty trajectories and transition states were limited and heterogeneous. Well-designed prospective studies and harmonized approaches to data collection are now needed.

Incidence of frailty: a systematic review of scientific literature from a public health perspective.

INTRODUCTION: Because of the dynamic nature of frailty, prospective epidemiological data are essential to calibrate an adequate public health response. METHODS: A systematic review of literature on frailty incidence was conducted within the European Joint Action ADVANTAGE. RESULTS: Of the 6 studies included, only 3 were specifically aimed at estimating frailty incidence, and only 2 provided disaggregated results by at least gender. The mean follow-up length (1-22.2 years; median 5.1), sample size (74-6306 individuals), and age of participants (≥ 30-65) varied greatly across studies. The adoption of incidence proportions rather than rates further limited comparability of results. After removing one outlier, incidence ranged from 5% (follow-up 22.2 years; age ≥ 30) to 13% (follow-up 1 year, age ≥ 55). CONCLUSIONS: Well-designed prospective studies of frailty are necessary. To facilitate comparison across studies and over time, incidence should be estimated in person-time rate. Analyses of factors associated with the development of frailty are needed to identify high-risk groups.

Population screening, monitoring and surveillance for frailty: three systematic reviews and a grey literature review.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about programmes or interventions for the screening, monitoring and surveillance of frailty at population level. METHODS: Three systematic searches and an opportunistic grey literature review from the countries participating in the ADVANTAGE Joint Action were performed. RESULTS: Three studies reported local interventions to screen for frailty, two of them using a two-step screening and assessment method and one including monitoring activities. Another paper reviewed both providers' and participants' experiences of screening activities. Three on-going European projects and population-screening programmes in primary care await evaluation. An electronic Frailty Index for use with patients' primary care records has been recently validated. No study described systematic processes for the surveillance of frailty. CONCLUSIONS: There is insufficient evidence for the effectiveness of population-level screening, monitoring and surveillance of frailty. Development and evaluation of community-based two-step programmes including those that incorporate electronic health records, particularly in primary care, are now needed.

Prevalence of frailty at population level in European ADVANTAGE Joint Action Member States: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Although frailty is common among community-dwelling older adults, its prevalence in Europe and how this varies between countries is unclear. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of literature on frailty prevalence in 22 European countries involved in the Joint Action ADVANTAGE was conducted. RESULTS: Sixty-two papers, representing 68 unique datasets were included. Meta-analysis showed an overall estimated frailty prevalence of 18% (95% confidence interval, CI, 15-21%). The prevalence in community (n = 53) vs non-community based studies (n = 15) was 12% (95% CI 10-15%) and 45% (95% CI 27-63%), respectively. Pooled prevalence in community studies adopting a physical phenotype was 12% (95% CI 10-14%, n = 45) vs 16% (95% CI 7-29%, n = 8) for all other definitions. Sub-analysis of a subgroup of studies assessed as high-quality (n = 47) gave a pooled estimate of 17% (95% CI 13-21%). CONCLUSIONS: The considerable and significant heterogeneity found warrants the development of common methodological approaches to provide accurate and comparable frailty prevalence estimates at population-level.

Reversible Cognitive Frailty, Dementia, and All-Cause Mortality. The Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

OBJECTIVES: Cognitive frailty, a condition describing the simultaneous presence of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment, has been recently defined by an international consensus group. We estimated the predictive role of a "reversible" cognitive frailty model on incident dementia, its subtypes, and all-cause mortality in nondemented older individuals. We verified if vascular risk factors or depressive symptoms could modify this predictive role. DESIGN: Longitudinal population-based study with 3.5- and 7-year of median follow-up. SETTING: Eight Italian municipalities included in the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging. PARTICIPANTS: In 2150 older individuals from the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging, we operationalized reversible cognitive frailty with the presence of physical frailty and pre-mild cognitive impairment subjective cognitive decline, diagnosed with a self-report measure based on item 14 of the Geriatric Depression Scale. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of dementia, its subtypes, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Over a 3.5-year follow-up, participants with reversible cognitive frailty showed an increased risk of overall dementia [hazard ratio (HR) 2.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-5.18], particularly vascular dementia (VaD), and all-cause mortality (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.07-2.83). Over a 7-year follow-up, participants with reversible cognitive frailty showed an increased risk of overall dementia (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.12-4.03), particularly VaD, and all-cause mortality (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.03-2.00). Vascular risk factors and depressive symptoms did not have any effect modifier on the relationship between reversible cognitive frailty and incident dementia and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A model of reversible cognitive frailty was a short- and long-term predictor of all-cause mortality and overall dementia, particularly VaD. The absence of vascular risk factors and depressive symptoms did not modify the predictive role of reversible cognitive frailty on these outcomes.