Surrogate endpoints for overall survival in randomized clinical trials testing immune checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Introduction: There is debate on which are the best surrogate endpoint and metric to capture treatment effect on overall survival (OS) in RCTs testing immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Methods: We systematically searched for RCTs testing ICIs in patients with advanced solid tumors. Inclusion criteria were: RCTs i) assessing PD-(L)1 and CTLA-4 inhibitors either as monotherapy or in combination with another ICI, and/or targeted therapy, and/or chemotherapy, in patients with advanced solid tumors; ii) randomizing at least 100 patients. We performed a meta-analysis of RCTs to compare the surrogacy value of PFS and modified-PFS (mPFS) for OS in RCTs testing ICIs, when the treatment effect is measured by the hazard ratio (HR) for OS, and by the HR and the ratio of restricted mean survival time (rRMST) for PFS and mPFS. Results: 61 RCTs (67 treatment comparisons and 36,034 patients) were included in the analysis. In comparisons testing ICI plus chemotherapy, HRPFS and HRmPFS both had a strong surrogacy value (R2 = 0.74 and R2 = 0.81, respectively). In comparisons testing ICI as monotherapy, HRPFS was the best surrogate, although having a moderate correlation (R2 = 0.58). In comparisons testing ICI plus other treatment(s), the associations were very weak for all the surrogate endpoints and treatment effect measures, with R2 ranging from 0.01 to 0.22. Conclusion: In RCTs testing ICIs, the value of potential surrogates for HROS was strongly affected by the type of treatment(s) tested. The evidence available supports HRPFS as the best surrogate, and disproves the use of alternative endpoints, such as the mPFS, or treatment effect measures, such as the RMST.

Prediction of Benefit From Adjuvant Pertuzumab by 80-Gene Signature in the APHINITY (BIG 4-11) Trial.

PURPOSE: At the primary analysis, the APHINITY trial reported a statistically significant but modest benefit of adding pertuzumab to standard adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in patients with histologically confirmed human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive early-stage breast cancer. This study evaluated whether the 80-gene molecular subtyping signature (80-GS) could identify patients within the APHINITY population who derive the most benefit from dual anti-HER2 therapy. METHODS: In a nested case-control study design of 1,023 patients (matched event to control ratio of 3:1), the 80-GS classified breast tumors into functional luminal type, HER2 type, or basal type. Additionally, 80-GS distinguished tumor subtypes that exhibited a single-dominant functional pathway versus tumors with multiple activated pathways. The primary end point was invasive disease-free survival (IDFS). Hazard ratios (HRs) were evaluated by Cox regression. After excluding patients without appropriate consent and those with missing data, 964 patients were included. RESULTS: The 80-GS classified 50% (n = 479) of tumors as luminal type, 28% (n = 275) as HER2 type, and 22% (n = 209) as basal type. Most luminal-type tumors (86%) displayed a single-activated pathway, whereas 49% of HER2-type and 42% of basal-type tumors were dual activated. There was no significant difference in IDFS among different conventional 80-GS subtypes (single- and dual-activated subtypes combined). However, basal single-subtype tumors were significantly more likely to have an IDFS event (hazard ratio, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.12 to 2.54]) compared with other subtypes. HER2 single-subtype tumors displayed a trend toward greater beneficial effect on the addition of pertuzumab (hazard ratio, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.27 to 1.16]) compared with all other subtypes. CONCLUSION: The 80-GS identified subgroups of histologically confirmed HER2-positive tumors with distinct biological characteristics. Basal single-subtype tumors exhibit an inferior prognosis compared with other subgroups and may be candidates for additional therapeutic strategies. Preliminary results suggest patients with HER2-positive, genomically HER2 single-subtype tumors may particularly benefit from added pertuzumab, which warrants further investigation.

Outcomes of patients with advanced solid tumors who discontinued immune-checkpoint inhibitors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: The outcome of patients with metastatic tumors who discontinued immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) not for progressive disease (PD) has been poorly explored. We performed a meta-analysis of all studies reporting the clinical outcome of patients who discontinued ICIs for reasons other than PD. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase and Scopus databases, from the inception of each database to December 2023, for clinical trials (randomized or not) and observational studies assessing PD-(L)1 and CTLA-4 inhibitors in patients with metastatic solid tumors who discontinued treatment for reasons other than PD. Each study had to provide swimmer plots or Kaplan-Meier survival curves enabling the reconstruction of individual patient-level data on progression-free survival (PFS) following the discontinuation of immunotherapy. The primary endpoint was PFS from the date of treatment discontinuation overall and according to tumor histotype, type of treatment and reason of discontinuation. The Combersure's method was used to estimate meta-analytical non-parametric summary survival curves assuming random effects at study level. Findings: Thirty-six studies (2180 patients) were included. The pooled median PFS (mPFS) was 24.7 months (95% CI, 18.8-30.6) and the PFS-rate at 12, 24, and 36 months was respectively 69.8% (95% CI, 63.1-77.3), 51.0% (95% CI, 43.4-59.8) and 34.0% (95% CI, 27.0-42.9). Univariable analysis showed that the mPFS was significantly longer for patients with melanoma (43.0 months), as compared with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC, 13.5 months) and renal cell carcinoma (RCC, 10.0 months; between-strata comparison test p-value < 0.001); for patients treated with anti-PD-(L)1 + anti-CTLA-4 as compared with anti-PD-(L)1 monotherapy (44.6 versus 19.9 months; p-value < 0.001), and in NSCLC when the reason of treatment discontinuation was elective as compared with toxicity onset (19.6 versus 4.8 months; p-value = 0.003). The multivariable analysis confirmed these differences. Interpretation: The long-term outcome of patients who stopped ICIs for reasons other than PD was substantially affected by clinicopathological features: PFS after treatment discontinuation was longer in patients with melanoma, and/or treated with anti-PD-(L)1 + anti-CTLA-4, and shorter in patients with RCC or in those patients with NSCLC who stopped treatment for toxicity onset. Funding: The Italian Ministry of University and Research (PRIN 2022Y7HHNW).

Fertility Preservation and Assisted Reproduction in Patients With Breast Cancer Interrupting Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy to Attempt Pregnancy.

PURPOSE: We investigated time to pregnancy, efficacy and safety of fertility preservation, and assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) in women with early hormone receptor-positive breast cancer (BC) desiring future pregnancy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: POSITIVE is an international, single-arm, prospective trial, in which 518 women temporarily interrupted adjuvant endocrine therapy to attempt pregnancy. We evaluated menstruation recovery and factors associated with time to pregnancy and investigated if ART use was associated with achieving pregnancy. The cumulative incidence of BC-free interval (BCFI) events was estimated according to the use of ovarian stimulation at diagnosis. The median follow-up was 41 months. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-three patients (53%) reported amenorrhea at enrollment, of whom 94% resumed menses within 12 months. Among 497 patients evaluable for pregnancy, 368 (74%) reported at least one pregnancy. Young age was the main factor associated with shorter time to pregnancy with cumulative incidences of pregnancy by 1 year of 63.5%, 54.3%, and 37.7% for patients age <35, 35-39, and 40-42 years, respectively. One hundred and seventy-nine patients (36%) had embryo/oocyte cryopreservation at diagnosis, of whom 68 reported embryo transfer after enrollment. Cryopreserved embryo transfer was the only ART associated with higher chance of pregnancy (odds ratio, 2.41 [95% CI, 1.75 to 4.95]). The cumulative incidence of BCFI events at 3 years was similar for women who underwent ovarian stimulation for cryopreservation at diagnosis, 9.7% (95% CI, 6.0 to 15.4), compared with those who did not, 8.7% (95% CI, 6.0 to 12.5). CONCLUSION: In POSITIVE, fertility preservation using ovarian stimulation was not associated with short-term detrimental impact on cancer prognosis. Pregnancy rates were highest among those who underwent embryo/oocyte cryopreservation followed by embryo transfer.

Patient-Reported Outcomes in OlympiA: A Phase III, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial of Adjuvant Olaparib in gBRCA1/2 Mutations and High-Risk Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Early Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: The OlympiA randomized phase III trial compared 1 year of olaparib (OL) or placebo (PL) as adjuvant therapy in patients with germline BRCA1/2, high-risk human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative early breast cancer after completing (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy ([N]ACT), surgery, and radiotherapy. The patient-reported outcome primary hypothesis was that OL-treated patients may experience greater fatigue during treatment. METHODS: Data were collected before random assignment, and at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. The primary end point was fatigue, measured with the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue scale. Secondary end points, assessed with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire, Core 30 item, included nausea and vomiting (NV), diarrhea, and multiple functional domains. Scores were compared between treatment groups using mixed model for repeated measures. Two-sided P values <.05 were statistically significant for the primary end point. All secondary end points were descriptive. RESULTS: One thousand five hundred and thirty-eight patients (NACT: 746, ACT: 792) contributed to the analysis. Fatigue severity was statistically significantly greater for OL versus PL, but not clinically meaningfully different by prespecified criteria (≥3 points) at 6 months (diff OL v PL: NACT: -1.3 [95% CI, -2.4 to -0.2]; P = .022; ACT: -1.3 [95% CI, -2.3 to -0.2]; P = .017) and 12 months (NACT: -1.6 [95% CI, -2.8 to -0.3]; P = .017; ACT: -1.3 [95% CI, -2.4 to -0.2]; P = .025). There were no significant differences in fatigue severity between treatment groups at 18 and 24 months. NV severity was worse in patients treated with OL compared with PL at 6 months (NACT: 6.0 [95% CI, 4.1 to 8.0]; ACT: 5.3 [95% CI, 3.4 to 7.2]) and 12 months (NACT: 6.4 [95% CI, 4.4 to 8.3]; ACT: 4.5 [95% CI, 2.8 to 6.1]). During treatment, there were some clinically meaningful differences between groups for other symptoms but not for function subscales or global health status. CONCLUSION: Treatment-emergent symptoms from OL were limited, generally resolving after treatment ended. OL- and PL-treated patients had similar functional scores, slowly improving during the 24 months after (N)ACT and there was no clinically meaningful persistence of fatigue severity in OL-treated patients.