Clinically significant intra-day variability of serum progesterone levels during the final day of oocyte maturation: a prospective study with repeated measurements.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there significant variability in progesterone levels during the final day of oocyte maturation in women undergoing ovarian stimulation? SUMMARY ANSWER: Progesterone levels drop from the basal level up to 44% during the final day of oocyte maturation in women undergoing ovarian stimulation. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: It has been suggested that elevated progesterone levels on the final day of ovarian stimulation may be related to poorer outcomes in in vitro fertilization fresh cycles due to a negative impact on the endometrium. However, despite conflicting results regarding the actual effect of progesterone on pregnancy rates and the lack of a well-established cut off, currently many IVF patients have their embryo transfer deferred when progesterone values surpass a threshold of 1.5 ng/ml on the day of ovulation triggering. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a prospective cohort study conducted in 22 oocyte donors of a university-affiliated fertility centre between November 2017 and January 2018. We calculated the sample size to detect a difference of 15% between the first and last progesterone measurements with a 5% false-positive rate in a two-sided test with 80% statistical power and a 95% confidence interval (CI). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Progesterone circulating levels were evaluated at four different times during the final day of oocyte maturation (08:00, 12:00, 16:00 and 20:00) before ovulation triggering in healthy oocyte donors. A flexible antagonist protocol was used, and ovarian stimulation was achieved with recombinant follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) in all cases. The pairwise percentage differences in progesterone levels for each patient were calculated. Univariate linear regression analysis was adopted in order to evaluate variables associated with progesterone levels on the first measurement. The intra-day variability of progesterone was analysed using mixed models. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Mean serum progesterone values at 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 and 20:00 were 1.75 ng/ml, 1.40 ng/ml, 1.06 ng/ml and 0.97 ng/ml. The progesterone difference between 08:00 and 20:00 was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.56-0.99), which is equivalent to a 44% decline in the mean progesterone values between the first (08:00) and the last determination (20:00; P < 0.001). Among those patients with basal (08:00) progesterone levels >1.5 ng/ml (n = 10), 70% (n = 7) showed levels reduced to <1.5 ng/ml on the last determination of the day (20:00). A mixed model analysis revealed that the progesterone reduction during the day was significantly associated with time and total recombinant FSH dose administered. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Only young healthy oocyte donors stimulated with an antagonist protocol using recombinant FSH were included. Extrapolation to the general IVF population, with different stimulation protocols and gonadotropins, needs to be confirmed. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study suggests that a single progesterone determination on the final day of oocyte maturation is not reliable enough to make clinical decisions due to the enormous variation in progesterone during the day. Further studies are needed to better define the impact of the follicular progesterone rise on the endometrium of IVF cycles. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Funding was granted from Fundació Santiago Dexeus Font. N.P.P. received unrestricted grants and/or lectures fees from Roche Diagnostics, MSD, Merck, Ferring Pharmaceuticals, IBSA, Theramex and BESINS International, not associated with the current study. The remaining authors have no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03366025.

Ovarian response is associated with anogenital distance in patients undergoing controlled ovarian stimulation for IVF.

STUDY QUESTION: Is the length of the anogenital distance (AGD) a biomarker of ovarian reserve and response to controlled ovarian stimulation (COS)? SUMMARY ANSWER: Shorter AGD is associated with presence of poor ovarian response. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Organ development during prenatal life is influenced by the prevailing intrauterine environment, and it has been suggested that nutritional, environmental and toxic factors could affect ovarian reserve set prenatally. AGD is a biomarker of prenatal-hormonal environment and observational studies have shown an association between its length and reproductive parameters in both sexes. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a prospective cohort study of 437 women treated with IVF/ICSI conducted in a tertiary-care university hospital between January and December 2016. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: All women underwent their first COS for IVF/ICSI and reached criteria for oocyte retrieval. Based on the number of oocytes obtained, patients were divided into three groups: poor responders (≤3 oocytes) (n = 50), normoresponders (4-15 oocytes) (n = 332) and high responders (>15 oocytes) (n = 55). Before retrieval, the following patient data were recorded: age, body mass index (BMI), ovarian reserve markers (anti-Müllerian hormone [AMH], antral follicle count [AFC] and follicular stimulation hormone [FSH]), cause of infertility, total doses of gonadotropins used and ovarian sensitivity index (OSI). Patients with previous pregnancies, polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), endometriosis and previous ovarian or genital surgery were excluded. Anthropometric biomarkers of AGDAC (anus-clitoris) and AGDAF (anus-fourchette) were measured in all patients under sedation on the day of retrieval and before proceeding to oocyte pick-up. Multiple linear regression analyses were used to examine the association between both AGD and ovarian reserve markers, the total units of gonadotropins used, the number of oocytes obtained and the OSI. Logistic regression was used to predict poor response in COS for IVF/ICSI, while accounting for confounders such as age and BMI. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Baseline FSH, AMH, AFC and age were significantly different among the three groups of ovarian response, as were the units of gonadotropin used, and the ovarian sensitivity index (OSI) (P < 0.001). Both AGDAC and AGDAF measurements were positively correlated with AMH levels (r = 0.38 and r = 0.21; P < 0.05), AFC (r = 0.41 and r = 0.20; P < 0.05), the OSI (r = 0.24 and r = 0.19; P < 0.05) and the number of oocytes retrieved (r = 0.29 and r = 0.28, respectively; P < 0.05). Conversely, there was a negative correlation between both AGD measurements and the doses of gonadotropins used (r= -0.19 and r= -0.15; P < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) for prediction of poor response of AGDAC was 0.70 (95% CI 0.66, 0.75), which was comparable to the classic ovarian reserve markers, such as AFC and AMH. AGDAF showed a significantly worse predictive capacity for poor ovarian response (AUC 0.60 [95% CI 0.55, 0.60]) than AMH and AFC. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The population used for the study was a highly selected group of infertile women who underwent COS for IVF, so the findings of this research may not be applicable for general population. Besides, measurement or selection biases might have been possible and must be considered. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The findings of this study suggest that in utero exposure to certain hormonal environments could affect the ovarian reserve set prenatally. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): None. The authors have no competing interests to declare.

Assessment of progesterone levels on the day of pregnancy test determination: A novel concept toward individualized luteal phase support.

Research question: The main objective of the study is to define the optimal trade-off progesterone (P4) values on the day of embryo transfer (ET), to identify low P4-human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), and to establish whether P4 supplementation started on the hCG day can increase the success rate of the frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycle. Design: A single-center, cohort, retrospective study with 664 hormone replacement therapy (HRT)-FET cycles analyzed female patients who received vaginal 600 mg/day of P4 starting from 6 days before the FET, had normal P4 values on the day before ET, and whose P4 on the day of the pregnancy test was assessed. Results: Of the 664 cycles, 69.6% of cycles showed P4 ≥ 10.6 ng/ml, while 30.4% showed P4 < 10.6 ng/ml on the day of the hCG. Of the 411 chemical pregnancies detected, 71.8% had P4-hCG ≥ 10.6 ng/ml (group A), while 28.2% had P4-hCG < 10.6 ng/ml. Of the cycles with P4-hCG < 10.6 ng/ml, 64.7% (group B) were supplemented with a higher dose of vaginal P4 (1,000 mg/day), while 35.3% (group C) were maintained on the same dose of vaginal micronized P4. The live birth rate was 71.9%, 96%, and 7.3% for groups A, B, and C, respectively. Conclusion: The likelihood to detect P4-hCG < 10.6 ng/ml decreased as the level of serum P4 the day before ET increased. The live birth rate (LBR) was shown to be significantly lower when P4 was low and not supplemented.