Application of structured statistical analyses to identify a biomarker predictive of enhanced tralokinumab efficacy in phase III clinical trials for severe, uncontrolled asthma.

BACKGROUND: Tralokinumab is an anti-interleukin (IL)-13 monoclonal antibody investigated for the treatment of severe, uncontrolled asthma in two Phase III clinical trials, STRATOS 1 and 2. The STRATOS 1 biomarker analysis plan was developed to identify biomarker(s) indicative of IL-13 activation likely to predict tralokinumab efficacy and define a population in which there was an enhanced treatment effect; this defined population was then tested in STRATOS 2. METHODS: The biomarkers considered were blood eosinophil counts, fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO), serum dipeptidyl peptidase-4, serum periostin and total serum immunoglobulin E. Tralokinumab efficacy was measured as the reduction in annualised asthma exacerbation rate (AAER) compared with placebo (primary endpoint measure of STRATOS 1 and 2). The biomarker analysis plan included negative binomial and generalised additive models, and the Subgroup Identification based on Differential Effect Search (SIDES) algorithm, supported by robustness and sensitivity checks. Effects on the key secondary endpoints of STRATOS 1 and 2, which included changes from baseline in standard measures of asthma outcomes, were also investigated. Prior to the STRATOS 1 read-out, numerous simulations of the methodology were performed with hypothetical data. RESULTS: FeNO and periostin were identified as the only biomarkers potentially predictive of treatment effect, with cut-offs chosen by the SIDES algorithm of > 32.3 ppb and > 27.4 ng/ml, respectively. The FeNO > 32.3 ppb subgroup was associated with greater AAER reductions and improvements in key secondary endpoints compared with the periostin > 27.4 ng/ml subgroup. Upon further evaluation of AAER reductions at different FeNO cut-offs, ≥37 ppb was chosen as the best cut-off for predicting tralokinumab efficacy. DISCUSSION: A rigorous statistical approach incorporating multiple methods was used to investigate the predictive properties of five potential biomarkers and to identify a participant subgroup that demonstrated an enhanced tralokinumab treatment effect. Using STRATOS 1 data, our analyses identified FeNO at a cut-off of ≥37 ppb as the best assessed biomarker for predicting enhanced treatment effect to be tested in STRATOS 2. Our findings were inconclusive, which reflects the complexity of subgroup identification in the severe asthma population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: STRATOS 1 and 2 are registered on ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT02161757 registered on June 12, 2014, and NCT02194699 registered on July 18, 2014).

Rosuvastatin and cardiovascular events in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Statins reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events in patients at high cardiovascular risk. However, a benefit of statins in such patients who are undergoing hemodialysis has not been proved. METHODS: We conducted an international, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, prospective trial involving 2776 patients, 50 to 80 years of age, who were undergoing maintenance hemodialysis. We randomly assigned patients to receive rosuvastatin, 10 mg daily, or placebo. The combined primary end point was death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. Secondary end points included death from all causes and individual cardiac and vascular events. RESULTS: After 3 months, the mean reduction in low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels was 43% in patients receiving rosuvastatin, from a mean baseline level of 100 mg per deciliter (2.6 mmol per liter). During a median follow-up period of 3.8 years, 396 patients in the rosuvastatin group and 408 patients in the placebo group reached the primary end point (9.2 and 9.5 events per 100 patient-years, respectively; hazard ratio for the combined end point in the rosuvastatin group vs. the placebo group, 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.84 to 1.11; P=0.59). Rosuvastatin had no effect on individual components of the primary end point. There was also no significant effect on all-cause mortality (13.5 vs. 14.0 events per 100 patient-years; hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.86 to 1.07; P=0.51). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing hemodialysis, the initiation of treatment with rosuvastatin lowered the LDL cholesterol level but had no significant effect on the composite primary end point of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00240331.)

Twelve-month endoscopic and histological analysis following proton-pump inhibitor-based triple therapy in Helicobacter pylori-positive patients with gastric ulcers.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate endoscopic and histological findings after Helicobacter pylori eradication therapy in gastric ulcer (GU) patients after 12 months' follow-up. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 401 GU patients were randomized to receive either twice-daily (b.i.d.) esomeprazole 20 mg+amoxicillin 1000 mg+clarithromycin 500 mg (EAC) for 1 week followed by placebo for 3 weeks, EAC followed by once-daily (o.d.) esomeprazole 20 mg for 3 weeks or esomeprazole 20 mg b.i.d. plus placebo antibiotics for 1 week followed by esomeprazole 20 mg o.d. for 3 weeks. Endoscopy with biopsy was performed at baseline, after treatment and at 6 and 12 months' follow-up (healed patients). RESULTS: Endoscopic abnormalities, particularly in the stomach, were common at baseline and remained similar during follow-up, regardless of ulcer status and treatment. Helicobacter gastritis was present (antrum or corpus) in approximately 20% of patients following eradication therapy (versus approximately 80% with esomeprazole alone); these effects were sustained during follow-up. Similar trends were observed for other histological variables (granulocyte and lymphoplasmocytic cell infiltration, replacement of gastric surface cells by regenerative epithelium, and mucous depletion). No changes in atrophy or intestinal metaplasia were observed. Eighteen gastric cancer cases were detected: 11 at baseline endoscopy, and seven during treatment and follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic abnormalities are common in GU patients and persist after proton-pump inhibitor-based triple therapy for H. pylori eradication, which is associated with large, sustained improvements in histological variables. Follow-up endoscopy and histology may be necessary, even in patients with apparently non-malignant GU, to improve the detection rate of gastric malignancy in populations with a high prevalence of gastric cancer.

Effect of esomeprazole triple therapy on eradication rates of Helicobacter pylori, gastric ulcer healing and prevention of relapse in gastric ulcer patients.

OBJECTIVES: To compare esomeprazole-based triple therapy with esomeprazole alone for the eradication of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), healing of ulcer and prevention of relapse in H. pylori-related gastric ulcer (GU) diseases. METHODS: In this double-blind study, 401 H. pylori-positive patients with more than or equal to two GUs were randomized to: esomeprazole (20 mg) twice daily (bid) and amoxicillin (1000 mg) bid and clarithromycin (500 mg) bid (EAC) for 1 week, followed by placebo for 3 weeks (EAC and placebo); EAC for 1 week, followed by esomeprazole (20 mg) once daily (E20) for 3 weeks (EAC and E20); or esomeprazole (20 mg) bid and placebo antimicrobials for 1 week, followed by E20 for 3 weeks (E20 bid and E20). Patients with unhealed GUs at 4 weeks received E20 for an additional 4 weeks. Healed patients were followed up for 12 months. RESULTS: Eradication rates at 4 weeks or 8 weeks were 82% for EAC and E20, 77% for EAC and placebo and 9.5% for E20 bid and E20 (intention-to-treat analysis). Significantly more patients receiving EAC than those receiving esomeprazole alone remained free of GUs during follow-up [EAC and E20, 90%; EAC and placebo, 87%; P=0.0005 for combined group vs. esomeprazole alone [E20 bid and E20 (74%)]. All treatments were well tolerated. CONCLUSION: Esomeprazole-based triple therapy is effective for the eradication of H. pylori, healing of GU and prevention of relapse. Esomeprazole monotherapy for 3 weeks after triple therapy may be beneficial in terms of healing.

Cardiovascular disease in patients with renal disease: the role of statins.

OBJECTIVES: Atherosclerosis is common in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) represents a major cause of death. The National Kidney Foundation guidelines favour the use of statin therapy for treatment of dyslipidaemia in patients with CKD. Much evidence supports statin therapy for reducing CVD and improving outcomes in the general population, but there is less evidence in patients with CKD. Consequently, prevention of CVD in CKD is based primarily on extrapolation from non-CKD trials. Significantly, in trials specifically designed to investigate patients with CKD, evidence is emerging for improved cardiovascular outcomes with statin therapy. This review describes available data relating to cardiovascular outcomes and the role of statins in patients with CKD, including pre-dialysis, dialysis, and renal transplant patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The PubMed database was searched (1998-present) to ensure comprehensive identification of publications (including randomised clinical trials) relevant to CKD patients, patterns of cardiovascular outcome in such patients and their relationship to lipid profile, and the role of statins for the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular complications. RESULTS: There are conflicting data on the relationship between dyslipidaemia and cardiovascular outcomes, with one major study of statin therapy (4D--Deutsche Diabetes Dialyse Studie) providing equivocal results. Further studies, including AURORA (A study to evaluate the Use of Rosuvastatin in subjects On Regular haemodialysis: an Assessment of survival and cardiovascular events; NCT00240331) in patients receiving haemodialysis, and SHARP (Study of Heart And Renal Protection; NCT00125593) in patients with CKD including those on dialysis, should help to clarify the role of statin therapy in these populations. CONCLUSIONS: More studies are needed to elucidate the role of statins in improving cardiovascular outcomes for CKD patients. It is anticipated that ongoing clinical trials geared towards the optimal prevention and treatment of CVD in patients with CKD will help guide clinicians in the management of CKD.