Sensitivity analysis for the generalized shared-parameter model framework.

In this paper, we assess the effect of tuberculosis pericarditis treatment (prednisolone) on CD4 count changes over time and draw inferences in the presence of missing data. We accounted for the missing data and performed sensitivity analyses to assess robustness of inferences, from a model that assumes that the data are missing at random, to models that assume that the data are not missing at random. Our sensitivity approaches are within the shared-parameter model framework. We implemented the approach by Creemers and colleagues to the CD4 count data and performed simulation studies to evaluate the performance of this approach. We also assessed the influence of potentially influential subjects, on parameter estimates, via the global influence approach. Our results revealed that inferences from missing at random analysis model are robust to not missing at random models and influential subjects did not overturn the study conclusions about prednisolone effect and missing data mechanism. Prednisolone was found to have no significant effect on CD4 count changes over time and also did not interact with anti-retroviral therapy. The simulation studies produced unbiased estimates of prednisolone effect with lower mean square errors and coverage probabilities approximately equal the nominal coverage probability.

An application of a pattern-mixture model with multiple imputation for the analysis of longitudinal trials with protocol deviations.

BACKGROUND: The benefit of a given treatment can be evaluated via a randomized clinical trial design. However, protocol deviations may severely compromise treatment effect since such deviations often lead to missing values. The assumption that methods of analysis can account for the missing data cannot be justified and hence methods of analysis based on plausible assumptions should be used. An alternative analysis to the simple imputation methods requires unverifiable assumptions about the missing data. Therefore sensitivity analysis should be performed to investigate the robustness of statistical inferences to alternative assumptions about the missing data. AIMS: In this paper, we investigate the effect of tuberculosis pericarditis treatment (prednisolone) on CD4 count changes over time and draw inferences in the presence of missing data. The data come from a multicentre clinical trial (the IMPI trial). METHODS: We investigate the effect of prednisolone on CD4 count changes by adjusting for baseline and time-dependent covariates in the fitted model. To draw inferences in the presence of missing data, we investigate sensitivity of statistical inferences to missing data assumptions using the pattern-mixture model with multiple imputation (PM-MI) approach. We also performed simulation experiment to evaluate the performance of the imputation approaches. RESULTS: Our results showed that the prednisolone treatment has no significant effect on CD4 count changes over time and that the prednisolone treatment does not interact with time and anti-retroviral therapy (ART). Also, patients' CD4 count levels significantly increase over the study period and patients on ART treatment have higher CD4 count levels compared with those not on ART. The results also showed that older patients had lower CD4 count levels compared with younger patients, and parameter estimates under the MAR assumption are robust to NMAR assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: Since the parameter estimates under the MAR analysis are robust to NMAR analyses, the process that generated the missing data in the CD4 count measurements is missing at random (MAR). The implication is that valid inferences can be obtained using either the likelihood-based methods or multiple imputation approaches.

Prednisolone and Mycobacterium indicus pranii in tuberculous pericarditis.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculous pericarditis is associated with high morbidity and mortality even if antituberculosis therapy is administered. We evaluated the effects of adjunctive glucocorticoid therapy and Mycobacterium indicus pranii immunotherapy in patients with tuberculous pericarditis. METHODS: Using a 2-by-2 factorial design, we randomly assigned 1400 adults with definite or probable tuberculous pericarditis to either prednisolone or placebo for 6 weeks and to either M. indicus pranii or placebo, administered in five injections over the course of 3 months. Two thirds of the participants had concomitant human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. The primary efficacy outcome was a composite of death, cardiac tamponade requiring pericardiocentesis, or constrictive pericarditis. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in the primary outcome between patients who received prednisolone and those who received placebo (23.8% and 24.5%, respectively; hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77 to 1.18; P=0.66) or between those who received M. indicus pranii immunotherapy and those who received placebo (25.0% and 24.3%, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.29; P=0.81). Prednisolone therapy, as compared with placebo, was associated with significant reductions in the incidence of constrictive pericarditis (4.4% vs. 7.8%; hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.36 to 0.87; P=0.009) and hospitalization (20.7% vs. 25.2%; hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.99; P=0.04). Both prednisolone and M. indicus pranii, each as compared with placebo, were associated with a significant increase in the incidence of cancer (1.8% vs. 0.6%; hazard ratio, 3.27; 95% CI, 1.07 to 10.03; P=0.03, and 1.8% vs. 0.5%; hazard ratio, 3.69; 95% CI, 1.03 to 13.24; P=0.03, respectively), owing mainly to an increase in HIV-associated cancer. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with tuberculous pericarditis, neither prednisolone nor M. indicus pranii had a significant effect on the composite of death, cardiac tamponade requiring pericardiocentesis, or constrictive pericarditis. (Funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and others; IMPI ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00810849.).

Interventions for treating tuberculous pericarditis.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculous pericarditis can impair the heart's function and cause death; long term, it can cause the membrane to fibrose and constrict causing heart failure. In addition to antituberculous chemotherapy, treatments include corticosteroids, drainage, and surgery. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of treatments for tuberculous pericarditis. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group Specialized Register (27 March 2017); the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), published in the Cochrane Library (2017, Issue 2); MEDLINE (1966 to 27 March 2017); Embase (1974 to 27 March 2017); and LILACS (1982 to 27 March 2017). In addition we searched the metaRegister of Controlled Trials (mRCT) and the World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) search portal using 'tuberculosis' and 'pericard*' as search terms on 27 March 2017. We searched ClinicalTrials.gov and contacted researchers in the field of tuberculous pericarditis. This is a new version of the original 2002 review. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently screened search outputs, evaluated study eligibility, assessed risk of bias, and extracted data; and we resolved any discrepancies by discussion and consensus. One trial assessed the effects of both corticosteroid and Mycobacterium indicus pranii treatment in a two-by-two factorial design; we excluded data from the group that received both interventions. We conducted fixed-effect meta-analysis and assessed the certainty of the evidence using the GRADE approach. MAIN RESULTS: Seven trials met the inclusion criteria; all were from sub-Saharan Africa and included 1959 participants, with 1051/1959 (54%) HIV-positive. All trials evaluated corticosteroids and one each evaluated colchicine, M. indicus pranii immunotherapy, and open surgical drainage. Four trials (1841 participants) were at low risk of bias, and three trials (118 participants) were at high risk of bias.In people who are not infected with HIV, corticosteroids may reduce deaths from all causes (risk ratio (RR) 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59 to 1.09; 660 participants, 4 trials, low certainty evidence) and the need for repeat pericardiocentesis (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.04; 492 participants, 2 trials, low certainty evidence). Corticosteroids probably reduce deaths from pericarditis (RR 0.39, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.80; 660 participants, 4 trials, moderate certainty evidence). However, we do not know whether or not corticosteroids have an effect on constriction or cancer among HIV-negative people (very low certainty evidence).In people living with HIV, only 19.9% (203/1959) were on antiretroviral drugs. Corticosteroids may reduce constriction (RR 0.55, 0.26 to 1.16; 575 participants, 3 trials, low certainty evidence). It is uncertain whether corticosteroids have an effect on all-cause death or cancer (very low certainty evidence); and may have little or no effect on repeat pericardiocentesis (RR 1.02, 0.89 to 1.18; 517 participants, 2 trials, low certainty evidence).For colchicine among people living with HIV, we found one small trial (33 participants) which had insufficient data to make any conclusions about any effects on death or constrictive pericarditis.Irrespective of HIV status, due to very low certainty evidence from one trial, it is uncertain whether adding M. indicus pranii immunotherapy to antituberculous drugs has an effect on any outcome.Open surgical drainage for effusion may reduce repeat pericardiocentesis In HIV-negative people (RR 0.23, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.76; 122 participants, 1 trial, low certainty evidence) but may make little or no difference to other outcomes. We did not find an eligible trial that assessed the effects of open surgical drainage in people living with HIV.The review authors found no eligible trials that examined the length of antituberculous treatment needed nor the effects of other adjunctive treatments for tuberculous pericarditis. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: For HIV-negative patients, corticosteroids may reduce death. For HIV-positive patients not on antiretroviral drugs, corticosteroids may reduce constriction. For HIV-positive patients with good antiretroviral drug viral suppression, clinicians may consider the results from HIV-negative patients more relevant.Further research may help evaluate percutaneous drainage of the pericardium under local anaesthesia, the timing of pericardiectomy in tuberculous constrictive pericarditis, and new antibiotic regimens.

Focus on the Top Ten Diagnoses Could Reduce Pediatric Dermatology Referrals.

There is a sense that many patients seen at referral centers could be managed at a primary health care level. The objective of the current study was to examine the range of diagnoses among consultations at the Red Cross Children's Hospital in Cape Town, South Africa, to help develop a strategy for targeted education of primary health care personnel. This was a retrospective review of data for children seen at a pediatric dermatology clinic from 2005 to 2010, recorded according to International Classification of Diseases coding and compared with published data from similar clinical settings. There were 13,253 clinic visits, with 4,789 patients seen (median age 4.8 yrs, range 2 days to 18.6 yrs). The top 10 diagnoses accounted for 88.5% of consultations (59.5% atopic eczema [AE], 7.1% seborrheic dermatitis [SD], 4.2% superficial mycoses, 3.1% molluscum contagiosum, 2.8% vitiligo, 2.7% viral warts, 2.4% prurigo or scabies, 2.3% psoriasis, 2.3% hemangioma, 2.1% impetigo). Disease prevalence was somewhat different during the first year of life (AE 43.7%, SD 18.6%, hemangiomas 13.4%). Inflammatory dermatoses (76.6%) were more prevalent than infections and infestations (14.5%). The disease spectrum was similar to that in developed countries, although AE prevalence was higher in this study (followed by London 36%, Greece 35%, and Hong Kong 33%) than in 19 published studies. The top 10 diagnoses accounted for more than 70% of diagnoses in 12 studies. The retrospective nature and setting at a specialist clinic increased bias and limited generalizability. Focused education on the optimal care of common diseases, especially AE, could reduce referrals, improve access, and allow specialists at tertiary centers more time to manage complex and uncommon dermatoses.

Assessing the hazard of death, cardiac tamponade, and pericardial constriction among HIV and tuberculosis pericarditis patients using the extended Cox-hazard model: Intervention study.

Background and Aims: Tuberculous (TB) pericarditis (TBP), a TB of the heart, is linked to significant morbidity and mortality rates. Administering glucocorticoid therapy to individuals with TBP might enhance overall results and lower the likelihood of fatality. However, the actual clinical effectiveness of supplementary glucocorticoids remains uncertain. This study specifically evaluated the effects of prednisolone, prednisolone-antiretroviral therapy (ART) interaction, and other potential risk factors in reducing the hazard of the composite outcome, death, cardiac tamponade, and constriction, among TBP and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients. Methods: The data used in this study were obtained from the investigation of the Management of Pericarditis trial, a multicentre international randomized double-blind placebo-controlled 2×2 factorial study that investigated the effects of two TB treatments, prednisolone and Mycobacterium indicus pranii  immunotherapy in patients with TBP in Africa. This study used a sample size of 587 TBP and HIV-positive patients randomized into prednisolone and its corresponding placebo arm. We used the extended Cox-proportional hazard model to evaluate the effects of the covariates on the hazard of the survival outcomes. Models fitting and parameter estimation were carried out using R version 4.3.1. Results: Prednisolone reduces the hazard of composite outcome (hazrad ratio [HR] = 0.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.19,0.54, p < 0.001), cardiac tamponade (HR = 0.14, 95% CI = 0.05, 0.42, p < 0.001) and constriction (HR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.41, 1.61, p = 0.55). However, prednisolone increases the hazard of death (HR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.11, 2.24, p = 0.01). Consistent usage of ART reduces the hazard of composite outcome, death, and constriction but insignificantly increased the hazard of cardiac tamponade. Conclusion: The study offers valuable insights into how prednisolone impact the hazard of different outcomes in patients with TBP and HIV. The findings hold potential clinical significance, particularly in guiding treatment decisions and devising strategies to enhance outcomes in this specific patient group. However, there are concerns about prednisolone potentially increasing the risk of death due to HIV-related death.

Joint modeling of longitudinal CD4 count data and time to first occurrence of composite outcome.

In this study, we jointly modeled longitudinal CD4 count data and survival outcome (time-to-first occurrence of composite outcome of death, cardiac tamponade or constriction) in other to investigate the effects of Mycobacterium indicus pranii immunotherapy and the CD4 count measurements on the hazard of the composite outcome among patients with HIV and tuberculous (TB) pericarditis. In this joint modeling framework, the models for longitudinal and the survival data are linked by an association structure. The association structure represents the hazard of the event for 1-unit increase in the longitudinal measurement. Models fitting and parameter estimation were carried out using R version 4.2.3. The association structure that represents the strength of the association between the hazard for an event at time point j and the area under the longitudinal trajectory up to the same time j provides the best fit. We found that 1-unit increase in CD4 count results in 2 % significant reduction in the hazard of the composite outcome. Among HIV and TB pericarditis individuals, the hazard of the composite outcome does not differ between of M.indicus pranii versus placebo. Application of joint models to investigate the effect of M.indicus pranii on the hazard of the composite outcome is limited. Hence, this study provides information on the effect of M.indicus pranii on the hazard of the composite outcome among HIV and TB pericarditis patients.

Greater Disease Severity and Worse Clinical Outcomes in Patients Hospitalised with COVID-19 in Africa.

Background: COVID-19 cardiovascular research from Africa is limited. This study describes cardiovascular risk factors, manifestations, and outcomes of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in the African region, with an overarching goal to investigate whether important differences exist between African and other populations, which may inform health policies. Methods: A multinational prospective cohort study was conducted on adults hospitalised with confirmed COVID-19, consecutively admitted to 40 hospitals across 23 countries, 6 of which were African countries. Of the 5,313 participants enrolled globally, 948 were from African sites (n = 9). Data on demographics, pre-existing conditions, clinical outcomes in hospital (major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), renal failure, neurological events, pulmonary outcomes, and death), 30-day vitality status and re-hospitalization were assessed, comparing African to non-African participants. Results: Access to specialist care at African sites was significantly lower than the global average (71% vs. 95%), as were ICU admissions (19.4% vs. 34.0%) and COVID-19 vaccination rates (0.6% vs. 7.4%). The African cohort was slightly younger than the non-African cohort (55.0 vs. 57.5 years), with higher rates of hypertension (48.8% vs. 46.9%), HIV (5.9% vs. 0.3%), and Tuberculosis (3.6% vs. 0.3%). In African sites, a higher proportion of patients suffered cardiac arrest (7.5% vs. 5.1%) and acute kidney injury (12.7% vs. 7.2%), with acute kidney injury (AKI) appearing to be one of the strongest predictors of MACE and death in African populations compared to other populations. The overall mortality rate was significantly higher among African participants (18.2% vs. 14.2%). Conclusions: Overall, hospitalised African patients with COVID-19 had a higher mortality despite a lower mean age, contradicting literature that had previously reported a lower mortality attributed to COVID-19 in Africa. African sites had lower COVID-19 vaccination rates and higher AKI rates, which were positively associated with increased mortality. In conclusion, African patients were hospitalized with more severe COVID-19 cases and had poorer outcomes.

Testing novel strategies for patients hospitalised with HIV-associated disseminated tuberculosis (NewStrat-TB): protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: HIV-associated tuberculosis (TB) contributes disproportionately to global tuberculosis mortality. Patients hospitalised at the time of the diagnosis of HIV-associated disseminated TB are typically severely ill and have a high mortality risk despite initiation of tuberculosis treatment. The objective of the study is to assess the safety and efficacy of both intensified TB treatment (high dose rifampicin plus levofloxacin) and immunomodulation with corticosteroids as interventions to reduce early mortality in hospitalised patients with HIV-associated disseminated TB. METHODS: This is a phase III randomised controlled superiority trial, evaluating two interventions in a 2 × 2 factorial design: (1) high dose rifampicin (35 mg/kg/day) plus levofloxacin added to standard TB treatment for the first 14 days versus standard tuberculosis treatment and (2) adjunctive corticosteroids (prednisone 1.5 mg/kg/day) versus identical placebo for the first 14 days of TB treatment. The study population is HIV-positive patients diagnosed with disseminated TB (defined as being positive by at least one of the following assays: urine Alere LAM, urine Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra or blood Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra) during a hospital admission. The primary endpoint is all-cause mortality at 12 weeks comparing, first, patients receiving intensified TB treatment to standard of care and, second, patients receiving corticosteroids to those receiving placebo. Analysis of the primary endpoint will be by intention to treat. Secondary endpoints include all-cause mortality at 2 and 24 weeks. Safety and tolerability endpoints include hepatoxicity evaluations and corticosteroid-related adverse events. DISCUSSION: Disseminated TB is characterised by a high mycobacterial load and patients are often critically ill at presentation, with features of sepsis, which carries a high mortality risk. Interventions that reduce this high mycobacterial load or modulate associated immune activation could potentially reduce mortality. If found to be safe and effective, the interventions being evaluated in this trial could be easily implemented in clinical practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04951986. Registered on 7 July 2021 https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04951986.

Rationale and design of the Investigation of the Management of Pericarditis (IMPI) trial: a 2 × 2 factorial randomized double-blind multicenter trial of adjunctive prednisolone and Mycobacterium w immunotherapy in tuberculous pericarditis.

BACKGROUND: In spite of antituberculosis chemotherapy, tuberculous (TB) pericarditis causes death or disability in nearly half of those affected. Attenuation of the inflammatory response in TB pericarditis may improve outcome by reducing cardiac tamponade and pericardial constriction, but there is uncertainty as to whether adjunctive immunomodulation with corticosteroids and Mycobacterium w (M. w) can safely reduce mortality and morbidity. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of the IMPI Trial is to assess the effectiveness and safety of prednisolone and M. w immunotherapy in reducing the composite outcome of death, constriction, or cardiac tamponade requiring pericardial drainage in 1,400 patients with TB pericardial effusion. DESIGN: The IMPI trial is a multicenter international randomized double-blind placebo-controlled 2 × 2 factorial study. Eligible patients are randomly assigned to receive oral prednisolone or placebo for 6 weeks and M. w injection or placebo for 3 months. Patients are followed up at weeks 2, 4, and 6 and months 3 and 6 during the intervention period and 6-monthly thereafter for up to 4 years. The primary outcome is the first occurrence of death, pericardial constriction, or cardiac tamponade requiring pericardiocentesis. The secondary outcome is safety of immunomodulatory treatment measured by effect on opportunistic infections (eg, herpes zoster) and malignancy (eg, Kaposi sarcoma) and impact on measures of immunosuppression and the incidence of immune reconstitution disease. CONCLUSIONS: IMPI is the largest trial yet conducted comparing adjunctive immunotherapy in pericarditis. Its results will define the role of adjunctive corticosteroids and M. w immunotherapy in patients with TB pericardial effusion.

Comparing Cardiovascular Outcomes and Costs of Perindopril-, Enalapril- or Losartan-Based Antihypertensive Regimens in South Africa: Real-World Medical Claims Database Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Differences in class or molecule-specific effects between renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors have not been conclusively demonstrated. This study used South African data to assess clinical and cost outcomes of antihypertensive therapy with the three most common RAAS inhibitors: perindopril, losartan and enalapril. METHODS: Using a large, South African private health insurance claims database, we identified patients with a hypertension diagnosis in January 2015 receiving standard doses of perindopril, enalapril or losartan, alone or in combination with other agents. From claims over the subsequent 5 years, we calculated the risk-adjusted rate of the composite primary outcome of myocardial infarction, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure or stroke; rate of all-cause mortality; and costs per life per month (PLPM), with adjustments based on demographic characteristics, healthcare plan and comorbidity. RESULTS: Overall, 32,857 individuals received perindopril, 16,693 losartan and 13,939 enalapril. Perindopril-based regimens were associated with a significantly lower primary outcome rate (205 per 1000 patients over 5 years) versus losartan (221; P < 0.0001) or enalapril (223; P < 0.0001). The risk-adjusted all-cause mortality rate was lower with perindopril than enalapril (100 vs. 139 deaths per 1000 patients over 5 years; P = 0.007), but not losartan (100 vs. 94; P = 0.650). Mean (95% confidence interval) overall risk-adjusted cost PLPM was Rands (ZAR) 1342 (87-8973) for perindopril, ZAR 1466 (104-9365) for losartan (P = 0.0044) and ZAR 1540 (77-10,546) for enalapril (P = 0.0003). CONCLUSION: In South African individuals with private health insurance, a perindopril-based antihypertensive regimen provided better clinical and cost outcomes compared with other regimens.

A random effects variance shift model for detecting and accommodating outliers in meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Meta-analysis typically involves combining the estimates from independent studies in order to estimate a parameter of interest across a population of studies. However, outliers often occur even under the random effects model. The presence of such outliers could substantially alter the conclusions in a meta-analysis. This paper proposes a methodology for identifying and, if desired, downweighting studies that do not appear representative of the population they are thought to represent under the random effects model. METHODS: An outlier is taken as an observation (study result) with an inflated random effect variance. We used the likelihood ratio test statistic as an objective measure for determining whether observations have inflated variance and are therefore considered outliers. A parametric bootstrap procedure was used to obtain the sampling distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistics and to account for multiple testing. Our methods were applied to three illustrative and contrasting meta-analytic data sets. RESULTS: For the three meta-analytic data sets our methods gave robust inferences when the identified outliers were downweighted. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed methodology provides a means to identify and, if desired, downweight outliers in meta-analysis. It does not eliminate them from the analysis however and we consider the proposed approach preferable to simply removing any or all apparently outlying results. We do not however propose that our methods in any way replace or diminish the standard random effects methodology that has proved so useful, rather they are helpful when used in conjunction with the random effects model.

Rationale and design of the African Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis Registry Program: The IMHOTEP study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF), the dominant form of cardiovascular disease in Africans, is mainly due to hypertension, rheumatic heart disease and cardiomyopathy. Cardiomyopathies pose a great challenge because of poor prognosis and high prevalence in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Little is known about the etiology and outcome of cardiomyopathy in Africa. Specifically, the role of myocarditis and the genetic causes of cardiomyopathy are largely unidentified in Africans. METHOD: The African Cardiomyopathy and Myocarditis Registry Program (the IMHOTEP study) is a pan-African multi-centre, hospital-based cohort study, designed with the primary aim of describing the clinical characteristics, genetic causes, prevalence, management and outcome of cardiomyopathy and myocarditis in children and adults. The secondary aim is to identify barriers to the implementation of evidence-based care and provide a platform for trials and other intervention studies to reduce morbidity and mortality in cardiomyopathy. The registry consists of a prospective cohort of newly diagnosed (i.e., incident) cases and a retrospective (i.e., prevalent) cohort of existing cases from participating centres. Patients with cardiomyopathy and myocarditis will be subjected to a standardized 3-stage diagnostic process. To date, 750 patients have been recruited into the multi-centre pilot phase of the study. CONCLUSION: The IMHOTEP study will provide comprehensive and novel data on clinical features, genetic causes, prevalence and outcome of African children and adults with all forms of cardiomyopathy and myocarditis in Africa. Based on these findings, appropriate strategies for management and prevention of the cardiomyopathies in LMICs are likely to emerge.

'Relaxers' damage hair: evidence from amino acid analysis.

BACKGROUND: 'Relaxers' are used by more than two thirds of African females to straighten hair, with easy grooming and increased length often cited as reasons. A recent study reported relaxed hair lengths much shorter than expected, suggesting increased fragility; the potential for scalp inflammation and scarring alopecia remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the biochemical effects of 'relaxers' on hair. METHODS: With informed consent, included participants represented 3 groups: natural hair, asymptomatic relaxed hair, and symptomatic (brittle) relaxed hair. Biochemical analysis was performed by using a Biochrom 30 amino acid analyzer. Differences in amino acid levels were assessed using either Wilcoxon rank sum test or matched-pairs signed-rank test. RESULTS: There was a decrease in cystine, citrulline, and arginine; however, an increase in glutamine was found in all relaxed compared to natural hair. Cystine levels (milligram per gram amino acid nitrogen) were similar in natural proximal and distal hair: 14 mg/g (range, 4-15 mg/g) versus 14 mg/g (range, 12-15 mg/g); P = .139. In asymptomatic relaxed hair, cystine levels were higher in less frequently relaxed samples proximal to scalp: 7.5 mg/g (5.6-12) versus 3.3 mg/g (1.3-9.2); P = .005. Cystine levels in distal asymptomatic relaxed and symptomatic relaxed hair were similar to each other and to those in the genetic hair fragility disease trichothiodystrophy. LIMITATIONS: It was not possible to analyze lye and no-lye 'relaxers' separately. CONCLUSIONS: 'Relaxers' are associated with reduced cystine consistent with fragile damaged hair. A decrease in citrulline and glutamine has been associated with inflammation; prospective studies are needed to investigate whether or how 'relaxers' induce inflammation.

Reliability of Histopathology for the Early Recognition of Fibrosis in Traction Alopecia: Correlation with Clinical Severity.

Traction alopecia (TA) is hair loss caused by prolonged pulling or repetitive tension on scalp hair; it belongs to the biphasic group of primary alopecia. It is non-scarring, typically with preservation of follicular stem cells and the potential for regrowth of early lesions especially if traction hairstyles are stopped. However, the alopecia may become permanent (scarring) and fail to respond to treatment if the traction is excessive and prolonged. Hence, the ability to detect fibrosis early in these lesions could predict patients who respond to treatment. Histopathological diagnosis based on scalp biopsies has been used as a gold standard to delineate various forms of non-scarring alopecia and to differentiate them from scarring ones. However, due to potential discrepant reporting as a result of the type of biopsy, method of sectioning, and site of biopsy, histopathology often tends to be unreliable for the early recognition of fibrosis in TA. In this study, 45 patients were assessed using the marginal TA severity scoring system, and their biopsies (both longitudinal and transverse sections) were systematically assessed by three dermatopathologists, the aim being to correlate histopathological findings with clinical staging. Intraclass correlation coefficients were used to determine the level of agreement between the assessors. We found poor agreement of the identification and grading of perifollicular and interfollicular fibrosis (0.55 [0.23-0.75] and 0.01 [2.20-0.41], respectively), and no correlation could be drawn with the clinical severity score. Better methods of diagnosis are needed for grading and for recognition of early fibrosis in TA.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance characterization of myocardial and vascular function in rheumatoid arthritis patients.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a multisystem, autoimmune disorder and confers one of the strongest risks for cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVE: To assess myocardial function and vascular stiffness in RA patients with and without cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) using cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR). METHODS: Twenty-three RA patients with no CVRFs (17 female, mean age 52 ± 13 years), 46 RA patients with CVRFs (32 female, mean age 53 ± 12), 50 normal controls (32 female, mean age 50 ± 11 years), and 13 controls with CVRFs (7 female, mean age 55 ± 7 years), underwent CMR at 1.5 Tesla, including evaluation of left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, strain, and vascular elasticity (aortic distensibility [AD] and pulse wave velocity [PWV]). Disease activity and duration were recorded for each patient. Subjects with known symptomatic CVD were excluded. RESULTS: LV volumes, mass, and ejection fraction were similar in the four groups. RA patients with CVRFs showed the greatest abnormality in mid short-axis circumferential systolic strain, peak diastolic strain rate, and vascular indices. RA patients without CVRFs showed a similar degree of vascular dysfunction and deformational abnormality as controls with CVRFs. AD and total PWV correlated with myocardial strain and RA disease activity. On multivariate regression analysis, strain was related to age, RA disease activity, AD, and PWV. CONCLUSION: CMR demonstrates impaired myocardial deformation and vascular function in asymptomatic RA patients, worse in those with CVRFs. Subclinical cardiovascular abnormalities are frequent and appear to be incremental to those due to traditional CVRFs and likely contribute to the excess CVD in RA.

Determinants of marginal traction alopecia in African girls and women.

BACKGROUND: Our recent population studies reported a prevalence of traction alopecia (TA) of 17.1% in African schoolgirls (6-21 years) and of 31.7% in women (18-86 years). More schoolgirls had chemically treated hair than women and disease presence was associated with hairstyles. The aim of this study was to investigate determinants of TA presence and severity in girls and women using data from both studies. METHODS: Clinical assessment and a Marginal TA Severity score were used for diagnosis and disease severity, respectively. The data used included 574 schoolgirls and 604 women. The first analysis was multiple logistic regression for disease presence. Exploratory associations for disease severity were assessed using the Spearman rank correlation test. Adults were defined as age 18 years or older, irrespective of study. RESULTS: The odds ratio for TA was higher in adults than in children (<18 years) (1.87 [P < .001, 95% confidence interval 1.28-2.72]) and was higher with braiding-related than chemical-related symptoms. The highest risk of TA, compared with natural hair, occurred when traction was added to relaxed hair (odds ratio 3.47 [P < .001, 95% confidence interval 1.94-6.20]). Only 18.9% of patients with TA had never had symptoms related to hairdressing. TA severity was associated with age group, current hairstyle, and hairdressing symptoms. Participants with severe disease were too few to estimate determinants. LIMITATIONS: There is a need for the validation of the Marginal TA Severity score with larger numbers and for future studies to include more participants with severe disease. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that avoiding both hairdressing symptoms and the addition of traction, especially to chemically processed hair, may reduce the risk of developing TA.

Chronic Chlamydia pneumoniae infection and stroke in Cameroon: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To determine the relationship between chronic Chlamydia pneumoniae infection and stroke in Cameroon. METHODS: Sixty-four consecutive stroke patients 26 to 80 years of age were enrolled at 2 tertiary hospitals in Yaoundé, Cameroon, between March 2000 and December 2001 and matched for age and sex to 64 controls. We measured IgG (1/64) and IgA (1/16) titers against C pneumoniae in both patients and controls using a validated microimmunofluorescence technique. RESULTS: There was no significant difference between cases and controls with respect to hypertension (P=0.2), smoking (P=0.53), alcohol intake (P=0.8), body mass index (P=0.49), waist-to-hip ratio (P=0.14), and diabetes (P=0.76). IgA antibodies were detected in 50 (78.1%) patients and 27 (42.2%) controls (odds ratio [OR] 4.29; 95% CI, 1.84 to 11.56; P=0.0002), and IgG antibodies in 41 (64.1%) patients and 35 (54.7%) controls (OR, 1.46; 95% CI, 0.68 to 3.22; P=0.29). For confirmed thrombotic stroke, the association with IgA antibodies became stronger (OR, 21.0; 95% CI, 3.38 to 868.45; P<0.0001), but there was still no association with IgG antibodies (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 0.69 to 5.50; P=0.18). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows a strong statistical association between (IgA, and not IgG, as a serological marker of) chronic C pneumoniae infection and stroke for the first time in a resident indigenous African population. These findings, if confirmed, may have important policy implications (in terms of antibiotic use in stroke prevention) in sub-Saharan Africa.

Clinical characteristics and initial management of patients with tuberculous pericarditis in the HIV era: the Investigation of the Management of Pericarditis in Africa (IMPI Africa) registry.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of tuberculous pericarditis has increased in Africa as a result of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic. However, the effect of HIV co-infection on clinical features and prognosis in tuberculous pericarditis is not well characterised. We have used baseline data of the Investigation of the Management of Pericarditis in Africa (IMPI Africa) registry to assess the impact of HIV co-infection on clinical presentation, diagnostic evaluation, and treatment of patients with suspected tuberculous pericarditis in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: Consecutive adult patients in 15 hospitals in three countries in sub-Saharan Africa were recruited on commencement of treatment for tuberculous pericarditis, following informed consent. We recorded demographic, clinical, diagnostic and therapeutic information at baseline, and have used the chi-square test and analysis of variance to assess probabilities of significant differences (in these variables) between groups defined by HIV status. RESULTS: A total of 185 patients were enrolled from 01 March 2004 to 31 October 2004, 147 (79.5%) of whom had effusive, 28 (15.1%) effusive-constrictive, and 10 (5.4%) constrictive or acute dry pericarditis. Seventy-four (40%) had clinical features of HIV infection. Patients with clinical HIV disease were more likely to present with dyspnoea (odds ratio [OR] 3.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4 to 7.4, P = 0.005) and electrocardiographic features of myopericarditis (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.1 to 6.9, P = 0.03). In addition to electrocardiographic features of myopericarditis, a positive HIV serological status was associated with greater cardiomegaly (OR 3.89, 95% CI 1.34 to 11.32, P = 0.01) and haemodynamic instability (OR 9.68, 95% CI 2.09 to 44.80, P = 0.0008). However, stage of pericardial disease at diagnosis and use of diagnostic tests were not related to clinical HIV status. Similar results were obtained for serological HIV status. Most patients were treated on clinical grounds, with microbiological evidence of tuberculosis obtained in only 13 (7.0%) patients. Adjunctive corticosteroids were used in 109 (58.9%) patients, with patients having clinical HIV disease less likely to be put on them (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.68). Seven patients were on antiretroviral drugs. CONCLUSION: Patients with suspected tuberculous pericarditis and HIV infection in Africa have greater evidence of myopericarditis, dyspnoea, and haemodynamic instability. These findings, if confirmed in other studies, may suggest more intensive management of the cardiac disease is warranted in patients with HIV-associated pericardial disease.