Long-term excess risk of stroke in people with Type 2 diabetes in Sweden according to blood pressure level: a population-based case-control study.

AIMS: To estimate the risk of stroke in people with Type 2 diabetes with different blood pressure levels compared with the risk in the general population in Sweden. METHODS: This prospective case-control study included 408 076 people with Type 2 diabetes, aged ≥ 18 years, and free of prior stroke, registered in the Swedish National Diabetes Register 1998-2011. Age- and sex-matched control subjects (n = 1 913 507) without stroke from the general population were included. Stroke diagnoses were retrieved using International Classification of Disease codes from the Swedish patient and death registers. Cox hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated at six different blood pressure levels. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 4 years, 19 548 (4.8%) people with Type 2 diabetes and 61 690 (3.2%) without diabetes were diagnosed with stroke, corresponding to an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.43 (95% CI 1.41-1.46) for people with Type 2 diabetes as a group. Compared with people without diabetes, the risk of stroke for people with Type 2 diabetes with different blood pressure levels was significantly higher, starting at blood pressure levels > 130/80 mmHg. Hazard ratios for stroke were 1.20 (95% CI 1.16-1.24), 1.47 (95% CI 1.43-1.50), and 1.97 (95% CI 1.90-2.03) for blood pressure categories of 130-139/80-89 mmHg, 140-159/90-99 mmHg and ≥ 160/≥ 100 mmHg, respectively, after adjustment for age, sex, diabetes duration, being born in Sweden, maximum education level and baseline comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: People with Type 2 diabetes and blood pressure < 130/80 mmHg had a risk of stroke similar to that of the general population.

Incidence of Type 2 diabetes among occupational classes in Sweden: a 35-year follow-up cohort study in middle-aged men.

AIMS: To assess if low occupational class was an independent predictor of Type 2 diabetes in men in Sweden over a 35-year follow-up, after adjustment for both conventional risk factors and psychological stress. METHODS: A random population-based sample of 6874 men aged 47-56 years without a history of diabetes was divided into five occupational classes and the men were followed from 1970 to 2008. Diabetes cases were identified through the Swedish inpatient and death registers. Subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) and 95% CIs from competing risk regressions, cumulative incidence and conditional probabilities were calculated, after accounting for the risk of death attributed to other causes. RESULTS: A total of 907 (13%) men with diabetes were identified over 35 years with a median follow-up of 27.9 years. The cumulative incidence of diabetes, when taking into account death as a competing event, was 11% in high officials, 12% in intermediate non-manual employees, 14% in assistant non-manual employees, 14% in skilled workers, and 16% in unskilled and semi-skilled workers. Men with unskilled and semi-skilled manual occupations had a significantly higher risk of diabetes than high officials (reference) after adjustment for age, BMI, hypertension, smoking and physical activity (SHR 1.39, 95% CI 1.08-1.78). Additional adjustment for self-reported psychological stress did not attenuate the results. CONCLUSIONS: A low occupational class suggests a greater risk of Type 2 diabetes, independently of conventional risk factors and psychological stress.

Perceived stress and incidence of Type 2 diabetes: a 35-year follow-up study of middle-aged Swedish men.

AIM: To explore incident cases of diagnosed diabetes over 35 years of follow-up in relation to self-perceived stress at baseline. METHODS: This was a population-based random sample of 7251 men derived from the Primary Prevention Trial Study, aged 47-56 years at baseline and without prior history of diabetes, coronary heart disease and stroke. Incident diabetes was identified from hospital discharge and death registries as principal or secondary diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the potential association between stress and diabetes. RESULTS: During a 35-year follow-up, a total of 899 men were identified with diabetes. The crude incidence was 5.2 per 1000 persons-years. At baseline, 15.5% men reported permanent stress related to conditions at work or home. After adjusting for age and competing risk of death, the estimated 35-year conditional probability of diabetes in men with permanent stress was 42.6%, compared with 31.0% for those with periodic stress and 31.2% with no stress. In age-adjusted Cox regression analysis, men with permanent stress had a higher risk of diabetes [hazard ratio 1.52 (95% CI 1.26-1.82)] compared with men with no (referent) or periodic stress [hazard ratio 1.09 (95% CI 0.94-1.27)]. The association between stress and diabetes was slightly attenuated but remained significant after adjustment for age, socio-economic status, physical inactivity, BMI, systolic blood pressure and use of anti-hypertensive medication [hazard ratio 1.45 (95% CI 1.20-1.75)]. When examining principal diagnosis of diabetes cases separately from secondary diagnoses cases, the excess risk of diabetes associated with permanent stress remained significant both in age (only) and multivariable adjusted models. CONCLUSION: Self-perceived permanent stress is an important long-term predictor of diagnosed diabetes, independently of socio-economic status, BMI and other conventional Type 2 diabetes risk factors.