Societal costs of sepsis in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a life-threatening syndrome characterized by acute loss of organ function due to infection. Sepsis survivors are at risk for long-term comorbidities, have a reduced Quality of Life (QoL), and are prone to increased long-term mortality. The societal impact of sepsis includes its disease burden and indirect economic costs. However, these societal costs of sepsis are not fully understood. This study assessed sepsis's disease-related and indirect economic costs in the Netherlands. METHODS: Sepsis prevalence, incidence, sepsis-related mortality, hospitalizations, life expectancy, QoL population norms, QoL reduction after sepsis, and healthcare use post-sepsis were obtained from previous literature and Statistics Netherlands. We used these data to estimate annual Quality-adjusted Life Years (QALYs), productivity loss, and increase in healthcare use post-sepsis. A sensitivity analysis was performed to analyze the burden and indirect economic costs of sepsis under alternative assumptions, resulting in a baseline, low, and high estimated burden. The results are presented as a baseline (low-high burden) estimate. RESULTS: The annual disease burden of sepsis is approximately 57,304 (24,398-96,244; low-high burden) QALYs. Of this, mortality accounts for 26,898 (23,166-31,577) QALYs, QoL decrease post-sepsis accounts for 30,406 (1232-64,667) QALYs. The indirect economic burden, attributed to lost productivity and increased healthcare expenditure, is estimated at €416.1 (147.1-610.7) million utilizing the friction cost approach and €3.1 (0.4-5.7) billion using the human capital method. Cumulatively, the combined disease and indirect economic burdens range from €3.8 billion (friction method) to €6.5 billion (human capital method) annually within the Netherlands. CONCLUSIONS: Sepsis and its complications pose a substantial disease and indirect economic burden to the Netherlands, with an indirect economic burden due to production loss that is potentially larger than the burden due to coronary heart disease or stroke. Our results emphasize the need for future studies to prevent sepsis, saving downstream costs and decreasing the economic burden.

Foresight in public health: a tutorial on application and insights on challenges from the PHIRI foresight exercise.

BACKGROUND: The application of foresight to the field of public health is limited. There is growing need to anticipate uncertain future trends and to plan for them. Foresight provides tools to experts and policymakers to discuss and plan for possible futures. Hence, the aim of this study is to illustrate how the foresight six-step approach can be applied in public health, and to provide recommendations on dealing with challenges, drawn from the Population Health Information Research Infrastructure (PHIRI) foresight exercise. METHODS: In this tutorial, we describe the six-step approach as part of foresight methodology and give examples of possible challenges. Step 1 comprises the formulation of study objectives. Step 2 focuses on developing a conceptual model and applying the Demographic Economic Sociocultural Technological Ecological and Political-Institutional (DESTEP) framework to identify and prioritize driving forces for the topic of interest. In Step 3, a time horizon and spatial level are defined. Step 4 discusses scenario logics. Steps 5 and 6 discuss different types of scenarios and associated tools for analyses. Possible challenges encountered whilst applying the foresight methodology at each of the steps, were drawn from experiences during PHIRI foresight exercise. RESULTS: Challenges associated with applying the foresight six-step approach included: formulating concise objectives, developing a conceptual model, understanding driving forces and uncertainty and difficulties in building scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Understanding concepts used in the six-step approach and how they relate to each other remained difficult. Support from foresight experts, conducting more foresight exercises, tutorials and guidelines can enhance understanding and support building capacity.

Improving the prediction of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy with the addition of detailed pathology of the positive surgical margin and cribriform growth.

The risk on biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) is usually estimated using PSA and pathological stage and grading including the presence of positive surgical margins (PSM). Objective was to investigate whether the presence of cribriform growth in the primary tumor, Grade Group (GG) at the PSM, and length of the PSM have added value in the prognostication. We analyzed data of 835 patients initially treated with RP between 2000 and 2017. Cox regression models were developed to compare the baseline model (PSA, pT-stage, pN-stage, GG at RP, and presence of PSM) with an extended model (adding the presence of cribriform growth, length and GG at the PSM) using the likelihood ratio test. Discrimination was assessed at internal validation by the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) at 3- and 5-year. A total of 224 men experienced BCR. Median follow-up for men without BCR was 50.4 months (interquartile range, IQR 11.9-95.5). The extended model had a significant better fit, χ2(4) = 31.0, p < 0.001 than the baseline model. The AUC of the 3- and 5-year extended model was 0.85 (95% CI 0.81-0.88) compared to 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87) for the baseline model. Importantly, the presence of cribriform growth in the primary tumor, and GG ≥ 2 at PSM were associated with a higher risk on BCR. In conclusion, the addition of pathological variables improved the prediction of the risk on BCR after RP slightly. However, the clinical implications of this model are important.

Prostate Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography/Computerized Tomography in the Evaluation of Initial Response in Candidates Who Underwent Salvage Radiation Therapy after Radical Prostatectomy for Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: We assessed predictors of short-term oncologic outcomes of patients who underwent salvage radiation therapy for biochemical recurrence after robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy without evidence of metastases on prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 194 patients with biochemical recurrence after robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy who underwent prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography prior to salvage radiation therapy. Patients with lymph node or distant metastases on restaging imaging or at the time of extended pelvic lymph node dissection during robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy were excluded, as were patients who received androgen deprivation therapy during or prior to salvage radiation therapy. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to assess predictors of treatment response, defined as prostate specific antigen value ≤0.1 ng/ml after salvage radiation therapy. RESULTS: Overall treatment response after salvage radiation therapy was 75% (146/194 patients). On multivariable analysis, prostate specific antigen value at initiation of salvage radiation therapy (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.27-0.62, p <0.001), pathological T stage (pT3a vs pT2 OR 0.28, 95% CI 0.11-0.69, p=0.006; pT3b vs pT2 OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.09-0.71, p=0.009) and local recurrent disease on imaging (OR 5.53, 95% CI 1.96-18.52, p=0.003) were predictors of treatment response. CONCLUSIONS: Salvage radiation therapy in patients without evidence of metastases on prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography showed a good overall treatment response of 75%. Higher treatment response rates were observed in patients with lower prostate specific antigen values at initiation of salvage radiation therapy, those with local recurrent disease on imaging and those with lower pathological T stage (pT2 vs pT3a/b).

Optimal Timing of Prostate Specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography/Computerized Tomography for Biochemical Recurrence after Radical Prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: We developed a model predicting the probability of detecting prostate cancer recurrence outside the prostatic fossa on prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included 419 consecutive patients with biochemical recurrence (prostate specific antigen less than 2.0 ng/ml) after radical prostatectomy who underwent 68Ga-prostate specific membrane antigen-11 positron emission tomography/computerized tomography to guide salvage therapy. Patients receiving androgen deprivation therapy between radical prostatectomy and prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography were excluded from the study. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess predictors for the detection of prostate cancer recurrence outside the prostatic fossa on prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography. We minimized overfitting of the model and used decision curve analysis to determine clinical utility. RESULTS: Median prostate specific antigen at scanning was 0.40 ng/ml (IQR 0.30-0.70). Overall 174 (42%) patients had prostate cancer recurrence outside the prostatic fossa. Prostate specific antigen at time of scanning, and grade group, N stage and surgical margin status at radical prostatectomy specimen were significant predictors for detecting prostate cancer recurrence outside the prostatic fossa. The bootstrapped AUC of this model was 0.75 (IQR 0.73-0.77). The decision curve analysis showed a net benefit by a model based probability from 16%. Limitations include the retrospective design and the missing histological correlation of positive lesions. CONCLUSIONS: Next to the prostate specific antigen at time of scanning, grade group, N stage and surgical margin status at radical prostatectomy specimen are significant predictors for detecting prostate cancer recurrence outside the prostatic fossa on prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computerized tomography. The presented model is implemented in a dashboard to assist clinicians in determining the optimal time to perform 68Ga-prostate specific membrane antigen-11 positron emission tomography/computerized tomography in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

Use of gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen positron-emission tomography for detecting lymph node metastases in primary and recurrent prostate cancer and location of recurrence after radical prostatectomy: an overview of the current literature.

OBJECTIVES: To review the literature to determine the sensitivity and specificity of gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen (68 Ga-PSMA) positron-emission tomography (PET) for detecting pelvic lymph node metastases in patients with primary prostate cancer (PCa), and the positive predictive value in patients with biochemical recurrence (BCR) after initial curative treatment, and, in addition, to determine the detection rate and management impact of 68 Ga-PSMA PET in patients with BCR after radical prostatectomy (RP). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a comprehensive literature search. Search terms used in MEDLINE, EMBASE and Science Direct were '(PSMA, 68 Ga-PSMA, 68 Gallium-PSMA, Ga-68-PSMA or prostate-specific membrane antigen)' and '(histology, lymph node, staging, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, recurrence, recurrent or detection)'. Relevant abstracts were reviewed and full-text articles obtained where possible. References to and from obtained articles were searched to identify further relevant articles. RESULTS: Nine retrospective and two prospective studies described the sensitivity and specificity of 68 Ga-PSMA PET for detecting pelvic lymph node metastases before initial treatment, which ranged from 33.3% to 100% and 80% to 100%, respectively. In eight retrospective studies, the positive predictive value of 68 Ga-PSMA PET in patients with BCR before salvage lymph node dissection ranged from 70% to 100%. The detection rate of 68 Ga-PSMA PET in patients with BCR after RP in the PSA subgroups <0.2 ng/mL, 0.2-0.49 ng/mL and 0.5 to <1.0 ng/mL ranged from 11.3% to 50.0%, 20.0% to 72.7% and 25.0% to 87.5%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The review results showed that 68 Ga-PSMA PET had a high specificity for the detection of pelvic lymph node metastases in primary PCa. Furthermore, 68 Ga-PSMA PET had a very high positive predictive value in detecting lymph node metastases in patients with BCR. By contrast, sensitivity was only moderate; therefore, based on the currently available literature, 68 Ga-PSMA PET cannot yet replace pelvic lymph node dissection to exclude lymph node metastases. In the salvage phase, 68 Ga-PSMA PET had both a high detection rate and impact on radiotherapy planning in early BCR after RP.

Distribution of prostate cancer recurrences on gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen (68 Ga-PSMA) positron-emission/computed tomography after radical prostatectomy with pathological node-positive extended lymph node dissection.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the anatomical distribution of prostate cancer (PCa) recurrence on gallium-68 prostate-specific membrane antigen (68 Ga-PSMA) positron-emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) in patients with biochemical recurrence (BCR) after undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP) with pathological lymph node metastasis (pN1) in their extended pelvic lymph node dissection (ePLND), and to compare the location of PCa recurrence with the location of the initial lymph node metastasis at ePLND. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 100 patients with BCR (PSA 0.05-5.00 ng/mL) after RP with pN1 ePLND who underwent 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT to guide salvage therapy. Clinical and pathological features and anatomical locations of PCa recurrence on 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT were obtained, and management impact was recorded. RESULTS: In all, 68 patients (68%) had a positive and 32 patients (32%) had a negative 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT result. Of the 68 patients with a positive 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT, 44 (65%) showed abnormal uptake only in the pelvic area, seven (10%) only outside the pelvic area, and 17 (25%) both within and outside the pelvic area. 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT-positive pelvic lymph nodes were often (84%) detected on the same side as the lymph node metastasis diagnosed at ePLND. Based on the outcomes of the 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT, change of management was noted in 68% of the patients. CONCLUSION: Recurrence of PCa on 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT was limited to the pelvis in the majority of patients with BCR after RP with pN1 ePLND. Moreover, recurrence was often detected on the same side as the lymph node metastasis at ePLND. The results confirm the diagnostic value of 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT in patients with BCR after RP with pN1 ePLND. Prospective studies are needed to support the long-term benefit of 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT-dictated management changes.

Prostate cancer upgrading with serial prostate magnetic resonance imaging and repeat biopsy in men on active surveillance: are confirmatory biopsies still necessary?

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether serial prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may guide the utility of repeat targeted (TBx) and systematic biopsy (SBx) when monitoring men with low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) at 1-year of active surveillance (AS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included 111 consecutive men with low-risk (International Society of Urological Pathology [ISUP] Grade 1) PCa, who received protocolled repeat MRI with or without TBx and repeat SBx at 1-year of AS. TBx was performed in Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score ≥3 lesions (MRI-positive men). Upgrading defined as ISUP Grade ≥2 PCa (I), Grade ≥2 with cribriform growth/intraductal carcinoma PCa (II), and Grade ≥3 PCa (III) was investigated. Upgrading detected by TBx only (not by SBx) and SBx only (not by TBx) was investigated in MRI-positive and -negative men, and related to radiological progression on MRI (Prostate Cancer Radiological Estimation of Change in Sequential Evaluation [PRECISE] score). RESULTS: Overall upgrading (I) was 32% (35/111). Upgrading in MRI-positive and -negative men was 48% (30/63) and 10% (5/48) (P < 0.001), respectively. In MRI-positive men, there was upgrading in 23% (seven of 30) by TBx only and in 33% (10/30) by SBx only. Radiological progression (PRECISE score 4-5) in MRI-positive men was seen in 27% (17/63). Upgrading (I) occurred in 41% (seven of 17) of these MRI-positive men, while this was 50% (23/46) in MRI-positive men without radiological progression (PRECISE score 1-3) (P = 0.534). Overall upgrading (II) was 15% (17/111). Upgrading in MRI-positive and -negative men was 22% (14/63) and 6% (three of 48) (P = 0.021), respectively. In MRI-positive men, there was upgrading in three of 14 by TBx only and in seven of 14 by SBx only. Overall upgrading (III) occurred in 5% (five of 111). Upgrading in MRI-positive and -negative men was 6% (four of 63) and 2% (one of 48) (P = 0.283), respectively. In MRI-positive men, there was upgrading in one of four by TBx only and in two of four by SBx only. CONCLUSION: Upgrading is significantly lower in MRI-negative compared to MRI-positive men with low-risk PCa at 1-year of AS. In serial MRI-negative men, the added value of repeat SBx at 1-year surveillance is limited and should be balanced individually against the harms. In serial MRI-positive men, the added value of repeat SBx is substantial. Based on this cohort, SBx is recommended to be performed in combination with TBx in all MRI-positive men at 1-year of AS, also when there is no radiological progression.

The Dutch Public Health Foresight Study 2018: an example of a comprehensive foresight exercise.

BACKGROUND: The use of foresight studies is common in some policy fields, but not in public health. Interest in such studies is growing. This paper gives a general overview of the Dutch Public Health Foresight Study (PHFS) 2018, providing insight into what performing a broad scenario exercise in the field of public health entails and its societal impacts. METHODS: The aim of the PHFS-2018 was: (a) to show how public health and healthcare in the Netherlands will develop over the next 25 years if we pursue our current course and detect 'new' developments; (b) to give options for dealing with the major future societal challenges. Part a was addressed by means of a quantitative business-as-usual scenario exercise complemented with qualitative thematic studies, and part b by elaborating courses of action for three key challenges, based on stakeholder consultation. Typical aspects of the PHFS methods are a multidisciplinary, participatory and conceptual approach and using a broad definition of health. RESULTS: The PHFS-2018 is the basis for the upcoming National Health Policy Memorandum and the Trend Scenario is the baseline for the National Prevention Agreement. Unexpectedly, the findings about increasing mental pressure in young people received most attention. There still is room for expanding use of the study to its full potential. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term thinking could be stimulated by using back casting techniques and stronger involvement of policy-makers in the elaboration of options for action. Lessons learned from developing intersectoral policy at the local level could be applied at the national level.

Three novel methods to measure the postoperative displacement of lower urinary tract structures following radical prostatectomy in a sample of Korean patients.

BACKGROUND: There is a change in the position of the remaining anatomical structures of the lower urinary tract system following radical prostatectomy. The aims of this investigation were to describe three novel methods used to measure the displacement of i) the vesico-urethral junction (VUJ), proximal membranous urethra (PMU) and anorectal junction (ARJ) and ii) the VUJ angle of displacement in men following radical prostatectomy and determine their intra- and interrater reliability. METHODS: Retrospective comparative measurement of twenty pre- and postoperative MRI scans was undertaken by one observer on two separate occasions and on one occasion by another observer. Three standardized midsagittal pelvimetry reference lines were used to describe three X, Y axis measurement systems. The displacement (mm) of the VUJ, PMU and ARJ, and the angle of displacement (degrees) of the VUJ was measured for each of the three methods. Interrater reliability of VUJ, PMU and ARJ displacement and the VUJ angle of displacement measurements was assessed using a two-way mixed-effects agreement intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Test-retest (intrarater) reliability was calculated using a two-way random effects consistency ICC with 95% CI for all displacement measures of the VUJ, PMU and ARJ for one observer between two days. RESULTS: The pubococcygeal line (PCL) axis measurement system demonstrated good to excellent intrarater and interrater reliability (ICC 95% interval lower bound > 0.75) for the VUJ and PMU displacement and the VUJ angle of displacement measurements. Other measurement systems were less reliable and more variable. CONCLUSIONS: In this sample of 20 Korean patients with median prostate volume 27.5 mL and maximum volume 70 mL, the measurement methodology using the PCL consistently demonstrated good to excellent reliability and the lowest variability for the measurement of the displacement of the VUJ and PMU and the VUJ angle of displacement. The PCL methodology is recommended as the method of choice. Further studies should validate these results in patients with large prostate volumes.

Screening for elder mistreatment in a Swiss emergency department: a prospective cohort study.

AIM OF THE STUDY: The mistreatment of older adults is a global and complex problem with varying prevalence. As there are no data on the prevalence of elder mistreatment in European emergency department populations, we aimed to translate and culturally adapt the Emergency Department Senior Abuse Identification (ED Senior AID) tool for German use, assess the positive screen rate for elder mistreatment with the German version, and compare characteristics of patients who screened positive and negative. METHODS: To assess the prevalence of elder mistreatment, we created a German version of the ED Senior AID tool. This tool identifies intentional or negligent actions by a caregiver or trusted person that cause harm or risk to an older adult. Then, the German ED Senior AID tool was applied to all consecutively presenting patients aged ≥65 years at our academic emergency department in the Northwest of Switzerland from 25 April to 30 May 2022. Usability was defined as the percentage of patients with completed assessments using the German ED Senior AID tool. RESULTS: We included 1010 patients aged ≥65 years, of whom 29 (2.9%) screened positive with the ED Senior AID tool. The patients who screened positive were older, more severely cognitively impaired, hospitalised more frequently, and presented with higher frailty scores than those who screened negative. Mortality up to 100 days after presentation was comparable in all patients (p = 0.861), regardless of their screening result. The tool showed good usability, with 73% of assessments completed. CONCLUSION: This is the first prospective investigation on the prevalence of elder mistreatment in a European emergency department setting. Overall, 2.9% of patients screened positive using a validated screening tool translated into German. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was registered with the National Institute of Health on ClinicalTrials.gov with the registration number NCT05400707.

Prognostic value of cognitive impairment, assessed by the Clock Drawing Test, in emergency department patients presenting with non-specific complaints.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment (CI) is common among older patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). The failure to recognize CI at ED presentation constitutes a high risk of additional morbidity, mortality, and functional decline. The Clock Drawing Test (CDT) is a well-established cognitive screening test. AIM: In patients presenting to the ED with non-specific complaints (NSCs), we aimed to investigate the usability of the CDT and its prognostic value regarding length of hospital stay (LOS) and mortality. METHOD: Secondary analysis of the Basel Non-specific Complaints (BANC) trial, a prospective delayed type cross-sectional study with a 30-day follow-up. In three EDs, patients presenting with NSCs were enrolled. The CDT was administered at enrollment. RESULTS: In the 1,278 patients enrolled, median age was 81 [74, 87] years and 782 were female (61.19%). A valid CDT was obtained in 737 (57.7%) patients. In patients without a valid CDT median LOS was higher (29 [9, 49] days vs. 22 [9, 45] days), and 30-day mortality was significantly higher than in patients with a valid CDT (n = 45 (8.32%) vs. n = 39 (5.29%)). Of all valid CDTs, 154 clocks (20.9%) were classified as normal, 55 (7.5%) as mildly deficient, 297 (40.3%) as moderately deficient, and 231 (31.3%) as severely deficient. Mortality and LOS increased along with the CDT deficits (p = 0.012 for 30-day mortality; p < 0.001 for LOS). CONCLUSION: The early identification of patients with CI may lead to improved patient management and resource allocation. The CDT could be used as a risk stratification tool for older ED patients presenting with NSCs, as it is a predictor for 30-day mortality and LOS.

Clinical Frailty Scale at presentation to the emergency department: interrater reliability and use of algorithm-assisted assessment.

PURPOSE: The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) allows health care providers to quickly stratify older patients, to support clinical decision-making. However, few studies have evaluated the CFS interrater reliability (IRR) in Emergency Departments (EDs), and the freely available smartphone application for CFS assessment was never tested for reliability. This study aimed to evaluate the interrater reliability of the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) ratings between experienced and unexperienced staff (ED clinicians and a study team (ST) of medical students supported by a smartphone application to assess the CFS), and to determine the feasibility of CFS assignment in patients aged 65 or older at triage. METHODS: Cross-sectional study using consecutive sampling of ED patients aged 65 or older. We compared assessments by ED clinicians (Triage Clinicians (TC) and geriatric ED trained nurses (geriED-TN)) and a study team (ST) of medical students using a smartphone application for CFS scoring. The study is registered on Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT05400707). RESULTS: We included 1349 patients aged 65 and older. Quadratic-weighted kappa values for ordinal CFS levels showed a good IRR between TC and ST (Ï° = 0.73, 95% CI 0.69-0.76), similarly to that between TC and geriED-TN (Ï° = 0.75, 95% CI 0.66-0.82) and between the ST and geriED-TN (Ï° = 0.74, 95% CI 0.63-0.81). A CFS rating was assigned to 972 (70.2%) patients at triage. CONCLUSION: We found good IRR in the assessment of frailty with the CFS in different ED providers and a team using a smartphone application to support rating. A CFS assessment occurred in more than two-thirds (70.2%) of patients at triage.

Predictive value and interrater reliability of mental status and mobility assessment in the emergency department.

AIM: To investigate the predictive value of both mental status, assessed with the AVPUC (Alert, responds to Voice, responds to Pain, Unresponsive, and new Confusion) scale, and mobility assessments, and their interrater reliability (IRR) between triage clinicians and a research team. METHOD: Prospective study of consecutive patients who presented to an ED. Mental status and mobility were assessed by triage clinicians and by a dedicated research team. RESULTS: 4,191 patients were included. After adjustment for age and sex, patients with altered mental status have an odds ratio of 6.55 [4.09-10.24] to be admitted in the ICU and an odds ratio of 21.16 [12.06-37.01] to die within 30 days; patients with impaired mobility have an odds ratio of 7.08 [4.60-11.12] to be admitted in the ICU and an odds ratio of 12.87 [5.93-32.30] to die within 30 days. The kappa coefficient between triage clinicians and the research team for mental status assessment was 0.75, and 0.80 for mobility. CONCLUSION: Assessment of mental status by the AVPUC scale, and mobility by a simple dichotomous scale are suitable for ED triage. Both altered mental status and impaired mobility are associated with adverse outcomes. Mental status and mobility assessment have good interrater reliability.

On-Site Physiotherapy in Emergency Department Patients Presenting with Nonspecific Low Back Pain: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

Background: There is a high incidence of nonspecific Low Back Pain (LBP) in patients visiting Emergency Departments (EDs), but there is a lack of knowledge regarding emergency physiotherapy for LBP. The effect of on-site physiotherapy in these patients was therefore never demonstrated. We assessed short-term outcomes, feasibility and patient satisfaction with physiotherapy in ED patients presenting with nonspecific LBP. Methods: A block-randomized, controlled, open-label trial with a follow-up of 42 days. Patients aged 18 years or older presenting to an ED with nonspecific LBP were prospectively enrolled. Both groups received the same booklet with written information on LBP management and exercises. Patients in the intervention group were given additional instructions by a certified physiotherapist. Results: We included 86 patients in the primary analysis. The median age was 40, and 40.7% were female. At day 7, the median Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) was 2 points lower in the intervention group compared to the control group, which was not statistically significant. There was no between-group difference in pain at day 7. Patients who received physiotherapy felt significantly more confident with the exercises they were taught (p = 0.004, effect size = 0.3 [95% CI 0.1 to 0.5]). Conclusions: On-site physiotherapy in ED patients presenting with nonspecific low back pain is associated with higher patient satisfaction, compared to standard of care. The effect of physiotherapy was small, with only minimal improvement in disability, but without a reduction in pain. Despite the very small effect size, physiotherapeutic interventions should be investigated in larger cohorts with an extended intervention including patient education, exercises, and other physiotherapeutic modalities.

Risk of death due to COVID-19 among current and former smokers in the Netherlands: a population-based quasi-cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Research on smoking as a risk factor for death due to COVID-19 remains inconclusive, with different studies demonstrating either an increased or decreased risk of COVID-19 death among smokers. To investigate this controversy, this study uses data from the Netherlands to assess the relationship between smoking and death due to COVID-19. METHODS: In this population-based quasi-cohort study, we linked pseudonymized individual data on smoking status from the 2016 and 2020 'Health Monitor Adults and Elderly' in the Netherlands (n = 914 494) to data from the cause-of-death registry (n = 2962). Death due to COVID-19 in 2020 or 2021 was taken as the main outcome. Poisson regression modelling was used to calculate relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs of death due to COVID-19 for current and former smokers compared with never smokers while adjusting for relevant confounders (age, sex, educational level, body mass index and perceived health). RESULTS: Former smokers had a higher risk of death due to COVID-19 compared with never smokers across unadjusted (RR, 2.22; 95% CI, 2.04-2.42), age-sex-adjusted (RR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.22-1.55) and fully adjusted (RR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.16-1.45) models. Current smokers had a slightly higher risk of death due to COVID-19 compared with never smokers after adjusting for age and sex (RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.00-1.48) and after full adjustment (RR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.90-1.29), although the results were statistically non-significant. CONCLUSIONS: People with a history of smoking appear to have a higher risk of death due to COVID-19. Further research is needed to investigate which underlying mechanisms may explain this.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of cardiac troponins in emergency department patients presenting after a fall: A prospective, multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) presentations after a ground-level fall (GLF) are common. Falls were suggested to be another possible presenting feature of a myocardial infarction (MI), as unrecognized MIs are common in older adults. Elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) concentrations could help determine the etiology of a GLF in ED. We investigated the prevalence of both MI and elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and I (hs-cTnI), as well as the diagnostic accuracy of hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI regarding MI, and their prognostic value in older ED patients presenting after a GLF. METHODS: This was a prospective, international, multicenter, cohort study with a follow-up of up to 1 year. Patients aged 65 years or older presenting to the ED after a GLF were prospectively enrolled. Two outcome assessors independently reviewed all discharge records to ascertain final gold standard diagnoses. Hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI levels were determined from thawed samples for every patient. RESULTS: In total, 558 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 83 (77-89) years, and 67.7% were female. Elevated hs-cTnT levels were found in 384 (68.8%) patients, and elevated hs-cTnI levels in 86 (15.4%) patients. Three patients (0.5%) were ascertained the gold standard diagnosis MI. Within 30 days, 18 (3.2%) patients had died. Nonsurvivors had higher hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI levels compared with survivors (hs-cTnT 40 [23-85] ng/L in nonsurvivors and 20 [13-33] ng/L in survivors; hs-cTnI 25 [14-54] ng/L in nonsurvivors and 8 [4-16] ng/L in survivors; p < 0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: A majority of patients (n = 364, 68.8%) presenting to the ED after a fall had elevated hs-cTnT levels and 86 (15.4%) elevated hs-cTnI levels. However, the incidence of MI in these patients was low (n = 3, 0.5%). Our data do not support the opinion that falls may be a common presenting feature of MI. We discourage routine troponin testing in this population. However, hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI were both found to have prognostic properties for mortality prediction up to 1 year.