[Regional Collaboration of Palliative Care to Support the Wishes of Cancer Patients].

Regarding regional cooperation in palliative care for advanced cancer, the problem is complicated by the fact that the 3 factors of hospital circumstances, regional circumstances, and the patient's own wishes are different. Depending on the hospital, the patient can be seen to the end, the palliative care resources are different depending on the region, and the patient's own wishes also change depending on the time. When considering the characteristic trajectory that a cancer patient will follow to the end, it is essential to prepare early, but what is important here is a double primary care physician system consisting of a cancer therapist and palliative care. However, in communication when introducing palliative care, it is important to consider the timing and the feeling that the patient has been abandoned. This period is an important point for patients, how to spend the end of their lives, and it is desirable to think carefully about how to approach it according to the region. Palliative care is not only medical care for dying, but also medical care that supports how to live at the end of life.

A prospective, multicenter cohort study to validate a simple performance status-based survival prediction system for oncologists.

BACKGROUND: Survival prediction systems such as the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI), which includes the Palliative Performance Scale (PPS), are used to estimate survival for terminally ill patients. Oncologists are, however, less familiar with the PPS in comparison with the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS). This study was designed to validate a simple survival prediction system for oncologists, the Performance Status-Based Palliative Prognostic Index (PS-PPI), which is a modified form of the PPI based on the ECOG PS. METHODS: This multicenter, prospective cohort study enrolled all consecutive patients who were referred to 58 palliative care services in Japan. The primary responsible physicians rated the variables required to calculate the PS-PPI and the PPI. Patient survival in these risk groups was compared, and the sensitivity and specificity of the PS-PPI and the PPI were evaluated. Patients were subclassified as patients receiving care from in-hospital palliative care teams, palliative care units, or home-based palliative care services. Subsets of patients receiving chemotherapy were also analyzed. RESULTS: This study included 2346 patients. Survival predictions based on the PPI and the PS-PPI differed significantly among the 3 risk groups (P < .001). The PS-PPI was more sensitive, whereas the PPI was more specific. All areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of both indices were >0.78 for predicting survival at all times, from 3 weeks to 180 days. CONCLUSIONS: In predicting the prognosis of patients with advanced cancer, the PS-PPI was as accurate as the PPI. The PS-PPI was useful for short- and long-term survival prediction and for the prediction of survival for patients undergoing chemotherapy. Cancer 2017;123:1442-1452. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

Effect of continuous deep sedation on survival in patients with advanced cancer (J-Proval): a propensity score-weighted analysis of a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Continuous deep sedation (CDS) before death is a form of palliative sedation therapy that has become a focus of strong debate, especially with respect to whether it shortens survival. We aimed to examine whether CDS shortens patient survival using the propensity score-weighting method, and to explore the effect of artificial hydration during CDS on survival. METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of a large multicentre prospective cohort study that recruited and followed up patients between Sept 3, 2012, and April 30, 2014, from 58 palliative care institutions across Japan, including hospital palliative care settings, inpatient palliative care units, and home-based palliative care services. Adult patients (aged ≥ 20 years) with advanced cancer who received care through the participating palliative care services were eligible for this secondary analysis. Patients with missing data for outcome variables or who lived for more than 180 days were excluded. We compared survival after enrolment between patients who did and did not receive CDS. We used a propensity score-weighting method to control for patient characteristics, disease status, and symptom burden at enrolment. FINDINGS: Of 2426 enrolled patients with advanced cancer, we excluded 289 (12%) for living longer than 180 days and 310 (13%) with missing data, leaving an analysis population of 1827 patients. 269 (15%) of 1827 patients received CDS. Unweighted median survival was 27 days (95% CI 22-30) in the CDS group and 26 days (24-27) in the no CDS group (median difference -1 day [95% CI -5 to 4]; HR 0·92 [95% CI 0·81-1·05]; log-rank p=0·20). After propensity-score weighting, these values were 22 days (95% CI 21-24) and 26 days (24-27), respectively (median difference -1 day [95% CI -6 to 4]; HR 1·01 [95% CI 0·87-1·17]; log-rank p=0·91). Age (p(interaction)=0·67), sex (p(interaction)=0·26), performance status (p(interaction)=0·90), and volume of artificial hydration (p(interaction)=0·14) did not have an effect modification on the association between sedation and survival, although care setting did have a significant effect modification (p(interaction)=0·021). INTERPRETATION: CDS does not seem to be associated with a measurable shortening of life in patients with advanced cancer cared for by specialised palliative care services, and could be considered a viable option for palliative care in this setting. FUNDING: Japanese National Cancer Center Research and Development Fund.

Surprise Questions for Survival Prediction in Patients With Advanced Cancer: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Predicting the short-term survival in cancer patients is an important issue for patients, family, and oncologists. Although the prognostic accuracy of the surprise question has value in 1-year mortality for cancer patients, the prognostic value for short-term survival has not been formally assessed. The primary aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of the surprise question for 7-day and 30-day survival in patients with advanced cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The present multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted in Japan from September 2012 through April 2014, involving 16 palliative care units, 19 hospital-based palliative care teams, and 23 home-based palliative care services. RESULTS: We recruited 2,425 patients and included 2,361 for analysis: 912 from hospital-based palliative care teams, 895 from hospital palliative care units, and 554 from home-based palliative care services. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the 7-day survival surprise question were 84.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 80.7%-88.0%), 68.0% (95% CI, 67.3%-68.5%), 30.3% (95% CI, 28.9%-31.5%), and 96.4% (95% CI, 95.5%-97.2%), respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the 30-day surprise question were 95.6% (95% CI, 94.4%-96.6%), 37.0% (95% CI, 35.9%-37.9%), 57.6% (95% CI, 56.8%-58.2%), and 90.4% (95% CI, 87.7%-92.6%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Surprise questions are useful for screening patients for short survival. However, the high false-positive rates do not allow clinicians to provide definitive prognosis prediction. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: The findings of this study indicate that clinicians can screen patients for 7- or 30-day survival using surprise questions with 90% or more sensitivity. Clinicians cannot provide accurate prognosis estimation, and all patients will not always die within the defined periods. The screened patients can be regarded as the subjects to be prepared for approaching death, and proactive discussion would be useful for such patients.

Tapentadol Safety and Patient Characteristics Associated with Treatment Discontinuation in Cancer Therapy: A Retrospective Multicentre Study in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Tapentadol has analgesic effects comparable to those of conventional opioids and is associated with fewer side effects, including gastrointestinal symptoms, drowsiness, and dizziness, than other opioids. However, the safety of tapentadol in the Japanese population remains unclear; the present multicentre study aimed to examine the safety of tapentadol and the characteristics of patients likely to discontinue this treatment owing to adverse events. METHODS: The safety of tapentadol was assessed retrospectively in patients with any type of cancer treated between August 18, 2014 and October 31, 2019 across nine institutions in Japan. Patients were examined at baseline and at the time of opioid discontinuation. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with tapentadol discontinuation owing to adverse events. RESULTS: A total of 906 patients were included in this study, and 685 (75.6%) cases were followed up until tapentadol cessation for any reason. Among patients who discontinued treatment, 119 (17.4%) did so because of adverse events. Among adverse events associated with difficulty in taking medication, nausea was the most common cause of treatment discontinuation (4.7%), followed by drowsiness (1.8%). Multivariate analysis showed that those who were prescribed tapentadol by a palliative care physician (odds ratio [OR] 2.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.36-4.99, p = 0.004), patients switching to tapentadol due to side effects from previous opioids (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.05-4.56, p = 0.037), and patients who did not use naldemedine (OR 5.06, 95% CI 2.47-10.37, p < 0.0001) had an increased risk of treatment discontinuation owing to adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: This study presents the safety profile of tapentadol and the characteristics of patients likely to discontinue this treatment owing to adverse events in the Japanese population. Prospective controlled trials are required to evaluate the safety of tapentadol and validate the present findings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN 000044282 (University Hospital Medical Information Network).

Association Between Heart Rate and Reversibility of the Symptom, Refractoriness to Palliative Treatment, and Survival in Dyspneic Cancer Patients.

CONTEXT: Dyspnea is one of the most distressing symptoms for terminally ill cancer patients and a predictor of poor prognosis. Identification of simple clinical signs, such as heart rate, indicating clinical course of each patient is of value. OBJECTIVES: To explore the potential association between heart rate and reversibility of the symptom, treatment response to palliative intervention, and survival in terminally ill cancer patients with dyspnea at rest. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients with advanced cancer to validate multiple prognostic tools. In the patients with dyspnea at rest at the baseline, we examined a potential association between heart rate and the reversibility of dyspnea and refractoriness to palliative treatment using logistic regression analysis. Survivals were compared using the Cox proportional hazards model among four groups with different levels of the heart rate (≤74, 75-84, 85-97, and ≥98). RESULTS: A total of 2298 patients were enrolled, and 418 patients (18%) had dyspnea at rest. Reversibility of dyspnea was significantly higher in the patients with lower heart rate (P for trend = 0.008), and the refractoriness to palliative treatment tended to be higher in the patients with higher heart rate (P for trend = 0.101). The median survival for each heart rate quartile groups was significantly higher in the lower heart rate group (24 vs. 21 vs. 14 vs. 9 days; heart rate ≤74, 75-84, 85-97, and ≥98, respectively; log-rank P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Heart rate may help clinicians to make the prediction of the patient's clinical course more accurate.

A combination of routine laboratory findings and vital signs can predict survival of advanced cancer patients without physician evaluation: a fractional polynomial model.

INTRODUCTION: There have been no reports about predicting survival of patients with advanced cancer constructed entirely with objective variables. We aimed to develop a prognostic model based on laboratory findings and vital signs using a fractional polynomial (FP) model. METHODS: A multicentre prospective cohort study was conducted at 58 specialist palliative care services in Japan from September 2012 to April 2014. Eligible patients were older than 20 years and had advanced cancer. We developed models for predicting 7-day, 14-day, 30-day, 56-day and 90-day survival by using the FP modelling method. RESULTS: Data from 1039 patients were analysed to develop each prognostic model (Objective Prognostic Index for advanced cancer [OPI-AC]). All models included the heart rate, urea and albumin, while some models included the respiratory rate, creatinine, C-reactive protein, lymphocyte count, neutrophil count, total bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase and platelet/lymphocyte ratio. The area under the curve was 0.77, 0.81, 0.90, 0.90 and 0.92 for the 7-day, 14-day, 30-day, 56-day and 90-day model, respectively. The accuracy of the OPI-AC predicting 30-day, 56-day and 90-day survival was significantly higher than that of the Palliative Prognostic Score or the Prognosis in Palliative Care Study model, which are based on a combination of symptoms and physician estimation. CONCLUSION: We developed highly accurate prognostic indexes for predicting the survival of patients with advanced cancer from objective variables alone, which may be useful for end-of-life management. The FP modelling method could be promising for developing other prognostic models in future research.

Clinical Implications of C-Reactive Protein as a Prognostic Marker in Advanced Cancer Patients in Palliative Care Settings.

CONTEXT: Plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) levels are elevated in patients with advanced cancer. OBJECTIVES: To investigate CRP as a prognostic marker in palliative settings. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study comprised 2426 patients. Laboratory data were obtained at baseline, and all patients were followed until death or six months after their enrollment. A total of 1511 patients were eligible for the analyses. They were divided into four groups: low-CRP (CRP < 1 mg/dL), moderate-CRP (1 ≤ CRP <5 mg/dL), high-CRP (5 ≤ CRP <10 mg/dL), and very high-CRP (10 mg/dL ≤ CRP) groups. Survival was investigated by the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test. The 30-, 60-, and 90-day mortality rates were tested by Chi-squared tests. Univariate- and multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs in each group were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Survival rate decreased and mortality rate increased with increasing CRP level. The differences in survival and 30-, 60-, and 90-day mortality rates among the groups were statistically significant (P < 0.001). Baseline CRP level was significantly associated with a higher risk of mortality after adjustment for age, gender, primary tumor site, metastasis, chemotherapy, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status, and setting of care (moderate-CRP: HR 1.47 [95% CI 1.24-1.73], high-CRP: HR 2.09 [95% CI 1.74-2.50], and very high-CRP: HR 2.55 [95% CI 2.13-3.05] vs. low-CRP). CONCLUSION: Clear dose-effect relationships between elevated CRP levels and prognoses indicate that CRP could be useful in predicting prognoses in patients with advanced cancer.

Survival prediction for advanced cancer patients in the real world: A comparison of the Palliative Prognostic Score, Delirium-Palliative Prognostic Score, Palliative Prognostic Index and modified Prognosis in Palliative Care Study predictor model.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility and accuracy of the Palliative Prognostic Score (PaP score), Delirium-Palliative Prognostic Score (D-PaP score), Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) and modified Prognosis in Palliative Care Study predictor model (PiPS model). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This multicentre prospective cohort study involved 58 palliative care services, including 19 hospital palliative care teams, 16 palliative care units and 23 home palliative care services, in Japan from September 2012 to April 2014. Analyses were performed involving four patient groups: those treated by palliative care teams, those in palliative care units, those at home and those receiving chemotherapy. RESULTS: We recruited 2426 participants, and 2361 patients were finally analysed. Risk groups based on these instruments successfully identified patients with different survival profiles in all groups. The feasibility of PPI and modified PiPS-A was more than 90% in all groups, followed by PaP and D-PaP scores; modified PiPS-B had the lowest feasibility. The accuracy of prognostic scores was ⩾69% in all groups and the difference was within 13%, while c-statistics were significantly lower with the PPI than PaP and D-PaP scores. CONCLUSION: The PaP score, D-PaP score, PPI and modified PiPS model provided distinct survival groups for patients in the three palliative care settings and those receiving chemotherapy. The PPI seems to be suitable for routine clinical use for situations where rough estimates of prognosis are sufficient and/or patients do not want invasive procedure. If clinicians can address more items, the modified PiPS-A would be a non-invasive alternative. In cases where blood samples are available or those requiring more accurate prediction, the PaP and D-PaP scores and modified PiPS-B would be more appropriate.

Cytoplasmic expression of EGFP in dendritic cells transfected with in vitro transcribed mRNA or cellular total RNA extracted from EGFP expressing leukemia cells.

The present study was designed for identifying the protein synthesis in cytoplasm of dendritic cells transfected with in vitro transcribed mRNA and cellular total RNA extracted from tumor cells. Dendritic cells were generated from cord blood-CD34+ cells by culture with GM-CSF, SCF, and TNF-alpha, or from peripheral blood adherent cells or CD14+ cells by culture with GM-CSF and IL-4. Dendritic cells were transfected with in vitro transcribed EGFP mRNA or cellular total RNA, which was isolated from EGFP expressing K562, by electroporation using a square-wave pulse. Optimal in vitro transcribed EGFP mRNA transfection efficiency (>90%) was observed in a single electroporation of 1.75 kV/cm (electric field strength) with a pulse width of 250 micros. Although the intensity of EGFP expression in dendritic cells transfected with cellular total RNA was less compared with that in dendritic cells transfected with in vitro transcribed EGFP mRNA, a definite cytoplasmic synthesis of EGFP was demonstrated in dendritic cells transfected with cellular total RNA. The visual identification of cytoplasmic expression of cellular total RNA in dendritic cells revealed that electroporation of tumor cell-derived RNA could be a useful tool to load dendritic cells with tumor antigens for establishing an efficient dendritic cell-based tumor immunotherapy.