Safety of Switching From a Vitamin K Antagonist to a Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant in Frail Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Results of the FRAIL-AF Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: There is ambiguity whether frail patients with atrial fibrillation managed with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) should be switched to a non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC). METHODS: We conducted a pragmatic, multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled superiority trial. Older patients with atrial fibrillation living with frailty (≥75 years of age plus a Groningen Frailty Indicator score ≥3) were randomly assigned to switch from international normalized ratio-guided VKA treatment to an NOAC or to continued VKA treatment. Patients with a glomerular filtration rate <30 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2 or with valvular atrial fibrillation were excluded. Follow-up was 12 months. The cause-specific hazard ratio was calculated for occurrence of the primary outcome that was a major or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding complication, whichever came first, accounting for death as a competing risk. Analyses followed the intention-to-treat principle. Secondary outcomes included thromboembolic events. RESULTS: Between January 2018 and June 2022, a total of 2621 patients were screened for eligibility and 1330 patients were randomly assigned (mean age 83 years, median Groningen Frailty Indicator score 4). After randomization, 6 patients in the switch-to-NOAC arm and 1 patient in the continue-with-VKA arm were excluded due to the presence of exclusion criteria, leaving 662 patients switched from a VKA to an NOAC and 661 patients continued VKAs in the intention-to-treat population. After 163 primary outcome events (101 in the switch arm, 62 in the continue arm), the trial was stopped for futility according to a prespecified futility analysis. The hazard ratio for our primary outcome was 1.69 (95% CI, 1.23-2.32). The hazard ratio for thromboembolic events was 1.26 (95% CI, 0.60-2.61). CONCLUSIONS: Switching international normalized ratio-guided VKA treatment to an NOAC in frail older patients with atrial fibrillation was associated with more bleeding complications compared with continuing VKA treatment, without an associated reduction in thromboembolic complications. REGISTRATION: URL: https://eudract.ema.europa.eu; Unique identifier: 2017-000393-11. URL: https://eudract.ema.europa.eu; Unique identifier: 6721 (FRAIL-AF study).

Safety of off-label dose reduction of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation.

AIM: To investigate the effects of off-label non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC) dose reduction compared with on-label standard dosing in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients in routine care. METHODS: Population-based cohort study using data from the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink, comparing adults with non-valvular AF receiving an off-label reduced NOAC dose to patients receiving an on-label standard dose. Outcomes were ischaemic stroke, major/non-major bleeding and mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and inverse probability of censoring weighting on the propensity score were applied to adjust for confounding and informative censoring. RESULTS: Off-label dose reduction occurred in 2466 patients (8.0%), compared with 18 108 (58.5%) on-label standard-dose users. Median age was 80 years (interquartile range [IQR] 73.0-86.0) versus 72 years (IQR 66-78), respectively. Incidence rates were higher in the off-label dose reduction group compared to the on-label standard dose group, for ischaemic stroke (0.94 vs 0.70 per 100 person years), major bleeding (1.48 vs 0.83), non-major bleeding (6.78 vs 6.16) and mortality (10.12 vs 3.72). Adjusted analyses resulted in a hazard ratio of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.57-1.60) for ischaemic stroke, 0.88 (95% CI 0.57-1.35) for major bleeding, 0.81 (95% CI 0.67-0.98) for non-major bleeding and 1.34 (95% CI 1.12-1.61) for mortality. CONCLUSION: In this large population-based study, the hazards for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding were low, and similar in AF patients receiving an off-label reduced NOAC dose compared with on-label standard dose users, while non-major bleeding risk appeared to be lower and mortality risk higher. Caution towards prescribing an off-label reduced NOAC dose is therefore required.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure in patients with diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes has strongly been linked to atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure. The epidemiology of these cardiovascular diseases is changing, however, due to changes in prevalence of obesity-related conditions and preventive measures. Recent population studies on incidence of atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure in patients with diabetes are needed. METHODS: A dynamic longitudinal cohort study was performed using primary care databases of the Julius General Practitioners' Network. Diabetes status was determined at baseline (1 January 2014 or upon entering the cohort) and participants were followed-up for atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure until 1 February 2019. Age and sex-specific incidence and incidence rate ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Mean follow-up was 4.2 years, 12,168 patients were included in the diabetes group, and 130,143 individuals in the background group. Incidence rate ratios, adjusted for age and sex, were 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.06-1.30) for atrial fibrillation, 1.66 (1.55-1.83) for ischaemic heart disease, and 2.36 (2.10-2.64) for heart failure. Overall, incidence rate ratios were highest in the younger age categories, converging thereafter. CONCLUSION: There is a clear association between diabetes and incidence of the major chronic progressive heart diseases, notably with heart failure with a more than twice increased risk.

Integrated management of atrial fibrillation in primary care: results of the ALL-IN cluster randomized trial.

AIMS: To evaluate whether integrated care for atrial fibrillation (AF) can be safely orchestrated in primary care. METHODS AND RESULTS: The ALL-IN trial was a cluster randomized, open-label, pragmatic non-inferiority trial performed in primary care practices in the Netherlands. We randomized 26 practices: 15 to the integrated care intervention and 11 to usual care. The integrated care intervention consisted of (i) quarterly AF check-ups by trained nurses in primary care, also focusing on possibly interfering comorbidities, (ii) monitoring of anticoagulation therapy in primary care, and finally (iii) easy-access availability of consultations from cardiologists and anticoagulation clinics. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality during 2 years of follow-up. In the intervention arm, 527 out of 941 eligible AF patients aged ≥65 years provided informed consent to undergo the intervention. These 527 patients were compared with 713 AF patients in the control arm receiving usual care. Median age was 77 (interquartile range 72-83) years. The all-cause mortality rate was 3.5 per 100 patient-years in the intervention arm vs. 6.7 per 100 patient-years in the control arm [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.55; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37-0.82]. For non-cardiovascular mortality, the adjusted HR was 0.47 (95% CI 0.27-0.82). For other adverse events, no statistically significant differences were observed. CONCLUSION: In this cluster randomized trial, integrated care for elderly AF patients in primary care showed a 45% reduction in all-cause mortality when compared with usual care.

Clinical research study implementation of case-finding strategies for heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the elderly with reduced exercise tolerance or dyspnea: A cluster randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) often remain undiagnosed in older individuals, although both disorders inhibit functionality and impair health. The aim of the study was to assess the effectiveness of a case-finding strategy of these disorders. METHODS: This is a clustered randomized trial; 18 general practices from the vicinity of Utrecht, the Netherlands, were randomly allocated to a case-finding strategy or usual care. Multimorbid community subjects (≥65 years) with dyspnea or reduced exercise tolerance were eligible for inclusion. The case-finding strategy consisted of history taking, physical examination, blood tests, electrocardiography, spirometry, and echocardiography. Subsequent treatment decisions were at the discretion of the general practitioner. Questionnaires regarding health status and functionality were filled out at baseline and after 6 months of follow-up. Information regarding changes in medication and health care use during the 6 months follow-up was extracted. RESULTS: A total of 829 participants were randomized: 389 in the case-finding strategy group and 440 in the usual care group. More patients in the case-finding group received a new diagnosis of HF or COPD than the usual care group (cumulative incidence 34% vs 2% and 17% vs. 2%, respectively). Scores for health status, functionality, and health care use were similar between the 2 strategies after 6 months of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: A case-finding strategy applied in primary care to multimorbid older people with dyspnea or reduced exercise tolerance resulted in a number of new diagnoses of HF and COPD but did not result in short-term improvement of health status compared to usual care.

Inhibitor development in previously untreated patients with severe haemophilia: A comparison of included patients and outcomes between a clinical study and a registry-based study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate whether a disease registry could serve as a suitable alternative to clinical studies to investigate safety of orphan drugs in children. METHODS: We used individual patient data from previously untreated patients (PUPs) with severe haemophilia A from the factor VIII (rAHF-PFM)-clinical study and the PedNet registry. The primary outcome was the patient characteristics at entry and the difference in inhibitor development between the clinical study and the registry-based study at 50 exposure days. RESULTS: Clinical study patients more often had a positive family history of inhibitors (31% vs 10%) and a high-risk F8 genotype (82% vs 63%). In the clinical study 41/55 (75%) and in the registry-based study 162/168 (96%) patients reached 50 exposure days. Inhibitors developed in 16 of the 41 patients in the clinical study (39%) vs 44 of the 162 patients in the registry-based study (27%); seven patients (7%) vs 28 patients (17%) had high-titre inhibitors. The risk of developing an inhibitor during the first 50 exposure days was similar (HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.56-1.94), when adjusted for family history of inhibitors, F8 gene mutation and intensive treatment at first exposure. CONCLUSION: In the registry-based study, patient numbers and completeness of follow-up were higher. The risk of developing an inhibitor to a single product was comparable. Although the sample size of this study was too small to conclude on differences in high- or low-titre inhibitors, this suggests that a registry could serve as a more suitable source for evaluation of high-titre inhibitors in the setting of factor VIII deficiency.

Proactive screening for symptoms: A simple method to improve early detection of unrecognized cardiovascular disease in primary care. Results from the Lifelines Cohort Study.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) often goes unrecognized, despite symptoms frequently being present. Proactive screening for symptoms might improve early recognition and prevent disease progression or acute cardiovascular events. We studied the diagnostic value of symptoms for the detection of unrecognized atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), and coronary artery disease (CAD) and developed a corresponding screening questionnaire. We included 100,311 participants (mean age 52 ± 9 years, 58% women) from the population-based Lifelines Cohort Study. For each outcome (unrecognized AF/HF/CAD), we built a multivariable model containing demographics and symptoms. These models were combined into one 'three-disease' diagnostic model and questionnaire for all three outcomes. Results were validated in Lifelines participants with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Unrecognized CVD was identified in 1325 participants (1.3%): AF in 131 (0.1%), HF in 599 (0.6%), and CAD in 687 (0.7%). Added to age, sex, and body mass index, palpitations were independent predictors for unrecognized AF; palpitations, chest pain, dyspnea, exercise intolerance, health-related stress, and self-expected health worsening for unrecognized HF; smoking, chest pain, exercise intolerance, and claudication for unrecognized CAD. Area under the curve for the combined diagnostic model was 0.752 (95% CI 0.737-0.766) in the total population and 0.757 (95% CI 0.734-0.781) in participants with COPD and DM. At the chosen threshold, the questionnaire had low specificity, but high sensitivity. In conclusion, a short questionnaire about demographics and symptoms can improve early detection of CVD and help pre-select people who should or should not undergo further screening for CVD.

Chest discomfort at night and risk of acute coronary syndrome: cross-sectional study of telephone conversations.

BACKGROUND: During telephone triage, it is difficult to assign adequate urgency to patients with chest discomfort. Considering the time of calling could be helpful. OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in certain time periods and whether sex influences this risk. METHODS: Cross-sectional study of 1655 recordings of telephone conversations of patients who called the out-of-hours services primary care (OHS-PC) for chest discomfort. Call time, patient characteristics, symptoms, medical history and urgency allocation of the triage conversations were collected. The final diagnosis of each call was retrieved at the patient's general practice. Absolute numbers of patients with and without ACS were plotted and risks per hour were calculated. The risk ratio of ACS at night (0 to 9 am) was calculated by comparing to the risk at other hours and was adjusted for gender and age. RESULTS: The mean age of callers was 58.9 (standard deviation ±19.5) years, 55.5% were women and, in total, 199 (12.0%) had an ACS. The crude risk ratio for an ACS at night was 1.80 (confidence interval 1.39-2.34, P < 0.001): 2.33 (1.68-3.22, P < 0.001) for men and 1.29 (0.83-1.99, P = 0.256) for women. The adjusted risk ratio for ACS of all people at night was 1.82 (1.07-3.10, P = 0.039). CONCLUSIONS: Patients calling the OHS-PC for chest discomfort between 0 and 9 am have almost twice a higher risk of ACS than those calling other hours, a phenomenon more evident in men than in women. At night, dispatching ambulances more 'straightaway' could be considered for these patients with chest discomfort. TRIAL NUMBER: NTR7331.

Tinkering and overruling the computer decision support system: Working strategies of telephone triage nurses who assess the urgency of callers suspected of having an acute cardiac event.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To understand clinical reasoning and decision-making of triage nurses during telephone conversations with callers suspected of having acute cardiac events, and support from a computer decision support system (CDSS) herewith. BACKGROUND: In telephone triage, nurses assess the urgency of callers' conditions with clinical reasoning, often supported by CDSS. The use of CDSS may trigger interactional workability dilemmas. DESIGN: Qualitative study using principles of a grounded theory approach following COREQ criteria for qualitative research. METHODS: Audio-stimulated recall interviews were conducted amongst twenty-four telephone triage nurses at nine out-of-hours primary care centres (OHS-PC). RESULTS: Telephone triage nurses use clinical reasoning elements for urgency assessment. Typically in telephone triage, they interpret the vocal-but not worded-elements in communication (paralanguage) such as tone of voice and shortness of breath and create a mental image to compensate for lack of visual information. We confirmed that interactional workability dilemmas occur. Congruence, established when the CDSS supports the triage nurses' decision-making, is essential for the CDSS' value. If congruence is absent, triage nurses may apply four working strategies: (a) tinker to make CDSS final recommendation align with their own assessment, (b) overrule the CDSS recommendation, (c) comply with the CDSS recommendation or (d) transfer responsibility to the GP. CONCLUSION: Triage nurses who assess urgency may experience absence of congruence between the CDSS and their decision-making. Awareness of how triage nurses reason and make decisions about urgency and what aspects influence their working strategies can help in achieving optimal triage of callers suspected of acute cardiac events at OHS-PC. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Triage nurses' reasoning and their working strategies are vital for outcome of triage decisions. Understanding these processes is essential for CDSS developers and OHS-PC managers, who should value how triage nurses interact with the CDSS, while they have the benefit of callers in mind.

Diagnostic Accuracy of the Explicit Diagnostic Criteria for Transient Ischemic Attack: A Validation Study.

Background and Purpose- The clinical diagnosis of a transient ischemic attack (TIA) can be difficult. Evidence-based criteria hardly exist. We evaluated if the recently proposed Explicit Diagnostic Criteria for TIA (EDCT), an easy to perform clinical tool focusing on type, duration, and mode of onset of clinical features, would facilitate the clinical diagnosis of TIA. Methods- We used data from patients suspected of a TIA by a general practitioner and referred to a TIA service in the region of Utrecht, the Netherlands, who participated in the MIND-TIA (Markers in the Diagnosis of TIA) study. Information about the clinical features was collected with a standardized questionnaire within 72 hours after onset. A panel of 3 experienced neurologists ultimately determined the definite diagnosis based on all available diagnostic information including a 6-month follow-up period. Two researchers scored the EDCT. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the EDCT were assessed using the panel diagnosis as reference. A secondary analysis was performed with modified subcriteria of the EDCT. Results- Of the 206 patients, 126 (61%) had a TIA (n=104) or minor stroke (n=22), and 80 (39%) an alternative diagnosis. Most common alternative diagnoses were migraine with aura (n=24; 30.0%), stress related or somatoform symptoms (n=16; 20.0%), and syncope (n=9; 11.3%). The original EDCT had a sensitivity of 98.4% (95% CI, 94.4-99.8) and a specificity of 61.3% (49.7-71.9). Negative and positive predictive values were 96.1% (86.0-99.0) and 80.0% (75.2-84.1), respectively. The modified EDCT showed a higher specificity of 73.8% (62.7-83.0) with the same sensitivity and a similar negative predictive value of 96.7%, but a higher positive predictive value of 85.5% (80.3-89.5). Conclusions- The EDCT has excellent sensitivity and negative predictive value and could be a valuable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of TIA.

Candidate Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Transient Ischemic Attack: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: A rapid serum biomarker that confirms or rules out a transient ischemic attack (TIA) would be of great value in clinical practice. We aimed to systematically review current evidence for the diagnostic accuracy of blood biomarkers in the early diagnosis of TIA. METHODS: This is a systematic review with quality appraisal of individual studies using the QUADAS-2 tool. MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched up to May 1, 2017, to select primary diagnostic accuracy studies evaluating potential biomarkers in blood for the diagnosis of TIA or ischemic stroke. RESULTS: Of 4,215 studies retrieved, 78 met our eligibility criteria. Forty-five studies restricted their population to ischemic stroke patients, 32 included both TIA and ischemic stroke patients, and only one study was restricted to TIA patients. In total 62/78 (79.5%) studies had a case-control design comparing TIA or stroke patients with healthy subjects. Overall, 125 single biomarkers and 5 biomarker panels were studied, with a median number of participants per study of 92.0 (interquartile range 44.8-144.5), varying from 8 to 915. Sufficient information to extract 2 × 2 tables was available for 35 (44.9%) articles, and for 60 (48.0 %) biomarkers. Several markers, such as NR2A/B (antibodies), Parkinson 7, nucleoside diphosphate kinase A, ubiquitin fusion degradation protein-1, and heart-type fatty acid binding protein, have shown moderate to high diagnostic accuracy in multiple studies. CONCLUSIONS: Although the methodological quality of studies evaluating biomarkers of brain ischemia was poor, several biomarkers have shown the potential to detect transient brain ischemia in an early phase. Diagnostic accuracy studies in suspected cases of TIA are needed to determine their true clinical value.

Determinants of Patient Delay in Transient Ischemic Attack.

INTRODUCTION: Early diagnosis and stroke preventive treatment in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) are crucial, but hampered by delayed reporting of symptoms. Previous studies on causes of patient delay provided inconsistent results. We aimed to assess determinants of patient delay among patients with symptoms suggestive of TIA. METHODS: We interviewed participants referred by their general practitioner to an outpatient TIA clinic within 72 h from symptom onset. We determined (i) the exact time from symptom onset to the first contact with a medical service (patient delay); (ii) demographic and clinical characteristics; (iii) patient's initial perception, and reaction to symptoms; and (iv) patient's knowledge about TIA. We used multivariable linear regression to identify determinants of patient delay. RESULTS: We interviewed 202 suspected TIA patients (mean age 67.7 (SD 13.7) years, 111 (55.0%) male), of whom 123 (60.9%) received a definite diagnosis of TIA or minor stroke. Median patient delay was 1.5 (interquartile range 0.4-14.6) hours. Of all patients, 119 (58.9%) considered a TIA (or stroke) as the cause of their symptoms. Among them, 30 (25.2%) thought it was a medical emergency, while of the 83 not considering TIA as the cause of symptoms 38 (45.8%) thought of a medical emergency. Independently related to increased delay were (i) symptom onset out of hours, (ii) absence of dysarthria, (iii) being unaware that TIA requires urgent treatment, (iv) not considering the event an emergency, and (v) knowledge of TIA symptoms. Results for patients with a definite diagnosis of TIA/minor stroke were similar to those with alternative diagnoses. CONCLUSION: Patients still tend to wait till office hours to report TIA symptoms. Speech difficulties, and specifically dysarthria, are related to shorter delay. To reduce patient delay, awareness of TIA symptoms should increase and more importantly lay people should be educated to consider a TIA an emergency.

Design of the ZWOT-CASE study: an observational study on the effectiveness of an integrated programme for cardiovascular risk management compared to usual care in general practice.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) contribute considerably to mortality and morbidity. Prevention of CVD by lifestyle change and medication is important and needs full attention. In the Netherlands an integrated programme for cardiovascular risk management (CVRM), based on the Chronic Care Model (CCM), has been introduced in primary care in many regions in recent years, but its effects are unknown. In the ZWOT-CASE study we will assess the effect of integrated care for CVRM in the region of Zwolle on two major cardiovascular risk factors: systolic blood pressure (SBP) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-cholesterol) in patients with or at high risk of CVD. METHODS: This study is a pragmatic observational study comparing integrated care for CVRM with usual care among patients aged 40-80 years with CVD (n = 370) or with a high CVD risk (n = 370) within 26 general practices. After 1 yr follow-up, primary outcomes (SBP and LDL-cholesterol level) are measured. Secondary outcomes include lifestyle habits (smoking, dietary habits, alcohol use, physical activity), risk factor awareness, 10-year risk of cardiovascular morbidity or mortality, health care consumption, patient satisfaction and quality of life. CONCLUSION: The ZWOT-CASE study will provide insight in the effects of integrated care for CVRM in general practice in patients with CVD or at high CVD risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The ZWOlle Transmural Integrated Care for CArdiovaScular Risk Management Study; ClinicalTrials.gov ; Identifier: NCT03428061; date of registration: 09-02-2018; This study has been retrospectively registered.

Prevalence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction in men and women with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is associated with the development of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). T2D patients with LVSD are at higher risk of mortality and morbidity than patients without LVSD, while progression of LVSD can be delayed or halted by the use of proven therapies. As estimates of the prevalence are scarce and vary considerably, the aim of this study was to retrieve summary estimates of the prevalence of LVSD/HFrEF in T2D and to see if there were any sex differences. METHODS: A systematic search of Medline and Embase was performed to extract the prevalence of LVSD/HFrEF in T2D (17 studies, mean age 50.1 ± 6.3 to 71.5 ± 7.5), which were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: The pooled prevalence of LVSD was higher in hospital populations (13 studies, n = 5835, 18% [95% CI 17-19%]), than in the general population (4 studies, n = 1707, 2% [95% CI 2-3%]). Seven studies in total reported sex-stratified prevalence estimates (men: 7% [95% CI 5-8%] vs. women: 1.3% [95% CI 0.0.2.2%]). The prevalence of HFrEF was available in one general population study (5.8% [95% CI 3.7.6%], men: 6.8% vs. women: 3.0%). CONCLUSIONS: The summary prevalence of LVSD is higher among T2D patients from a hospital setting compared with from the general population, with a higher prevalence in men than in women in both settings. The prevalence of HFrEF among T2D in the population was only assessed in a single study and again was higher among men than women.

Routine primary care data for scientific research, quality of care programs and educational purposes: the Julius General Practitioners' Network (JGPN).

BACKGROUND: General Practitioners (GPs) in the Netherlands routinely register all patient contacts electronically. These records include longitudinally gathered clinical information of the patient contacts in coded data and free text. METHODS: Diagnoses are coded according to the International Coding of Primary Care (ICPC). Drug prescriptions are labelled with the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification (ATC), and letters of hospital specialists and paramedic health care professionals are linked or directly incorporated in the electronic medical files. A network of a large group of GPs collecting routine care data on an ongoing basis can be used for answering various research questions. RESULTS: The Julius General Practitioners' Network (JGPN) database consists of routine care data from over ten years of a dynamic cohort of around 370,000 individuals registered with the participating GPs from the city of Utrecht and its vicinity. Health care data are extracted anonymously every quartile of a year and these data are used by researchers. CONCLUSION: We describe the content and usability of our JGPN database, and how a wide variety of research questions could be answered, as illustrated with examples of published articles.

Effect of Using the HEART Score in Patients With Chest Pain in the Emergency Department: A Stepped-Wedge, Cluster Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: The HEART (History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk factors, and initial Troponin) score is an easy-to-apply instrument to stratify patients with chest pain according to their short-term risk for major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), but its effect on daily practice is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To measure the effect of use of the HEART score on patient outcomes and use of health care resources. DESIGN: Stepped-wedge, cluster randomized trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01756846). SETTING: Emergency departments in 9 Dutch hospitals. PATIENTS: Unselected patients with chest pain presenting at emergency departments in 2013 and 2014. INTERVENTION: All hospitals started with usual care. Every 6 weeks, 1 hospital was randomly assigned to switch to "HEART care," during which physicians calculated the HEART score to guide patient management. MEASUREMENTS: For safety, a noninferiority margin of a 3.0% absolute increase in MACEs within 6 weeks was set. Other outcomes included use of health care resources, quality of life, and cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: A total of 3648 patients were included (1827 receiving usual care and 1821 receiving HEART care). Six-week incidence of MACEs during HEART care was 1.3% lower than during usual care (upper limit of the 1-sided 95% CI, 2.1% [within the noninferiority margin of 3.0%]). In low-risk patients, incidence of MACEs was 2.0% (95% CI, 1.2% to 3.3%). No statistically significant differences in early discharge, readmissions, recurrent emergency department visits, outpatient visits, or visits to general practitioners were observed. LIMITATION: Physicians were hesitant to refrain from admission and diagnostic tests in patients classified as low risk by the HEART score. CONCLUSION: Using the HEART score during initial assessment of patients with chest pain is safe, but the effect on health care resources is limited, possibly due to nonadherence to management recommendations. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development.

Do Self-Management Interventions Work in Patients With Heart Failure? An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Self-management interventions are widely implemented in the care for patients with heart failure (HF). However, trials show inconsistent results, and whether specific patient groups respond differently is unknown. This individual patient data meta-analysis assessed the effectiveness of self-management interventions in patients with HF and whether subgroups of patients respond differently. METHODS AND RESULTS: A systematic literature search identified randomized trials of self-management interventions. Data from 20 studies, representing 5624 patients, were included and analyzed with the use of mixed-effects models and Cox proportional-hazard models, including interaction terms. Self-management interventions reduced the risk of time to the combined end point of HF-related hospitalization or all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.89), time to HF-related hospitalization (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.69-0.92), and improved 12-month HF-related quality of life (standardized mean difference, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.00-0.30). Subgroup analysis revealed a protective effect of self-management on the number of HF-related hospital days in patients <65 years of age (mean, 0.70 versus 5.35 days; interaction P=0.03). Patients without depression did not show an effect of self-management on survival (hazard ratio for all-cause mortality, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.69-1.06), whereas in patients with moderate/severe depression, self-management reduced survival (hazard ratio, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.06-1.83, interaction P=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that self-management interventions had a beneficial effect on time to HF-related hospitalization or all-cause death and HF-related hospitalization alone and elicited a small increase in HF-related quality of life. The findings do not endorse limiting self-management interventions to subgroups of patients with HF, but increased mortality in depressed patients warrants caution in applying self-management strategies in these patients.

The importance of considering competing treatment affecting prognosis in the evaluation of therapy in trials: the example of renal transplantation in hemodialysis trials.

Background: During the follow-up in a randomized controlled trial (RCT), participants may receive additional (non-randomly allocated) treatment that affects the outcome. Typically such additional treatment is not taken into account in evaluation of the results. Two pivotal trials of the effects of hemodiafiltration (HDF) versus hemodialysis (HD) on mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease reported differing results. We set out to evaluate to what extent methods to take other treatments (i.e. renal transplantation) into account may explain the difference in findings between RCTs. This is illustrated using a clinical example of two RCTs estimating the effect of HDF versus HD on mortality. Methods: Using individual patient data from the Estudio de Supervivencia de Hemodiafiltración On-Line (ESHOL; n = 902) and The Dutch CONvective TRAnsport STudy (CONTRAST; n = 714) trials, five methods for estimating the effect of HDF versus HD on all-cause mortality were compared: intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis (i.e. not taking renal transplantation into account), per protocol exclusion (PP excl ; exclusion of patients who receive transplantation), PP cens (censoring patients at the time of transplantation), transplantation-adjusted (TA) analysis and an extension of the TA analysis (TA ext ) with additional adjustment for variables related to both the risk of receiving a transplant and the risk of an outcome (transplantation-outcome confounders). Cox proportional hazards models were applied. Results: Unadjusted ITT analysis of all-cause mortality led to differing results between CONTRAST and ESHOL: hazard ratio (HR) 0.95 (95% CI 0.75-1.20) and HR 0.76 (95% CI 0.59-0.97), respectively; difference between 5 and 24% risk reductions. Similar differences between the two trials were observed for the other unadjusted analytical methods (PP cens, PP excl , TA) The HRs of HDF versus HD treatment became more similar after adding transplantation as a time-varying covariate and including transplantation-outcome confounders: HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.69-1.13) in CONTRAST and HR 0.80 (95% CI 0.62-1.02) in ESHOL. Conclusions: The apparent differences in estimated treatment effects between two dialysis trials were to a large extent attributable to differences in applied methodology for taking renal transplantation into account in their final analyses. Our results exemplify the necessity of careful consideration of the treatment effect of interest when estimating the therapeutic effect in RCTs in which participants may receive additional treatments.

Long-term effect of conservative treatment versus low threshold endoscopic desobstruction on urine incontinence and urgency in boys with persistent overactive bladder symptoms: A cohort study.

AIMS: To assess the long-term effects of two treatment strategies (low threshold endoscopic desobstruction vs. conservative treatment) on urinary incontinence (UI) and urgency-frequency in boys. METHODS: Boys with persistent overactive bladder symptoms treated in two tertiary referral centers between 2006 and 2009 were included. Treatment strategy in center 1 was urethrocystoscopy (UCS) and in case of obstruction urethral desobstruction and in center 2 conservative. The primary outcome was time to being dry during daytime, secondary outcomes were being dry both day and night and presence of urgency-frequency, using the "provisional" International Consultation on Incontinence Questionnaires Children's Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms (LUTS) questionnaire. RESULTS: Median age at start of treatment was 8.0 (IQR 6.4-9.4) years in center 1 and 8.4 (IQR 6.0-10.1) years in center 2. At baseline daytime incontinence was present in 100/104 children (96%, center 1) and 37/44 (84%, center 2). In center 1, UCS was performed in 98 (93%) boys, with desobstruction in 93 (88%), while in center 2 these numbers were 16 (36%), and 5 (11%). There were no differences between groups after a mean follow-up of 5 years concerning dryness at daytime (HR 0.86, 0.56-1.30), dryness day and night (HR 0.72, 0.51-1.14), and presence of urgency-frequency (HR 0.67, 0.38-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: The benefit of a strategy including low-threshold UCS and endoscopic desobstruction in boys with urge incontinence and suspected infravesical obstruction to prevent LUTS and incontinence on the longer term could not be confirmed.