Comparison of Two Modern Survival Prediction Tools, SORG-MLA and METSSS, in Patients With Symptomatic Long-bone Metastases Who Underwent Local Treatment With Surgery Followed by Radiotherapy and With Radiotherapy Alone.

BACKGROUND: Survival estimation for patients with symptomatic skeletal metastases ideally should be made before a type of local treatment has already been determined. Currently available survival prediction tools, however, were generated using data from patients treated either operatively or with local radiation alone, raising concerns about whether they would generalize well to all patients presenting for assessment. The Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithm (SORG-MLA), trained with institution-based data of surgically treated patients, and the Metastases location, Elderly, Tumor primary, Sex, Sickness/comorbidity, and Site of radiotherapy model (METSSS), trained with registry-based data of patients treated with radiotherapy alone, are two of the most recently developed survival prediction models, but they have not been tested on patients whose local treatment strategy is not yet decided. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: (1) Which of these two survival prediction models performed better in a mixed cohort made up both of patients who received local treatment with surgery followed by radiotherapy and who had radiation alone for symptomatic bone metastases? (2) Which model performed better among patients whose local treatment consisted of only palliative radiotherapy? (3) Are laboratory values used by SORG-MLA, which are not included in METSSS, independently associated with survival after controlling for predictions made by METSSS? METHODS: Between 2010 and 2018, we provided local treatment for 2113 adult patients with skeletal metastases in the extremities at an urban tertiary referral academic medical center using one of two strategies: (1) surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy or (2) palliative radiotherapy alone. Every patient's survivorship status was ascertained either by their medical records or the national death registry from the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Administration. After applying a priori designated exclusion criteria, 91% (1920) were analyzed here. Among them, 48% (920) of the patients were female, and the median (IQR) age was 62 years (53 to 70 years). Lung was the most common primary tumor site (41% [782]), and 59% (1128) of patients had other skeletal metastases in addition to the treated lesion(s). In general, the indications for surgery were the presence of a complete pathologic fracture or an impending pathologic fracture, defined as having a Mirels score of ≥ 9, in patients with an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification of less than or equal to IV and who were considered fit for surgery. The indications for radiotherapy were relief of pain, local tumor control, prevention of skeletal-related events, and any combination of the above. In all, 84% (1610) of the patients received palliative radiotherapy alone as local treatment for the target lesion(s), and 16% (310) underwent surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy. Neither METSSS nor SORG-MLA was used at the point of care to aid clinical decision-making during the treatment period. Survival was retrospectively estimated by these two models to test their potential for providing survival probabilities. We first compared SORG to METSSS in the entire population. Then, we repeated the comparison in patients who received local treatment with palliative radiation alone. We assessed model performance by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration analysis, Brier score, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The AUROC measures discrimination, which is the ability to distinguish patients with the event of interest (such as death at a particular time point) from those without. AUROC typically ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating random guessing and 1.0 a perfect prediction, and in general, an AUROC of ≥ 0.7 indicates adequate discrimination for clinical use. Calibration refers to the agreement between the predicted outcomes (in this case, survival probabilities) and the actual outcomes, with a perfect calibration curve having an intercept of 0 and a slope of 1. A positive intercept indicates that the actual survival is generally underestimated by the prediction model, and a negative intercept suggests the opposite (overestimation). When comparing models, an intercept closer to 0 typically indicates better calibration. Calibration can also be summarized as log(O:E), the logarithm scale of the ratio of observed (O) to expected (E) survivors. A log(O:E) > 0 signals an underestimation (the observed survival is greater than the predicted survival); and a log(O:E) < 0 indicates the opposite (the observed survival is lower than the predicted survival). A model with a log(O:E) closer to 0 is generally considered better calibrated. The Brier score is the mean squared difference between the model predictions and the observed outcomes, and it ranges from 0 (best prediction) to 1 (worst prediction). The Brier score captures both discrimination and calibration, and it is considered a measure of overall model performance. In Brier score analysis, the "null model" assigns a predicted probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome and represents a model that adds no new information. A prediction model should achieve a Brier score at least lower than the null-model Brier score to be considered as useful. The DCA was developed as a method to determine whether using a model to inform treatment decisions would do more good than harm. It plots the net benefit of making decisions based on the model's predictions across all possible risk thresholds (or cost-to-benefit ratios) in relation to the two default strategies of treating all or no patients. The care provider can decide on an acceptable risk threshold for the proposed treatment in an individual and assess the corresponding net benefit to determine whether consulting with the model is superior to adopting the default strategies. Finally, we examined whether laboratory data, which were not included in the METSSS model, would have been independently associated with survival after controlling for the METSSS model's predictions by using the multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. RESULTS: Between the two models, only SORG-MLA achieved adequate discrimination (an AUROC of > 0.7) in the entire cohort (of patients treated operatively or with radiation alone) and in the subgroup of patients treated with palliative radiotherapy alone. SORG-MLA outperformed METSSS by a wide margin on discrimination, calibration, and Brier score analyses in not only the entire cohort but also the subgroup of patients whose local treatment consisted of radiotherapy alone. In both the entire cohort and the subgroup, DCA demonstrated that SORG-MLA provided more net benefit compared with the two default strategies (of treating all or no patients) and compared with METSSS when risk thresholds ranged from 0.2 to 0.9 at both 90 days and 1 year, indicating that using SORG-MLA as a decision-making aid was beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting for treatment was 0.2 to 0.9. Higher albumin, lower alkaline phosphatase, lower calcium, higher hemoglobin, lower international normalized ratio, higher lymphocytes, lower neutrophils, lower neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, lower platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, higher sodium, and lower white blood cells were independently associated with better 1-year and overall survival after adjusting for the predictions made by METSSS. CONCLUSION: Based on these discoveries, clinicians might choose to consult SORG-MLA instead of METSSS for survival estimation in patients with long-bone metastases presenting for evaluation of local treatment. Basing a treatment decision on the predictions of SORG-MLA could be beneficial when a patient's individualized risk threshold for opting to undergo a particular treatment strategy ranged from 0.2 to 0.9. Future studies might investigate relevant laboratory items when constructing or refining a survival estimation model because these data demonstrated prognostic value independent of the predictions of the METSSS model, and future studies might also seek to keep these models up to date using data from diverse, contemporary patients undergoing both modern operative and nonoperative treatments. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, diagnostic study.

Consensus on the definition and criteria for failure of surgical treatment in bacterial arthritis of a native joint: An international Delphi study.

PURPOSE: The literature presents a wide range of success rates for a single surgical intervention of bacterial-septic-arthritis, and there is a lack of clear criteria for identifying treatment failure and making decisions about reintervention. This Delphi study aims to establish a consensus among an international panel of experts regarding the definition of treatment failure and the criteria for reintervention in case of bacterial arthritis. METHODS: The conducting and reporting Delphi studies (CREDES) criteria were used. Data from a systematic review was provided as the basis for the study. A list of 100 potential experts were identified. The study was designed and conducted as follows: (I) identification and invitation of an expert panel, (II) informing the participating expert panel on the research question and subject, and (III) conducting two or three Delphi rounds to reach consensus on explicit research items. Potential criteria were rated on a five-point Likert scale. RESULTS: Sixty orthopaedic experts from nine countries participated in this Delphi study, with 55 completing all three rounds. The mean experience as an orthopaedic surgeon was 15 years (SD ± 9). Strong (96%) consensus was reached on the definition of treatment failure: the persistence of physical signs of arthritis (e.g., pain and swelling) and/or systemic inflammation (e.g., fever and no improvement in CRP) despite surgical and antibiotic treatment. Furthermore, consensus (>80%) was reached on six criteria influencing the decision for reintervention; pain (81%), sepsis (98%), fever (88%), serum CRP (93%), blood culture (82%), and synovial fluid culture (84%). CONCLUSION: The definition of treatment failure for bacterial arthritis after a single surgical intervention was established through a three-round Delphi study. Additionally, consensus was reached on six criteria that are helpful for determining the need for reintervention. This definition and these criteria may help in the development of clinical guidelines, and will empower physicians to make more precise and consistent decisions regarding reintervention for patients, ultimately aiming to reduce over- and undertreatment and improve patient outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level V.

Surprise positive culture rate in the treatment of presumed aseptic long-bone nonunion: a systematic review with meta-analysis of 2397 patients.

INTRODUCTION: In pre-operatively presumed aseptic nonunions, the definitive diagnosis of infection relies on intraoperative cultures. Our primary objective was to determine (1) the rate of surprise positive intraoperative cultures in presumed aseptic long-bone nonunion (surprise positive culture nonunion), and (2) the rate of surprise positive cultures that represent infection vs. contamination. Secondary objectives were to determine the healing and secondary surgery rates and to identify cultured micro-organisms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Libraries from 1980 until December 2021. We included studies reporting on ≥ 10 adult patients with a presumed aseptic long-bone nonunion, treated with a single-stage surgical protocol, of which intraoperative cultures were reported. We performed a meta-analysis for: (1) the rates of surprise positive culture nonunion, surprise infected nonunion, and contaminated culture nonunion, and (2) healing and (3) secondary surgery rates for each culture result. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool. RESULTS: 21 studies with 2,397 patients with a presumed aseptic nonunion were included. The rate of surprise positive culture nonunion was 16% (95%CI: 10-22%), of surprise infected nonunion 10% (95%CI: 5-16%), and of contaminated culture nonunion 3% (95%CI: 1-5%). The secondary surgery rate for surprise positive culture nonunion was 22% (95%CI: 9-38%), for surprise infected nonunion 14% (95%CI 6-22%), for contaminated culture nonunion 4% (95%CI: 0-19%), and for negative culture nonunion 6% (95CI: 1-13%). The final healing rate was 98% to 100% for all culture results. Coagulase-negative staphylococci accounted for 59% of cultured micro-organisms. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that surprise positive cultures play a role in the clinical course of a nonunion and that culturing is important in determining the etiology of nonunion, even if the pre-operative suspicion for infection is low. High healing rates can be achieved in presumed aseptic nonunions, regardless of the definitive intraoperative culture result.

Valgus stress radiographs have a minor additional value in detecting lateral cartilage wear when selecting patients for medial partial knee replacement.

INTRODUCTION: A valgus stress radiograph, in addition to the weight-bearing fixed flexion posteroanterior radiograph (e.g., Rosenberg), is deemed useful to assess lateral cartilage wear by measuring lateral joint space width (JSW) in patients with medial knee osteoarthritis. This study aimed to assess: (1) the difference in measured lateral JSW between the Rosenberg and the valgus stress radiograph, and (2) the ability of the valgus stress radiograph to detect lateral cartilage wear (indicated by joint space narrowing) in patients where the Rosenberg radiograph showed full thickness cartilage (i.e., the additional value). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Rosenberg and valgus stress radiographs, obtained between January 1st 2018 and December 31st 2018, of 137 patients with medial knee osteoarthritis prior to total or partial knee replacement were retrospectively collected. The lateral JSW was measured at its midpoint (midJSW) and minimum (minJSW). The differences were tested with a paired-sample t test. The valgus stress radiograph was considered to have an additional value if: (1) JSW ≥ 5 mm on the Rosenberg radiograph, (2) JSW < 5 mm on valgus stress radiograph, and (3) > 2 mm less JSW on the valgus stress than on the Rosenberg radiograph. RESULTS: The mean differences in lateral JSW between the Rosenberg and valgus stress radiographs were 0.53 mm (SD = 1.0 mm, p < 0.001) for midJSW and 0.66 mm (SD = 1.1 mm, p < 0.001) for minJSW with both values being lower on the valgus stress radiograph. The valgus stress radiograph was of additional value in 4-6% of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although the valgus stress radiograph shows more lateral JSW narrowing compared to Rosenberg radiograph, it only has an additional value in 1 out of 17-25 patients with medial osteoarthritis. We, therefore, recommend a Rosenberg radiograph as routine radiographic assessment and only use an additional valgus stress radiograph in case of discrepancy between clinical and radiological findings.

Failure rates in surgical treatment in adults with bacterial arthritis of a native joint: a systematic review of 8,586 native joints.

INTRODUCTION: Most adult cases of bacterial-septic-arthritis of a native joint are effectively managed with a single surgical debridement, but some cases may require more than one debridement to control the infection. Consequently, this study assessed the failure rate of a single surgical debridement in adults with bacterial arthritis of a native joint. Additionally, risk factors for failure were assessed. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021243460) before data collection and conducted in line with the 'Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses' (PRISMA) guidelines. Multiple libraries were systematically searched to identify articles including patients reporting on the incidence of failure (i.e. persistence of infection requiring reoperation) of the treatment of bacterial arthritis. The quality of individual evidence were assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Failure rates were extracted from included studies and pooled. Risk factors for failure were extracted and grouped. Moreover, we evaluated which risk factors were significantly associated with failure. RESULTS: Thirty studies (8,586 native joints) were included in the final analysis. The overall pooled failure rate was 26% (95% CI 20 to 32%). The failure rate of arthroscopy and arthrotomy was 26% (95% CI 19 to 34%) and 24% (95% CI 17 to 33%), respectively. Seventy-nine potential risk factors were extracted and grouped. Moderate evidence was found for one risk factor (synovial white blood cell count), and limited evidence was found for five risk factors (i.e. sepsis, large joint infection, the volume of irrigation, blood urea nitrogen-test, and blood urea nitrogen/creatinine ratio). CONCLUSION: A single surgical debridement fails to control bacterial arthritis of a native joint in approximately a quarter of all adult cases. Limited to moderate evidence exists that risk factors associated with failure are: synovial white blood cell count, sepsis, large joint infection, and the volume of irrigation. These factors should urge physicians to be especially receptive to signs of an adverse clinical course.

No difference in the use of revision components and rerevision rate in conversion to total knee replacement following Oxford Partial Knee Microplasty Instrumentation: a registry study of 529 conversions.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Microplasty Instrumentation was introduced to improve Oxford Mobile Partial Knee placement and preserve tibial bone in partial knee replacement (PKR). This might therefore reduce revision complexity. We aimed to assess the difference in use of revision total knee replacement (TKR) tibial components in failed Microplasty versus non-Microplasty instrumented PKRs. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data on 529 conversions to TKR (156 Microplasty instrumented and 373 non-Microplasty instrumented PKRs) from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register (LROI) between 2007 and 2019 was used. The primary outcome was the difference in use of revision TKR tibial components during conversion to TKR, which was calculated with a univariable logistic regression analysis. The secondary outcomes were the 3-year re-revision rate and hazard ratios calculated with Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Revision TKR tibial components were used in 29% of the conversions to TKR after failed Microplasty instrumented PKRs and in 24% after failed non-Microplasty instrumented PKRs with an odds ratio of 1.3 (CI 0.86-2.0). The 3-year re-revision rates were 8.4% (CI 4.1-17) after conversion to TKR for failed Microplasty and 11% (CI 7.8-15) for failed non-Microplasty instrumented PKRs with a hazard ratio of 0.77 (CI 0.36-1.7). CONCLUSION: There was no difference in use of revision tibial components for conversion to TKR or in re-revision rate after failed Microplasty versus non-Microplasty instrumented PKRs nor in the 3-year revision rate.

Body composition predictors of mortality in patients undergoing surgery for long bone metastases.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Body composition measurements using computed tomography (CT) may serve as imaging biomarkers of survival in patients with and without cancer. This study assesses whether body composition measurements obtained on abdominal CTs are independently associated with 90-day and 1-year mortality in patients with long-bone metastases undergoing surgery. METHODS: This single institutional retrospective study included 212 patients who had undergone surgery for long-bone metastases and had a CT of the abdomen within 90 days before surgery. Quantification of cross-sectional areas (CSA) and CT attenuation of abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue, visceral adipose tissue, and paraspinous and abdominal muscles were performed at L4. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analyses were performed. RESULTS: Sarcopenia was independently associated with 90-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.87; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11-3.16; p = 0.019) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.50; 95% CI = 1.02-2.19; p = 0.038) in multivariate analysis while controlling for clinical variables such as primary tumors, comorbidities, and chemotherapy. Abdominal fat CSAs and muscle attenuation were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of sarcopenia assessed by CT is predictive of 90-day and 1-year mortality in patients undergoing surgery for long-bone metastases. This body composition measurement can be used as novel imaging biomarker supplementing existing prognostic tools to optimize patient selection for surgery and improve shared decision making.

The Impact of the Soong Index on Hardware Removal and Overall Reoperation Rates After Volar Locking Plate Fixation of Distal Radius Fractures.

PURPOSE: This study sought to determine the impact of volar plate prominence on reoperation rates after open reduction and internal fixation of distal radius fractures with volar locking plates and to identify other factors associated with removal of hardware (ROH) or a reoperation. METHODS: A retrospective study of patients who underwent distal radius open reduction and internal fixation between 2012 and 2016 at 2 level I trauma centers was conducted. Plate prominence was evaluated using the Soong index at the first postoperative visit. The details of patient demographics, fracture and plate characteristics, complications, and reoperations were recorded. Bivariate and multivariable regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with increased rates of ROH and overall reoperation. RESULTS: A total of 732 (70.2%) of 1,042 patients completed follow-up at an average of 38.2 months, including 34 patients with bilateral operations, yielding 766 distal radius fractures. One hundred sixteen (15.1%) patients underwent reoperation at an average of 12.1 ± 13.6 months after the index surgery. Removal of hardware was the most commonly performed reoperation (77 patients, 10%). The multivariable regression analysis revealed significantly higher rates of ROH in Soong grade 1 or 2 patients (odds ratio 16, 95% CI 5.8-47; odds ratio 44, 95% CI 14-140, respectively) than in Soong grade 0 patients. Plate type, younger age, bilateral injuries, and concomitant procedures at the time of the index operation were all associated with increased risk of ROH. There were significant differences between individual surgeons the in rates of ROH (range 2.1%-22%) and overall reoperation (range 5.2%-36%). Compared with other hand surgeons, fellowship-trained hand surgeons had lower rates of ROH (8% vs 14%, respectively) and overall reoperation (12% vs 22%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The rates of ROH and overall reoperation increase with increasing Soong grade. Plate type is independently predictive of future ROH. Older patients and those undergoing open reduction and internal fixation experience lower rates of subsequent reoperation. TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic IV.

Patient Perception and Preferences for Virtual Telemedicine Visits for Hand and Upper Extremity Surgery.

Introduction: Telemedicine in upper extremity surgery is an evolving modality that provides a viable alternative to the traditional in-person visit for achieving convenient, safe, and cost-effective health care. Our study aimed to identify patient preferences for virtual visits for hand and upper extremity surgery. Methods: An institutional review board approved survey was prospectively administered to all patients >18 years of age, presenting for any complaint to an orthopedic hand and upper extremity clinic at a Level I academic trauma center from September to December 2019. This survey included questions about access and literacy of technology as well as patient preferences regarding virtual visits. The medical record was reviewed to collect demographics, insurance type, and reasons for their visit. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed according to survey responses. Results: Two hundred consecutive patients (n) completed surveys. Surveys revealed that >88% of patients own a computer or smartphone, have WiFi access at home, and own a device capable of video chat. In total, 75% of patients reported that they would be moderately or highly comfortable in their ability to use a device for a virtual visit. In bivariate and multivariate analyses, technological literacy and access to a private space to conduct a visit were associated with high interest in virtual visits. Discussion: Telemedicine is a viable alternative to in-person patient visits. Our study demonstrates that most patients are willing and able to participate in a virtual visit for a hand or upper extremity issue.

Supercutaneous locking compression plate in the treatment of infected non-union and open fracture of the leg.

INTRODUCTION: Salvage of infected tibia and fibula non-union and severe open fractures is challenging and often requires staged treatment. We describe all cases that underwent supercutaneous plating of the leg as external fixation technique and assessed union rate, time to union, rate of infection clearance, and patient-reported outcome measures. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study from a single level 1 trauma center. We included 19 patients that underwent supercutaneous plating-locking compression plate applied as external fixator-of the leg. Indications were: infected non-union of a pilon, cruris, or ankle fracture (n = 13); post-traumatic fistula draining osteomyelitis of the tibia (n = 3); infected mal-reduced subacute cruris fracture (n = 1); acute open pilon fracture (n = 1); and acute open cruris fracture (n = 1). Outcome measures were: union, time to union, infection clearance, the 36-item Short Form (SF-36) physical component summary scale (PCS) and mental component summary scale (MCS), and NRS pain scores. RESULTS: Union was achieved in 88% of the patients after a median of 279 days [interquartile range (IQR) 154-440]. Infection clearance was achieved in 94% of the patients. The PCS (median 51, IQR 46-56, p = 0.903) and MCS (median 57, IQR 50-60, p = 0.241) do not differ from normative population values. NRS Pain score at rest was 0 on average (IQR 0-1), 2 on average when walking (IQR 0-4), and 1 on average when climbing stairs (IQR 0-2). CONCLUSION: Supercutaneous plating is a simple and reliable technical trick to bridge and stabilize a nonunion or fracture site while clearing an infection and have soft-tissues heal before subsequent definitive (internal)fixation and/or cancellous bone grafting. Reasonable union and infection clearance rates are achieved, and good functional outcome can generally be expected. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic level III.

Greater radial tuberosity size is associated with distal biceps tendon rupture: a quantitative 3-D CT case-control study.

PURPOSE: During pronation, the distal biceps tendon and radial tuberosity internally rotate into the radioulnar space, reducing the linear distance between the radius and ulna by approximately 50%. This leaves a small space for the distal biceps tendon to move in and could possibly cause mechanical impingement or rubbing of the distal biceps tendon. Hypertrophy of the radial tuberosity potentially increases the risk of mechanical impingement of the distal biceps tendon. The purpose of our study was to determine if radial tuberosity size is associated with rupturing of the distal biceps tendon. METHODS: Nine patients with a distal biceps tendon rupture who underwent CT were matched 1:2 to controls without distal biceps pathology. A quantitative 3-dimensional CT technique was used to calculate the following radial tuberosity characteristics: 1) volume in mm3, 2) surface area in mm2, 3) maximum height in mm and 4) location (distance in mm from the articular surface of the radial head). RESULTS: Analysis of the 3-dimensional radial tuberosity CT-models showed larger radial tuberosity volume and maximum height in the distal biceps tendon rupture group compared to the control group. Mean radial tuberosity volume in the rupture-group was 705 mm3 (SD: 222 mm3) compared to 541 mm3 (SD: 184 mm3) in the control group (p = 0.033). Mean radial tuberosity maximum height in the rupture-group was 4.6 mm (SD: 0.9 mm) compared to 3.7 mm (SD: 1.1 mm) in the control group, respectively (p = 0.011). There was no statistically significant difference in radial tuberosity surface area (ns) and radial tuberosity location (ns). CONCLUSION: Radial tuberosity volume and maximum height were significantly greater in patients with distal biceps tendon ruptures compared to matched controls without distal biceps tendon pathology. This supports the theory that hypertrophy of the radial tuberosity plays a role in developing distal biceps tendon pathology. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Limited Fasciectomy Versus Collagenase Clostridium histolyticum for Dupuytren Contracture: A Propensity Score Matched Study of Single Digit Treatment With Minimum 5 Years of Telephone Follow-Up.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to compare reintervention and perceived recurrence, with minimum 5 years of telephone follow-up, after limited fasciectomy or collagenase Clostridium histolyticum (CCH) in the treatment of Dupuytren contracture affecting a single digit. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 48 patients with single digit treatment who underwent limited surgical fasciectomy at one hospital and 111 patients who underwent CCH treatment at a second hospital from 2010 to 2013. Patients were contacted by telephone about reintervention and perceived recurrence. Average length of telephone follow-up was 7.3 years in the CCH group and 7.4 years in the surgery group. The 2 groups were compared using 2 methods to control for potential confounding bias: (1) propensity score matching and (2) multivariable analysis accounting for potential confounders. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, there were 44 patients in each group with similar disease and demographic characteristics. Rates of reintervention and perceived recurrence were significantly higher in the CCH group than the surgery group at a minimum of 5 years following treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term overall reintervention and perceived recurrence following treatment of Dupuytren contracture affecting a single digit were higher with CCH treatment than surgical fasciectomy when comparing groups with similar baseline characteristics. Our findings may be used to counsel patients on the durability of the outcomes of treatment when considering treatment options for Dupuytren contractures. TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic IV.

Factors associated with surgeon recommendation for additional cast immobilization of a CT-verified nondisplaced scaphoid waist fracture.

INTRODUCTION: Data from clinical trials suggest that CT-confirmed nondisplaced scaphoid waist fractures heal with less than the conventional 8-12 weeks of immobilization. Barriers to adopting shorter immobilization times in clinical practice may include a strong influence of fracture tenderness and radiographic appearance on decision-making. This study aimed to investigate (1) the degree to which surgeons use fracture tenderness and radiographic appearance of union, among other factors, to decide whether or not to recommend additional cast immobilization after 8 or 12 weeks of immobilization; (2) identify surgeon factors associated with the decision to continue cast immobilization after 8 or 12 weeks. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a survey-based study, 218 surgeons reviewed 16 patient scenarios of CT-confirmed nondisplaced waist fractures treated with cast immobilization for 8 or 12 weeks and recommended for or against additional cast immobilization. Clinical variables included patient sex, age, a description of radiographic fracture consolidation, fracture tenderness and duration of cast immobilization completed (8 versus 12 weeks). To assess the impact of clinical factors on recommendation to continue immobilization we calculated posterior probabilities and determined variable importance using a random forest algorithm. Multilevel logistic mixed regression analysis was used to identify surgeon characteristics associated with recommendation for additional cast immobilization. RESULTS: Unclear fracture healing on radiographs, fracture tenderness and 8 (versus 12) weeks of completed cast immobilization were the most important factors influencing surgeons' decision to recommend continued cast immobilization. Women surgeons (OR 2.96; 95% CI 1.28-6.81, p = 0.011), surgeons not specialized in orthopedic trauma, hand and wrist or shoulder and elbow surgery (categorized as 'other') (OR 2.64; 95% CI 1.31-5.33, p = 0.007) and surgeons practicing in the United States (OR 6.53, 95% CI 2.18-19.52, p = 0.01 versus Europe) were more likely to recommend continued immobilization. CONCLUSION: Adoption of shorter immobilization times for CT-confirmed nondisplaced scaphoid waist fractures may be hindered by surgeon attention to fracture tenderness and radiographic appearance.

Emotional tones in scientific writing: comparison of commercially funded studies and non-commercially funded orthopedic studies.

Background and purpose - There is ongoing debate as to whether commercial funding influences reporting of medical studies. We asked: Is there a difference in reported tones between abstracts, introductions, and discussions of orthopedic journal studies that were commercially funded and those that were not commercially funded?Methods - We conducted a systematic PubMed search to identify commercially funded studies published in 20 orthopedic journals between January 1, 2000 and December 1, 2019. We identified commercial funding of studies by including in our search the names of 10 medical device companies with the largest revenue in 2019. Commercial funding was designated when either the study or 1 or more of the authors received funding from a medical device company directly related to the content of the study. We matched 138 commercially funded articles 1 to 1 with 138 non-commercially funded articles with the same study design, published in the same journal, within a time range of 5 years. The IBM Watson Tone Analyzer was used to determine emotional tones (anger, fear, joy, and sadness) and language style (analytical, confident, and tentative).Results - For abstract and introduction sections, we found no differences in reported tones between commercially funded and non-commercially funded studies. Fear tones (non-commercially funded studies 5.1%, commercially funded studies 0.7%, p = 0.04), and analytical tones (non-commercially funded studies 95%, commercially funded studies 88%, p = 0.03) were more common in discussions of studies that were not commercially funded.Interpretation - Commercially funded studies have comparable tones to non-commercially funded studies in the abstract and introduction. In contrast, the discussion of non-commercially funded studies demonstrated more fear and analytical tones, suggesting them to be more tentative, accepting of uncertainty, and dispassionate. As text analysis tools become more sophisticated and mainstream, it might help to discern commercial bias in scientific reports.

Is Deep Learning On Par with Human Observers for Detection of Radiographically Visible and Occult Fractures of the Scaphoid?

BACKGROUND: Preliminary experience suggests that deep learning algorithms are nearly as good as humans in detecting common, displaced, and relatively obvious fractures (such as, distal radius or hip fractures). However, it is not known whether this also is true for subtle or relatively nondisplaced fractures that are often difficult to see on radiographs, such as scaphoid fractures. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: (1) What is the diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of a deep learning algorithm in detecting radiographically visible and occult scaphoid fractures using four radiographic imaging views? (2) Does adding patient demographic (age and sex) information improve the diagnostic performance of the deep learning algorithm? (3) Are orthopaedic surgeons better at diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity compared with deep learning? (4) What is the interobserver reliability among five human observers and between human consensus and deep learning algorithm? METHODS: We retrospectively searched the picture archiving and communication system (PACS) to identify 300 patients with a radiographic scaphoid series, until we had 150 fractures (127 visible on radiographs and 23 only visible on MRI) and 150 non-fractures with a corresponding CT or MRI as the reference standard for fracture diagnosis. At our institution, MRIs are usually ordered for patients with scaphoid tenderness and normal radiographs, and a CT with radiographically visible scaphoid fracture. We used a deep learning algorithm (a convolutional neural network [CNN]) for automated fracture detection on radiographs. Deep learning, an advanced subset of artificial intelligence, combines artificial neuronal layers to resemble a neuron cell. CNNs-essentially deep learning algorithms resembling interconnected neurons in the human brain-are most commonly used for image analysis. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the algorithm's diagnostic performance. An AUC of 1.0 would indicate perfect prediction, whereas 0.5 would indicate that a prediction is no better than a flip of a coin. The probability of a scaphoid fracture generated by the CNN, sex, and age were included in a multivariable logistic regression to determine whether this would improve the algorithm's diagnostic performance. Diagnostic performance characteristics (accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity) and reliability (kappa statistic) were calculated for the CNN and for the five orthopaedic surgeon observers in our study. RESULTS: The algorithm had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.85), 72% accuracy (95% CI 60% to 84%), 84% sensitivity (95% CI 0.74 to 0.94), and 60% specificity (95% CI 0.46 to 0.74). Adding age and sex did not improve diagnostic performance (AUC 0.81 [95% CI 0.73 to 0.89]). Orthopaedic surgeons had better specificity (0.93 [95% CI 0.93 to 0.99]; p < 0.01), while accuracy (84% [95% CI 81% to 88%]) and sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI 0.70 to 0.82]; p = 0.29) did not differ between the algorithm and human observers. Although the CNN was less specific in diagnosing relatively obvious fractures, it detected five of six occult scaphoid fractures that were missed by all human observers. The interobserver reliability among the five surgeons was substantial (Fleiss' kappa = 0.74 [95% CI 0.66 to 0.83]), but the reliability between the algorithm and human observers was only fair (Cohen's kappa = 0.34 [95% CI 0.17 to 0.50]). CONCLUSIONS: Initial experience with our deep learning algorithm suggests that it has trouble identifying scaphoid fractures that are obvious to human observers. Thirteen false positive suggestions were made by the CNN, which were correctly detected by the five surgeons. Research with larger datasets-preferably also including information from physical examination-or further algorithm refinement is merited. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, diagnostic study.

Do 3-D Printed Handheld Models Improve Surgeon Reliability for Recognition of Intraarticular Distal Radius Fracture Characteristics?

BACKGROUND: For fracture care, radiographs and two-dimensional (2-D) and three-dimensional (3-D) CT are primarily used for preoperative planning and postoperative evaluation. Intraarticular distal radius fractures are technically challenging to treat, and meticulous preoperative planning is paramount to improve the patient's outcome. Three-dimensionally printed handheld models might improve the surgeon's interpretation of specific fracture characteristics and patterns preoperatively and could therefore be clinically valuable; however, the additional value of 3-D printed handheld models for fractures of the distal radius, a high-volume and commonly complex fracture due to its intraarticular configuration, has yet to be determined. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: (1) Does the reliability of assessing specific fracture characteristics that guide surgical decision-making for distal radius fractures improve with 3-D printed handheld models? (2) Does surgeon agreement on the overall fracture classification improve with 3-D printed handheld models? (3) Does the surgeon's confidence improve when assessing the overall fracture configuration with an additional 3-D model? METHODS: We consecutively included 20 intraarticular distal radius fractures treated at a Level 1 trauma center between May 2018 and November 2018. Ten surgeons evaluated the presence or absence of specific fracture characteristics (volar rim fracture, die punch, volar lunate facet, dorsal comminution, step-off > 2 mm, and gap > 2 mm), fracture classification according to the AO/Orthopaedic Trauma Association (OTA) classification scheme, and their confidence in assessing the overall fracture according to the classification scheme, rated on a scale from 0 to 10 (0 = not at all confident to 10 = very confident). Of 10 participants regularly treating distal radius fractures, seven were orthopaedic trauma surgeons and three upper limb surgeons with experience levels ranging from 1 to 25 years after completion of residency training. Fractures were assessed twice, with 1 month between each assessment. Initially, fractures were assessed using radiographs and 2-D and 3-D CT images (conventional assessment); the second time, the evaluation was based on radiographs and 2-D and 3-D CT images with an additional 3-D handheld model (3-D printed handheld model assessment). On both occasions, fracture characteristics were evaluated upon a surgeon's own interpretation, without specific instruction before assessment. We provided a sheet demonstrating the AO/OTA classification scheme before evaluation on each session. Multi-rater Fleiss's kappa was used to determine intersurgeon reliability for assessing fracture characteristics and classification. Confidence regarding assessment of the overall fracture classification was assessed using a paired t-test. RESULTS: We found that 3-D printed models of intraarticular distal radius fractures led to no change in kappa values for the reliability of all characteristics: volar rim (conventional kappa 0.19 [95% CI 0.06 to 0.32], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.23 [95% CI 0.11 to 0.36], difference of kappas 0.04 [95% CI -0.14 to 0.22]; p = 0.66), die punch (conventional kappa 0.38 [95% CI 0.15 to 0.61], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.50 [95% CI 0.23 to 0.78], difference of kappas 0.12 [95% CI -0.23 to 0.47]; p = 0.52), volar lunate facet (conventional kappa 0.31 [95% CI 0.14 to 0.49], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.48 [95% CI 0.23 to 0.72], difference of kappas 0.17 [95% CI -0.12 to 0.46]; p = 0.26), dorsal comminution (conventional kappa 0.36 [95% CI 0.13 to 0.58], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.31 [95% CI 0.11 to 0.51], difference of kappas -0.05 [95% CI -0.34 to 0.24]; p = 0.74), step-off > 2 mm (conventional kappa 0.55 [95% CI 0.29 to 0.82], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.58 [95% CI 0.31 to 0.85], difference of kappas 0.03 [95% CI -0.34 to 0.40]; p = 0.87), gap > 2 mm (conventional kappa 0.59 [95% CI 0.39 to 0.79], kappa for 3-D handheld model 0.69 [95% CI 0.50 to 0.89], difference of kappas 0.10 [95% CI -0.17 to 0.37]; p = 0.48). Although there appeared to be categorical improvement in kappa values for some fracture characteristics, overlapping CIs indicated no change. Fracture classification did not improve (conventional diagnostics: kappa 0.27 [95% CI 0.14 to 0.39], conventional diagnostics with an additional 3-D handheld model: kappa 0.25 [95% CI 0.15 to 0.35], difference of kappas: -0.02 [95% CI -0.18 to 0.14]; p = 0.81). There was no improvement in self-assessed confidence in terms of assessment of overall fracture configuration when a 3-D model was added to the evaluation process (conventional diagnostics 7.8 [SD 0.79 {95% CI 7.2 to 8.3}], 3-D handheld model 8.5 [SD 0.71 {95% CI 8.0 to 9.0}], difference of score: 0.7 [95% CI -1.69 to 0.16], p = 0.09). CONCLUSIONS: Intersurgeon reliability for evaluating the characteristics of and classifying intraarticular distal radius fractures did not improve with an additional 3-D model. Further studies should evaluate the added value of 3-D printed handheld models for teaching surgical residents and medical trainees to define the future role of 3-D printing in caring for fractures of the distal radius. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level II, diagnostic study.

Variation in Offer of Operative Treatment to Patients With Trapeziometacarpal Osteoarthritis.

PURPOSE: Operative treatment of trapeziometacarpal osteoarthritis (TMC OA) is discretionary. There is substantial surgeon-to-surgeon variation in offers of surgery. This study assessed factors associated with variation in recommendation of operative treatment to patients with TMC OA. Secondarily, we studied factors associated with preferred operative technique and surgeon demographic factors variability in recommendation for operative treatment. METHODS: We invited all hand surgeon members of the Science of Variation Group to review 16 scenarios of patients with TMC OA and asked the surgeons whether they would recommend surgical treatment for each patient and, if yes, which surgical technique they would offer (trapeziectomy, trapeziectomy with ligament reconstruction and/or tendon interposition, joint replacement, or arthrodesis). Scenarios varied in pain intensity, relief after injection, radiographic severity, and psychosocial symptoms. RESULTS: Patient characteristics associated with greater likelihood to recommend surgical treatment were substantial pain, a previous injection that did not relieve pain, radiograph with severe TMC OA, and few symptoms of depression. Practice region was the only factor associated with preferred surgical technique and trapeziectomy with ligament reconstruction and/or tendon interposition the most commonly recommended treatment. There was low agreement among surgeons regarding treatment recommendations. CONCLUSIONS: The notable variation in offers of operative treatment for TMC OA is largely associated with variable attention to subjective factors. Future studies might address the relative influence of surgeon incentives and beliefs, objective pathophysiology, and subjective patient factors on variation in surgeon recommendations. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Surgeons' awareness of the potential influence of subjective factors on their recommendations might contribute to efforts to ensure that patient choices reflect what matters most to them and are not based on misconceptions.

Risk factors for death and amputation in acute leg compartment syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: The primary objective of this study is to determine whether time from injury to fasciotomy is associated with increased risk for death or limb amputation in patients with acute leg compartment syndrome. The secondary objective of this study is to identify other risk factors for death or limb amputation in patients with acute leg compartment syndrome. METHODS: In an institutional review board approved retrospective study, we identified 546 patients with acute compartment syndrome of 558 legs treated with fasciotomies from January 2000 to June 2015 at two Level I trauma centers. Our primary outcome measures were death and limb amputation during inpatient hospital admission. Electronic medical records were analyzed for patient-related factors and treatment-related factors. Bivariate analyses were used to screen for variables associated with our primary outcome measures, and explanatory variables with a p value below 0.05 were included in our multivariable logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: In-hospital death occurred in 6.6% and in-hospital limb amputation occurred in 9.5% of acute leg compartment syndrome patients. Neither death nor limb amputation was found to be associated with time from injury to fasciotomy. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that older age (p = 0.03), higher modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (p = 0.009), higher potassium (p = 0.02), lower hemoglobin (p = 0.002), and higher lactate (p < 0.001) were associated with death, and diabetes mellitus (p = 0.05), no compartment pressure measurement (p = 0.009), higher PTT (p = 0.03), and lower albumin (p = 0.01) were associated with limb amputation. CONCLUSIONS: Time to fasciotomy is not found to be associated with death or limb amputation in acute leg compartment syndrome. Death and limb amputation are associated with patient-related factors and injury severity. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III Prognostic.

Factors associated with myonecrosis at time of fasciotomy in acute leg compartment syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: The objective of this study is to determine factors associated with myonecrosis at the time of fasciotomy in patients with acute leg compartment syndrome. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted of 546 patients with acute leg compartment syndrome treated with fasciotomies from January 2000 to June 2015 at two tertiary trauma centers. The main outcome measurement was clinical myonecrosis diagnosed by the treating surgeon at the time of fasciotomy. RESULTS: Eighty-two patients (15.0%) with acute leg compartment syndrome had myonecrosis at time of fasciotomy. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that younger age (p = 0.004) and diabetes mellitus (p < 0.001) were associated with myonecrosis at time of fasciotomy in acute leg compartment syndrome. Serum creatine kinase at presentation greater than 2405 U/L was found to be associated with myonecrosis at time of fasciotomy in post hoc analysis (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Myonecrosis is associated with patient-related factors. Younger age by 10 years is associated with a 1.3 times increase and diabetes mellitus with a 3-time increase in the odds of myonecrosis. Serum creatine kinase at presentation greater than 2405 U/L denotes an almost 3 times increase in odds of myonecrosis and may be useful for preoperative counseling.

Outcome after reconstruction of proximal femoral tumors: A systematic review.

Tumor resection followed by reconstruction with a proximal femoral endoprosthesis or an allograft-prosthesis composite are the two main alternatives for treatment of proximal femoral malignancies. This review describes the revision rate, implant survival, limb salvage rate, and function. Overall revision rates are high and reasons for failure differ between treatment modalities. Rate and reasons for amputation are comparable between both methods. Functional outcome was reasonable to good on average for both treatment modalities. Level of evidence: IV, systematic review and meta-analysis.