RESUMO
Background and objectives: Many studies have been carried out on the negative health effects of exposure to PM10, PM 2.5, NO2, CO, SO2 and B[a]P for small populations. The main purpose of this study was to explore the association of air pollution to diagnosis of asthma for the whole huge population of school children between 7-17 years in Vilnius (Lithuania) using geographical information system analysis tools. Material and Methods: In the research, a child population of 51,235 individuals was involved. From this large database, we identified children who had asthma diagnosis J45 (ICD-10 AM). Residential pollution concentrations and proximity to roads and green spaces were obtained using the ArcGIS spatial analysis tool from simulated air pollution maps. Multiple stepwise logistic regression was used to explore the relation between air pollution concentration and proximity between the roads and green spaces where children with asthma were living. Further, we explored the interaction between variables. Results: From 51,235 school children aged 7-17 years, 3065 children had asthma in 2017. We investigated significant associations, such as the likelihood of getting sick with age (odds ratio (OR) = 0.949, p < 0.001), gender (OR = 1.357, p = 0.003), NO2 (OR = 1.013, p = 0.019), distance from the green spaces (OR = 1.327, p = 0.013) and interactions of age × gender (OR = 1.024, p = 0.051). The influence of gender on disease is partly explained by different age dependency slopes for boys and girls. Conclusions: According to our results, younger children are more likely to get sick, more cases appended on the lowest age group from 7 to 10 years (almost half cases (49.2%)) and asthma was respectively nearly twice more common in boys (64.1%) than in girls (35.9%). The risk of asthma is related to a higher concentration of NO2 and residence proximity to green spaces.
Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Asma/etiologia , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Características de Residência/classificação , Adolescente , Poluição do Ar/estatística & dados numéricos , Asma/epidemiologia , Criança , Exposição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Lituânia/epidemiologia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Razão de Chances , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the trends in the prevalence of electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities from 1986 to 2015 and impact of ECG abnormalities on risk of death from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the Lithuanian population aged 40-64 years. METHODS: Data from four surveys carried out in Kaunas city and five randomly selected municipalities of Lithuania were analysed. A resting ECG was recorded and CVD risk factors were measured in each survey. ECG abnormalities were evaluated using Minnesota Code (MC). Trends in age-standardized prevalence of ECG abnormalities were estimated for both sexes. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for coronary heart disease (CHD) and CVD mortality. Net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement and other indices were used for evaluation of improvement in the prediction of CVD and CHD mortality risk after addition of ECG abnormalities variable to Cox models. RESULTS: From1986 to 2008, the decrease in the prevalence of Q-QS MC was observed in both genders. The prevalence of high R waves increased in men, while the prevalence of ST segment and T wave abnormalities as well as arrhythmias decreased in women. Ischemic changes and possible MI were associated with a 2.5-fold and 4.4-fold higher risk of death from CVD in men and 1.51-fold and 2.56-fold higher mortality risk from CVD in women as compared to individuals with marginal or no ECG abnormalities. The addition of ECG abnormalities to traditional CVD risk factors improved Cox regression models performance. According to NRI, 18.6% of men were correctly reclassified in CVD mortality prediction model and 25.2% of men - in CHD mortality prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: the decreasing trends in the prevalence of ischemia on ECG in women and increasing trends in the prevalence of left VH in men were observed. ECG abnormalities were associated with higher risk of CVD mortality. The addition of ECG abnormalities to the prediction models modestly improved the prediction of CVD mortality beyond traditional CVD risk factors. The use of ECG as routine screening to identify high risk individuals for more intensive preventive interventions warrants further research.
Assuntos
Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Arritmias Cardíacas/mortalidade , Eletrocardiografia , Frequência Cardíaca , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores Etários , Arritmias Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Lituânia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Distribuição por Sexo , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
Optimal cerebral perfusion pressure (CPPopt)-targeted treatment of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients requires 2-8 h multi-modal monitoring data accumulation to identify CPPopt value for individual patient. Minimizing the time required for monitoring data accumulation is needed to improve the efficacy of CPPopt-targeted therapy. A retrospective analysis of multimodal physiological monitoring data from 87 severe TBI patients was performed by separately representing cerebrovascular autoregulation (CA) indices in relation to CPP, arterial blood pressure (ABP), and intracranial pressure (ICP) to improve the existing CPPopt identification algorithms. Machine learning (ML)-based algorithms were developed for automatic identification of informative data segments that were used for reliable CPPopt, ABPopt, ICPopt and the lower/upper limits of CA (LLCA/ULCA) identification. The reference datasets of the informative data segments and, artifact-distorted segments, and the datasets of different clinical situations were used for training the ML-based algorithms, allowing us to choose the appropriate individualized CPP-, ABP- or ICP-guided management for 79% of the full monitoring time for the studied population. The developed ML-based algorithms allow us to recognize informative physiological ABP/ICP variations within 24 min intervals with an accuracy up to 79% (compared to the initial accuracy of 74%) and use these segments for timely optimal value identification or CA limits determination in CPP, ABP or ICP data. Prospective clinical studies are needed to prove the efficiency of the developed algorithms.