Evaluation of estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress to predict in-hospital mortality in cardiac surgery.

PURPOSE: Prediction of postoperative risk in cardiac surgery is important for cardiac surgeons and anesthesiologists. We generated a prediction rule for elective digestive surgery, designated as Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS). This study was undertaken to evaluate the accuracy of E-PASS in predicting postoperative risk in cardiac surgery. METHODS: We retrospectively collected data from patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery at a low-volume center (N = 291) and at a high-volume center (N = 784). Data were collected based on the variables required by E-PASS, the European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE), and the Ontario Province Risk Score (OPRS). Calibration and discrimination were assessed by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), respectively. The ratio of observed-to-estimated in-hospital mortality rates (OE ratio) was defined as a measure of quality. RESULTS: In-hospital mortality rates were 7.6% at the low-volume center and 1.3% at the high-volume center, accounting for an overall mortality rate of 3.0%. AUC values to detect in-hospital mortality were 0.88 for E-PASS, 0.77 for EuroSCORE, and 0.71 for OPRS. Hosmer-Lemeshow analysis showed a good calibration in all models (P = 0.81 for E-PASS, P = 0.49 for EuroSCORE, and P = 0.94 for OPRS). OE ratios for the low-volume center were 0.83 for E-PASS, 0.70 for EuroSCORE, and 0.83 for OPRS, whereas those for the high-volume center were 0.26 for E-PASS, 0.14 for EuroSCORE, and 0.27 for OPRS. CONCLUSIONS: E-PASS may accurately predict postoperative risk in cardiac surgery. Because the variables are different between cardiac-specific models and E-PASS, patients' risks can be double-checked by cardiac surgeons using cardiac-specific models and by anesthesiologists using E-PASS.

Giant yolk sac tumor operated under percutaneous cardiopulmonary support (PCPS) and aspiration device.

We here report the case of an 18-year-old man with a giant yolk sac tumor that is resected under percutaneous cardiopulmonary support (PCPS). Because this patient had severe dyspea when he lay in a supine position, we resected the tumor. We used PCPS during the operation for the induction and maintenance of ventilation because his trachea and left main bronchus were collapsed by the tumor. Also, we used a vacuum aspiration device that is commonly used for facilitating difficult vaginal deliveries. We propose that several devices, such as a PCPS and vacuum aspiration device, are useful for the operation of a mediastinal tumor with dyspnea.

Late Sac Behavior after Endovascular Aneurysm Repair for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm.

BACKGROUND: Sac behavior after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) is considered as a surrogate for the risk of late rupture. The purpose of the study is to assess the sac behavior of AAAs after EVAR. METHODS AND RESULTS: Late sac enlargement (LSE) (≥5 mm) and late sac shrinkage (LSS) (≥5 mm) were analyzed in 589 consecutive patients who were registered at 14 national centers in Japan. The proportions of patients who had LSE at 1, 3 and 5 years were 2.6% ± 0.7%, 10.0% ± 1.6% and 19.0% ± 2.9%. The proportions of patients who had LSS at 1, 3 and 5 years were 50.1% ± 0.7%, 59.2% ± 2.3% and 61.7% ± 2.7%. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified two variables as a risk factor for LSE; persistent endoleak (Odds ratio 9.56 (4.84-19.49), P <0.001) and low platelet count (Odds ratio 0.92 (0.86-0.99), P = 0.0224). The leading cause of endoleak in patients with LSE was type II. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of LSE is not negligible over 5 year period. Patients with persistent endoleak and/or low platelet count should carefully be observed for LSE. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN-CTR (UMIN000008345).