Longitudinal screening adherence in the Australian National Bowel Cancer Screening Program from 2006 to 2022.

OBJECTIVE: Australia's National Bowel Cancer Screening Program (NBCSP) offers two-yearly screening to 50-74-year-olds for the prevention and early detection of colorectal cancer (CRC). Internationally, detailed reporting of participation across multiple screening rounds - also known as longitudinal adherence - is becoming more common, but remains limited in Australia. We described the longitudinal screening adherence of individuals by age and sex invited to the NBCSP at least once, and quantified longitudinal adherence among individuals who received four NBCSP invitations. METHODS: We obtained aggregate national data for individuals who received at least one NBCSP invitation between 1 August 2006 and 31 March 2022. We described screening adherence patterns including longitudinal adherence among individuals who received four invitations, and evaluated prior longitudinal adherence and adherence at most recent invitation as predictors of future participation. RESULTS: Over the study period, 8.5 million individuals were invited to screen in the NBCSP; 51.9% of these individuals screened at least once. Of the >2.5 million individuals who received four invitations, 23.3% consistently screened, 38.3% never screened, and 38.3% inconsistently screened. The longitudinal adherence at the fourth invitation round for individuals who previously returned none, one, two, or three of their previous three invitations was 9.5%, 37.4%, 70.1% and 88.8%, respectively. Both longitudinal adherence and adherence at the most recent invitation were significant predictors of future participation. CONCLUSION: Our study is the first detailed report of longitudinal adherence to the NBCSP in >2 screening rounds. These insights into long-term behaviours can inform planning for interventions to improve screening participation.

Multiple myeloma incidence, mortality, and prevalence estimates and projections, Australia, 1982-2043: a statistical modelling study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine changes in multiple myeloma incidence and mortality rates during 1982-2018, and to estimate its incidence, mortality, and prevalence for 2019-2043. STUDY DESIGN: Population-based statistical modelling study; analysis of and projections based on Australian Institute of Health and Welfare multiple myeloma incidence, mortality, and survival data. SETTING: Australia, 1982-2018 (historical data) and projections to 2043. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Changes in multiple myeloma incidence and mortality rates, 1982-2018, determined by joinpoint regression analysis (age-standardised to 2021 Australian population); projection of rates to 2043 based on age-period-cohort models; estimated 5- and 30-year prevalence of multiple myeloma (modified counting method). RESULTS: The incidence of multiple myeloma increased during 1982-2018 (eg, annual percentage change [APC], 2006-2018, 1.9%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-2.2%), but the mortality rate declined during 1990-2018 (APC, -0.4%; 95% CI, -0.5% to -0.2%). The age-standardised incidence rate was projected to increase by 14.9% during 2018-2043, from 8.7 in 2018 to 10.0 (95% CI, 9.4-10.7) new cases per 100 000 population in 2043; the mortality rate was projected to decline by 27.5%, from 4.0 to 2.9 (95% CI, 2.6-3.3) deaths per 100 000 population. The annual number of people newly diagnosed with multiple myeloma was estimated to increase by 89.2%, from 2120 in 2018 to 4012 in 2043; the number of deaths from multiple myeloma was projected to increase by 31.7%, from 979 to 1289. The number of people living with multiple myeloma up to 30 years after initial diagnosis was projected to increase by 163%, from 10 288 in 2018 to 27 093 in 2043, including 13 019 people (48.1%) diagnosed during the preceding five years. CONCLUSION: Although the decline in the mortality rate was projected to continue, the projected increases in the incidence and prevalence of multiple myeloma in Australia over the next 25 years indicate that investment in prevention and early detection research, and planning for prolonged treatment and care, are needed.

Cardiogenic Shock and Utilization of Mechanical Circulatory Support in Pregnancy.

Maternal mortality rates are rising in the United States, a trend which is in contrast to that seen in other high-income nations. Cardiovascular disease and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are consistently the leading causes of maternal mortality both in the United States and globally, accounting for about one-quarter to one-third of maternal and peripartum deaths. A large proportion of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality stems from acquired disease in the context of cardiovascular risk factors, which include obesity, pre-existing diabetes and hypertension, and inequities in care from maternal care deserts and structural racism. Patients may also become pregnant with preexisting structural heart disease, or acquire disease throughout pregnancy (ex: spontaneous coronary artery dissection, peripartum cardiomyopathy), and be at higher risk of pregnancy-related cardiovascular complications. While risk-stratification tools including the modified World Health Organization (mWHO) classification, Cardiac Disease in Pregnancy (CARPREG II) and Zwangerschap bij Aangeboren HARtAfwijking/Pregnancy in Women with Congenital Heart Disease (ZAHARA) have been designed to help physicians identify patients at increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes and who may therefore benefit from referral to a tertiary care center, the limitation of these scores is their predominant focus on patients with known preexisting heart disease. As such, identifying patients at risk for pregnancy complications presents a significant challenge, and it is often patients with high-risk cardiovascular substrates prior to or during pregnancy who are at a highest risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes including cardiogenic shock.

Multiple myeloma survival in New South Wales, Australia, by treatment era to 2020.

OBJECTIVE: Australia has relatively high multiple myeloma (MM) incidence and mortality rates. Advancements in MM treatment over recent decades have driven improvements in MM survival in high-income countries; however, reporting in Australia is limited. We investigated temporal trends in population-wide MM survival across 3 periods of treatment advancements in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. METHODS: Individuals with an MM diagnosis in the NSW Cancer Registry between 1985 and 2015 with vital follow-up to 2020, were categorized into 3 previously defined treatment eras according to their diagnosis date (1985-1995, chemotherapy only; 1996-2007, autologous stem cell transplantation; and 2008-2015, novel agents including proteasome inhibitors and immunomodulatory drugs). Both relative survival and cause-specific survival according to Fine and Gray's competing risks cumulative incidence function were calculated by treatment era and age at diagnosis. RESULTS: Overall, 11,591 individuals were included in the study, with a median age of 70 years at diagnosis. Five-year relative survival improved over the 36-year (1985-2020) study period (31.0% in 1985-1995; 41.9% in 1996-2007; and 56.1% in 2008-2015). For individuals diagnosed before 70 years of age, the 5-year relative survival nearly doubled, from 36.5% in 1985-1995 to 68.5% in 2008-2015. Improvements for those > 70 years of age were less pronounced between 1985-1995 and 1996-2007; however, significant improvements were observed for those diagnosed in 2008-2015. Similar overall and age-specific patterns were observed for cause-specific survival. After adjustment for gender and age at diagnosis, treatment era was strongly associated with both relative and cause-specific survival (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Survival of individuals with MM is improving in Australia with treatment advances. However, older age groups continue to experience poor survival outcomes with only modest improvements over time. Given the increasing prevalence of MM in Australia, the effects of MM treatment on quality of life, particularly in older age, warrant further attention.

Long-term Outcome of Cryoballoon Ablation in Korean Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Real-world Experience From the Cryo Global Registry.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common atrial arrhythmia (AA), is an increasing healthcare burden in Korea. The objective of this sub-analysis of the Cryo Global Registry was to evaluate long-term efficacy, symptom burden, quality of life (QoL), and healthcare utilization outcomes and factors associated with AA recurrence in Korean patients treated with cryoballoon ablation (CBA). METHODS: Patients were treated and followed up according to local standard-of-care in 3 Korean hospitals. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used in analyzing (1) efficacy defined as freedom from ≥30 second recurrence of AA at 24 months, (2) healthcare utilization, and (3) predictors of 24-month AA recurrence. Patient-reported QoL (using European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions-3 Levels) and predefined AF-related symptoms were assessed at baseline and 24-month follow-up. RESULTS: Efficacy was 71.9% in paroxysmal AF (PAF) and 49.3% in persistent AF (PsAF) patients (p<0.01). A larger left atrial diameter (LAD), an increased time from AF diagnosis to CBA, and PsAF were independent predictors of AA recurrence. The percentage of patients with no AF symptoms significantly increased from baseline (24.5%) to 24-month (89.5%) follow-up (p<0.01). Improvement in QoL from baseline to 24 months was not statistically different between AF cohorts. PAF patients experienced greater freedom from repeat ablations (93.9% vs. 81.4%) and cardiovascular hospitalizations (91.3% vs. 72.5%, p<0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: In alignment with global outcomes, CBA is an effective treatment for AF in the Korean population, with patients possessing a large LAD and not receiving ablation soon after diagnosis being the most at risk for AA recurrence. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02752737.