Impact on Survival of Early Versus Late Initiation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy After Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Surgery: A Target Trial Emulation.

BACKGROUND: We examined the impact of early (0-4 weeks after discharge) versus late (> 4-8 weeks after discharge) initiation of adjuvant chemotherapy on pancreatic adenocarcinoma survival. METHODS: We used Danish population-based healthcare registries to emulate a hypothetical target trial using the clone-censor-weight approach. All eligible patients were cloned with one clone assigned to 'early initiation' and one clone assigned to 'late initiation'. Clones were censored when the assigned treatment was no longer compatible with the actual treatment. Informative censoring was addressed using inverse probability of censoring weighting. RESULTS: We included 1491 patients in a hypothetical target trial, of whom 32.3% initiated chemotherapy within 0-4 weeks and 38.3% between > 4 and 8 weeks after discharge for pancreatic adenocarcinoma surgery; 206 (13.8%) initiated chemotherapy after > 8 weeks, and 232 (15.6%) did not initiate chemotherapy. Median overall survival was 30.4 and 29.9 months in late and early initiators, respectively. The absolute differences in OS, comparing late with early initiators, were 3.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] - 1.5%, 7.9%), - 0.7% (95% CI - 7.2%, 5.8%), and 3.2% (95% CI - 2.8%, 9.3%) at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Late initiators had a higher increase in albumin levels as well as higher pretreatment albumin values. CONCLUSIONS: Postponement of adjuvant chemotherapy up to 8 weeks after discharge from pancreatic adenocarcinoma surgery is safe and may allow more patients to receive adjuvant therapy due to better recovery.

Effect of adjuvant chemotherapy after pancreatectomy in patients with node-negative pancreatic cancer: target trial emulation.

BACKGROUND: The effect of adjuvant therapy in node-negative pancreatic cancer is uncertain. The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival after surgery for pancreatic cancer in patients with node-negative (pN0) and node-positive (pN+) disease using target trial emulation. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study emulating a hypothetical RCT by the clone-censor-weight approach using population-based Danish healthcare registries. The study included Danish patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for pancreatic cancer during 2008-2021, who were discharged alive no more than 4 weeks after surgery. At the time of discharge after surgery, the data for each patient were duplicated; one copy was assigned to the adjuvant chemotherapy strategy and the other to the no adjuvant chemotherapy strategy of the hypothetical trial. Copies were censored when the assigned treatment was no longer compatible with the observed treatment. To account for informative censoring, uncensored patients were weighted according to measured confounders. The primary outcomes were absolute difference in 2-year survival and median overall survival, comparing adjuvant with no adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: Some 424 patients with pN0 and 953 with pN+ disease were included. Of these, 62.0 and 74.6% respectively initiated adjuvant chemotherapy within the 8-week grace period. Among patients with pN0 tumours, the difference in 2-year survival between those with and without adjuvant therapy was -2.2 (95% c.i. -11.8 to 7.4)%. In those with pN+ disease, the difference in 2-year survival was 9.9 (1.6 to 18.1)%. Median overall survival was 24.9 (i.q.r. 12.8-49.4) and 15.0 (8.0-34.0) months for patients having adjuvant and no adjuvant therapy respectively. CONCLUSION: In a target trial emulation using observational data, adjuvant chemotherapy did not improve survival after surgery for node-negative pancreatic cancer.

Beta-blocker use and survival after pancreatic cancer surgery: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: We examined the association between use of beta-blockers and survival in pancreatic cancer patients after curative-intent surgery. METHODS: Using Danish healthcare registries, we conducted a population-based cohort study of all patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for pancreatic cancer in Denmark 1997-2021. We defined beta-blocker use according to exposure before surgery as current (≤90 days), recent (91-365 days), or former (366-730 days) use, requiring at least one filled prescription. Patients were followed from the date of surgery for up to 5 years. We used Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) of deaths with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for age, sex, year of diagnosis, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, liver disease, alcohol, and smoking. We also conducted an active comparator analysis, where we used angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin-receptor blockers as comparators instead of nonusers. RESULTS: We included 2592 patients, of which 16.7% were beta-blocker users. Median survival for the entire population was 24.4 months. Beta-blocker use was associated with increased mortality (adjusted HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.04-1.34). This was evident in current (adjusted HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.02-1.38) and recent (adjusted HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.04-1.59) but not former (adjusted HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.64-1.43) users. In the active comparator analysis, the association between beta-blocker exposure and mortality attenuated slightly (adjusted HR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.93-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an association between beta-blocker use and increased mortality in patients operated for pancreatic cancer. Findings are likely explained by confounding by indication.

Disparity in use of modern combination chemotherapy associated with facility type influences survival of 2655 patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

AIM: Academic and high volume hospitals have better outcome for pancreatic cancer (PC) surgery, but there are no reports on oncological treatment. We aimed to determine the influence of facility types on overall survival (OS) after treatment with chemotherapy for inoperable PC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 2,657 patients were treated in Denmark from 2012 to 2018 and registered in the Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database. Facilities were classified as either secondary oncological units or comprehensive, tertiary referral cancer centers. RESULTS: The average yearly number of patients seen at the four tertiary facilities was 71, and 31 at the four secondary facilities. Patients at secondary facilities were older, more frequently had severe comorbidity and lived in non-urban municipalities. As compared to combination chemotherapy, monotherapy with gemcitabine was used more often (59%) in secondary facilities than in tertiary (34%). The unadjusted median OS was 7.7 months at tertiary and 6.1 months at secondary facilities. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.16 (confidence interval 1.07-1.27) demonstrated an excess risk of death for patients treated at secondary facilities, which disappeared when taking type of chemotherapy used into account. Hence, more use of combination chemotherapy was associated with the observed improved OS of patients treated at tertiary facilities. Declining HR's per year of first treatment indicated improved outcomes with time, however the difference among facility types remained significant. DISCUSSION: Equal access to modern combination chemotherapy at all facilities on a national level is essential to ensure equality in treatment results.

Intra-observer agreements in multidisciplinary team assessments of pancreatic cancer patients.

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: Treatment strategies for pancreatic cancer patients are made by a multidisciplinary team (MDT) board. We aimed to assess intra-observer variance at MDT boards. Participating units staged, assessed resectability, and made treatment allocations for the same patients as they did two years earlier. We disseminated clinical information and CT images of pancreatic cancer patients judged by one MDT board to have nonmetastatic pancreatic cancer to the participating units. All units were asked to re-assess the TNM stage, resectability, and treatment allocation for each patient. To assess intra-observer variance, we computed %-agreements for each participating unit, defined as low (<50%), moderate (50%-75%), and high (>75%) agreement. RESULTS: Eighteen patients were re-assessed by six MDT boards. The overall agreement was moderate for TNM-stage (ranging from 50%-70%) and resectability assessment (53%) but low for treatment allocation (46%). Agreement on resectability assessments was low to moderate. Findings were similar but more pronounced for treatment allocation. We observed a shift in treatment strategy towards increasing use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, particularly in patients with borderline resectable and locally advanced tumors. CONCLUSIONS: We found substantial intra-observer agreement variations across six different MDT boards of 18 pancreatic cancer patients with two years between the first and second assessment.

Statins and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: A Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

Statins (HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors) have antiinflammatory and possibly anticancer properties. We hypothesized that statin use is associated with lower risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis. This nationwide population-based cohort study included all Danish patients diagnosed with incident chronic pancreatitis from 1 January 1996 to 31 December 2012. We used the Danish National Prescription Registry to ascertain information on statin prescriptions for members of the study population before and after their pancreatitis diagnosis. We computed crude incidence rates, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pancreatic cancer, comparing statin users with nonusers. We computed HRs using Cox proportional hazards regression with statins treated as a time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status and individual comorbidities. The study included 8,311 chronic pancreatitis patients with a median age of 54 years. We observed 153 pancreatic cancers during 60,365 person-years of follow-up. The unadjusted IRR comparing statin users with nonusers was 1.00 (95% CI: 0.60-1.60). Adjustment for potential confounders only had a small impact on the estimate (adjusted HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.56-1.44). Our findings suggest that statin use is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

Positive predictive value of acute and chronic pancreatitis diagnoses in the Danish National Patient Registry: A validation study.

Aims: To examine the validity of the diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry. Methods: We identified all patients in the Danish National Patient Registry admitted to two Danish hospitals with acute or chronic pancreatitis from 1996 to 2013. From this population, we randomly sampled 100 patients with acute pancreatitis and 100 patients with chronic pancreatitis. For each cohort, we computed the positive predictive values and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the discharge diagnosis of acute or chronic pancreatitis using medical records as the gold standard. Results: We identified 2617 patients with acute pancreatitis and 1284 patients with chronic pancreatitis discharged from either of the two hospitals during the study period. Of these, 776 (19.9%) had a diagnosis of both acute and chronic pancreatitis and are thus present in both cohorts. From the 200 sampled patients, a total of 138 (69.0%) medical records were available for review. The positive predictive value for a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis in the Danish National Patient Registry was 97.3% (95% CI 90.5-99.2%) and for chronic pancreatitis 83.1% (95% CI 72.2-90.3%). Conclusions: The validity of diagnoses of acute and chronic pancreatitis registered in the Danish National Patient Registry since 1996 is generally high.

Predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in patients with acute pancreatitis: a Danish nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To identify demographic characteristics, comorbidities, medical procedures, and prescription drug use that may act as predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A cohort study of all patients admitted to Danish hospitals with incident acute pancreatitis during 1999-2015. The ability of age, sex, selected comorbidities, medical procedures, and prescription drug use to predict underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis (i.e., pancreatic cancer diagnosed up to one year after acute pancreatitis) was examined. The absolute risk and odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of cancer was computed for each variable. RESULTS: 28,231 patients with incident acute pancreatitis, of which 283 (1.0%) had underlying pancreatic cancer, were included. Age >50 years was a predictor of pancreatic cancer with highest risk in patients aged 56-70 years. New-onset chronic pancreatitis (multivariable OR: 2.36 [95% CI: 1.35-4.14]) and new-onset diabetes (multivariable OR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.30-2.92]) were also predictors of pancreatic cancer. Diagnoses of biliary or alcohol-related diseases were predictors of no underlying pancreatic cancer. Most variables examined had no or limited predictive ability. CONCLUSION: Age, new-onset chronic pancreatitis, new-onset diabetes, and absence of biliary or alcohol-related diseases were predictors of underlying pancreatic cancer in acute pancreatitis patients.

Cholecystitis and risk of pancreatic, liver, and biliary tract cancer in patients undergoing cholecystectomy.

BACKGROUND: Cholecystitis before cholecystectomy may increase risk of cancers in the hepato-pancreato-biliary area. METHODS: A population-based cohort study of all patients undergoing cholecystectomy in Denmark during 1996-2015, using nationwide healthcare registries. We retrieved information on cholecystitis within two years before the date of surgery and information on pancreatic cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and biliary tract cancer. We examined cancer risk using a Cox model to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs). We also computed cumulative incidence functions with 95% CIs, comparing patients with and without cholecystitis before cholecystectomy. RESULTS: We included 132,794 patients, of which 73.0% were women. In the first five years of follow-up, we observed an increased risk of biliary tract cancer, but not pancreatic cancer or HCC, in patients with prior cholecystitis. After more than five years of follow-up, patients with prior cholecystitis had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer (adjusted HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 0.98-1.63) and possibly biliary tract cancer (adjusted HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 0.64-2.77). Long-term risk of HCC was decreased in patients with prior cholecystitis. For all cancers, the 20-year absolute risks were less than 1%. CONCLUSION: In patients undergoing cholecystectomy, prior cholecystitis was associated with increased risk of pancreatic and possibly biliary tract cancer.

Antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis: a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Antihypertensives may inhibit pancreatic carcinogenesis. We examined the association between use of these drugs and pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study of all chronic pancreatitis patients diagnosed in Denmark during 1996-2012. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year, we examined the risk of pancreatic cancer according to antihypertensive drug use. RESULTS: We included 8,311 patients with chronic pancreatitis and observed 153 pancreatic cancers during follow-up. At baseline, 2197 patients (26.4%) were exposed to at least one class of antihypertensive drugs. We did not observe any measurable associations between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest little evidence of an association between the use of antihypertensive drugs and pancreatic cancer risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis. Confirmation is warranted in future studies.

Acute Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer Risk: A Nationwide Matched-Cohort Study in Denmark.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Acute pancreatitis may be a risk factor for pancreatic cancer; however, findings from studies on this association are conflicting. We investigated the association between acute pancreatitis and increased risk of pancreatic cancer. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study of all patients admitted to a hospital in Denmark with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis from January 1, 1980, through October 31, 2012. As many as 5 individuals from the general population without acute pancreatitis were matched for age and sex to each patient with acute pancreatitis. Pancreatic cancer risk was expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Cox models were stratified by age, sex, and year of pancreatitis diagnosis and adjusted for alcohol- and smoking-related conditions, and Charlson Comorbidity Index score. RESULTS: We included 41,669 patients diagnosed with incident acute pancreatitis and 208,340 comparison individuals. Patients with acute pancreatitis had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared with the age- and sex-matched general population throughout the follow-up period. The risk decreased over time but remained high after more than 5 years of follow-up (adjusted HR 2.02; 95% CI 1.57-2.61). Two- and 5-year absolute risks of pancreatic cancer among patients with acute pancreatitis were 0.70% (95% CI 0.62%-0.78%) and 0.87% (95% CI 0.78%-0.97), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study, we observed an association between a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis and long-term risk of pancreatic cancer.

Chronic Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Cancer Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Chronic pancreatitis is a putative risk factor for pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to examine the magnitude and temporality of this association. We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for observational studies investigating the association between chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer. We computed overall effect estimates (EEs) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using a random-effects meta-analytic model. The EEs were stratified by length of follow-up from chronic pancreatitis diagnosis to pancreatic cancer (lag period). Robustness of the results was examined in sensitivity analyses. We identified 13 eligible studies. Pooled EEs for pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis were 16.16 (95% CI: 12.59-20.73) for patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer within 2 years from their chronic pancreatitis diagnosis. The risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis decreased when the lag period was increased to 5 years (EE: 7.90; 95% CI: 4.26-14.66) or a minimum of 9 years (EE: 3.53; 95% CI: 1.69-7.38). In conclusion, chronic pancreatitis increases the risk of pancreatic cancer, but the association diminishes with long-term follow-up. Five years after diagnosis, chronic pancreatitis patients have a nearly eight-fold increased risk of pancreatic cancer. We suggest that common practice on inducing a 2-year lag period in these studies may not be sufficient. We also recommend a close follow-up in the first years following a diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis to avoid overlooking a pancreatic cancer.

Long-term outcome of peroral endoscopic myotomy for esophageal achalasia in patients with previous Heller myotomy.

BACKGROUND: Peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM) is an emerging procedure in the treatment of esophageal achalasia, a primary motility disorder. However, the long-term outcome of POEM in patients, who have previously undergone a Heller myotomy, is unknown. METHODS: Using a local database, we identified patients with esophageal achalasia, who underwent POEM. We compared patients with a previous Heller myotomy to those, who had received none or only non-surgical therapy prior to the POEM procedure. We conducted follow-up examinations at 3, 12, and 24 months following the procedure. RESULTS: We included 66 consecutive patients undergoing POEM for achalasia, of which 14 (21.2 %) had undergone a prior Heller myotomy. In both groups, the preoperative Eckardt score was 7. Postoperatively, the non-Heller group experienced a more pronounced symptom relief at both 3-, 12-, and 24-month follow-up compared with the Heller group, and there was a tendency for the effect of POEM to reduce over time. We suggest that there is a correlation between preoperative measurements of gastroesophageal sphincter pressures and the chance of a successful POEM. CONCLUSIONS: POEM has a place in the treatment of esophageal achalasia in patients with a prior Heller myotomy and persistent symptoms as it is a safe procedure with acceptable long-term results.

D-lactate is a valid biomarker of intestinal ischemia induced by abdominal compartment syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH) often leads to abdominal compartment syndrome, which is followed by intestinal ischemia and associated with a high mortality. The diagnosis of abdominal compartment syndrome is difficult, and no valid biochemical markers are available. We conducted an experimental study on pigs to determine if D-lactate could be a useful biochemical marker of intestinal ischemia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of eight pigs (intervention group) underwent insufflation of carbon dioxide in the abdominal cavity to induce IAH and were compared with that of eight pigs (sham group) without IAH. Blood samples were taken from the portal and jugular veins at 0, 60, 120, 180, and 240 min after insufflation of carbon dioxide, and concentrations of D-lactate and L-lactate in the two groups were compared using an unpaired t-test. RESULTS: The concentrations of D-lactate were increased in portal blood after 180 min of IAH (P = 0.036) and jugular blood after 240 min of IAH (P = 0.028) in the intervention group compared with those in the sham group. A similar tendency was found for L-lactate levels after 180 min of IAH (P = 0.032 and P = 0.017 for portal and jugular blood samples, respectively). Examination of the intestines revealed both macroscopic and microscopic signs of ischemia in all but one animal in the intervention group and only in one sham-pig. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that D-lactate could be a useful biochemical marker of intestinal ischemia induced by IAH.

Percutaneous cholecystostomy is an effective treatment option for acute calculous cholecystitis: a 10-year experience.

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous cholecystostomy (PC) can be used to treat patients with acute calculous cholecystitis (ACC) who are considered to be unfit for surgery. However, this procedure has been insufficiently investigated. This paper presents the results of a 10-year experience with this treatment modality. METHODS: A retrospective observational study of all consecutive patients treated with PC for ACC in the period from 1 May 2002 to 30 April 2012 was conducted. All data were collected from patients' medical records. RESULTS: A total of 278 patients were treated with PC for ACC. Of these, 13 (4.7%) died within 30 days, 28 (10.1%) underwent early laparoscopic cholecystectomy and three (1.1%) patients were lost from follow-up. Of the remaining 234 patients, 55 (23.5%) were readmitted for the recurrence of cholecystitis. In 128 (54.7%) patients, PC was the definitive treatment (median follow-up time: 5 years), whereas 51 (21.8%) patients were treated with elective laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The frequency of recurrence of cholecystitis in patients with contrast passage to the duodenum on cholangiography was lower than that in patients without contrast passage (21.1% versus 36.7%; P = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: The present study, which is the largest ever conducted in this treatment area, supports the hypothesis that PC is an effective treatment modality for critically ill patients with ACC unfit for surgery and results in a low rate of 30-day mortality.

Conization as a marker of persistent cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and risk of gastrointestinal cancer: a Danish 34-year nationwide cohort study.

PURPOSE: Persistent cervical infection with human papillomavirus (HPV) may be a marker of poor immune function and thus associated with an increased cancer risk. HPV infection is implicated in all cases of cervical cancer, but except for anal and esophageal cancers, the association between persistent HPV infection and gastrointestinal cancer has not been investigated. METHODS: We performed a nationwide population-based cohort study of 83,008 women undergoing cervical conization between 1978 and 2011, using cervical conization as a marker of chronic HPV infection. We computed standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) as a measure of the relative risk of each cancer comparing women undergoing conization with that expected in the general population. We also calculated absolute risks. RESULTS: During follow-up, 988 GI cancers occurred versus 880 expected among 83,008 women followed for a median of 14.9 years, corresponding to a SIR of 1.1 (95 % CI 1.1-1.2). Risks were increased for anal (SIR 2.9; 95 % CI 2.3-3.5) and esophageal (SIR 1.5; 95 % CI 1.1-2.0) cancers, with suggested increased risks of cancers of the gallbladder and biliary tract (SIR 1.3; 95 % CI 0.90-1.8), pancreas (SIR 1.2; 95 % CI 0.97-1.4), and liver (SIR 1.1; 95 % CI 0.79-1.6). The SIRs decreased with increasing follow-up time. The risks of gastric, small intestinal, colon, or rectal cancers were not elevated. Overall, the absolute cancer risk was 0.18 % (95 % CI 0.15-0.21) after 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: The relative risks of several gastrointestinal cancers were raised among women who underwent cervical conization for persistent HPV infection, but the absolute risks were low.