Prediction of Survival Among Patients Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Response-Based Approach.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The heterogeneity of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the widespread use of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) outside recommended guidelines have encouraged the development of scoring systems that predict patient survival. The aim of this study was to build and validate statistical models that offer individualized patient survival prediction using response to TACE as a variable. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Clinically relevant baseline parameters were collected for 4,621 patients with HCC treated with TACE at 19 centers in 11 countries. In some of the centers, radiological responses (as assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [mRECIST]) were also accrued. The data set was divided into a training set, an internal validation set, and two external validation sets. A pre-TACE model ("Pre-TACE-Predict") and a post-TACE model ("Post-TACE-Predict") that included response were built. The performance of the models in predicting overall survival (OS) was compared with existing ones. The median OS was 19.9 months. The factors influencing survival were tumor number and size, alpha-fetoprotein, albumin, bilirubin, vascular invasion, cause, and response as assessed by mRECIST. The proposed models showed superior predictive accuracy compared with existing models (the hepatoma arterial embolization prognostic score and its various modifications) and allowed for patient stratification into four distinct risk categories whose median OS ranged from 7 months to more than 4 years. CONCLUSIONS: A TACE-specific and extensively validated model based on routinely available clinical features and response after first TACE permitted patient-level prognostication.

Eligibility for Liver Transplantation in Patients with Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) has been performed in a select group of patients presenting with unresectable or primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC)-associated perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) in the Mayo Clinic with a reported 5-year overall survival (OS) of 53% on intention-to-treat analysis. The objective of this study was to estimate eligibility for LT in a cohort of pCCA patients in two tertiary referral centers. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with pCCA between 2002 and 2014 were included from two tertiary referral centers in the Netherlands. The selection criteria used by the Mayo Clinic were retrospectively applied to determine the proportion of patients that would have been eligible for LT. RESULTS: A total of 732 consecutive patients with pCCA were identified, of whom 24 (4%) had PSC-associated pCCA. Overall, 154 patients had resectable disease on imaging and 335 patients were ineligible for LT because of lymph node or distant metastases. An age limit of 70 years led to the exclusion of 50 patients who would otherwise be eligible for LT. After applying the Mayo Clinic criteria, only 34 patients (5%) were potentially eligible for LT. Median survival from diagnosis for these 34 patients was 13 months (95% CI 3-23). CONCLUSION: Only 5% of all patients presenting with pCCA were potentially eligible for LT under the Mayo criteria. Without transplantation, a median OS of about 1 year was observed.

Sorafenib for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Child-Pugh B Liver Cirrhosis: Lessons Learned from a Terminated Study.

LESSONS LEARNED: Recruitment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh B for sorafenib treatment and additional pharmacokinetic studies is challenging. Patients with Child-Pugh B liver cirrhosis have high rates of cirrhosis-related adverse events. BACKGROUND: Few data are available on the pharmacokinetics (PK) of sorafenib in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and Child-Pugh B liver cirrhosis. This study aimed to explore the sorafenib PK and its relationship with efficacy and toxicity in these patients. METHODS: Patients with advanced HCC and Child-Pugh B7-8 liver function were prospectively recruited at a tertiary center. Adverse events (AEs), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were recorded. Patients received a starting dose of 200 b.i.d. with toxicity-adjusted dose escalation to a target dose of 400 mg b.i.d. with PK sampling at fixed time points. RESULTS: Between May 2014 and March 2017, 12 patients were screened, of whom 7 progressed to a terminal stage during the screening (n = 6) or shortly after recruitment (n = 1). The five included patients had median PFS of 3.8 months (range, 1.7-10.8) and OS of 7.4 months (range, 1.7-25.8). Three patients had severe AEs and one patient had a partial response with an OS of 25.8 months. In 2017, the trial was aborted for lack of accrual. CONCLUSION: Because of low accrual, no conclusion can be drawn on the sorafenib PK in patients with advanced HCC and Child-Pugh B liver cirrhosis. The poor survival and frequent cirrhosis-related AEs suggest limited benefit for most of these patients.

Improved survival prediction and comparison of prognostic models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib.

BACKGROUND: The 'Prediction Of Survival in Advanced Sorafenib-treated HCC' (PROSASH) model addressed the heterogeneous survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib in clinical trials but requires validation in daily clinical practice. This study aimed to validate, compare and optimize this model for survival prediction. METHODS: Patients treated with sorafenib for HCC at five tertiary European centres were retrospectively staged according to the PROSASH model. In addition, the optimized PROSASH-II model was developed using the data of four centres (training set) and tested in an independent dataset. These models for overall survival (OS) were then compared with existing prognostic models. RESULTS: The PROSASH model was validated in 445 patients, showing clear differences between the four risk groups (OS 16.9-4.6 months). A total of 920 patients (n = 615 in training set, n = 305 in validation set) were available to develop PROSASH-II. This optimized model incorporated fewer and less subjective parameters: the serum albumin, bilirubin and alpha-foetoprotein, and macrovascular invasion, extrahepatic spread and largest tumour size on imaging. Both PROSASH and PROSASH-II showed improved discrimination (C-index 0.62 and 0.63, respectively) compared with existing prognostic scores (C-index ≤0.59). CONCLUSIONS: In HCC patients treated with sorafenib, individualized prediction of survival and risk group stratification using baseline prognostic and predictive parameters with the PROSASH model was validated. The refined PROSASH-II model performed at least as good with fewer and more objective parameters. PROSASH-II can be used as a tool for tailored treatment of HCC in daily practice and to define pre-planned subgroups for future studies.

The value of sorafenib trough levels in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma - a substudy of the SORAMIC trial.

Background: Sorafenib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is dose adjusted by toxicity. Preliminary studies have suggested an association between plasma concentrations of sorafenib and its main metabolite (M2) and clinical outcomes. This study aimed to validate these findings and establish target values for sorafenib trough concentrations.Methods: Patients with advanced HCC were prospectively recruited within a multicenter phase II study (SORAMIC). Patients with blood samples available at trough level were included for this pharmacokinetic (PK) substudy. Trough plasma concentrations of sorafenib and its main metabolite (M2) were associated with sorafenib-related toxicity and overall survival (OS).Results: Seventy-four patients were included with a median OS of 19.7 months (95% CI 16.1-23.3). Patients received sorafenib for a median of 51 weeks (IQR 27-62) and blood samples were drawn after a median of 25 weeks (IQR 10-42). Patients had a median trough concentration of 3217 ng/ml (IQR 2166-4526) and 360 ng/ml (IQR 190-593) with coefficients of variation of 65% and 146% for sorafenib and M2, respectively. Patients who experienced severe sorafenib-related toxicity received a lower average daily dose (551 vs 730 mg/day, p = .003), but showed no significant differences in sorafenib (3298 vs 2915 ng/ml, p = .442) or M2 trough levels (428 vs 283 ng/ml, p = .159). Trough levels of sorafenib or M2 showed no significant association with OS.Conclusions: In patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib, the administered dose, trough levels of sorafenib or M2, and clinical outcomes were poorly correlated. Toxicity-adjusted dosing remains the standard for sorafenib treatment.

Are we SHARP enough? The importance of adequate patient selection in sorafenib treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Upon FDA/EMEA registration for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), sorafenib received a broader therapeutic indication than the eligibility criteria of the landmark SHARP trial. This allowed treatment of SHARP non-eligible patients in daily clinical practice. AIM: To assess sorafenib efficacy and safety in SHARP eligible and non-eligible patients, and determine the validity of the current therapeutic indication as described by the FDA/EMEA. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients treated with sorafenib for advanced HCC at two Dutch tertiary referral centers between 2007 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes were time to progression (TTP), response rate, adverse events and reasons for discontinuation. Outcomes were compared between SHARP eligible and non-eligible patients. RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-three of 257 (75%) patients were SHARP eligible. SHARP eligible patients (9.5 months, 95% CI 7.7-11.3) had a longer median OS than non-eligible patients (5.4 months, 95% CI 3.6-7.1) (log-rank p < .001). SHARP non-eligible patients were more often Child-Pugh B, had higher AST and ALT levels and developed more grade 3-4 liver dysfunction (44 versus 23%, p < .001) during treatment. SHARP ineligibility remained the strongest predictor of OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.32-2.41) and an independent predictor of TTP (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.05-2.00) in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Landmark trial outcomes of sorafenib for HCC are reproducible in daily practice, provided that the SHARP eligibility criteria are respected. Based on the findings of this and previous studies, sorafenib usage should be restricted to Child-Pugh A patients.

The prognostic value of portal vein and hepatic artery involvement in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although several classifications of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) include vascular involvement, its prognostic value has not been investigated. Our aim was to assess the prognostic value of unilateral and main/bilateral involvement of the portal vein (PV) and hepatic artery (HA) on imaging in patients with PHC. METHODS: All patients with PHC between 2002 and 2014 were included regardless of stage or management. Vascular involvement was defined as apparent tumor contact of at least 180° to the PV or HA on imaging. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was used to compare overall survival (OS) between groups. Cox regression was used for multivariable analysis. RESULTS: In total, 674 patients were included with a median OS of 12.2 (95% CI 10.6-13.7) months. Patients with unilateral PV involvement had a median OS of 13.3 (11.0-15.7) months, compared with 14.7 (11.7-17.6) in patients without PV involvement (p = 0.12). Patients with main/bilateral PV involvement had an inferior median OS of 8.0 (5.4-10.7, p < 0.001) months. Median OS for patients with unilateral HA involvement was 10.6 (9.3-12.0) months compared with 16.9 (13.2-20.5) in patients without HA involvement (p < 0.001). Patients with main/bilateral HA involvement had an inferior median OS of 6.9 (3.3-10.5, p < 0.001). Independent poor prognostic factors included unilateral and main/bilateral HA involvement, but not PV involvement. CONCLUSION: Both unilateral and main HA involvement are independent poor prognostic factors for OS in patients presenting with PHC, whereas PV involvement is not.

Validation of the Mayo Clinic Staging System in Determining Prognoses of Patients With Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Most systems for staging perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) have been developed for the minority of patients with resectable disease. The recently developed Mayo Clinic system for staging PHC requires only clinical and radiologic variables, but has not yet been validated. We performed a retrospective study to validate the Mayo Clinic staging system. METHODS: We identified consecutive patients with suspected PHC who were evaluated and treated at 2 tertiary centers in The Netherlands, from January 2002 through December 2014. Baseline characteristics (performance status, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level) used in the staging system were collected from medical records and imaging parameters (tumor size, suspected vascular involvement, and metastatic disease) were reassessed by 2 experienced abdominal radiologists. Overall survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and comparison of staging groups was performed using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Discriminative performance was quantified by the concordance index and compared with the radiologic TNM staging of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (7th ed). RESULTS: PHCs from 600 patients were staged according to the Mayo Clinic model (23 stage I, 80 stage II, 357 stage III, and 140 stage IV). The median overall survival time was 11.6 months. The median overall survival times for patients with stages I, II, III, and IV were 33.2 months, 19.7 months, 12.1 months, and 6.0 months, respectively; with hazard ratios of 1.0 (reference), 2.02 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-3.58), 2.71 (95% CI, 1.59-4.64), and 4.00 (95% CI, 2.30-6.95), respectively (P < .001). The concordance index score was 0.59 for the entire cohort (95% CI, 0.56-0.61). The Mayo Clinic model performed slightly better than the radiologic American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM system. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective study of 600 patients with PHC, we validated the Mayo Clinic system for staging PHC. This 4-tier staging system may aid clinicians in making treatment decisions, such as referral for surgery, and predicting survival times.

Survival after resection of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma in patients with lymph node metastases.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare patients with PHC with lymph node metastases (LN+) who underwent a resection with patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy. METHODS: Consecutive LN+ patients who underwent a resection for PHC in 12 centers were compared with patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy in 2 centers. RESULTS: In the resected cohort of 119 patients, the median overall survival (OS) was 19 months and the estimated 1-, 3- and 5-year OS was 69%, 27% and 13%, respectively. In the non-resected cohort of 113 patients, median OS was 12 months and the estimated 1-, 3- and 5-year OS was 49%, 7%, and 3%, respectively. OS was better in the resected LN+ cohort (p < 0.001). Positive resection margin (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54; 95%CI: 0.97-2.45) and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (HR: 1.71; 95%CI: 1.09-2.69) were independent poor prognostic factors in the resected cohort. CONCLUSION: Patients with PHC who underwent a resection for LN+ disease had better OS than patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy. LN+ PHC does not preclude 5-year survival after resection.

Liver Decompensation as Late Complication in HCC Patients with Long-Term Response following Selective Internal Radiation Therapy.

Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is used as a treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to assess long-term liver-related complications of SIRT in patients who had not developed radioembolization-induced liver disease (REILD). The primary outcome was the percentage of patients without REILD that developed Child-Pugh (CP) ≥ B7 liver decompensation after SIRT. The secondary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and tumor response. These data were compared with a matched cohort of patients treated with sorafenib. Eighty-five patients were included, of whom 16 developed REILD. Of the remaining 69 patients, 38 developed liver decompensation CP ≥ B7. The median OS was 18 months. In patients without REILD, the median OS in patients with CP ≥ B7 was significantly shorter compared to those without CP ≥ B7; 16 vs. 31 months. In the case-matched analysis, the median OS was significantly longer in SIRT-treated patients; 16 vs. 8 months in sorafenib. Liver decompensation CP ≥ B7 occurred significantly more in SIRT when compared to sorafenib; 62% vs. 27%. The ALBI score was an independent predictor of liver decompensation (OR 0.07) and OS (HR 2.83). After SIRT, liver decompensation CP ≥ B7 often developed as a late complication in HCC patients and was associated with a shorter OS. The ALBI score was predictive of CP ≥ B7 liver decompensation and the OS, and this may be a valuable marker for patient selection for SIRT.

The utility of 99mTc-mebrofenin hepatobiliary scintigraphy with SPECT/CT for selective internal radiation therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Studies assessing the impact of selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) on the regional liver function in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are sparse. This study assessed the changes in total and regional liver function using hepatobiliary scintigraphy (HBS) and investigated the utility of HBS to predict post-SIRT liver dysfunction. METHODS: Patients treated with SIRT for HCC between 2011 and 2019, underwent Tc-mebrofenin HBS with single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography (SPECT/CT) before and 6 weeks after SIRT. The corrected mebrofenin uptake rate (cMUR) and corresponding volume was measured in the total liver, and in treated and nontreated liver regions. Patients with and without post-SIRT liver dysfunction were compared. RESULTS: A total of 29 patients, all Child-Pugh-A and mostly intermediate (72%) stage HCC were included in this study. Due to SIRT, the cMURtotal declined from 5.8 to 4.5%/min/m (P < 0.001). Twenty-two patients underwent a lobar SIRT, which induced a decline in cMUR (2.9-1.7%/min/m, P < 0.001) and volume (1228-1101, P = 0.002) of the treated liver region, without a change in cMUR (2.4-2.0%/min/m, P = 0.808) or volume (632-644 mL, P = 0.661) of the contralateral nontreated lobe. There were no significant pre-SIRT differences in total or regional cMUR or volume between patients with and without post-SIRT liver dysfunction. CONCLUSION: In patients treated with SIRT for HCC, HBS accurately identified changes in total and regional liver function and may have a complementary role to personalize lobar or selective SIRT. In this pilot study, there were no pre-SIRT differences in cMUR or volume to aid in predicting post-SIRT liver dysfunction.

Reason of Discontinuation After Transarterial Chemoembolization Influences Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is often repeated until unTACEable progression (UTP) occurs. There is little data on the various reasons for stopping TACE and its consequences for subsequent treatment and survival. AIM: To assess the impact of the various reasons of UTP on survival and consequences for subsequent treatments. METHODS: Consecutive HCC patients who underwent TACE between 2003 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively for the reason of TACE discontinuation. UTP was defined according to the EASL guidelines, considering radiological pattern of progression, liver function and performance status (PS). Overall and post-progression survival (OS, PPS) for different reasons of TACE discontinuation were compared. The correlation between time to untreatable progression by chemoembolization (TTUPc) and OS was analyzed. RESULTS: One hundred and sixty-six patients (BCLC-A 40%, BCLC-B 54%, BCLC-C: 7%) were included, undergoing a median of 2 TACE procedures with a median OS of 22.1 months (95% CI 17.4-26.7). UTP occurred in 116 patients (70%) after a median TTUPc of 11.6 months (95% CI 7.8-15.4). There was a strong positive correlation (ρ = 0.816, p < 0.001) between TTUPc and OS. The main reason of UTP was radiological progression (61%), which was mostly intrahepatic (75%). Hepatic decompensation and worsening of PS were independent predictors of OS and PPS. CONCLUSION: The majority of HCC patients treated with TACE have UTP due to intrahepatic tumor progression with preserved liver function and PS, making them potential candidates for subsequent liver-directed or systemic treatment. TTUPc may be a valuable surrogate endpoint for OS in patients treated with TACE. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level II, prognosis study.

Correction to: Reason of Discontinuation After Transarterial Chemoembolization Influences Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

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Diffusion-weighted imaging of hepatocellular carcinoma before and after transarterial chemoembolization: role in survival prediction and response evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Survival outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) are heterogeneous. Measuring the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) using diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) may improve overall survival prediction. AIM: To assess the value of measuring the ADC before and after TACE in predicting overall survival. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed in HCC patients treated with TACE at a tertiary referral center between 2008 and 2017. The ADC values and changes in ADC value (ΔADC) of HCC lesions (≥ 1 cm) and liver parenchyma were assessed by DWI ≤ 3 months before and after first TACE. Pre- and post-TACE ADC values were compared with tumor response according to mRECIST and correlated with overall survival (OS) in a univariable and multivariable Cox-regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 89 patients were included, mostly Child-Pugh A (85%) and BCLC stage B (53%) with a median OS of 21.7 months (95% CI 17.6-25.9). Tumor ADC increased from 1081 mm2/s before (IQR 964-1225) to 1328 mm2/s (IQR 1197-1560) after TACE (p < 0.001). Responders according to mRECIST showed a higher ΔADC after first TACE than non-responders (26 vs. 14%, p = 0.048). Pre-TACE ADC and ΔADC were not significantly associated with OS in both univariable and multivariable analysis, whereas response according to mRECIST remained an independent predictor of OS. CONCLUSION: mRECIST was confirmed as an independent prognostic factor of OS, but pre- or post-TACE ADC measurements were not. Response according to mRECIST was associated with a higher increase in ADC than non-response.

A Pilot Study on Hepatobiliary Scintigraphy to Monitor Regional Liver Function in 90Y Radioembolization.

Radioembolization is increasingly used as a bridge to resection (i.e., radiation lobectomy). It combines ipsilateral tumor control with the induction of contralateral hypertrophy to facilitate lobar resection. The aim of this pilot study was to investigate the complementary value of hepatobiliary scintigraphy (HBS) before and after radioembolization in the assessment of the future remnant liver. Methods: Consecutive patients with liver tumors who underwent HBS before and after 90Y radioembolization were included. Regional (treated/nontreated) and whole liver function and volume were determined on HBS and CT. Changes in regional liver function and volume were correlated with the functional liver absorbed doses, determined on 90Y PET/CT. In addition, the correlation between liver volume and function change was evaluated. Results: Thirteen patients (10 hepatocellular carcinoma, 3 metastatic colorectal carcinoma) were included. Liver function of the treated part declined after radioembolization (HBS-pre, 4.0%/min/m2; HBS-post, 1.9%/min/m2; P = 0.001), whereas the function of the nontreated part increased (HBS-pre, 1.4%/min/m2; HBS-post, 2.8%/min/m2; P = 0.009). Likewise, treated volume decreased (pretreatment, 1,118.7 cm3; posttreatment, 870.7 cm3; P = 0.003), whereas the nontreated volume increased (pretreatment, 412.7 cm3; posttreatment, 577.6 cm3; P = 0.005). Bland-Altman analysis revealed a large bias (29%) between volume decrease and function decrease in the treated part and wide limits of agreement (-7.7%-65.6%). The bias between volume and function change was smaller (±6.0%) in the nontreated part of the liver, but limits of agreement were still wide (-117.9%-106.7%). Conclusion: Radioembolization induces regional changes in liver function that are accurately detected by HBS. Limits of agreement between function and volume changes were wide, showing large individual differences. This finding indicates that HBS may have a complementary role in the management of patients for radiation lobectomy.

Body Composition Is an Independent Predictor of Outcome in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Sorafenib.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested body composition as a predictor of sorafenib toxicity and outcome in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Large studies on the impact of body composition parameters in European HCC patients are lacking. Our aim was to validate the prognostic value of body composition parameters in Dutch patients with HCC treated with sorafenib. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed in a cohort of HCC patients treated with sorafenib at two Dutch tertiary referral centers between 2007 and 2016. Body composition (adipose and skeletal muscle tissue) was measured at baseline by computed tomography (CT). Low skeletal muscle mass (SMM) and density were defined using published cut-offs. Body composition parameters were correlated with overall survival (OS), time to progression, response rate, and toxicity. RESULTS: A total of 278 patients were included, mostly Child-Pugh class A (85%) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C (73%), with a median OS of 9.5 months (95% CI 8.1-11.0). Patients with combined low SMM and low total adipose tissue index (TATI) (n = 68, 25%) had a poor median OS (5.8, 95% CI 4.8-6.8) compared with other patients (11.7, 95% CI 9.4-14.0). Combined low SMM and low TATI remained an independent predictor of OS (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.15-2.11, p = 0.004) after adjusting for known prognostic factors. There was no association between body composition and sorafenib toxicity. CONCLUSIONS: In Dutch HCC patients treated with sorafenib, the combined presence of low SMM and low TATI was associated with impaired survival, independent of known prognostic factors. CT assessment of body composition may provide additional prognostic information prior to sorafenib treatment.

Prognostic immunohistochemical biomarkers of chemotherapy efficacy in biliary tract cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Chemotherapy is the mainstay of systemic treatment of biliary tract cancer (BTC). However, the treatment response to chemotherapy varies between patients. Currently, no prognostic biomarkers for chemotherapy efficacy have been considered for use in clinical practice. A systematic review was conducted to evaluate the prognostic value of immunohistochemical biomarkers for chemotherapy in patients with resected as well as with advanced BTC. METHOD: Medline and EMBASE databases were searched up to March 2017 for studies that evaluated biomarker expression by immunohistochemistry in resected or advanced BTC patients treated with chemotherapy. The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and disease or progression free survival (DFS or PFS). RESULT: Twenty-six studies, including a total of 1348 patients and 26 different biomarkers, met the inclusion criteria and were included in this review. The most frequently studied prognostic biomarkers in BTC were the human Equilibrative Nucleoside Transporter 1 (hENT1), Ribonucleotide Reductase M1 (RRM1), and excision repair cross-complementation 1 (ERCC1). In the meta-analysis of patients treated with gemcitabine-based chemotherapy, high hENT1 expression was associated with longer OS (HR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.28 to 0.64) and DFS/PFS (HR 0.45, 95% CI: 0.33 to 0.61). CONCLUSION: hENT1 is a promising prognostic biomarker for gemcitabine-based chemotherapy in resected as well as in advanced BTC and should be further validated for the selection of patients for chemotherapy.