Uncertainties in deforestation emission baseline methodologies and implications for carbon markets.

Carbon credits generated through jurisdictional-scale avoided deforestation projects require accurate estimates of deforestation emission baselines, but there are serious challenges to their robustness. We assessed the variability, accuracy, and uncertainty of baselining methods by applying sensitivity and variable importance analysis on a range of typically-used methods and parameters for 2,794 jurisdictions worldwide. The median jurisdiction's deforestation emission baseline varied by 171% (90% range: 87%-440%) of its mean, with a median forecast error of 0.778 times (90% range: 0.548-3.56) the actual deforestation rate. Moreover, variable importance analysis emphasised the strong influence of the deforestation projection approach. For the median jurisdiction, 68.0% of possible methods (90% range: 61.1%-85.6%) exceeded 15% uncertainty. Tropical and polar biomes exhibited larger uncertainties in carbon estimations. The use of sensitivity analyses, multi-model, and multi-source ensemble approaches could reduce variabilities and biases. These findings provide a roadmap for improving baseline estimations to enhance carbon market integrity and trust.

Factors influencing dialysis modality for end-stage renal disease in developing countries: a survey of Filipino nephrologists.

BACKGROUND: In the Philippines, 86% of incident dialysis patients are started on hemodialysis (HD) and 14% are treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD), representing a decline over a 2-year period. One important factor which affects patients' choice of dialysis modality is the input of their physicians. Our objective was to identify the factors affecting attitudes and recommendations of Filipino nephrologists regarding HD and PD. METHODS: Attendees of the annual national nephrology meeting completed an anonymous self-administered questionnaire. RESULTS: Respondents were heavily involved in clinical dialysis work, and 86.7% had most/all of their patients on HD. Recommendations about dialysis modality were based most strongly on overall cost to patient (4.4 on a scale of 1 [not important] to 5 [most important], residual renal function (RRF) preservation (4.4), patient preference (4.3) availability of dialysis support staff (4.3), and comparative quality of life data (4.3). Least important was physician reimbursement (2.8). Patient-related factors favoring HD were: poor personal hygiene, impaired vision and manual dexterity; while favoring PD were: age <10 years, living far from HD unit, and the availability of trainable family members. When asked which modality they would recommend to an equally eligible patient, 49.2% responded they would not recommend either modality and would allow the patient to choose, while 40.7% would recommend HD and 10.2% would recommend PD. CONCLUSION: Respondents consider overall cost and RRF preservation as the most important factors in dialysis modality selection, yet only 10.2% would recommend PD as first choice. It is likely that factors other than those addressed in the survey are stronger determinants of the patient's final choice of modality.

AFM imaging reveals the tetrameric structure of the TRPM8 channel.

Several members of the transient receptor potential (TRP) channel superfamily have been shown to assemble as tetramers. Here we have determined the subunit stoichiometry of the transient receptor potential M8 (TRPM8) channel using atomic force microscopy (AFM). TRPM8 channels were isolated from transfected cells, and complexes were formed between the channels and antibodies against a V5 epitope tag present on each subunit. The complexes were then subjected to AFM imaging. A frequency distribution of the molecular volumes of antibody decorated channels had a peak at 1305 nm(3), close to the expected size of a TRPM8 tetramer. The frequency distribution of angles between pairs of bound antibodies had two peaks, at 93 degrees and 172 degrees, confirming that the channel assembles as a tetramer. We suggest that this assembly pattern is common to all members of the TRP channel superfamily.