Outcomes of lymphoma in South Australia, 1977-2007.

OBJECTIVE: To determine survival rates of patients with lymphoma in South Australia. DESIGN AND SETTING: De-identified data from the SA Cancer Registry on all patients with lymphoma were analysed, as well as the subgroup treated at the Royal Adelaide Hospital (RAH). For non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), we used the International Working Formulation (IWF) grading. SA and RAH data on survival rates were compared with those for the whole of Australia and the United States. PATIENTS: All patients diagnosed with lymphoma and treated in SA in 1977-2007. OUTCOME MEASURES: 5-year survival rates for patients with lymphoma, by type of lymphoma and age. RESULTS: Of the total of 8651 patients with lymphoma, 939 were classified as having Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) and 7712 as having NHL. Of those with NHL, 1805 had low-grade, 3576 intermediate-grade, and 510 high-grade NHL. In another 1821 patients, the data were insufficient to make an IWF grading. There was a substantial increase in 5-year survival rates for patients with lymphoma between 1977 and 2007 in SA. While the increase in 5-year survival rates for HL was 7.6 percentage points, survival rates peaked at 88%. For NHL, there was an 18.7 percentage points increase in 5-year survival rates. The first significant increase of 7 percentage points was associated with the introduction of bone marrow transplantation; this was maintained with the increase in 5-year survival rates reaching 14 percentage points by 1995-1999. Since 1999, there has been a further increase of 5 percentage points in 5-year survival rates with the introduction of rituximab. CONCLUSION: Outcomes in patients with NHL have improved significantly, most likely because of the use of bone marrow transplantation and rituximab. Hospital- and state-based cancer registry data reflect the reality of population outcomes and the impact of new technologies.

Cervical cancer: effect of glandular cell type on prognosis, treatment, and survival.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate survivals from cervical cancer, with special reference to effects of glandular histology and its influence on prognostic characteristics and management decisions. METHODS: Data on cervical cancers, diagnosed in 1984-2000, were obtained from the gynecologic oncology registry of hospitals of the University of Adelaide. Comparisons were made of disease-specific survival, age at diagnosis, diagnostic period, stage, grade, and primary course of treatment. RESULTS: The study included 544 squamous cell carcinomas, 43 adenosquamous carcinomas, five clear cell cancers, 136 other adenocarcinomas, and 19 cancers of "other" histological type. Overall survival was 72.2% at 5 years from diagnosis, decreasing to 67.5% at 15 years. Survival was lower for older ages, higher grades, and higher International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stages, although equivalent for stages IIA and IIB. Unadjusted survivals varied by histological type (P =.001), with lower survivals suggested for adenosquamous and clear cell lesions and "other" histological types than for squamous cell carcinomas and other adenocarcinomas. After adjusting for age, stage, grade, and diagnostic period, adenocarcinomas had a higher case fatality than squamous cell lesions (relative risk 2.08, 95% confidence limit 1.35, 3.21), whereas the elevation in relative risk was lower and not statistically significant for a combined adenosquamous and clear cell category at 1.25 (0.69, 2.24). For stage II, both adenocarcinomas and the adenosquamous and clear cell group had lower survivals than squamous cell cancers. CONCLUSION: Relative to squamous cell carcinomas, adenocarcinomas and potentially adenosquamous cancers are becoming more common. This has implications for screening, treatment, and prognosis.

Time trends in lung cancer incidence by histology in South Australia: likely causes and public health implications.

OBJECTIVES: In response to reported increases in ratios of adenocarcinomas to squamous cell carcinomas of the lung in other populations, to investigate and consider public health and clinical implications of time trends in lung cancer incidence by histological type in South Australia. METHODS: 11,898 lung cancers, diagnosed during 1982-2000, were analysed to determine age-adjusted incidence rates by sex, diagnostic epoch, and histological type, and changes in histological distribution at diagnosis. RESULTS: The age-adjusted incidence of squamous cell carcinoma reduced by 47.1% in males between 1982-86 and 1997-2000, with larger reductions applying to younger age groups. A 34.1% reduction also occurred for small cell lesions in males, whereas a 55.6% incidence increase applied for large cell lesions, and in the age range of 70 years and over, a 29.9% incidence increase for adenocarcinomas. Larger increases were observed for adenocarcinomas and large cell lesions in females. There was also a 48.0% incidence increase in squamous cell carcinomas in females aged 70 years or more. In general, adverse incidence trends were less pronounced and favourable trends more pronounced in the younger age groups of both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: The more favourable incidence trends by histology in younger age groups are a positive sign that hopefully will prove to be cohort effects that extend to older ages. Incidence trends have led to an increased proportion among diagnosed cancers of adenocarcinomas and large cell lesions, but this is unlikely to have more than a marginal effect on overall survivals and treatment requirements.

Comparative epidemiological characteristics of oesophageal adenocarcinoma and other cancers of the oesophagus and gastric cardia.

Secular trends and epidemiological characteristics of 1,581 oesophageal cancers, diagnosed in South Australian residents in 1977-2000, were analysed by histological type and diagnostic period, using multivariable Poisson regression and logistic regression. The age-adjusted incidence of squamous cell carcinoma did not vary significantly by diagnostic period, either in males (p = 0.195) or females (p = 0.087). By comparison, variations were observed for adenocarcinomas in males (p<0.001) and females (p = 0.015), with an increase in age-adjusted incidence of 169% for males and 150% for females between 1977-81 and 1997-2000. Most of these increases occurred in the 1990s. Secular differences were not evident for tumours of other or unknown histological type. The ratio of adenocarcinomas to squamous cell carcinomas was higher in patients who were aged 80 years or more, male, residents of high socio-economic areas, and those born in the United Kingdom/Ireland. Conversely, relatively low ratios presented for patients born in Southern and other parts of Europe. These differences by country of origin accord with differences between the national incidence rates for these countries, as indicated by international data. Differences in secular trend and country of birth between adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and gastric cardia suggest that they are not expressions of the same disease. Preventive implications of these results are discussed.

Are cutaneous melanomas of specified thickness showing deeper levels of invasion at diagnosis?

Secular trends in Clark level were investigated by Breslow category for 8,432 invasive cutaneous melanomas diagnosed in South Australia in 1980-2000. More recently diagnosed lesions were found to have deeper levels. After adjusting for age at diagnosis, tumour site, histology, and thickness measured in half millimetres, the relative odds (95% confidence limits) of penetration to the reticular dermis or subcutaneous fat were 1.99 (1.59, 2.50) for the 1987-93 diagnostic period, and 2.82 (2.25, 3.54) for 1994-2000, when compared with 1980-86. After adjusting for melanoma thickness, the secular trends for deeper lesions applied to a broad cross-section of socio-demographic sub-groups, tumour sites, and histological types. While this similarity in trend would be consistent with a measurement effect, a real change cannot be ruled out and increased emphasis on earlier detection may be warranted. The prognostic implications of changes in inter-relationships between measures of thickness and level require periodic re-evaluation.

Colorectal cancer surgery 2000-2008: evaluation of a prospective database.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is a common cause of cancer death in Australia and is primarily managed operatively. Surgical databases are valuable in monitoring performance in cancer treatment and detecting problems and trends. METHODS: Diagnostic and treatment variables and short-term outcomes were gathered prospectively for patients undergoing resection for colorectal cancer over a 9-year period. Survival data were obtained by linkage to state and interstate death indices. RESULTS: Eight hundred and five patients underwent resection for colorectal cancer during the study period. Overall 5-year survival was 61%. Five-year cancer-specific survival was 73%. Five-year cancer-specific survival for Australian Clinico-Pathological Staging (ACPS) stages A, B, C and D was 96, 80, 61 and 19%, respectively (P < 0.0001). Emergency presentations showed diminished survival (59% versus 75%, P < 0.0001) after controlling for age and stage (hazard ratio (HR) 1.78, P= 0.005), as did transfusion recipients (63% versus 74%, P= 0.0014; HR 1.78, P= 0.004). Anastomotic leak did not affect survival in multivariable analysis. Non-cancer causes accounted for 26% deaths, primarily comprising cardiovascular deaths in the elderly. DISCUSSION: High case ascertainment, data completeness and accuracy can be obtained with prospective, independently gathered data linked electronically to national death records. Survival for colorectal cancer in South Australia continues to improve. Close follow-up for disease recurrence is warranted for transfusion recipients, emergencies and advanced disease. Locally managed databases with linkage to state registries and other institutions are powerful methods to improve data quality and surgical care at a national level.

Exploring trends in laryngeal cancer incidence, mortality and survival: implications for research and cancer control.

South Australian registry data were used to investigate trends in laryngeal cancer age-standardised incidence, mortality and disease-specific survival from 1977 to 2005. Incidence rates decreased by 32% from 1980-84 to 2000-05, affecting both sexes and ages under 70 years. There were concurrent reductions in mortality, although statistical significance was not achieved with the numbers of deaths examined (p>0.05). More than other cancers, laryngeal cancers presented in: the 50-79 year age range; males, particularly those born in Southern Europe; UK/Irish migrants; and residents of lower socio-economic areas. Compared with other cancers, laryngeal cancers were less common in more recent diagnostic periods. The ratio of glottis to other laryngeal cancers was higher in males, older patients, and those born in Southern Europe, UK/Ireland and Western Europe. A secular increase in this ratio was evident. The five-year survival from laryngeal cancer was 68%, with poorer outcomes applying for older patients, non-metropolitan residents, patients with cancers of laryngeal sub-sites other than glottis, and potentially patients born in Southern Europe. Secular changes in survival were not observed. Reductions in incidence are attributed to decreases in tobacco smoking in males and reductions in per capital alcohol consumption since the 1970s. The higher ratio of glottis to other laryngeal cancer sub-sites in males may indicate a greater contribution made by tobacco, as opposed to alcohol, in males. The lower survival observed in non-metropolitan patients may reflect poorer access to radiation oncology and other specialist services, although delays in diagnosis for other reasons may have contributed.

Factors predictive of preferred place of death in the general population of South Australia.

In a population survey, 2652 respondents aged 15+ years reported their preferred place of death, if dying of 'a terminal illness such as cancer or emphysema', to be home (70%), a hospital (19%), hospice (10%), or nursing home (<1%). The majority of respondents in all socio-demographic categories reported a preference for dying at home, with the greatest majorities occurring in younger age groups. After weighting to the age-sex distribution of all South Australian cancer deaths, 58% in our survey declared a preference to die at home, which is much higher than the 14% of cancer deaths that actually occurred at home in South Australia in 2000-2002. Multivariable analyses indicate that predictors of preferred home death include younger age, male, born in the UK/Ireland or Italy/Greece, better physical health, poorer mental health, and fewer concerns about dying at home. Predictors of preference for death in a hospice rather than hospital include older age, female, single, metropolitan residence, having higher educational and income levels, paid employment, awareness of advanced directives, and interpreting 'dying with dignity' as death without pain or suffering. Investigating the differences between preferred and actual places of death may assist service providers to meet end-of-life wishes.

Newborn screening in South Australia: is it universal?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the biochemical screening rate of newborns in South Australia and the factors associated with babies not being screened. DESIGN: Matching of data in the SA Newborn Screening Centre database (acquired from Guthrie cards) with the SA perinatal data collection (compiled from supplementary birth records) to determine how many newborns missed screening. Risk factors for missed screening were identified from sociodemographic and clinical variables recorded in the perinatal data collection and analysed by multivariable unconditional logistic regression analysis. PATIENTS AND SETTING: All live births (n = 18,426) in South Australia in 1999, in the 63 hospitals assisting deliveries or in the home. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rates of biochemical screening and missed screening in all newborns and among various subgroups; adjusted odds ratios (after multivariable logistic regression analysis) for risk factors for missed screening. RESULTS: The newborn screening rate in South Australia in 1999 was 97.8%. Babies born at home, born to an Aboriginal mother, or born to a mother who normally resided in another state were at higher risk of missed screening. Other factors associated with missed screening were having fewer than seven antenatal visits, prematurity (gestational age at birth < 32 weeks), congenital abnormality in the baby, use of paediatric intensive care, early discharge from hospital before 3 days (but especially after less than 1 day), and death of the baby during the neonatal period. CONCLUSION: In South Australia, while 2.2% of all newborns missed screening in 1999, in certain high-risk groups the proportions of unscreened babies were significantly higher. With a 2% missed screening rate, one might expect one newborn with a screening-detectable disorder to elude detection every other year in South Australia.