Impact of age, comorbidities and relevant changes on surveillance strategy of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: a competing risk analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Cost-effectiveness of surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) is debated. We combined different categories of risks of IPMN progression and of IPMN-unrelated mortality to improve surveillance strategies. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of 926 presumed BD-IPMNs lacking worrisome features (WFs)/high-risk stigmata (HRS) under surveillance. Charlson Comorbidity Index (CACI) defined the severity of comorbidities. IPMN relevant changes included development of WF/HRS, pancreatectomy or death for IPMN or pancreatic cancer. Pancreatic malignancy-unrelated death was recorded. Cumulative incidence of IPMN relevant changes were estimated using the competing risk approach. RESULTS: 5-year cumulative incidence of relevant changes was 17.83% and 1.6% developed pancreatic malignancy. 5-year cumulative incidences for IPMN relevant changes were 13.73%, 19.93% and 25.04% in low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, respectively. Age ≥75 (HR: 4.15) and CACI >3 (HR: 3.61) were independent predictors of pancreatic malignancy-unrelated death. 5-year cumulative incidence for death for other causes was 15.93% for age ≥75+CACI >3 group and 1.49% for age <75+CACI ≤3. 5-year cumulative incidence of IPMN relevant changes were 13.94% in patients with age <75+CACI ≤3 compared with 29.60% in those with age ≥75+CACI >3. In this group 5-year rate of malignancy-free patients was 95.56% with a 5-year survival of 79.51%. CONCLUSION: Although it is not uncommon the occurrence of changes considered by current guidelines as relevant during surveillance of low risk BD-IPMNs, malignancy rate is low and survival is significantly affected by competing patients' age and comorbidities. IPMN surveillance strategy should be tailored based on these features and modulated over time.

Postoperative Hyperamylasemia (POH) is an Early Predictor of Pancreatic Fistula Occurrence and Severity after Distal Pancreatectomy: Results from a European Multicentric Study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this international multicentric study is to characterize postoperative hyperamylasemia (POH) after distal pancreatectomy (DP), with particular focus on its relationship with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) occurrence and severity. BACKGROUND: The clinical relevance of POH after DP and its relationship with the occurrence and severity of POPF have not been explored yet. METHODS: All patients undergoing DP for any indication between 2015 and 2021 at three European referral Centers for pancreatic surgery were retrospectively analyzed. Drain fluid amylase (DFA), C-reactive protein (C-RP), and serum amylase were examined from postoperative-day (POD) 1 to 3. Biochemical leak (BL), POPF, POH, and post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) were defined and graded according to ISGPS definitions. RESULTS: In total 1192 patients were included. Overall rates of POH and POPF were 18% (n= 210) and 29% (n= 344), respectively. The presence of DFA ≥2000 U/L on POD 1 (OR=2.11, 95% CI 1.68-2.86), C-RP ≥200 mg/L on POD 3 (OR=2.19, 95% CI 1.68-2.86), and POH (OR=1.58, 95% CI 1.14-2.19) were all independent early predictors of POPF (all P< 0.01). The presence of POH almost doubled the rate of POPF (43% vs. 26%, P<0.001), and higher POPF severity presented also higher POH rates (no POPF= 12%; BL= 19%; B POPF= 24%; C POPF= 52%). Among patients developing POPF, patients with POH had higher rates of PPH (22% vs 9%, P= 0.001), sepsis (24% vs 13%; P=0.011), re-operation (21% vs 8%; P< 0.01), and mortality (3% vs 0.3%; P= 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of POH is an early predictor of POPF and its severity after DP. The diagnosis of POH might define patients at higher risk for a complicated course, targeting them for prevention / mitigation strategies against pancreas specific complications.

The 2023 MANCTRA Acute Biliary Pancreatitis Care Bundle: A Joint Effort Between Human Knowledge and Artificial Intelligence (ChatGPT) to Optimize the Care of Patients With Acute Biliary Pancreatitis in Western Countries.

OBJECTIVE: To generate an up-to-date bundle to manage acute biliary pancreatitis using an evidence-based, artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted GRADE method. BACKGROUND: A care bundle is a set of core elements of care that are distilled from the most solid evidence-based practice guidelines and recommendations. METHODS: The research questions were addressed in this bundle following the PICO criteria. The working group summarized the effects of interventions with the strength of recommendation and quality of evidence applying the GRADE methodology. ChatGPT AI system was used to independently assess the quality of evidence of each element in the bundle, together with the strength of the recommendations. RESULTS: The 7 elements of the bundle discourage antibiotic prophylaxis in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis, support the use of a full-solid diet in patients with mild to moderately severe acute biliary pancreatitis, and recommend early enteral nutrition in patients unable to feed by mouth. The bundle states that endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography should be performed within the first 48 to 72 hours of hospital admission in patients with cholangitis. Early laparoscopic cholecystectomy should be performed in patients with mild acute biliary pancreatitis. When operative intervention is needed for necrotizing pancreatitis, this should start with the endoscopic step-up approach. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a new care bundle with 7 key elements for managing patients with acute biliary pancreatitis. This new bundle, whose scientific strength has been increased thanks to the alliance between human knowledge and AI from the new ChatGPT software, should be introduced to emergency departments, wards, and intensive care units.

REDISCOVER International Guidelines on the Perioperative Care of Surgical Patients With Borderline-resectable and Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: The REDISCOVER consensus conference aimed at developing and validating guidelines on the perioperative care of patients with borderline-resectable (BR-) and locally advanced (LA) pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). BACKGROUND: Coupled with improvements in chemotherapy and radiation, the contemporary approach to pancreatic surgery supports the resection of BR-PDAC and, to a lesser extent, LA-PDAC. Guidelines outlining the selection and perioperative care for these patients are lacking. METHODS: The Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) methodology was used to develop the REDISCOVER guidelines and create recommendations. The Delphi approach was used to reach a consensus (agreement ≥80%) among experts. Recommendations were approved after a debate and vote among international experts in pancreatic surgery and pancreatic cancer management. A Validation Committee used the AGREE II-GRS tool to assess the methodological quality of the guidelines. Moreover, an independent multidisciplinary advisory group revised the statements to ensure adherence to nonsurgical guidelines. RESULTS: Overall, 34 recommendations were created targeting centralization, training, staging, patient selection for surgery, possibility of surgery in uncommon scenarios, timing of surgery, avoidance of vascular reconstruction, details of vascular resection/reconstruction, arterial divestment, frozen section histology of perivascular tissue, extent of lymphadenectomy, anticoagulation prophylaxis, and role of minimally invasive surgery. The level of evidence was however low for 29 of 34 clinical questions. Participants agreed that the most conducive means to promptly advance our understanding in this field is to establish an international registry addressing this patient population ( https://rediscover.unipi.it/ ). CONCLUSIONS: The REDISCOVER guidelines provide clinical recommendations pertaining to pancreatectomy with vascular resection for patients with BR-PDAC and LA-PDAC, and serve as the basis of a new international registry for this patient population.

Surveillance for Presumed BD-IPMN of the Pancreas: Stability, Size, and Age Identify Targets for Discontinuation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Currently, most patients with branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) are offered indefinite surveillance, resulting in health care costs with questionable benefits regarding cancer prevention. This study sought to identify patients in whom the risk of cancer is equivalent to an age-matched population, thereby justifying discontinuation of surveillance. METHODS: International multicenter study involving presumed BD-IPMN without worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) at diagnosis who underwent surveillance. Clusters of individuals at risk for cancer development were defined according to cyst size and stability for at least 5 years, and age-matched controls were used for comparison using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for pancreatic cancer. RESULTS: Of 3844 patients with presumed BD-IPMN, 775 (20.2%) developed WFs and 68 (1.8%) HRS after a median surveillance of 53 (interquartile range 53) months. Some 164 patients (4.3%) underwent surgery. Of the overall cohort, 1617 patients (42%) remained stable without developing WFs or HRS for at least 5 years. In patients 75 years or older, the SIR was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.23-3.39), and in patients 65 years or older with stable lesions smaller than 15 mm in diameter after 5 years, the SIR was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.11-3.42). The all-cause mortality for patients who did not develop WFs or HRS for at least 5 years was 4.9% (n = 79), and the disease-specific mortality was 0.3% (n = 5). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of developing pancreatic malignancy in presumed BD-IPMN without WFs or HRS after 5 years of surveillance is comparable to that of the general population depending on cyst size and patient age. Surveillance discontinuation could be justified after 5 years of stability in patients older than 75 years with cysts <30 mm, and in patients 65 years or older who have cysts ≤15 mm.

Outcomes after distal pancreatectomy with or without splenectomy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm: international multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND: International guidelines on intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) recommend a formal oncological resection including splenectomy when distal pancreatectomy is indicated. This study aimed to compare oncological and surgical outcomes after distal pancreatectomy with or without splenectomy in patients with presumed IPMN. METHODS: An international, retrospective cohort study was undertaken in 14 high-volume centres from 7 countries including consecutive patients after distal pancreatectomy for IPMN (2005-2019). Patients were divided into spleen-preserving distal pancreatectomy (SPDP) and distal pancreatectomy with splenectomy (DPS). The primary outcome was lymph node metastasis (LNM). Secondary outcomes were overall survival, duration of operation, blood loss, and secondary splenectomy. RESULTS: Overall, 700 patients were included after distal pancreatectomy for IPMN; 123 underwent SPDP (17.6%) and 577 DPS (82.4%). The rate of malignancy was 29.6% (137 patients) and the overall rate of LNM 6.7% (47 patients). Patients with preoperative suspicion of malignancy had a LNM rate of 17.2% (23 of 134) versus 4.3% (23 of 539) among patients without suspected malignancy (P < 0.001). Overall, SPDP was associated with a shorter operating time (median 180 versus 226 min; P = 0.001), less blood loss (100 versus 336 ml; P = 0.001), and shorter hospital stay (5 versus 8 days; P < 0.001). No significant difference in overall survival was observed between SPDP and DPS for IPMN after correction for prognostic factors (HR 0.50, 95% c.i. 0.22 to 1.18; P = 0.504). CONCLUSION: This international cohort study found LNM in 6.7% of patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy for IPMN. In patients without preoperative suspicion of malignancy, SPDP seemed oncologically safe and was associated with improved short-term outcomes compared with DPS.

Association of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features with advanced neoplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN): A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: This systematic review aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines (ICG2017) in identifying high-risk lesions of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs). METHODS: The ICG2017 revision committee conducted a comprehensive literature review to establish evidence-based statements on IPMNs. The review focused on articles examining the diagnostic value of imaging features (e.g., cyst or main pancreatic duct diameter), clinical symptoms associated with IPMN, and serum biomarkers. Five clinical questions regarding high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF) in the ICG2017 guidelines were addressed. RESULTS: A total of 210 articles were reviewed. The findings revealed a significant association between the presence of mural nodules ≥5 mm in diameter or solid components with contrast enhancement and the diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Contrast-enhanced diagnostic tools, such as CT, MRI, or EUS, demonstrated the highest prediction rate and were recommended. Positive cytology was identified as an HRS, while symptoms like acute pancreatitis and cyst diameter growth ≥2.5 mm per year were considered WFs. The use of nomograms and multiple diagnostic factors was recommended for optimal IPMN management. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review provides evidence supporting the improved diagnostic accuracy of ICG2017 in identifying high-risk lesions of IPMN. The multidisciplinary incorporation of HRS and WF based on imaging findings and clinical symptoms is crucial. These findings should inform the revision of ICG2017, enhancing the evaluation and management of IPMN patients. By implementing these recommendations, clinicians can make more informed decisions, leading to better diagnosis and treatment outcomes for high-risk IPMN cases.

Implications of pregnancy on MCN of the pancreas: A multicentric case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) of the pancreas express estrogen and progesterone receptors. Several case reports describe MCN increasing in size during gestation. The aim of this study is to assess if pregnancy is a risk factor for malignant degeneration of MCN. METHODS: All female patients who underwent pancreatic resection of a MCN between 2011 and 2021 were included. MCN resected or diagnosed within 12 months of gestation were defined perigestational. MCN with high grade dysplasia or an invasive component were classified in the high grade (HG) group. The primary outcome was defined as the correlation between exposure to gestation and peri-gestational MCN to development of HG-MCN. RESULTS: The study includes 176 patients, 25 (14 %) forming the HG group, and 151 (86 %) forming the low grade (LG) group. LG and HG groups had a similar distribution of systemic contraceptives use (26 % vs. 16 %, p = 0.262), and perigestational MCN (7 % vs 16 %, p = 0.108). At univariate analysis cyst size ≥10 cm (OR 5.3, p < 0.001) was associated to HG degeneration. Peri gestational MCN positively correlated with cyst size (R = 0.18, p = 0.020). In the subgroup of 14 perigestational MCN patients 29 % had HG-MCN and 71 % experienced cyst growth during gestation with an average growth of 55.1 ± 18 mm. CONCLUSIONS: Perigestational MCN are associated to increased cyst diameter, and in the subset of patients affected by MCN during gestation a high rate of growth was observed. Patients with a MCN and pregnancy desire should undergo multidisciplinary counselling.

Systematic review on surveillance for non-resected branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas.

BACKGROUND: The management of branch-duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) varies in existing guidelines. This study investigated the optimal surveillance protocol and safe discontinuation of surveillance considering natural history in non-resected IPMN, by systematically reviewing the published literature. METHODS: This review was guided by PRISMA. Research questions were framed in PICO format "CQ1-1: Is size criteria helpful to determine surveillance period? CQ1-2: How often should surveillance be carried out? CQ1-3: When should surveillance be discontinued? CQ1-4: Is nomogram predicting malignancy useful during surveillance?". PubMed was searched from January-April 2022. RESULTS: The search generated 2373 citations. After screening, 83 articles were included. Among them, 33 studies were identified for CQ1-1, 19 for CQ1-2, 26 for CQ1-3 and 12 for CQ1-4. Cysts <1.5 or 2 cm without worrisome features (WF) were described as more indolent, and most studies advised an initial period of surveillance. The median growth rate of cysts <2 cm ranged from 0.23 to 0.6 mm/year. Patients with cysts <2 cm showing no morphological changes and no WF after 5-years of surveillance have minimal malignancy risk of 0-2%. Two nomograms created with over 1000 patients had AUCs of around 0.8 and appear to be feasible in a real-world practice. CONCLUSIONS: For patients with suspected BD-IPMN <2 cm and no other WF, less frequent surveillance is recommended. Surveillance may be discontinued for cysts that remain stable during 5-year surveillance, with consideration of patient condition and life expectancy. With this updated surveillance strategy, patients with non-worrisome BD-IPMN should expect more streamlined management and decreased healthcare utilization.

Quantitative edge analysis of pancreatic margins in patients with head pancreatic tumors: correlations between pancreatic margins and the onset of postoperative pancreatic fistula.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the correlation between pancreatic quantitative edge analysis as a surrogate of parenchymal stiffness and the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS: All consecutive patients who underwent PD at our Institution between March 2018 and November 2019 with an available preoperative CT were included. Pancreatic margin score (PMS) was calculated through computer-assisted quantitative edge analysis on the margins of the pancreatic body and tail (the expected pancreatic remnant) on non-contrast scans with in-house software. Intraoperative assessment of pancreatic stiffness by manual palpation was also performed, classifying pancreatic texture into soft and non-soft. PMS values were compared between groups using an unpaired T-test and correlated with the intraoperative evaluation of stiffness and with the grading of postoperative pancreatic fistula according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS). RESULTS: Patient population included 200 patients (mean age 64.6 years), 146 without onset of POPF (73%, non-POPF group), and 54 with POPF (27%, POPF group). A significant difference in PMS values was observed between POPF and non-POPF (respectively 1.88 ± 0.05 vs 0.69 ± 0.01; p < 0.0001). PMS values of pancreatic parenchymas intraoperatively considered "soft" were significantly higher than those evaluated as "non-soft" (1.21 ± 0.04 vs 0.73 ± 0.02; p < 0.0001). A significant correlation between PMS values and POPF grade was observed (r = 0.8316), even in subgroups of patients with soft (r = 0.8016) and non-soft (r = 0.7602) pancreas (all p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative edge analysis with dedicated software may stratify patients with different pancreatic stiffness, thus potentially improving preoperative risk assessment and strategies for POPF mitigation. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: This study proposes quantitative pancreas edge analysis as a predictor for postoperative pancreatic fistula. The test has high accuracy and correlation with fistula grade according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery. KEY POINTS: • Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) onset risk after pancreaticoduodenectomy is based only on intraoperative evaluation. • Quantitative edge analysis may preoperatively identify patients with higher risk of POPF. • Quantification of pancreatic stiffness through the analysis of pancreatic margins could be done on preoperative CT.

Early and Sustained Elevation in Serum Pancreatic Amylase Activity: A Novel Predictor of Morbidity After Pancreatic Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize early postoperative serum pancreatic amylase (spAMY) trends after pancreatic resections. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: A postoperative spAMY elevation is a common finding but uncertainties remain about its meaning and prognostic implications. METHODS: Analysis of patients who consecutively underwent pancreatectomy from 2016 to 2019. spAMY activity was assessed from postoperative day (POD) 0 to 3. Different patterns of spAMY have been identified based on the spAMY standard range (10-52 U/l). RESULTS: Three patterns were identified: (#1) spAMY values always < the lower limit of normal/within the reference range /a single increase in spAMY > upper limit of normal at any POD; (#2) Sustained increase in spAMY activity on POD 0 + 1; (#3) Sustained increase in spAMY activity including POD 1 + 2. Shifting through spAMY patterns was associated with increase morbidity (21% in #1 to 68% in #3 at POD 7; log rank < 0.001). Almost all severe complications (at least Clavien-Dindo ≥3) occurred in patients with pattern #3 (15% vs 3% vs 5% in #1 and #2 at POD 7, P = 0.006), without difference considering >3-times or >the spAMY normal limit ( P = 0.85). POPF (9% in #1 vs 48% in #3, P < 0.001) progressively increased across patterns. Pre-operative diabetes (OR 0.19), neoadjuvant therapy (OR 0.22), pancreatic texture (OR 8.8), duct size (OR 0.78), and final histology (OR 2.2) were independent predictors of pattern #3. CONCLUSIONS: A sustained increase in spAMY activity including POD 1 + 2 (#3) represents an early postoperative predictor of overall and severe early morbidity. An early and dynamic evaluation of spAMY could crucially impact the subsequent clinical course with relevant prognostic implications.

Intraoperative Blood Loss Estimation in Hepato-pancreato-biliary Surgery- Relevant, Not Reported, Not Standardized: Results From a Systematic Review and a Worldwide Snapshot Survey.

OBJECTIVE: To provide an overview of the current practice of intraoperative blood loss (BL) estimation in hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) surgery. BACKGROUND: Intraoperative BL is a major quality marker in HPB surgery and a predictor of perioperative outcomes. However, the method for BL estimation is not standardized. METHODS: A systematic review was performed of original studies published between 2006 and 2021 reporting the intraoperative BL of patients undergoing pancreatic or hepatic resections. A web-based snapshot survey was distributed globally to all members of the International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association (IHPBA). RESULTS: A total of 806 studies were included; 480 (60%) had BL as their primary outcome, and 105 (13%) had BL as their secondary outcome. However, 669 (83%) did not specify how BL estimation was performed, and 9 different methods were found among the remaining 136 (17%) studies.The survey was completed by 252 surgeons. Most of the responders (94%) declared that they systematically performed BL estimation and considered BL predictive of postoperative complications after pancreatic (73%) and liver (74%) resection. All methods previously identified in the literature were used by responders with different frequencies. A calculation based on suction fluid amounts, operative gauze weight, and irrigation was the most used method in the literature (7%) and among responders (51%). Most responders (83%) felt that BL estimation in HPB surgery needs improved standardization. CONCLUSIONS: Standardization of intraoperative BL estimation is urgently needed in HPB surgery to ensure the consistency of reporting and reproducibility.

Postoperative Serum Hyperamylasemia Adds Sequential Value to the Fistula Risk Score in Predicting Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreatoduodenectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether postoperative serum hyperamylasemia (POH), with drain fluid amylase (DFA) and C-reactive protein (CRP), improves the Fistula Risk Score (FRS) accuracy in assessing the risk of a postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The FRS predicts POPF occurrence using intraoperative predictors with good accuracy but intrinsic limits. METHODS: Outcomes of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomies between 2016 and 2021 were evaluated across FRS-risk zones and POH occurrence. POH consists of serum amylase activity greater than the upper limit of normal (52 U/l), persisting within the first 48 hours postoperatively (postoperative day -POD- 1 and 2). RESULTS: Out of 905 pancreaticoduodenectomies, some FRS elements, namely soft pancreatic texture (odds ratio (OR) 11.6), pancreatic duct diameter (OR 0.80), high-risk pathologic diagnosis (OR 1.54), but not higher blood loss (OR 0.99), were associated with POH. POH was an independent predictor of POPF, which occurred in 46.8% of POH cases ( P <0.001). Once POH occurs, POPF incidence rises from 3.8% to 42.9%, 22.9% to 41.7%, and 48.9% to 59.2% in patients intraoperatively classified at low, moderate and high FRS risk, respectively. The predictive ability of multivariable models adding POD 1 drain fluid amylase, POD 1-2 POH and POD 3 C-reactive protein to the FRS showed progressively and significantly higher accuracy (AUC FRS=0.82, AUC FRS-DFA=0.85, AUC FRS-DFA-POH=0.87, AUC FRS-DFA-POH-CRP=0.90, DeLong always P <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: POPF risk assessment should follow a dynamic process. The stepwise retrieval of early, postoperative biological markers improves clinical risk stratification by increasing the granularity of POPF risk estimates and affords a possible therapeutic window before the actual morbidity of POPF occurs.

Either High or Low Risk: The Acinar Score at the Resection Margin Dichotomizes the Risk Spectrum of Pancreas-specific Complications After Pancreatoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic acinar content (Ac) has been associated with pancreas-specific complications after pancreatoduodenectomy. The aim of this study was to improve the prediction ability of intraoperative risk stratification by integrating the pancreatic acinar score. METHODS: A training and validation cohort underwent pancreatoduodenectomy with a subsequent histologic assessment of pancreatic section margins for Ac, fibrosis (Fc), and fat. Intraoperative risk stratification (pancreatic texture, duct diameter) and pancreas-specific complications (postoperative hyperamylasemia [POH], postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis [PPAP], pancreatic fistula [POPF]) were classified according to ISGPS definitions. RESULTS: In the validation cohort (n= 373), the association of pancreas-specific complications with higher Ac and lower Fc was replicated (all P <0.001). In the entire cohort (n= 761), the ISGPS classification allocated 275 (36%) patients into intermediate-risk classes B (POH 32%/PPAP 3%/POPF 17%) and C (POH 36%/PPAP 9%/POPF 33%). Using the acinar score (Ac ≥60% and/or Fc ≤10%), intermediate-risk patients could be dichotomized into a low-risk (POH 5%/PPAP 1%/POPF 6%) and a high-risk (POH 51%/PPAP 9%/POPF 38%) group (all P <0.001). The acinar score AUC for POPF prediction was 0.70 in the ISGPS intermediate-risk classes. Overall, 239 (31%) patients were relocated into the high-risk group from lower ISGPS risk classes using the acinar score. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of pancreas-specific complications appears to be dichotomous-either high or low-according to the acinar score, a tool to better target the application of mitigation strategies in cases of intermediate macroscopic features.

Pancreatic Enucleation Patients Share the Same Quality of Life as the General Population at Long-Term Follow-Up: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess short- and long-term outcomes including quality of life (QoL) following pancreatic enucleation (PE). BACKGROUND: PE is deemed to preserve both the endocrine and the exocrine function while ensuring radicality. However, to assess whether this reflects an actual benefit perceived by patients, QoL has to be considered. METHODS: Data from all consecutive patients undergoing PE from January 2010 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Surgical outcomes were graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification, and EORTC-C30 and the EORTC-Pan26 were administered as a cross-sectional assessment of QoL. A control group consisting of healthy individuals from the general population was obtained and matched using the propensity score matching method. RESULTS: Eighty-one patients underwent PE using the open (59.3%), laparoscopic (27.2%), or robot-assisted (13.5%) approach. Sixty-five (80.2%) patients exhibited functioning/nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors at final pathology.Surgical morbidity and complications of a Clavien-Dindo grade ≥3 were 48.1% and 16.0%, respectively. In-hospital mortality was 0%. Postoperative pancreatic fistula, post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage, and delayed gastric emptying rates were 21.0%, 9.9%, and 4.9%, respectively.Patients returned the questionnaires after a median of 74.2 months from the index surgery. Postoperative new onset of diabetes mellitus (NODM) was observed in 5 subjects (7.1%), with age being an independent predictor. Seven patients (10.0%) developed postoperative exocrine insufficiency. At the analysis of QoL, all function and symptom scales were comparable between the 2 groups, except for 2 of the EORTC-Pan 26 symptom scales, ("worries for the future" and "body image", P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Despite being associated with significant postoperative morbidity, PE provides excellent long-term outcomes. The risk of NODM is low and related to patient age, with QoL being comparable to the general population. Such information should drive surgeons to pursue PE whenever properly indicated.

A Simple Classification of Pancreatic Duct Size and Texture Predicts Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula: A classification of the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to develop a classification system for pancreas-associated risk factors in pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the most relevant PD-associated complication. A simple standardized surgical reporting system based on pancreas-associated risk factors is lacking. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted to identify studies investigating clinically relevant (CR) POPF (CR-POPF) and pancreas-associated risk factors after PD. A meta-analysis of CR-POPF rate for texture of the pancreas (soft vs not-soft) and main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter was performed using the Mantel-Haenszel method. Based on the results, the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) proposes the following classification: A, not-soft (hard) texture and MPD >3 mm; B, not-soft (hard) texture and MPD ≤3 mm; C, soft texture and MPD >3 mm; D, soft texture and MPD ≤3 mm. The classification was evaluated in a multi-institutional, international cohort. RESULTS: Of the 2917 articles identified, 108 studies were included in the analyses. Soft pancreatic texture was significantly associated with the development of CR-POPF [odds ratio (OR) 4.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.67-4.89, P < 0.01) following PD. Similarly, MPD diameter ≤3 mm significantly increased CR-POPF risk compared with >3 mm diameter MPDs (OR 3.66, 95% CI 2.62-5.12, P < 0.01). The proposed 4-stage system was confirmed in an independent cohort of 5533 patients with CR-POPF rates of 3.5%, 6.2%, 16.6%, and 23.2% for type A-D, respectively ( P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: For future pancreatic surgical outcomes studies, the ISGPS recommends reporting these risk factors according to the proposed classification system for better comparability of results.

Distal Pancreatectomy Fistula Risk Score (D-FRS): Development and International Validation.

OBJECTIVE: To develop 2 distinct preoperative and intraoperative risk scores to predict postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP) to improve preventive and mitigation strategies, respectively. BACKGROUND: POPF remains the most common complication after DP. Despite several known risk factors, an adequate risk model has not been developed yet. METHODS: Two prediction risk scores were designed using data of patients undergoing DP in 2 Italian centers (2014-2016) utilizing multivariable logistic regression. The preoperative score (calculated before surgery) aims to facilitate preventive strategies and the intraoperative score (calculated at the end of surgery) aims to facilitate mitigation strategies. Internal validation was achieved using bootstrapping. These data were pooled with data from 5 centers from the United States and the Netherlands (2007-2016) to assess discrimination and calibration in an internal-external validation procedure. RESULTS: Overall, 1336 patients after DP were included, of whom 291 (22%) developed POPF. The preoperative distal fistula risk score (preoperative D-FRS) included 2 variables: pancreatic neck thickness [odds ratio: 1.14; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-1.17 per mm increase] and pancreatic duct diameter (OR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.32-1.65 per mm increase). The model performed well with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.78-0.88) and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.76) upon internal-external validation. Three risk groups were identified: low risk (<10%), intermediate risk (10%-25%), and high risk (>25%) for POPF with 238 (18%), 684 (51%), and 414 (31%) patients, respectively. The intraoperative risk score (intraoperative D-FRS) added body mass index, pancreatic texture, and operative time as variables with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.74-0.85). CONCLUSIONS: The preoperative and the intraoperative D-FRS are the first validated risk scores for POPF after DP and are readily available at: http://www.pancreascalculator.com . The 3 distinct risk groups allow for personalized treatment and benchmarking.

No role for protease inhibitors as a mitigation strategy for postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP): Propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: While the use of protease inhibitor gabexate mesylate (GM) is still controversial in acute pancreatitis, it has never been tested for postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP). This study aims to assess the impact of GM on postoperative serum hyperamylasaemia (POH) or PPAP after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS: Consecutive patients developing POH after PD between 2016 and 2021 were included. According to GM administration, patients were divided into GM-treated and control (CTR) groups. GM was administered from postoperative day 1-3 in POH patients who underwent surgery before 2017. A 2:1 propensity matching was used to minimize the risk of bias. RESULTS: Overall, 264 patients with POH were stratified in the GM (59 patients) and CTR (104 patients) cohorts, which showed balanced baseline characteristics after matching. No difference in postoperative complications was observed between the groups (all p > 0.05), except for PPAP occurrence, which was significantly higher in the GM group (37% vs. 22%, p = 0.037). A total of 45 patients (28%) evolved to PPAP. Comparing PPAP patients in the GM and CTR groups, no significant differences in POPF, relaparotomy, and mortality (all p > 0.09) were found. No difference in intravenous crystalloid administration was found in patients with PPAP, whether or not they developed major complications or pancreatic fistula (p > 0.05) CONCLUSION: Protease inhibitor seems ineffective in preventing a PPAP after PD once a POH has occurred. Further studies are needed to achieve benchmarks for treating PPAP and identify mitigation strategies to prevent the evolution of POH into additional morbidity.

Nationwide validation of the distal fistula risk score (D-FRS).

PURPOSE: Distal pancreatectomy (DP) is associated with a high complication rate of 30-50% with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) as a dominant contributor. Adequate risk estimation for POPF enables surgeons to use a tailor-made approach. Assessment of the risk of POPF prior to DP can lead to the application of preventive strategies. The current study aims to validate the recently published preoperative and intraoperative distal fistula risk score (D-FRS) in a nationwide cohort. METHODS: This nationwide retrospective Dutch cohort study included all patients after DP for any indication, all of whom were registered in the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit (DPCA) database between 2013 and 2021. The D-FRS was validated by filling in the probability equations with data from this cohort. The predictive capacity of the models was represented by an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS: A total of 896 patients underwent DP of which 152 (17%) developed POPF of whom 144 grade B (95%) and 8 grade C (5%). The preoperative D-FRS, consisting of the variables pancreatic neck thickness and pancreatic duct diameter, showed an AUROC of 0.73 (95%CI 0.68-0.78). The intraoperative D-FRS, comprising pancreatic neck, duct diameter, BMI, operating time, and soft pancreatic aspect, showed an AUROC of 0.69 (95%CI 0.64-0.74). CONCLUSION: The current study is the first nationwide validation of the preoperative and intraoperative D-FRS showing acceptable distinguishing capacity for only the preoperative D-FRS for POPF. Therefore, the preoperative score could improve prevention and mitigation strategies such as drain management, which is currently investigated in the multicenter PANDORINA trial.

It is not necessary to resect all mucinous cystic neoplasms of the pancreas: current guidelines do not reflect the actual risk of malignancy.

BACKGROUND: Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms (MCN) of the pancreas are premalignant cysts for which current guidelines support pancreatic resection. The primary aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to define the pooled rate of malignancy for MCN. METHODS: A systematic review of eligible studies published between 2000 and 2021 was performed on PubMed and Embase. Primary outcome was rate of malignancy. Data regarding high-risk features, including cyst size and mural nodules, were collected and analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 40 studies and 3292 patients with resected MCN were included in the final analysis. The pooled rate of malignancy was 16.1% (95%CI 13.1-19.0). The rate of malignant MCN in studies published before 2012 was significantly higher than that of studies published after recent guidelines were published (21.0% vs 14.9%, p < 0.001). Malignant MCN were larger than benign (mean difference 25.9 mm 95%CI 14.50-37.43, p < 0.001) with a direct correlation between size and presence of malignant MCN (R2 = 0.28, p = 0.020). A SROC identified a threshold of 65 mm to be associated with the diagnosis of malignant MCN. Presence of mural nodules was associated with the diagnosis of a malignant MCN (OR = 4.34, 95%CI 3.00-6.29, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Whereas guidelines recommend resection of all MCN, the rate of malignancy in resected MCN is 16%, implying that surveillance has a role in most cases, and that surgical selection criteria are warranted. Size and presence of mural nodules are significantly associated with an increased risk of malignant degeneration, small MCN and without mural nodules can be considered for surveillance.