Mechanism-Based Modeling of Perioperative Variations in Hemoglobin Concentration in Patients Undergoing Laparoscopic Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Hemoglobin concentration ([Hb]) in the perioperative setting should be interpreted in the context of the variables and processes that may affect it to differentiate the dilution effects caused by changes in intravascular volume. However, it is unclear what variables and processes affect [Hb]. Here, we modeled the perioperative variations in [Hb] to identify the variables and processes that govern [Hb] and to describe their effects. METHODS: We first constructed a mechanistic framework based on the main variables and processes related to the perioperative [Hb] variations. We then prospectively studied patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery, divided into 2 consecutive cohorts for the development and validation of the model. The study protocol consisted of serial measurements of [Hb] along with recordings of hemoglobin mass loss, blood volume loss, fluid infusion, urine volume, and inflammatory biomarkers measurements, up to 96 hours postoperatively. Mathematical fitting was performed using nonlinear mixed-effects. Additionally, we performed simulations to explore the effects of blood loss and fluid therapy protocols on [Hb]. RESULTS: We studied 154 patients: 118 enrolled in the development group and 36 in the validation group. We characterized the perioperative course of [Hb] using a mass balance model that accounted for hemoglobin losses during surgery, and a 2-compartment model that estimated fluid kinetics and intravascular volume changes. During model development, we found that urinary fluid elimination represented only 24% of the total fluid elimination, and that total fluid elimination was inhibited after surgery in a time-dependent manner and influenced by age. Also, covariate evaluation showed a significant association between the type of surgery and proportion of fluid eliminated via urine. In contrast, neither the type of infused solution, blood volume loss nor inflammatory biomarkers were found to correlate with model parameters. In the validation analysis, the model demonstrated a considerable predictive capacity, with 95% of the predicted [Hb] within -4.4 and +5.5 g/L. Simulations demonstrated that hemoglobin mass loss determined most of the postoperative changes in [Hb], while intravascular volume changes due to fluid infusion, distribution, and elimination induced smaller but clinically relevant variations. Simulated patients receiving standard fluid therapy protocols exhibited a hemodilution effect that resulted in a [Hb] decrease between 7 and 15 g/L at the end of surgery, and which was responsible for the lowest [Hb] value during the perioperative period. CONCLUSIONS: Our model provides a mechanistic and quantitative understanding of the causes underlying the perioperative [Hb] variations.

Comparison of two pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic models of rocuronium bromide during profound neuromuscular block: analysis of estimated and measured post-tetanic count effect.

BACKGROUND: Profound neuromuscular block (NMB) is important in surgeries where complete immobility is considered essential to improve tracheal intubation and surgical conditions. Rocuronium bromide is a commonly used NMB agent. This work describes a noninvasive approach for estimation of post-tetanic count (PTC) based on two pharmacokinetic (PK) models, the Saldien and the De Haes models. The aim was to investigate the rocuronium bromide PK-pharmacodynamic (PD) relationship in estimating the PTC effect during profound NMB. METHODS: In this prospective, non-randomised, observational study, an induction bolus of rocuronium bromide was administered followed by continuous infusion for maintenance of a PTC of 1-2. measured every 3 min. Measurements were analysed as discrete categorical data and by applying the nonlinear mixed-effect modelling approach. Performance of the selected models was evaluated through simulation model-based diagnostics, further assessing the precision of the parameter estimates and the performance of the models at the individual level. RESULTS: Data from 30 adult patients undergoing elective abdominal or neurosurgical procedures were included. Post-tetanic count response profiles during rocuronium bromide infusion were successfully characterised using the population PD analysis. The models showed a good performance for all PTC categories, albeit with a moderate over-prediction of PTC >6. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that using plasma concentrations of rocuronium bromide estimated with either of the two models, combined with a PD model, provides equal model performance when predicting PTC. These promising results may provide an important advance in guiding rocuronium bromide administration when profound NMB in routine clinical practice is desired.

Pharmacological Probes to Validate Biomarkers for Analgesic Drug Development.

There is an urgent need for analgesics with improved efficacy, especially in neuropathic and other chronic pain conditions. Unfortunately, in recent decades, many candidate analgesics have failed in clinical phase II or III trials despite promising preclinical results. Translational assessment tools to verify engagement of pharmacological targets and actions on compartments of the nociceptive system are missing in both rodents and humans. Through the Innovative Medicines Initiative of the European Union and EFPIA, a consortium of researchers from academia and the pharmaceutical industry was established to identify and validate a set of functional biomarkers to assess drug-induced effects on nociceptive processing at peripheral, spinal and supraspinal levels using electrophysiological and functional neuroimaging techniques. Here, we report the results of a systematic literature search for pharmacological probes that allow for validation of these biomarkers. Of 26 candidate substances, only 7 met the inclusion criteria: evidence for nociceptive system modulation, tolerability, availability in oral form for human use and absence of active metabolites. Based on pharmacokinetic characteristics, three were selected for a set of crossover studies in rodents and healthy humans. All currently available probes act on more than one compartment of the nociceptive system. Once validated, biomarkers of nociceptive signal processing, combined with a pharmacometric modelling, will enable a more rational approach to selecting dose ranges and verifying target engagement. Combined with advances in classification of chronic pain conditions, these biomarkers are expected to accelerate analgesic drug development.

Population pharmacokinetics of piperacillin in critically ill children including those undergoing continuous kidney replacement therapy.

OBJECTIVES: Despite that piperacillin-tazobactam combination is commonly used in critically ill children, increasing evidence suggests that the current dosing schedules are not optimal for these patients. The aim of this work is to develop a population pharmacokinetic model for piperacillin to evaluate the efficacy of standard dosing in children with and without continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) and to propose alternative dosing schemes maximizing target attainment. METHODS: Four hundred twenty-nine piperacillin concentrations measured in different matrices, obtained from 32 critically ill children (19 without CKRT, 13 with CKRT) receiving 100 mg/kg of piperacillin/tazobactam every 8 hours (increased to 12 hours after the fourth dose) were modelled simultaneously using the population approach with NONMEM 7.4. The percentage of patients with 90% fT > MIC and target attainment (percentage of dosing interval above MIC) were estimated for different intermittent and continuous infusions in the studied population. RESULTS: Piperacillin pharmacokinetic was best described with a two-compartment model. Renal, nonrenal, and hemofilter clearances were found to be influenced by the glomerular filtration rate, height (renal clearance), weight (nonrenal clearance), and filter surface (hemofilter clearance). Only seven (37%) children without CKRT and seven (54%) with CKRT achieved 90% fT > MIC with the current dosing schedule. Of the alternative regimens evaluated, a 24-hour continuous infusion of 200 mg/kg (CKRT) and 300 mg/kg (no CKRT) provided 100% fT > MIC (percent of time free drug remains above the minimum inhibitory concentration) (≤16 mg/L) and target attainments ≥90% across all evaluated MICs. DISCUSSION: In children with and without CKRT, standard dosing failed to provide an adequate systemic exposure, while prolonged and continuous infusions showed an improved efficacy.

Semimechanistic models to relate noxious stimulation, movement, and pupillary dilation responses in the presence of opioids.

Intraoperative targeting of the analgesic effect still lacks an optimal solution. Opioids are currently the main drug used to achieve antinociception, and although underdosing can lead to an increased stress response, overdose can also lead to undesirable adverse effects. To better understand how to achieve the optimal analgesic effect of opioids, we studied the influence of remifentanil on the pupillary reflex dilation (PRD) and its relationship with the reflex movement response to a standardized noxious stimulus. The main objective was to generate population pharmacodynamic models relating remifentanil predicted concentrations to movement and to pupillary dilation during general anesthesia. A total of 78 patients undergoing gynecological surgery under general anesthesia were recruited for the study. PRD and movement response to a tetanic stimulus were measured multiple times before and after surgery. We used nonlinear mixed effects modeling to generate a population pharmacodynamic model to describe both the time profiles of PRD and movement responses to noxious stimulation. Our model demonstrated that movement and PRD are equally depressed by remifentanil. Using the developed model, we changed the intensity of stimulation and simulated remifentanil predicted concentrations maximizing the probability of absence of movement response. An estimated effect site concentration of 2 ng/ml of remifentanil was found to inhibit movement to a tetanic stimulation with a probability of 81%.

Complexity of design in early phase respiratory clinical trials; evaluating impact of primary endpoints and sponsor size.

Asthma and COPD represent most of the clinical trials in the respiratory area. The Primary Endpoint (PE) defines how trials are conducted. We hypothesised that small and mid-sized pharmaceutical companies may be innovative in the selection of their trial endpoints, to be time- and cost-effective. To test this, a record of industry-sponsored phase II trials in asthma, COPD and Asthma/COPD over 11 years was obtained. The type of PE and the influence these had on length, number of subjects and investigational trial sites were evaluated for the different disease categories. Differences in the type of PE used by large versus small/mid-sized companies were found for both asthma and COPD trials (p = 0.011 and 0.025), with sponsorship influencing the conduction of these. In asthma, studies sponsored by large companies were significantly longer than those from smaller companies (p = 0.0001). Additionally, large companies intended to recruit more subjects (asthma: p = 0.0048, COPD: p ≤ 0.0001) and use more investigational sites (asthma: p = 1 × 10-7, COPD: p = 1 × 10-5) than those from small and mid-size companies. A sub-analysis of the time and subject requirements associated with each type of PE did not provide an explanation for the differences observed. In conclusion, this exploratory analysis indicates differences in study size, duration and type of PE used by small/mid-sized and large companies. For some types of endpoints, differences in length and study size were found. However, it wasn't possible to attribute these differences between sponsors solely to the choice of PE, pointing out to the complexity of running clinical trials.