Estimated incubation period distributions of mpox using cases from two international European festivals and outbreaks in a club in Berlin, May to June 2022.

BackgroundSince May 2022, an mpox outbreak affecting primarily men who have sex with men (MSM) has occurred in numerous non-endemic countries worldwide. As MSM frequently reported multiple sexual encounters in this outbreak, reliably determining the time of infection is difficult; consequently, estimation of the incubation period is challenging.AimWe aimed to provide valid and precise estimates of the incubation period distribution of mpox by using cases associated with early outbreak settings where infection likely occurred.MethodsColleagues in European countries were invited to provide information on exposure intervals and date of symptom onset for mpox cases who attended a fetish festival in Antwerp, Belgium, a gay pride festival in Gran Canaria, Spain or a particular club in Berlin, Germany, where early mpox outbreaks occurred. Cases of these outbreaks were pooled; doubly censored models using the log-normal, Weibull and Gamma distributions were fitted to estimate the incubation period distribution.ResultsWe included data on 122 laboratory-confirmed cases from 10 European countries. Depending on the distribution used, the median incubation period ranged between 8 and 9 days, with 5th and 95th percentiles ranging from 2 to 3 and from 20 to 23 days, respectively. The shortest interval that included 50% of incubation periods spanned 8 days (4-11 days).ConclusionCurrent public health management of close contacts should consider that in approximately 5% of cases, the incubation period exceeds the commonly used monitoring period of 21 days.

Invasive pneumococcal disease: association between serotype, clinical presentation and lethality.

To ascertain the factors linked to invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) caused by the different serotypes in the period 2007-2009, following the conjugate vaccine's inclusion in the childhood vaccination schedule, a total of 2013 IPD cases were reviewed. The mean annual incidence in this period was 10.74 cases per 100,000 inhabitans and the lethality was 8.8%. Overall serotype distribution displayed certain peculiarities, such as the high frequency of serotype 5. Serotype 3, male gender, sepsis and presence of risk factors were significantly associated with lethality. Vaccinated children under 5 years of age had a higher risk of disease due to serotype 19A. Serotype 8 was associated with the presence of underlying risk factors.