Incidence and Outcomes of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation in ICUs: Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We aim to describe incidence and outcomes of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) efforts and their outcomes in ICUs and their changes over time. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING: Patient data documented in the Austrian Center for Documentation and Quality Assurance in Intensive Care database. PATIENTS: Adult patients (age ≥ 18 yr) admitted to Austrian ICUs between 2005 and 2019. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS ANDN MAIN RESULTS: Information on CPR was deduced from the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System. End points were overall occurrence rate of CPR in the ICU and CPR for unexpected cardiac arrest after the first day of ICU stay as well as survival to discharge from the ICU and the hospital. Incidence and outcomes of ICU-CPR were compared between 2005 and 2009, 2010 and 2014, and 2015 and 2019 using chi-square test. A total of 525,518 first admissions and readmissions to ICU of 494,555 individual patients were included; of these, 72,585 patients (14.7%) died in hospital. ICU-CPR was performed in 20,668 (3.9%) admissions at least once; first events occurred on the first day of ICU admission in 15,266 cases (73.9%). ICU-CPR was first performed later during ICU stay in 5,402 admissions (1.0%). The incidence of ICU-CPR decreased slightly from 4.4% between 2005 and 2009, 3.9% between 2010 and 2014, and 3.7% between 2015 and 2019 ( p < 0.001). A total of 7,078 (34.5%) of 20,499 patients who received ICU-CPR survived until hospital discharge. Survival rates varied slightly over the observation period; 59,164 (12.0%) of all patients died during hospital stay without ever receiving CPR in the ICU. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of ICU-CPR is approximately 40 in 1,000 admissions overall and approximately 10 in 1,000 admissions after the day of ICU admission. Short-term survival is approximately four out of 10 patients who receive ICU-CPR.

Association of Acute Kidney Injury Receiving Kidney Replacement Therapy With Prognosis of Critically Ill Patients With and Without Cancer: A Retrospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess outcomes of cancer patients receiving kidney replacement therapy due to acute kidney injury in ICUs and compare these with other patient groups receiving kidney replacement therapy in ICUs. DESIGN: Retrospective registry analysis. SETTING: Prospectively collected database of 296,424 ICU patients. PATIENTS: Patients with and without solid cancer with acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy were identified and compared with those without acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy. INTERVENTIONS: Descriptive statistics were used to ascertain prevalence of acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy and solid cancer in ICU patients. Association of acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy and cancer with prognosis was assessed using logistic regression analysis. To compare the attributable mortality of acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy, 20,154 noncancer patients and 2,411 cancer patients without acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy were matched with 12,827 noncancer patients and 1,079 cancer patients with acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Thirty-five thousand three hundred fifty-six ICU patients (11.9%) had solid cancer. Acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy was present in 1,408 (4.0%) cancer patients and 13,637 (5.2%) noncancer patients. Crude ICU and hospital mortality was higher in the cancer group (646 [45.9%] vs 4,674 [34.3%], p < 0.001, and 787 [55.9%] vs 5,935 [43.5%], p < 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analyses, odds ratio (95% CI) for hospital mortality was 1.73 (1.62-1.85) for cancer compared with no cancer 3.57 (3.32-3.83) for acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy and 1.07 (0.86-1.33) for their interaction. In the matched subcohort, attributable hospital mortality of acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy was 56.7% in noncancer patients and 48.0% in cancer patients. CONCLUSIONS: Occurrence rate of acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy and prognosis in ICU patients with solid cancer are comparable with other ICU patient groups. In cancer, acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy is associated with higher crude hospital mortality. However, the specific attributable mortality conveyed by acute kidney injury necessitating kidney replacement therapy is actually lower in cancer patients than in noncancer patients. Diagnosis of cancer per se does not justify withholding kidney replacement therapy.

Weekends affect mortality risk and chance of discharge in critically ill patients: a retrospective study in the Austrian registry for intensive care.

BACKGROUND: In this study, we primarily investigated whether ICU admission or ICU stay at weekends (Saturday and Sunday) is associated with a different risk of ICU mortality or chance of ICU discharge than ICU admission or ICU stay on weekdays (Monday to Friday). Secondarily, we analysed whether weekend ICU admission or ICU stay influences risk of hospital mortality or chance of hospital discharge. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed for all adult patients admitted to 119 ICUs participating in the benchmarking project of the Austrian Centre for Documentation and Quality Assurance in Intensive Care (ASDI) between 2012 and 2015. Readmissions to the ICU during the same hospital stay were excluded. RESULTS: In a multivariable competing risk analysis, a strong weekend effect was observed. Patients admitted to ICUs on Saturday or Sunday had a higher mortality risk after adjustment for severity of illness by Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) 3, year, month of the year, type of admission, ICU, and weekday of death or discharge. Hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for death in the ICU following admission on a Saturday or Sunday compared with Wednesday were 1.15 (1.08-1.23) and 1.11 (1.03-1.18), respectively. Lower hazard ratios were observed for dying on a Saturday (0.93 (0.87-1.00)) or Sunday (0.85 (0.80-0.91)) compared with Wednesday. This is probably related to the reduced chance of being discharged from the ICU at the weekend (0.63 (0.62-064) for Saturday and 0.56 (0.55-0.57) for Sunday). Similar results were found for hospital mortality and hospital discharge following ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: Patients admitted to ICUs at weekends are at increased risk of death in both the ICU and the hospital even after rigorous adjustment for severity of illness. Conversely, death in the ICU and discharge from the ICU are significantly less likely at weekends.

Association of immediate versus delayed extubation of patients admitted to intensive care units postoperatively and outcomes: A retrospective study.

AIM OF THIS STUDY: This study seeks to investigate, whether extubation of tracheally intubated patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) postoperatively either immediately at the day of admission (day 1) or delayed at the first postoperative day (day 2) is associated with differences in outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of data from an Austrian ICU registry. Adult patients admitted between January 1st, 2012 and December 31st, 2019 following elective and emergency surgery, who were intubated at the day 1 and were extubated at day 1 or day 2, were included. We performed logistic regression analyses for in-hospital mortality and over-sedation or agitation following extubation. RESULTS: 52 982 patients constituted the main study population. 1 231 (3.3%) patients extubated at day 1 and 958 (5.9%) at day 2 died in hospital, 464 (1.3%) patients extubated at day 1 and 613 (3.8%) at day 2 demonstrated agitation or over-sedation after extubation during ICU stay; OR (95% CI) for in-hospital mortality were OR 1.17 (1.01-1.35, p = 0.031) and OR 2.15 (1.75-2.65, p<0.001) for agitation or over-sedation. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that immediate extubation as soon as deemed feasible by clinicians is associated with favourable outcomes and may thus be considered preferable in tracheally intubated patients admitted to ICU postoperatively.

Mechanical ventilation with ten versus twenty breaths per minute during cardio-pulmonary resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A randomised controlled trial.

AIM OF THE STUDY: This study sought to assess the effects of increasing the ventilatory rate from 10 min-1 to 20 min-1 using a mechanical ventilator during cardio-pulmonary resuscitation (CPR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) on ventilation, acid-base-status, and outcomes. METHODS: This was a randomised, controlled, single-centre trial in adult patients receiving CPR including advanced airway management and mechanical ventilation offered by staff of a prehospital physician response unit (PRU). Ventilation was conducted using a turbine-driven ventilator (volume-controlled ventilation, tidal volume 6 ml per kg of ideal body weight, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) 0 mmHg, inspiratory oxygen fraction (FiO2) 100%), frequency was pre-set at either 10 or 20 breaths per minute according to week of randomisation. If possible, an arterial line was placed and blood gas analysis was performed. RESULTS: The study was terminated early due to slow recruitment. 46 patients (23 per group) were included. Patients in the 20 min-1 group received higher expiratory minute volumes [8.8 (6.8-9.9) vs. 4.9 (4.2-5.7) litres, p < 0.001] without higher mean airway pressures [11.6 (9.8-13.6) vs. 9.8 (8.5-12.0) mmHg, p = 0.496] or peak airway pressures [42.5 (36.5-45.9) vs. 41.4 (32.2-51.7) mmHg, p = 0.895]. Rates of ROSC [12 of 23 (52%) vs. 11 of 23 (48%), p = 0.768], median pH [6.83 (6.65-7.05) vs. 6.89 (6.80-6.97), p = 0.913], and median pCO2 [78 (51-105) vs. 86 (73-107) mmHg, p > 0.999] did not differ between groups. CONCLUSION: 20 instead of 10 mechanical ventilations during CPR increase ventilation volumes per minute, but do not improve CO2 washout, acidaemia, oxygenation, or rate of ROSC. CLINICALTRIALS: gov Identifier: NCT04657393.

Nationwide analysis of hospital admissions and outcomes of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Austria in 2020 and 2021.

This retrospective study evaluated temporal and regional trends of patient admissions to hospitals, intensive care units (ICU), and intermediate care units (IMCU) as well as outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic in Austria. We analysed anonymous data from patients admitted to Austrian hospitals with COVID-19 between January 1st, 2020 and December 31st, 2021. We performed descriptive analyses and logistic regression analyses for in-hospital mortality, IMCU or ICU admission, and in-hospital mortality following ICU admission. 68,193 patients were included, 8304 (12.3%) were primarily admitted to ICU, 3592 (5.3%) to IMCU. Hospital mortality was 17.3%; risk factors were male sex (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.60-1.75, p < 0.001) and high age (OR 7.86, 95% CI 7.07-8.74, p < 0.001 for 90+ vs. 60-64 years). Mortality was higher in the first half of 2020 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.04-1.27, p = 0.01) and the second half of 2021 (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.05-1.17, p < 0.001) compared to the second half of 2020 and differed regionally. ICU or IMCU admission was most likely between 55 and 74 years, and less likely in younger and older age groups. We find mortality in Austrian COVID-19-patients to be almost linearly associated with age, ICU admission to be less likely in older individuals, and outcomes to differ between regions and over time.

Evaluation of the usefulness of non-invasive serum haemoglobin measurement in a perioperative setting in a prospective observational study.

Patient Blood Management (PBM) programmes seek to reduce the number of missed anaemic patients in the run-up to surgery. The aim of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of haemoglobin (Hb) measured non-invasively (SpHb) in preoperative screening for anaemia. We conducted a prospective observational study in a preoperative clinic. Adult patients undergoing examination for surgery who had their Hb measured by laboratory means also had their Hb measured non-invasively by a trained health care provider. 1216 patients were recruited. A total of 109 (9.3%) patients (53 men and 56 women) was found to be anaemic by standard laboratory Hb measurement. Sensitivity for SpHb to detect anaemic patients was 0.50 (95% CI 0.37-0.63) in women and 0.30 (95% CI 0.18-0.43) in men. Specificity was 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98) in men and 0.93 (95% CI 0.84-1.0) in women. The rate of correctly classified patients was 84.7% for men and 89.4% for women. Positive predictive value for SpHb was 0.50 (95% CI 0.35-0.65) in men and 0.40 (95% CI 0.31-0.50) in women; negative predictive value was 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.94) in men and 0.95 (95% CI 0.94-0.96) in women. We conclude that due to low sensitivity, SpHb is poorly suitable for detecting preoperative anaemia in both sexes under standard of care conditions.

Jejunal tube placement in critically ill patients: A prospective, randomized trial comparing the endoscopic technique with the electromagnetically visualized method.

OBJECTIVE: Head-to-head comparison of the success rate of jejunal placement of a new electromagnetically visualized jejunal tube with that of the endoscopic technique in critically ill patients. DESIGN: : Prospective, randomized clinical trial. SETTING: Two intensive care units at a university hospital. PATIENTS: : A total of 66 critically ill patients not tolerating intragastric nutrition. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were randomly assigned (2:1 ratio) to receive an electromagnetically visualized jejunal feeding tube or an endoscopically placed jejunal tube. The success rate of correct jejunal placement after 24 hrs was the main outcome parameter. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The correct jejunal tube position was reached in 21 of 22 patients using the endoscopic technique and in 40 of 44 patients using the electromagnetically visualized jejunal tube (95% vs. 91%; relative risk 0.9524, confidence interval 0.804-1.127, p = .571). In the remaining four patients, successful endoscopic jejunal tube placement was performed subsequently. The implantation times, times in the right position, and occurrences of nose bleeding were not different between the two groups. The electromagnetically visualized technique resulted in the correct jejunal position more often at the first attempt. Factors associated with successful placement at the first attempt of the electromagnetically visualized jejunal tube seem to be a higher body mass index and absence of emesis. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00500851. CONCLUSIONS: In a head-to-head comparison correct jejunal tube placement using the new electromagnetically visualized method was as fast, safe, and successful as the endoscopic method in a comparative intensive care unit patient population.

[Acute renale failure in burns - causes, consequences and avoidance strategies]. / Akutes Nierenversagen bei Brandverletzten - Ursachen, Konsequenzen und Vermeidungstrategien.

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a common and dangerous complication in intensive care medicine. Especially critical ill patients, who are suffering from major burns, have a high risk to develop ARF as a consequence of their trauma. Many factors, including the trauma itself, the damage of soft tissue and consecutive rhabdomyolysis, the development of the burn illness and therapeutic interventions play also a major role in this context. These circumstances have a major impact on the morbidity and mortality of severely burned patients. The aim of this manuscript is to review the reasons for the development of an ARF in burn patients as well as its consequences; moreover it highlights potential strategies to avoid ARF in critically ill burned patients.

[Disturbances of gastrointestinal motility in intensive care units]. / Gastrointestinale Motilitätsstörungen auf der Intensivstation - Ursachen, Konsequenzen und Therapie.

Maintaining regular function of the intestinal tract is an important prerequisite for successful outcomes in critical illness. Disturbances of gastrointestinal motility are frequently caused by drugs, excessive fluid load, mechanical ventilation, surgical or ischemic damage, and occur frequently in sepsis and SIRS. Impaired gastrointestinal motility may give rise to a vitious circle of enteral nutrition intolerance, edema, and may eventually result in a breakdown of the gastrointestinal barrier. Early diagnosis, patient-adapted treatment and a focus on prophylactic measures are necessary prerequisites to maintain gut function in critically ill patients.

Patient volume affects outcome in critically ill patients.

CONTEXT: A positive relationship between patient volume and outcome has been demonstrated for a variety of clinical conditions and procedures, but the evidence is sparse for critically ill patients. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relationship between patient volume and outcome in a large cohort of critically ill patients. DESIGN: Prospective multicenter cohort study, January 1998 through December 2005. SETTING: 40 intensive care units in Austria. PATIENTS: A total of 83,259 consecutively admitted patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Structural quality of participating ICUs was evaluated using a questionnaire and merged with the prospectively collected data. Volume related indices were then calculated, representing patient turnover, occupancy rate, nursing workload and diagnostic variability. RESULTS: Univariate analysis revealed that several volume variables were associated with outcome: more patients treated per year per bed in the intensive care unit and more patients treated in the same diagnostic category reduced the risk of dying in the hospital (odds ratios, 0.967 and 0.991 for each additional 10 patients treated, respectively). In contrast, an increase in the patient-to-nurse ratio and an increase in the number of diagnostic categories were associated with increased mortality rates. Multivariate analysis confirmed these results. The relationship between the number of patients treated in the same diagnostic category and their outcomes showed not a linear but a U shape, with increasing mortality rates below and above a certain patient volume. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide evidence for a relationship between patient volume and outcome in critically ill patients. Besides the total number of patients, diagnostic variability plays an important role. The relationship between volume and outcome seems, however, to be complex and to be influenced by other variables, such as workload of nursing staff.

[Metabolic alterations in burn trauma - pathophysiology and therapy]. / Metabolische Veränderungen bei Brandverletzten - Pathophysiologie und Therapie.

Compared to other trauma patients, burn trauma victims show alterations that require special attention. The burn trauma modifies several physiologic processes. Metabolic regulation presents itself as one of the major problems. The first part of this review deals with the metabolic pathophysiology of severe burn trauma and its clinical impact. At the end we present possible therapeutic interventions with their mode of action and common side effects.

Time of Day and its Association with Risk of Death and Chance of Discharge in Critically Ill Patients: A Retrospective Study.

Outcomes following admission to intensive care units (ICU) may vary with time and day. This study investigated associations between time of day and risk of ICU mortality and chance of ICU discharge in acute ICU admissions. Adult patients (age ≥ 18 years) who were admitted to ICUs participating in the Austrian intensive care database due to medical or surgical urgencies and emergencies between January 2012 and December 2016 were included in this retrospective study. Readmissions were excluded. Statistical analysis was conducted using the Fine-and-Gray proportional subdistribution hazards model concerning ICU mortality and ICU discharge within 30 days adjusted for SAPS 3 score. 110,628 admissions were analysed. ICU admission during late night and early morning was associated with increased hazards for ICU mortality; HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.08-1.28 for 00:00-03:59, HR: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.05-1.29 for 04:00-07:59. Risk of death in the ICU decreased over the day; lowest HR: 0.475, 95% CI: 0.432-0.522 for 00:00-03:59. Hazards for discharge from the ICU dropped sharply after 16:00; lowest HR: 0.024; 95% CI: 0.019-0.029 for 00:00-03:59. We conclude that there are "time effects" in ICUs. These findings may spark further quality improvement efforts.

Sepsis mortality prediction based on predisposition, infection and response.

OBJECTIVE: To empirically test, based on a large multicenter, multinational database, whether a modified PIRO (predisposition, insult, response, and organ dysfunction) concept could be applied to predict mortality in patients with infection and sepsis. DESIGN: Substudy of a multicenter multinational cohort study (SAPS 3). PATIENTS: A total of 2,628 patients with signs of infection or sepsis who stayed in the ICU for >48 h. Three boxes of variables were defined, according to the PIRO concept. Box 1 (Predisposition) contained information about the patient's condition before ICU admission. Box 2 (Injury) contained information about the infection at ICU admission. Box 3 (Response) was defined as the response to the infection, expressed as a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score after 48 h. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Most of the infections were community acquired (59.6%); 32.5% were hospital acquired. The median age of the patients was 65 (50-75) years, and 41.1% were female. About 22% (n=576) of the patients presented with infection only, 36.3% (n=953) with signs of sepsis, 23.6% (n=619) with severe sepsis, and 18.3% (n=480) with septic shock. Hospital mortality was 40.6% overall, greater in those with septic shock (52.5%) than in those with infection (34.7%). Several factors related to predisposition, infection and response were associated with hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: The proposed three-level system, by using objectively defined criteria for risk of mortality in sepsis, could be used by physicians to stratify patients at ICU admission or shortly thereafter, contributing to a better selection of management according to the risk of death.

Patient safety in intensive care: results from the multinational Sentinel Events Evaluation (SEE) study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess on a multinational level the prevalence and corresponding factors of selected unintended events that compromise patient safety (sentinel events) in intensive care units (ICUs). DESIGN: An observational, 24-h cross-sectional study of incidents in five representative categories. SETTING: 205 ICUs worldwide MEASUREMENTS: Events were reported by intensive care unit staff members with the use of a structured questionnaire. Both ICU- and patient-related factors were assessed. RESULTS: In 1,913 adult patients a total of 584 events affecting 391 patients were reported. During 24 h multiple errors related to medication occurred in 136 patients; unplanned dislodgement or inappropriate disconnection of lines, catheters, and drains in 158; equipment failure in 112; loss, obstruction or leakage of artificial airway in 47; and inappropriate turn-off of alarms in 17. Per 100 patient days, 38.8 (95% confidence interval 34.7-42.9) events were observed. In a multiple logistic regression with ICU as a random component, the following were associated with elevated odds for experiencing a sentinel event: any organ failure (odds ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.28), a higher intensity in level of care (odds ratio 1.62, 95% confidence interval 1.18-2.22), and time of exposure (odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.08). CONCLUSIONS: Sentinel events related to medication, indwelling lines, airway, and equipment failure in ICUs occur with considerable frequency. Although patient safety is recognised as a serious issue in many ICUs, there is an urgent need for development and implementation of strategies for prevention and early detection of errors.

Predictors of early recovery of health status after intensive care.

OBJECTIVE: To identify factors predictive of good or poor recovery of health status and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) 90 days after admission to an intensive care unit (ICU). DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective international multicentre study in 19 ICUs participating in the HRQOL substudy of the SAPS 3 project. INTERVENTION: The EuroQol questionnaire (EQ) was administered to discharged ICU patients 90 days after admission. A question to compare present health status with that 3 months before ICU admission (same/better/worse) was added. PATIENTS: Six hundred and eighteen patients who spent >24h in an ICU and survived for 90 days. EQ data and health comparison were available in 559 (90.5%) of them. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Patients reported their general level of health to be better (33.8%), the same (31.1%), or worse (35.1%) in comparison with baseline. Recovery was considered to be good for answers "better" or "the same". Regression analysis showed that transplantation surgery [odds ratio (OR) 0.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.01-0.63], coronary artery bypass surgery without valvular repair (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.17-0.92) and being admitted to the ICU from a ward or other location (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.31-0.95) predicted good recovery of health. Predictors of poor recovery (all present at the time of ICU admission) were unplanned ICU admission, hypothermia, serum creatinine level >or=2mg/dl, pH

Tracheostomy is associated with decreased hospital mortality after moderate or severe isolated traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Data regarding the impact and timing of tracheostomy in patients with isolated traumatic brain injury (TBI) are ambiguous. Our goal was to evaluate the impact of tracheostomy on hospital mortality in patients with moderate or severe isolated TBI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of data prospectively collected at 87 Austrian intensive care units (ICUs). All patients continuously admitted between 1998 and 2010 were evaluated for the study. In total, 4,735 patients were admitted to ICUs with isolated TBI. Of these patients, 2,156 had a moderate or severe TBI (1,603 patients were endotracheally intubated only, 553 patients underwent tracheostomy). Epidemiological data (trauma severity, treatment, and outcome) of the two groups were compared. RESULTS: Patients with moderate or severe isolated TBI undergoing tracheostomy had a similar Glasgow Coma Scale score, median (interquartile range): 6 (3-8) vs 6 (3-8); p = 0.90, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, 45 (37-54) vs 45 (35-56); p = 0.86, compared with intubated patients not undergoing tracheostomy. Furthermore, patients undergoing tracheostomy exhibited higher Abbreviated Injury Scale Head scores and had a longer ICU stay for survivors, 30 (22-42) vs 9 (3-17) days; p < 0.0001). In contrast, risk-adjusted mortality was lower in patients undergoing tracheostomy compared with patients who remained intubated, observed-to-expected mortality ratio (95 % confidence interval): 0.62 (0.53-0.72) vs 1.00 (0.95-1.05) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the greater severity of head injury, patients with isolated TBI who underwent tracheostomy had a lower risk-adjusted mortality than patients who remained intubated. Reasons for this difference in outcome may be multifactorial and require further investigation.

SAPS 3--From evaluation of the patient to evaluation of the intensive care unit. Part 2: Development of a prognostic model for hospital mortality at ICU admission.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model to assess severity of illness and predict vital status at hospital discharge based on ICU admission data. DESIGN: Prospective multicentre, multinational cohort study. PATIENTS AND SETTING: A total of 16,784 patients consecutively admitted to 303 intensive care units from 14 October to 15 December 2002. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: ICU admission data (recorded within +/-1 h) were used, describing: prior chronic conditions and diseases; circumstances related to and physiologic derangement at ICU admission. Selection of variables for inclusion into the model used different complementary strategies. For cross-validation, the model-building procedure was run five times, using randomly selected four fifths of the sample as a development- and the remaining fifth as validation-set. Logistic regression methods were then used to reduce complexity of the model. Final estimates of regression coefficients were determined by use of multilevel logistic regression. Variables selection and weighting were further checked by bootstraping (at patient level and at ICU level). Twenty variables were selected for the final model, which exhibited good discrimination (aROC curve 0.848), without major differences across patient typologies. Calibration was also satisfactory (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test H=10.56, p=0.39, C=14.29, p=0.16). Customized equations for major areas of the world were computed and demonstrate a good overall goodness-of-fit. CONCLUSIONS: The SAPS 3 admission score is able to predict vital status at hospital discharge with use of data recorded at ICU admission. Furthermore, SAPS 3 conceptually dissociates evaluation of the individual patient from evaluation of the ICU and thus allows them to be assessed at their respective reference levels.