Thrombotic outcomes in patients in a large clinical enterprise following COVID-19 vaccination.

Vaccination against COVID-19 reduces infection-related mortality. Unfortunately, reports of vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia (VITT) in individuals administered adenovirus-vector-based vaccines (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and Ad26.COV2.S) have spurred side effect concerns. To address vaccine hesitancy related to this, it is essential to determine the incidence of VITT (defined by a 50% decrease in platelet count and positive anti-PF4 immunoassay within 4-28 days after vaccination) among patients administered two doses of an mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccination. We identified a retrospective cohort of 223,345 patients in the Cleveland Clinic Enterprise administered a COVID-19 vaccine at any location in Northeast Ohio and Florida from 12/4/2020 to 6/6/2021. 97.3% of these patients received an mRNA-based vaccination. Patients with: (1) a serial complete blood count both before and after vaccination and (2) a decrease in platelet count of ≥ 50% were selected for chart review. The primary outcome was the incidence of thrombotic events, including venous thromboembolism (VTE) and arterial thrombosis, 4-28 days post vaccination. Of 74 cohort patients with acute thrombosis, 72 (97.3%) demonstrated clear etiologies, such as active malignancy. Of two patients with unprovoked thrombosis, only one had findings concerning for VITT, with a strongly positive anti-PF4 antibody assay. In this large, multi-state, retrospective cohort, of 223,345 patients (97.2% of whom received the mRNA-based mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2 vaccines), we detected a single case that was concerning for VITT in a patient who received an mRNA vaccine. The overwhelming majority of patients with a thrombotic event 4-28 days following vaccination demonstrated clear etiologies.

5α-Reductase Inhibitors Are Associated with Reduced Risk of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Matched-Pair, Registry-Based Analysis.

PURPOSE: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has a disproportionately severe effect on men, suggesting that the androgen pathway plays a role in the disease. Studies on the effect of castration and androgen receptor blockade have been mixed, while 5α-reductase inhibitor (5ARI) use in men with COVID-19 (2019 novel coronavirus) have shown potential benefits. We assessed the association of 5ARI use on risk of community acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 60,474 males in a prospective registry of people tested for SARS-CoV-2 between March 8, 2020 and February 15, 2021 were included. Using a matched cohort design, men using 5ARIs were matched 1:1 to non5ARI users. Independent analysis using unconditional multivariable logistic regression on the entire unmatched data set was completed for validation. Primary outcome measures were the association of 5ARI use on rates of SARS-Cov-2 positivity and disease severity. RESULTS: Of the men 1,079 (1.8%) reported 5ARI use and 55,100 were available for matching. The final matched cohorts included 944 men each. Mean duration of use was 60.4 months (IQR 17-84 months). Absolute risk for infection was significantly lower in 5ARI users compared to nonusers, 42.3% (399/944) vs 47.2% (446/944), respectively (absolute risk reduction [ARR] 4.9%, OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.67-0.97, p=0.026). Unconditional multivariable logistic regression analysis of the entire study cohort of 55,100 men confirmed the protective association of 5ARI use (ARR 5.3%, OR=0.877, 95% CI 0.774-0.995, p=0.042). Use of 5ARIs was not associated with disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: Use of 5ARIs in men without prostate cancer was associated with a reduction in community acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Implementation Experience with a 30-Day Hospital Readmission Risk Score in a Large, Integrated Health System: A Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Driven by quality outcomes and economic incentives, predicting 30-day hospital readmissions remains important for healthcare systems. The Cleveland Clinic Health System (CCHS) implemented an internally validated readmission risk score in the electronic medical record (EMR). OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the predictive accuracy of the readmission risk score across CCHS hospitals, across primary discharge diagnosis categories, between surgical/medical specialties, and by race and ethnicity. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients discharged from a CCHS hospital April 2017-September 2020. MAIN MEASURES: Data was obtained from the CCHS EMR and billing databases. All patients discharged from a CCHS hospital were included except those from Oncology and Labor/Delivery, patients with hospice orders, or patients who died during admission. Discharges were categorized as surgical if from a surgical department or surgery was performed. Primary discharge diagnoses were classified per Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Clinical Classifications Software Level 1 categories. Discrimination performance predicting 30-day readmission is reported using the c-statistic. RESULTS: The final cohort included 600,872 discharges from 11 Northeast Ohio and Florida CCHS hospitals. The readmission risk score for the cohort had a c-statistic of 0.6875 with consistent yearly performance. The c-statistic for hospital sites ranged from 0.6762, CI [0.6634, 0.6876], to 0.7023, CI [0.6903, 0.7132]. Medical and surgical discharges showed consistent performance with c-statistics of 0.6923, CI [0.6807, 0.7045], and 0.6802, CI [0.6681, 0.6925], respectively. Primary discharge diagnosis showed variation, with lower performance for congenital anomalies and neoplasms. COVID-19 had a c-statistic of 0.6387. Subgroup analyses showed c-statistics of > 0.65 across race and ethnicity categories. CONCLUSIONS: The CCHS readmission risk score showed good performance across diverse hospitals, across diagnosis categories, between surgical/medical specialties, and by patient race and ethnicity categories for 3 years after implementation, including during COVID-19. Evaluating clinical decision-making tools post-implementation is crucial to determine their continued relevance, identify opportunities to improve performance, and guide their appropriate use.

Prognostic value of initial electrocardiography in predicting long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The electrocardiography (ECG) has short-term prognostic value in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yet its ability to predict long-term mortality is unknown. This study aimed to elucidate the predictive role of initial ECG on long-term all-cause mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, adults with COVID-19 who underwent ECG testing within a 17-hospital health system in Northeast Ohio and Florida between 03/2020-06/2020 were identified. An expert ECG reader analyzed all studies blinded to patient status. The associations of ECG characteristics with long-term all-cause mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression model and multivariable logistic regression models, respectively. Status of long-term mortality was adjudicated on 01/07/2022. RESULTS: Of 837 patients (median age 65 years, 51% female, 44% Black), 683 (81.6%) were hospitalized, 281 (33.6%) required ICU admission, 67 (8.0%) died in-hospital, and 206 (24.6%) died at final follow-up after a median (IQR) of 21 (9-103) days after ECG. Overall, 179 (20.7%) patients presented with sinus tachycardia, 12 (1.4%) with atrial flutter, and 45 (5.4%) with atrial fibrillation (AF). After multivariable adjustment, sinus tachycardia (E-value for HR=3.09, lower CI=2.2) and AF (E-value for HR=3.13, lower CI=2.03) each independently predicted all-cause mortality. At final follow-up, patients with AF had 64.5% probability of death compared with 20.5% for those with normal sinus rhythm (P<.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Sinus tachycardia and AF on initial ECG strongly predict long-term all-cause mortality in COVID-19. The ECG can serve as a powerful long-term prognostic tool in COVID-19.

Association of Bariatric Surgery With Cancer Risk and Mortality in Adults With Obesity.

Importance: Obesity increases the incidence and mortality from some types of cancer, but it remains uncertain whether intentional weight loss can decrease this risk. Objective: To investigate whether bariatric surgery is associated with lower cancer risk and mortality in patients with obesity. Design, Setting, and Participants: In the SPLENDID (Surgical Procedures and Long-term Effectiveness in Neoplastic Disease Incidence and Death) matched cohort study, adult patients with a body mass index of 35 or greater who underwent bariatric surgery at a US health system between 2004 and 2017 were included. Patients who underwent bariatric surgery were matched 1:5 to patients who did not undergo surgery for their obesity, resulting in a total of 30 318 patients. Follow-up ended in February 2021. Exposures: Bariatric surgery (n = 5053), including Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy, vs nonsurgical care (n = 25 265). Main Outcomes and Measures: Multivariable Cox regression analysis estimated time to incident obesity-associated cancer (a composite of 13 cancer types as the primary end point) and cancer-related mortality. Results: The study included 30 318 patients (median age, 46 years; median body mass index, 45; 77% female; and 73% White) with a median follow-up of 6.1 years (IQR, 3.8-8.9 years). The mean between-group difference in body weight at 10 years was 24.8 kg (95% CI, 24.6-25.1 kg) or a 19.2% (95% CI, 19.1%-19.4%) greater weight loss in the bariatric surgery group. During follow-up, 96 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 780 patients in the nonsurgical control group had an incident obesity-associated cancer (incidence rate of 3.0 events vs 4.6 events, respectively, per 1000 person-years). The cumulative incidence of the primary end point at 10 years was 2.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-3.6%) in the bariatric surgery group and 4.9% (95% CI, 4.5%-5.3%) in the nonsurgical control group (absolute risk difference, 2.0% [95% CI, 1.2%-2.7%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.53-0.87], P = .002). Cancer-related mortality occurred in 21 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 205 patients in the nonsurgical control group (incidence rate of 0.6 events vs 1.2 events, respectively, per 1000 person-years). The cumulative incidence of cancer-related mortality at 10 years was 0.8% (95% CI, 0.4%-1.2%) in the bariatric surgery group and 1.4% (95% CI, 1.1%-1.6%) in the nonsurgical control group (absolute risk difference, 0.6% [95% CI, 0.1%-1.0%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.31-0.88], P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance: Among adults with obesity, bariatric surgery compared with no surgery was associated with a significantly lower incidence of obesity-associated cancer and cancer-related mortality.

Androgen Deprivation Therapy in Men with Prostate Cancer Does Not Affect Risk of Infection with SARS-CoV-2.

PURPOSE: TMPRSS2 is a host co-receptor for cell entry of SARS-CoV-2. A prior report suggested that use of androgen deprivation therapy, which downregulates TMPRSS2, may protect men with prostate cancer from infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a cohort study of a prospective registry of all patients tested for SARS-CoV-2 between March 12 and June 10, 2020 with complete followup until disease recovery or death. The main exposure examined was the use of androgen deprivation therapy, and the outcome measures were the rate of SARS-CoV-2 positivity and disease severity as a function of androgen deprivation therapy use. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 1,779 men with prostate cancer from a total tested population of 74,787, of whom 4,885 (6.5%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2. Of those with prostate cancer 102 (5.7%) were SARS-CoV-2 positive and 304 (17.1%) were on androgen deprivation therapy. Among those on androgen deprivation therapy 5.6% were positive as compared to 5.8% not on androgen deprivation therapy. Men on androgen deprivation therapy were slightly older (75.5 vs 73.8 years, p=0.009), more likely to have smoked (68.1% vs 59.3%, p=0.005) and more likely to report taking steroids (43.8% vs 23.3%, p <0.001). Other factors known to increase risk of infection and disease severity were equally distributed (asthma, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, heart failure and immune suppressive disease). Multivariable analysis did not indicate a difference in infection risk for those with prostate cancer on androgen deprivation therapy (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.54-1.61, p=0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Androgen deprivation therapy does not appear to be protective against SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Associations of weight loss with obesity-related comorbidities in a large integrated health system.

AIMS: To determine the health outcomes associated with weight loss in individuals with obesity, and to better understand the relationship between disease burden (disease burden; ie, prior comorbidities, healthcare utilization) and weight loss in individuals with obesity by analysing electronic health records (EHRs). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a case-control study using deidentified EHR-derived information from 204 921 patients seen at the Cleveland Clinic between 2000 and 2018. Patients were aged ≥20 years with body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 and had ≥7 weight measurements, over ≥3 years. Thirty outcomes were investigated, including chronic and acute diseases, as well as psychological and metabolic disorders. Weight change was investigated 3, 5 and 10 years prior to an event. RESULTS: Weight loss was associated with reduced incidence of many outcomes (eg, type 2 diabetes, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis/nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, obstructive sleep apnoea, hypertension; P < 0.05). Weight loss >10% was associated with increased incidence of certain outcomes including stroke and substance abuse. However, many outcomes that increased with weight loss were attenuated by disease burden adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides the most comprehensive real-world evaluation of the health impacts of weight change to date. After comorbidity burden and healthcare utilization adjustments, weight loss was associated with an overall reduction in risk of many adverse outcomes.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Healthcare Workers' Risk of Infection and Outcomes in a Large, Integrated Health System.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare workers (HCW) is crucial. OBJECTIVE: Utilizing a health system COVID-19 research registry, we assessed HCW risk for COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study with overlap propensity score weighting. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection in a large academic healthcare system (N = 72,909) from March 8-June 9, 2020, stratified by HCW and patient-facing status. MAIN MEASURES: SARS-CoV-2 test result, hospitalization, and ICU admission for COVID-19 infection. KEY RESULTS: Of 72,909 individuals tested, 9.0% (551) of 6145 HCW tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 compared to 6.5% (4353) of 66,764 non-HCW. The HCW were younger than the non-HCW (median age 39.7 vs. 57.5, p < 0.001) with more females (proportion of males 21.5 vs. 44.9%, p < 0.001), higher reporting of COVID-19 exposure (72 vs. 17%, p < 0.001), and fewer comorbidities. However, the overlap propensity score weighted proportions were 8.9 vs. 7.7 for HCW vs. non-HCW having a positive test with weighted odds ratio (OR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.99-1.38. Among those testing positive, weighted proportions for hospitalization were 7.4 vs. 15.9 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.42 (CI 0.26-0.66) and for ICU admission: 2.2 vs. 4.5 for HCW vs. non-HCW with OR of 0.48 (CI 0.20-1.04). Those HCW identified as patient facing compared to not had increased odds of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test (OR 1.60, CI 1.08-2.39, proportions 8.6 vs. 5.5), but no statistically significant increase in hospitalization (OR 0.88, CI 0.20-3.66, proportions 10.2 vs. 11.4) and ICU admission (OR 0.34, CI 0.01-3.97, proportions 1.8 vs. 5.2). CONCLUSIONS: In a large healthcare system, HCW had similar odds for testing SARS-CoV-2 positive, but lower odds of hospitalization compared to non-HCW. Patient-facing HCW had higher odds of a positive test. These results are key to understanding HCW risk mitigation during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Antidiabetic treatment patterns and specialty care utilization among patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate real-world patient characteristics, medication use, and health care utilization patterns in patients with type 2 diabetes with established cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of patients with type 2 diabetes seen at Cleveland Clinic from 2005 to 2016, divided into two cohorts: with-CVD and without-CVD. Patient demographics and antidiabetic medications were recorded in December 2016; department encounters included all visits from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2016. Comorbidity burden was assessed by the diabetes complications severity index (DCSI) score. RESULTS: Of 95,569 patients with type 2 diabetes, 40,910 (42.8%) were identified as having established CVD. Patients with CVD vs. those without were older (median age 69.1 vs. 58.2 years), predominantly male (53.8% vs. 42.6%), and more likely to have Medicare insurance (69.4% vs. 35.3%). The with-CVD cohort had a higher proportion of patients with a DCSI score ≥ 3 than the without-CVD cohort (65.0% vs. 10.3%). Utilization rates of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors were low in both with-CVD (4.1 and 2.5%) and without-CVD cohorts (5.4 and 4.1%), respectively. The majority of patient visits (75%) were seen by a primary care provider. During the 1-year observation period, 81.9 and 62.0% of patients with type 2 diabetes and CVD were not seen by endocrinology or cardiology, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These data indicated underutilization of specialists and antidiabetic medications reported to confer CV benefit in patients with type 2 diabetes and CVD. The impact of recently updated guidelines and cardiovascular outcome trial results on management patterns in such patients remains to be seen.

Accuracy of Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Varies by Neighborhood Socioeconomic Position: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Inequality in health outcomes in relation to Americans' socioeconomic position is rising. OBJECTIVE: First, to evaluate the spatial relationship between neighborhood disadvantage and major atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD)-related events; second, to evaluate the relative extent to which neighborhood disadvantage and physiologic risk account for neighborhood-level variation in ASCVD event rates. DESIGN: Observational cohort analysis of geocoded longitudinal electronic health records. SETTING: A single academic health center and surrounding neighborhoods in northeastern Ohio. PATIENTS: 109 793 patients from the Cleveland Clinic Health System (CCHS) who had an outpatient lipid panel drawn between 2007 and 2010. The date of the first qualifying lipid panel served as the study baseline. MEASUREMENTS: Time from baseline to the first occurrence of a major ASCVD event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death) within 5 years, modeled as a function of a locally derived neighborhood disadvantage index (NDI) and the predicted 5-year ASCVD event rate from the Pooled Cohort Equations Risk Model (PCERM) of the American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association. Outcome data were censored if no CCHS encounters occurred for 2 consecutive years or when state death data were no longer available (that is, from 2014 onward). RESULTS: The PCERM systematically underpredicted ASCVD event risk among patients from disadvantaged communities. Model discrimination was poorer among these patients (concordance index [C], 0.70 [95% CI, 0.67 to 0.74]) than those from the most affluent communities (C, 0.80 [CI, 0.78 to 0.81]). The NDI alone accounted for 32.0% of census tract-level variation in ASCVD event rates, compared with 10.0% accounted for by the PCERM. LIMITATIONS: Patients from affluent communities were overrepresented. Outcomes of patients who received treatment for cardiovascular disease at Cleveland Clinic were assumed to be independent of whether the patients came from a disadvantaged or an affluent neighborhood. CONCLUSION: Neighborhood disadvantage may be a powerful regulator of ASCVD event risk. In addition to supplemental risk models and clinical screening criteria, population-based solutions are needed to ameliorate the deleterious effects of neighborhood disadvantage on health outcomes. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: The Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of Cleveland and National Institutes of Health.

Association of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist use and rates of acute myocardial infarction, stroke and overall mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in a large integrated health system.

AIMS: To assess the potential impact of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) exposure on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), using a large retrospective cohort. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients who had T2D between 2005 and 2014 (N = 105 862) were identified from the electronic health record system at Cleveland Clinic using a validated electronic phenotype. A time-dependent, Cox, multiple regression analysis was used to assess the association between GLP-1RA exposure and risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke/cerebrovascular accident (CVA), and overall mortality, as well as the composite of all three outcomes. The findings were further evaluated by assessing the effect of GLP-1RAs on the same variables in patients with and without prior CVD. The model adjusted for differences in demographic information, hypertension, laboratory/vital signs, history of outcomes, and T2D medications. RESULTS: There were significantly lower rates of AMI (hazard ratio [HR] 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65 to 0.99; P = .045), CVA (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.91, P < .001), overall mortality (HR 0.48, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.57; P < .001), and the composite outcome (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.91; P < .002) during the consolidated time that patients were exposed to GLP-1RAs compared to corresponding rates during intervals without GLP-1RA exposure. GLP-1RA treatment was associated with a significant decrease in CVA, mortality, and the composite outcome in patients with and without established CVD, not significantly affecting AMI in these subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: GLP-1RA exposure was found to be associated with a reduction in the risk of cardiovascular events observed and overall mortality among patients with T2D with and without established CVD, after adjusting for potential confounders.

Impact of Embedding a Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment Model in the Electronic Health Record Versus Usual Care: A Cluster-Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: There are multiple risk assessment models (RAMs) for venous thromboembolism prophylaxis, but it is unknown whether they increase appropriate prophylaxis. METHODS: To determine the impact of a RAM embedded in the electronic health record, we conducted a stepped-wedge hospital-level cluster-randomized trial conducted from October 1, 2017 to February 28, 2019 at 10 Cleveland Clinic hospitals. We included consecutive general medical patients aged 18 years or older. Patients were excluded if they had a contraindication to prophylaxis, including anticoagulation for another condition, acute bleeding, or comfort-only care. A RAM was embedded in the general admission order set and physicians were encouraged to use it. The decisions to use the RAM and act on the results were reserved to the treating physician. The primary outcome was the percentage of patients receiving appropriate prophylaxis (high-risk patients with pharmacological thromboprophylaxis plus low-risk patients without prophylaxis) within 48 hours of hospitalization. Secondary outcomes included total patients receiving prophylaxis, venous thromboembolism among high-risk patients at 14 and 45 days, major bleeding, heparin-induced thrombocytopenia, and length of stay. Mixed-effects models were used to analyze the study outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 26 506 patients (mean age, 61; 52% female; 73% White) were analyzed, including 11 134 before and 15 406 after implementation of the RAM. After implementation, the RAM was used for 24% of patients, and the percentage of patients receiving appropriate prophylaxis increased from 43.1% to 48.8% (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11 [1.00-1.23]), while overall prophylaxis use decreased from 73.5% to 65.2% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.87 [0.78-0.97]). Rates of venous thromboembolism among high-risk patients (adjusted odds ratio, 0.72 [0.38-1.36]), rates of bleeding and heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (adjusted odds ratio, 0.19 [0.02-1.47]), and length of stay were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of a RAM for venous thromboembolism increased appropriate prophylaxis use, but the RAM was used for a minority of patients. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03243708?term=nct03243708&rank=1; Unique identifier: NCT03243708.

Explainable machine learning for predicting conversion to neurological disease: Results from 52,939 medical records.

Objective: This study assesses the application of interpretable machine learning modeling using electronic medical record data for the prediction of conversion to neurological disease. Methods: A retrospective dataset of Cleveland Clinic patients diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, multiple sclerosis, or Parkinson's disease, and matched controls based on age, sex, race, and ethnicity was compiled. Individualized risk prediction models were created using eXtreme Gradient Boosting for each neurological disease at four timepoints in patient history. The prediction models were assessed for transparency and fairness. Results: At timepoints 0-months, 12-months, 24-months, and 60-months prior to diagnosis, Alzheimer's disease models achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve on a holdout test dataset of 0.794, 0.742, 0.709, and 0.645; amyotrophic lateral sclerosis of 0.883, 0.710, 0.658, and 0.620; multiple sclerosis of 0.922, 0.877, 0.849, and 0.781; and Parkinson's disease of 0.809, 0.738, 0.700, and 0.651, respectively. Conclusions: The results demonstrate that electronic medical records contain latent information that can be used for risk stratification for neurological disorders. In particular, patient-reported outcomes, sleep assessments, falls data, additional disease diagnoses, and longitudinal changes in patient health, such as weight change, are important predictors.

Healthcare utilization and clinical characteristics of genetic epilepsy in electronic health records.

Understanding the clinical characteristics and medical treatment of individuals affected by genetic epilepsies is instrumental in guiding selection for genetic testing, defining the phenotype range of these rare disorders, optimizing patient care pathways and pinpointing unaddressed medical need by quantifying healthcare resource utilization. To date, a matched longitudinal cohort study encompassing the entire spectrum of clinical characteristics and medical treatment from childhood through adolescence has not been performed. We identified individuals with genetic and non-genetic epilepsies and onset at ages 0-5 years by linkage across the Cleveland Clinic Health System. We used natural language processing to extract medical terms and procedures from longitudinal electronic health records and tested for cross-sectional and temporal associations with genetic epilepsy. We implemented a two-stage design: in the discovery cohort, individuals were stratified as being 'likely genetic' or 'non-genetic' by a natural language processing algorithm, and controls did not receive genetic testing. The validation cohort consisted of cases with genetic epilepsy confirmed by manual chart review and an independent set of controls who received negative genetic testing. The discovery and validation cohorts consisted of 503 and 344 individuals with genetic epilepsy and matched controls, respectively. The median age at the first encounter was 0.1 years and 7.9 years at the last encounter, and the mean duration of follow-up was 8.2 years. We extracted 188,295 Unified Medical Language System annotations for statistical analysis across 9659 encounters. Individuals with genetic epilepsy received an earlier epilepsy diagnosis and had more frequent and complex encounters with the healthcare system. Notably, the highest enrichment of encounters compared with the non-genetic groups was found during the transition from paediatric to adult care. Our computational approach could validate established comorbidities of genetic epilepsies, such as behavioural abnormality and intellectual disability. We also revealed novel associations for genitourinary abnormalities (odds ratio 1.91, 95% confidence interval: 1.66-2.20, P = 6.16 × 10-19) linked to a spectrum of underrecognized epilepsy-associated genetic disorders. This case-control study leveraged real-world data to identify novel features associated with the likelihood of a genetic aetiology and quantified the healthcare utilization of genetic epilepsies compared with matched controls. Our results strongly recommend early genetic testing to stratify individuals into specialized care paths, thus improving the clinical management of people with genetic epilepsies.

Predicting disability and mortality in CV2/CRMP5-IgG associated paraneoplastic neurologic disorders.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors associated with clinical outcomes in CV2/Collapsin response-mediator protein 5 (CRMP5)-IgG paraneoplastic neurologic disorders (PND). METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients with CV2/CRMP5-IgG PND evaluated between 2002-2022. We examined the association of clinical variables (including age, clinical phenotype [autoimmune encephalopathy, myelopathy, polyneuropathy/radiculopathy, MG, cerebellar ataxia, chorea, optic neuropathy], cancer) with three clinical outcomes (wheelchair dependence, modified Rankin Scale [mRS], mortality) using univariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards modeling. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to determine the probability of survival. RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients (56% female) with CV2/CRMP5-IgG PND were identified with a median follow-up of 54 months (IQR = 11-102). An underlying tumor was identified in 15 patients (56%) including small cell lung cancer (SCLC) (8, [53%]), thymoma (4, [27%]), and other histologies (3, [20%]). At last follow-up, 10 patients (37%) needed a wheelchair for mobility and this outcome was associated with myelopathy (HR = 7.57, 95% CI = 1.87-30.64, P = 0.005). Moderate-severe mRS = 3-5 was associated with CNS involvement (encephalopathy, myelopathy, or cerebellar ataxia) (OR = 7.00, 95% CI = 1.18-41.36, P = 0.032). The probability of survival 4 years after symptom onset was 66%. Among cancer subtypes, SCLC (HR = 18.18, 95% CI = 3.55-93.04, P < 0.001) was significantly associated with mortality, while thymoma was not. INTERPRETATION: In this retrospective longitudinal study of CV2/CRMP5-IgG PND, patients with CNS involvement, particularly myelopathy, had higher probability of disability. SCLC was the main determinant of survival in this population.

Longitudinal Disability, Cognitive Impairment, and Mood Symptoms in Patients With Anti-NMDA Receptor Encephalitis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Longitudinal outcomes in anti-NMDA receptor encephalitis (anti-NMDARe) are still not fully understood and may not be adequately captured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), often the sole reported outcome. We aim to characterize longitudinal outcomes in anti-NMDARe using multiple outcome measures. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective, observational study examined outcome measures (mRS and Clinical Assessment Scale in Autoimmune Encephalitis [CASE]) in adults with NMDA receptor-IgG in CSF at short- and long-term follow-ups using linear and logistic regression modeling. Patients with evaluations for cognitive impairment (Montreal Cognitive Assessment/Mini-Mental State Examination), depression (Patient Health Questionnaire-9), and anxiety (General Anxiety Disorder-7) >6 months from symptom onset were correlated with final CASE scores. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients (76% female, median disease onset age = 28 years, range = 1-75 years) were included. The majority received first-line immunosuppressants (97%) at a median of 3.9 weeks (interquartile range [IQR] = 2.1-9.7) from symptom onset and 68% received second-line therapies. At baseline, median/mean mRS and CASE were 4 (IQR = 3-5) and 12.9 (SD = 7.2), respectively. At short-term follow-up (median = 10 weeks, IQR = 6-17), factors associated with higher CASE and mRS included dysautonomia, coma/lethargy, seizures/status epilepticus, and intensive care unit admission (p < 0.05). At long-term follow-up (median = 70 weeks, IQR = 51-174), median/mean mRS and CASE were 2 (IQR = 1-3) and 4.4 (SD = 4.2), respectively. Only weakness at symptom onset predicted higher mRS scores (odds ratio = 5.6, 95% confidence interval 1.02-30.9, p = 0.047). Despite both mRS and CASE improving from baseline (p < 0.001), only 9 patients (31%) returned to their premorbid function. Among patients with cognitive and mood evaluations >6 months from onset, moderate-severe cognitive impairment (42%), depression (28%), and anxiety (30%) were frequent. Cognitive and depression measures were associated with final CASE subscores (including memory, language, weakness, and psychiatric). DISCUSSION: Multiple clinical factors influenced short-term outcomes, but only onset weakness influenced long-term mRS, highlighting that mRS is predominantly affected by global motor function. Although mRS and CASE improved over time for most patients, these outcome measures did not capture the full extent of long-term functional impairment in terms of mood, cognition, and the ability to return to premorbid function. This emphasizes the need for increased utilization of more nuanced cognitive and mood outcome measures.

Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Obstructive Sleep Apnea and Obesity: Metabolic Surgery vs Usual Care.

BACKGROUND: No therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and death in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to investigate the long-term relationship between metabolic surgery and incident MACE in patients with OSA and obesity. METHODS: Adult patients with a body mass index 35 to 70 kg/m2 and moderate-to-severe OSA at a U.S. health system (2004-2018) were identified. Baseline characteristics of patients who underwent metabolic surgery were balanced with a nonsurgical control group using overlap-weighting methods. Multivariable Cox regression analysis estimated time-to-incident MACE. Follow-up ended in September 2022. RESULTS: A total of 13,657 patients (7,496 [54.9%] men; mean age 52.0 ± 12.4 years; median body mass index 41.0 kg/m2 [Q1-Q3: 37.6-46.2 kg/m2]), including 970 patients in the metabolic surgery group and 12,687 patients in the nonsurgical group, with a median follow-up of 5.3 years (Q1-Q3: 3.1-8.4 years) were analyzed. The mean between-group difference in body weight at 10 years was 26.6 kg (95% CI: 25.6-27.6 kg) or 19.3% (95% CI: 18.6%-19.9%). The 10-year cumulative incidence of MACE was 27.0% (95% CI: 21.6%-32.0%) in the metabolic surgery group and 35.6% (95% CI: 33.8%-37.4%) in the nonsurgical group (adjusted HR: 0.58 [95% CI: 0.48-0.71]; P < 0.001). The 10-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 9.1% (95% CI: 5.7%-12.4%) in the metabolic surgery group and 12.5% (95% CI: 11.2%-13.8%) in the nonsurgical group (adjusted HR: 0.63 [95% CI: 0.45-0.89]; P = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with moderate-to-severe OSA and obesity, metabolic surgery, compared with nonsurgical management, was associated with a significantly lower risk of incident MACE and death.

Proportion and predictors of FVC decline in patients with interstitial lung disease.

RATIONALE: The proportion of patients who develop progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF), along with risk factors for progression remain poorly understood. OBJECTIVES: To examine factors associated with an increased risk of developing PPF among patients at a referral center. METHODS: We identified patients with a diagnosis of interstitial lung disease (ILD) seen within the Cleveland Clinic Health System. Utilizing a retrospective observational approach we estimated the risk of developing progression by diagnosis group and identified key clinical predictors using the FVC component of both the original progressive fibrotic interstitial lung disease (PFILD) and the proposed PPF (ATS) criteria. RESULTS: We identified 5934 patients with a diagnosis of ILD. The cumulative incidence of progression over the 24 months was similar when assessed with the PFILD and PPF criteria (33.1 % and 37.9 % respectively). Of those who met the ATS criteria, 9.5 % did not meet the PFILD criteria. Conversely, 4.3 % of patients who met PFILD thresholds did not achieve the 5 % absolute FVC decline criteria. Significant differences in the rate of progression were seen based on underlying diagnosis. Steroid therapy (HR 1.46, CI 1.31-1.62) was associated with an increased risk of progressive fibrosis by both PFILD and PPF criteria. CONCLUSION: Regardless of the definition used, the cumulative incidence of progressive disease is high in patients with ILD in the 24 months following diagnosis. Some differences are seen in the risk of progression when assessed by PFILD and PPF criteria. Further work is needed to identify modifiable risk factors for the development of progressive fibrosis.

Novel Sleep Phenotypic Profiles Associated With Incident Atrial Fibrillation in a Large Clinical Cohort.

BACKGROUND: While sleep disorders are implicated in atrial fibrillation (AF), the interplay of physiologic alterations and symptoms remains unclear. Sleep-based phenotypes can account for this complexity and translate to actionable approaches to identify at-risk patients and therapeutic interventions. OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized discrete phenotypes of symptoms and polysomnography (PSG)-based data differ in relation to incident AF. METHODS: Data from the STARLIT (sleep Signals, Testing, And Reports LInked to patient Traits) registry on Cleveland Clinic patients (≥18 years of age) who underwent PSG from November 27, 2004, to December 30,2015, were retrospectively examined. Phenotypes were identified using latent class analysis of symptoms and PSG-based measures of sleep-disordered breathing and sleep architecture. Phenotypes were included as the primary predictor in a multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models for incident AF. RESULTS: In our cohort (N = 43,433, age 51.8 ± 14.5 years, 51.9% male, 74.9% White), 7.3% (n = 3,166) had baseline AF. Over a 7.6- ± 3.4-year follow-up period, 8.9% (n = 3,595) developed incident AF. Five phenotypes were identified. The hypoxia subtype (n = 3,245) had 48% increased incident AF (HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.34-1.64), the apneas + arousals subtype (n = 4,592) had 22% increased incident AF (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.10-1.35), and the short sleep + nonrapid eye movement subtype (n = 6,126) had 11% increased incident AF (HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.01-1.22) compared with long sleep + rapid eye movement (n = 26,809), the reference group. The hypopneas subtype (n = 2,661) did not differ from reference (HR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.77-1.03). CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with prior evidence supporting hypoxia as an AF driver and cardiac risk of the sleepy phenotype, this constellation of symptoms and physiologic alterations illustrates vulnerability for AF development, providing potential value in enhancing our understanding of integrated sleep-specific symptoms and physiologic risk of atrial arrhythmogenesis.