Benefits of Hepatitis C Viral Eradication: A Real-World Nationwide Cohort Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) increases the risk of liver cirrhosis (LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This nationwide cohort study assessed the effectiveness of viral eradication of CHC. METHODS: The Taiwanese chronic hepatitis C cohort and Taiwan hepatitis C virus (HCV) registry are nationwide HCV registry cohorts incorporating data from 23 and 53 hospitals in Taiwan, respectively. This study included 27,577 individuals from these cohorts that were given a diagnosis of CHC and with data linked to the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients received either pegylated interferon and ribavirin or direct-acting antiviral agent therapy for > 4 weeks for new-onset LC and liver-related events. RESULTS: Among the 27,577 analyzed patients, 25,461 (92.3%) achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The mean follow-up duration was 51.2 ± 48.4 months, totaling 118,567 person-years. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, the hazard ratio (HR) for incident HCC was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.95, p = 0.052) among noncirrhotic patients without SVR compared with those with SVR and 1.82 (95% CI 1.34-2.48) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. The HR for liver-related events, including HCC and decompensated LC, was 1.70 (95% CI 1.30-2.24) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. Patients with SVR had a lower 10-year cumulative incidence of new-onset HCC than those without SVR did (21.7 vs. 38.7% in patients with LC, p < 0.001; 6.0 vs. 18.4% in patients without LC, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: HCV eradication reduced the incidence of HCC in patients with and without LC and reduced the incidence of liver-related events in patients with LC.

Impact of HCV eradication by directly acting antivirals on glycemic indices in chronic hepatitis C patients -a nationwide Taiwan HCV registry.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication using antiviral agents augments the metabolic profile. Changes in glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels in chronic hepatitis C patients who receive glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) remain elusive. METHODS: Data from 2417 patients treated with GLE/PIB from the Taiwan HCV Registry were analyzed, and pretreatment HbA1c levels were compared with 3-months after the-end-of treatment levels. A sustained virological response (SVR) was defined as undetectable HCV RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment. A significant change in HbA1c level was defined as the 75th percentile of the change in the HbA1c level before and after treatment (decrement >0.2%). RESULTS: Serum HbA1c levels decreased significantly (6.0 vs 5.9%, P < 0.001). Post-treatment HbA1c levels decreased in all subgroups, except in non-SVR patients (5.7 vs 5.7%, P = 0.79). Compared to patients without significant HbA1c improvement (decrement >0.2%), those with HbA1c improvement were older (60.2 vs 58.6 years, P < 0.001), had higher serum creatinine levels (1.9 vs 1.6 mg/dL, P < 0.001), triglycerides (129.8 vs 106.2 mg/dL, P < 0.001), fasting glucose (135.8 vs 104.0 mg/dL, P < 0.001), and pretreatment HbA1c (7.1 vs 5.7%, P < 0.001) and had a higher proportion of male sex (57.9% vs 50.9%, P = 0.003), diabetes (84.3 vs 16.8%, P < 0.001), more advanced stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) (15.7 vs 11.1 %, P < 0.001), anti-diabetic medication use (47.3 vs 16.4%, P < 0.001) and fatty liver (49.6 vs 38.3 %, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors associated with significant HbA1c improvement were age (odds ratio [OR]/95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.01/1.00-1.02, P = 0.01), HbA1c level (OR/CI: 2.83/2.48-3.24, P < 0.001) and advanced CKD stages (OR/CI: 1.16/1.05-1.28, P = 0.004). If the HbA1c variable was not considered, the factors associated with significant HbA1c improvement included alanine aminotransferase level (OR/CI, 1.002/1.000-1.004, P = 0.01), fasting glucose level (OR/CI: 1.010/1.006-1.013, P < 0.001), and diabetes (OR/CI: 3.35/2.52-4.45, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The HbA1c levels improved shortly after HCV eradication using GLE/PIB. The improvement in glycemic control can be generalized to all subpopulations, particularly in patients with a higher baseline HbA1c level or diabetes.

Impact of Sofosbuvir-Based Direct-Acting Antivirals on Renal Function in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients With Impaired Renal Function: A Large Cohort Study From the Nationwide HCV Registry Program (TACR).

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sofosbuvir is approved for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients with severe chronic kidney disease (CKD). The impact of sofosbuvir-based therapy on renal function augmentation on a real-world nationwide basis is elusive. METHODS: The 12,995 CHC patients treated with sofosbuvir-based (n = 6802) or non-sofosbuvir-based (n = 6193) regimens were retrieved from the Taiwan nationwide real-world HCV Registry Program. Serial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels were measured at baseline, end of treatment (EOT), and end of follow-up (EOF) (3 months after EOT). RESULTS: The eGFR decreased from baseline (91.4 mL/min/1.73 m2) to EOT (88.4 mL/min/1.73 m2; P < .001) and substantially recovered at EOF (88.8 mL/min/1.73 m2) but did not return to pretreatment levels (P < .001). Notably, a significant decrease in eGFR was observed only in patients with baseline eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (from 112.9 to 106.4 mL/min/1.73 m2; P < .001). In contrast, eGFR increased progressively in patients whose baseline eGFR was <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (from 70.0 to 71.5 mL/min/1.73 m2; P < .001), and this increase was generalized across different stages of CKD. The trend of eGFR amelioration was consistent irrespective of sofosbuvir usage. Multivariate adjusted analysis demonstrated that baseline eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 was the only factor independently associated with significant slope coefficient differences of eGFR (-1.98 mL/min/1.73 m2; 95% confidence interval, -2.24 to -1.72; P < .001). The use of sofosbuvir was not an independent factor associated with eGFR change. CONCLUSIONS: Both sofosbuvir and non-sofosbuvir-based regimens restored renal function in CHC patients with CKD, especially in those with significant renal function impairment.

Ledipasvir/sofosbuvir for HCV genotype 1, 2, 4-6 infection: Real-world evidence from a nationwide registry in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: The Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL) HCV Registry (TACR) is a nationwide registry of chronic hepatitis C patients in Taiwan. This study evaluated antiviral effectiveness of ledipasvir (LDV)/sofosbuvir (SOF) in patients in the TACR. METHODS: Patients enrolled in TACR from 2017-2020 treated with LDV/SOF were eligible. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with sustained virologic response 12 weeks after end of treatment (SVR12). RESULTS: 5644 LDV/SOF ± ribavirin-treated patients were included (mean age: 61.4 years; 54.4% female). Dominant viral genotypes were GT1 (50.8%) and GT2 (39.3%). 1529 (27.1%) patients had liver cirrhosis, including 201 (3.6%) with liver decompensation; 686 (12.2%) had chronic kidney disease. SVR12 was achieved in 98.6% of the overall population and in 98.2% and 98.7% of patients with and without cirrhosis, respectively. SVR12 rates in patients with compensated cirrhosis treated with LDV/SOF without RBV were >98%, regardless of prior treatment experience. SVR12 was 98.6%, 98.4%, 100%, 100%, and 98.7% among those with GT1, GT2, GT4, GT5, and GT6 infections, respectively. Although patient numbers were relatively small, SVR12 rates of 100% were reported in patients infected with HCV GT2, GT5, and GT6 with decompensated cirrhosis and 98% in patients with severely compromised renal function. LDV/SOF adherence ≤60% (P < 0.001) was the most important factor associated with treatment failure. Incidence of adverse events was 15.8%, with fatigue being the most common. CONCLUSION: LDV/SOF is effective and well tolerated in routine clinical practice in Taiwan. Cure rates were high across patient populations.

Factors predicting long-term outcomes of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after primary curative treatment: the role of surgical or nonsurgical methods.

BACKGROUND: We quantified the elusive effects of putative factors on the clinical course of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after primary surgical or nonsurgical curative treatment. METHODS: Patients with newly diagnosed early HCC who received surgical resection (SR) or percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with or without transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) from January 2003 to December 2016 were enrolled. The cumulative overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were compared. A polytomous logistic regression was used to estimate factors for early and late recurrence. Independent predictors of OS were identified using Cox proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-five patients underwent SR, and 176 patients underwent RFA, of whom 72 were treated with TACE followed by RFA. Neither match analysis based on propensity score nor multiple adjustment regression yielded a significant difference in DFS and OS between the two groups. Multivariate analysis showed high AFP (> 20 ng/mL), and multinodularity significantly increased risk of early recurrence (< 1 year). In contrast, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus and multinodularity were significantly associated with late recurrence (> 1 year). Multivariate Cox regression with recurrent events as time-varying covariates identified older age (HR = 1.55, 95% CI:1.01-2.36), clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) (HR = 1.97, 95% CI:1.26-3.08), early recurrence (HR = 6.62, 95% CI:3.79-11.6) and late recurrence (HR = 3.75, 95% CI:1.99-7.08) as independent risk factors of mortality. A simple risk score showed fair calibration and discrimination in early HCC patients after primary curative treatment. In the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A subgroup, SR significantly improved DFS compared to RFA with or without TACE. CONCLUSION: Host and tumor factors rather than the initial treatment modalities determine the outcomes of early HCC after primary curative treatment. Statistical models based on recurrence types can predict early HCC prognosis but further external validation is necessary.

Factors associated with treatment failure of direct-acting antivirals for chronic hepatitis C: A real-world nationwide hepatitis C virus registry programme in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are highly effective in treating chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients. The real-world treatment outcome in Taiwanese patients on a nationwide basis is elusive. METHODS: The Taiwan HCV Registry (TACR) programme is a nationwide registry platform including 48 study sites, which is organized and supervised by the Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver. The primary endpoint was sustained virological response (SVR12, undetectable HCV RNA 12 weeks after end-of-treatment). RESULTS: A total of 13 951 registered patients with SVR12 data available were analysed (mean age, 63.0 years; female, 55.9%; HCV genotype-1 [GT1], 57.9%; cirrhosis, 38.4%; preexisting hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], 10.6%; and hepatitis B virus coinfection, 7.7%). The overall SVR12 rate was 98.3%, with 98.7%, 98.0%, 98.4% and 97.4% in treatment-naïve noncirrhotic, treatment-naïve cirrhotic, treatment-experienced noncirrhotic and treatment-experienced cirrhotic patients, respectively. The SVR12 rate was > 95% across all subgroups except treatment-experienced cirrhotic patients who received sofosbuvir/ribavirin (88.7%), treatment-naïve noncirrhotic patients (94.8%) and treatment-experienced cirrhotic (94.8%) patients who received daclatasvir/asunaprevir. The most important factor associated with treatment failure was DAA adherence < 60% ( adjusted odds ratio [aOR]/95% confidence interval [CI]: 117.1/52.4-261.3, P < .001), followed by GT3/GT2 (aOR/CI: 5.78/2.25-14.9, P = .0003 and aOR/CI: 1.55/1.05-2.29, P = .03, compared with GT1), active hepatocellular carcinoma (aOR/CI: 4.29/2.57-7.16, P < .001), the use of sofosbuvir/ribavirin (aOR/CI: 2.51/1.67-3.77, P < .001) and daclatasvir/asunaprevir (aOR/CI: 3.29/1.94-5.58, P < .001), decompensated liver cirrhosis (aOR/CI: 2.50/1.20-5.22, P = .02) and high HCV viral loads (aOR/CI: 2.16/1.57-2.97, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: DAAs are highly effective in treating Taiwanese HCV patients in the real-world setting. Maintaining DAA adherence and selecting highly efficacious regimens are keys to ensure treatment success.

Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse Elastography with APRI and FIB-4 to Identify Significant Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients.

INTRODUCTION AND AIM: In chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with equivocal indication for antiviral therapy, therapeutic decision currently depends on histopathology of the liver. We aimed to evaluate if acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) in conjunction with aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score could replace liver biopsy to indicate treatment for CHB. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 101 clinically non-cirrhotic patients whose serum alanine aminotransferase was mildly elevated (1-2 folds above the upper normal limit) despite a high viral load (HBV DNA > 2,000 IU/mL). All participants underwent liver biopsy, and measurement of ARFI, APRI and FIB-4. The ability of the markers to distinguish fibrosis ≥ METAVIR F2 was evaluated. RESULTS: According to histopathology, liver fibrosis was METAVIR F0 in 2 (2.0%), F1 in 43 (42.6%), F2 in 34 (33.7%), F3 in 16 (15.8%), and F4 in 6 (5.9%) patients, and was correlated with ARFI (p = 0.0001), APRI (p = 0.012), and FIB-4 (p = 0.004). The six patients with cirrhosis were included for analysis, and received antiviral therapy. The C statistics of ARFI, APRI, and FIB-4 for fibrosis ≥ F2 were 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.80), 0.62 (95% CI, 0.51-0.73), and 0.64 (0.53- 0.75), respectively. The cut-off values for 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity to identify significant fibrosis were 0.97 m/sec and 1.36 m/sec for ARFI, 0.36 and 1.0 for APRI, 0.63 and 2.22 for FIB-4, respectively. Using a combination of these 3 indices, 44 patients (43.6%) could be spared a liver biopsy procedure. CONCLUSIONS: A combination of ARFI, APRI, and FIB-4 may spare some CHB patients with equivocal indication for antiviral treatment a liver biopsy.

A case series on the use of circumferential radiofrequency ablation for early esophageal squamous neoplasias in patients with esophageal varices.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Endoscopic radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a rapidly evolving therapeutic modality for early esophageal squamous cell neoplasias (ESCNs). However, the feasibility of RFA for ESCNs in the setting of esophageal varices has not been reported. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 8 consecutive patients with cirrhosis (Child-Pugh score ≤6) with early flat-type ESCNs (high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia/intramucosal cancer, and Lugol unstained lesion [USL] length ≥3 cm extending ≥1/2 the circumference) on or adjacent to esophageal varices, for which circumferential RFA was applied as the initial treatment. The primary endpoint was a complete response at 12 months, and the secondary endpoints were adverse events and procedure-related mortality. RESULTS: The mean USL length was 5.3 cm (range, 3-10 cm), and the average length of the treatment area was 7.5 cm (range, 5-12 cm), with an average procedure time of 31.9 min (range, 25-40 min). After circumferential RFA, 3 adverse events were recorded, including 2 intramucosal hematomas and 1 mucosal laceration, all of which spontaneously resolved without further management. No massive bleeding, perforation, stricture, or hepatic failure occurred after the procedure. Six of the 8 patients achieved a complete response after single circumferential RFA, but 2 had residual squamous neoplasias. After additional focal-type RFA treatment, all achieved a complete response at 12 months. No neoplastic progression or recurrence occurred during a median follow-up period of 21.6 months (range, 13-42 months). CONCLUSIONS: RFA was associated with good treatment results, no neoplastic progression, and an acceptable adverse event profile for the treatment of early ESCNs in patients with well-compensated cirrhosis and esophageal varices.

Time-varying serum gradient of hepatitis B surface antigen predicts risk of relapses after off-NA therapy.

BACKGROUND: The serum gradient of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) varies over time after cessation of nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The association between the time-varying HBsAg serum gradient and risk of relapse has not been elucidated. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study prospectively enrolled CHB patients who discontinued 3 year-NA treatment. Eligible patients were serologically negative for HBeAg and viral DNA at NA cessation. The participants (n = 140) were followed every 3 months through HBsAg quantification. Virological and clinical relapses were defined as viral DNA levels >2000 IU/mL and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels >80 U/mL, respectively. The association of time-varying HBsAg levels with relapses was assessed through a time-dependent Cox analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 19.9 (interquartile range [IQR], 10.6-25.3) months, virological and clinical relapses occurred in 94 and 49 patients, with a 2-year cumulative incidence of 79.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70.9%-86.4%) and 42.9% (95% CI, 34.1%-52.8%), respectively. The serum level of HBsAg was associated with virological (P < 0.001) and clinical (P = 0.01) relapses in a dose-response manner, with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.10 (95% CI, 1.45-3.04) and 2.32 (95% CI, 1.28-4.21). Among the patients (n = 19) whose HBsAg levels ever dropped below 10 IU/mL, only one and three patients subsequently developed clinical and virological relapses. CONCLUSION: The serum gradient of HBsAg measured throughout the off-therapy observation is associated with the subsequent occurrence of virological and clinical relapses in CHB patients who discontinue NA treatment.

Serum viral load at the virological relapse predicts subsequent clinical flares in chronic hepatitis B patients off entecavir therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Therapeutic duration of nucleos(t)ide analogues for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is not indefinite in many parts of the world. Viral reactivation is common off therapy, but the risk of subsequent clinical outcome remains unclear and unpredictable. We aimed to quantify the incidence of and explore the predictors for clinical flare following virological relapse in CHB patients who discontinue entecavir therapy. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study prospectively monitored 133 CHB patients who were HBeAg-negative and viral DNA-undetectable when discontinuing entecavir after at least 3 years on therapy. Following virological relapse (viral DNA >2,000 IU/mL) that occurred in 92 patients, the incidences of subsequent clinical flare and persistent (unremittent for 3 months) or severe hepatitis (with jaundice or coagulopathy) were determined, and risk factors were explored. Patients did not resume antiviral therapy until occurrence of persistent or severe hepatitis. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of clinical hepatitis 2 years after virological relapse was 61.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 49.9-72.3%) and that of persistent or severe hepatitis was 53.0% (95% CI, 40.9-66.2%). Serum viral load at the virological relapse was associated with both clinical hepatitis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.31 per log IU/mL; 95% CI, 1.07-1.60) and persistent or severe hepatitis (adjusted HR, 1.63 per log IU/mL; 95% CI, 1.27-2.10), after adjustment for serum aminotransferase and alfa-fetoprotein levels in the multivariate analysis. Viral DNA >100 000 IU/mL predicted a nearly inevitable occurrence of clinical flare (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: A high viral load at the virological relapse predicts subsequent clinical hepatitis in CHB patients who discontinue entecavir.

Association Between Serum Level of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen at End of Entecavir Therapy and Risk of Relapse in E Antigen-Negative Patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study investigated whether serum level of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) at the end of entecavir treatment was associated with risk of relapse. METHODS: We performed a prospective multicenter study of 161 consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis B in whom the hepatitis B virus was no longer detected after 3 years or more of entecavir therapy. Treatment ended between July 1, 2011 and July 1, 2015. Patients were monitored for clinical relapse (hepatitis B virus DNA >2000 IU/mL and level of alanine aminotransferase more than 2-fold the upper limit of normal) and virologic relapse (hepatitis B virus DNA >2000 IU/mL). Outcomes were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and risk factors were identified by Cox proportional hazards modeling. RESULTS: Two years after therapy ended, 49.2% of patients in the entire cohort had a clinical relapse (95% confidence interval [CI], 40.9%-58.1%) and 81.7% had a virologic relapse (95% CI, 74.3%-88.0%). Among patients who were hepatitis B e antigen-negative at the end of therapy, 39.2% had a clinical relapse (95% CI, 30.3%-49.6%) and 77.4% had a virologic relapse (95% CI, 68.6%-85.2%). Serum level of HBsAg was associated with relapse in the hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients (Ptrend = .006 for clinical relapse; Ptrend = .0001 for virologic relapse). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the hazard ratio (per log IU/mL increment) for clinical relapse was 2.47 (95% CI, 1.45-4.23) and for virologic relapse was 1.80 (95% CI, 1.33-2.45). The 11 (9%) patients with levels of HBsAg <10 IU/mL did not relapse. CONCLUSIONS: Serum level of HBsAg is associated with risk of relapse in patients who are hepatitis B e antigen-negative after treatment with entecavir. A low titer of HBsAg might be used to identify patients at low risk for relapse after treatment.

Four-year entecavir therapy reduces hepatocellular carcinoma, cirrhotic events and mortality in chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Oral antiviral therapy may reduce the disease progression of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We aimed to further investigate the efficacy of long-term entecavir therapy in reduction of the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cirrhotic events and mortality in a large group of CHB-related cirrhosis patients. METHODS: The C-TEAM (Cirrhosis-Taiwanese EntecAvir Multicenter) study was a nationwide, multicenter, retrospective-prospective cohort study in Taiwan. We enrolled treatment-naïve patients with CHB-related cirrhosis and baseline HBV-DNA≥2000 IU/mL receiving long-term entecavir therapy and compared the development of HCC, cirrhotic events and mortality with that of a historical untreated cohort. RESULTS: In total, 1315 entecavir-treated and 503 untreated patients with cirrhosis were enrolled, with median treatment and follow-up durations of 4 and 6 years respectively. Compared with the untreated cohort, entecavir therapy was associated with a 60% HCC risk reduction [hazard ratio (HR): 0.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.28-0.57]. Additionally, an older age, the male gender, HBeAg positivity, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)≥7 ng/mL before therapy were independent predictors of HCC development. Further analysis showed that entecavir therapy significantly reduced risks of variceal bleeding, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and liver-related and all-cause mortality. These findings were confirmed by propensity score-matched cohorts in sensitivity analysis. In patients under entecavir therapy, an older age, the male gender, HBeAg positivity, AFP level ≥7 ng/mL before therapy, and 1-year virological response were predictive of HCC development. CONCLUSIONS: Four-year entecavir therapy significantly reduces the risk of HCC, cirrhotic events and mortality in patients with CHB-related cirrhosis.

Determinants of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues for chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify determinants of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic patients who received nucleos(t)ide analogues for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective-prospective study screened all patients (n = 1630) who received antiviral therapy for CHB between 1 September 2007 and 31 March 2013 at the E-Da Hospital and enrolled 210 consecutive cirrhotic patients with pretreatment viral DNA >2000 IU/mL. Those who developed HCC within 3 months of treatment were excluded. All participants were observed until occurrence of HCC, death or 1 January 2014. The incidence and determinants of HCC were estimated using competing risk analyses adjusted for mortality. RESULTS: Thirty-five (16.7%) patients developed HCC during a median follow-up of 25.2 months (IQR, 16.3-37.3 months), with a cumulative incidence of 24.1% (95% CI, 16.3%-32.0%) at 5 years. Multivariate-adjusted analyses identified age >55 years [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 2.19; 95% CI, 1.03-4.66], male gender (adjusted HR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.05-9.02), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score >12 points (adjusted HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.10-4.23) and diabetes mellitus (DM; adjusted HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.54-7.91) as independent risk factors after adjusting for multiple covariates, including antidiabetes medication. A scoring formula that used information on age, gender, MELD score, DM and antidiabetes regimen significantly discriminated patients at high or low risk of HCC, with sensitivity and specificity of 82.9% and 62.3%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Age, gender, hepatic dysfunction, DM and medication for DM are baseline factors that stratify the risk of HCC in cirrhotic patients who receive nucleos(t)ide analogues for CHB.

Real-World Efficacy and Safety of Universal 8-Week Glecaprevir/Pibrentasvir for Treatment-Naïve Patients from a Nationwide HCV Registry in Taiwan.

INTRODUCTION: Eight-week glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) is indicated for treatment-naïve (TN) patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC), with or without compensated cirrhosis. Given that the Taiwanese government is committed to eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2025, this study aimed to measure real-world evidence for TN patients using 8-week GLE/PIB in the Taiwan HCV Registry (TACR). METHODS: The data of patients with CHC treated with 8-week GLE/PIB were retrieved from TACR, a nationwide registry program organized by the Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL). Treatment efficacy, defined as a sustained virologic response at posttreatment week 12 (SVR12), was assessed in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population, which excluded patients who were lost to follow-up or lacked SVR12 data. The safety profile of the ITT population was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 7246 (6897 without cirrhosis; 349 with cirrhosis) patients received at least one dose of GLE/PIB (ITT), 7204 of whom had SVR12 data available (mITT). The overall SVR12 rate was 98.9% (7122/7204) among all patients, 98.9% (6780/6856) and 98.3% (342/348) among patients without and with cirrhosis, respectively. For the selected subgroups, which included patients with genotype 3 infection, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, people who injected drugs, and those with human immunodeficiency virus coinfection, the SVR12 rates were 95.1% (272/286), 98.9% (1084/1096), 99.0% (1171/1183), 97.4% (566/581), and 96.1% (248/258), respectively. Overall, 14.1% (1021/7246) of the patients experienced adverse events (AEs). Twenty-two patients (0.3%) experienced serious AEs, and 15 events (0.2%) resulted in permanent drug discontinuation. Only one event was considered treatment drug related. CONCLUSION: Eight-week GLE/PIB therapy was effective and well tolerated in all TN patients, regardless of cirrhosis status.

An algorithm for simplified hepatitis C virus treatment with non-specialist care based on nation-wide data from Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Both European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) and American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the Infectious Diseases Society of America (AASLD-IDSA) guidelines recommend simplified hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment with pan-genotypic sofosbuvir/velpatasvir or glecaprevir/pibrentasvir for eligible patients. This observational study used real-world data to assess these regimens' safety in eligible patients and develop an algorithm to identify patients suitable for simplified treatment by non-specialists. METHODS: 7,677 HCV-infected patients from Taiwan Hepatitis C Registry (TACR) who received at least one dose of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir or glecaprevir/pibrentasvir, and fulfilled the EASL/AASLD-IDSA criteria for simplified treatment were analyzed. Multivariate analysis was conducted on patient characteristics and safety data. RESULTS: Overall, 92.8% (7,128/7,677) of patients achieved sustained virological response and only 1.9% (146/7,677) experienced Grades 2-4 laboratory abnormalities in key liver function parameters (alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and total bilirubin), with only 18 patients (0.23%) experiencing Grades 3-4 abnormalities. Age > 70 years old, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma, total bilirubin > 1.2 mg/dL, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and Fibrosis-4 > 3.25 were associated with higher risks of Grades 2-4 abnormalities. Patients with any of these had an odds of 4.53 times than that of those without in developing Grades 2-4 abnormalities (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Real-world data from Taiwan confirmed that simplified HCV treatment for eligible patients with pan-genotypic regimens is effective and well tolerated. The TACR algorithm, developed based on this study's results, can further identify patients who can be safely managed by non-specialist care.

Artificial intelligence predicts direct-acting antivirals failure among hepatitis C virus patients: A nationwide hepatitis C virus registry program.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Despite the high efficacy of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), approximately 1-3% of hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients fail to achieve a sustained virological response. We conducted a nationwide study to investigate risk factors associated with DAA treatment failure. Machine-learning algorithms have been applied to discriminate subjects who may fail to respond to DAA therapy. METHODS: We analyzed the Taiwan HCV Registry Program database to explore predictors of DAA failure in HCV patients. Fifty-five host and virological features were assessed using multivariate logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network. The primary outcome was undetectable HCV RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment. RESULTS: The training (n=23,955) and validation (n=10,346) datasets had similar baseline demographics, with an overall DAA failure rate of 1.6% (n=538). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, poor DAA adherence, and higher hemoglobin A1c were significantly associated with virological failure. XGBoost outperformed the other algorithms and logistic regression models, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 1.000 in the training dataset and 0.803 in the validation dataset. The top five predictors of treatment failure were HCV RNA, body mass index, α-fetoprotein, platelets, and FIB-4 index. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the XGBoost model (cutoff value=0.5) were 99.5%, 69.7%, 99.9%, 97.4%, and 99.5%, respectively, for the entire dataset. CONCLUSION: Machine learning algorithms effectively provide risk stratification for DAA failure and additional information on the factors associated with DAA failure.

Heavy alcohol consumption increases the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Taiwan has a high prevalence of hepatitis B viral (HBV) infection and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with increasing consumption of alcohol. We investigated the impact of heavy alcohol consumption and HBV infection on HCC in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: 966 cirrhotic patients (132 with HBV infection and alcoholism, 632 with HBV infection, and 202 patients with alcoholism) were enrolled between 2000 and 2009 and followed until 2011. The primary end point was newly developed HCC. RESULTS: Within the three patient groups (cirrhotic patients with HBV infection and alcoholism, HBV infection alone, and alcoholism alone) 38 (28.8%), 100 (15.8%), and 21 (10.4%) showed newly developed HCC, respectively. The 10-year cumulative (52.8% vs. 39.8% vs. 25.6%, p <0.001) and annual incidences (9.9%, 4.1%, and 2.1%) of HCC were significantly higher in cirrhotic patients with HBV infection and alcoholism than those in patients with HBV infection or alcoholism alone. For patients with HBV infection and alcoholism, baseline serum HBV DNA (OR=16.8, p=0.025), antiviral nucleos(t)ides analogues (NUCs) therapy (OR=0.01, p=0.035), and serum α-fetoprotein (OR=1.18, p=0.045) were risk predictors of HCC by multivariate logistic regression models. The cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in patients with higher baseline serum HBV DNA. Antiviral NUCs therapy reduced the incidence of HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Heavy alcohol consumption significantly increased the risk of HCC in HBV-related cirrhotic patients. Elevated baseline serum HBV DNA was a strong risk predictor of HCC and antiviral NUCs therapy reduced the incidence of HCC in cirrhotic patients with HBV infection and alcoholism.

Effectiveness and safety of 8-week glecaprevir/pibrentasvir in HCV treatment-naïve patients with compensated cirrhosis: real-world experience from Taiwan nationwide HCV registry.

BACKGROUND: Large-scale real-world data of the 8-week glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) therapy for treatment-naïve patients of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with compensated cirrhosis is scarce. METHODS: The TASL HCV Registry (TACR) is an ongoing nationwide registry program that aims to set up a database and biobank of patients with chronic HCV infection in Taiwan. In this study, data were analyzed as of 31 October 2021 for treatment-naïve HCV patients with compensated cirrhosis receiving 8-week GLE/PIB therapy. Effectiveness reported as sustained virologic response at off-therapy week 12 (SVR12) and safety profiles were assessed. Patient characteristics potentially related to SVR12 were also evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 301 patients enrolled, 275 had available SVR12 data. The SVR12 rate was 98.2% (270/275) in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population and 89.7% (270/301) in the ITT population. For those mITT patients with genotype 3, FibroScan > 20 kPa, platelet < 150,000/µl, and FibroScan > 20 kPa and platelet < 150,000/µl, the SVR12 rates were 100% (6/6), 100% (12/12), 98.0% (144/147), 100% (7/7), respectively. Overall, 24.9% (75/301) patients experienced adverse events (AEs). The most frequent AEs (> 5%) included fatigue (9.0%) and pruritus (7.0%). Seven (2.3%) patients experienced serious AEs and two (0.7%) resulted in permanent drug discontinuation. None of them were considered as GLE/PIB-related. CONCLUSIONS: In this large-scale real-world Taiwanese cohort, 8-week GLE/PIB therapy was efficacious and well tolerated for treatment-naïve compensated cirrhosis patients. SVR12 rates were similarly high as in the clinical trials, including those with characteristics of advanced liver disease.

Factors Associated with Significant Platelet Count Improvement in Thrombocytopenic Chronic Hepatitis C Patients Receiving Direct-Acting Antivirals.

To clarify the predictive factors of significant platelet count improvement in thrombocytopenic chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients. CHC patients with baseline platelet counts of <150 × 103/µL receiving direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy with at least 12-weeks post-treatment follow-up (PTW12) were enrolled. Significant platelet count improvement was defined as a ≥10% increase in platelet counts at PTW12 from baseline. Platelet count evolution at treatment week 4, end-of-treatment, PTW12, and PTW48 was evaluated. This study included 4922 patients. Sustained virologic response after 12 weeks post-treatment was achieved in 98.7% of patients. Platelet counts from baseline, treatment week 4, and end-of-treatment to PTW12 were 108.8 ± 30.2, 121.9 ± 41.1, 123.1 ± 43.0, and 121.1 ± 40.8 × 103/µL, respectively. Overall, 2230 patients (45.3%) showed significant platelet count improvement. Multivariable analysis revealed that age (odds ratio (OR) = 0.99, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.99-1.00, p = 0.01), diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.06-1.38, p = 0.007), cirrhosis (OR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.58-0.75, p < 0.0001), baseline platelet counts (OR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.98-0.99, p < 0.0001), and baseline total bilirubin level (OR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.71-0.91, p = 0.0003) were independent predictive factors of significant platelet count improvement. Subgroup analyses showed that patients with significant platelet count improvement and sustained virologic responses, regardless of advanced fibrosis, had a significant increase in platelet counts from baseline to treatment week 4, end-of-treatment, PTW12, and PTW48. Young age, presence of DM, absence of cirrhosis, reduced baseline platelet counts, and reduced baseline total bilirubin levels were associated with significant platelet count improvement after DAA therapy in thrombocytopenic CHC patients.

Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir for Hepatitis C Virus Infection: Real-World Effectiveness and Safety from a Nationwide Registry in Taiwan.

INTRODUCTION: Pangenotypic direct-acting antivirals are expected to cure hepatitis C virus (HCV) in more than 95% of treated patients. However, data on the effectiveness and safety of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) in Taiwan are limited. This study aims to characterize the patient population in the nationwide Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL) HCV Registry and evaluate treatment outcome in Taiwanese patients receiving SOF/VEL. METHODS: This study was a retrospective-prospective, observational, multicenter, real-world analysis. Adults with chronic hepatitis C were treated with SOF/VEL 400/100 mg ± ribavirin for 12 weeks. The primary outcome was sustained virologic response 12 weeks after end of therapy (SVR12). Factors associated with not achieving SVR12 were evaluated using logistic regression and covariate analysis. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: In total, 3480 patients were included: 86.8% genotype 1/2, 2.8% genotype 3, 0.1% genotype 4/5, 9.6% genotype 6; unclassified, 0.8%; 12.2% compensated cirrhosis; 3.3% decompensated cirrhosis; and 15.8% chronic kidney disease. Overall SVR12 rate was 99.4% (genotype 1, 99.5%; genotype 2, 99.4%; genotype 3, 96.9%; genotype 4, 100%; genotype 6, 99.7%). SVR12 rates among patients with compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and chronic kidney disease stages 4-5 were 99.5%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. There were 21 patients (0.6%) who did not achieve SVR12. Factors associated with failure were treatment adherence below 60%, high viral load, and genotype 3 (p < 0.001, p = 0.028, and p = 0.001, respectively). Adverse events occurred in 10% of patients; 0.6% were serious and one was related to treatment. Treatment discontinuation occurred in 0.3% of patients; none were treatment related. The estimated glomerular filtration rate remained stable throughout treatment and follow-up, regardless of baseline values and cirrhosis status. CONCLUSION: SOF/VEL was highly effective and well tolerated in Taiwanese patients, irrespective of viral genotype, liver disease severity, and comorbidities.