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1.
JAMA ; 2024 08 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39196964

RESUMO

Importance: Most research to understand postacute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or long COVID, has focused on adults, with less known about this complex condition in children. Research is needed to characterize pediatric PASC to enable studies of underlying mechanisms that will guide future treatment. Objective: To identify the most common prolonged symptoms experienced by children (aged 6 to 17 years) after SARS-CoV-2 infection, how these symptoms differ by age (school-age [6-11 years] vs adolescents [12-17 years]), how they cluster into distinct phenotypes, and what symptoms in combination could be used as an empirically derived index to assist researchers to study the likely presence of PASC. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter longitudinal observational cohort study with participants recruited from more than 60 US health care and community settings between March 2022 and December 2023, including school-age children and adolescents with and without SARS-CoV-2 infection history. Exposure: SARS-CoV-2 infection. Main Outcomes and Measures: PASC and 89 prolonged symptoms across 9 symptom domains. Results: A total of 898 school-age children (751 with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection [referred to as infected] and 147 without [referred to as uninfected]; mean age, 8.6 years; 49% female; 11% were Black or African American, 34% were Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish, and 60% were White) and 4469 adolescents (3109 infected and 1360 uninfected; mean age, 14.8 years; 48% female; 13% were Black or African American, 21% were Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish, and 73% were White) were included. Median time between first infection and symptom survey was 506 days for school-age children and 556 days for adolescents. In models adjusted for sex and race and ethnicity, 14 symptoms in both school-age children and adolescents were more common in those with SARS-CoV-2 infection history compared with those without infection history, with 4 additional symptoms in school-age children only and 3 in adolescents only. These symptoms affected almost every organ system. Combinations of symptoms most associated with infection history were identified to form a PASC research index for each age group; these indices correlated with poorer overall health and quality of life. The index emphasizes neurocognitive, pain, and gastrointestinal symptoms in school-age children but change or loss in smell or taste, pain, and fatigue/malaise-related symptoms in adolescents. Clustering analyses identified 4 PASC symptom phenotypes in school-age children and 3 in adolescents. Conclusions and Relevance: This study developed research indices for characterizing PASC in children and adolescents. Symptom patterns were similar but distinguishable between the 2 groups, highlighting the importance of characterizing PASC separately for these age ranges.

6.
Pediatrics ; 153(3)2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38321938

RESUMO

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused significant medical, social, and economic impacts globally, both in the short and long term. Although most individuals recover within a few days or weeks from an acute infection, some experience longer lasting effects. Data regarding the postacute sequelae of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection (PASC) in children, or long COVID, are only just emerging in the literature. These symptoms and conditions may reflect persistent symptoms from acute infection (eg, cough, headaches, fatigue, and loss of taste and smell), new symptoms like dizziness, or exacerbation of underlying conditions. Children may develop conditions de novo, including postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome, autoimmune conditions and multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children. This state-of-the-art narrative review provides a summary of our current knowledge about PASC in children, including prevalence, epidemiology, risk factors, clinical characteristics, underlying mechanisms, and functional outcomes, as well as a conceptual framework for PASC based on the current National Institutes of Health definition. We highlight the pediatric components of the National Institutes of Health-funded Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery Initiative, which seeks to characterize the natural history, mechanisms, and long-term health effects of PASC in children and young adults to inform future treatment and prevention efforts. These initiatives include electronic health record cohorts, which offer rapid assessments at scale with geographical and demographic diversity, as well as longitudinal prospective observational cohorts, to estimate disease burden, illness trajectory, pathobiology, and clinical manifestations and outcomes.


Assuntos
Doenças Autoimunes , COVID-19 , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica , Criança , Humanos , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Progressão da Doença , Estudos Observacionais como Assunto , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos
7.
Res Sq ; 2024 Apr 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38746290

RESUMO

Estimates of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) incidence, also known as Long COVID, have varied across studies and changed over time. We estimated PASC incidence among adult and pediatric populations in three nationwide research networks of electronic health records (EHR) participating in the RECOVER Initiative using different classification algorithms (computable phenotypes). Overall, 7% of children and 8.5%-26.4% of adults developed PASC, depending on computable phenotype used. Excess incidence among SARS-CoV-2 patients was 4% in children and ranged from 4-7% among adults, representing a lower-bound incidence estimation based on two control groups - contemporary COVID-19 negative and historical patients (2019). Temporal patterns were consistent across networks, with peaks associated with introduction of new viral variants. Our findings indicate that preventing and mitigating Long COVID remains a public health priority. Examining temporal patterns and risk factors of PASC incidence informs our understanding of etiology and can improve prevention and management.

8.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0285635, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713673

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: The prevalence, pathophysiology, and long-term outcomes of COVID-19 (post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 [PASC] or "Long COVID") in children and young adults remain unknown. Studies must address the urgent need to define PASC, its mechanisms, and potential treatment targets in children and young adults. OBSERVATIONS: We describe the protocol for the Pediatric Observational Cohort Study of the NIH's REsearching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Initiative. RECOVER-Pediatrics is an observational meta-cohort study of caregiver-child pairs (birth through 17 years) and young adults (18 through 25 years), recruited from more than 100 sites across the US. This report focuses on two of four cohorts that comprise RECOVER-Pediatrics: 1) a de novo RECOVER prospective cohort of children and young adults with and without previous or current infection; and 2) an extant cohort derived from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study (n = 10,000). The de novo cohort incorporates three tiers of data collection: 1) remote baseline assessments (Tier 1, n = 6000); 2) longitudinal follow-up for up to 4 years (Tier 2, n = 6000); and 3) a subset of participants, primarily the most severely affected by PASC, who will undergo deep phenotyping to explore PASC pathophysiology (Tier 3, n = 600). Youth enrolled in the ABCD study participate in Tier 1. The pediatric protocol was developed as a collaborative partnership of investigators, patients, researchers, clinicians, community partners, and federal partners, intentionally promoting inclusivity and diversity. The protocol is adaptive to facilitate responses to emerging science. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: RECOVER-Pediatrics seeks to characterize the clinical course, underlying mechanisms, and long-term effects of PASC from birth through 25 years old. RECOVER-Pediatrics is designed to elucidate the epidemiology, four-year clinical course, and sociodemographic correlates of pediatric PASC. The data and biosamples will allow examination of mechanistic hypotheses and biomarkers, thus providing insights into potential therapeutic interventions. CLINICAL TRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: Clinical Trial Registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT05172011.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Masculino , Lactente , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Prospectivos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Estudos de Coortes , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda
9.
Elife ; 122023 05 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37140960

RESUMO

The COVID-19 global pandemic caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection has infected hundreds of millions of individuals. Following COVID-19 infection, a subset can develop a wide range of chronic symptoms affecting diverse organ systems referred to as post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), also known as long COVID. A National Institutes of Health-sponsored initiative, RECOVER: Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery, has sought to understand the basis of long COVID in a large cohort. Given the range of symptoms that occur in long COVID, the mechanisms that may underlie these diverse symptoms may also be diverse. In this review, we focus on the emerging literature supporting the role(s) that viral persistence or reactivation of viruses may play in PASC. Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA or antigens is reported in some organs, yet the mechanism by which they do so and how they may be associated with pathogenic immune responses is unclear. Understanding the mechanisms of persistence of RNA, antigen or other reactivated viruses and how they may relate to specific inflammatory responses that drive symptoms of PASC may provide a rationale for treatment.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Estados Unidos , Humanos , RNA Viral , SARS-CoV-2 , Progressão da Doença
10.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 42(7): 590-593, 2023 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36917023

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a rare inflammatory syndrome associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Children are increasingly admitted for MIS-C evaluation, but instead found to have alternative diagnoses. METHODS: Retrospective study of all pediatric patients <21 years of age hospitalized between August 1, 2020, and July 31, 2021, with clinical concern for MIS-C at the time of presentation were identified through use of an institutional computerized MIS-C order entry set. Final diagnoses were then collected through primary review of the medical record from the time of initial presentation through 1-month postdischarge. RESULTS: Of 359 cases identified through the MIS-C order entry set, 126 (35.1%) met criteria for MIS-C, 28 had Kawasaki Disease (KD) (7.8%), and 11 cases met criteria for both MIS-C and KD (3.1%), leaving 194 (54.0%) patients ruled out and categorized as "MIS-C mimickers." Infectious diagnoses were the most common MIS-C mimickers (78.9%). Of the infectious etiologies, bacterial (51.0%) and viral (52.3%) etiologies were seen with similar frequency. CONCLUSIONS: We describe MIS-C mimickers spanning multiple subspecialties, with infectious etiologies predominating, which can aid clinicians in the consideration of diagnostic testing, with the goal of achieving timely and accurate diagnoses.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome de Linfonodos Mucocutâneos , Criança , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Retrospectivos , Assistência ao Convalescente , Alta do Paciente , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Linfonodos Mucocutâneos/diagnóstico
11.
Elife ; 122023 09 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37737716

RESUMO

The NIH-funded RECOVER study is collecting clinical data on patients who experience a SARS-CoV-2 infection. As patient representatives of the RECOVER Initiative's Mechanistic Pathways task force, we offer our perspectives on patient motivations for partnering with researchers to obtain results from mechanistic studies. We emphasize the challenges of balancing urgency with scientific rigor. We recognize the importance of such partnerships in addressing post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), which includes 'long COVID,' through contrasting objective and subjective narratives. Long COVID's prevalence served as a call to action for patients like us to become actively involved in efforts to understand our condition. Patient-centered and patient-partnered research informs the balance between urgency and robust mechanistic research. Results from collaborating on protocol design, diverse patient inclusion, and awareness of community concerns establish a new precedent in biomedical research study design. With a public health matter as pressing as the long-term complications that can emerge after SARS-CoV-2 infection, considerate and equitable stakeholder involvement is essential to guiding seminal research. Discussions in the RECOVER Mechanistic Pathways task force gave rise to this commentary as well as other review articles on the current scientific understanding of PASC mechanisms.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica , COVID-19 , Humanos , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , SARS-CoV-2 , Progressão da Doença
12.
J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc ; 12(1): 21-28, 2023 Feb 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36317225

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has driven a significant increase in the use of telehealth (TH) but little is published about changes in TH usage by pediatric infectious disease (PID) providers. We assessed their pre- and intra-pandemic TH usage and experience. METHODS: The Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society Telehealth Work Group surveyed PID specialists in the United States and Canada from 6 December 2020 until 26 February 2021. Data collected included TH modalities, barriers, and satisfaction. RESULTS: The survey response rate was 11.3% (288 of 2,550 PID clinicians) with 243 (96% of 253 analysis-eligible responses) managing children only. Women accounted for 62.1% (n = 157), 51.4% (130) of respondents devoted 50-99% of their time to direct patient care, and 93.3% (236) were located in the United States. The greatest increase in TH usage during the pandemic was in synchronous provider-patient communications (3.9-fold increase). During the pandemic, provider-provider TH increased by less than 10%, comfort with TH usage doubled from 42% to 91%, and satisfaction grew from 74% to 93.3% with different aspects of TH. The top challenge was incomplete or no physical examination (182, 71.9%). Multivariate analysis showed that pre-pandemic TH usage and lack of barriers, but not reimbursement, were significantly associated with higher intra-pandemic usage. EMR-integrated TH was associated with significantly higher usage and satisfaction. Over 70% of respondents anticipate continuing TH usage after the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: There was high intra-pandemic usage of, and increased comfort and satisfaction with telehealth by PID specialists. Our data help inform post-pandemic TH expectations and strategies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Telemedicina , Criança , Humanos , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Pandemias , América do Norte/epidemiologia
13.
Elife ; 122023 05 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37233729

RESUMO

With a global tally of more than 500 million cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections to date, there are growing concerns about the post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), also known as long COVID. Recent studies suggest that exaggerated immune responses are key determinants of the severity and outcomes of the initial SARS-CoV-2 infection as well as subsequent PASC. The complexity of the innate and adaptive immune responses in the acute and post-acute period requires in-depth mechanistic analyses to identify specific molecular signals as well as specific immune cell populations which promote PASC pathogenesis. In this review, we examine the current literature on mechanisms of immune dysregulation in severe COVID-19 and the limited emerging data on the immunopathology of PASC. While the acute and post-acute phases may share some parallel mechanisms of immunopathology, it is likely that PASC immunopathology is quite distinct and heterogeneous, thus requiring large-scale longitudinal analyses in patients with and without PASC after an acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. By outlining the knowledge gaps in the immunopathology of PASC, we hope to provide avenues for novel research directions that will ultimately lead to precision therapies which restore healthy immune function in PASC patients.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Humanos , COVID-19/complicações , Progressão da Doença , SARS-CoV-2
14.
Front Immunol ; 14: 1129459, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36969241

RESUMO

Although most individuals recover from acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, a significant number continue to suffer from Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 (PASC), including the unexplained symptoms that are frequently referred to as long COVID, which could last for weeks, months, or even years after the acute phase of illness. The National Institutes of Health is currently funding large multi-center research programs as part of its Researching COVID to Enhance Recover (RECOVER) initiative to understand why some individuals do not recover fully from COVID-19. Several ongoing pathobiology studies have provided clues to potential mechanisms contributing to this condition. These include persistence of SARS-CoV-2 antigen and/or genetic material, immune dysregulation, reactivation of other latent viral infections, microvascular dysfunction, and gut dysbiosis, among others. Although our understanding of the causes of long COVID remains incomplete, these early pathophysiologic studies suggest biological pathways that could be targeted in therapeutic trials that aim to ameliorate symptoms. Repurposed medicines and novel therapeutics deserve formal testing in clinical trial settings prior to adoption. While we endorse clinical trials, especially those that prioritize inclusion of the diverse populations most affected by COVID-19 and long COVID, we discourage off-label experimentation in uncontrolled and/or unsupervised settings. Here, we review ongoing, planned, and potential future therapeutic interventions for long COVID based on the current understanding of the pathobiological processes underlying this condition. We focus on clinical, pharmacological, and feasibility data, with the goal of informing future interventional research studies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Viroses , Estados Unidos , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Motivação
15.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(10): e2337602, 2023 10 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37824141

RESUMO

Importance: Live vaccines (measles-mumps-rubella [MMR] and varicella-zoster virus [VZV]) have not been recommended after solid organ transplant due to concern for inciting vaccine strain infection in an immunocompromised host. However, the rates of measles, mumps, and varicella are rising nationally and internationally, leaving susceptible immunocompromised children at risk for life-threating conditions. Objective: To determine the safety and immunogenicity of live vaccines in pediatric liver and kidney transplant recipients. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included select pediatric liver and kidney transplant recipients who had not completed their primary MMR and VZV vaccine series and/or who displayed nonprotective serum antibody levels at enrollment between January 1, 2002, and February 28, 2023. Eligibility for live vaccine was determined by individual US pediatric solid organ transplant center protocols. Exposures: Exposure was defined as receipt of a posttransplant live vaccine. Transplant recipients received 1 to 3 doses of MMR vaccine and/or 1 to 3 doses of VZV vaccine. Main Outcome and Measure: Safety data were collected following each vaccination, and antibody levels were obtained at 0 to 3 months and 1 year following vaccination. Comparisons were performed using Mann-Whitney U test, and factors associated with development of postvaccination protective antibodies were explored using univariate analysis. Results: The cohort included 281 children (270 [96%] liver, 9 [3%] kidney, 2 [1%] liver-kidney recipients) from 18 centers. The median time from transplant to enrollment was 6.3 years (IQR, 3.4-11.1 years). The median age at first posttransplant vaccine was 8.9 years (IQR, 4.7-13.8 years). A total of 202 of 275 (73%) children were receiving low-level monotherapy immunosuppression at the time of vaccination. The majority of children developed protective antibodies following vaccination (107 of 149 [72%] varicella, 130 of 152 [86%] measles, 100 of 120 [83%] mumps, and 124 of 125 [99%] rubella). One year post vaccination, the majority of children who initially mounted protective antibodies maintained this protection (34 of 44 [77%] varicella, 45 of 49 [92%] measles, 35 of 42 [83%] mumps, 51 of 54 [94%] rubella). Five children developed clinical varicella, all of which resolved within 1 week. There were no cases of measles or rubella and no episodes of graft rejection within 1 month of vaccination. There was no association between antibody response and immunosuppression level at the time of vaccination. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that live vaccinations may be safe and immunogenic after solid organ transplant in select pediatric recipients and can offer protection against circulating measles, mumps, and varicella.


Assuntos
Varicela , Sarampo , Caxumba , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão) , Vacinas Virais , Criança , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Adolescente , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Varicela/efeitos adversos , Vacinas Combinadas , Transplantados , Estudos de Coortes , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/prevenção & controle , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Atenuadas/efeitos adversos
16.
medRxiv ; 2023 May 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37214806

RESUMO

Importance: The prevalence, pathophysiology, and long-term outcomes of COVID-19 (post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 [PASC] or "Long COVID") in children and young adults remain unknown. Studies must address the urgent need to define PASC, its mechanisms, and potential treatment targets in children and young adults. Observations: We describe the protocol for the Pediatric Observational Cohort Study of the NIH's RE searching COV ID to E nhance R ecovery (RECOVER) Initiative. RECOVER-Pediatrics is an observational meta-cohort study of caregiver-child pairs (birth through 17 years) and young adults (18 through 25 years), recruited from more than 100 sites across the US. This report focuses on two of five cohorts that comprise RECOVER-Pediatrics: 1) a de novo RECOVER prospective cohort of children and young adults with and without previous or current infection; and 2) an extant cohort derived from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study ( n =10,000). The de novo cohort incorporates three tiers of data collection: 1) remote baseline assessments (Tier 1, n=6000); 2) longitudinal follow-up for up to 4 years (Tier 2, n=6000); and 3) a subset of participants, primarily the most severely affected by PASC, who will undergo deep phenotyping to explore PASC pathophysiology (Tier 3, n=600). Youth enrolled in the ABCD study participate in Tier 1. The pediatric protocol was developed as a collaborative partnership of investigators, patients, researchers, clinicians, community partners, and federal partners, intentionally promoting inclusivity and diversity. The protocol is adaptive to facilitate responses to emerging science. Conclusions and Relevance: RECOVER-Pediatrics seeks to characterize the clinical course, underlying mechanisms, and long-term effects of PASC from birth through 25 years old. RECOVER-Pediatrics is designed to elucidate the epidemiology, four-year clinical course, and sociodemographic correlates of pediatric PASC. The data and biosamples will allow examination of mechanistic hypotheses and biomarkers, thus providing insights into potential therapeutic interventions. Clinical Trialsgov Identifier: Clinical Trial Registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT05172011.

18.
Pharmaceutics ; 15(1)2022 Dec 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36678704

RESUMO

Isavuconazole is a broad-spectrum azole anti-fungal not yet approved in children. We conducted a retrospective, single-center review of isavuconazole use and routine therapeutic drug monitoring in pediatric patients, extracting demographic, dosing, concentration, mortality and hepatoxicity data. We constructed a nonparametric population model using Pmetrics. Of 26 patients, 19 (73%) were male. The mean (SD) age and weight were 12.7 (5.5) years and 50.9 (26.8) kg. Eighty percent received between 9.7 and 10.6 mg/kg per dose. Ten (38%) subjects had proven fungal disease and eight (31%) had probable disease, mostly with Candida and Aspergillus spp. The predicted steady-state isavuconazole concentrations in our patients were similar to previous reports in children and adults, and simulations with the proposed dosing of 10 mg/kg/dose every 8 h for 2 days followed by once daily maintenance matched effective adult exposures. Attributable mortality (5 of 11 deaths) was associated with steady-state daily AUC < 60 mg∗h/L and higher AST/ALT with trough concentrations > 5 mg/L. Neither dose nor trough alone correlated well with AUC, but AUC can be estimated with one sample 10 h after the first maintenance dose or a trough concentration, if combined with a Bayesian approach or a peak and trough without a Bayesian approach.

19.
Lancet Digit Health ; 4(10): e717-e726, 2022 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36150781

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a novel disease that was identified during the COVID-19 pandemic and is characterised by systemic inflammation following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Early detection of MIS-C is a challenge given its clinical similarities to Kawasaki disease and other acute febrile childhood illnesses. We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence algorithm that can distinguish among MIS-C, Kawasaki disease, and other similar febrile illnesses and aid in the diagnosis of patients in the emergency department and acute care setting. METHODS: In this retrospective model development and validation study, we developed a deep-learning algorithm called KIDMATCH (Kawasaki Disease vs Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children) using patient age, the five classic clinical Kawasaki disease signs, and 17 laboratory measurements. All features were prospectively collected at the time of initial evaluation from patients diagnosed with Kawasaki disease or other febrile illness between Jan 1, 2009, and Dec 31, 2019, at Rady Children's Hospital in San Diego (CA, USA). For patients with MIS-C, the same data were collected from patients between May 7, 2020, and July 20, 2021, at Rady Children's Hospital, Connecticut Children's Medical Center in Hartford (CT, USA), and Children's Hospital Los Angeles (CA, USA). We trained a two-stage model consisting of feedforward neural networks to distinguish between patients with MIS-C and those without and then those with Kawasaki disease and other febrile illnesses. After internally validating the algorithm using stratified tenfold cross-validation, we incorporated a conformal prediction framework to tag patients with erroneous data or distribution shifts. We finally externally validated KIDMATCH on patients with MIS-C enrolled between April 22, 2020, and July 21, 2021, from Boston Children's Hospital (MA, USA), Children's National Hospital (Washington, DC, USA), and the CHARMS Study Group consortium of 14 US hospitals. FINDINGS: 1517 patients diagnosed at Rady Children's Hospital between Jan 1, 2009, and June 7, 2021, with MIS-C (n=69), Kawasaki disease (n=775), or other febrile illnesses (n=673) were identified for internal validation, with an additional 16 patients with MIS-C included from Connecticut Children's Medical Center and 50 from Children's Hospital Los Angeles between May 7, 2020, and July 20, 2021. KIDMATCH achieved a median area under the receiver operating characteristic curve during internal validation of 98·8% (IQR 98·0-99·3) in the first stage and 96·0% (95·6-97·2) in the second stage. We externally validated KIDMATCH on 175 patients with MIS-C from Boston Children's Hospital (n=50), Children's National Hospital (n=42), and the CHARMS Study Group consortium of 14 US hospitals (n=83). External validation of KIDMATCH on patients with MIS-C correctly classified 76 of 81 patients (94% accuracy, two rejected by conformal prediction) from 14 hospitals in the CHARMS Study Group consortium, 47 of 49 patients (96% accuracy, one rejected by conformal prediction) from Boston Children's Hospital, and 36 of 40 patients (90% accuracy, two rejected by conformal prediction) from Children's National Hospital. INTERPRETATION: KIDMATCH has the potential to aid front-line clinicians to distinguish between MIS-C, Kawasaki disease, and other similar febrile illnesses to allow prompt treatment and prevent severe complications. FUNDING: US Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, US Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, US National Library of Medicine, the McCance Foundation, and the Gordon and Marilyn Macklin Foundation.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Síndrome de Linfonodos Mucocutâneos , Algoritmos , Inteligência Artificial , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Teste para COVID-19 , Criança , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Síndrome de Linfonodos Mucocutâneos/diagnóstico , Pandemias , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica , Estados Unidos
20.
medRxiv ; 2022 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35169809

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a novel disease identified during the COVID-19 pandemic characterized by systemic inflammation following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Delays in diagnosing MIS-C may lead to more severe disease with cardiac dysfunction or death. Most pediatric patients recover fully with anti-inflammatory treatments, but early detection of MIS-C remains a challenge given its clinical similarities to Kawasaki disease (KD) and other acute childhood illnesses. METHODS: We developed KIDMATCH ( K awasak I D isease vs M ultisystem Infl A mma T ory syndrome in CH ildren), a deep learning algorithm for screening patients for MIS-C, KD, or other febrile illness, using age, the five classical clinical KD signs, and 17 laboratory measurements prospectively collected within 24 hours of admission to the emergency department from 1448 patients diagnosed with KD or other febrile illness between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2019 at Rady Children's Hospital. For MIS-C patients, the same data was collected from 131 patients between May 14, 2020 to June 18, 2021 at Rady Children's Hospital, Connecticut Children's Hospital, and Children's Hospital Los Angeles. We trained a two-stage model consisting of feedforward neural networks to distinguish between MIS-C and non MIS-C patients and then KD and other febrile illness. After internally validating the algorithm using 10-fold cross validation, we incorporated a conformal prediction framework to tag patients with erroneous data or distribution shifts, enhancing the model generalizability and confidence by flagging unfamiliar cases as indeterminate instead of making spurious predictions. We externally validated KIDMATCH on 175 MIS-C patients from 16 hospitals across the United States. FINDINGS: KIDMATCH achieved a high median area under the curve in the 10-fold cross validation of 0.988 [IQR: 0.98-0.993] in the first stage and 0.96 [IQR: 0.956-0.972] in the second stage using thresholds set at 95% sensitivity to detect positive MIS-C and KD cases respectively during training. External validation of KIDMATCH on MIS-C patients correctly classified 76/83 (2 rejected) patients from the CHARMS consortium, 47/50 (1 rejected) patients from Boston Children's Hospital, and 36/42 (2 rejected) patients from Children's National Hospital. INTERPRETATION: KIDMATCH has the potential to aid frontline clinicians with distinguishing between MIS-C, KD, and similar febrile illnesses in a timely manner to allow prompt treatment and prevent severe complications. FUNDING: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute, National Library of Medicine.

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