Obesity and immune-checkpoint inhibitors in advanced melanoma: A meta-analysis of survival outcomes from clinical studies.

Obesity is a chronic inflammatory condition that has been associated with different types of cancer. However, its role in melanoma incidence, progression, and response to immune-checkpoint-inhibitors (ICI) is still controversial. On the one hand, increased levels of lipids and adipokines can promote tumor proliferation and several genes associated with fatty acid metabolism have been found to be upregulated in melanomas. On the other hand, immunotherapy seems to be more effective in obese animal models, presumably due to an increase in CD8 + and subsequent decrease in PD-1 + T-cells in the tumor microenvironment. In humans, several studies have investigated the role of BMI (body mass index) and other adiposity-related parameters as potential prognostic markers of survival in advanced melanoma patients treated with ICI. The aim of this research has been to systematically review the scientific literature on studies evaluating the relationship between overweight/obesity and survival outcomes in patients with advanced melanoma treated with ICI and to perform a meta-analysis on those sharing common characteristics. After screening 1070 records identified through a literature search, 18 articles assessing the role of BMI-related exposure in relation to survival outcomes in ICI-treated patients with advanced melanoma were included in our review. In the meta-analysis of the association between overweight (defined as BMI>25 or BMI 25-30), overall survival (OS), and progression free survival (PFS), 7 studies were included, yielding a summary HR of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.74-1.03) and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.86-1.08), respectively. Our results show that, despite few suggestive findings, the use of BMI as a valuable predictor of melanoma patients' survival in terms of PFS and OS should not be currently recommended, due to the limited evidence available.

Potential impact of climatic factors on malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2021: a time-series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Malaria remains an important public health problem, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. In Rwanda, where malaria ranks among the leading causes of mortality and morbidity, disease transmission is influenced by climatic factors. However, there is a paucity of studies investigating the link between climate change and malaria dynamics, which hinders the development of effective national malaria response strategies. Addressing this critical gap, this study analyses how climatic factors influence malaria transmission across Rwanda, thereby informing tailored interventions and enhancing disease management frameworks. METHODS: The study analysed the potential impact of temperature and cumulative rainfall on malaria incidence in Rwanda from 2012 to 2021 using meteorological data from the Rwanda Meteorological Agency and malaria case records from the Rwanda Health Management and Information System. The analysis was performed in two stages. First, district-specific generalized linear models with a quasi-Poisson distribution were applied, which were enhanced by distributed lag non-linear models to explore non-linear and lagged effects. Second, random effects multivariate meta-analysis was employed to pool the estimates and to refine them through best linear unbiased predictions. RESULTS: A 1-month lag with specific temperature and rainfall thresholds influenced malaria incidence across Rwanda. Average temperature of 18.5 °C was associated with higher malaria risk, while temperature above 23.9 °C reduced the risk. Rainfall demonstrated a dual effect on malaria risk: conditions of low (below 73 mm per month) and high (above 223 mm per month) precipitation correlated with lower risk, while moderate rainfall (87 to 223 mm per month) correlated with higher risk. Seasonal patterns showed increased malaria risk during the major rainy season, while the short dry season presented lower risk. CONCLUSION: The study underscores the influence of temperature and rainfall on malaria transmission in Rwanda and calls for tailored interventions that are specific to location and season. The findings are crucial for informing policy that enhance preparedness and contribute to malaria elimination efforts. Future research should explore additional ecological and socioeconomic factors and their differential contribution to malaria transmission.

Examining the relationship between the environmental impact of diet and child growth from a co-benefit perspective.

The adoption of diets that minimize both their environmental impacts and weight excess in children would be a major co-benefit for climate change mitigation. We evaluated the relationship between child diet-related environmental impact and anthropometric characteristics in an Italian birth cohort. The study involved 2127 children of the Piccolipiù birth cohort. At 4 years, their diet in the previous two months was assessed through a questionnaire, from which we derived individual: (i) diet-related daily greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE), (ii) land use (LU), (iii) adherence to the Mediterranean Diet (MD) and (iv) red meat consumption. We related these variables with overweight and obesity, waist circumference, and height at 4 years using regression models adjusted for a priori selected confounders. Diet-related GHGE and LU had a positive weak association with overweight and obesity, with an odds ratio (OR) for the fourth vs. second quartile of 1.30 for both GHGE (95% confidence intervals -CI-: 0.96; 1.77) and LU (95% CI: 0.96-1.76). Both OR estimates increased after adjustment for energy intake. GHGE and LU were not associated with height, with the exception of shorter children in the first quartile. A high vs. low MD adherence was associated with an increase in height Z-score of 0.11 (95% CI 0.01; 0.21). No association was found for red meat consumption. These results suggest that lowering the impact of high environmental impact diets may have, if anything, beneficial effects on child obesity, overweight, and height, with pro-MD patterns playing an important role.

Maternal antenatal mental health and its associations with perinatal outcomes and the use of healthcare services in children from the NINFEA birth cohort study.

To investigate the associations between maternal mental health disorders before and during pregnancy and perinatal outcomes and child healthcare utilization between 6 and 18 months of age. Among the 6814 mother-child pairs from the Italian Internet-based NINFEA birth cohort, maternal depression, anxiety, and sleep disorders diagnosed by a physician before and during pregnancy were assessed through self-reported questionnaires completed during pregnancy and 6 months after delivery. Perinatal outcomes (preterm birth, birth weight, small for gestational age, congenital anomalies, and neonatal intensive care unit (NICU)) and children's healthcare utilization (emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and outpatient visits) were reported by mothers at 6 and 18 months postpartum. We used regression models adjusted for maternal age, education, parity, country of birth, region of delivery, and household income. Maternal mental health disorders were not associated with perinatal outcomes, except for depression, which increased the risk of offspring admission to NICU, and anxiety disorders during pregnancy, which were associated with preterm birth and lower birth weight. Children born to mothers with depression/anxiety disorders before pregnancy, compared to children of mothers without these disorders, had an increased odds of a visit to ED for any reason (odds ratio (ORadj) = 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.54), of an ED visit resulting in hospitalization (ORadj = 1.75, 95%CI: 1.27-2.42), and of planned hospital admissions (ORadj = 1.55, 95%CI: 1.01-2.40). These associations with healthcare utilization were similar for mental disorders also during pregnancy. The association pattern of maternal sleep disorders with perinatal outcomes and child healthcare utilization resembled that of maternal depression and/or anxiety disorders with these outcomes.   Conclusion: Antenatal maternal mental health is a potential risk factor for child-health outcomes and healthcare use. Early maternal mental health interventions may help to promote child health and reduce healthcare costs. What is Known: • Poor maternal mental health affects pregnancy outcomes and child health, and children of mothers with mental health conditions tend to have increased healtcare utilization. • Parents with poor mental health often face challenges in caring for their children and have less parenting self-efficacy, which could potentially lead to frequent medical consultations for minor health issues. What is New: • Maternal pre-pregnancy mental disorders were not associated with preterm birth, low birth weight, SGA, and congenital anomalies, except for depression, which increased the risk of offspring admission to NICU. Anxiety disorders during pregnancy were associated with lower birth weight and an increased odds of preterm birth. • Maternal depression and/or anxiety and sleep disorders, both before and during pregnancy, were associated with an increase in children's healthcare utilization between 6 and 18 months of life.

Socioeconomic position, family context, and child cognitive development.

Socioeconomic position (SEP) may have different effects on cognitive development and family context could play a role in this association. This work aimed to analyse the role of socioeconomic positions, measured via various indicators collected longitudinally, in cognitive development at 7-11 years of age, evaluating the role of family context as a potential mediator. The study sample included 394 and 382 children from the INMA Gipuzkoa and Valencia cohorts, respectively. SEP indicators were assessed during pregnancy (family social class, parental education, employment, and disposable income) and at 7 (Gipuzkoa) and 11 (Valencia) years of age (At Risk of Poverty or Social Exclusion (AROPE)). Family context and cognitive development were measured with the Haezi-Etxadi Family Assessment Scale 7-11 (HEFAS 7-11) and Raven's Coloured Progressive Matrices (Raven's CPM), respectively. Linear regression models were developed to assess the relationships between (a) SEP-family context, (b) SEP-cognitive development, and (c) family context-cognitive development, adjusting for a priori-selected confounders. Simple and multiple mediation analyses were performed to explore the role of family context in the SEP-cognitive development relationship. Lower SEP was related with a lower cognitive score, this association being particularly robust for family social class. SEP indicators were related to subscales of family context, in particular those regarding cognitive stimulation, parental stress, and parenting. A relationship was also found between these three subscales and child cognitive development, mediating the effect of family social class on child cognition by 5.2, 5.5, and 10.8%, respectively, and 12.0% jointly.    Conclusion: Both family SEP and context contribute to a child's cognitive development. Equalising policies and positive parenting programmes could contribute to improving cognitive development in children. What is Known: • Parental social class, education, and employment status have been widely employed to measure socioeconomic position. What is New: • This work focuses on standard measurements of socioeconomic position but also other economic indicators such as the EHII and AROPE, and their effect on child cognitive development and family context. • Promotion of cognitive and linguistic development, parental stress and conflict, and parental profile fostering child development mediated the effect of family social class on cognitive development.

[The peer-review process: critical issues and challenges from an online survey]. / Il processo della revisione tra pari: criticità e sfide emerse da una survey online.

BACKGROUND: the peer-review process, which is the foundation of modern scientific production, represents one of its essential elements. However, despite numerous benefits, it presents several critical issues. OBJECTIVES: to collect the opinions of a group of researchers from the epidemiological scientific community on peer-review processes. DESIGN: cross-sectional study using a questionnaire evaluation. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: a 29-question survey was administered to 516 healthcare professionals through the SurveyMonkey platform. The questions focused on the individual characteristics of the respondents and their perceived satisfaction with some characteristics of the review process as well as their propensity of changing some aspects of it. In addition, three open-ended questions were included, allowing respondents to provide comments on the role that reviewers and the review process should play. Descriptive statistics were produced in terms of absolute frequencies and percentages for the information collected through the questionnaire. Secondly, a multiple logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the willingness to change certain aspects of peer review, adjusting for covariates such as age, sex, being the author of at least one scientific work, being a reviewer of at least one scientific work, and belonging to a specific discipline. The results are expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Text analysis and representation using word cloud were also used for an open-ended question. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: level of satisfaction regarding some characteristics of the peer-review process. RESULTS: a total of 516 participants completed the questionnaire. Specifically, 87.2% (N. 450) of the participants were the authors of at least one scientific publication, 78.7% were first authors at least once (N. 406), and 71.5% acted as reviewers within the peer-review process (N. 369). The results obtained from the multiple logistic regression models did not highlight any significant differences in terms of propensity to change for age and sex categories, except for a lower propensity of the under 35 age group towards unmasking, defined as the presence of reviewers and editorial boards names on the publish article (OR <35 years vs 45-54 years: 0.51; 95%CI 0.29-0.89) and a higher propensity for post-formatting proposals, defined as the possibility of formatting the article following journal guidelines after the acceptance, among those under 45 (OR <35 years vs 45-54 years: 1.73; 95%CI 0.90-3.31; OR 35-44 years vs 45-54 years: 2.02; 95%CI 1.10-3.72). Finally, approximately 50% of respondents found it appropriate to receive credits for the revision work performed, while approximately 30% found it appropriate to receive a discount on publication fees for the same journal in which they acted as reviewers. CONCLUSIONS: the peer-review process is considered essential, but imperfect, by the professionals who participated in the questionnaire, thus providing a clear picture of the value that peer-review adds rigorously to each scientific work and the need to continue constructive dialogue on this topic within the scientific community.

Associations of Maternal Educational Level, Proximity to Greenspace During Pregnancy, and Gestational Diabetes With Body Mass Index From Infancy to Early Adulthood: A Proof-of-Concept Federated Analysis in 18 Birth Cohorts.

International sharing of cohort data for research is important and challenging. We explored the feasibility of multi-cohort federated analyses by examining associations between three pregnancy exposures (maternal education, exposure to green vegetation and gestational diabetes) with offspring BMI from infancy to 17 years. We used data from 18 cohorts (n=206,180 mother-child pairs) from the EU Child Cohort Network and derived BMI at ages 0-1, 2-3, 4-7, 8-13 and 14-17 years. Associations were estimated using linear regression via one-stage IPD meta-analysis using DataSHIELD. Associations between lower maternal education and higher child BMI emerged from age 4 and increased with age (difference in BMI z-score comparing low with high education age 2-3 years = 0.03 [95% CI 0.00, 0.05], 4-7 years = 0.16 [95% CI 0.14, 0.17], 8-13 years = 0.24 [95% CI 0.22, 0.26]). Gestational diabetes was positively associated with BMI from 8 years (BMI z-score difference = 0.18 [CI 0.12, 0.25]) but not at younger ages; however associations attenuated towards the null when restricted to cohorts which measured GDM via universal screening. Exposure to green vegetation was weakly associated with higher BMI up to age one but not at older ages. Opportunities of cross-cohort federated analyses are discussed.

Prenatal exposure to PM10 and changes in DNA methylation and telomere length in cord blood.

BACKGROUND: Air pollution exposure in pregnancy can cause molecular level alterations that might influence later disease susceptibility. OBJECTIVES: We investigated DNA methylation (DNAm) and telomere length (TL) in the cord blood in relation to gestational PM10 exposure and explored potential gestational windows of susceptibility. METHODS: Cord blood epigenome-wide DNAm (N = 384) and TL (N = 500) were measured in children of the Italian birth cohort Piccolipiù, using the Infinium Methylation EPIC BeadChip and qPCR, respectively. PM10 daily exposure levels, based on maternal residential address, were estimated for different gestational periods using models based on satellite data. Epigenome-wide analysis to identify differentially methylated probes (DMPs) and regions (DMRs) was conducted, followed by a pathway analysis and replication analysis in an second Piccolipiù dataset. Distributed lag models (DLMs) using weekly exposures were used to study the association of PM10 exposure across pregnancy with telomere length, as well as with the DMPs that showed robust associations. RESULTS: Gestational PM10 exposure was associated with the DNA methylation of more than 250 unique DMPs, most of them identified in early gestation, and 1 DMR. Out of 151 DMPs available in the replication dataset, ten DMPs showed robust associations: eight were associated with exposure during early gestation and 2 with exposure during the whole pregnancy. These exposure windows were supported by the DLM analysis. The PM10 exposure between 15th and 20th gestational week seem to be associated with shorter telomeres at birth, while exposure between 24th and 29th was associated with longer telomeres. DISCUSSION: The early pregnancy period is a potential critical window during which PM10 exposure can influence cord blood DNA methylation. The results from the TL analysis were consistent with previous findings and merit further exploration in future studies. The study underlines the importance of considering gestational windows outside of the predefined trimesters that may not always overlap with biologically relevant windows of exposure.

Does death from Covid-19 arise from a multi-step process?

The Covid-19 death rate increases exponentially with age, and the main risk factors are having underlying conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, severe chronic respiratory disease and cancer. These characteristics are consistent with the multi-step model of disease. We applied this model to Covid-19 case fatality rates (CFRs) from China, South Korea, Italy, Spain and Japan. In all countries we found that a plot of log(CFR) against log(age) was approximately linear with a slope of about 5. We also conducted similar analyses for selected other respiratory diseases. SARS showed a similar log-log age-pattern to that of Covid-19, albeit with a lower slope, whereas seasonal and pandemic influenza showed quite different age-patterns. Thus, death from Covid-19 and SARS appears to follow a distinct age-pattern, consistent with a multi-step model of disease that in the case of Covid-19 is probably defined by comorbidities and age producing immune-related susceptibility.

COVID-19-like symptoms and their relation to the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in children and adults of an Italian birth cohort

OBJECTIVES: to estimate the population prevalence of COVID-19-like symptoms in children and adults during the first SARS-CoV-2 epidemic wave hitting Italy in the spring 2020; to assess their geographical correlation with the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases by province; to analyse their clustering within families; to estimate their sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for COVID-19 diagnosis in individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2. DESIGN: cross-sectional study nested within a birth cohort. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: mothers participating in an Italian birth cohort (NINFEA) were invited to complete an online questionnaire on COVID-19-like symptoms in their household. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: population prevalence of COVID-19-like symptoms in children and adults, geographical correlation of COVID-19-like symptoms with the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases by province, clustering of COVID-19-like symptoms within families, and sensitivity, PPV and NPV of COVID-19-like symptoms for COVID-19 diagnosis in individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS: information was collected on 3,184 households, 6,133 adults, and 5,751 children. In the period March-April 2020, 55.4% of the NINFEA families had at least one member with at least one COVID-19-like symptom. There was a strong geographical correlation between the population cumulative incidence of COVID-19 and the prevalence of muscle pain, fatigue, low-grade fever, and breathing difficulties in adults (Spearman's rho >=0.70). Having at least one family member with a COVID-19 diagnosis, compared with none tested for SARS-CoV-2, was associated with an increased prevalence ratio (PR) of almost all COVID-19-like symptoms in adults, and only of low-grade fever (37-37.5°C; PR 4.54; 95%CI 2.20-9.40) and anosmia/dysgeusia in children. Among adults with COVID-19 diagnosis, fatigue, muscle pain, and fever had a sensitivity >=70%. In individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2, with a 16.6% prevalence of COVID-19, breathing difficulties and nausea/vomiting had the highest PPVs, with point estimates close to 60%, and with NPVs close to 90%. CONCLUSIONS: the geographical prevalence of COVID-19-like symptoms in adults may inform on local disease clusters, while certain symptoms in family members of confirmed COVID-19 cases could help identify the intra-familial spread of the virus and its further propagation in the community. Low-grade fever is frequent in children with at least one household member with COVID-19 and possibly indicates child infection.

Hyponatremia, Hypokalemia, and Fragility Fractures in Old Patients: More than an Association?

PURPOSE: Hyponatremia and hypokalemia are common among elderly and have been associated with osteoporosis, we evaluate the role of these electrolytes as risk for fragility fractures. METHODS: This study is divided in two parts: one retrospective and one prospective. We retrospectively collected data on urgently admitted patients for femoral fragility fractures (Fx) or for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and patients admitted for elective hip/knee replacement surgery for osteoarthrosis (OA). Age, sex, serum sodium, potassium, creatinine, and comorbidities were recorded. We enrolled prospectively in-patients from our unit: age, sex, comorbidities, drugs, and fragility fractures were recorded. Blood electrolytes were measured. Cognitive function, nutrition, muscular strength, and balance were evaluated by standard tests. The mortality rate was recorded with a follow-up after hospital discharge. RESULTS: The retrospective study included 2166 subjects: 702 Fx and 1464 controls (907 AMI, 557 OA): the prevalence of hyponatremia was similar in Fx and AMI, whereas it was higher in Fx with respect to OA (p < 0.001) as well as hypokalemia (p < 0.001). Sodium decrease was associated with higher fracture risk. Among the 284 subjects included in the prospective study, 50 patients were hyponatremic, more likely malnourished, and presented a higher prevalence of fragility fractures (p = 0.008). They had a higher mortality after hospital discharge (HR = 1.80, p = 0.005), however, this association disappears after correction for confounding variables. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that hyponatremia and hypokalemia have to be considered as a marker of poor health more than an independent fracture risk.

Impacts of reopening strategies for COVID-19 epidemic: a modeling study in Piedmont region.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2), the causative agent of the coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), is a highly transmittable virus. Since the first person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 was reported in Italy on February 21st, 2020, the number of people infected with SARS-COV-2 increased rapidly, mainly in northern Italian regions, including Piedmont. A strict lockdown was imposed on March 21st until May 4th when a gradual relaxation of the restrictions started. In this context, computational models and computer simulations are one of the available research tools that epidemiologists can exploit to understand the spread of the diseases and to evaluate social measures to counteract, mitigate or delay the spread of the epidemic. METHODS: This study presents an extended version of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed-Susceptible (SEIRS) model accounting for population age structure. The infectious population is divided into three sub-groups: (i) undetected infected individuals, (ii) quarantined infected individuals and (iii) hospitalized infected individuals. Moreover, the strength of the government restriction measures and the related population response to these are explicitly represented in the model. RESULTS: The proposed model allows us to investigate different scenarios of the COVID-19 spread in Piedmont and the implementation of different infection-control measures and testing approaches. The results show that the implemented control measures have proven effective in containing the epidemic, mitigating the potential dangerous impact of a large proportion of undetected cases. We also forecast the optimal combination of individual-level measures and community surveillance to contain the new wave of COVID-19 spread after the re-opening work and social activities. CONCLUSIONS: Our model is an effective tool useful to investigate different scenarios and to inform policy makers about the potential impact of different control strategies. This will be crucial in the upcoming months, when very critical decisions about easing control measures will need to be taken.

Socioeconomic inequalities in reproductive outcomes in the Italian NINFEA birth cohort and the Piedmont Birth Registry.

BACKGROUND: socioeconomic inequalities in reproductive outcomes have been consistently reported in several countries. In a European collaborative study conducted in 2012 whose aim was to investigate the association between socioeconomic position (SEP), measured through maternal education, and preterm delivery inconsistent results were found for the NINFEA birth cohort. However, NINFEA contributed to that study with the first 2,500 pregnancies only, and estimates were not adjusted for any potential confounders assuming that SEP is a distal exposure, that could not be affected by other preterm risk factors. OBJECTIVES: to investigate the relationship between SEP and the reproductive outcomes using the entire NINFEA cohort and compare the results with the population-based Piedmont Birth Registry (PBR), accounting for potential baseline collider bias both in the cohort and in the registry. DESIGN: observational study. SETTING AND PARTICPANTS: 5,323 NINFEA singletons, whose mothers registered into the study before the 36th week of gestation, were analysed. Analyses on maternal education were replicated in the 2011 PBR of 35,318 singletons live births. Factors affecting the likelihood of being a member of the NINFEA study or becoming pregnant in the general population were treated as potential confounders to adjust for baseline collider bias. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: the association of maternal education and a recently developed household income indicator with both preterm delivery (<37th weeks of gestation) and low birth weight (<2,500 gr) were analysed. RESULTS: in the NINFEA cohort, low SEP was positively associated with both preterm delivery and low birth weight, with slightly stronger associations for household income, especially on low birth weight. Results were consistent with those obtained in the PBR data, where an inverse relationship between maternal education and the two reproductive outcomes was found. In both populations, there was confounding due to maternal age and parity, showing that independently of the nature of the source population, baseline factors that affect the probability of being a member of such source population have to be accounted for to allow causal inference. CONCLUSIONS: low SEP is associated with adverse reproductive outcomes in a contemporary Italian population.

Factors associated with self-perceived knowledge of COVID-19: a study among women from the NINFEA birth cohort.

BACKGROUND: health literacy may contribute to the strategies to control the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), as individuals need to acquire promptly new health information, understand the reasons behind recommendations, and adapt their behaviour accordingly. OBJECTIVES: to investigate sociodemographic and disease-related factors that can influence self-perceived knowledge (poor/medium vs high) about COVID-19 in women of the Italian NINFEA birth cohort. DESIGN: cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: a web-based anonymous survey on COVID-19 was sent in April 2020 to women participating in the NINFEA cohort. A total of 3,129 women were included in the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: using multiple weighted logistic regression models, self-perceived knowledge level was analysed in relation with the following variables: age, education level, family size, cumulative incidence of severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cases until 7 April 2020 by province, presence of COVID-19-like symptoms, SARS-CoV-2 testing, and COVID-19 diagnosis. RESULTS: the prevalence of self-perceived poor/medium knowledge was 57%. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, the odds ratio (OR) of self-perceived poor/medium COVID-19 knowledge level was increased for low/medium compared with high education level (OR 1.57; 95%CI 1.34-1.84), and decreased for SARS-CoV-2 testing (OR 0.25; 95%CI 0.16-0.39) and COVID-19 diagnosis (OR 0.20; 95%CI 0.07-0.60). There was no evidence of association between the other analysed variables and self-perceived knowledge level. CONCLUSIONS: the findings of this study suggest that low educational level is a determinant of low self-perceived knowledge on COVID-19 in middle-aged women.

West Nile Virus infection in Northern Italy: Case-crossover study on the short-term effect of climatic parameters.

BACKGROUND: Changes in climatic conditions are hypothesized to play a role in the increasing number of West Nile Virus (WNV) outbreaks observed in Europe in recent years. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the association between WNV infection and climatic parameters recorded in the 8 weeks before the diagnosis in Northern Italy. METHODS: We collected epidemiological data about new infected cases for the period 2010-2015 from the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC) and meteorological data from 25 stations throughout the study area. Analyses were performed using a conditional Poisson regression with a time-stratified case-crossover design, specifically modified to account for seasonal variations. Exposures included weekly average of maximum temperatures, weekly average of mean temperatures, weekly average of minimum temperatures and weekly total precipitation. RESULTS: We found an association between incidence of WNV infection and temperatures recorded 5-6 weeks before diagnosis (Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) for 1 °C increase in maximum temperatures at lag 6: 1.11; 95% CI 1.01-1.20). Increased weekly total precipitation, recorded 1-4 weeks before diagnosis, were associated with higher incidence of WNV infection, particularly for precipitation recorded 2 weeks before diagnosis (IRR for 5 mm increase of cumulative precipitation at lag 2: 1.16; 95% CI 1.08-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: Increased precipitation and temperatures might have a lagged direct effect on the incidence of WNV infection. Climatic parameters may be useful for detecting areas and periods of the year potentially characterized by a higher incidence of WNV infection.

Postnatal risk factors for testicular cancer: The EPSAM case-control study.

Testicular cancer is considered to originate from an impaired differentiation of fetal germ cells, but puberty could represent another time window of susceptibility. Our study aimed at investigating the association between environmental exposures acting during puberty/adolescence (13-19 years of age) and the risk of testicular cancer. We used data of the EPSAM study, a case-control study on germ-cell testicular cancer conducted in the province of Turin, Italy, involving cases diagnosed between 1997 and 2008. Histologically confirmed cases (n = 255) and controls (n = 459) completed a postal questionnaire focusing in particular on the pubertal period (namely age 13 years) with questions on physical activity (competitive sports, gardening), lifestyle (alcohol consumption, smoking), occupational history and medical conditions. All analyses were adjusted for the matching variables, cryptorchidism and educational level. Having done at least one competitive sport during puberty (odds ratio [OR]: 0.72, 95% confidence interval: 0.52-1.00), gardening activities during puberty (OR: 0.62, 0.42-0.94) and having a lower weight than peers during puberty (OR: 0.64, 0.42-0.97) were all inversely associated with the risk of testicular cancer. No evidence of association between smoking or alcohol consumption during puberty and the risk of testicular cancer was observed. Regarding agriculture-related occupations, we found an association with the risk of testicular cancer both for occasional jobs during puberty (OR: 2.40, 95% CI: 1.08-5.29) and ever employment in adolescence (OR: 2.59, 95% CI: 0.83-8.10). Our results suggest that postnatal exposures could play a role in testicular cancer aetiology, at least when acting in puberty or adolescence.

Spatio-temporal dynamics of malaria in Rwanda between 2012 and 2022: a demography-specific analysis.

BACKGROUND: Despite global efforts to reduce and eventually interrupt malaria transmission, the disease remains a pressing public health problem, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. This study presents a detailed spatio-temporal analysis of malaria transmission in Rwanda from 2012 to 2022. The main objective was to gain insights into the evolving patterns of malaria and to inform and tailor effective public health strategies. METHODS: The study used yearly aggregated data of malaria cases from the Rwanda health management information system. We employed a multifaceted analytical approach, including descriptive statistics and spatio-temporal analysis across three demographic groups: children under the age of 5 years, and males and females above 5 years. Bayesian spatially explicit models and spatio scan statistics were utilised to examine geographic and temporal patterns of relative risks and to identify clusters of malaria transmission. RESULTS: We observed a significant increase in malaria cases from 2014 to 2018, peaking in 2016 for males and females aged above 5 years with counts of 98,645 and 116,627, respectively and in 2018 for under 5-year-old children with 84,440 cases with notable geographic disparities. Districts like Kamonyi (Southern Province), Ngoma, Kayonza and Bugesera (Eastern Province) exhibited high burdens, possibly influenced by factors such as climate, vector control practices, and cross-border dynamics. Bayesian spatially explicit modeling revealed elevated relative risks in numerous districts, underscoring the heterogeneity of malaria transmission in these districts, and thus contributing to an overall rising trend in malaria cases until 2018, followed by a subsequent decline. Our findings emphasize that the heterogeneity of malaria transmission is potentially driven by ecologic, socioeconomic, and behavioural factors. CONCLUSIONS: The study underscores the complexity of malaria transmission in Rwanda and calls for climate adaptive, gender-, age- and district-specific strategies in the national malaria control program. The emergence of both artemisinin and pyrethoids resistance and persistent high transmission in some districts necessitates continuous monitoring and innovative, data-driven approaches for effective and sustainable malaria control.

Effect of heat stress in the first 1000 days of life on fetal and infant growth: a secondary analysis of the ENID randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The intersecting crises of climate change, food insecurity, and undernutrition disproportionately affect children. Understanding the effect of heat on growth from conception to 2 years of age is important because of mortality and morbidity implications in the near term and over the life course. METHODS: In this secondary analysis, we used longitudinal pregnancy cohort data from the Early Nutrition and Immunity Development (ENID) randomised controlled trial in West Kiang, The Gambia, which occurred between Jan 20, 2010, and Feb 10, 2015. The ENID trial assessed micronutrient supplementation in the first 1000 days of life starting from 20 weeks' gestation, during which anthropometric measurements were collected prospectively. We used multivariable linear regression to assess the effect of heat stress (defined by Universal Thermal Climate Index [UTCI]) on intrauterine growth restriction based on length-for-gestational age Z score (LGAZ), weight-for-gestational age Z score (WGAZ), and head circumference-for-gestational age Z score (HCGAZ) at birth, and assessed for effect modification of supplement intervention on the relationship between heat stress and infant anthropometry. We used multivariable, multilevel linear regression to evaluate the effect of heat stress on infant growth postnatally based on weight-for-height Z score (WHZ), weight-for-age Z score (WAZ), and height-for-age Z score (HAZ) from 0 to 2 years of age. FINDINGS: Complete data were available for 668 livebirth outcomes (329 [49%] female infants and 339 [51%] male infants). With each 1°C increase in mean daily maximum UTCI exposure, in the first trimester, we observed a reduction in WGAZ (-0·04 [95% CI -0·09 to 0·00]), whereas in the third trimester, we observed an increase in HCGAZ (0·06 [95% CI 0·00 to 0·12]), although 95% CIs included 0. Maternal protein-energy supplementation in the third trimester was associated with reduced WGAZ (-0·16 [-0·30 to -0·02]) with each 1°C increase in mean daily maximum UTCI exposure, while no effect of heat stress on WGAZ was found with either standard care (iron and folate) or multiple micronutrient supplementation. For the postnatal analysis, complete anthropometric data at 2 years were available for 645 infants (316 [49%] female infants and 329 [51%] male infants). Postnatally, heat stress effect varied by infant age, with infants aged 6-18 months being the most affected. In infants aged 12 months exposed to a mean daily UTCI of 30°C (preceding 90-day period) versus 25°C UTCI, we observed reductions in mean WHZ (-0·43 [95% CI -0·57 to -0·29]) and mean WAZ (-0·35 [95% CI -0·45 to -0·26]). We observed a marginal increase in HAZ with increasing heat stress exposure at age 6 months, but no effect at older ages. INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that heat stress impacts prenatal and postnatal growth up to 2 years of age but sensitivity might vary by age. In the context of a rapidly warming planet, these findings could have short-term and long-term health effects for the individual, and immediate and future implications for public child health. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust.

A climatic suitability indicator to support Leishmania infantum surveillance in Europe: a modelling study.

Background: Leishmaniases are neglected diseases transmitted by sand flies. They disproportionately affect vulnerable groups globally. Understanding the relationship between climate and disease transmission allows the development of relevant decision-support tools for public health policy and surveillance. The aim of this modelling study was to develop an indicator that tracks climatic suitability for Leishmania infantum transmission in Europe at the subnational level. Methods: Historical records of sand fly vectors, human leishmaniasis, bioclimatic indicators, and environmental variables were integrated in a machine learning framework (XGBoost) to predict suitability in two past periods (2001-2010 and 2011-2020). We further assessed if predictions were associated with human and animal disease data from selected countries (France, Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Findings: An increase in the number of climatically suitable regions for leishmaniasis was detected, especially in southern and eastern countries, coupled with a northward expansion towards central Europe. The final model had excellent predictive ability (AUC = 0.970 [0.947-0.993]), and the suitability predictions were positively associated with human leishmaniasis incidence and canine seroprevalence for Leishmania. Interpretation: This study demonstrates how key epidemiological data can be combined with open-source climatic and environmental information to develop an indicator that effectively tracks spatiotemporal changes in climatic suitability and disease risk. The positive association between the model predictions and human disease incidence demonstrates that this indicator could help target leishmaniasis surveillance to transmission hotspots. Funding: European Union Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme (European Climate-Health Cluster), United Kingdom Research and Innovation.

Socioeconomic position during pregnancy and pre-school exposome in children from eight European birth cohort studies.

Distribution of environmental hazards and vulnerability to their effects vary across socioeconomic groups. Our objective was to analyse the relationship between child socioeconomic position (SEP) at birth and the external exposome at pre-school age (0-4 years). This study included more than 60,000 children from eight cohorts in eleven European cities (Oslo, Copenhagen, Bristol, Bradford, Rotterdam, Nancy, Poitiers, Gipuzkoa, Sabadell, Valencia and Turin). SEP was measured through maternal education and a standardised indicator of household income. Three child exposome domains were investigated: behavioral, diet and urban environment. We fitted separate logistic regression model for each exposome variable - dichotomised using the city-specific median - on SEP (medium/low vs high) adjusting for maternal age, country of birth and parity. Analyses were carried out separately in each study-area. Low-SEP children had, consistently across study-areas, lower Odds Ratios (ORs) of breastfeeding, consumption of eggs, fish, fruit, vegetables and higher ORs of TV screen time, pet ownership, exposure to second-hand smoke, consumption of dairy, potatoes, sweet beverages, savory biscuits and crisps, fats and carbohydrates. For example, maternal education-breastfeeding OR (95% Confidence Interval (CI)) ranged from 0.18 (0.14-0.24) in Bristol to 0.73 (0.58-0.90) in Oslo. SEP was also strongly associated with the urban environment with marked between-city heterogeneity. For example, income-PM2.5 OR (95%CI) ranged from 0.69 (0.47-1.02) in Sabadell to 2.44 (2.16-2.72) in Oslo. Already at pre-school age, children with lower SEP have consistently poorer diets and behaviours, which might influence their future health and wellbeing. SEP-urban environment relationships are strongly context-dependent.