Development and validation of a predictive model for persistent opioid use in new opioid analgesic users via a nationwide claims database.

BACKGROUND: Chronic opioid use is associated with problematic opioid use, such as opioid abuse. It is important to develop a prediction model for safe opioid use. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a risk score model for chronic opioid use in opioid-naïve, noncancer patients, using data from a nationwide database. METHODS: Data from the National Health Insurance Claims Database in the Republic of Korea from 2016 to 2018 were used, and adult, noncancer patients who were started on non-injectable opioid analgesics (NIOAs) were included. The risk score model was developed using the ß coefficient of each variable in the multivariable logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 676,676 noncancer patients were started on NIOAs, of which 65,877 (9.7%) were prescribed NIOAs chronically. Age, baseline healthcare utilization, comorbidities, co-medications, and pattern of first NIOA prescription were identified as risk factors for chronic opioid use. The c-static for the performance of our risk score model was 0.754 (95% confidence interval, 0.750-0.758). CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first tool that can predict chronic opioid use in the Korean population. The model can help physicians examine the risk of chronic opioid use by patients who are started on NIOA.

Risk Factors for Emergency Department Presentations after the Initiation of Opioid Analgesics in Non-Cancer Patients in Korea: A Nationwide Study.

Background and Objectives: Opioid use in Korea is lower than in other developed countries. However, recent studies have reported an increase in opioid prescriptions and the number of chronic opioid users. The current status of adverse events (AEs) associated with opioid analgesics in Korea is unclear. This nested case-control study aimed to evaluate the influence of opioid analgesic use patterns on all emergency department (ED) visits and opioid-related ED visits after opioid analgesic initiation using the national claims database. Materials and Methods: Adult non-cancer patients who initiated non-injectable opioid analgesics (NIOA) between January 2017 and June 2018 were included. We defined the case group as patients who visited the ED within six months of opioid initiation, and the control group was selected in a 1:1 ratio using an exact matching method. Results: A total of 97,735 patients (13.58%) visited the ED within six months of NIOA initiation. Nearly 32% of cases were linked to opioid-related AEs. The most frequent AEs were falls and fractures (61.27%). After adjusting for covariates, opioid initiation at the ED was associated with all-cause or opioid-related ED visits (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 3.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.09-3.29; aOR = 3.82, 95% CI = 3.62-4.04, respectively). Chronic NIOA use was associated with all-cause and opioid-related ED visits (aOR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.23-1.40; aOR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.39-1.76, respectively). Conclusion: This study found that 13% of non-cancer patients visited the ED within six months of NIOA initiation. In addition, the NIOA use pattern was significantly associated with all-cause and opioid-related ED visits.

Ferric citrate in the management of hyperphosphataemia and iron deficiency anaemia: A meta-analysis in patients with chronic kidney disease.

AIMS: Phosphate-lowering effects of ferric citrate were reported in several clinical trials, but mostly in small-scale studies. The aim of this meta-analysis was to investigate the efficacy and safety of ferric citrate in controlling hyperphosphataemia and iron-deficiency anaemia in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. METHODS: PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library were searched for clinical trials that enrolled CKD patients receiving ferric citrate for hyperphosphataemia. Two investigators performed systematic literature search to identify eligible studies, evaluated risk of bias and extracted relevant data. RESULTS: Sixteen studies were included in the meta-analysis. Phosphate-lowering effects of ferric citrate were greater compared to no active treatment (standardized mean difference [SMD] = -1.15; P < 0.001) and comparable to other phosphate binders (SMD = 0.03; P = 0.61). Calcium concentrations post ferric citrate treatment did not differ compared to no active treatment (SMD = 0.15; P = 0.21) but were significantly lower compared to other phosphate binders (SMD = -0.14; P = 0.01). These led to significant reductions in calcium-phosphorus product with ferric citrate versus no active control (SMD = -1.02; P < 0.001) but no difference versus active control (SMD = -0.01; P = 0.93). Intact parathyroid hormone showed no substantial between-group difference in both comparison against no active and active controls. Ferric citrate improved iron stores and anaemia parameters, but increased risk of diarrhoea, abdominal pain and discoloured faeces. CONCLUSION: Ferric citrate was effective in lowering phosphorus and phosphorus-calcium product versus no active treatment and had comparable effects versus other phosphate binders. Calcium levels were significantly lower with ferric citrate than with other phosphate-lowering treatment. Ferric citrate had additive effects on iron repletion and anaemia control and was associated with mostly gastrointestinal side effects.

Association between glucose-lowering treatment and cancer metastasis among patients with preexisting type 2 diabetes and incident malignancy.

Preclinical data suggested that dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors may promote metastatic progression of preexisting cancer via nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (NRF2) activation. We aimed to investigate the association between different glucose-lowering treatments, including DPP-4 inhibitors and metformin, both with potential NRF2 modulating effects, and new-onset metastatic cancer among type 2 diabetes patients with comorbid incident cancer. This population-based cohort study included 223,530 diabetic patients newly diagnosed with primary cancer during 2009-2011 in Korea. The patients were categorized into five study cohorts in accordance with treatment modalities during the follow-up until the end of 2016: no-antidiabetic drugs (no-AD), metformin, DPP-4 inhibitors, metformin+DPP-4 inhibitors, and insulin treatment. After propensity score (PS) matching in a 1:1 ratio against the no-AD group, 18,805 patients in metformin, 1,865 in DPP-4 inhibitors, 31,074 in metformin+DPP-4 inhibitors, and 1,895 patients in insulin groups were identified for cohort entry and analyzed against the corresponding number of no-AD patients in each PS-matched comparison pair. Metastatic risk was lower with metformin plus or minus DPP-4 inhibitors (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.79-0.90 and 0.87, 0.80-0.95, respectively), not significantly associated with DPP-4 inhibitors (0.99, 0.77-1.29) except after thyroid cancer (3.89, 1.01-9.64), and higher with insulin therapy (1.81, 1.46-2.24) compared to no-AD use for all cancers combined. In conclusion, DPP-4 inhibitor therapy was not associated with significant risk of cancer metastasis relative to no-AD therapy, irrespective of patient age and sex, except after thyroid cancer, while metastatic risk was decreased with metformin treatment among type 2 diabetes patients with preexisting cancer.

Impact of clinical evidence communications and drug regulation changes concerning rosiglitazone on prescribing patterns of antidiabetic therapies.

PURPOSE: Cardiovascular safety alerts about rosiglitazone resulted in regulatory actions in several countries in 2010, but the Food and Drug Administration eliminated access restrictions in 2013, reflecting new evidence concerning the drug safety. We investigated the effects of safety signals and regulation shifts concerning rosiglitazone on prescribing of antidiabetic drugs (ADs). METHODS: Patient data were extracted from the Korean health insurance claims database for 2007 to 2015. Linear regression and interrupted time series analyses were performed to examine drug utilization trends and the impact of 5 milestone events regarding rosiglitazone safety on AD utilization. RESULTS: A steady growth was observed in the AD consumption, with metformin preserving its dominant market share throughout the period. Pioglitazone use has increased since 2008 in response to safety issues surrounding rosiglitazone. A significant decline in rosiglitazone use was observed after Nissen's meta-analysis and safety warnings (2007) and after restriction/suspension of access to rosiglitazone (2010), associated with a drop in prevalence by 29.5%/year and 99.5%/year, respectively. The most common AD newly started among users who discontinued rosiglitazone in 2010 was pioglitazone, followed by dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. Our concomitancy analysis showed that DPP-4 inhibitors have overtaken sulfonylureas since 2014 as the most common add-on to metformin. CONCLUSIONS: The most frequently added AD in diabetes patients who had switched off rosiglitazone in 2010 was pioglitazone, followed by DPP-4 inhibitors. Despite new evidence from a long-term clinical trial and the Food and Drug Administration's subsequent decision to eliminate access restrictions on rosiglitazone in 2013, domestic regulations were left intact; hence, its use remained negligible in Korea.

Trends in potentially inappropriate opioid prescribing and associated risk factors among Korean noncancer patients prescribed non-injectable opioid analgesics.

Introduction: The aim of this study was to investigate trends in the prevalence of potentially inappropriate opioid prescribing (PIOP) and identify potential risk factors among Korean noncancer patients. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of annual national patient sample data from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA-NPS) for the period 2012-2018. Noncancer patients who were prescribed non-injectable opioid analgesics (NIOAs) at least once were included. The proportion of patients with at least one PIOP in terms of concurrent use of benzodiazepines or gabapentinoids, substance use disorder, treatment duration, and dosage was evaluated. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify the risk factors associated with PIOP. Results: Of the 9,772,503 noncancer patients, 1,583,444 (16.2%) were prescribed NIOAs at least once. Among them, 15.7% were exposed to PIOP, and the prevalence was much higher (31.6%) in the elderly group (age: ⩾65 years). The prevalence of PIOP increased 1.1-fold over 7 years (14.8-16.8%) among the total NIOA users and was more pronounced in non-tramadol NIOA users (a 1.5-fold increase, from 13.2% to 19.4%). Multivariable logistic regression indicated that older age, beneficiaries of medical aid or national meritorious service, exposure to polypharmacy, psychological disorder, chronic pain indication, and concomitant sedative use were independently associated with higher odds of PIOP. Discussion and Conclusion: We found that the prevalence of PIOP was 15.7% among Korean noncancer patients, and it increased over the 7-year study period. This increasing trend is alarming because it was more drastic with non-tramadol NIOAs compared with that with tramadol. Several patient-level risk factors associated with PIOP would be useful in targeted management strategies for the safe use of opioids. Plain Language Summary: Potentially inappropriate opioid prescribing and related risk factors among noncancer patients prescribed non-injectable opioids in Korea In Korea, the prevalence of non-injectable opioid analgesic (NIOA) use in noncancer patients steadily increased from 15.3% in 2012 to 17.1% in 2018.Also, the prevalence of potentially inappropriate opioid prescribing (PIOP) increased from 14.8% in 2012 to 16.8% in 2018.The following factors were associated with a markedly increased risk of PIOP: age, beneficiaries of medical aid or national meritorious service, polypharmacy, psychological disorder, chronic pain, and concomitant medications.

Impact of Statin Use on Dementia Incidence in Elderly Men and Women with Ischemic Heart Disease.

This study aimed to determine the association between statins and the prevention of dementia according to sex differences in elderly patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD). We performed a nationwide retrospective cohort study using the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database (2007-2015). Among the 264,036 eligible patients aged ≥65 years with IHD, statin users were compared with non-users by propensity score matching at a 1:1 ratio (71,587 in each group). The primary outcome was dementia risk by estimating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Differential risks of dementia were assessed by sex in the subgroups of statin types, exposure duration, and patient age, implying that sex is an influential factor for the link between statin use and dementia incidence. Among seven commonly prescribed statins, rosuvastatin was associated with the greatest preventive effect on dementia incidence, with an adjusted HR of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.78-0.87). In a subgroup analysis organized by sex, the differential risk of dementia incidence was assessed in each statin group, implying that sex is an influential factor for the link between statin and dementia. This study suggests that appropriate statin use considering sex differences may have beneficial effects on the development of dementia.

Increased risk of adverse drug events secondary to bevacizumab treatment in patients with advanced or metastatic breast cancer: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Several clinical trials have shown an increased risk of hypertension with bevacizumab when added to chemotherapy in different types of malignancy; however, the risks of other significant adverse events besides hypertension, specifically in breast cancer, have not been completely elucidated. This study was conducted with the aim, primarily, to assess the overall incidence and risk of common toxicities associated with bevacizumab in patients with advanced or metastatic breast cancer and, secondarily, to descriptively review study results concerning a potential correlation between bevacizumab-induced hypertension and its efficacy for breast cancer treatment. METHODS: We carried out a meta-analysis of relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) identified from a database search (Cochrane Library and PubMed) and, additionally, by reviewing previous reviews and meta-analyses. Overall incidence rates, odds ratios (ORs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were assessed with the random- or fixed-effect models, depending on the level of heterogeneity across the included trials. The primary clinical outcomes were high-grade adverse events commonly reported with bevacizumab therapy. RESULTS: We included 6,260 patients with advanced-stage breast cancer from 12 RCTs in the meta-analysis. Five types of high-grade (Grade 3 or 4) adverse drug events were identified as being correlated with bevacizumab treatment versus alternative treatment with statistical significance: hypertension (OR 5.67, 95% CI 3.02-10.65), proteinuria (OR 10.09, 95% CI 4.79-21.27), bleeding (OR 3.45, 95% CI 2.25-5.30), cardiac toxicity (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.29-3.59), and neutropenic fever (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.15-2.00). The prognostic value of bevacizumab-induced hypertension for its antitumor efficacy among patients with breast cancer remains controversial, with mixed results presented in the five retrospective studies that were identified from our additional literature search. CONCLUSION: The addition of bevacizumab to anticancer therapy was associated with a significant increase in the risk of high-grade adverse events, including hypertension, proteinuria, bleeding, cardiac toxicity, and neutropenic fever among patients with advanced-stage breast cancer. Although several retrospective studies suggested a predictive importance of hypertension secondary to bevacizumab therapy, the role of elevated blood pressure as a prognostic biomarker for its antitumor efficacy remains controversial, and further prospective trials are required to confirm such a correlation.

Evaluation of preventable adverse drug reactions by implementation of the nationwide network of prospective drug utilization review program in Korea.

BACKGROUND: A prospective Drug Utilization Review (DUR) program has been implemented in Korea to improve the quality and safety of medication use. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of the DUR program in reducing incidence of preventable adverse drug reactions (pADRs). METHODS: This study was performed using administrative data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA). The claims data for all adult patients with adverse drug events (ADE)-related diagnoses from 2009 to 2014 were obtained. Incidence rates of first-time and repeat pADRs prior to and after DUR program implementation were evaluated. Quarterly trends in incidence rates of overall ADE, allergic reactions, and ADRs were analyzed. RESULTS: Data extraction covering the period from 2009 to 2014 led to the identification of 3,927,662 records. First-time pADR rates decreased gradually after implementation of the DUR program (change in slope: -0.016, p = 0.02). The program had a similar influence on repeat pADR rates (change in slope: -0.006, p≤0.01). The program did not decrease rates of first-time or repeat allergic reactions (change in slope: 0.018, p = 0.07 and 0.003, p = 0.04, respectively). In the cohort aged ≤65 years, first-time pADR rate reduction was significant (28.2% [27.1-29.3] in ≤18 years, and 19.8% [18.1-21.5] in 19-64 years). In contrast, first-time pADR rate was increased by 0.6% [-0.7-1.9] in patients ≥65 years. CONCLUSION: Implementation of the prospective DUR program effectively reduced the number of pADRs. In the future, to reduce non-preventable ADRs such as allergic reactions, provision of clinical information including allergy history should be added to the DUR program.

Durability of initial antidiabetic monotherapy and subsequent treatment adjustment patterns among newly treated type 2 diabetes patients.

BACKGROUND: As newly available antidiabetic drugs (ADs) are used more commonly as initial hypoglycemic choice for early stage diabetes patients, there is an urgent need to investigate how these agents may differ in treatment durability relative to metformin. This study aimed to investigate the incidence and risk of treatment adjustment among newly treated type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients receiving an oral AD as initial monotherapy. METHODS: T2DM patients registered in the National Health Insurance Program who were newly prescribed an oral AD were identified. Time to treatment addition or switch to alternative antidiabetic therapy was determined using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) after adjusting for potential confounding factors. RESULTS: The median time to treatment adjustment was shorter for sulfonylureas (SUs), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, alphaglucosidase (AG) inhibitors, and thiazolidinediones (TZDs) compared to that for metformin. Initiation of therapy with SUs or DPP-4 inhibitors was associated with a significantly higher risk of both treatment addition and switching than with metformin (HR 1.49 versus 1.47 for overall treatment adjustment, respectively). In contrast, among incident users of AG inhibitors or TZDs, only the hazard of switch was substantially increased compared to metformin starters (6.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.77-6.64 and 7.31, 95% CI 6.35-8.42, respectively). When addition and switch events were collectively assessed, the risk of treatment adjustment was significantly elevated in all non-metformin cohorts. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated that the durability of metformin as an initial monotherapy was superior to that of other ADs, including newer classes of antidiabetics, and appeared to be more effective in delaying treatment adjustment in real-world clinical practice.

Effect of Cilostazol on Incident Dementia in Elderly Men and Women with Ischemic Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is associated with cognitive decline and may contribute to an increased risk of dementia. OBJECTIVE: The goal of the present study was to investigate whether cilostazol use is associated with a lower risk of incident dementia in Asian patients with IHD, and whether these effects differed based on sex. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed using the Korean National Insurance Claim Data of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service; the duration of the study was from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2015. The study group comprised 66,225 patients with IHD, aged >65 years, who had received cilostazol. Age- and sex-matched IHD patients without cilostazol exposure were selected as the control group. The risk of dementia was compared between the cilostazol and control groups. RESULTS: Compared to the control group, total cilostazol users had a marginally significant lower risk of incident dementia. After stratification by sex, the reducing effect of cilostazol on incident dementia was significant in female participants, but not in male participants. Female patients who had cilostazol for over 2 years showed a clinically meaningful preventive effect (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.82-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggested that cilostazol treatment may reduce the risk of incident dementia in Korean patients with IHD. Its beneficial effect was remarkably significant in female patients who received cilostazol for over a 2-year period.

Effects of cilostazol and renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockers on the renal disease progression of Korean patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Background Decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is an important surrogate marker for the assessment of renal function. Addition of a second agent to angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB) treatment may improve current therapeutic strategies aimed at suppressing renal disease progression. Objective To determine the effect of cilostazol in combination with ACEI or ARB treatment on the decline in eGFR. Setting A tertiary hospital in Korea. Method In an observational cohort study, we analyzed 5505 patients who were prescribed ACEI or ARB and cilostazol or other antiplatelet agents. Main outcome measure The primary outcome assessed was worsening of renal function defined as a 30% decline in eGFR per year. The secondary outcomes included commencement of dialysis, renal transplantation, death, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke. Results Following propensity score matching, eGFR decreased over time in the majority of patients, but the decline was less in patients in the cilostazol treated (CT) group of stage 1-2 category compared to the cilostazol untreated (CU) group (OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.66-0.98). In the subgroup analysis, the strongest effect in slowing eGFR decline was observed in CT patients at a high risk of diabetes (OR 0.782; 95% CI 0.615-0.993) and the elderly (OR 0.693; 95% CI 0.504-0.953) in the stage 1-2 category. No significant increase in cardiovascular risk was observed between the CT and CU groups. Conclusion Treatment with cilostazol plus ACEI or ARB was observed to prevent worsening of renal progression in patients in the stages 1-2.

Antiplatelet Therapy of Cilostazol or Sarpogrelate with Aspirin and Clopidogrel after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using the Korean National Health Insurance Claim Database.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Addition of cilostazol or sarpogrelate to the standard dual antiplatelet therapy of aspirin and clopidogrel has been implemented in patients that underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with stents in Korea. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of triple antiplatelet therapies. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed using the Korean National Insurance Claim Data of the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2014. The study cohort population consisted of patients with ischemic heart diseases and a history of PCI. They were treated with antiplatelet therapy of aspirin, clopidogrel (AC); aspirin, clopidogrel, cilostazol (ACCi); or aspirin, clopidogrel, sarpogrelate (ACSa) during the index period from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2011. During the follow-up period up to December 31, 2014, the major adverse cardiac or cerebral events (MACCE) including death, myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularization, and ischemic stroke were assessed. Bleeding complications were also evaluated as adverse drug events. RESULTS: Out of 93,876 patients with PCI during the index period, 69,491 patients started dual (AC) or triple therapy (ACSa or ACCi). The clinical outcomes of comparing ACSa and ACCi therapy showed beneficial effects in the ACSa group in the prevention of subsequent cardiac or cerebral events. After Propensity score-matching between ACSa and ACCi groups, there were significant differences in MI and revascularization, with corresponding HR of 0.38 (95% CI, 0.20-0.73) and 0.66 (95% CI, 0.53-0.82) in ACSa vs. ACCi at 12 months, respectively. At the 24-month follow-up, the triple therapy groups (ACS or ACC) had a higher incidence of MACCE compared to the dual therapy (AC) group; ACSa vs. AC HR of 1.69 (95% CI, 1.62-1.77); ACC vs. AC HR of 1.22 (95% CI, 1.06-1.41). There was no significant difference in severe or life-threatening bleeding risk among three groups; ACSa vs. AC, HR of 0.68 (95% CI, 0.37-1.24), ACCi vs. AC, HR of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.77-1.09). CONCLUSION: Sarpogrelate-containing triple antiplatelet therapy demonstrated comparable rates of MACCE prevention to the conventional dual antiplatelet therapy after PCI without significantly increasing bleeding risk during the two-year follow-up period.

Impact of statins on risk of new onset diabetes mellitus: a population-based cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance claims database.

Statin therapy is beneficial in reducing cardiovascular events and mortalities in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. Yet, there have been concerns of increased risk of diabetes with statin use. This study was aimed to evaluate the association between statins and new onset diabetes mellitus (NODM) in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) utilizing the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service claims database. Among adult patients with preexisting IHD, new statin users and matched nonstatin users were identified on a 1:1 ratio using proportionate stratified random sampling by sex and age. They were subsequently propensity score matched further with age and comorbidities to reduce the selection bias. Overall incidence rates, cumulative rates and hazard ratios (HRs) between statin use and occurrence of NODM were estimated. The subgroup analyses were performed according to sex, age groups, and the individual agents and intensities of statins. A total of 156,360 patients (94,370 in the statin users and 61,990 in the nonstatin users) were included in the analysis. The incidence rates of NODM were 7.8% and 4.8% in the statin users and nonstatin users, respectively. The risk of NODM was higher among statin users (crude HR 2.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.93-2.10; adjusted HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.63-2.09). Pravastatin had the lowest risk (adjusted HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.32-1.81) while those who were exposed to more than one statin were at the highest risk of NODM (adjusted HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.93-2.37). It has been concluded that all statins are associated with the risk of NODM in patients with IHD, and it is believed that our study would contribute to a better understanding of statin and NODM association by analyzing statin use in the real-world setting. Periodic screening and monitoring for diabetes are warranted during prolonged statin therapy in patients with IHD.