Atrial fibrillation onset before heart failure or vice versa: what is worst? A nationwide register study.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often coexist. However, whether AF onset before HF or vice versa is associated with the worst outcome remains unclear. A consensus of large studies can guide future research and preventive strategies to better target high-risk patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included all Danish cases with the coexistence of AF and HF (2005-17) using nationwide registries. Patients were divided into three separate groups (i) AF before HF, (ii) HF before AF, or (iii) AF and HF diagnosed concurrently (±30 days). Adjusting landmark Cox analyses (index date was the time of the latter diagnosis of AF or HF) were used for evaluating the association of the three groups with a composite outcome of ischaemic stroke or death. Among a total of 49 042 patients included, 40% had AF before HF, 27% had HF before AF, and 33% had AF and HF diagnosed concurrently. The composite endpoint accrued more often in patients with HF before AF compared to the two other groups (<0.001), and this remained significant in the adjusted analyses with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.26 (1.22-1.30) compared to AF before HF. Finally, antihypertensive treatment, oral anticoagulants, amiodarone, statins, and AF ablation were associated with a lower hazard ratio of the composite endpoint (all < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large Danish national cohort, diagnosis of HF before AF was associated with an increased absolute risk of death compared to AF before HF and AF and HF diagnosed concurrently. Antihypertensive treatment, oral anticoagulants, amiodarone, statins, and AF ablation may improve prognosis.

Aortic Root Dilatation in Hypertensive Patients with Left Ventricular Hypertrophy-Application of A New Multivariate Predictive Model. The Life Study.

BACKGROUND: Available nomograms to predict aortic root (AoR) diameter for body surface area have limitations. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the use of a new multivariate predictive model to identify AoR dilatation in hypertensive patients with left ventricular hypertrophy. METHODS: 943 of 961 patients in the Losartan Intervention For Endpoint reduction in hypertension (LIFE) echocardiographic sub-study had the necessary baseline characteristics and echocardiographic 2D measurements of AoR size to be included. RESULTS: Predicted AoR (Sinus of Valsalva) diameter was 1.519 + (age [years] × 0.010) + (height [cm] × 0.010) - (gender [1 = M, 2 = F] × 0.247), and a measured AoR diameter exceeding the 97.5-percentile of this estimate was considered dilated. Measured AoR diameter was larger in men than in women (3.75 vs. 3.48 cm, p < 0.001) and AoR diameter predicted by the model was larger than predicted by nomogram (3.52 vs. 3.28 cm, p < 0.001). Using the multivariate model to identify patients with AoR dilatation, the prevalence was 13.7% in men and 12.3% in women (p = 0.537). There was consensus of AoR phenotype (normal/dilated) between model and nomogram in 92.8% of the patients. In multivariate logistic regression, AoR dilatation by model definition was predicted by presence of aortic regurgitation (OR 2.67, p < 0.001) and SD increase in age (OR 0.75, p = 0.023), pulse pressure (OR 0.64, p < 0.001), left ventricular mass index (OR 1.36, p = 0.08) and stroke volume (OR 1.45, p = 0.002), but not by body weight. CONCLUSIONS: Using the proposed model the prevalence of AoR dilatation was equal in men and women and the model seems to address the effects of gender, age and body size on AoR size. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT00338260.

Arterial thromboembolic events preceding the diagnosis of cancer in older persons.

Cancer patients face an increased risk of arterial thromboembolism; however, it is uncertain when this excess risk begins. This study evaluated the risk of arterial thromboembolism before cancer diagnosis. Using the population-based Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare linked dataset, we identified 374 331 patients ≥67 years of age with a new primary diagnosis of breast, lung, prostate, colorectal, bladder, uterine, pancreatic, gastric cancer, or non-Hodgkin lymphoma from 2005 through 2013. Cancer patients were individually matched by demographics and comorbidities to Medicare beneficiaries without cancer, who served as controls. Validated diagnosis codes were used to identify arterial thromboembolic events, defined as a composite of myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke. The Mantel-Haenszel estimator was used to compare risks of arterial thromboembolic events between cancer and noncancer groups during 30-day periods in the 360 days before date of cancer diagnosis. From 360 to 151 days before cancer diagnosis, the 30-day interval risks of arterial thromboembolic events were similar between cancer patients and matched controls. From 150 to 1 day before cancer diagnosis, the interval 30-day risks of arterial thromboembolic events were higher in cancer patients vs matched controls, progressively increasing as the cancer diagnosis date approached and peaking during the 30 days immediately before cancer diagnosis, when 2313 (0.62%) cancer patients were diagnosed with an arterial thromboembolic event vs 413 (0.11%) controls (odds ratio, 5.63; 95% confidence interval, 5.07-6.25). In conclusion, the risk of arterial thromboembolic events begins to increase 150 days before the date of cancer diagnosis in older persons and peaks in the 30 days before.

Machine Learning Prediction of Stroke Mechanism in Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: One-fifth of ischemic strokes are embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). Their theoretical causes can be classified as cardioembolic versus noncardioembolic. This distinction has important implications, but the categories' proportions are unknown. METHODS: Using data from the Cornell Acute Stroke Academic Registry, we trained a machine-learning algorithm to distinguish cardioembolic versus non-cardioembolic strokes, then applied the algorithm to ESUS cases to determine the predicted proportion with an occult cardioembolic source. A panel of neurologists adjudicated stroke etiologies using standard criteria. We trained a machine learning classifier using data on demographics, comorbidities, vitals, laboratory results, and echocardiograms. An ensemble predictive method including L1 regularization, gradient-boosted decision tree ensemble (XGBoost), random forests, and multivariate adaptive splines was used. Random search and cross-validation were used to tune hyperparameters. Model performance was assessed using cross-validation among cases of known etiology. We applied the final algorithm to an independent set of ESUS cases to determine the predicted mechanism (cardioembolic or not). To assess our classifier's validity, we correlated the predicted probability of a cardioembolic source with the eventual post-ESUS diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Among 1083 strokes with known etiologies, our classifier distinguished cardioembolic versus noncardioembolic cases with excellent accuracy (area under the curve, 0.85). Applied to 580 ESUS cases, the classifier predicted that 44% (95% credibility interval, 39%-49%) resulted from cardiac embolism. Individual ESUS patients' predicted likelihood of cardiac embolism was associated with eventual atrial fibrillation detection (OR per 10% increase, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.03-1.57]; c-statistic, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.58-0.78]). ESUS patients with high predicted probability of cardiac embolism were older and had more coronary and peripheral vascular disease, lower ejection fractions, larger left atria, lower blood pressures, and higher creatinine levels. CONCLUSIONS: A machine learning estimator that distinguished known cardioembolic versus noncardioembolic strokes indirectly estimated that 44% of ESUS cases were cardioembolic.

Electrocardiographic Findings in Coronavirus Disease-19: Insights on Mortality and Underlying Myocardial Processes.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a respiratory syndrome with high rates of mortality, and there is a need for easily obtainable markers to provide prognostic information. We sought to determine whether the electrocardiogram (ECG) on hospital presentation provides prognostic information, specifically related to death. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with COVID-19 who had an ECG at or near hospital admission. Clinical characteristics and ECG variables were manually abstracted from the electronic health record and first ECG. Our primary outcome was death. THERE WERE: 756 patients who presented to a large New York City teaching hospital with COVID-19 who underwent an ECG. The mean age was 63.3 ± 16 years, 37% were women, 61% of patients were nonwhite, and 57% had hypertension; 90 (11.9%) died. In a multivariable logistic regression that included age, ECG, and clinical characteristics, the presence of one or more atrial premature contractions (odds ratio [OR] 2.57, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-5.36, P = .01), a right bundle branch block or intraventricular block (OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.32-5.18, P = .002), ischemic T-wave inversion (OR 3.49, 95% CI 1.56-7.80, P = .002), and nonspecific repolarization (OR 2.31, 95% CI 1.27-4.21, P = .006) increased the odds of death. ST elevation was rare (n = 5 [0.7%]). CONCLUSIONS: We found that patients with ECG findings of both left-sided heart disease (atrial premature contractions, intraventricular block, repolarization abnormalities) and right-sided disease (right bundle branch block) have higher odds of death. ST elevation at presentation was rare.

On-treatment HDL cholesterol predicts incident atrial fibrillation in hypertensive patients with left ventricular hypertrophy.

Purpose: Hypertensive patients are at increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Although low baseline high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol has been associated with a higher risk of AF, this has not been verified in recent population-based studies. Whether changing levels of HDL over time are more strongly related to the risk of new AF in hypertensive patients has not been examined.Material and methods: Incident AF was examined in relation to baseline and on-treatment HDL levels in 8267 hypertensive patients with no history of AF, in sinus rhythm on their baseline electrocardiogram, randomly assigned to losartan- or atenolol-based treatment. HDL levels at baseline and each year of testing were categorised into quartiles according to baseline HDL levels.Results: During 4.7 ± 1.10 years of follow-up, 645 patients (7.8%) developed new AF. In univariate Cox analyses, compared with the highest quartile of HDL levels (>1.78 mmol/l), patients with on-treatment HDL in the lowest quartile (≤ 1.21 mmol/l) had a 53% greater risk of new AF. Patients with on-treatment HDL in the second and third quartiles had intermediate increased risks of AF. Baseline HDL in the lowest quartile was not a significant predictor of new AF (hazard ratio (HR): 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90-1.43). In multivariable Cox analyses adjusting for multiple baseline and time-varying covariates, the lowest quartile of on-treatment HDL remained associated with a nearly 54% increased risk of new AF (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.16-2.05) whereas a baseline HDL≤ ⩽1.21 mmol/l was not predictive of new AF (HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.78-1.31).Conclusion: Lower on-treatment HDL is strongly associated with risk of new AF. These findings suggest that serial assessment of HDL can estimate AF risk better than baseline HDL in hypertensive patients with left ventricular hypertrophy. Future studies may investigate whether therapies that increase HDL can lower risk of developing AF.Clinical Trials Registration: http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct/show/NCT00338260?order=1.

Association Between Heart Transplantation and Subsequent Risk of Stroke Among Patients With Heart Failure.

Background and Purpose- It is uncertain whether heart transplantation decreases the risk of stroke. The objective of our study was to determine whether heart transplantation is associated with a decreased risk of subsequent stroke among patients with heart failure awaiting transplantation. Methods- We performed a retrospective cohort study using administrative data from New York, California, and Florida between 2005 and 2015. Individuals with heart failure awaiting heart transplantation were identified using previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes for heart failure in combination with code V49.83 for awaiting organ transplant status. Individuals with prior stroke were excluded. Our primary exposure variable was heart transplantation, modeled as a time-varying covariate and defined by procedure code 37.51. The primary outcome was stroke, defined as the composite of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Survival statistics were used to calculate stroke incidence, and Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to determine the association between heart transplantation and stroke while adjusting for demographics, stroke risk factors, Elixhauser comorbidities, and implantation of a left ventricular assist device. Results- We identified 7848 patients with heart failure awaiting heart transplantation, of whom 1068 (13.6%) underwent heart transplantation. During a mean follow-up of 2.7 years, we identified 428 strokes. The annual incidence of stroke was 0.7% (95% CI, 0.5%-1.0%) after heart transplantation versus 2.4% (95% CI, 2.2%-2.6%) among those awaiting heart transplantation. After adjustment for potential confounders, heart transplantation was associated with a lower risk of stroke (hazard ratio, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6). Conclusions- Heart transplantation is associated with a decreased risk of stroke among patients with heart failure awaiting transplantation.

Cryptogenic Stroke: Research and Practice.

BACKGROUND: Cryptogenic stroke accounts for 30% to 40% of ischemic stroke. It is essential to determine the possible culprit because this will improve secondary stroke prevention strategies. METHODS: We performed a narrative nonsystematic review of the literature that included randomized trials, exploratory comparative studies, and case series on cryptogenic stroke. RESULTS: There are several possible mechanisms implicated in cryptogenic stroke, including occult paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, patent foramen ovale, aortic arch atherosclerosis, atrial cardiopathy, and substenotic atherosclerosis. The heterogeneity of these mechanisms leads to differences in stroke prevention strategies among cryptogenic stroke patients. CONCLUSIONS: A thorough diagnostic evaluation is essential to determine the pathogenesis in cryptogenic stroke. This approach, in addition to risk factor management and lifestyle modifications, will lead to improved stroke prevention strategies in patients with cryptogenic stroke. This will allow for targeted clinical trials to improve stroke prevention strategies in this patient population.

Association of left bundle branch block with new onset abnormal wall motion in treated hypertensive patients with left ventricle hypertrophy: the LIFE Echo Sub-study.

AIMS: We aimed to investigate whether left bundle branch block (LBBB) is related to new-onset left ventricle (LV) wall motion abnormalities during treatment in hypertensive patients with electrocardiographic (ECG) defined left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). METHODS AND RESULTS: 960 patients with essential hypertension and ECG-LVH participating in the LIFE Echo Sub-study were investigated at baseline and annually with echocardiography, during randomized antihypertensive therapy. After excluding patients with LV wall motion abnormalities at baseline and patients developing new-onset LBBB during study time, we investigated 784 patients. The participants with (n = 32) and without (n = 752) LBBB were similar regarding most baseline variables. Logistic regression models controlling for LV mass index, Framingham risk score, and randomized treatment assignment were used to assess the odds ratio of developing new-onset abnormal LV wall motion on annual follow-up echocardiograms. The likelihood of developing new global LV wall motion abnormalities in patients with LBBB was not higher compared to those without LBBB except at year 5 (p = .002). The likelihood of developing new segmental LV wall motion abnormalities in patients with LBBB was however higher compared to patients without LBBB after 1 year (OR = 3.1, 95% CI = 0.7-14.2, p = .173); 2 years (OR = 6.9, 2.1-22.4, p = .003); 3 years (OR = 5.3, 2.0-14.3, p < .001), 4 years (OR = 4.0, 1.6-10.3, p = .003 and 5 years (OR = 4.1, 1.0-16.2, p = .394) of treatment. CONCLUSION: Among patients with ECG-LVH, undergoing antihypertensive treatment, the presence of LBBB independently identifies individuals with ∼3- to 7-fold greater odds of developing new segmental abnormal LV wall motion. These findings suggest that LBBB may be a marker for progressive myocardial disease.

Antihypertensive therapy prevents new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with isolated systolic hypertension: the LIFE study.

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk and the incidence increases with age, hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH). Reducing in-treatment systolic blood pressure (SBP) prevents new-onset AF but has previously not been studied in patients with isolated systolic hypertension (ISH). We aimed to investigate the effect on preventing new-onset AF by decreased in-treatment SBP in patients with ISH compared to patients with non-ISH. Methods and results: Double-blind, randomized, parallel-group study of 1320 patients with ISH and electrocardiographic (ECG) LVH, included among the 9193 patients in the Losartan Intervention For Endpoint reduction in hypertension (LIFE) study. Annual ECGs were Minnesota coded centrally, and new-onset AF was evaluated in 1248 ISH patients and compared with 7583 non-ISH patients during mean 4.8 ± 0.9 years follow-up. Cox regression analyses were used to assess the effect of reduced in-treatment SBP. New-onset AF occurred in 61 (4.9%) ISH patients and 292 (3.9%) non-ISH patients. In multivariate analysis lower in-treatment SBP was associated with 17% risk reduction (p = 0.008) for new-onset AF in ISH patients and 9% risk reduction (p = 0.006) in non-ISH patients per 10 mmHg decrease in in-treatment SBP, independent of treatment modality, baseline risk factors, baseline SBP and in-treatment heart rate and ECG-LVH. There was a significant interaction (p = 0.041) in favor of SBP reduction and AF prevention in ISH vs. non-ISH patients. Conclusion: Our data suggest that the effect of in-treatment SBP reduction in preventing new-onset AF is stronger in ISH compared to non-ISH patients with hypertension and ECG-LVH. However, the principal findings were the same in ISH and non-ISH patients.

Association Between Troponin Levels and Visceral Infarction in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Visceral infarctions appear to be more common in patients with embolic stroke subtypes, but their relation to troponin elevation remains uncertain. METHODS: Among patients with acute ischemic stroke enrolled in the Cornell AcutE Stroke Academic Registry (CAESAR) from 2011 to 2016, we included those with troponin measured within 24 hours from stroke onset and a contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomographic scan within 1 year of admission. A troponin elevation was defined as a value exceeding our laboratory's upper limit of normal (.04 ng/ mL) in the absence of a clinically recognized acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Visceral infarction was defined as a renal or splenic infarction as ascertained by a single radiologist blinded to patients' other characteristics. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between elevated troponin and visceral infarction. RESULTS: Among 2116 patients registered in CAESAR from 2011 to 2016, 153 patients had both a troponin assay and a contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomographic scan, of whom 33 (21%) had an elevated troponin and 22 (14%) had a visceral infarction. The prevalence of visceral infarction was higher among patients with an elevated troponin (30%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 16%-49%) than among patients without an elevated troponin (10%; 95% CI, 5%-17%) (P = .003). After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, we found a significant association between elevated troponin and visceral infarction (odds ratio, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.5-10.4). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with acute ischemic stroke, elevated troponin was associated with visceral infarction. Our results demonstrate that poststroke troponin elevation may indicate the presence of underlying embolic sources.

Atrial Cardiopathy and the Risk of Ischemic Stroke in the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study).

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Emerging evidence suggests that an underlying atrial cardiopathy may result in thromboembolism before atrial fibrillation (AF) develops. We examined the association between various markers of atrial cardiopathy and the risk of ischemic stroke. METHODS: The CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) prospectively enrolled community-dwelling adults ≥65 years of age. For this study, we excluded participants diagnosed with stroke or AF before baseline. Exposures were several markers of atrial cardiopathy: baseline P-wave terminal force in ECG lead V1, left atrial dimension on echocardiogram, and N terminal pro B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), as well as incident AF. Incident AF was ascertained from 12-lead electrocardiograms at annual study visits for the first decade after study enrollment and from inpatient and outpatient Medicare data throughout follow-up. The primary outcome was incident ischemic stroke. We used Cox proportional hazards models that included all 4 atrial cardiopathy markers along with adjustment for demographic characteristics and established vascular risk factors. RESULTS: Among 3723 participants who were free of stroke and AF at baseline and who had data on all atrial cardiopathy markers, 585 participants (15.7%) experienced an incident ischemic stroke during a median 12.9 years of follow-up. When all atrial cardiopathy markers were combined in 1 Cox model, we found significant associations with stroke for P-wave terminal force in ECG lead V1 (hazard ratio per 1000 µV*ms 1.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.001-1.08), log-transformed NT-proBNP (hazard ratio per doubling of NT-proBNP, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.16), and incident AF (hazard ratio, 2.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.67-2.48) but not left atrial dimension (hazard ratio per cm, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.10). CONCLUSIONS: In addition to clinically apparent AF, other evidence of abnormal atrial substrate is associated with subsequent ischemic stroke. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that thromboembolism from the left atrium may occur in the setting of several different manifestations of atrial disease.

Safety Outcomes After Percutaneous Transcatheter Closure of Patent Foramen Ovale.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We sought to evaluate the real-world rate of safety outcomes after patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure in patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using administrative claims data on all hospitalizations from 2005 to 2013 in New York, California, and Florida. Using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes, we identified patients who underwent percutaneous transcatheter PFO closure within 1 year of ischemic stroke or TIA. Our outcome was an adverse event occurring during the hospitalization for PFO closure, defined as in prior studies as atrial fibrillation or flutter, cardiac tamponade, pneumothorax, hemothorax, a vascular access complication, or death. Crude rates were reported with exact confidence intervals. RESULTS: We identified 1887 patients who underwent PFO closure after ischemic stroke or TIA. The rate of any adverse outcome during the hospitalization for PFO closure was 7.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.9%-8.2%). Rates of adverse outcomes varied by age and type of preceding cerebrovascular event. In patients >60 years of age, the rate of adverse outcomes was 10.9% (95% CI, 8.6%-13.6%) versus 4.9% (95% CI, 3.8%-6.3%) in patients ≤60 years of age. The rate of adverse outcomes was 9.9% (95% CI, 7.3%-12.5%) in patients with preceding ischemic stroke versus 5.9% (95% CI, 4.7%-7.1%) after TIA. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 1 in 14 patients who underwent percutaneous transcatheter PFO closure after ischemic stroke or TIA experienced a serious periprocedural adverse outcome or death. The risk of adverse outcomes was highest in older patients and in those with preceding ischemic stroke.

Relationship between abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1 and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction in hypertensive patients: the LIFE study.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTF-V1) is an ECG marker of increased left atrial (LA) volume, elevated LA filling pressures and/or LA systolic dysfunction. Because left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction is one of the potential mechanisms driving LA remodelling, we hypothesized that PTF-V1 might be an additional ECG marker of diastolic dysfunction. METHODS: LV diastolic function after 3 years' systematic antihypertensive treatment was examined in relation to baseline PTF-V1 in 431 hypertensive patients undergoing protocol-driven blood pressure reduction who had baseline and year-3 ECG and echocardiographic data and a preserved LV ejection fraction (EF >45%) at year-3. Abnormal diastolic function was defined by the tenth or 90th percentile values from 405 normotensive, non-obese and non-diabetic adults without overt cardiovascular disease. Abnormal PTF-V1, defined by the presence of a negative terminal P-wave in lead V1 ≥ 4000 µV·ms, was present in 167 patients (38.7%). RESULTS: Abnormal PTF-V1 was associated with worse year-3 mean diastolic first third filling time (0.43 ± 0.08 vs 0.40 ± 0.07 sec, p = 0.039), first half filling time (0.55 ± 0.07 vs 0.53 ± 0.07 sec, p = 0.041), mitral valve A velocity (86 ± 27 vs 76 ± 19 cm/sec, p = 0.009) and mitral valve E/A ratio (0.85 ± 0.22 vs 0.94 ± 0.27, p = 0.007) after adjusting for other potential predictors of diastolic dysfunction including race, and heart rate, systolic blood pressure and severity of ECG LVH by Cornell product criteria at baseline. In parallel multivariate logistic regression analysis, abnormal PTF-V1 was associated with significantly increased odds of abnormal mitral valve E/A ratio (OR 1.55, 95%CI 1.04-2.32 p = 0.032), and a trend toward higher odds of abnormal half filling time (OR 1.42, 95%CI 0.94-2.15, p = 0.098) at year-3 of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal P-wave terminal force in lead V1 is associated with worse diastolic function and predicts abnormal LV diastolic behaviour in patients with preserved EF after 3 years of blood pressure reductive therapy.

Electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality and stroke subtype in the atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between abnormally increased P-wave terminal force in lead V1 , an electrocardiographic (ECG) marker of left atrial abnormality, and incident ischemic stroke subtypes. We hypothesized that associations would be stronger with nonlacunar stroke, given that we expected left atrial abnormality to reflect the risk of thromboembolism rather than in situ cerebral small-vessel occlusion. METHODS: Our cohort comprised 14,542 participants 45 to 64 years of age prospectively enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study and free of clinically apparent atrial fibrillation (AF) at baseline. Left atrial abnormality was defined as PTFV1 >4,000µV*ms. Outcomes were adjudicated ischemic stroke, nonlacunar (including cardioembolic) ischemic stroke, and lacunar stroke. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 22 years (interquartile range, 19-23 years), 904 participants (6.2%) experienced a definite or probable ischemic stroke. A higher incidence of stroke occurred in those with baseline left atrial abnormality (incidence rate per 1,000 person-years, 6.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.4-7.4) than in those without (incidence rate per 1,000 person-years, 2.9; 95% CI: 2.7-3.1; p < 0.001). In Cox regression models adjusted for potential confounders and incident AF, left atrial abnormality was associated with incident ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.11-1.59). This association was limited to nonlacunar stroke (HR, 1.49; 95% CI: 1.07-2.07) as opposed to lacunar stroke (HR, 0.89; 95% CI: 0.57-1.40). INTERPRETATION: We found an association between ECG-defined left atrial abnormality and subsequent nonlacunar ischemic stroke. Our findings suggest that an underlying atrial cardiopathy may cause left atrial thromboembolism in the absence of recognized AF.

Cranial Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Elderly American Indians: Design, Methods, and Implementation of the Cerebrovascular Disease and Its Consequences in American Indians Study.

The Cerebrovascular Disease and its Consequences in American Indians (CDCAI) Study recruited surviving members of a 20-year, longitudinal, population-based cohort of American Indians focused on cardiovascular disease, its risk factors, and its consequences. The goal of the CDCAI Study is to characterize the burden, risk factors, and manifestations of vascular brain injury identified on cranial MRI. The CDCAI Study investigators enrolled 1,033 participants aged 60 and older from 11 American Indian communities and tribes in the Northern Plains, Southern Plains, and Southwestern United States. In addition to cranial MRI performed according to standardized protocols, participants underwent extensive medical interview, clinical examination, neurocognitive testing, physical function evaluation, electrocardiogram, and provided blood and urine specimens. Participants also self-administered questionnaires covering demographics, quality of life, and medical history. This report describes the design, implementation, and some of the unique challenges of this study and data collection.

Relationship of diastolic function to new or persistent electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy.

BACKGROUND: Persistence or development of Cornell product left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is associated with increased heart failure (HF) risk that is partly explained by greater LV systolic dysfunction. However, whether new or persistent Cornell product LVH during antihypertensive treatment is associated with worse LV diastolic function is unclear. METHODS: Left ventricular diastolic function was examined in relation to year-3 ECG LVH in 377 hypertensive patients with a preserved LV ejection fraction (>45%) at year-3. Cornell product >2440 mm·ms defined ECG LVH. RESULTS: In multivariate models adjusting for age, sex, change from baseline to year-3 systolic blood pressure, and baseline and change from baseline to year-3 Sokolow-Lyon voltage, persistent or new Cornell product LVH at year-3 remained associated with year-3 abnormal half filling time (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.04-2.55 p = 0.034), with a trend toward higher odds of abnormal third filling time (OR 1.51, 95% CI 0.087 p = 0.087) and total filling time (OR 1.79, CI 0.98-3.27 p = 0.059). CONCLUSION: In hypertensive patients undergoing antihypertensive therapy, persistence or development of Cornell product ECG LVH at year-3 follow-up is modestly associated with LV diastolic dysfunction. These findings suggest that diastolic dysfunction may be a mechanism via which changing ECG LVH influences HF risk.

Systolic Blood Pressure Control and Mortality After Stroke in Hypertensive Patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hypertensive patients with electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy are at increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Lowering blood pressure (BP) after stroke reduces the risk of recurrent stroke, but recent data suggest that lower systolic BP (SBP) measured 5 years after stroke is associated with increased mortality. Whether lower SBP is associated with increased short-term mortality after stroke in hypertensive patients is unclear. METHODS: All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were examined in relation to average on-treatment SBP after stroke in 541 hypertensive patients with electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy randomly assigned to losartan- or atenolol-based treatment who had new strokes during follow-up. Patients with on-treatment SBP<144 mm Hg (lowest tertile) and SBP>157 (highest tertile) were compared with patients with average SBP between 144 and 157. RESULTS: During 2.02±1.65 years mean follow-up after incident stroke, 170 patients (31.4%) died, 135 (25.0%) from cardiovascular causes. In multivariate Cox analyses, adjusting for significant univariate predictors of mortality, compared with average SBP between 144 and 157, an average SBP<144 was a significant predictor of all-cause (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-2.73) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.60; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-2.54), whereas patients who had an average SBP>157 had no significant increased risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: Lower achieved SBP (<144 mm Hg) is associated with a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality after initial stroke in hypertensive patients during short-term follow-up. Further study is required to determine ideal SBP goals after stroke. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: http://clinicaltrials.gov/. Unique identifier: NCT00338260.

Electrocardiographic Left Atrial Abnormality and Risk of Stroke: Northern Manhattan Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality has been associated with stroke independently of atrial fibrillation (AF), suggesting that atrial thromboembolism may occur in the absence of AF. If true, we would expect an association with cryptogenic or cardioembolic stroke rather than noncardioembolic stroke. METHODS: We conducted a case-cohort analysis in the Northern Manhattan Study, a prospective cohort study of stroke risk factors. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was manually measured from baseline ECGs of participants in sinus rhythm who subsequently had ischemic stroke (n=241) and a randomly selected subcohort without stroke (n=798). Weighted Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association between P-wave terminal force in lead V1 and stroke etiologic subtypes while adjusting for baseline demographic characteristics, history of AF, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, tobacco use, and lipid levels. RESULTS: Mean P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was 4452 (±3368) µV*ms among stroke cases and 3934 (±2541) µV*ms in the subcohort. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio per SD, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.39) and the composite of cryptogenic or cardioembolic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio per SD, 1.31; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.58). There was no definite association with noncardioembolic stroke subtypes (adjusted hazard ratio per SD, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.40). Results were similar after excluding participants with a history of AF at baseline or new AF during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: ECG-defined left atrial abnormality was associated with incident cryptogenic or cardioembolic stroke independently of the presence of AF, suggesting atrial thromboembolism may occur without recognized AF.

Association between left atrial abnormality on ECG and vascular brain injury on MRI in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Emerging evidence suggests that atrial disease is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of atrial fibrillation. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study prospectively enrolled community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years. Among participants who underwent MRI, we examined associations of ECG left atrial abnormality with brain infarcts and leukoaraiosis. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was the primary measure of left atrial abnormality; P-wave area and duration were secondary predictors. We excluded participants with atrial fibrillation before or on their index ECG. Primary outcomes were incident infarcts and worsening leukoaraiosis from initial to follow-up scan ≈5 years later. Secondary outcomes were prevalent infarcts and degree of leukoaraiosis on initial MRI. Relative risk (RR) and linear regression models were adjusted for vascular risk factors. RESULTS: Among 3129 participants with ≥1 scan, each SD increase in P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with a 0.05-point (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0003-0.10) higher baseline white matter grade on a 10-point scale. P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with prevalent infarcts of any type (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.16) and more so with prevalent nonlacunar infarcts (RR per SD, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.38). Among 1839 participants with 2 scans, P-wave terminal force in lead V1 was associated with worsening leukoaraiosis (RR per SD, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18), but not with incident infarcts (RR per SD, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.93-1.20). Sensitivity analyses adjusting for incident atrial fibrillation found similar results. P-wave area and duration were not associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: ECG left atrial abnormality is associated with vascular brain injury in the absence of documented atrial fibrillation.