Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Improves Outcomes in Patients With Intraventricular Conduction Delay But Not Right Bundle Branch Block: A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Benefit from cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) varies by QRS characteristics; individual randomized trials are underpowered to assess benefit for relatively small subgroups. METHODS: The authors analyzed patient-level data from pivotal CRT trials (MIRACLE [Multicenter InSync Randomized Clinical Evaluation], MIRACLE-ICD [Multicenter InSync ICD Randomized Clinical Evaluation], MIRACLE-ICD II [Multicenter InSync ICD Randomized Clinical Evaluation II], REVERSE [Resynchronization Reverses Remodeling in Systolic Left Ventricular Dysfunction], RAFT [Resynchronization-Defibrillation for Ambulatory Heart Failure], BLOCK-HF [Biventricular Versus Right Ventricular Pacing in Heart Failure Patients with Atrioventricular Block], COMPANION [Comparison of Medical Therapy, Pacing and Defibrillation in Heart Failure], and MADIT-CRT [Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial - Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy]) using Bayesian Hierarchical Weibull survival regression models to assess CRT benefit by QRS morphology (left bundle branch block [LBBB], n=4549; right bundle branch block [RBBB], n=691; and intraventricular conduction delay [IVCD], n=1024) and duration (with 150-ms partition). The continuous relationship between QRS duration and CRT benefit was also examined within subgroups defined by QRS morphology. The primary end point was time to heart failure hospitalization (HFH) or death; a secondary end point was time to all-cause death. RESULTS: Of 6264 patients included, 25% were women, the median age was 66 [interquartile range, 58 to 73] years, and 61% received CRT (with or without an implantable cardioverter defibrillator). CRT was associated with an overall lower risk of HFH or death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.73 [credible interval (CrI), 0.65 to 0.84]), and in subgroups of patients with QRS ≥150 ms and either LBBB (HR, 0.56 [CrI, 0.48 to 0.66]) or IVCD (HR, 0.59 [CrI, 0.39 to 0.89]), but not RBBB (HR 0.97 [CrI, 0.68 to 1.34]; Pinteraction <0.001). No significant association for CRT with HFH or death was observed when QRS was <150 ms (regardless of QRS morphology) or in the presence of RBBB. Similar relationships were observed for all-cause death. CONCLUSIONS: CRT is associated with reduced HFH or death in patients with QRS ≥150 ms and LBBB or IVCD, but not for those with RBBB. Aggregating RBBB and IVCD into a single "non-LBBB" category when selecting patients for CRT should be reconsidered. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifiers: NCT00271154, NCT00251251, NCT00267098, and NCT00180271.

Benefit of cardiac resynchronization therapy among older patients: A patient-level meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) reduces heart failure hospitalizations (HFH) and mortality for guideline-indicated patients with heart failure (HF). Most patients with HF are aged ≥70 years but such patients are often under-represented in randomized trials. METHODS: Patient-level data were combined from 8 randomized trials published 2002-2013 comparing CRT to no CRT (n = 6,369). The effect of CRT was estimated using an adjusted Bayesian survival model. Using age as a categorical (<70 vs ≥70 years) or continuous variable, the interaction between age and CRT on the composite end point of HFH or all-cause mortality or all-cause mortality alone was assessed. RESULTS: The median age was 67 years with 2436 (38%) being 70+; 1,554 (24%) were women; 2,586 (41%) had nonischemic cardiomyopathy and median QRS duration was 160 ms. Overall, CRT was associated with a delay in time to the composite end point (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.75, 95% credible interval [CI] 0.66-0.85, P = .002) and all-cause mortality alone (aHR of 0.80, 95% CI 0.69-0.96, P = .017). When age was treated as a categorical variable, there was no interaction between age and the effect of CRT for either end point (P > .1). When age was treated as a continuous variable, older patients appeared to obtain greater benefit with CRT for the composite end point (P for interaction = .027) with a similar but nonsignificant trend for mortality (P for interaction = .35). CONCLUSION: Reductions in HFH and mortality with CRT are as great or greater in appropriately indicated older patients. Age should not be a limiting factor for the provision of CRT.

Complications in Patients with Surgically Altered Gastrointestinal Anatomy Undergoing Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography: 15-Year Experience at a Tertiary Care Center in Latin America.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a common procedure, but it poses challenges in patients with surgically altered gastrointestinal anatomy (SAGA). Alternative techniques like single-balloon enteroscopy (SBE), double-balloon enteroscopy (DBE), or push enteroscopy (PE) have been used, albeit with potential complications. Limited Latin American data exists on ERCP complications in SAGA patients. Our goal is to describe complications of ERCP in SAGA at a national referral institution. METHODS: Retrospective, single-center cohort study. All SAGA ERCP procedures performed at the Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Department of the National Institute of Medical Sciences and Nutrition Salvador Zubirán from January 2008 to May 2023 were included. Extracted data from records included procedure specifics, endoscope type, success, and complications. Complications were evaluated during procedure and 28-day post-procedure and classified using the AGREE system. RESULTS: A total of 266 procedures in 174 patients were included, 74% were women, and the median age was 44 years. Predominant modified anatomy was Roux-en-Y biliary reconstruction (79%), followed by Whipple procedure (13%) and subtotal gastrectomy with Roux-en-Y reconstruction (6.0%). The main indications were cholangitis with stricture (31%), stricture (19%), and cholangitis (19%). DBE was used in 89%, PE in 7.5%, and SBE in 3.4%. Success rates were 77% endoscopic, 72% technical, and 69% therapeutic; in 30%, the procedure was unsuccessful. Complications happened in 18% of cases, most commonly cholangitis (7.5%), followed by perforation (2.6%) and hemorrhage (1.9%). According to the AGREE classification, 10.9% were grades 1 and 2, 6.4% were grade 3, and 0.4% were grade 4 complications. No significant differences emerged between groups with and without complications. Procedures increased over time, but complications and unsuccessful procedures remained stable. CONCLUSION: ERCP complications align with international data, often not requiring invasive treatment. Enhanced exposure to such cases correlates with fewer complications and failures. Prospective studies are essential to identify complication and failure predictors.

Is iron overload associated with worse outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease undergoing liver transplantation?

Background: Iron overload is frequent in patients with chronic liver disease, associated with shorter survival after liver transplantation in patients with hereditary hemochromatosis. Its effect on patients without hereditary hemochromatosis is unclear. The aim of the study was to study the clinical impact of iron overload in patients who underwent liver transplantation at an academic tertiary referral center. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study including all patients without hereditary hemochromatosis who underwent liver transplantation from 2015 to 2017 at an academic tertiary referral center in Mexico City. Explant liver biopsies were reprocessed to obtain the histochemical hepatic iron index, considering a score ≥ 0.15 as iron overload. Baseline characteristics were compared between patients with and without iron overload. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, compared with the log-rank test and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 105 patients included, 45% had iron overload. Viral and metabolic etiologies, alcohol consumption, and obesity were more frequent in patients with iron overload than in those without iron overload (43% vs. 21%, 32% vs. 22%, p = 0.011; 34% vs. 9%, p = 0.001; and 32% vs. 12%, p = 0.013, respectively). Eight patients died within 90 days after liver transplantation (one with iron overload). Complication rate was higher in patients with iron overload versus those without iron overload (223 vs. 93 events/100 personmonths; median time to any complication of 2 vs. 3 days, p = 0.043), without differences in complication type. Fatality rate was lower in patients with iron overload versus those without iron overload (0.7 vs. 4.5 deaths/100 person-months, p = 0.055). Conclusion: Detecting iron overload might identify patients at risk of early complications after liver transplantation. Further studies are required to understand the role of iron overload in survival.

Cardiac resynchronization therapy in patients with a prior history of atrial fibrillation: Insights from four major clinical trials.

AIMS: To investigate the association of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) on outcomes among participants with and without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Individual-patient-data from four randomized trials investigating CRT-Defibrillators (COMPANION, MADIT-CRT, REVERSE) or CRT-Pacemakers (COMPANION, MIRACLE) were analyzed. Outcomes were time to a composite of heart failure hospitalization or all-cause mortality or to all-cause mortality alone. The association of CRT on outcomes for patients with and without a history of AF was assessed using a Bayesian-Weibull survival regression model adjusting for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Of 3964 patients included, 586 (14.8%) had a history of AF; 2245 (66%) were randomized to CRT. Overall, CRT reduced the risk of the primary composite endpoint (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.69, 95% credible interval [CI]: 0.56-0.81). The effect was similar (posterior probability of no interaction = 0.26) in patients with (HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.55-1.10) and without a history of AF (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.55-0.80). In these four trials, CRT did not reduce mortality overall (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.66-1.01) without evidence of interaction (posterior probability of no interaction = 0.14) for patients with (HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.70-1.74) or without a history of AF (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.60-0.97). CONCLUSION: The association of CRT on the composite endpoint or mortality was not statistically different for patients with or without a history of AF, but this could reflect inadequate power. Our results call for trials to confirm the benefit of CRT recipients with a history of AF.

Predictors of Mechanical Ventilation in Guillain-Barré Syndrome with Axonal Subtypes.

BACKGROUND: The early clinical predictors of respiratory failure in Latin Americans with Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) have scarcely been studied. This is of particular importance since Latin America has a high frequency of axonal GBS variants that may imply a worse prognosis. METHODS: We studied 86 Mexican patients with GBS admitted to the Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, a referral center of Mexico City, to describe predictors of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). RESULTS: The median age was 40 years (interquartile range: 26-53.5), with 60.5% men (male-to-female ratio: 1.53). Most patients (65%) had an infectious antecedent (40.6% gastrointestinal). At admission, 38% of patients had a Medical Research Council (MRC) sum score <30. Axonal subtypes predominated (60.5%), with acute motor axonal neuropathy being the most prevalent (34.9%), followed by acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (32.6%), acute motor sensory axonal neuropathy (AMSAN) (25.6%), and Fisher syndrome (7%). Notably, 15.1% had onset in upper limbs, 75.6% dysautonomia, and 73.3% pain. In all, 86% received either IVIg (9.3%) or plasma exchange (74.4%). IMV was required in 39.5% patients (72.7% in AMSAN). A multivariate model without including published prognostic scores yielded the time since onset to admission <15 days, axonal variants, MRC sum score <30, and bulbar weakness as independent predictors of IMV. The model including grading scales yielded lower limbs onset, Erasmus GBS respiratory insufficiency score (EGRIS) >4, and dysautonomia as predictors. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that EGRIS is a good prognosticator of IMV in GBS patients with a predominance of axonal electrophysiological subtypes, but other early clinical data should also be considered.

Effect of Mexico's vaccination program on Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths among older adults in Mexico City.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the impact of Mexico's Co-vid-19 vaccination campaign of older adults. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We estimated the absolute change in sympto-matic cases, hospitalizations and deaths for vaccine-eligible adults (aged >60 years) and the relative change compared to vaccine-ineligible groups since the campaign started. Re-sults. By May 3, 2021, the odds of Covid-19 cases among adults over 60 compared to 50-59 year olds decreased by 60.3% (95%CI: 53.1, 66.9), and 2 003 cases (95%CI: 1 156, 3 130) were avoided. Hospitalizations and deaths showed similar trends. CONCLUSIONS: Covid-19 events decreased after vaccine rollout among those eligible for vaccination.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the clinical training of last year medical students in Mexico: a cross-sectional nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has brought unprecedented changes to medical education. However, no data are available regarding the impact the pandemic may have on medical training in Mexico. The aim of our study was to evaluate and identify the medical school students' perceptions of the changes in their clinical training due to the pandemic in Mexico. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study where a previous validated online survey was translated and adapted by medical education experts and applied to senior medical students from March to April of 2021. The 16-item questionnaire was distributed online combining dichotomous, multiple-choice, and 5-point Likert response scale questions. Descriptive and multivariate analyses were performed to compare the student's perceptions between public and private schools. RESULTS: A total of 671 responses were included in the study period. Most participants were from public schools (81%) and female (61%). Almost every respondent (94%) indicated it was necessary to obtain COVID-19 education, yet only half (54%) received such training. Students in private schools were less likely to have their clinical instruction canceled (53% vs. 77%, p = 0.001) and more likely to have access to virtual instruction (46% vs. 22%, p = 0.001) when compared to students from public schools. Four out of every five students considered their training inferior to that of previous generations, and most students (82%) would consider repeating their final year of clinical training. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of the COVID-19 on medical education in Mexico has been significant. Most final-year medical students have been affected by the cancellation of their in-person clinical instruction, for which the majority would consider repeating their final year of training. Efforts to counterbalance this lack of clinical experience with virtual or simulation instruction are needed.

Factors Associated with Development of Acute Kidney Injury After Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Early post-liver transplant (LT) acute kidney injury (AKI) has been associated with worse short-term and long-term outcomes, but the incidence and risk factors in our population are unknown. METHODS: We designed a prospective, singlecenter, longitudinal cohort study to determine the incidence of AKI during the immediate postoperative period of LT, and to identify the risk factors associated with AKI after LT. Pre-operative and intraoperative variables were analyzed to determine if there was any correlation with the development of post-operative AKI. RESULTS: Eighty-six patients were included in the final analysis; from them, 45 (52%) developed AKI in the following 30 days after LT. The presence of hepatic encephalopathy prior to LT was the factor most strongly associated with the development of AKI (Relative Risk 3.67, 95% Confidence Interval 1.08-8.95). Other factors associated with AKI development were male gender and a higher serum lactate during surgery. CONCLUSION: AKI was a frequent complication that significantly worsened the prognosis of LT recipients and was associated with an increased 30-day mortality rate. The presence of hepatic encephalopathy strongly predicted the development of severe AKI.

Transplant trends in Mexico during the COVID-19 pandemic: Disparities within healthcare sectors.

Healthcare systems worldwide were challenged during the COVID-19 pandemic. In Mexico, the public hospitals that perform most transplants were adapted to provide care for COVID-19 patients. Using a nationwide database, we describe the first report of the impact of COVID-19 and related transplantation healthcare policies in a middle-income country by comparing statistics before and during the pandemic (pre-COVID: March 2019-February 2020 vs. COVID era: March 2020-February 2021) and by type of institution (public vs. private). The global reduction in transplantation was higher in public institutions compared with private institutions, 89% versus 62%, respectively, p < .001. When analyzing by organ, kidney transplantation decreased by 89% at public versus 57% at private, p < .001; cornea by 88% at public versus 64% at private, p < .001; liver by 88% at public versus 35% at private, p < .001; and heart by 88% in public versus 67% at private institutions, p = .4. The COVID-19 pandemic along with the implemented health policies were associated with a decrease in donations, waiting list additions, and a decrease in transplantation, particularly at public institutions, which care for the most vulnerable.

18f-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography Versus Bone Marrow Biopsy for the Evaluation of Bone Marrow Infiltration in Newly Diagnosed Lymphoma Patients.

BACKGROUND: Bone marrow evaluation (BME) is crucial for establishing an accurate staging and prognosis in lymphoma patients. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to study the diagnostic performance of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (FDG PET-CT) against bone marrow biopsy (BMB) for BME. METHODS: Five hundred patient files of newly diagnosed lymphoma patients treated at an academic medical center were reviewed for BME at diagnosis by BMB and FDG PET-CT. Diagnostic performance of FDG PET-CT for detecting bone marrow infiltration (BMI)was assessed, as well as clinical predictors for positive BMB and positive FDG PET-CT. RESULTS: BMB was positive in 16.3% of all patients, and 28.7% had a positive FDG PET-CT for BMI. Overall, the sensitivity of FDG PET-CT was 74.1% and specificity 80.1%. As for predictors for BMB and FDG PET-CT positivity, B symptoms and thrombocytopenia were independent factors for BMI. Seventy-four patients had discordant results between BMB and FDG PET-CT, non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) having the most significant discordance. This discrepancy did not affect treatment. CONCLUSIONS: FDG PET-CT shows excellent performance for the detection of BMI in Hodgkin lymphoma. For diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, we recommend performing BMB and FDG PET-CT as complementary tests. In all other NHL, a unilateral BMB is mandatory at diagnosis.

CLINICAL AND EPIDEMIOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PATIENTS DIAGNOSED WITH COVID-19 IN A TERTIARY CARE CENTER IN MEXICO CITY: A PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY.

BACKGROUND: Regional information regarding the characteristics of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 is needed for a better understanding of the pandemic. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study to describe the clinical features of COVID-19 patients diagnosed in a tertiary-care center in Mexico City and to assess differences according to the treatment setting (ambulatory vs. hospital) and to the need of intensive care (IC). METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort, including consecutive patients with COVID-19 from February 26, 2020 to April 11, 2020. RESULTS: We identified 309 patients (140 inpatients and 169 outpatients). The median age was 43 years (interquartile range, 33-54), 59.2% men, and 18.6% healthcare workers (12.3% from our center). The median body mass index (BMI) was 29.00 kg/m2 and 39.6% had obesity. Compared to outpatients, inpatients were older, had comorbidities, cough, and dyspnea more frequently. Twenty-nine (20.7%) inpatients required treatment in the IC unit (ICU). History of diabetes (type 1 or 2) and abdominal pain were more common in ICU patients compared to non-ICU patients. ICU patients had higher BMIs, higher respiratory rates, and lower room-air capillary oxygen saturations. ICU patients showed a more severe inflammatory response as assessed by white blood cell count, neutrophil and platelet count, C-reactive protein, ferritin, procalcitonin, and albumin levels. By the end of the study period, 65 inpatients had been discharged because of improvement, 70 continued hospitalized, and five had died. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with comorbidities, either middle-age obese or elderly complaining of fever, cough, or dyspnea, were more likely to be admitted. At admission, patients with diabetes, high BMI, and clinical or laboratory findings consistent with a severe inflammatory state were more likely to require IC.

Calculated Versus Measured Urine Osmolarity: Accuracy of Estimated Urine Density.

BACKGROUND: Urine osmolarity (OsmU) is the gold standard for the evaluation of the kidney's urine concentration capacity; nevertheless, urinary density (UD) is often used as a surrogate for its estimation. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to analyze the accuracy of UD in estimating OsmU. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A transversal study including patients with simultaneous determination of UD measured with refractometry and OsmU measured by osmometer (OsmUm). We multiplied the last two digits of the UD by 35, 30, 32, 33.5, and 40 to estimate OsmU; the estimates were considered precise if the value was ± 30 mOsm/kg from the OsmUm. A Bland-Altman analysis was conducted. RESULTS: Among 205 patients, there was no difference between OsmUm and the estimated form when using a factor of 33.5 (p = 0.578). When analyzing by the absence or presence of proteinuria and/or glycosuria, there were no differences when using the factors 35 (p = 0.844) and 32 with adjusted UD (p = 0.898). In the linear correlation analysis, values for Pearson's r = 0.788 and r2 = 0.621 were obtained (p < 0.001). The areas under the curve obtained by the receiver operating characteristics curves to estimate urine osmolarity values < 100 and > 600 mOsm/kg were > 0.90. CONCLUSION: The estimation of the OsmU from UD showed adequate performance. If an osmometer is unavailable, we recommend using the factor 35 for clean samples and 32 with adjusted UD for samples with proteinuria and/or glycosuria.

Impact of COVID-19 vaccination on liver transplant recipients. Experience in a reference center in Mexico.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: COVID-19 vaccination has proved to be effective to prevent symptomatic infection and severe disease even in immunocompromised patients including liver transplant patients. We aim to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on the mortality and development of severe and critical disease in our center. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of LT patients in a reference center between March 2020 and February 2022. Demographic data, cirrhosis etiology, time on liver transplantation, immunosuppressive therapies, and vaccination status were recorded at the time of diagnosis. Primary outcome was death due to COVID-19, and secondary outcomes included the development of severe COVID-19 and intensive care unit (ICU) requirement. RESULTS: 153 of 324 LT recipients developed COVID-19, in whom the main causes of cirrhosis were HCV infection and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease. The vaccines used were BNT162b2 (48.6%), ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (21.6%), mRNA-1273 vaccine (1.4%), Sputnik V (14.9%), Ad5-nCoV-S (4.1%) and CoronaVac (9.5%). Case fatality and ICU requirement risk were similar among vaccinated and unvaccinated LT patients (adjusted relative case fatality for vaccinated versus unvaccinated of 0.68, 95% CI 0.14-3.24, p = 0.62; adjusted relative risk [aRR] for ICU requirement of 0.45, 95% CI 0.11-1.88, p = 0.27). Nonetheless, vaccination was associated with a lower risk of severe disease (aRR for severe disease of 0.32, 95% CI 0.14-0.71, p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination reduces the risk of severe COVID-19 in LT patients, regardless of the scheme used. Vaccination should be encouraged for all.

Relationship between sex, body size, and cardiac resynchronization therapy benefit: A patient-level meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Women might benefit more than men from cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) and do so at shorter QRS durations. OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis was performed to determine whether sex-based differences in CRT effects are better accounted for by height, body surface area (BSA), or left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD). METHODS: We analyzed patient-level data from CRT trials (MIRACLE, MIRACLE ICD, MIRACLE ICD II, REVERSE, RAFT, COMPANION, and MADIT-CRT) using bayesian hierarchical Weibull regression models. Relationships between QRS duration and CRT effects were examined overall and in sex-stratified cohorts; additional analyses indexed QRS duration by height, BSA, or LVEDD. End points were heart failure hospitalization (HFH) or death and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Compared with men (n = 5628), women (n = 1439) were shorter (1.62 [interquartile range, 1.57-1.65] m vs 1.75 [1.70-1.80] m; P < .001), with smaller BSAs (1.76 [1.62-1.90] m2 vs 2.02 [1.89-2.16] m2; P < .001). In adjusted sex-stratified analyses, the reduction in HFH or death was greater for women (hazard ratio, 0.54; credible interval, 0.42-0.70) than for men (hazard ratio, 0.77; credible interval, 0.66-0.89; Pinteraction = .009); results were similar for all-cause mortality even after adjustment for height, BSA, and LVEDD. Sex-specific differences were observed only in nonischemic cardiomyopathy. The effect of CRT on HFH or death was observed at a shorter QRS duration for women (126 ms) than for men (145 ms). Indexing QRS duration by height, BSA, or LVEDD attenuated sex-specific QRS duration thresholds for the effects of CRT on HFH or death but not on mortality. CONCLUSION: Although body size partially explains sex-specific QRS duration thresholds for CRT benefit, it is not associated with the magnitude of CRT benefit. Indexing QRS duration for body size might improve selection of patients for CRT, particularly with a "borderline" QRS duration.

Test sensitivity in a prospective cancer screening program: A critique of a common proxy measure.

The true sensitivity of a cancer screening test, defined as the frequency with which the test returns a positive result if the cancer is present, is a key indicator of diagnostic performance. Given the challenges of directly assessing test sensitivity in a prospective screening program, proxy measures for true sensitivity are frequently reported. We call one such proxy empirical sensitivity, as it is given by the observed ratio of screen-detected cancers to the sum of screen-detected and interval cancers. In the setting of the canonical three-state Markov model for progression from preclinical onset to clinical diagnosis, we formulate a mathematical relationship for how empirical sensitivity varies with the screening interval and the mean preclinical sojourn time and identify conditions under which empirical sensitivity exceeds or falls short of true sensitivity. In particular, when the inter-screening interval is short relative to the mean sojourn time, empirical sensitivity tends to exceed true sensitivity, unless true sensitivity is high. The Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) has reported an estimate of 0.87 for the empirical sensitivity of digital mammography. We show that this corresponds to a true sensitivity of 0.82 under a mean sojourn time of 3.6 years estimated based on breast cancer screening trials. However, the BCSC estimate of empirical sensitivity corresponds to even lower true sensitivity under more contemporary, longer estimates of mean sojourn time. Consistently applied nomenclature that distinguishes empirical sensitivity from true sensitivity is needed to ensure that published estimates of sensitivity from prospective screening studies are properly interpreted.

Efficacy and safety of self-expanding metal stents in patients with inoperable esophageal cancer: a real-life study.

Background: Dysphagia is the most frequent symptom in patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer. Self-expanding metal stents (SEMS) are the current palliative treatment of choice for dysphagia in patients with non-curable esophageal cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and adverse events (AEs) of different types of SEMS for palliation of dysphagia. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with advanced esophageal cancer and SEMS placement for dysphagia palliation in a tertiary care center. The primary outcome was the clinical success defined as an improvement in dysphagia (reduction of at least 2 points in the Mellow-Pinkas scoring system for dysphagia) after SEMS placement. Results: Between January 1999 and May 2020, 295 patients with esophageal cancer were identified. Among them, 75 had a SEMS placement for dysphagia palliation. The mean age of the patients was 61.3 years (standard deviation: 13.4), 69 patients (92%) were men, and the mean Mellow-Pinkas scoring for dysphagia pre- and post-SEMS placement were 3.1 and 1.4 (change from baseline -1.7), respectively. Technical success and clinical success were achieved in 98.6% and 58.9%, respectively. AEs were identified in 35/75 patients (46.7%), and SEMS migration was the most frequent AE in 22/75 patients (29.3%). There were no significant differences in improvement in dysphagia (p = 0.054), weight changes (p = 0.78), and AE (p = 0.73) among fully covered SEMS (fc-SEMS) and partially covered SEMS (pc-SEMS). The median follow-up was 89 days (interquartile range: 29-221). Conclusion: SEMS placement was associated with a rapid improvement in dysphagia, high technical success, and a modest improvement in dysphagia with no major AE among fc-SEMS and pc-SEMS.