Determination of Clinically Acceptable Analytical Variation of Cardiac Troponin at Decision Thresholds.

BACKGROUND: Clinical decision-making for risk stratification for possible myocardial infarction (MI) uses high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) thresholds that range from the limit of detection to several-fold higher than the upper reference limit (URL). To establish a minimum analytical variation standard, we can quantify the effect of variation on the population clinical measures of safety (sensitivity) and effectiveness [proportion below threshold, or positive predictive value (PPV)]. METHODS: From large datasets of patients investigated for possible MI with the Abbott hs-cTnI and Roche hs-cTnT assays, we synthesized datasets of 1 000 000 simulated patients. Troponin concentrations were randomly varied several times based on absolute deviations of 0.5 to 3 ng/L and relative changes of 2% to 20% around the low-risk threshold (5 ng/L) and URLs, respectively. RESULTS: For both assays at the low-risk thresholds, there were negligible differences in sensitivity (<0.3%) with increasing analytical variation. The proportion of patients characterized as low risk reduced by 30% to 29% (Roche) and 53% to 44% (Abbott). At the URL, increasing analytical variation also did not change sensitivity; the PPV fell by less than 3%. For risk stratification, increased delta thresholds (change between serial troponin concentrations) increased sensitivity at the cost of a decreased percentage of patients below the delta threshold, with the largest changes at the greatest analytical variation. CONCLUSIONS: At the low-risk threshold, analytical variation up to 3 ng/L minimally impacted the safety metric (sensitivity) but marginally reduced effectiveness. Similarly, at the URL even relative variation up to 25% minimally impacted safety metrics and effectiveness. Analytical variation for delta thresholds did not negatively impact sensitivity but decreased effectiveness.

Assays Specific for BNP1-32 and NT-proBNP Exhibit a Similar Performance to Two Widely Used Assays in the Diagnosis of Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Secretion of cardioprotective B-type natriuretic peptide 1-32 (BNP1-32) is increased proportionately with cardiac dysfunction, but its measurement in plasma is difficult. Therefore, less specific BNP and amino-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP) assays that detect the precursor molecule proBNP alongside BNP or NT-proBNP metabolites were developed to reflect BNP1-32 secretion and are now mandated in the diagnosis of heart failure (HF). We compared the diagnostic performance of 2 widely used clinical assays: the Roche proBNPII assay, and Abbott BNP assay, against our recently developed in-house assays that measure either intact BNP1-32 or NT-proBNP. METHODS: EDTA plasma samples obtained from patients presenting with breathlessness (n = 195, 60 [31%] with clinically adjudicated HF) were assayed using the Roche NT-proBNP and our specific in-house BNP1-32 and NTBNP assays. A subset (n = 75) were also assessed with the Abbott BNP assay. RESULTS: Roche NT-proBNP was highly correlated with BNP1-32 and NTBNP (Spearman rho = 0.92 and 0.90, respectively, both Ps < 0.001), and all 3 assays similarly discriminated acute HF from other causes of breathlessness (ROC analysis areas under the curve 0.85-0.89). The Abbott BNP assay performed similarly to the other assays. Roche NT-proBNP and BNP1-32 assays had similar sensitivity (83% and 80%), specificity (83% and 84%), positive (70% and 71%) and negative (91% and 90%) predictive values, and accuracy (both 83%) at their optimal cutoffs of 1536 and 12 ng/L, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Since all assays exhibited similar performance in the diagnosis of HF, currently mandated assays provide a reliable proxy for circulating concentrations of active BNP1-32 in HF diagnosis.

Prioritizing Candidates of Post-Myocardial Infarction Heart Failure Using Plasma Proteomics and Single-Cell Transcriptomics.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is the most common long-term complication of acute myocardial infarction (MI). Understanding plasma proteins associated with post-MI HF and their gene expression may identify new candidates for biomarker and drug target discovery. METHODS: We used aptamer-based affinity-capture plasma proteomics to measure 1305 plasma proteins at 1 month post-MI in a New Zealand cohort (CDCS [Coronary Disease Cohort Study]) including 181 patients post-MI who were subsequently hospitalized for HF in comparison with 250 patients post-MI who remained event free over a median follow-up of 4.9 years. We then correlated plasma proteins with left ventricular ejection fraction measured at 4 months post-MI and identified proteins potentially coregulated in post-MI HF using weighted gene co-expression network analysis. A Singapore cohort (IMMACULATE [Improving Outcomes in Myocardial Infarction through Reversal of Cardiac Remodelling]) of 223 patients post-MI, of which 33 patients were hospitalized for HF (median follow-up, 2.0 years), was used for further candidate enrichment of plasma proteins by using Fisher meta-analysis, resampling-based statistical testing, and machine learning. We then cross-referenced differentially expressed proteins with their differentially expressed genes from single-cell transcriptomes of nonmyocyte cardiac cells isolated from a murine MI model, and single-cell and single-nucleus transcriptomes of cardiac myocytes from murine HF models and human patients with HF. RESULTS: In the CDCS cohort, 212 differentially expressed plasma proteins were significantly associated with subsequent HF events. Of these, 96 correlated with left ventricular ejection fraction measured at 4 months post-MI. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis prioritized 63 of the 212 proteins that demonstrated significantly higher correlations among patients who developed post-MI HF in comparison with event-free controls (data set 1). Cross-cohort meta-analysis of the IMMACULATE cohort identified 36 plasma proteins associated with post-MI HF (data set 2), whereas single-cell transcriptomes identified 15 gene-protein candidates (data set 3). The majority of prioritized proteins were of matricellular origin. The 6 most highly enriched proteins that were common to all 3 data sets included well-established biomarkers of post-MI HF: N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide and troponin T, and newly emergent biomarkers, angiopoietin-2, thrombospondin-2, latent transforming growth factor-ß binding protein-4, and follistatin-related protein-3, as well. CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale human plasma proteomics, cross-referenced to unbiased cardiac transcriptomics at single-cell resolution, prioritized protein candidates associated with post-MI HF for further mechanistic and clinical validation.

Plasma Clearance of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) before and after Bariatric Surgery for Morbid Obesity.

BACKGROUND: Obese patients have lower plasma concentrations of the cardiac natriuretic peptides (NPs) than their age- and sex-matched counterparts. This may reflect lower production and/or increased peptide clearance. It is unclear whether NP bioactivity is affected by obesity. METHODS: We studied the effects of obesity on B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) clearance and bioactivity by comparing results from standardized intravenous infusions of BNP administered 2 weeks before and 6 months after bariatric surgery in 12 consecutive patients with morbid obesity (body mass index, BMI > 35 kg/m2). Anthropometric, clinical, neurohormonal, renal, and echocardiographic variables were obtained pre- and postsurgery. Pre- vs postsurgery calculated intrainfusion peptide clearances were compared. RESULTS: BMI (44.3 ± 5.0 vs 33.9 ± 5.2 kg/m2, P < 0.001) and waist circumference (130.3 ± 11.9 vs 107.5 ± 14.7 cm, P < 0.001) decreased substantially after bariatric surgery. Calculated plasma clearance of BNP was reduced (approximately 30%) after surgery. Though not controlled for, sodium intake was presumably lower after bariatric surgery. Despite this, preinfusion endogenous plasma NP concentrations did not significantly differ between pre- and postsurgery studies. The ratio of plasma N-terminal (NT)-proBNP to 24 h urine sodium excretion was higher postsurgery (P = 0.046; with similar nonsignificant findings for BNP, atrial NP (ANP) and NT-proANP), indicating increased circulating NPs for a given sodium status. Mean plasma NP concentrations for given calculated end-systolic wall stress and cardiac filling pressures (as assessed by echocardiographic E/e') rose slightly, but not significantly postsurgery. Second messenger, hemodynamic, renal, and neurohormonal responses to BNP were not altered between studies. CONCLUSION: Obesity is associated with increased clearance, but preserved bioactivity, of BNP.

Combining High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I and Cardiac Troponin T in the Early Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Combining 2 signals of cardiomyocyte injury, cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and T (cTnT), might overcome some individual pathophysiological and analytical limitations and thereby increase diagnostic accuracy for acute myocardial infarction with a single blood draw. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of combinations of high-sensitivity (hs) cTnI and hs-cTnT for the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. METHODS: The diagnostic performance of combining hs-cTnI (Architect, Abbott) and hs-cTnT (Elecsys, Roche) concentrations (sum, product, ratio, and a combination algorithm) obtained at the time of presentation was evaluated in a large multicenter diagnostic study of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. The optimal rule-out and rule-in thresholds were externally validated in a second large multicenter diagnostic study. The proportion of patients eligible for early rule-out was compared with the European Society of Cardiology 0/1 and 0/3 hour algorithms. RESULTS: Combining hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations did not consistently increase overall diagnostic accuracy as compared with the individual isoforms. However, the combination improved the proportion of patients meeting criteria for very early rule-out. With the European Society of Cardiology 2015 guideline recommended algorithms and cut-offs, the proportion meeting rule-out criteria after the baseline blood sampling was limited (6% to 24%) and assay dependent. Application of optimized cut-off values using the sum (9 ng/L) and product (18 ng2/L2) of hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations led to an increase in the proportion ruled-out after a single blood draw to 34% to 41% in the original (sum: negative predictive value [NPV] 100% [95% confidence interval (CI), 99.5% to 100%]; product: NPV 100% [95% CI, 99.5% to 100%]) and in the validation cohort (sum: NPV 99.6% [95% CI, 99.0-99.9%]; product: NPV 99.4% [95% CI, 98.8-99.8%]). The use of a combination algorithm (hs-cTnI <4 ng/L and hs-cTnT <9 ng/L) showed comparable results for rule-out (40% to 43% ruled out; NPV original cohort 99.9% [95% CI, 99.2-100%]; NPV validation cohort 99.5% [95% CI, 98.9-99.8%]) and rule-in (positive predictive value [PPV] original cohort 74.4% [95% Cl, 69.6-78.8%]; PPV validation cohort 84.0% [95% Cl, 79.7-87.6%]). CONCLUSIONS: New strategies combining hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT concentrations may significantly increase the number of patients eligible for very early and safe rule-out, but do not seem helpful for the rule-in of acute myocardial infarction. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL (APACE): https://www.clinicaltrial.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00470587. URL (ADAPT): www.anzctr.org.au . Unique identifier: ACTRN12611001069943.

ProBNP That Is Not Glycosylated at Threonine 71 Is Decreased with Obesity in Patients with Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Plasma concentrations of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) or its amino terminal congener (NT-proBNP) are used for HF diagnosis and risk stratification. Because BNP concentrations are inexplicably lowered in obese patients, we investigated the relationship between proBNP glycosylation, plasma NT-proBNP, and body mass index (BMI) in HF patients. METHODS: Three assays were developed to distinguish between total proBNP (glycosylated plus nonglycosylated proBNP), proBNP not glycosylated at threonine 71 (NG-T71), and proBNP not glycosylated in the central region (NG-C). Intraassay and interassay CVs were <15%; limits of detection were <21 ng/L; and samples diluted in parallel. RESULT: Applying these assays and an NT-proBNP assay to plasma samples from 106 healthy volunteers and 238 HF patients determined that concentrations [median (interquartile range)] of proBNP, NG-T71, and NT-proBNP were greater in HF patients compared with controls [300 (44-664), 114 (18-254), and 179 (880-3459) ng/L vs 36 (18-229), 36 (18-175), and 40 (17-68) ng/L, respectively; all P < 0.012]. NG-C was undetectable in most samples. ProBNP concentrations in HF patients with BMI more or less than 30 kg/m2 were not different (P = 0.85), whereas HF patients with BMI >30 kg/m2 had lower NT-proBNP and NG-T71 concentrations (P < 0.003) and higher proBNP/NT-proBNP and proBNP/NG-T71 ratios (P = 0.001 and P = 0.02, respectively) than those with BMI <30 kg/m2. CONCLUSIONS: Increased BMI is associated with decreased concentrations of proBNP not glycosylated at T71. Decreased proBNP substrate amenable to processing could partially explain the lower NT-proBNP and BNP concentrations observed in obese individuals, including those presenting with HF.

Detectable High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin within the Population Reference Interval Conveys High 5-Year Cardiovascular Risk: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Increased cardiac troponin I or T detected by high-sensitivity assays (hs-cTnI or hs-cTnT) confers an increased risk of adverse prognosis. We determined whether patients presenting with putatively normal, detectable cTn concentrations [> limit of detection and < upper reference limit (URL)] have increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) or all-cause mortality. METHODS: A prospective 5-year follow-up of patients recruited in the emergency department with possible acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and cTn concentrations measured with hs-cTnI (Abbott) and hs-cTnT (Roche) assays. Cox regression models were generated with adjustment for covariates in those without MACE on presentation. Hazard ratios (HRs) for hs-cTn were calculated relative to the HRs at the median concentration. RESULTS: Of 1113 patients, 836 were without presentation MACE. Of these, 138 incurred a MACE and 169 died during a median 5.8-year follow-up. HRs for MACE at the URLs were 2.3 (95% CI, 1.7-3.2) for hs-cTnI and 1.8 (95% CI, 1.3-2.4) for hs-cTnT. Corresponding HRs for mortality were 1.7 (95% CI, 1.2-2.2) for hs-cTnI and 2.3 (95 % CI, 1.7-3.1) for hs-cTnT. The HR for MACE increased with increasing hs-cTn concentration similarly for both assays, but the HR for mortality increased at approximately twice the rate for hs-cTnT than hs-cTnI. Patients with hs-cTnI ≥10 ng/L or hs-cTnT ≥16 ng/L had the same percentage of MACE at 5-year follow-up (33%) as patients with presentation MACE. CONCLUSIONS: Many patients with ACS ruled out and putatively normal but detectable hs-cTnI concentrations are at similar long-term risk as those with MACE. hs-cTnT concentrations are more strongly associated with 5-year mortality than hs-cTnI.

Rapid Rule-out of Acute Myocardial Infarction With a Single High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Measurement Below the Limit of Detection: A Collaborative Meta-analysis.

Background: High-sensitivity assays for cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) are sometimes used to rapidly rule out acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Purpose: To estimate the ability of a single hs-cTnT concentration below the limit of detection (<0.005 µg/L) and a nonischemic electrocardiogram (ECG) to rule out AMI in adults presenting to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain. Data Sources: EMBASE and MEDLINE without language restrictions (1 January 2008 to 14 December 2016). Study Selection: Cohort studies involving adults presenting to the ED with possible acute coronary syndrome in whom an ECG and hs-cTnT measurements were obtained and AMI outcomes adjudicated during initial hospitalization. Data Extraction: Investigators of studies provided data on the number of low-risk patients (no new ischemia on ECG and hs-cTnT measurements <0.005 µg/L) and the number who had AMI during hospitalization (primary outcome) or a major adverse cardiac event (MACE) or death within 30 days (secondary outcomes), by risk classification (low or not low risk). Two independent epidemiologists rated risk of bias of studies. Data Synthesis: Of 9241 patients in 11 cohort studies, 2825 (30.6%) were classified as low risk. Fourteen (0.5%) low-risk patients had AMI. Sensitivity of the risk classification for AMI ranged from 87.5% to 100% in individual studies. Pooled estimated sensitivity was 98.7% (95% CI, 96.6% to 99.5%). Sensitivity for 30-day MACEs ranged from 87.9% to 100%; pooled sensitivity was 98.0% (CI, 94.7% to 99.3%). No low-risk patients died. Limitation: Few studies, variation in timing and methods of reference standard troponin tests, and heterogeneity of risk and prevalence of AMI across studies. Conclusion: A single hs-cTnT concentration below the limit of detection in combination with a nonischemic ECG may successfully rule out AMI in patients presenting to EDs with possible emergency acute coronary syndrome. Primary Funding Source: Emergency Care Foundation.

Time to presentation and 12-month health outcomes in patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms of possible acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To define the association between time taken to present to the emergency department (ED) with symptoms of possible acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and 1-year outcomes. We also determined whether particular patient characteristics are associated with delays in seeking care after symptom onset. METHODS: We collected data, which included a customised case report form to record symptom onset, on adult patients presenting with suspected ACS to two EDs in Australia and New Zealand. Such patients were followed up prospectively for 1 year. The composite primary endpoint included death, acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris treated with revascularisation or readmission with heart failure occurring after discharge but within 12 months after the index presentation. RESULTS: ACS was diagnosed at presentation in 420 (16.8%) of 2515 patients recruited. Cox regression was conducted to assess the relationship between presentation time and the rate of primary endpoints after controlling for age, ethnicity, prior angina, prior coronary artery bypass graft and index diagnosis. Middle (2-6 h) and late presenters (>6 h postsymptom onset) developed the primary endpoint at a rate 1.22 (95% CI 0.80 to 1.85) and 1.57 (1.07 to 2.31) times higher than early presenters. Patients with known risk factors and cardiovascular disease were more likely to present late to the ED. CONCLUSIONS: There is an independent association between time to presentation and 1-year cardiac outcomes following initial chest pain assessment for ED patients with possible cardiac chest pain in the Australian and New Zealand setting. This association occurred irrespective of the eventual diagnosis. Effective public health campaigns and other measures that facilitate early presentation with symptoms for patients with symptoms suggestive of ACS are justified and may improve prognosis. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12611001069943.

B-type natriuretic peptide forms within the heart, coronary sinus, and peripheral circulation in humans: evidence for degradation before secretion.

BACKGROUND: The B-type natriuretic peptides (BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP) are secreted by the heart and, in the case of BNP, serve to maintain circulatory homeostasis through renal and vascular actions and oppose many effects of the renin-angiotensin system. Recent evidence suggests that in patients with severe heart failure, circulating immunoreactive BNP is made up mainly of metabolites that may have reduced bioactivity. We hypothesized that BNP may be degraded before it even leaves the heart. METHODS: Peripheral venous plasma plus atrial and ventricular tissue, obtained from explanted hearts at the time of transplantation, were collected from 3 patients with end-stage heart failure. In a separate study, plasma was collected from the coronary sinus and femoral artery of 3 separate patients undergoing cardiac catheterization. Plasma C18 reverse-phase extracts were separated on reverse-phase HPLC, and the collected fractions were subjected to RIAs with highly specific antisera directed to the amino- and carboxy-terminal ends of BNP(1-32). RESULTS: ProBNP, BNP(1-32), and 2 major BNP metabolites were present in atrial and ventricular tissue, where BNP(1-32) represented 45% and 70% of total processed BNP, respectively. Neither BNP(1-32) nor the 2 metabolites were detected in peripheral venous plasma. Nor was BNP(1-32) detected in matching coronary sinus and femoral artery plasma from the 3 patients undergoing cardiac catheterization. CONCLUSIONS: BNP(1-32) is partly degraded within the hearts of patients with end-stage heart failure, and even in patients with relatively well-preserved left ventricular systolic function, only BNP metabolites enter the systemic circulation.

suPAR in cardiovascular disease.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), the soluble counterpart of urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, is found in the circulation at various levels. suPAR and its parent molecule, cell surface uPAR, exhibit similar structure and extracellular functional roles facilitating fibrinolysis, cellular adhesion, and migration. Studies have assessed the correlation between suPAR in cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is postulated that suPAR may serve as an indicator of inflammatory activation and burden during CVD progression. Increased suPAR independently predicts poorer outcomes in acute coronary syndromes, in heart failure, as well as in coronary artery disease and atherosclerosis. To guide translation into clinical utization, suPAR has been assessed in numerous CVD settings for improved risk discrimination independently or in association with established traditional risk factors. Whilst the involvement of suPAR has been explored in other diseases such as kidney diseases and cancer, there is only emerging evidence of suPAR's mechanistic involvement in cardiovascular disease. In this review, we provide a background into suPAR and its potential role as a biomarker in CVD.

Cardiac effects of myoregulin in ischemia-reperfusion.

Myoregulin is a recently discovered micropeptide that controls calcium levels by inhibiting the intracellular calcium pump sarco-endoplasmic reticulum Ca2+-ATPase (SERCA). Keeping calcium levels balanced in the heart is essential for normal heart functioning, thus myoregulin has the potential to be a crucial regulator of cardiac muscle performance by reducing the rate of intracellular Ca2+ uptake. We provide the first report of myoregulin mRNA expression in human heart tissue, absence of expression in human plasma, and the effects of myoregulin on cardiac hemodynamics in an ex vivo Langendorff isolated rat heart model of ischemia/reperfusion. In this preliminary study, myoregulin provided a cardio-protective effect, as assessed by preservation of left ventricular contractility and relaxation, during ischemia/reperfusion. This study provides the foundation for future research in this area.

Derivation and Validation of Thresholds Using Synthetic Data Methods for Single-Test Screening of Emergency Department Patients with Possible Acute Myocardial Infarction Using a Point-of-Care Troponin Assay.

BACKGROUND: Single-sample (screening) rule-out of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with troponin requires derivation of a single-test screening threshold. In data sets with small event numbers, the lowest one or two concentrations of myocardial infarction (MI) patients dictate the threshold. This is not optimal. We aimed to demonstrate a process incorporating both real and synthetic data for deriving such thresholds using a novel pre-production high-precision point-of-care assay. METHODS: cTnI concentrations were measured from thawed plasma using the Troponin I Next (TnI-Nx) assay (i-STAT; Abbott) in adults on arrival to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of AMI. The primary outcome was an AMI or cardiac death within 30 days. We used internal-external validation with synthetic data production based on clinical and demographic data, plus the measured TnI-Nx concentration, to derive and validate decision thresholds for TnI-Nx. The target low-risk threshold was a sensitivity of 99% and a high-risk threshold specificity of >95%. RESULTS: In total, 1356 patients were included, of whom 191 (14.1%) had the primary outcome. A total of 500 synthetic data sets were constructed. The mean low-risk threshold was determined to be 5 ng/L. This categorized 38% (95% CI, 6%-68%) to low-risk with a sensitivity of 99.0% (95% CI, 98.6%-99.5%) and a negative predictive value of 99.4% (95% CI, 97.6%-99.8%). A similarly derived high-risk threshold of 25 ng/L had a specificity of 95.0% (95% CI, 94.8%-95.1%) and a positive predictive value of 74.8% (95% CI, 71.5%-78.0%). CONCLUSIONS: With the TnI-Nx assay, we successfully demonstrated an approach using synthetic data generation to derive low-risk thresholds for safe and effective screening.

Prognostic performance of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor for heart failure or mortality in Western and Asian patients with acute breathlessness.

AIMS: The performance of circulating soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) for predicting the composite endpoint of subsequent heart failure (HF) hospitalisation and/or death at 1 year was assessed in (i) patients with undifferentiated breathlessness, and generalisability was compared in (ii) disparate Western versus Asian sub-cohorts, and in (iii) the sub-cohort adjudicated with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with acute breathlessness were recruited from the emergency departments in New Zealand (NZ, n = 612) and Singapore (n = 483). suPAR measured in the presentation samples was higher in patients incurring the endpoint (n = 281) compared with survivors (5.2 ng/mL vs 3.1 ng/mL, P < 0.0001). The discriminative power of suPAR for endpoint prediction was c-statistic of 0.77 in the combined population, but was superior in Singapore than NZ (c-statistic: 0.83 vs 0.71, P < 0.0001). Although the highest suPAR tertile (>4.37 ng/mL) was associated with risks of >4-fold in NZ, >20-fold in Singapore, and ≥3-fold in HF for incurring the outcome, there was no interaction between country and suPAR levels after adjustment. Multivariable analysis indicated suPAR to be robust in predicting HF/death at 1-year [hazard ratio: 1.9 (95% CI:1.7 to 2.0) per SD increase] and improved risk discrimination for outcome prediction in HF (∆0.06) and for those with NT-proBNP >1000 pg/mL (∆0.02). CONCLUSION: suPAR is a strong independent predictor of HF and/or death at 1 year in acutely breathless patients, in both Asian and Western cohorts, and in HF. suPAR may improve stratification of acutely breathless patients, and in acute HF, for risk of later onset of heart failure or mortality.

Validation of the Vancouver Chest Pain Rule using troponin as the only biomarker: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the Vancouver Chest Pain Rule using troponin as the only biomarker in an emergency department (ED) setting. METHODS: This is an analysis of prospectively collected data from 2 EDs in Australia and New Zealand. Trained research nurses collected clinical data using a customised case report form. Based on a modified Vancouver Chest Pain Rule using troponin as the only biomarker, low-risk patients were identified using clinical history, age, pain characteristics, electrocardiography, and troponin results at 0 and 2 hours after presentation. The primary outcome was diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) within 30 days of presentation as adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were calculated to assess the accuracy of the rule. RESULTS: There were 1635 patients, and 20.4% had ACS. One hundred twenty-one patients (7.4%) were assigned to the low-risk group on presentation, and a further 418 (25.6%) were assigned low risk after 2-hour electrocardiography and troponin testing. Of the 539 patients (33%) who were eligible for early discharge, 30 (5.6%) had ACS. Sensitivity was 91.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85.7%-93.6%), negative predictive value was 94.4% (95% CI, 92.2-96.1), specificity was 39.1% (95% CI, 36.5-41.8), and positive predictive value was 27.7% (95% CI, 25.2-30.5). CONCLUSIONS: The Vancouver Chest Pain Rule with troponin as the only biomarker identified a sizable low-risk cohort. However, sensitivity was lower than that identified in the original derivation study and was considered insufficient to enable safe early discharge. Modifications to the tool would be required if troponin was incorporated as the only biomarker.

An integrated signature of extracellular matrix proteins and a diastolic function imaging parameter predicts post-MI long-term outcomes.

Background: Patients suffering from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are at risk of secondary outcomes including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and heart failure (HF). Comprehensive molecular phenotyping and cardiac imaging during the post-discharge time window may provide cues for risk stratification for the outcomes. Materials and methods: In a prospective AMI cohort in New Zealand (N = 464), we measured plasma proteins and lipids 30 days after hospital discharge and inferred a unified partial correlation network with echocardiographic variables and established clinical biomarkers (creatinine, c-reactive protein, cardiac troponin I and natriuretic peptides). Using a network-based data integration approach (iOmicsPASS+), we identified predictive signatures of long-term secondary outcomes based on plasma protein, lipid, imaging markers and clinical biomarkers and assessed the prognostic potential in an independent cohort from Singapore (N = 190). Results: The post-discharge levels of plasma proteins and lipids showed strong correlations within each molecular type, reflecting concerted homeostatic regulation after primary MI events. However, the two molecular types were largely independent with distinct correlation structures with established prognostic imaging parameters and clinical biomarkers. To deal with massively correlated predictive features, we used iOmicsPASS + to identify subnetwork signatures of 211 and 189 data features (nodes) predictive of MACE and HF events, respectively (160 overlapping). The predictive features were primarily imaging parameters, including left ventricular and atrial parameters, tissue Doppler parameters, and proteins involved in extracellular matrix (ECM) organization, cell differentiation, chemotaxis, and inflammation. The network signatures contained plasma protein pairs with area-under-the-curve (AUC) values up to 0.74 for HF prediction in the validation cohort, but the pair of NT-proBNP and fibulin-3 (EFEMP1) was the best predictor (AUC = 0.80). This suggests that there were a handful of plasma proteins with mechanistic and functional roles in predisposing patients to the secondary outcomes, although they may be weaker prognostic markers than natriuretic peptides individually. Among those, the diastolic function parameter (E/e' - an indicator of left ventricular filling pressure) and two ECM proteins, EFEMP1 and follistatin-like 3 (FSTL3) showed comparable performance to NT-proBNP and outperformed left ventricular measures as benchmark prognostic factors for post-MI HF. Conclusion: Post-discharge levels of E/e', EFEMP1 and FSTL3 are promising complementary markers of secondary adverse outcomes in AMI patients.

Circulating erythroferrone has diagnostic utility for acute decompensated heart failure in patients presenting with acute or worsening dyspnea.

Objectives: In dyspneic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or obesity, the diagnostic performance of NT-proBNP for acute heart failure is reduced. We evaluated the erythroblast derived protein erythroferrone (ERFE) as an ancillary biomarker for the diagnosis of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in these comorbid subgroups in both Western and Asian populations. Methods: The diagnostic performance of ERFE (Intrinsic Lifesciences) and NT-proBNP (Roche Cobas e411) for ADHF was assessed in 479 New Zealand (NZ) and 475 Singapore (SG) patients presenting with breathlessness. Results: Plasma ERFE was higher in ADHF, compared with breathlessness from other causes, in both countries (NZ; 4.9 vs. 1.4 ng/ml, p < 0.001) and (SG; 4.2 vs. 0.4 ng/ml, p = 0.021). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) areas under the curve (AUCs) for discrimination of ADHF were reduced in the NZ cohort compared to SG for ERFE (0.75 and 0.84, p = 0.007) and NT-proBNP (0.86 and 0.92, p = 0.004). Optimal cut-off points for ERFE yielded comparable sensitivity and positive predictive values in both cohorts, but slightly better specificity, negative predictive values and accuracy in SG compared with NZ. In patients with AF, the AUC decreased for ERFE in each cohort (NZ: 0.71, n = 105, SG: 0.61, n = 44) but increased in patients with obesity (NZ: 0.79, n = 150, SG: 0.87, n = 164). Conclusions: Circulating ERFE is higher in patients with ADHF than in other causes of new onset breathlessness with fair diagnostic utility, performing better in Asian than in Western patients. The diagnostic performance of ERFE is impaired in patients with AF but not patients with obesity.

Personalized diagnosis in suspected myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: In suspected myocardial infarction (MI), guidelines recommend using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn)-based approaches. These require fixed assay-specific thresholds and timepoints, without directly integrating clinical information. Using machine-learning techniques including hs-cTn and clinical routine variables, we aimed to build a digital tool to directly estimate the individual probability of MI, allowing for numerous hs-cTn assays. METHODS: In 2,575 patients presenting to the emergency department with suspected MI, two ensembles of machine-learning models using single or serial concentrations of six different hs-cTn assays were derived to estimate the individual MI probability (ARTEMIS model). Discriminative performance of the models was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and logLoss. Model performance was validated in an external cohort with 1688 patients and tested for global generalizability in 13 international cohorts with 23,411 patients. RESULTS: Eleven routinely available variables including age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, electrocardiography, and hs-cTn were included in the ARTEMIS models. In the validation and generalization cohorts, excellent discriminative performance was confirmed, superior to hs-cTn only. For the serial hs-cTn measurement model, AUC ranged from 0.92 to 0.98. Good calibration was observed. Using a single hs-cTn measurement, the ARTEMIS model allowed direct rule-out of MI with very high and similar safety but up to tripled efficiency compared to the guideline-recommended strategy. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated diagnostic models to accurately estimate the individual probability of MI, which allow for variable hs-cTn use and flexible timing of resampling. Their digital application may provide rapid, safe and efficient personalized patient care. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS: Data of following cohorts were used for this project: BACC ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02355457), stenoCardia ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT03227159), ADAPT-BSN ( www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au ; ACTRN12611001069943), IMPACT ( www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au , ACTRN12611000206921), ADAPT-RCT ( www.anzctr.org.au ; ANZCTR12610000766011), EDACS-RCT ( www.anzctr.org.au ; ANZCTR12613000745741); DROP-ACS ( https://www.umin.ac.jp , UMIN000030668); High-STEACS ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT01852123), LUND ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT05484544), RAPID-CPU ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT03111862), ROMI ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT01994577), SAMIE ( https://anzctr.org.au ; ACTRN12621000053820), SEIGE and SAFETY ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT04772157), STOP-CP ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02984436), UTROPIA ( www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov ; NCT02060760).

Oxidative stress rather than triglyceride accumulation is a determinant of mitochondrial dysfunction in in vitro models of hepatic cellular steatosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: There is still debate about the relationship between fat accumulation and mitochondrial function in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. It is a critical question as only a small proportion of individuals with steatosis progress to steatohepatitis. In this study, we focused on defining (i) the effects of triglyceride accumulation and reactive oxygen species (ROS) on mitochondrial function (ii) the contributions of triglyceride, ROS and subsequent mitochondrial impairment on the metabolism of energy substrates. METHODS: Human hepatoblastoma C3A cells, were treated with various combinations of oleate, octanoate, lactate (L), pyruvate (P) and ammonia (N) acutely or for 72 h, before measurements of triglyceride concentration, cell respiration, ROS production, mitochondrial membrane potential, ketogenesis and gluconeogenesis, TCA cycle metabolite analysis and electron microscopy. RESULTS: Acutely, LPON treatment enhanced mitochondrial respiration and ROS formation. After 72 h, despite the similarities in triglyceride accumulation, LPON treatment, but not oleate, dramatically affected mitochondrial function as evidenced by decreased respiration, increased mitochondrial membrane potential and ROS formation with concomitant enhanced ketogenesis. By comparison, respiration and ROS formation remained unperturbed with oleate. Importantly, this was accompanied by an increased gluconeogenesis and ketogenesis. The addition of the antioxidant N-acetyl-L-cysteine prevented mitochondrial dysfunction and reversed metabolic changes seen with LPON, strongly suggesting ROS involvement in mediating mitochondrial impairment. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that ROS formation, rather than cellular steatosis per se, impairs mitochondrial function. Thus, reduction in cellular steatosis may not always be the desired outcome without concomitant improvement in mitochondrial function and/or reducing of ROS formation.

Diagnostic and prognostic performance of the ratio between high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I and troponin T in patients with chest pain.

BACKGROUND: Elevations of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) concentrations not related to type 1 myocardial infarction are common in chest pain patients presenting to emergency departments. The discrimination of these patients from those with type 1 myocardial infarction (MI) is challenging and resource-consuming. We aimed to investigate whether the hs-cTn I/T ratio might provide diagnostic and prognostic increment in this context. METHODS: We calculated the hs-cTn I/T ratio in 888 chest pain patients having hs-cTnI (Abbott Laboratories) or hs-cTnT (Roche Diagnostics) concentrations above the respective 99th percentile at 2 hours from presentation. All patients were followed for one year regarding mortality. RESULTS: The median hs-cTn I/T ratio was 3.45 (25th, 75th percentiles 1.80-6.59) in type 1 MI patients (n = 408 ☯46.0%]), 1.18 (0.81-1.90) in type 2 MI patients (n = 56 ☯6.3%]) and 0.67 (0.39-1.12) in patients without MI. The hs-cTn I/T ratio provided good discrimination of type 1 MI from no type 1 MI (area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve 0.89 ☯95% confidence interval 0.86-0.91]), of type 1 MI from type 2 MI (area under the curve 0.81 ☯95% confidence interval 0.74-0.87]), and was associated with type 1 MI in adjusted analyses. The hs-cTn I/T ratio provided no consistent prognostic value. CONCLUSIONS: The hs-cTn I/T ratio appears to be useful for early diagnosis of type 1 MI and its discrimination from type 2 MI in chest pain patients presenting with elevated hs-cTn. Differences in hs-cTn I/T ratio values may reflect variations in hs-cTn release mechanisms in response to different types of myocardial injury.