The consequence of leaf life span to virus infection of herbivorous insects.

Many herbivorous insects die of pathogen infections, though the role of plant traits in promoting the persistence of these pathogens as an indirect interaction is poorly understood. We tested whether winter leaf retention of bush lupines (Lupinus arboreus) promotes the persistence of a nucleopolyhedroviruses, thereby increasing the infection risk of caterpillars (Arctia virginalis) feeding on the foliage during spring. We also investigated whether winter leaf retention reduces viral exposure of younger caterpillars that live on the ground, as leaf retention prevents contaminated leaves from reaching the ground. We surveyed winter leaf retention of 248 lupine bush canopies across twelve sites and examined how it related to caterpillar infection risk, herbivory, and inflorescence density. We also manipulated the amount of lupine litter available to young caterpillars in a feeding experiment to emulate litterfall exposure in the field. Greater retention of contaminated leaves from the previous season increased infection rates of caterpillars in early spring. Higher infection rates reduced herbivory and increased plant inflorescence density by summer. Young caterpillars exposed to less litterfall were more likely to starve to death but less likely to die from infection, further suggesting foliage mediated exposure to viruses. We speculate that longer leaf life span may be an unrecognized trait that indirectly mediates top-down control of herbivores by facilitating epizootics.

Predicted Asymmetrical Effects of Warming on Nocturnal and Diurnal Soil-Dwelling Ectotherms.

AbstractClimate is expected to have broad effects on ecological communities, but this occurs in the context of significant daily temperature variation in many localities. Because many ectotherms can restrict activity to thermally suitable places and times, daily temperature variation offers the potential to buffer impacts of warming. Using thermal activity data from a montane ground-nesting ant community, we explore how a simulated increase in temperature is expected to alter the duration of suitable activity windows. Counterintuitively, we found that simulated warming lengthens activity times for cold-active species and shortens activity times for warm-active species. We explain this result through a simulation model in which time elapsed within a range of suitable temperatures is considered as an additive resource. Fundamentally, our model results rely on the fact that the mathematical function that relates time to temperature through a day (the Parton-Logan function) is concave before and after noon and convex through the night. These properties are common across terrestrial environments with characteristic deceleration in temperature near both the daily maximum and the daily minimum. Our results suggest that the time of day during which an animal's activity temperatures occur may be an important but rarely considered feature of natural history that contributes to the predicted impact of climate change. Thermally restricted diurnal species may need to compensate for shortened daily activity windows through means such as seasonal shifts or expansions, broadened activity temperatures, or range shifts.

Hilltopping influences spatial dynamics in a patchy population of tiger moths.

Dispersal is a key driver of spatial population dynamics. Dispersal behaviour may be shaped by many factors, such as mate-finding, the spatial distribution of resources, or wind and currents, yet most models of spatial dynamics assume random dispersal. We examined the spatial dynamics of a day-flying moth species (Arctia virginalis) that forms mating aggregations on hilltops (hilltopping) based on long-term adult and larval population censuses. Using time-series models, we compared spatial population dynamics resulting from empirically founded hilltop-based connectivity indices and modelled the interactive effects of temperature, precipitation and density dependence. Model comparisons supported hilltop-based connectivity metrics including hilltop elevation over random connectivity, suggesting an effect of hilltopping behaviour on dynamics. We also found strong interactive effects of temperature and precipitation on dynamics. Simulations based on fitted time-series models showed lower patch occupancy and regional synchrony, and higher colonization and extinction rates when hilltopping was included, with potential implications for the probability of persistence of the patch network. Overall, our results show the potential for dispersal behaviour to have important effects on spatial population dynamics and persistence, and we advocate the inclusion of such non-random dispersal in metapopulation models.

Influence of delayed density and ultraviolet radiation on caterpillar baculovirus infection and mortality.

Infectious disease is an important potential driver of population cycles but must occur through delayed density-dependent infection and resulting fitness effects. Delayed density-dependent infection by baculoviruses can be caused by environmental persistence of viral occlusion bodies (OBs), which can be influenced by environmental factors. Specifically, ultraviolet radiation is potentially important in reducing the environmental persistence of viruses by inactivating OBs. Delayed density-dependent viral infection has rarely been observed empirically at the population level although theory predicts that it is necessary for pathogens to drive population cycles. Similarly, field studies have not examined the effects of ultraviolet radiation on viral infection rates in natural animal populations. We tested if viral infection is delayed density-dependent with the potential to drive cyclic dynamics and if ultraviolet radiation influences viral infection levels. We censused 18 Ranchman's tiger moth (Arctia virginalis) populations across 9° of latitude over 2 years and quantified the effects of direct and delayed density and ultraviolet radiation on proportion infected by baculovirus, infection severity and survival to adulthood. Caterpillars were collected from field populations and reared in the laboratory. Baculovirus has not previously been described infecting A. virginalis, and we used genetic methods to confirm the identity of the virus. We found that proportion infected, infection severity and survival to adulthood exhibited delayed density dependence. Ultraviolet radiation in the previous summer decreased infection severity, which increased caterpillar survival probability. Structural equation modelling indicated that the effect of lagged density on caterpillar survival was mediated through proportion infected and infection severity and was 2.5-fold stronger than the indirect effect of ultraviolet. We successfully amplified polh, lef-8 and lef-9 viral genes from caterpillars, and BLAST results confirmed that the virus was a nucleopolyhedrovirus. Our findings provide clear evidence that delayed density-dependent mortality can arise through viral infection rate and severity in insects, which supports the role of viral disease as a mechanism, among others, that may drive insect population cycles. Furthermore, our findings support predictions that ultraviolet radiation can modify viral disease dynamics in insect populations, most likely through attenuating viral persistence in the environment.

Altered precipitation dynamics lead to a shift in herbivore dynamical regime.

The interaction between endogenous dynamics and exogenous environmental variation is central to population dynamics. Although investigations into the effects of changing mean climate are widespread, changing patterns of variation in environmental forcing also affect dynamics in complex ways. Using wavelet and time series analyses, we identify a regime shift in the dynamics of a moth species in California from shorter to longer period oscillations over a 34-year census, and contemporaneous changes in regional precipitation dynamics. Simulations support the hypothesis that shifting precipitation dynamics drove changes in moth dynamics, possibly due to stochastic resonance with delayed density-dependence. The observed shift in climate dynamics and the interaction with endogenous dynamics mean that predicting future population dynamics will require information on both climatic shifts and their interaction with endogenous density-dependence, a combination that is rarely available. Consequently, models based on historical data may be unable to predict future population dynamics.

Predator Diversity and Thermal Niche Complementarity Attenuate Indirect Effects of Warming on Prey Survival.

AbstractClimate warming has broad-reaching effects on communities. Although much research has focused on direct abiotic effects, indirect effects of warming mediated through biotic interactions can be of equal or greater magnitude. A body of theoretical and empirical work has developed examining the effects of climate warming on predator-prey interactions, but most studies have focused on single predator and prey species. We develop a model with multiple predator species using simulated and measured realized thermal niches from a community of ants to examine the influence of predator diversity and other community thermal traits on the indirect effects of climate warming on prey survival probability. We find that predator diversity attenuates the indirect effect of climate warming on prey survival probability and that sufficient variation of predator thermal optima, closer prey and mean predator thermal optima, and higher predator niche complementarity increases the attenuation effect of predator diversity. We therefore predict that more diverse and complementary communities are likely more affected by direct versus indirect effects of climate warming, and vice versa for less diverse and complementary communities. If general, these predictions could lessen the difficulty of predicting the effects of climate warming on a focal species of interest.

As temperature increases, predator attack rate is more important to survival than a smaller window of prey vulnerability.

Climate change can have strong effects on species interactions and community structure. Temperature-dependent effects on predator-prey interactions are a major mechanism through which these effects occur. To understand the net effects of predator attack rates and dynamic windows of prey vulnerability, we examined the impacts of temperature on the interaction of a caterpillar (Arctia virginalis) and its ant predator (Formica lasioides). We conducted field experiments to examine attack rates on caterpillars relative to temperature, ant abundance, and body size, and laboratory experiments to determine the effects of temperature on caterpillar growth. We modeled temperature-dependent survival based on the integrated effects of temperature-dependent growth and temperature- and size-dependent predation. Attack rates on caterpillars increased with warming and ant recruitment, but decreased with caterpillar size. Caterpillar growth rates increased with temperature, narrowing the window of vulnerability. The model predicted that net caterpillar survival would decrease with temperature, suggesting that A. virginalis populations could be depressed with future climate warming. Theoretical work suggests that the net outcome of predator-prey interactions with increasing temperature depends on the respective responses of interacting species in terms of velocity across space, whereas the present study suggests the importance of effects of temperature on prey window of vulnerability, or "velocity" across time.

Erratum to: Density-dependent effects of larval dispersal mediated by host plant quality on populations of an invasive insect.

There was a coding error in the original paper resulting in incorrect model parameter estimates and in some cases incorrect model conclusions. The error was the specification of logistic models (using the glm and glmer functions) in R as cbind (survived, total) instead of cbind (survived, dead). The differences between the originally published and correct models of those affected are detailed.

Density-dependent effects of larval dispersal mediated by host plant quality on populations of an invasive insect.

The success of invasive species is often thought to be due to release from natural enemies. This hypothesis assumes that species are regulated by top-down forces in their native range and are likely to be regulated by bottom-up forces in the invasive range. Neither of these assumptions has been consistently supported with insects, a group which includes many destructive invasive species. Winter moth (Operophtera brumata) is an invasive defoliator in North America that appears to be regulated by larval mortality. To assess whether regulation was caused by top-down or bottom-up forces, we sought to identify the main causes of larval mortality. We used observational and manipulative field and laboratory studies to demonstrate that larval mortality due to predation, parasitism, and disease were minimal. We measured the response of larval dispersal in the field to multiple aspects of foliar quality, including total phenolics, pH 10 oxidized phenolics, trichome density, total nitrogen, total carbon, and carbon-nitrogen ratio. Tree-level declines in density were driven by density-dependent dispersal of early instars. Late instar larvae dispersed at increased rates from previously damaged as compared to undamaged foliage, and in 2015 field larval dispersal rates were related to proportion of oxidative phenolics. We conclude that larval dispersal is the dominant source of density-dependent larval mortality, may be mediated by induced changes in foliar quality, and likely regulates population densities in New England. These findings suggest that winter moth population densities in New England are regulated by bottom-up forces, aligning with the natural enemy release hypothesis.

The Role of Repetitive Sequences in Repatterning of Major Ribosomal DNA Clusters in Lepidoptera.

Genes for major ribosomal RNAs (rDNA) are present in multiple copies mainly organized in tandem arrays. The number and position of rDNA loci can change dynamically and their repatterning is presumably driven by other repetitive sequences. We explored a peculiar rDNA organization in several representatives of Lepidoptera with either extremely large or numerous rDNA clusters. We combined molecular cytogenetics with analyses of second- and third-generation sequencing data to show that rDNA spreads as a transcription unit and reveal association between rDNA and various repeats. Furthermore, we performed comparative long read analyses among the species with derived rDNA distribution and moths with a single rDNA locus, which is considered ancestral. Our results suggest that satellite arrays, rather than mobile elements, facilitate homology-mediated spread of rDNA via either integration of extrachromosomal rDNA circles or ectopic recombination. The latter arguably better explains preferential spread of rDNA into terminal regions of lepidopteran chromosomes as efficiency of ectopic recombination depends on the proximity of homologous sequences to telomeres.

Spatial habitat heterogeneity influences host-pathogen dynamics in a patchy population of Ranchman's tiger moth.

Host-pathogen dynamics are influenced by many factors that vary locally, but models of disease rarely consider dynamics across spatially heterogeneous environments. In addition, theory predicts that dispersal will influence host-pathogen dynamics of populations that are linked, although this has not been examined empirically in natural systems. We examined the spatial dynamics of a patchy population of tiger moths and its baculovirus pathogen, in which habitat type and weather influence dynamics. Theoretical models of host-baculovirus dynamics predict that such variation in dynamics between habitat types could be driven by a range of factors, of which we predict two are likely to be operating in this system: (1) differences in the environmental persistence of pathogens or (2) differences in host intrinsic rates of increase. We used time series models and monitored infection rates of hosts to characterize population and disease dynamics and distinguish between these possibilities. We also examined the role of host dispersal (connectivity) and weather as important contributors to dynamics, using time series models and experiments. We found that the population growth rate was higher, delayed density dependence was weaker, and long-period oscillations had lower amplitudes in high-quality habitat patches. The infection rate was higher on average in high-quality habitat, and this was likely to have been driven by higher mean population densities and no differences in pathogen persistence in different habitats (delayed density dependence). Time series modeling and experiments also showed an interactive effect of temperature and precipitation on moth population growth rates (likely caused by variation in host plant quality and quantity), and an effect of connectivity. Our results showed that spatial heterogeneity, connectivity, climate, and their interactions were important in driving host-baculovirus dynamics. In particular, our study found that connected patches and spatial heterogeneity generated differences in dynamics that only partially aligned with theoretical predictions.

Effects of experimental watering but not warming on herbivory vary across a gradient of precipitation.

Climate change can affect biotic interactions, and the impacts of climate on biotic interactions may vary across climate gradients. Climate affects biotic interactions through multiple drivers, although few studies have investigated multiple climate drivers in experiments. We examined the effects of experimental watering, warming, and predator access on leaf water content and herbivory rates of woolly bear caterpillars (Arctia virginalis) on a native perennial plant, pacific silverweed (Argentina anserina ssp. pacifica), at two sites across a gradient of precipitation in coastal California. Based on theory, we predicted that watering should increase herbivory at the drier end of the gradient, predation should decrease herbivory, and watering and warming should have positive interacting effects on herbivory. Consistent with our predictions, we found that watering only increased herbivory under drier conditions. However, watering increased leaf water content at both wetter and drier sites. Warming increased herbivory irrespective of local climate and did not interact with watering. Predation did not affect herbivory rates. Given predictions that the study locales will become warmer and drier with climate change, our results suggest that the effects of future warming and drying on herbivory may counteract each other in drier regions of the range of Argentina anserina. Our findings suggest a useful role for range-limit theory and the stress-gradient hypothesis in predicting climate change effects on herbivory across stress gradients. Specifically, if climate change decreases stress, herbivory may increase, and vice versa for increasing stress. In addition, our work supports previous suggestions that multiple climate drivers are likely to have dampening effects on biotic interactions due to effects in different directions, though this is context-dependent.

Induction of the sticky plant defense syndrome in wild tobacco.

Many plants engage in protective mutualisms, offering resources such as extrafloral nectar and shelters to predatory arthropods in exchange for protection against herbivores. Recent work indicates that sticky plants catch small insects and provide this carrion to predators who defend the plants against herbivores. In this study, we investigated whether wild tobacco, Nicotiana attenuata, fits this sticky plant defense syndrome that has been described for other sticky plants. We developed a bioassay for stickiness involving the number of flies that adhered to flowers, the stickiest tissues. In surveys conducted over three field seasons at four sites, we found that the number of carrion that adhered to a plant was positively correlated with the number of predators that we observed foraging over its surfaces. The number of predators was positively correlated with the number of seed capsules that the plant produced, a measure of lifetime female reproductive success. Structural equation modeling indicated strong support for the causal path linking carrion numbers to predator numbers to capsule production. We investigated whether stickiness was an inducible trait and examined two potential cues. We found that experimental clipping of rosette leaves induced greater stickiness, although clipping of neighboring sagebrush leaves did not. Damage to leaf tissue is likely to be a more reliable predictor of risk than is damage to a neighboring plant. The sticky plant defense syndrome is a widespread protective mutualism; its strength and ecological relevance can adjust as risk of herbivory changes.