RESUMO
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is independently associated with hypertension and ischemic stroke. The goal of this study was to determine the interplay between TBI and incident hypertension in the occurrence of post-TBI stroke. This prospective study used a hospital-based registry to identify patients without pre-existing comorbidities. TBI patients (n = 3664) were frequency matched on age, sex, and race to non-TBI patients (n = 1848). Follow-up started 6 months post-TBI or study entry and extended up to 10 years. To examine hypertension's role in post-TBI stroke, we used logistic regression models to calculate the effect estimates for stroke in four exposure categories that included TBI or hypertension in isolation and in combination. Second, we calculated the conditional direct effect (CDE) of TBI in models that considered hypertension as intermediary. Third, we examined whether TBI effect was modified by antihypertensive medication use. The 10-year cumulative incidence of stroke was higher in the TBI group (4.7%) than the non-TBI group (1.3%; p < 0.001). TBI patients who developed hypertension had the highest risk of stroke (odds ratio [OR] = 4.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.53-9.23, p < 0.001). The combined effect estimates were less than additive, suggesting an overlapping biological pathway. The total effect of TBI (OR = 3.16, 95% CI = 1.94-5.16, p < 0.001) was higher than the CDE that accounted for hypertension (OR = 2.45, 95% CI = 0.93-6.47, p = 0.06). Antihypertensives attenuated the TBI effect, suggesting that the TBI effect on stroke is partially mediated through hypertension. TBI is an independent risk factor for long-term stroke, and the underlying biological pathway may partly operate through TBI-precipitated hypertension. These findings suggest that screening for hypertension may mitigate stroke risk in TBI.
RESUMO
Importance: Because withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy based on perceived poor prognosis is the most common cause of death after moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), the accuracy of clinical prognoses is directly associated with mortality. Although the location of brain injury is known to be important for determining recovery potential after TBI, the best available prognostic models, such as the International Mission for Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials in TBI (IMPACT) score, do not currently incorporate brain injury location. Objective: To test whether automated measurement of cerebral hemorrhagic contusion size and location is associated with improved prognostic performance of the IMPACT score. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic cohort study was performed in 18 US level 1 trauma centers between February 26, 2014, and August 8, 2018. Adult participants aged 17 years or older from the US-based Transforming Research and Clinical Knowledge in TBI (TRACK-TBI) study with moderate or severe TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale score 3-12) and contusions detected on brain computed tomography (CT) scans were included. The data analysis was performed between January 2023 and February 2024. Exposures: Labeled contusions detected on CT scans using Brain Lesion Analysis and Segmentation Tool for Computed Tomography (BLAST-CT), a validated artificial intelligence algorithm. Main Outcome and Measure: The primary outcome was a Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) score of 4 or less at 6 months after injury. Whether frontal or temporal lobe contusion volumes improved the performance of the IMPACT score was tested using logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve comparisons. Sparse canonical correlation analysis was used to generate a disability heat map to visualize the strongest brainwide associations with outcomes. Results: The cohort included 291 patients with moderate or severe TBI and contusions (mean [SD] age, 42 [18] years; 221 [76%] male; median [IQR] emergency department arrival Glasgow Coma Scale score, 5 [3-10]). Only temporal contusion volumes improved the discrimination of the IMPACT score (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.86 vs 0.84; P = .03). The data-derived disability heat map of contusion locations showed that the strongest association with unfavorable outcomes was within the bilateral temporal and medial frontal lobes. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that CT-based automated contusion measurement may be an immediately translatable strategy for improving TBI prognostic models.