Use of inhaled corticosteroids and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia in children with asthma: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The potential association between the use of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) and the risk of pneumonia among adults is disputed and paediatric-specific evidence is scarce. AIM: To assess the potential association between ICS, use and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia among children (age 2-17 years) with asthma. METHODS: This was a cohort study based on nationwide data from routine clinical practice in Sweden (January 2007 to November 2021). From 425 965 children with confirmed asthma, episodes of new ICS use and no use were identified using records of dispensed drugs. We adjusted for potential confounders with propensity score overlap weighting and the risk of a hospitalisation with pneumonia as primary diagnosis was estimated. Multiple subgroup and sensitivity analyses were also performed. RESULTS: We identified 249 351 ICS (mean follow-up of 0.9 years) and 214 840 no-use (mean follow-up of 0.7 years) episodes. During follow-up, 369 and 181 events of hospitalisation for pneumonia were observed in the ICS and no-use episodes, respectively. The weighted incidence rates of hospitalisation for pneumonia was 14.5 per 10 000 patient-years for ICS use episodes and 14.6 for no-use episodes. The weighted HR for hospitalisation for pneumonia associated with ICS use was 1.06 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.28) and the absolute rate difference was -0.06 (95% CI -2.83 to 2.72) events per 10 000 patient-years, compared with no use. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide cohort study, we found no evidence of an association between ICS use and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia among children with asthma, as compared with no use.

A comparative analysis of non-pharmaceutical interventions for preventing the respiratory syncytial virus in 30 European countries.

AIM: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of childhood respiratory infections. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) can help to reduce RSV transmission and our aim was to provide an overview of recommended NPIs across Europe during the 2022-2023 epidemic season. METHODS: The webpages of national European public health agencies and ministries were reviewed and the information they provided on RSV prevention was compared with the December 2022 guidelines from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. RESULTS: We examined 30 countries, leading to 21 issued recommendations for RSV prevention through institutional channels, including six that were specific for the 2022-2023 season. The top five recommendations were: hand and respiratory hygiene (95%), avoiding crowded spaces (67%), staying at home when ill (62%), cleaning household items (57%) and limiting contact with sick people (57%). They also included: face masks (33%), ventilating indoor spaces (29%), properly disposing of contaminated material (13%) and keeping siblings home from preschool if there was a newborn infant in the family (10%). CONCLUSION: There was significant heterogeneity in the NPIs recommended by different countries during RSV epidemics. Ongoing evaluation is essential to optimise the effectiveness of NPIs and adapt to changing RSV patterns.

School holidays and respiratory syncytial virus transmission in Sweden: An interrupted time series analysis.

AIM: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) represents a significant cause of morbidity for children worldwide, especially for newborns. As RSV vaccines are not routinely used for children yet, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) represent the main strategy for prevention. The objective of this study was to investigate the correlation between school holidays and RSV transmission. METHODS: Data were collected from the weekly reports on RSV incidence for the 2021/2022 and 2022/2023 seasons in Sweden. The 7-day cumulative incidence of RSV was compared before and after the designated school holidays (Fall, Christmas, and Winter holidays). RESULTS: Our findings reveal an immediate (-1.7%, p < 0.001, 95% CI [-3.1%, -0.4%]) and gradual (-1.4%/week, p < 0.001, 95%CI [-1.8, -1.0]) reduction in RSV incidence following the Fall holiday in 2021, especially among children under 1 year of age, both immediately (-107.6%, p < 0.05, 95% CI [-203.7, -11.5]) and gradually afterwards (-58.5%/week, p < 0.001, 95% CI [-72.7, -44.3]). Mixed results were obtained for the Fall in 2022/2023 and for the Winter and holidays in both the studied years. CONCLUSIONS: While the Fall holiday in 2021/2022 was associated with a decrease in RSV incidence in Sweden, our results do not support a universal effect of school holidays on reducing RSV transmission.

Association of maternal snuff use and smoking with Sudden Infant Death Syndrome: a national register study.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to study whether non-combustible nicotine (Swedish snuff) use in pregnancy is associated with elevated risk of post neonatal mortality, Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS), and Sudden Unexpected Infant Death (SUID) and to study how cessation before the antenatal booking influenced these risks. METHODS: This was a population-based register study of all infants with information on tobacco exposure in early pregnancy born in Sweden 1999-2019, n = 2,061,514. Self-reported tobacco use in early pregnancy was categorized as nonuse, snuff use, and moderate and heavy smoking. Multiple logistic regression models were used to estimate crude and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Maternal snuff use was associated with increased risks of post neonatal mortality, SIDS, and SUID. The risks of snuff use and moderate smoking were of similar magnitude. Heavy smoking was associated with the highest risks. Cessation of smoking and snuff use before the antenatal booking was associated with lower risks of SIDS and SUID compared to that of continuous usage. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal snuff use was associated with increased risks of post neonatal mortality, SIDS, and SUID. Nicotine is the common substance in cigarette smoke and snuff. These findings support the hypothesis that nicotine contributes to an elevated risk of SIDS. IMPACT: Maternal snuff use and smoking in early pregnancy were associated with increased risks of post neonatal mortality, SIDS, and SUID. Cessation of smoking and snuff use before the first antenatal visit was associated with reduced risks of SIDS and SUID. The common substance in cigarette smoke and snuff is nicotine. Our findings suggest that nicotine contributes to an elevated risk of SIDS and SUID. The implication of our findings is that all forms of nicotine should be avoided in pregnancy.

Season of birth, childhood asthma and allergy in a nationwide cohort-Mediation through lower respiratory infections.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested an association between season of birth and risk of childhood asthma and allergic disease. The association may be modified by birth year and region, or mediated by respiratory tract infections. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to estimate the association between season of birth and risk of childhood asthma/wheeze or allergic rhinoconjunctivitis in a population-based setting, and the mediating effect of lower respiratory infections. METHODS: Two population-based cohorts were identified from the nationwide Swedish Medical Birth, Patient and Prescribed Drug Registers. The association between birth month/season and asthma/wheeze incidence was analysed using Cox proportional regression in the younger cohort born 2005-2010 (n = 582 494) and asthma/allergic rhinoconjunctivitis prevalence during the 7th year of life using log-binomial models in the older cohort born 2001-2004 (n = 367 583). Interactions were formally tested. Mediation analyses to address the effect of lower respiratory infections were performed in the older cohort using the R package "medflex." RESULTS: Children born during fall and winter had an increased risk of asthma/wheeze after 2 years of age in the younger cohort: hazard ratio 1.24 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.17, 1.33) for winter and risk of prevalent asthma during their 7th year of life in the older cohort; prevalence ratio (PR) 1.12 (95% CI 1.08, 1.16) for winter. These estimates were partly mediated by lower respiratory infections; the indirect effect for winter compared with summer was PR 1.03 (95% CI 1.03, 1.04). The association was similar for allergic rhinoconjunctivitis in the 7th year of life, but not mediated by respiratory infections. CONCLUSION: We found that the association between season of birth and risk of childhood asthma/wheeze, but not allergic rhinoconjunctivitis, is partly mediated through lower respiratory infections. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: This has important implications for patient care, such as asthma management programmes to notify timing of seasonality for viral respiratory tract infections.

Adenoviral detection by recombinase polymerase amplification and vertical flow paper microarray.

Respiratory viral infections often mimic the symptoms of infections caused by bacteria; however, restricted and targeted administration of antibiotics is needed to combat growing antimicrobial resistance. This is particularly relevant in low-income settings. In this work, we describe the use of isothermal amplification of viral DNA at 37 °C coupled to a paper-based vertical flow microarray (VFM) setup that utilizes a colorimetric detection of amplicons using functionalized gold nanoparticles. Two oligonucleotide probes, one in-house designed and one known adenoviral probe were tested and validated for microarray detection down to 50 nM using a synthetic target template. Furthermore, primers were shown to function in a recombinase polymerase amplification reaction using both synthetic template and viral DNA. As a proof-of-concept, we demonstrate adenoviral detection with four different adenoviral species associated with respiratory infections using the paper-based VFM format. The presented assay was validated with selected adenoviral species using the in-house probe, enabling detection at 1 ng of starting material with intra- and inter-assay %CV of ≤ 9% and ≤ 13%. Finally, we validate our overall method using clinical samples. Based on the results, the combination of recombinase polymerase amplification, paper microarray analysis, and nanoparticle-based colorimetric detection could thus be a useful strategy towards rapid and affordable multiplexed viral diagnostics.

Respiratory viruses associated with community-acquired pneumonia in children: matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading cause of death in children worldwide and a substantial proportion of childhood CAP is caused by viruses. A better understanding of the role of virus infections in this condition is needed to improve clinical management and preventive measures. The aim of the study was therefore to assess the association between specific respiratory viruses and childhood CAP. METHODS: A case-control study was conducted during 3 years in Stockholm, Sweden. Cases were children aged ≤5 years with radiological CAP. Healthy controls were consecutively enrolled at child health units during routine visits and matched to cases on age and calendar time. Nasopharyngeal aspirates were obtained and analysed by real-time PCR for 15 viruses. Multivariate conditional logistic regression was used to account for coinfections with other viruses and baseline characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 121 cases, of which 93 cases met the WHO criteria for radiological pneumonia, and 240 controls were included in the study. Viruses were detected in 81% of the cases (n=98) and 56% of the controls (n=134). Influenza virus, metapneumovirus and respiratory syncytial virus were detected in 60% of cases and were significantly associated with CAP with ORs >10. There was no association with parainfluenza virus, human enterovirus or rhinovirus and coronavirus and bocavirus were negatively associated with CAP. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates viral CAP is an underestimated disease and points out hMPV as a new important target for the prevention of childhood CAP.

Penicillin V versus amoxicillin for pneumonia in children - a Swedish nationwide emulated target trial.

OBJECTIVES: While most countries recommend amoxicillin for pediatric pneumonia, there is a long tradition of treatment with penicillin V (PcV) in Sweden, thus not empirically covering Haemophilus influenzae. There are, however, large regional differences in treatment practice. The aim was to compare clinical outcomes (treatment failure and severe complications), in children aged 1 to 59 months treated with PcV versus amoxicillin for pneumonia. METHODS: This population-based emulated target trial included all children born in Sweden between 2001-2021, utilizing national health, sociodemographic, and population registers. All pneumonia cases from hospitals and pediatric outpatient clinics in children aged 1 to 59 months treated as outpatients with PcV or amoxicillin between July 2005-December 2021, were identified. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR)s and 95% confidence intervals (CI)s for treatment failure (new dispensed antibiotic prescription or pneumonia associated hospitalization day 1-14) and severe complications (lung complications, invasive bacterial disease, admission to intensive care unit or death day 1-28) were calculated with logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: PcV was prescribed in 14,766 cases, and amoxicillin in 10,566. Treatment failure occurred in 7.7% with PcV versus 4.7% with amoxicillin, aOR 1.76 (95% CI: 1.54-2.00). Severe complications were rare, with no significant difference between PcV and amoxicillin (0.3% vs. 0.2%, aOR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.53-1.73). Sensitivity and interaction analyses showed consistent results. CONCLUSIONS: PcV treatment compared to amoxicillin, was associated with an increased risk for treatment failure but not for severe complications. The absolute risks for adverse outcomes were low in both groups suggesting a minor role of H. influenzae in pediatric pneumonia.

[Mpox and children - a Swedish perspective]. / Mpox hos barn ­ svenskt perspektiv.

Mpox (monkeypox) is an infection caused by the monkeypox virus, which belongs to the same family as the smallpox virus. Sporadic infections in humans have been known since the 1970s. Since spring 2022 there has been a global epidemic. The large majority of the mpox cases in the ongoing epidemic have been reported in adult men, the number of infected children is small.  The typical manifestation of mpox includes a rash that initially presents as maculopapular lesions and then develops into vesicles and eventually crusts. Transmission of the virus primarily occurs through close contact with infected individuals, particularly through contact with unhealed blisters or wounds, as well as through sexual contacts and exposure to body fluids.  In cases of documented close contact with an infected individual, post-exposure prophylaxis is recommended and may also be administered to children whose guardians have contracted mpox.

In-utero antibiotic exposure and subsequent infections in infancy: a register-based cohort study with sibling analysis.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal antibiotic use, the ensuing maternal dysbiosis, and subsequent acquisition of altered microbiota in early life have been linked to the offspring's increased susceptibility to childhood infections. However, infection risks during the first year of life associated with in-utero antibiotic exposure have not been comprehensively explored. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations between exposure to antibiotics in utero and subsequent infections during infancy and whether such associations differ by antibiotic class. STUDY DESIGN: All data were retrieved from Swedish population-based registers. Singletons live-born between 2006 and 2018 were followed up from birth to their first birthday. Exposure was maternal filling of at least 1 antibiotic prescription between the last menstrual period and delivery. Outcomes were the infants' antimicrobial prescription fills, incident infections diagnosed in specialist care, and deaths with infections indicated as underlying or contributing causes ("infection-related deaths"). Birth year, birth season, maternal age, place of residence, parity, comorbidity indicator, body mass index, proxies for general health status, education level, and smoking status were considered covariates. Poisson regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the number of antimicrobial prescriptions filled to the infant. Cox regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for incident infections diagnosed in specialist care and at death. Sibling analyses were used to account for shared familial factors. Sensitivity of the results to exposure definition and perinatal factors prognostic for the outcomes were assessed in supplementary analyses. RESULTS: Of 1,347,018 infants in the full cohort, 294,657 (21.9%) were exposed to antibiotics in utero. There were 677,430 antimicrobial prescriptions filled (1.380 per 1000 person-days), 423,705 incident infections diagnosed in specialist care (0.870 per 1000 person-days), and 2800 infection-related deaths (0.006 deaths per 1000 person-days) during follow-up. Compared to unexposed, infants exposed to antibiotics in utero had higher rates of antimicrobial prescription fills (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-1.34), incident infections diagnosed in specialist care (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-1.29), and infection-related mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.25). For antimicrobial prescriptions and infections diagnosed in specialist care, associations were consistent across most antibiotic classes but were attenuated in the sibling analyses: adjusted incidence rate ratio of 1.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.06) and adjusted hazard ratio of 1.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.07), respectively. No association with infant mortality was found in the sibling cohort (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.08). CONCLUSION: The minor associations between exposure to antibiotics in utero and infections during infancy were partly explained by shared familial factors and did not differ across frequently used antibiotic classes.

Risk factors for severe respiratory syncytial virus infection during the first year of life: development and validation of a clinical prediction model.

BACKGROUND: Novel immunisation methods against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are emerging, but knowledge of risk factors for severe RSV disease is insufficient for optimal targeting of interventions against them. Our aims were to identify predictors for RSV hospital admission from registry-based data and to develop and validate a clinical prediction model to guide RSV immunoprophylaxis for infants younger than 1 year. METHODS: In this model development and validation study, we studied all infants born in Finland between June 1, 1997, and May 31, 2020, and in Sweden between June 1, 2006, and May 31, 2020, along with the data for their parents and siblings. Infants were excluded if they died or were admitted to hospital for RSV within the first 7 days of life. The outcome was hospital admission due to RSV bronchiolitis during the first year of life. The Finnish study population was divided into a development dataset (born between June 1, 1997, and May 31, 2017) and a temporal hold-out validation dataset (born between June 1, 2017, and May 31, 2020). The development dataset was used for predictor discovery and selection in which we screened 1511 candidate predictors from the infants', parents', and siblings' data, and developed a logistic regression model with the 16 most important predictors. This model was then validated using the Finnish hold-out validation dataset and the Swedish dataset. FINDINGS: In total, there were 1 124 561 infants in the Finnish development dataset, 130 352 infants in the Finnish hold-out validation dataset, and 1 459 472 infants in the Swedish dataset. In addition to known predictors such as severe congenital heart defects (adjusted odds ratio 2·89, 95% CI 2·28-3·65), we confirmed some less established predictors for RSV hospital admission, most notably oesophageal malformations (3·11, 1·86-5·19) and lower complexity congenital heart defects (1·43, 1·25-1·63). The prediction model's C-statistic was 0·766 (95% CI 0·742-0·789) in Finnish data and 0·737 (0·710-0·762) in Swedish validation data. The infants in the highest decile of predicted RSV hospital admission probability had 4·5 times higher observed risk compared with others. Calibration varied according to epidemic intensity. The model's performance was similar to a machine learning (XGboost) model using all 1511 candidate predictors (C-statistic in Finland 0·771, 95% CI 0·754-0·788). The prediction model showed clinical utility in decision curve analysis and in hypothetical number needed to treat calculations for immunisation, and its C-statistic was similar across different strata of parental income. INTERPRETATION: The identified predictors and the prediction model can be used in guiding RSV immunoprophylaxis in infants, or as a basis for further immunoprophylaxis targeting tools. FUNDING: Sigrid Jusélius Foundation, European Research Council, Pediatric Research Foundation, and Academy of Finland.

Myxovirus resistance protein A for discriminating between viral and bacterial lower respiratory tract infections in children - The TREND study.

OBJECTIVE: Discriminating between viral and bacterial lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in children is challenging, leading to an excessive use of antibiotics. Myxovirus resistance protein A (MxA) is a promising biomarker for viral infections. The primary aim of the study was to assess differences in blood MxA levels between children with viral and bacterial LRTI. Secondary aims were to assess differences in blood MxA levels between children with viral LRTI and asymptomatic controls and to assess MxA levels in relation to different respiratory viruses. METHODS: Children with LRTI were enrolled as cases at Sachs' Children and Youth Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. Nasopharyngeal aspirates and blood samples for analysis of viral PCR, MxA, and C-reactive protein were systematically collected from all study subjects in addition to standard laboratory/radiology assessment. Aetiology was defined according to an algorithm based on laboratory and radiological findings. Asymptomatic children with minor surgical disease were enrolled as controls. RESULTS: MxA levels were higher in children with viral LRTI (n = 242) as compared to both bacterial (n = 5) LRTI (p <0.01, area under the curve (AUC) 0.90, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.99), and controls (AUC 0.92, 95% CI: 0.88 to 0.95). In the subgroup of children with pneumonia diagnosis, a cutoff of MxA 430 µg/l discriminated between viral (n = 29) and bacterial (n = 4) aetiology with 93% (95% CI: 78-99%) sensitivity and 100% (95% CI: 51-100%) specificity (AUC 0.98, 95% CI: 0.94 to 1.00). The highest MxA levels were seen in cases PCR positive for influenza (median MxA 1699 µg/l, interquartile range: 732 to 2996) and respiratory syncytial virus (median MxA 1115 µg/l, interquartile range: 679 to 2489). DISCUSSION: MxA accurately discriminated between viral and bacterial aetiology in children with LRTI, particularly in the group of children with pneumonia diagnosis, but the number of children with bacterial LRTI was low.

Risk factors for multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children - A population-based cohort study of over 2 million children.

Background: Although severe acute COVID-19 is rare in children, SARS-CoV-2 infection can trigger the novel post-infectious condition multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C). Increased knowledge on risk factors for MIS-C could improve our understanding of the pathogenesis of the condition and better guide targeted public health interventions. The aim of the study was to assess risk factors for MIS-C with the aim to identify vulnerable children. Methods: A register-based cohort study including all children and adolescents <19 years born in Sweden between March 1, 2001- December 31, 2020 was performed. Data on sociodemographic risk factors and comorbidities (sex, age, parental region of birth, parental education, asthma, autoimmune disease, chromosomal anomalies, chronic heart disease, chronic lung disease, obesity, life-limiting condition) were retrieved from national health and population registers. The outcome was MIS-C diagnosis according to the Swedish Pediatric Rheumatology Quality Register during March 1, 2020 - December 8, 2021.Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox regression analysis. Incidence rates per 100 000 person-years were calculated assuming a Poisson distribution. Findings: Among 2 117 443 children included in the study, 253 children developed MIS-C, corresponding to an incidence rate of 6·8 (95% CI: 6·0-7·6) per 100 000 person-years. Male sex (HR 1·65, 95% CI: 1·28-2·14), age 5-11 years (adjusted HR 1·44, 95% CI: 1·06-1·95 using children 0-4 years as reference), foreign-born parents (HR 2·53, 95% CI: 1·93-3·34), asthma (aHR 1·49, 95% CI: 1·00-2·20), obesity (aHR 2·15, 95% CI: 1·09-4·25) and life-limiting conditions (aHR 3·10, 95% CI: 1·80-5·33) were associated with MIS-C. Children 16-18 years had a reduced risk for MIS-C (aHR 0·45, 95% CI: 0·24-0·85). Interpretation: We report increased risks for MIS-C in children with male sex, age 5-11 years, foreign-born parents, asthma, obesity, and life-limiting condition. Knowing these risk populations might facilitate identification of children with MIS-C and potentially guide targeted public health interventions. Nevertheless, the absolute risks for MIS-C were very low. Funding: Financial support was provided from the Swedish Research Council (grant no 2018-02640), the Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (grant no 20210416), the Asthma and Allergy Association, Ake Wiberg foundation, the Samariten Foundation, the Society of Child Care, and Region Stockholm.

Novel Biomarkers Differentiating Viral from Bacterial Infection in Febrile Children: Future Perspectives for Management in Clinical Praxis.

Differentiating viral from bacterial infections in febrile children is challenging and often leads to an unnecessary use of antibiotics. There is a great need for more accurate diagnostic tools. New molecular methods have improved the particular diagnostics of viral respiratory tract infections, but defining etiology can still be challenging, as certain viruses are frequently detected in asymptomatic children. For the detection of bacterial infections, time consuming cultures with limited sensitivity are still the gold standard. As a response to infection, the immune system elicits a cascade of events, which aims to eliminate the invading pathogen. Recent studies have focused on these host-pathogen interactions to identify pathogen-specific biomarkers (gene expression profiles), or "pathogen signatures", as potential future diagnostic tools. Other studies have assessed combinations of traditional bacterial and viral biomarkers (C-reactive protein, interleukins, myxovirus resistance protein A, procalcitonin, tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand) to establish etiology. In this review we discuss the performance of such novel diagnostics and their potential role in clinical praxis. In conclusion, there are several promising novel biomarkers in the pipeline, but well-designed randomized controlled trials are needed to evaluate the safety of using these novel biomarkers to guide clinical decisions.

Pneumonia in Infancy and Risk for Asthma: The Role of Familial Confounding and Pneumococcal Vaccination.

BACKGROUND: Studies have reported an increased risk for asthma following lower respiratory tract infections, but few studies have specifically assessed this risk in children diagnosed with pneumonia in infancy. Furthermore, it is not fully understood whether this association is indicative of a causal relationship or if certain children have a predisposition for both diseases. RESEARCH QUESTION: Are children diagnosed with pneumonia in infancy at increased risk for asthma, and what is the role of familial confounding and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunization on the association? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This study was a nationwide register-based cohort analysis of > 900,000 Swedish children to assess the association between pneumonia in infancy and prevalent asthma at 4 years. A secondary aim was to assess if the association has changed after the introduction of nationwide pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) immunization as this has led to a shift in pneumonia etiology. The study controlled for important confounders, including shared environmental and familial confounding, by using sibling analyses. RESULTS: There was a strong association between pneumonia diagnosis in infancy and prevalent asthma at 4 years (adjusted OR, 3.38; 95% CI, 3.26-3.51), as well as in the full sibling analyses (adjusted OR, 2.81; 95% CI, 2.58-3.06). The risk for asthma following pneumonia diagnosis in infancy was slightly higher for those born in the PCV period compared with the pre-PCV period (adjusted OR, 3.80 [95% CI, 3.41-4.24] vs 3.28 [95% CI, 3.15-3.42]) when the proportion of viral pneumonia etiology was also higher (14.5% vs 10.7%, respectively) and the overall asthma prevalence was lower (5.3% vs 6.6%). INTERPRETATION: Children diagnosed with pneumonia in infancy have a highly increased risk for prevalent asthma at 4 years, which might have implications for future asthma preventive measures and needs to be considered when assessing the morbidity that can be attributed to pneumonia.

Etiology of Clinical Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Swedish Children Aged 1-59 Months with High Pneumococcal Vaccine Coverage-The TREND Study.

(1) Immunization with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines has decreased the burden of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children and likely led to a shift in CAP etiology. (2) The Trial of Respiratory infections in children for ENhanced Diagnostics (TREND) enrolled children 1-59 months with clinical CAP according to the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria at Sachs' Children and Youth Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. Children with rhonchi and indrawing underwent "bronchodilator challenge". C-reactive protein and nasopharyngeal PCR detecting 20 respiratory pathogens, were collected from all children. Etiology was defined according to an a priori defined algorithm based on microbiological, biochemical, and radiological findings. (3) Of 327 enrolled children, 107 (32%) required hospitalization; 91 (28%) received antibiotic treatment; 77 (24%) had a chest X-ray performed; and 60 (18%) responded to bronchodilator challenge. 243 (74%) episodes were classified as viral, 11 (3%) as mixed viral-bacterial, five (2%) as bacterial, two (0.6%) as atypical bacterial and 66 (20%) as undetermined etiology. After exclusion of children responding to bronchodilator challenge, the proportion of bacterial and mixed viral-bacterial etiology was 1% and 4%, respectively. (4) The novel TREND etiology algorithm classified the majority of clinical CAP episodes as of viral etiology, whereas bacterial etiology was uncommon. Defining CAP in children <5 years is challenging, and the WHO definition of clinical CAP is not suitable for use in children immunized with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines.