Multiplexed Quantitative Proteomics Reveals Proteomic Alterations in Two Rodent Traumatic Brain Injury Models.

In many cases of traumatic brain injury (TBI), conspicuous abnormalities, such as scalp wounds and intracranial hemorrhages, abate over time. However, many unnoticeable symptoms, including cognitive, emotional, and behavioral dysfunction, often last from several weeks to years after trauma, even for mild injuries. Moreover, the cause of such persistence of symptoms has not been examined extensively. Recent studies have implicated the dysregulation of the molecular system in the injured brain, necessitating an in-depth analysis of the proteome and signaling pathways that mediate the consequences of TBI. Thus, in this study, the brain proteomes of two TBI models were examined by quantitative proteomics during the recovery period to determine the molecular mechanisms of TBI. Our results show that the proteomes in both TBI models undergo distinct changes. A bioinformatics analysis demonstrated robust activation and inhibition of signaling pathways and core proteins that mediate biological processes after brain injury. These findings can help determine the molecular mechanisms that underlie the persistent effects of TBI and identify novel targets for drug interventions.

Vitamin D deficiency as a risk factor for sudden cardiac arrest: A multicenter case-control study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Vitamin D is known to influence the risk of cardiovascular disease, which is a recognized risk factor for sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). However, the relationship between vitamin D and SCA is not well understood. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the association between vitamin D and SCA in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients compared to healthy controls. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Phase II Cardiac Arrest Pursuit Trial with Unique Registration and Epidemiologic Surveillance (CAPTURES II) registry, a 1:1 propensity score-matched case-control study was conducted between 2017 and 2020. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (vitamin D) levels in patients with OHCA (454 cases) and healthy controls (454 cases) were compared after matching for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, and lifestyle behaviors. The mean vitamin D levels were 14.5 ± 7.6 and 21.3 ± 8.3 ng/mL among SCA cases and controls, respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, lifestyle behaviors, corrected serum calcium levels, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGRF). The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for vitamin D was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.91). The dose-response relationship demonstrated that vitamin D deficiency was associated with SCA incidence (severe deficiency, aOR 10.87, 95% CI 4.82-24.54; moderate deficiency, aOR 2.24, 95% CI 1.20-4.20). CONCLUSION: Vitamin D deficiency was independently and strongly associated with an increased risk of SCA, irrespective of cardiovascular and lifestyle factors, corrected calcium levels, and eGFR.

Association Between Ambulance Station Case Volume and Clinical Outcomes in Moderate to Severe Trauma.

OBJECTIVES: The effect of the case volume of emergency medical services (EMS) on the clinical outcomes of trauma is uncertain. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between the case volume of an ambulance station and clinical outcomes in moderate to severe trauma patients. METHODS: Adult trauma patients with injury severity scores greater than 8 who were transported by the EMS between 2018 and 2019 were analyzed. The main exposure was the annual case volume of moderate to severe trauma at the ambulance station where the patient-transporting ambulance was based: low-volume (less than 60 cases), intermediate-volume (between 60 and 89 cases), and high-volume (equal or greater than 90 cases). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Multilevel multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with the high-volume group used as the reference. RESULTS: In total, 21,498 trauma patients were analyzed. The high-volume group exhibited lower in-hospital mortality, 447 (9.0%), compared to 867 (14.1%) in the intermediate-volume group and 1,458 (14.1%) in the low-volume group. There were a significantly higher odds of in-hospital mortality: the low-volume group (AOR 95% CI: 1.20 (0.95-1.51)) and intermediate-volume group (AOR 95% CI: 1.29 (1.02-1.64)) when compared to the high-volume group. CONCLUSIONS: The case volume at an ambulance station is associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with moderate to severe trauma. These results should be considered when constructing an EMS system and education program for prehospital trauma care.

Association between Case Volumes of Extracorporeal Life Support and Clinical Outcome in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

AIM: Extracorporeal life support (ECLS) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is increasing. There is little evidence identifying the association between hospital ECLS case volumes and outcomes in different populations receiving ECLS or conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). The goal of this investigation was to identify the association between ECLS case volumes and clinical outcomes of OHCA patients. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study used the National OHCA Registry for adult OHCA cases in Seoul, Korea between January 2015 and December 2019. If the ECLS volume during the study period was >20, the institution was defined as a high-volume ECLS center. Others were defined as low-volume ECLS centers. Outcomes were good neurologic recovery (cerebral performance category 1 or 2) and survival to discharge. We performed multivariate logistic regression and interaction analyses to assess the association between case volume and clinical outcome. RESULTS: Of the 17,248 OHCA cases, 3,731 were transported to high-volume centers. Among the patients who underwent ECLS, those at high-volume centers had a higher neurologic recovery rate than those at low-volume centers (17.0% vs. 12.0%), and the adjusted OR for good neurologic recovery was 2.22 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15-4.28) in high-volume centers compared to low-volume centers. For patients who received conventional CPR, high-volume centers also showed higher survival-to-discharge rates (adjusted OR of 1.16, 95%CI: 1.01-1.34). CONCLUSIONS: High-volume ECLS centers showed better neurological recovery in patients who underwent ECLS. High-volume centers also had better survival-to-discharge rates than low-volume centers for patients not receiving ECLS.

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Incidence and Survival Outcomes in Korea (2009-2021).

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is a major public health concern in Korea. Identifying spatiotemporal patterns of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence and survival outcomes is crucial for effective resource allocation and targeted interventions. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal epidemiology of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Korea, with a focus on identifying high-risk areas and populations and examining factors associated with prehospital outcomes. METHODS: We conducted this population-based observational study using data from the Korean out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry from January 2009 to December 2021. Using a Bayesian spatiotemporal model based on the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation, we calculated the standardized incidence ratio and assessed the relative risk to compare the spatial and temporal distributions over time. The primary outcome was out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence, and the secondary outcomes included prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, survival to hospital admission and discharge, and good neurological outcomes. RESULTS: Although the number of cases increased over time, the spatiotemporal analysis exhibited a discernible temporal pattern in the standardized incidence ratio of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with a gradual decline over time (1.07; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.04-1.09 in 2009 vs. 1.00; 95% CrI, 0.98-1.03 in 2021). The district-specific risk ratios of survival outcomes were more favorable in the metropolitan and major metropolitan areas. In particular, the neurological outcomes were significantly improved from relative risk 0.35 (0.31-0.39) in 2009 to 1.75 (1.65-1.86) in 2021. CONCLUSION: This study emphasized the significance of small-area analyses in identifying high-risk regions and populations using spatiotemporal analyses. These findings have implications for public health planning efforts to alleviate the burden of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Korea.

Sex Disparities in Prehospital Advanced Cardiac Life Support in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in South Korea.

OBJECTIVE: Sex disparities have been reported in the prehospital and in-hospital care among patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The aim of this study was to investigate the association between sex and prehospital advanced cardiac life support (ACLS) interventions provided by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS: This was a cross-sectional observational study using a nationwide OHCA registry in South Korea. The study included adult OHCAs with presumed cardiac etiology from January 2016 to December 2019. The main exposure was the sex of the victim, and the primary outcomes were prehospital ACLS interventions, including advanced airway management (AAM), intravenous access (IV), and epinephrine (EPI) administration. Multivariable logistic regression analysis accounted for age group, health insurance, comorbidities, place of arrest, urbanization level, witness status, bystander CPR and initial rhythm was performed to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: Among 71,154 eligible patients, females with OHCA received less prehospital ACLS interventions than males: risk difference, (95% CIs) -2.76 (-3.41;-2.11) for AAM, -6.03 (-6.79;-5.27) for IV, and -3.81 (-4.37;-3.25) for EPI. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex was significantly associated with a lower probability of prehospital ACLS provision: AOR, (95% CIs) 0.87 (0.84-0.91) for AAM, 0.85 (0.82-0.88) for IV, and 0.81 (0.77-0.84) for EPI. CONCLUSION: Compared to male patients, female patients were less likely to receive prehospital ACLS. This offers opportunities for EMS systems to reduce disparities and to improve compliance with OHCA resuscitation guidelines and outcomes through quality improvement and educational interventions.

Association between post-cardiac arrest treatments and clinical outcomes according to scene time interval in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Retrospective cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported that Post-Cardiac arrest (PCA) treatments including targeted temperature management (TTM), coronary reperfusion therapy (CRT), and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) are time-sensitive; however, there are no reports of the clinical outcomes of PCA treatment according to the scene time interval (STI). Our study aimed to investigated the clinical outcomes of PCA treatment according to the STI. METHODS: We used a Korean nationwide OHCA cohort database from January 2017 to December 2020. The inclusion criteria were all adult OHCA patients with a presumed cardiac etiology, bystander-witnessed arrest, and prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The outcomes were survival to discharge and good neurological recovery. The main exposure of interest was PCA treatment. We compared the outcomes using multivariable logistic regression, and interaction terms were included in the final model to assess whether the STI modified the effect of PCA treatment on clinical outcomes of OHCA. RESULTS: TTM and CRT were associated with high survival to discharge and good neurological recovery. In the interaction analysis, ECMO had an interaction effect with the STI on a good CPC among patients with OHCA [short STI (0 to 11 min) (1.16 (0.77-1.75)), middle STI (12 to 15 min) (0.66 (0.41-1.06)), and long STI (16 to 30 min) (0.59 (0.40-0.88)) (p for interaction <0.05)]. CONCLUSION: In adult bystander-witnessed patients with OHCA with prehospital ROSC, an STI of >16 min was a risk factor for poor neurological outcome in those patients who underwent ECMO.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation location, coronary angiography and survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The best location for safe and timely implementation of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is currently uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between the location of ECPR and survival outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. We also evaluated whether the effects of ECPR location on survival differed between patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) and those who did not. METHODS: We used data collected between 2013 and 2020 from a nationwide OHCA database. Adult OHCA patients with presumed cardiac etiology who underwent ECPR were included in the study. The primary outcome was survival to discharge. The main exposure was the ECPR location (emergency department [ED] or cardiac catheterization laboratory [Cath lab]). We compared primary outcomes of ECPR between the ED and Cath lab using multivariable logistic regression. The interaction between ECPR location and CAG was also evaluated. RESULTS: Of 564 ECPR patients, 448 (79.4%) and 116 (20.6%) underwent ECPR in the ED and Cath lab, respectively. CAG was observed in 52.5% and 72.4% of the patients in the ED and Cath lab groups, respectively. There were no significant differences in survival to discharge between the ED and Cath lab groups (14.1% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.75, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] [95% confidence interval] 1.87 [0.85-4.11]). AOR of interaction analysis (95% CI) for survival to discharge of the ED group was 2.34 (1.02-5.40) in patients with CAG and 0.28 (0.04-1.84) in patients without CAG (p for interaction was 0.04). CONCLUSION: In adult OHCA patients who underwent ECPR and CAG, ECPR in the ED shortened time to ECMO pump-on time and increased survival to discharge compared to ECPR in the Cath lab.

Bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, automated external defibrillator use, and survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to investigate the association between bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) with and without automated external defibrillator (AED) use and neurological outcomes after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Korea. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used a nationwide Korean OHCA registry between 2015 and 2019. Patients were categorised into no bystander CPR and bystander CPR with and without AED use groups. The primary outcome was good neurological recovery at discharge. We also analysed the interaction effects of place of arrest, response time, and whether the OHCA was witnessed. RESULTS: In total, 93,623 patients were included. Among them, 35,486 (37.9%) were in the no bystander CPR group, 56,187 (60.0%) were in the bystander CPR without AED use group, and 1950 (2.1%) were in the bystander CPR with AED use group. Good neurological recovery was demonstrated in 1286 (3.6%), 3877 (6.9%), and 208 (10.7%) patients in the no CPR, bystander CPR without AED use, and bystander CPR with AED use groups, respectively. Compared to the no bystander CPR group, the adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) for good neurological recovery was 1.54 (1.45-1.65) and 1.37 (1.15-1.63) in the bystander CPR without and with AED use groups, respectively. The effect of bystander CPR with AED use was more apparent in OHCAs with witnessed arrest and prolonged response time (≥8 min). CONCLUSION: Bystander CPR was associated with better neurological recovery compared to no bystander CPR; however, the benefits of AED use were not significant. Efforts to disseminate bystander AED availability and ensure proper utilisation are warranted.

Prehospital National Early Warning Score as a predictor of massive transfusion in adult trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that an elevated prehospital National Early Warning Score (preNEWS) is associated with increased levels of adverse outcomes in patients with trauma. However, whether preNEWS is a predictor of massive transfusion (MT) in patients with trauma is currently unknown. This study investigated the accuracy of preNEWS in predicting MT and hospital mortality among trauma patients. METHODS: We analyzed adult trauma patients who were treated and transported by emergency medical services (EMS) between January 2018 and December 2019. The main exposure was the preNEWS calculated for the scene. The primary outcome was the predictive ability for MT, and the secondary outcome was 24 h mortality. We compared the prognostic performance of preNEWS with the shock index, modified shock index, and reverse shock index, and reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale in the prehospital setting. RESULTS: In total, 41,852 patients were included, and 1456 (3.5%) received MT. preNEWS showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for predicting MT (0.8504; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.840-0.860) and 24 h mortality (AUROC 0.873; 95% CI, 0.863-0.883). The sensitivity of preNEWS for MT was 0.755, and the specificity of preNEWS for MT was 0.793. All indicies had a high negative predictive value and low positive predictive value. CONCLUSION: preNEWS is a useful, rapid predictor for MT and 24 h mortality. Calculation of preNEWS would be helpful for making the decision at the scene such as transfer straightforward to trauma center and advanced treatment.

Circulating Vitamin D Level and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death and Cardiovascular Mortality: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies to analyze the effect of circulating vitamin D level on the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. METHODS: Prospective cohort studies evaluating the association between circulating vitamin D and risk of SCD and CVD mortality were systematically searched in the PubMed and Embase. Extracted data were analyzed using a random effects model and results were expressed in terms of hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to estimate the dose-response relationships. RESULTS: Of the 1,321 records identified using the search strategy, a total of 19 cohort studies were included in the final meta-analysis. The pooled estimate of HR (95% CI) for low vs. high circulating vitamin D level was 1.75 (1.49-2.06) with I² value of 30.4%. In subgroup analysis, strong effects of circulating vitamin D were observed in healthy general population (pooled HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.43-2.38) and the clinical endpoint of SCD (pooled HRs, 2.68; 95% CI, 1.48-4.83). The dose-response analysis at the reference level of < 50 nmol/L showed a significant negative association between circulating vitamin D and risk of SCD and CVD mortality. CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies showed that lower circulating vitamin D level significantly increased the risk of SCD and CVD mortality.

Cystatin C and mortality risk in the general population: systematic review and dose response meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Cystatin C has been identified as an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population. This meta-analysis to evaluate the association between serum cystatin C level and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. We additionally conducted a dose-response analysis to examine a linear association between cystatin C and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: PudMed and Embase databases were searched until January, 2021. All prospective cohort studies that reported a multivariate-adjusted risk estimated of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality for the highest compared with lowest cystatin C level were included. RESULTS: 13 prospective cohort studies, a total of 57,214 participants were included in this analysis. Meta-analysis indicated that the highest compared with lowest cystatin C level was associated with an increase of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.01; 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.60-2.53; I2=89%) and cardiovascular mortality (2.62 [1.96-3.51]; I2=52%). We found a significant log-linear dose-response association between cystatin C and cardiovascular mortality (p < 0.01). Every 0.1 mg/L increase in cystatin C level was associated with a 7.3% increased cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum cystatin C is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general populations. Particularly, cystatin C level and cardiovascular mortality showed linear correlation.

Association between Scene Time Interval and Survival in EMS-Treated Major Trauma Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit: A Multinational, Multicenter Observational Study.

Objective: Major trauma is a major concern in public health and a leading cause of mortality worldwide. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the prehospital scene time interval (STI) and survival in emergency medical service (EMS)-assessed major trauma patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Methods: A retrospective observational study using the Pan-Asian Trauma Outcomes Study (PATOS) database was conducted. Adult trauma patients with injury severity scores (ISSs) greater than 15 who were admitted to the ICU were selected. EMS STIs were categorized into three groups: short (0-8 minutes), intermediate (9-16 minutes), and long (over 16 minutes). The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge, and the secondary outcome was good neurological outcome at hospital discharge. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to calculate odds ratios and confidence intervals, adjusting for age, sex, mechanism of injury, prehospital alertness, prehospital shock index, response time interval, and EMS intervention (airway, oxygen supplementation, and intravenous fluid administration). Sensitivity analysis for patients who underwent surgery or nontraumatic brain injury cases and interaction analysis by EMS intervention were performed. Results: Data from a total of 1,874 eligible patients were analyzed. Intermediate and long STIs showed significant associations with outcomes, with adjusted ORs (95% CI) of 1.21 (1.07-1.38) in the intermediate STI group and 1.74 (1.55-1.96) in the long STI group for survival and 1.37 (1.32-1.40) in the intermediate STI group and 1.31 (1.22-1.41) in the long STI group for neurological outcome. In the sensitivity analysis, the highest ORs were found in the intermediate STI group, with adjusted ORs (95% CI) of 1.40 (1.37-1.42) for survival and 1.32 (1.26-1.38) for neurological outcome. In the interaction analysis, EMS intervention showed a positive interaction effect with an intermediate STI on survival. Conclusion: In EMS-assessed adult major trauma patients admitted to the ICU, we found significant associations between STIs longer than 8 minutes and outcomes. EMS intervention has a positive interaction effect with an intermediate STI on survival. More research is needed to understand the implications of practice for major trauma in the field.

Effect of implementation of multi-tier response system and prolonged on-scene resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to explain the process and results of implementing a bundle of two cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) programs in Gwang-ju metropolitan city and to determine whether the use of these programs improved the clinical outcomes for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. METHODS: This was a before- and after-intervention study of the implementation of a bundle of two CPR programs in Gwang-ju. The main intervention was a multi-tier response (MTR) system, with an emphasis on prolonged on-scene resuscitation. The primary outcome was good neurological recovery, and secondary outcomes were survival to discharge and prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). A multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate the association between the study period and outcomes, after adjusting for potential confounders. Interaction analysis was conducted to determine whether the location of arrest and witness status modified the effect of the study period on the study outcomes. RESULTS: The adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for the intervention were 1.35 (0.96-1.90) for pre-hospital ROSC, 1.19 (0.49-2.86) for survival to discharge, and 3.45 (1.01-11.80) for good CPC. The AORs for good neurological recovery of the after-intervention period were 2.93 (0.73-11.77) for a private place, 4.82 (1.04-22.39) for a public place, 5.88 (1.47-23.57) for a witnessed arrest, and 1.49 (0.28-7.86) for a non-witnessed arrest. CONCLUSIONS: OHCA patients treated in the after-intervention period with the bundle of CPR programs including MTR and prolonged on-scene resuscitation showed better clinical outcomes, especially pre-hospital ROSC, and neurological recovery at hospital discharge than those treated in the before-intervention period.

Impact of crowding in local ambulance demand on call-to-ambulance scene arrival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Rapid emergency medical service (EMS) response is an important prognostic factor in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study aims to evaluate the association between local hourly EMS demand and ambulance response in OHCA. METHODS: OHCA occurring in 24 districts of Seoul from 2013 to 2018 was analyzed. Hourly ambulance demand per ambulance in each local district of patient location at the hour of cardiac arrest was calculated as the crowding index. The crowding index was categorized according to quartiles (1Q: ≤0.43, 2Q: 0.44-0.67, 3Q: 0.68-0.99, 4Q: ≥1.0 calls/h\r/ambulance). The primary outcome was ambulance dispatched within 1 km of the OHCA scene. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to test the association between the local hourly ambulance demand and outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 26,479 patients were analyzed. The rate of ambulance dispatched within 1 km decreased according to the crowding quartile (1Q: 31.3%, 2Q: 30.0%, 3Q: 28.8%, and 4Q: 26.6%). Compared to 1Q, adjusted odds ratios (95% CIs) of dispatch distance within 1 km in 2Q, 3Q, and 4Q were 0.92 (0.86-0.99), 0.86 (0.80-0.94), and 0.77 (0.71-0.84), respectively. CONCLUSION: Crowding in local ambulance demand was associated with less ambulance dispatched within 1 km and delayed response to the scene in OHCA. Strategies to mitigate and adjust to ambulance demand crowding may be considered for better EMS response performance.

Prediction of bacteremia at the emergency department during triage and disposition stages using machine learning models.

INTRODUCTION: Bacteremia is a common but critical condition with high mortality that requires timely and optimal treatment in the emergency department (ED). The prediction of bacteremia at the ED during triage and disposition stages could support the clinical decisions of ED physicians regarding the appropriate treatment course and safe ED disposition. This study developed and validated machine learning models to predict bacteremia in the emergency department during triage and disposition stages. METHODS: This study enrolled adult patients who visited a single tertiary hospital from 2016 to 2018 and had at least two sets of blood cultures during their ED stay. Demographic information, chief complaint, triage level, vital signs, and laboratory data were used as model predictors. We developed and validated prediction models using 10 variables at the time of ED triage and 42 variables at the time of disposition. The extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model was compared with the random forest and multivariable logistic regression models. We compared model performance by assessing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), test characteristics, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 24,768 patients were included: 16,197 cases were assigned to development, and 8571 cases were assigned to validation. The proportion of bacteremia was 10.9% and 10.4% in the development and validation datasets, respectively. The Triage XGB model (AUC, 0.718; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.701-0.735) showed acceptable discrimination performance with a sensitivity over 97%. The Disposition XGB model (AUC, 0.853; 95% CI, 0.840-0.866) showed excellent performance and provided the greatest net benefit throughout the range of thresholds probabilities. CONCLUSIONS: The Triage XGB model could be used to identify patients with a low risk of bacteremia immediately after initial ED triage. The Disposition XGB model showed excellent discriminative performance.

The impact of COVID-19 on the patterns of emergency department visits among pediatric patients.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the patterns of pediatric patients visiting emergency departments (EDs) before and after the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluate the interactive effect between the COVID-19 outbreak and age groups. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study using the nationwide emergency patient database in Korea from January 2019 to December 2020. Pediatric patients (≤18 years) who visited all 402 nationwide EDs were included. The age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of pediatric ED visits per 1,000,000 person-days were calculated, and the incidence rate ratio (IRR) was calculated. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of in-hospital mortality were calculated by a multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 2,808,756 patients, 1,835,045 (65.3%) patients visited before COVID-19, and 973,711 (34.7%) patients visited after the COVID-19 period. The standardized incidence rates of ED visits per 1,000,000 person-days were 589.3 in the before COVID-19 group and 326.9 in the after COVID-19 group (IRR (95% CI): 0.55 (0.53-0.58)). By diagnosis, the IRRs (95% CI) of mental health disorders (0.84 (0.42-1.65)) and self-harm or suicidal attempts (0.99 (0.38-2.59) were not significant, while the incidence rate of infectious disease was significantly decreased (0.48 (0.42-0.54)). The aOR (95% CI) of in-hospital mortality after COVID-19 was 1.58 (1.44-1.73) compared to that before COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: During the COVID-19 pandemic, the incidence of pediatric ED visits decreased, and these effects differed by age group. Age-specific policies are needed to ensure that children receive the care they need at the right time.

Multimodal Quality Improvement Intervention With Dedicated Patient Flow Manager to Reduce Emergency Department Length of Stay and Occupancy: Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Crowding in the emergency department is a problem worldwide that can affect patient safety and clinical outcomes. The aim of this project was to evaluate a multimodal quality improvement intervention with a new patient flow manager to reduce ED length of stay and ED bed occupancy. METHODS: This single-site interrupted time-series analysis study was conducted in a tertiary hospital emergency department in South Korea. Interventions for a novel system load-balancing approach included a data-driven patient flow tracking informatics system, adding medical specialists, point-of-care creatinine testing (when required before diagnostic imaging) with dedicated imaging test slots for emergency patients, and introducing patient flow managers. Records of adult patients visiting the emergency department from January 2016 to March 2020 were included. Outcomes were ED length of stay and ED bed occupancy. Regression discontinuity analysis of an interrupted time series was used adjusting for seasonality and the number of patients per staff. RESULTS: A total of 46,494 patients in the preintervention period and 151,802 patients in the postintervention period were included. After the intervention, ED length of stay decreased by 4.07 hours, whereas the slope indicated a return to preintervention levels over time. Monthly average ED bed occupancy decreased by 34.6%, and the slope remained consistent over time. DISCUSSION: The multimodal quality improvement intervention that included a patient flow manager was an effective intervention to reduce the ED length of stay and the ED bed occupancy at the study site. The change for length of stay may not sustain over time without further intervention.

Impact of temporary closures of emergency departments during the COVID-19 outbreak on clinical outcomes for emergency patients in a metropolitan area.

BACKGROUND: During the early phase of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, many emergency departments (EDs) were exposed to COVID-19 and were temporarily closed according to national protocol of Korea. We aimed to evaluate the effect of concurrent and recurrent temporary closures of EDs on the clinical outcomes of patients who visited EDs during the COVID-19 outbreak. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used a nationwide emergency patient database. Patients who visited one of the 46 EDs in Daegu and Gyeongbuk between January 21 and April 14, 2020 were included. The main exposure variable was the first medical contact (ED visit or 119 call to emergency medical services (EMS)) during closure of at least one ED. There were 25 temporary closures of six Level-1 and Level-2 EDs between February 18 and March 17, 2020. We constructed a dataset by performing bidirectional crossover matching and conducted a conditional logistic regression analysis where the primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of the 94,360 eligible study participants, 36,327 were classified into the non-EMS-use group and 10,116 were classified into the EMS-use group. In-hospital mortality rates were 2.0% and 1.6% for the temporary-closure and no-closure groups in the non-EMS-use group (p-value, 0.03) and 8.7% and 7.4% in the EMS-use group (p-value, 0.02), respectively. In the conditional logistic analysis for in-hospital mortality, the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the temporary-closure group compared the no-closure group were 1.22 (1.03-1.44) among the non-EMS-use group and 1.23 (1.04-1.46) among the EMS-use group. CONCLUSION: The temporary closures of EDs due to the unpredicted COVID-19 exposure resulted in an increase in emergency patients' in-hospital mortality rates irrespective of whether they used EMS. Preparing regional EMS systems to cope with new outbreaks is essential to protect the safety of all citizens.

Temporal trends in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes in men and women from 2008 to 2015: A national observational study.

BACKGROUND: We compared the temporal trends in survival and neurological outcomes after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in men and women. METHODS: A nationwide, population-based observational study enrolled adults with OHCA of presumed cardiac origin from 2008 to 2015. The main outcomes were survival and neurological recovery. We performed trend analyses of potential risk factors and outcomes. Adjusted odd ratios (aOR) were calculated using multivariate logistic regression analysis after adjusting for confounders. To assess whether outcomes had improved over time in both sexes, we calculated the yearly risk-adjusted survival rates and neurological recovery rate for the study period. RESULTS: We included 121,900 patients in the final analysis. Women comprised 36.2% of the patients. During the study, survival improved in both sexes, from 3.2% to 7.9% in men and from 1.8% to 3.7% in women. Neurological recovery improved in men from 1.1% to 5.9% and in women from 0.7% to 2.3%. The risk-adjusted survival rates increased significantly in men from 3.2% in 2008 to 5.7% in 2015 (p for trend <0.01); these rates did not increase to the same degree in women (from 1.8% in 2008 to 3.4% in 2015; p for trend <0.01). After adjusting for confounders, the risk-adjusted neurological recovery rate increased from 1.1% in 2008 to 4.3% in 2015 (p for trend <0.01) in men. This improvement trend was lower in women (from 0.7% in 2008 to 1.5% in 2015, p for trend <0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes of OHCA improved in both sexes during the study period. The degree of improvement in outcomes was higher in men than in women.