Association of cardiac biomarkers with long-term cardiovascular events in a community cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study assessed major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft, percutaneous intervention, stroke, and death. Cox proportional hazards models assessed apolipoprotein AI (ApoA1), apolipoprotein B (ApoB), ceramide score, cystatin C, galectin-3 (Gal3), LDL-C, Non-HDL-C, total cholesterol (TC), N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (HscTnI) and soluble interleukin 1 receptor-like 1. In adjusted models, Ceramide score was defined by from N-palmitoyl-sphingosine [Cer(16:0)], N-stearoyl-sphingosine [Cer(18:0)], N-nervonoyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:1)] and N-lignoceroyl-sphingosine [Cer(24:0)]. Multi-biomarker models were compared with C-statistics and Integrated Discrimination Index (IDI). RESULTS: A total of 1131 patients were included. Adjusted NT proBNP per 1 SD resulted in a 31% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.31) and a 31% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.31). Adjusted Ceramide per 1 SD showed a 13% increased risk of MACE/death (HR = 1.13) and a 29% increased risk for stroke/MI (HR = 1.29). These markers added to clinical factors for both MACE/death (p = 0.003) and stroke/MI (p = 0.034). HscTnI was not a predictor of outcomes when added to the models. DISCUSSION: Ceramide score and NT proBNP improve the prediction of MACE and stroke/MI in a community primary prevention cohort.

In a community cohort, where a wide range of biomarkers were evaluated, Ceramide score provided additive value over traditional cardiac risk factors alone for predicting stroke/MI. NT ProBNP provided additive value in prediction of MACE/death. Other biomarkers failed to improve the discrimination of these models.

Inhibition of angiogenesis in the management of refractory gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with LVAD support.

BACKGROUND: Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in patients with continuous flow left ventricular assist devices (CF-LVADs) is often related to GI angiodysplasia (GIAD). We previously reported data on VEGF inhibition with IV bevacizumab in the treatment of LVAD-associated GIAD bleeding, and now present follow-up data on patients treated with IV bevacizumab and/or low-dose oral pazopanib. METHODS: All consecutive adult patients with LVAD-associated GIB from GIAD treated with bevacizumab or pazopanib, from July 20, 2017 to June 22, 2022, were included in the analysis. Data on hospitalizations, GI endoscopic procedures, and blood transfusions were obtained from first admission for GIB up to a median of 35.7 months following treatment initiation (range 1.3-59.8 months). RESULTS: Eleven patients (91% male, mean 69.5 ± 8.9 years) were included. Eight patients (73%) received IV bevacizumab, two patients (18%) received oral pazopanib, and one patient (9%) received bevacizumab followed by pazopanib therapy. We observed a significantly decreased number of annualized hospitalizations for GIB (median difference - 2.87, p = 0.002), blood transfusions (median difference - 20.9, p = 0.01), and endoscopies (median difference - 6.95, p = 0.007) in patients pre- and post-anti-angiogenic therapy (bevacizumab and/or pazopanib). Similarly, a significant improvement in these clinical outcomes was noted in the bevacizumab group with decreased annualized hospitalizations (median difference - 2.75, p = 0.014), blood transfusions (median difference - 24.5, p = 0.047), and number of endoscopies (median differences -6.88, p = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Anti-angiogenic therapy with IV bevacizumab and/or low-dose oral pazopanib appears to provide benefits in patients with LVAD-associated GIB with reduced hospitalizations, blood transfusions, and need for GI endoscopic procedures.

Sex-based differences in metabolic protection by the ANP genetic variant rs5068 in the general population.

Atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) are produced in the heart and secreted into the circulation. As hormones, both peptides activate the guanylyl cyclase receptor A (GC-A), playing a role in blood pressure (BP) regulation. A significant role for ANP and BNP includes favorable actions in metabolic homeostasis. Sex-based high prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in males compared with females is well established, but sex-based differences on cardiometabolic protection have not been investigated in relation to ANP (NPPA) and BNP (NPPB) gene variants. We included 1,146 subjects in the general population from Olmsted County, Minnesota. Subjects were genotyped for the ANP gene variant rs5068 and BNP gene variant rs198389. Cardiometabolic parameters and medical records were reviewed. In the presence of the minor allele of rs5068, diastolic BP, creatinine, body mass index (BMI), waist measurement, insulin, and prevalence of obesity and metabolic syndrome were lower, whereas HDL was higher in males with only trends observed in females. We observed no associations of the minor allele with echocardiographic parameters in either males or females. Regarding rs198389 genotype, the minor allele was not associated with any BP, metabolic, renal, or echocardiographic parameters in either sex. In the general community, the minor allele of the ANP gene variant rs5068 is associated with a favorable metabolic phenotype in males. No associations were observed with the BNP gene variant rs198389. These studies support a protective role of the ANP pathway on metabolic function and underscore the importance of sex in relationship to natriuretic peptide responses.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Males are characterized by lower ANP and BNP with greater prevalence of cardiometabolic disease. The ANP genetic variant rs5068 was associated with less metabolic dysfunction in males, whereas no metabolic profile was related to the BNP genetic variant rs198389 in the general population. ANP may play a more biological role in metabolic homeostasis compared with BNP in the general population with greater physiological metabolic actions in males compared with females.

Reassessing the clinical significance of electrocardiographically unrecognized myocardial infarctions: Radionuclide infarct size and its impact on long-term prognosis.

BACKGROUND: Silent or unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) diagnosed by surveillance electrocardiography (ECG) carries similarly poor prognosis as recognized MI (RMI) for poorly understood reasons. METHODS: This study included 5430 consecutive patients who presented to the nuclear laboratory and underwent 2-day stress and rest Tc-99m sestamibi and ECG studies between March 1991 and June 1999. UMI was diagnosed if ECG showed Q-wave MI in the absence of a history of RMI. We measured infarct size (% defect size as compared with the entire left ventricular sestamibi uptake), ejection fraction (EF, %), and summed difference score (SDS, sestamibi uptake by myocardium in stress minus sestamibi uptake in rest images as a marker of ischemia). Survival was determined by follow-up survey (median 6 years). RESULTS: We identified 346 UMIs, 628 RMIs, and 4456 subjects without MI (No MI). As compared with RMI, UMI patients had lesser abnormalities on nuclear scans (p < .0001 for all), including smaller infarct size (5.7% vs. 12.2%), higher EF (58% vs. 53%), and lesser ischemia (SDS; 3.9% vs. 2.7%). UMI prognosis was as poor as that of RMI (annual mortality rate 4.7% vs. 4.8% with No MI rate of 2.9%; p < .001 for all comparisons), and this persisted after multivariate analysis. Infarct size quantification successfully risk-stratified ECG-UMI patients, but UMI patients continued to predict mortality even if the infarct size was 0%. CONCLUSIONS: Although UMI patients have lesser abnormalities on nuclear scans, ECG-based UMI continues to independently predict mortality, indicating the continuing relevance of ECG in clinical practice.

Long-term cardiac outcomes of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer treated in the adjuvant lapatinib and/or trastuzumab Treatment Optimization Trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiotoxicity is the most significant adverse event associated with trastuzumab (T), the main component of HER2-positive breast cancer (BC) treatment. Less is known about the cardiotoxicity of dual HER2 blockade with T plus lapatinib (L), although this regimen is used in the metastatic setting. METHODS: This is a sub-analysis of the ALTTO trial comparing adjuvant treatment options for patients with early HER2-positive BC. Patients randomised to either T or concomitant T + L were eligible. Cardiac events (CEs) rates were compared according to treatment arm. RESULTS: With 6.9 years of median follow-up (FU) and 4190 patients, CE were observed in 363 (8.6%): 166 (7.9%) of patient in T + L arm vs. 197 (9.3%) in T arm (OR = 0.85 [95% CI, 0.68-1.05]). During anti-HER2 treatment 270 CE (6.4%) occurred while 93 (2.2%) were during FU (median time to onset = 6.6 months [IQR = 3.4-11.7]). While 265 CEs were asymptomatic (73%), 94 were symptomatic (26%) and four were cardiac deaths (1%). Recovery was observed in 301 cases (83.8%). Identified cardiac risk factors were: baseline LVEF < 55% (vs > 64%, OR 3.1 [95% CI 1.54-6.25]), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.85 [95% CI 1.25-2.75]), BMI > 30 kg/m2 (vs < 25 mg/kg2, OR 2.21 [95% CI 1.40-3.49]), cumulative dose of doxorubicin ≥240 mg/m2 (OR 1.36 [95% CI 1.01-1.82]) and of epirubicin≥ 480 mg/m2 (OR 2.33 [95% CI 1.55-3.51]). CONCLUSIONS: Dual HER2 blockade with T + L is a safe regimen from a cardiac perspective, but cardiac-focused history for proper patient selection is crucial. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00490139 (registration date: 22/06/2007); EudraCT Number: 2006-000562-36 (registration date: 04/05/2007); Sponsor Protocol Number: BIG2-06 /EGF106708/N063D.

Association between alcohol consumption and systolic ventricular function: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Although moderate alcohol consumption is associated with decreased clinical heart failure, there are no population-based studies evaluating the relationship between alcohol consumption and left ventricular (LV) systolic function. We sought to evaluate the relationship between alcohol consumption and LV systolic function in the community. METHODS: In a population-based random sample of 2,042 adults, age ≥45 years, we assessed alcohol consumption by a self-administered questionnaire. Responders were categorized by alcohol consumption level: abstainer, former drinker, light drinker (<1 drink a day), moderate drinker (1-2 drinks a day), and heavy drinker (>2 drinks a day). Systolic function was assessed by echocardiography. RESULTS: We identified 38 cases of systolic dysfunction in 182 abstainers, 309 former drinkers, 1,028 light drinkers, 251 moderate drinkers, and 146 heavy drinkers. A U-shaped relationship was observed between alcohol consumption and moderate systolic dysfunction (LV ejection fraction [LVEF] ≤40%), with the lowest prevalence in light drinkers (0.9%) compared to the highest prevalence in heavy drinkers (5.5%) (odds ratio 0.14, 95% CI 0.04-0.43). This association persisted across different strata of risk factors of systolic dysfunction as well as in multivariate analysis. No significant association between alcohol consumption and systolic function was seen in subjects with LVEF >50% or ≤50%. CONCLUSIONS: There is a U-shaped relationship between alcohol consumption volume and LVEF, with the lowest risk of moderate LV dysfunction (LVEF ≤40%) observed in light drinkers (<1 drink a day). These findings are parallel to the relationship between alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease prevalence.

High-sensitivity troponin I and amino-terminal pro--B-type natriuretic peptide predict heart failure and mortality in the general population.

INTRODUCTION: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays have potent prognostic value in stable cardiovascular disease cohorts. Our objective was to assess the prognostic utility of a novel cardiac troponin I (cTnI) high-sensitivity assay, independently and in combination with amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), for the future development of heart failure and mortality in the general community. METHODS: A well-characterized community-based cohort of 2042 participants underwent clinical assessment and echocardiographic evaluation. Baseline measurements of cTnI with a high-sensitivity assay and NT-proBNP were obtained in 1843 individuals. Participants were followed for new-onset heart failure and mortality with median (25th, 75th percentile) follow-up of 10.7 (7.9, 11.6) and 12.1 (10.4, 13.0) years, respectively. RESULTS: When measured with a high-sensitivity assay, cTnI greater than the sex-specific 80th percentile was independently predictive of heart failure [hazard ratio 2.56 (95% confidence interval 1.88-3.50), P < 0.001] and mortality [1.91(1.49-2.46), P < 0.001] beyond conventional risk factors in this community-based cohort, with significant increases in the net reclassification improvement for heart failure. The prognostic utility of cTnI measured with a high-sensitivity assay goes beyond NT-proBNP, yet our data suggest that these 2 assays are complementary and most beneficial when evaluated together in identifying at-risk individuals in the community. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings lay the foundation for prospective studies aimed at identification of individuals at high risk by use of a multimarker approach, followed by aggressive prevention strategies to prevent subsequent heart failure.

The prevalence of diabetic cardiomyopathy: a population-based study in Olmsted County, Minnesota.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic cardiomyopathy defined as either systolic or diastolic dysfunction in otherwise healthy diabetic persons is not clearly understood. The prevalence and outcomes of this disease in a community-based population have not been defined. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional survey of 2042 randomly selected residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, aged 45 years or older between June 1997 and September 2000. All patients underwent Doppler echocardiographic assessment of systolic and diastolic function. Diabetic cardiomyopathy was defined in a person with diabetes and any systolic or at least moderate diastolic dysfunction without a history of coronary disease, hypertension, significant valvular disease, or congenital heart disease. The diagnosis of diabetic cardiomyopathy was made in 23 people, corresponding to a community population prevalence rate of 1.1%. Among diabetic patients, 16.9% met criteria for diabetic cardiomyopathy and 54.4% had diastolic dysfunction. Diabetes was associated with a 1.9-fold increase in risk of any left ventricular dysfunction, a 1.7-fold increase in risk of diastolic dysfunction, and a 2.2-fold increase in risk of systolic dysfunction. Among patients with diabetic cardiomyopathy, the cumulative probability of death was 18%, development of heart failure was 22%, and development of death or heart failure was 31% at 9 years. CONCLUSION: Diabetic cardiomyopathy is relatively common in the community with a prevalence of 1.1%. The morbidity and mortality of patients with diabetic cardiomyopathy is high.

Brief report: rheumatoid arthritis is associated with left ventricular concentric remodeling: results of a population-based cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: To study left ventricular (LV) geometry in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and no history of heart failure compared with that in subjects with neither RA nor a history of heart failure, and to determine the impact of RA on LV remodeling. METHODS: A cross-sectional, community-based study was conducted among adult (age ≥50 years) patients with RA and age- and sex-matched subjects with neither RA nor a history of heart failure. All participants underwent standard 2-dimensional Doppler echocardiography. LV geometry was classified into the following 4 categories based on relative wall thickness and sex-specific cutoffs for the LV mass index: concentric remodeling, concentric hypertrophy, eccentric hypertrophy, or normal geometry. RESULTS: Among 200 patients with RA and 600 age- and sex-matched subjects without RA, the mean age was 65 years, and 74% of the individuals in both cohorts were female. Compared with subjects without RA, patients with RA were significantly more likely to have abnormal LV geometry (odds ratio [OR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.03-2.00), even after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. Among subjects with abnormal LV geometry, the odds of concentric LV remodeling were significantly increased in patients with RA (OR 4.73, 95% CI 2.85-7.83). In linear regression analyses, the LV mass index appeared to be lower in patients with RA who were currently receiving corticosteroids (ß ± SE -0.082 ± 0.027, P = 0.002), even after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. CONCLUSION: RA was strongly associated with abnormal LV remodeling (particularly concentric LV remodeling) among RA patients without heart failure. This association remained significant after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities. RA disease-related factors may promote changes in LV geometry. The biologic mechanisms underlying LV remodeling warrant further investigation.

Sirolimus as primary immunosuppression attenuates allograft vasculopathy with improved late survival and decreased cardiac events after cardiac transplantation.

BACKGROUND: We retrospectively analyzed the potential of sirolimus as a primary immunosuppressant in the long-term attenuation of cardiac allograft vasculopathy progression and the effects on cardiac-related morbidity and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Forty-five cardiac transplant recipients were converted to sirolimus 1.2 years (0.2, 4.0) after transplantation with complete calcineurin inhibitor withdrawal. Fifty-eight control subjects 2.0 years (0.2, 6.5 years) from transplantation were maintained on calcineurin inhibitors. Age, sex, ejection fraction, and time from transplantation to baseline intravascular ultrasound study were not different (P>0.2 for all) between the groups; neither were secondary immunosuppressants and use of steroids. Three-dimensional intravascular ultrasound studies were performed at baseline and 3.1 years (1.3, 4.6 years) later. Plaque index progression (plaque volume/vessel volume) was attenuated in the sirolimus group (0.7±10.5% versus 9.3±10.8%; P=0.0003) owing to reduced plaque volume in patients converted to sirolimus early (<2 years) after transplantation (P=0.05) and improved positive vascular remodeling (P=0.01) in patients analyzed late (>2 years) after transplantation. Outcome analysis in 160 consecutive patients maintained on 1 therapy was performed regardless of performance of intravascular ultrasound examinations. Five-year survival was improved with sirolimus (97.4±1.8% versus 81.8±4.9%; P=0.006), as was freedom from cardiac-related events (93.6±3.2% versus 76.9±5.5%; P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Substituting calcineurin inhibitor with sirolimus as primary immunosuppressant attenuates long-term cardiac allograft vasculopathy progression and may improve long-term allograft survival owing to favorable coronary remodeling. Because of the lack of randomization and retrospective nature of our analysis, the differences in outcome should be interpreted cautiously, and prospective clinical trials are required.

Defining high-sensitivity cardiac troponin concentrations in the community.

BACKGROUND: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays are now available that can detect measurable troponin in significantly more individuals in the general population than conventional assays. The clinical use of these hs-cTn assays depends on the development of proper reference values. Therefore, our objective was to define hs-cTnI reference values and determinants in the general community, in a healthy reference cohort, and in subsets with diseases. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A well-characterized community-based cohort of 2042 study participants underwent clinical assessment and echocardiographic evaluation. Baseline hs-cTnI measurements were obtained in 1843 individuals. A healthy reference cohort (n = 565) without cardiac, renal, or echocardiographic abnormalities was identified. RESULTS: Measurable hs-cTnI was identified in 1716 (93%) of the community-based study cohort and 499 (88%) of the healthy reference cohort. Parameters that significantly contributed to higher hs-cTnI concentrations in the healthy reference cohort included age, male sex, systolic blood pressure, and left ventricular mass. Glomerular filtration rate and body mass index were not independently associated with hs-cTnI in the healthy reference cohort. Individuals with diastolic and systolic dysfunction, hypertension, and coronary artery disease (but not impaired renal function) had significantly higher hs-cTnI values than the healthy reference cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We assessed an hs-cTnI assay with the aid of echocardiographic imaging in a large, well-characterized community-based cohort. hs-cTnI is remarkably sensitive in the general population, and there are important sex and age differences among healthy reference individuals. These results have important implications for defining hs-cTnI reference values and identifying disease.

Diastolic stiffness as assessed by diastolic wall strain is associated with adverse remodelling and poor outcomes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

AIMS: The pathophysiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is complex but increased left ventricular (LV) diastolic stiffness plays a key role. A load-independent, non-invasive, direct measure of diastolic stiffness is lacking. The diastolic wall strain (DWS) index is based on the linear elastic theory, which predicts that impaired diastolic wall thinning reflects resistance to deformation in diastole and thus, increased diastolic myocardial stiffness. The objectives of this community-based study were to determine the distribution of this novel index in consecutive HFpEF patients and healthy controls, define the relationship between DWS and cardiac structure and function and determine whether increased diastolic stiffness as assessed by DWS is predictive of the outcome in HFpEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive HFpEF patients (n = 327, EF ≥ 50%) and controls (n = 528) from the same community were studied. Diastolic wall strain was lower in HFpEF (0.33 ± 0.08) than in controls (0.40 ± 0.07, P < 0.001). Within HFpEF, those with DWS ≤ median (0.33) had higher LV mass index, relative wall thickness, E/e', Doppler-estimated LV end-diastolic pressure to LV end-diastolic volume ratio, left atrial volume index, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels than those with DWS > median. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction patients with DWS ≤ median had higher rate of death or HF hospitalization than those with DWS > median (P = 0.003) even after the adjustment for age, gender, log BNP, LV geometry, or log E/e' (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: These data suggest that DWS, a simple index, is useful in assessing diastolic stiffness and that more advanced diastolic stiffness is associated with worse outcomes in HFpEF.

A concerted decline in insulin secretion and action occurs across the spectrum of fasting and postchallenge glucose concentrations.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) are at increased risk of developing diabetes over the subsequent decade. However, there is uncertainty as to the mechanisms contributing to the development of diabetes. We sought to quantitate insulin secretion and action across the prediabetic range of fasting glucose. METHODS: We studied a cohort of 173 individuals with a fasting glucose concentration <7·0 mM after an overnight fast using a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Insulin action (S(i)) was estimated using the oral glucose minimal model, and ß-cell responsivity indices (φ) were estimated using the oral C-peptide minimal model. The disposition index (DI) for each individual was calculated. The relationship of DI, φ and S(i) with fasting and postchallenge glucose, as well as other covariates, was explored using a generalized linear regression model. RESULTS: In this cross-sectional study, S(i) and DI were inversely related to fasting glucose concentrations. On the other hand, φ was unrelated to fasting glucose concentrations. S(i), φ and DI were all inversely related to area above basal glucose concentrations after glucose challenge. Multiple parameters including body composition and gender contributed to the variability of S(i) and DI at a given fasting or postchallenge glucose concentration. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Defects in insulin secretion and action interact with body composition and gender to influence postchallenge glucose concentrations. There is considerable heterogeneity of insulin secretion and action for a given fasting glucose likely because of patient subsets with isolated IFG and normal glucose tolerance.

Increased serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels in patients with medial arterial calcification and poorly compressible leg arteries.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether serum levels of N-terminal (NT) pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (pro-BNP) are higher in patients with poorly compressible arteries (PCA) than in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) and control subjects without PCA or PAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Medial arterial calcification in the lower extremities results in PCA and may be associated with increased arterial stiffness and hemodynamic/myocardial stress. PCA was defined as having an ankle-brachial index >1.4 or an ankle blood pressure >255 mm Hg, whereas PAD was defined as having an ankle-brachial index ≤0.9. Study participants with PCA (n=100; aged 71±10 years; 70% men) and age- and sex-matched patients with PAD (n=300) were recruited from the noninvasive vascular laboratory. Age- and sex-matched controls (n=300) were identified from a community-based cohort and had no history of PAD. NT pro-BNP levels were approximately 2.5-fold higher in patients with PCA than in patients with PAD and approximately 4-fold higher than in age- and sex-matched controls. In multivariable regression analyses that adjusted for age, sex, smoking, hypertension, history of coronary heart disease/stroke, systolic blood pressure, and serum creatinine, NT pro-BNP levels remained significantly higher in patients with PCA than in patients with PAD and controls (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with medial arterial calcification and PCA have higher serum levels of NT pro-BNP than patients with PAD and controls, which is suggestive of an adverse hemodynamic milieu and increased risk for adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Incidence of Preclinical Heart Failure in a Community Population.

Background A high prevalence of preclinical heart failure (HF) (Stages A and B) has previously been shown. The aim of this study was to explore factors associated with the incidence of preclinical HF in a community population. Methods and Results Retrospective review of 393 healthy community individuals aged ≥45 years from the Olmsted County Heart Function Study that returned for 2 visits, 4 years apart. At visit 2, individuals that remained normal were compared with those that developed preclinical HF. By the second visit, 191 (49%) developed preclinical HF (12.1 cases per 100 person-years of follow-up); 65 (34%) Stage A and 126 (66%) Stage B. Those that developed preclinical HF (n=191) were older (P=0.004), had a higher body mass index (P<0.001), and increased left ventricular mass index (P=0.006). When evaluated separately, increased body mass index was seen with development of Stage A (P<0.001) or Stage B (P=0.009). Echocardiographic markers of diastolic function were statistically different in those that developed Stage A [higher E/e' (P<0.001), lower e' (P<0.001)] and Stage B [higher left atrial volume index (P<0.001), higher E/e' (P<0.001), lower e' (P<0.001)]. NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) was higher at visit 2 in those that developed Stage A or B (P<0.001 for both). Hypertension (57%), obesity (34%), and hyperlipidemia (25%) were common in the development of Stage A. Of patients who developed Stage B, 71% (n=84) had moderate or severe diastolic dysfunction. Conclusions There is a high incidence of preclinical HF in a community population. Development of Stage A was driven by hypertension and obesity, while preclinical diastolic dysfunction was seen commonly in those that developed Stage B.

Progression of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and risk of heart failure.

CONTEXT: Heart failure incidence increases with advancing age, and approximately half of patients with heart failure have preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. Although diastolic dysfunction plays a role in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, little is known about age-dependent longitudinal changes in diastolic function in community populations. OBJECTIVE: To measure changes in diastolic function over time and to determine the relationship between diastolic dysfunction and the risk of subsequent heart failure. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Population-based cohort of participants enrolled in the Olmsted County Heart Function Study. Randomly selected participants 45 years or older (N = 2042) underwent clinical evaluation, medical record abstraction, and echocardiography (examination 1 [1997-2000]). Diastolic left ventricular function was graded as normal, mild, moderate, or severe by validated Doppler techniques. After 4 years, participants were invited to return for examination 2 (2001-2004). The cohort of participants returning for examination 2 (n = 1402 of 1960 surviving [72%]) then underwent follow-up for ascertainment of new-onset heart failure (2004-2010). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in diastolic function grade and incident heart failure. RESULTS: During the 4 (SD, 0.3) years between examinations 1 and 2, diastolic dysfunction prevalence increased from 23.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 21.2%-26.4%) to 39.2% (95% CI, 36.3%-42.2%) (P < .001). Diastolic function grade worsened in 23.4% (95% CI, 20.9%-26.0%) of participants, was unchanged in 67.8% (95% CI, 64.8%-70.6%), and improved in 8.8% (95% CI, 7.1%-10.5%). Worsened diastolic dysfunction was associated with age 65 years or older (odds ratio, 2.85 [95% CI, 1.77-4.72]). During 6.3 (SD, 2.3) years of additional follow-up, heart failure occurred in 2.6% (95% CI, 1.4%-3.8%), 7.8% (95% CI, 5.8%-13.0%), and 12.2% (95% CI, 8.5%-18.4%) of persons whose diastolic function normalized or remained normal, remained or progressed to mild dysfunction, or remained or progressed to moderate or severe dysfunction, respectively (P < .001). Diastolic dysfunction was associated with incident heart failure after adjustment for age, hypertension, diabetes, and coronary artery disease (hazard ratio, 1.81 [95% CI, 1.01-3.48]). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based cohort undergoing 4 years of follow-up, prevalence of diastolic dysfunction increased. Diastolic dysfunction was associated with development of heart failure during 6 years of subsequent follow-up.

Progression of Preclinical Heart Failure: A Description of Stage A and B Heart Failure in a Community Population.

BACKGROUND: The aims of this study are to evaluate the rate of progression of preclinical (Stage A and B) heart failure, identify associated characteristics, and evaluate long-term outcomes. METHODS: Retrospective review of the Olmsted County Heart Function Study. Individuals categorized as Stage A or B heart failure at initial visit that returned for a second visit 4 years later were included. Logistic regression analyses evaluated group differences with adjustment for age and sex. RESULTS: At visit 1, 413 (32%) individuals were classified as Stage A and 413 (32%) as Stage B. By visit 2, 146 (35%) individuals from Stage A progressed with the vast majority (n=142) progressing to Stage B. In comparison, a total of 23 (6%) individuals progressed from Stage B. A greater rate of progression was seen for Stage A compared with Stage B (8.7 per 100 person-years [95% CI, 7.4-10.2] versus 1.4 per 100 person-years [95% CI, 0.9-2.1]; P<0.001). NT-proBNP correlated with progression for Stage B (P=0.01), but not for Stage A (P=0.39). A multivariate model found female sex (odds ratio, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.05-2.58]; P=0.03), increased E/e' (odds ratio, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.02-1.26], P=0.02), and beta blocker use (odds ratio, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.25-3.82], P=0.006) were associated with progression for Stage A. There was a signal that cardiovascular mortality was higher in individuals who progressed, although not statistically significant (P=0.06 for Stage A and P=0.05 for Stage B). CONCLUSIONS: There is significant progression of preclinical heart failure in a community population, with progression rates higher for Stage A. NT-proBNP correlated with progression for Stage B, but not for Stage A. No statistically significant differences in long-term outcomes were seen. Study results have clinical implications important to help guide future heart failure screening and prevention strategies.

Artificial Intelligence-Augmented Electrocardiogram Detection of Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction in the General Population.

OBJECTIVE: To validate an artificial intelligence-augmented electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm for the detection of preclinical left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) in a large community-based cohort. METHODS: We identified a randomly selected community-based cohort of 2041 subjects age 45 years or older in Olmsted County, Minnesota. All participants underwent a study echocardiogram and ECG. We first assessed the performance of the AI-ECG to identify LVSD (ejection fraction ≤40%). After excluding participants with clinical heart failure, we further assessed the AI-ECG to detect preclinical LVSD among all patients (n=1996) and in a high-risk subgroup (n=1348). Next we modelled an imputed screening program for preclinical LVSD detection where a positive AI-ECG triggered an echocardiogram. Finally, we assessed the ability of the AI-ECG to predict future LVSD. Participants were enrolled between January 1, 1997, and September 30, 2000; and LVSD surveillance was performed for 10 years after enrollment. RESULTS: For detection of LVSD in the total population (prevalence, 2.0%), the area under the receiver operating curve for AI-ECG was 0.97 (sensitivity, 90%; specificity, 92%); in the high-risk subgroup (prevalence 2.7%), the area under the curve was 0.97 (sensitivity, 92%; specificity, 93%). In an imputed screening program, identification of one preclinical LSVD case would require 88.3 AI-ECGs and 8.7 echocardiograms in the total population and 65.7 AI-ECGs and 5.5 echocardiograms in the high-risk subgroup. The unadjusted hazard ratio for a positive AI-ECG for incident LVSD over 10 years was 2.31 (95% CI, 1.32 to 4.05; P=.004). CONCLUSION: Artificial intelligence-augmented ECG can identify preclinical LVSD in the community and warrants further study as a screening tool for preclinical LVSD.

Heart-After-Liver Transplantation Attenuates Rejection of Cardiac Allografts in Sensitized Patients.

BACKGROUND: In patients undergoing heart transplantation, significant allosensitization limits access to organs, resulting in longer wait times and high waitlist mortality. Current desensitization strategies are limited in enabling successful transplantation. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to describe the cumulative experience of combined heart-liver transplantation using a novel heart-after-liver transplant (HALT) protocol resulting in profound immunologic protection. METHODS: Reported are the results of a clinical protocol that was instituted to transplant highly sensitized patients requiring combined heart and liver transplantation at a single institution. Patients were dual-organ listed with perceived elevated risk of rejection or markedly prolonged waitlist time due to high levels of allo-antibodies. Detailed immunological data and long-term patient and graft outcomes were obtained. RESULTS: A total of 7 patients (age 43 ± 7 years, 86% women) with high allosensitization (median calculated panel reactive antibody = 77%) underwent HALT. All had significant, unacceptable donor specific antibodies (DSA) (>4,000 mean fluorescence antibody). Prospective pre-operative flow cytometric T-cell crossmatch was positive in all, and B-cell crossmatch was positive in 5 of 7. After HALT, retrospective crossmatch (B- and T-cell) became negative in all. DSA fell dramatically; at last follow-up, all pre-formed or de novo DSA levels were insignificant at <2,000 mean fluorescence antibody. No patients experienced >1R rejection over a median follow-up of 48 months (interquartile range: 25 to 68 months). There was 1 death due to metastatic cancer and no significant graft dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: A heart-after-liver transplantation protocol enables successful transplantation via near-elimination of DSA and is effective in preventing adverse immunological outcomes in highly sensitized patients listed for combined heart-liver transplantation.

Age-associated increases in pulmonary artery systolic pressure in the general population.

BACKGROUND: In contrast to the wealth of data on isolated systolic hypertension involving the systemic circulation in the elderly, much less is known about age-related change in pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and its prognostic impact in the general population. We sought to define the relationship between PASP and age, to evaluate which factors influence PASP, and to determine whether PASP is independently predictive of mortality in the community. METHODS AND RESULTS: A random sample of the Olmsted County, Minn, general population (n=2042) underwent echocardiography and spirometry and was followed up for a median of 9 years. PASP was measured from the tricuspid regurgitation velocity. Left ventricular diastolic pressure was estimated with Doppler echocardiography (E/e' ratio), and arterial stiffening was assessed from the brachial artery pulse pressure. Among 1413 subjects (69%) with measurable PASP (age, 63+/-11 years; 43% male), median PASP was 26 mm Hg (25th to 75th percentile, 24 to 30 mm Hg) and increased with age (r=0.31, P<0.001). Independent predictors of PASP were age, pulse pressure, and mitral E/e' (all P< or =0.003). Increasing PASP was associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio, 2.73 per 10 mm Hg; P<0.001). In subjects without cardiopulmonary disease (any heart failure, coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, or chronic obstructive lung disease), the age-adjusted hazard ratio was 2.74 per 10 mm Hg (P=0.016). CONCLUSIONS: We provide the first population-based evidence of age-related increase in pulmonary artery pressure, its association with increasing left heart diastolic pressures and systemic vascular stiffening, and its negative impact on survival. Pulmonary artery pressure may serve as a novel cardiovascular risk factor and potential therapeutic target.