Cost-effectiveness of Telemedicine-directed Specialized vs Standard Care for Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Diseases in a Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Telemedicine can be used to monitor determinants and outcomes of patients with chronic diseases, possibly increasing the quality and value of care. Telemedicine was found to reduce outpatient visits and hospital admissions for patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD). We performed a full economic evaluation of telemedicine interventions in patients with IBD, comparing the cost-utility of telemedicine vs standard care. METHODS: We performed a randomized trial of 909 patients with IBD at 2 academic and 2 non-academic hospitals in The Netherlands. Patients were randomly assigned to groups that received telemedicine (myIBDcoach; n = 465) or standard outpatient care (n = 444) and followed for 12 months. Costs were measured from a societal perspective. Direct healthcare costs were based on actual resource use. Indirect costs comprised self-reported hours sick leave from work, intervention costs (annual license fee of €40 per patient [$45]), and utility costs (assessed using EQ5D). Cost-utility and uncertainty were estimated using the non-parametric bootstrapping method. RESULTS: Telemedicine resulted in lower mean annual costs of €547/patient [$612] (95% CI, €1029-2143 [$1150-2393]; mean costs of €9481 [$10,587] for standard care and €8924 [$9965] for telemedicine) without changing quality adjusted life years. At the Dutch threshold of €80,000 [$89,335] per quality adjusted life year, the intervention had increased incremental cost-effectiveness over standard care in 83% of replications and an incremental net monetary benefit of €707/patient [$790] (95% CI, €1241-2544 [$1386-2841]). CONCLUSIONS: Telemedicine with myIBDcoach is cost saving and has a high probability of being cost effective for patients with IBD. This self-management tool enables continuous registration of quality indicators and (patient-reported) outcomes and might help reorganize IBD care toward value-based healthcare. ClinicalTrials.gov no: NCT02173002.

Telemedicine for management of inflammatory bowel disease (myIBDcoach): a pragmatic, multicentre, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Tight and personalised control of inflammatory bowel disease in a traditional setting is challenging because of the disease complexity, high pressure on outpatient clinics, and rising incidence. We compared the effects of self-management with a telemedicine system, which was developed for all subtypes of inflammatory bowel disease, on health-care utilisation and patient-reported quality of care versus standard care. METHODS: We did this pragmatic, randomised trial in two academic and two non-academic hospitals in the Netherlands. Outpatients aged 18-75 years with inflammatory bowel disease and without an ileoanal or ileorectal pouch anastomosis, who had internet access and Dutch proficiency, were randomly assigned (1:1) to care via a telemedicine system (myIBDcoach) that monitors and registers disease activity or standard care and followed up for 12 months. Randomisation was done with a computer-generated sequence and used the minimisation method. Participants, health-care providers, and staff who assessed outcome measures were not masked to treatment allocation. Primary outcomes were the number of outpatient visits and patient-reported quality of care (assessed by visual analogue scale score 0-10). Safety endpoints were the numbers of flares, corticosteroid courses, hospital admissions, emergency visits, and surgeries. Analyses were by intention to treat. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02173002. FINDINGS: Between Sept 9, 2014, and May 18, 2015, 909 patients were randomly assigned to telemedicine (n=465) or standard care (n=444). At 12 months, the mean number of outpatient visits to the gastroenterologist or nurse was significantly lower in the telemedicine group (1·55 [SD 1·50]) than in the standard care group (2·34 [1·64]; difference -0·79 [95% CI -0·98 to -0·59]; p<0·0001), as was the mean number of hospital admissions (0·05 [0·28] vs 0·10 [0·43]; difference -0·05 [-0·10 to 0·00]; p=0·046). At 12 months, both groups reported high mean patient-reported quality of care scores (8·16 [1·37] in the telemedicine group vs 8·27 [1·28] in the standard care group; difference 0·10 [-0·13 to 0·32]; p=0·411). The mean numbers of flares, corticosteroid courses, emergency visits, and surgeries did not differ between groups. INTERPRETATION: Telemedicine was safe and reduced outpatient visits and hospital admissions compared with standard care. This self-management tool might be useful for reorganising care of inflammatory bowel disease towards personalised and value-based health care. FUNDING: Maastricht University Medical Centre and Ferring.

Corticosteroid Sparing in Inflammatory Bowel Disease is More Often Achieved in the Immunomodulator and Biological Era-Results from the Dutch Population-Based IBDSL Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Corticosteroid-free remission is an emerging treatment goal in the management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In the population-based Inflammatory Bowel Disease South Limburg cohort, we studied temporal changes in corticosteroid use and assessed the corticosteroid-sparing effects of immunomodulators and biologicals in real life. METHODS: In total, 2,823 newly diagnosed patients with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) were included. Corticosteroid exposure and cumulative days of use were compared between patients diagnosed in 1991-1998 (CD: n=316, UC: n=539), 1999-2005 (CD: n=387, UC: n=527), and 2006-2011 (CD: n=459, UC: n=595). Second, the corticosteroid-sparing effects of immunomodulators and biologicals were assessed. RESULTS: Over time, the corticosteroid exposure rate was stable (54.0% in CD and 31.4% in UC), even as the cumulative corticosteroid use in the first disease year (CD: 83 days (interquartile range (IQR) 35-189), UC: 62 days (IQR 0-137)). On the long-term, a gradual decrease in cumulative corticosteroid use was seen in CD (era '91-'98: 366 days (IQR 107-841), era '06-'11: 120 days (IQR 72-211), P<0.01), whereas in UC an initial decrease was observed (era '91-'98: 184 days (IQR 86-443), era '99-'05: 166 days (IQR 74-281), P=0.03), and stabilization thereafter. Immunomodulator and biological users had a lower risk of requiring corticosteroids than matched controls in CD only (33.6% vs. 49.9%, P<0.01, and 25.7% vs. 38.2%, P=0.04, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world setting, more recently diagnosed IBD patients used lower amounts of corticosteroids as of the second year of disease. For CD, a significant association was found with the use of immunomodulators and biologicals. These conclusions support the increasing use of these treatment modalities.

Improvements in the Long-Term Outcome of Crohn's Disease Over the Past Two Decades and the Relation to Changes in Medical Management: Results from the Population-Based IBDSL Cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Medical treatment options and strategies for Crohn's disease (CD) have changed over the past decades. To assess its impact, we studied the evolution of the long-term disease outcome in the Dutch Inflammatory Bowel Disease South Limburg (IBDSL) cohort. METHODS: In total, 1,162 CD patients were included. Three eras were distinguished: 1991-1998 (n=316), 1999-2005 (n=387), and 2006-2011 (n=459), and patients were followed until 2014. Medication exposure and the rates of hospitalization, surgery, and phenotype progression were estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and compared between eras by multivariable Cox regression models. Second, propensity score matching was used to assess the relation between medication use and the long-term outcome. RESULTS: Over time, the immunomodulator exposure rate increased from 30.6% in the era 1991-1998 to 70.8% in the era 2006-2011 at 5 years. Similar, biological exposure increased from 3.1% (era 1991-1998) to 41.2% (era 2006-2011). In parallel, the hospitalization rate attenuated from 65.9% to 44.2% and the surgery rate from 42.9% to 17.4% at 5 years, respectively (both P<0.01). Progression to a complicated phenotype has not changed over time (21.2% in the era 1991-1998 vs. 21.3% in the era 2006-2011, P=0.93). Immunomodulator users had a similar risk of hospitalization, surgery, or phenotype progression as propensity score-matched nonusers (P>0.05 for all analyses). Similar results were found for biological users (P>0.05 for all analyses). CONCLUSIONS: Between 1991 and 2014, the hospitalization and surgery rates decreased, whereas progression to complicated disease is still common in CD. These improvements were not significantly related to the use of immunomodulators and biologicals.

Inflammatory bowel disease, cancer and medication: Cancer risk in the Dutch population-based IBDSL cohort.

The management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has changed since the mid-1990s (e.g., use of thiopurines/anti-TNFα agents, improved surveillance programs), possibly affecting cancer risk. To establish current cancer risk in IBD, updates are warranted from cohorts covering this time span, and detailed enough to study associations with phenotype and medication. We studied intestinal-, extra-intestinal- and overall cancer risk in the Dutch population-based IBDSL cohort. In total, 1,157 Crohn's disease (CD) and 1,644 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients were diagnosed between 1991 and 2011, and followed until 2013. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated for CD and UC separately, as well as for gender-, phenotype-, disease duration-, diagnosis era- and medication groups. We found an increased risk for colorectal cancer in CD patients with colon involvement (SIR 2.97; 95% CI 1.08-6.46), but not in the total CD or UC population. In addition, CD patients were at increased risk for hematologic- (2.41; 1.04-4.76), overall skin- (1.55; 1.06-2.19), skin squamous cell- (SCC; 3.83; 1.83-7.04) and overall cancer (1.28; 1.01-1.60), whereas UC patients had no increased risk for extra-intestinal- and overall cancer. Finally, in a medication analysis on CD and UC together, long-term immunosuppression exposure (>12 months) was associated with an increased risk for hematologic cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, SCC and overall cancer, and this increase was mainly attributed to thiopurines. IBD patients with long-term immunosuppression exposure can be considered as having a higher cancer risk, and our data support the advice in recent IBD guidelines to consider skin cancer screening in these patients.

Is there an added value of faecal calprotectin and haemoglobin in the diagnostic work-up for primary care patients suspected of significant colorectal disease? A cross-sectional diagnostic study.

BACKGROUND: The majority of primary care patients referred for bowel endoscopy do not have significant colorectal disease (SCD), and are - in hindsight - unnecessarily exposed to a small but realistic risk of severe endoscopy-associated complications. We developed a diagnostic strategy to better exclude SCD in these patients and evaluated the value of adding a faecal calprotectin point-of-care (POC) and/or a POC faecal immunochemical test for haemoglobin (FIT) to routine clinical information. METHODS: We used data from a prospective diagnostic study in SCD-suspected patients from 266 Dutch primary care practices referred for endoscopy to develop a diagnostic model for SCD with routine clinical information, which we extended with faecal calprotectin POC (quantitatively in µg/g faeces) and/or POC FIT results (qualitatively with a 6 µg/g faeces detection limit). We defined SCD as colorectal cancer (CRC), inflammatory bowel disease, diverticulitis, or advanced adenoma (>1 cm). RESULTS: Of 810 patients, 141 (17.4 %) had SCD. A diagnostic model with routine clinical data discriminated between patients with and without SCD with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.741 (95 % CI, 0.694-0.789). This AUC increased to 0.763 (95 % CI, 0.718-0.809; P = 0.078) when adding the calprotectin POC test, to 0.831 (95 % CI, 0.791-0.872; P < 0.001) when adding the POC FIT, and to 0.837 (95 % CI, 0.798-0.876; P < 0.001) upon combined extension. At a ≥ 5.0 % SCD probability threshold for endoscopy referral, 30.4 % of the patients tested negative based on this combined POC-tests extended model (95 % CI, 25.7-35.3 %), with 96.4 % negative predictive value (95 % CI, 93.1-98.2 %) and 93.7 % sensitivity (95 % CI, 88.2-96.8 %). Excluding the calprotectin POC test from this model still yielded 30.1 % test negatives (95 % CI, 24.7-35.6 %) and 96.0 % negative predictive value (95 % CI, 92.6-97.9 %), with 93.0 % sensitivity (95 % CI, 87.4-96.4 %). CONCLUSIONS: FIT - and to a much lesser extent calprotectin - POC testing showed incremental value for SCD diagnosis beyond standard clinical information. A diagnostic strategy with routine clinical data and a POC FIT test may safely rule out SCD and prevent unnecessary endoscopy referral in approximately one third of SCD-suspected primary care patients. Please see related article: http://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-016-0694-3 .

Healthcare costs of inflammatory bowel disease have shifted from hospitalisation and surgery towards anti-TNFα therapy: results from the COIN study.

OBJECTIVE: The introduction of anti tumour necrosis factor-α (anti-TNFα) therapy might impact healthcare expenditures, but there are limited data regarding the costs of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) following the introduction of these drugs. We aimed to assess the healthcare costs and productivity losses in a large cohort of IBD patients. DESIGN: Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) patients from seven university hospitals and seven general hospitals were invited to fill-out a web-based questionnaire. Cost items were derived from a 3 month follow-up questionnaire and categorised in outpatient clinic, diagnostics, medication, surgery and hospitalisation. Productivity losses included sick leave of paid and unpaid work. Costs were expressed as mean 3-month costs per patients with a 95% CI obtained using non-parametric bootstrapping. RESULTS: A total of 1315 CD patients and 937 UC patients were included. Healthcare costs were almost three times higher in CD as compared with UC, €1625 (95% CI €1476 to €1775) versus €595 (95% CI €505 to €685), respectively (p<0.01). Anti-TNFα use was the main costs driver, accounting for 64% and 31% of the total cost in CD and UC. Hospitalisation and surgery together accounted for 19% and <1% of the healthcare costs in CD and 23% and 1% in UC, respectively. Productivity losses accounted for 16% and 39% of the total costs in CD and UC. CONCLUSIONS: We showed that healthcare costs are mainly driven by medication costs, most importantly by anti-TNFα therapy. Hospitalisation and surgery accounted only for a minor part of the healthcare costs.

Sex Differences in Neoplastic Progression in Barrett's Esophagus: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

Recommendations in Barrett's esophagus (BE) guidelines are mainly based on male patients. We aimed to evaluate sex differences in BE patients in (1) probability of and (2) time to neoplastic progression, and (3) differences in the stage distribution of neoplasia. We conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study including 868 BE patients. Cox regression modeling and accelerated failure time modeling were used to estimate the sex differences. Neoplastic progression was defined as high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and/or esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Among the 639 (74%) males and 229 females that were included (median follow-up 7.1 years), 61 (7.0%) developed HGD/EAC. Neoplastic progression risk was estimated to be twice as high among males (HR 2.26, 95% CI 1.11-4.62) than females. The risk of HGD was found to be higher in males (HR 3.76, 95% CI 1.33-10.6). Time to HGD/EAC (AR 0.52, 95% CI 0.29-0.95) and HGD (AR 0.40, 95% CI 0.19-0.86) was shorter in males. Females had proportionally more EAC than HGD and tended to have higher stages of neoplasia at diagnosis. In conclusion, both the risk of and time to neoplastic progression were higher in males. However, females were proportionally more often diagnosed with (advanced) EAC. We should strive for improved neoplastic risk stratification per individual BE patient, incorporating sex disparities into new prediction models.

Severe COVID-19 in inflammatory bowel disease patients in a population-based setting.

OBJECTIVE: Data on the course of severe COVID-19 in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients remains limited. We aimed to determine the incidence rate and clinical course of severe COVID-19 in the heavily affected South-Limburg region in the Netherlands. METHODS: All COVID-19 patients admitted to the only two hospitals covering the whole South-Limburg region between February 27, 2020 and January 4, 2021 were included. Incidence rates for hospitalization due to COVID-19 were determined for the IBD (n = 4980) and general population (n = 597,184) in South-Limburg. RESULTS: During a follow-up of 4254 and 510,120 person-years, 20 IBD patients (0.40%; 11 ulcerative colitis (UC), 9 Crohn's disease (CD)) and 1425 (0.24%) patients from the general population were hospitalized due to proven COVID-19 corresponding to an incidence rate of 4.7 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 3.0-7.1) and 2.8 (95% CI 2.6-2.9) per 1000 patient years, respectively (Incidence rate ratio: 1.68, 95% CI 1.08-2.62, p = 0.019). Median age (IBD: 63.0 (IQR 58.0-75.8) years vs. general population: 72.0 (IQR 62.0-80.0) years, p = 0.10) and mean BMI (IBD: 24.4 (SD 3.3) kg/m2 vs. general population 24.1 (SD 4.9) kg/m2, p = 0.79) at admission were comparable in both populations. As for course of severe COVID-19, similar rates of ICU admission (IBD: 12.5% vs. general population: 15.7%, p = 1.00), mechanical ventilation (6.3% vs. 11.2%, p = 1.00) and death were observed (6.3% vs. 21.8%, p = 0.22). CONCLUSION: We found a statistically significant higher rate of hospitalization due to COVID-19 in IBD patients in a population-based setting in a heavily impacted Dutch region. This finding reflects previous research that showed IBD patients using systemic medication were at an increased risk of serious infection. However, although at an increased risk of hospitalization, clinical course of severe COVID-19 was comparable to hospitalized patients without IBD.

Novel Perceived Stress and Life Events Precede Flares of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Prospective 12-Month Follow-Up Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] is characterized by recurrent disease flares. The impact of psychosocial wellbeing on the occurrence of flares is unclear. In this prospective study, we aimed to evaluate the association between patient-reported psychosocial wellbeing and disease flares using continuous monitoring. METHODS: Consecutive IBD patients were recruited from the myIBDcoach telemedicine study cohort. Over 12 months, participants reported on disease activity together with anxiety, depression, fatigue, perceived stress and life events every 1-3 months. Flares were defined using a combination of clinical disease activity and additional measurements. Generalized estimating equation models were used to assess associations between psychosocial wellbeing and flares over time. The influences of both the presence of psychosocial symptoms in general as well as novel psychosocial symptoms were analysed. RESULTS: In total, 417 patients were included. Forty-nine patients [11.8%] experienced a flare during the study period. The occurrence of life events in the preceding 3 months was positively associated with flares (odds ratio [OR] = 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04-3.17), while the presence of anxiety, depression, fatigue and perceived stress in general was not. However, novel perceived stress [OR = 2.92; 95% CI = 1.44-5.90] was associated with flares. CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of life events and novel perceived stress are associated with disease flares in the next 3 months, while the presence of perceived stress in general is not. These findings underline the importance of continuous personalized monitoring of IBD patients and may contribute to the prevention of disease flares.

Risk of impaired nutritional status and flare occurrence in IBD outpatients.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients are at risk of an impaired nutritional status. The impact thereof on the IBD relapse risk is clinically relevant, though sparsely investigated. AIM: The aim was to explore the association between an impaired nutritional status risk and the occurrence of disease flares in IBD outpatients participating in a longitudinal telemedicine study. METHODS: IBD outpatients were recruited from the myIBDcoach study cohort, with one year clinical follow-up. Through myIBDcoach, a telemedicine tool, patients reported on disease activity and risk of impaired nutritional status (i.e. Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire >1 and/or BMI < 18.5 kg/m2) every one to three months. Data was analysed by generalized estimating equation modelling. RESULTS: In total, 417 patients were included. During follow-up, 49 patients (11.8%) flared after initial clinical remission and 53 patients (12.7%) showed an increased risk of impaired nutritional status. The risk of impaired nutritional status was associated with flare occurrence (OR 2.61 (95% CI 1.02-6.69)). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of an impaired nutritional status was associated with subsequent flares in IBD outpatients. This emphasizes the importance of monitoring disease activity in IBD patients at risk of impaired nutritional status.

Incidence and Classification of Postcolonoscopy Colorectal Cancers in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Dutch Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] colitis are at increased risk for colorectal cancer [CRC]. We examined the proportion and most likely aetiology of potentially preventable postcolonoscopy CRCs [PCCRCs] in a population-based cohort. Furthermore, adherence to IBD surveillance guidelines was evaluated in both PCCRCs and the remainder of prevalent CRCs. METHODS: All IBD patients diagnosed from 1991 to 2011 in the South Limburg region of The Netherlands [i.e. IBDSL cohort] were included. CRC cases were cross-checked with the Dutch pathology database and cancer registry. PCCRCs were defined as cancers diagnosed within 6-60 months after a colonoscopy and were classified as attributable to 'inappropriate surveillance interval', 'inadequate bowel examination', 'incomplete resection', 'missed lesion' or 'newly developed cancer'. RESULTS: Twenty CRC cases were identified during 25,931 patient years of follow-up in 2,801 patients. The proportion of PCCRCs was 45.0%. Of these, 55.6% could be considered a 'missed lesion', while other possible aetiologies occurred only once. Considering both PCCRCs [n=9] and prevalent CRCs [n=11], ten were detected after publication of the surveillance guideline, but only three patients were enrolled. Moreover, 6 CRCs [30.0%] were detected before the recommended start of surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: In the IBDSL cohort, 45.0% of all CRCs were considered to be PCCRCs, mainly classified as missed lesions. Additionally, a large proportion of CRCs in our cohort were observed before a surveillance endoscopy was performed. Therefore, stringent adherence to IBD surveillance guidelines, improving endoscopy techniques and adjusting the surveillance program may lead to a decrease in CRC incidence.

Sex-Related Differences in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Results of 2 Prospective Cohort Studies.

Background: The understanding of gender differences in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients is an important step towards tailored treatment for the individual patient. The aim of this study was to compare disease phenotype, clinical manifestations, disease activity, and healthcare utilization between men and women with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Methods: Two multicenter observational cohort studies with a prospective design were used to explore the differences between men and women regarding demographic and phenotypic characteristics and healthcare utilization. Detailed data on IBD-phenotype was mainly available from the Dutch IBD Biobank, while the COIN cohort provided healthcare utilization data. Results: In the Dutch IBD Biobank study, 2118 CD patients and 1269 UC patients were analyzed. Female CD patients were more often current smokers, and male UC patients were more often previous smokers. Early onset CD (<16 years) was more frequently encountered in males than in females (20% versus 12%, P < 0.01). Male CD patients were more often diagnosed with ileal disease (28% versus 20%, P < 0.01) and underwent more often small bowel and ileocecal resection. Extraintestinal manifestations (EIMs) were more often encountered in female IBD patients. In the COIN study, 1139 CD patients and 1213 UC patients were analyzed. Male CD patients used prednisone more often and suffered more often from osteopenia. IBD-specific healthcare costs did not differ between male and female IBD patients. Conclusions: Sex differences in patients with IBD include age of onset, disease location, and EIM prevalence. No large differences in therapeutic management of IBD were observed between men and women with IBD. 10.1093/ibd/izy004_video1izy004_Video_15786481854001.

Published diagnostic models safely excluded colorectal cancer in an independent primary care validation study.

OBJECTIVE: To validate published diagnostic models for their ability to safely reduce unnecessary endoscopy referrals in primary care patients suspected of significant colorectal disease. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Following a systematic literature search, we independently validated the identified diagnostic models in a cross-sectional study of 810 Dutch primary care patients with persistent lower abdominal complaints referred for endoscopy. We estimated diagnostic accuracy measures for colorectal cancer (N = 37) and significant colorectal disease (N = 141; including colorectal cancer, inflammatory bowel disease, diverticulitis, or >1-cm adenomas). RESULTS: We evaluated 18 models-12 specific for colorectal cancer-, of which most were able to safely rule out colorectal cancer: the best model (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence-1) prevented 59% of referrals (95% confidence interval [CI]: 56-63%), with 96% sensitivity (95% CI: 83-100%), 100% negative predictive value (NPV; 95% CI: 99-100%), and an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.80-0.92). The models performed less for significant colorectal disease: the best model (Brazer) prevented 23% of referrals (95% CI: 20-26%), with 95% sensitivity (95% CI: 90-98%), 96% NPV (95% CI: 92-98%), and an AUC of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.69-0.78). CONCLUSION: Most models safely excluded colorectal cancer in many primary care patients with lower gastrointestinal complaints referred for endoscopy. Models performed less well for significant colorectal disease.

Time trends in the epidemiology and outcome of perianal fistulizing Crohn's disease in a population-based cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Perianal disease is a debilitating condition that frequently occurs in Crohn's disease (CD) patients. It is currently unknown whether its incidence has changed in the era of frequent immunomodulator use and biological availability. We studied the incidence and outcome of perianal and rectovaginal fistulas over the past two decades in our population-based Inflammatory Bowel Disease South-Limburg cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All 1162 CD patients registered in the Inflammatory Bowel Disease South-Limburg registry were included. The cumulative probabilities of developing a perianal and rectovaginal fistula were compared between three eras distinguished by the year of CD diagnosis: 1991-1998, 1999-2005 and 2006-2011. Second, clinical risk factors and the risk of fistula recurrence were determined. RESULTS: The cumulative 5-year perianal fistula rate was 14.1% in the 1991-1998 era, 10.4% in the 1999-2005 era and 10.3% in the 2006-2011 era, P=0.70. Colonic disease was associated with an increased risk of developing perianal disease, whereas older age was associated with a decreased risk (both P<0.01). Over time, more patients were exposed to immunomodulators or biologicals before fistula diagnosis (18.5 vs. 32.1 vs. 52.1%, respectively, P=0.02) and started biological therapy thereafter (18.6 vs. 34.1 vs. 54.0%, respectively, P<0.01). The cumulative 5-year perianal fistula recurrence rate was not significantly different between eras (19.5 vs. 25.5 vs. 33.1%, P=0.28). In contrast, the cumulative 5-year rectovaginal rate attenuated from 5.7% (the 1991-2005 era) to 1.7% (the 2006-2011 era), P=0.01. CONCLUSION: Over the past two decades, the risk of developing a perianal fistula was stable, as well as its recurrence rate, underlining the lasting need for improving treatment strategies for this invalidating condition.

A 20-Year Temporal Change Analysis in Incidence, Presenting Phenotype and Mortality, in the Dutch IBDSL Cohort-Can Diagnostic Factors Explain the Increase in IBD Incidence?

BACKGROUND: The aim was to study temporal changes in incidence, disease phenotype at diagnosis, and mortality of adult inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] patients in South Limburg, The Netherlands, diagnosed between 1991 and 2010. In addition, the 2010 IBD prevalence was estimated. METHODS: A multi-faceted approach including hospital administrations, the national pathology registry [PALGA], and general practitioners led to the identification of 1162 patients with Crohn's disease [CD], 1663 with ulcerative colitis [UC], and 84 with unclassified IBD [IBD-U]. Temporal changes in incidence, disease phenotype, and mortality were studied using linear, multinomial regression analyses, and standardised mortality rates [SMR], respectively. RESULTS: The annual incidences increased from 17.90/100000 in 1991 to 40.36/100000 in 2010 for IBD, from 5.84/100000 to 17.49/100000 for CD, and from 11.67/100000 to 21.47/100000 for UC [p < 0.01 for all]. A shift towards milder disease at diagnosis was observed over time [eg decrease of complicated disease in CD, increase of proctitis in UC]. IBD mortality was similar to that in the general population (SMR 0.92; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.81-1.05), and did not change over time. The estimated IBD prevalence was 830/100000. CONCLUSIONS: The IBD incidence in South Limburg increased significantly between 1991 and 2010. The shift towards milder disease at diagnosis in parallel with the improved diagnostics and ability to detect low-grade inflammation was suggestive of an important role of diagnostic factors in this increase. Environmental factors probably played a role as well. The mortality was low and, together with the increasing incidence, led to the high prevalence of IBD in South Limburg.

Clinical Predictors of Future Nonadherence in Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

BACKGROUND: Nonadherence to medical therapy is frequently encountered in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We aimed to identify predictors for future (non)adherence in IBD. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study with adult patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Data were collected by means of 3-monthly questionnaires on the course of disease and healthcare utilization. Medication adherence was assessed using a visual analogue scale, ranging from 0% to 100%. Levels <80% were considered to indicate nonadherence. The Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire was used to identify illness perceptions. We used a logistic regression analysis to identify patient- and disease-related factors predictive of nonadherence 3 months after the assessment of predictors. RESULTS: In total, 1558 patients with CD and 1054 patients with UC were included and followed for 2.5 years. On average, 12.1% of patients with CD and 13.3% of patients with UC using IBD-specific medication were nonadherent. Nonadherence was most frequently observed in patients using mesalazine (CD), budesonide (UC) and rectally administrated therapy (both CD and UC). A higher perceived treatment control and understanding of the disease were associated with adherence to medical therapy. Independent predictors of future nonadherence were age at diagnosis (odds ratio [OR]: 0.99 per year), nonadherence (OR: 26.91), a current flare (OR: 1.30) and feelings of anxiety/depression (OR: 1.17), together with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve of 0.74. CONCLUSIONS: Lower age at diagnosis, flares, feelings of anxiety or depression, and nonadherence are associated with future nonadherence in patients with IBD. Altering illness perceptions could be an approach to improve adherence behavior.

Epidemiology and Long-term Outcome of Inflammatory Bowel Disease Diagnosed at Elderly Age-An Increasing Distinct Entity?

BACKGROUND: Elderly onset (EO) inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may become a more common entity as a result of population aging and the rising IBD incidence. Its management is challenging, because of multimorbidity, polypharmacy, and frailty. Insight into the long-term outcome is essential for optimal patient counseling and treatment. We studied the incidence and disease outcome of elderly-onset IBD in direct comparison to adult-onset (AO) IBD. METHODS: All 2823 cases with IBD from the Dutch population-based IBD South Limburg cohort, diagnosed between 1991 and 2011, were included. Long-term outcome (hospitalization, surgery, and disease phenotype) was compared between AO (<60 years at diagnosis) and EO (≥60 years at diagnosis) disease, for Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) separately. RESULTS: In total, 1162 patients with CD (136 EO/1026 AO) and 1661 patients with UC (373 EO/1288 AO) were included. The EO IBD incidence increased from 11.71 per 100,000 persons in 1991 to 23.66 per 100,000 persons in 2010, P < 0.01. Immunomodulators were less often used in EO CD (61.8% versus 77.1%, P = 0.03) and EO UC (22.8% versus 35.4%, P < 0.01), even as biologicals (25.1% versus 55.1%, P = 0.03 and 7.8% versus 18.0%, P < 0.01, respectively). No differences were observed in surgery risk (CD: hazard ratio [HR] 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-1.67 and UC: HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.53-1.46), or in CD phenotype progression (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.52-1.25), but more patients with EO UC required hospitalization (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.01-1.63). CONCLUSIONS: EO IBD is rising, warranting physicians' alertness for IBD in elderly patients. The long-term outcome was not different from AO disease, despite a less frequent use of immunomodulators and biologicals.

Evolution of Costs of Inflammatory Bowel Disease over Two Years of Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND: With the increasing use of anti-TNF therapy in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), a shift of costs has been observed with medication costs replacing hospitalization and surgery as major cost driver. We aimed to explore the evolution of IBD-related costs over two years of follow-up. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In total 1,307 Crohn's disease (CD) patients and 915 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients were prospectively followed for two years by three-monthly web-based questionnaires. Changes of healthcare costs, productivity costs and out-of-pocket costs over time were assessed using mixed model analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify costs drivers. In total 737 CD patients and 566 UC were included. Total costs were stable over two years of follow-up, with annual total costs of €7,835 in CD and €3,600 in UC. However, within healthcare costs, the proportion of anti-TNF therapy-related costs increased from 64% to 72% in CD (p<0.01) and from 31% to 39% in UC (p < 0.01). In contrast, the proportion of hospitalization costs decreased from 19% to 13% in CD (p<0.01), and 22% to 15% in UC (p < 0.01). Penetrating disease course predicted an increase of healthcare costs (adjusted odds ratio (adj. OR) 1.95 (95% CI 1.02-3.37) in CD and age <40 years in UC (adj. OR 4.72 (95% CI 1.61-13.86)). CONCLUSIONS: BD-related costs remained stable over two years. However, the proportion of anti-TNF-related healthcare costs increased, while hospitalization costs decreased. Factors associated with increased costs were penetrating disease course in CD and age <40 in UC.

Disease Outcome of Ulcerative Colitis in an Era of Changing Treatment Strategies: Results from the Dutch Population-Based IBDSL Cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In the past decades, treatment options and strategies for ulcerative colitis [UC] have radically changed. Whether these developments have altered the disease outcome at population level is yet unknown. Therefore, we evaluated the disease outcome of UC over the past two decades in the South-Limburg area of The Netherlands. METHODS: In the Dutch population-based IBDSL cohort, three time cohorts were defined: cohort 1991-1997 [cohort A], cohort 1998-2005 [cohort B], and cohort 2006-2010 [cohort C]. The colectomy and hospitalisation rates were compared between cohorts by Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. Hazard ratios [HR] for early colectomy [within 6 months after diagnosis], late colectomy [beyond 6 months after diagnosis], and hospitalisation were calculated using Cox regression models. RESULTS: In total, 476 UC patients were included in cohort A, 587 patients in cohort B, and 598 patients in cohort C. Over time, an increase in the use of immunomodulators [8.1%, 22.8% and 21.7%, respectively, p < 0.01] and biological agents [0%, 4.3% and 10.6%, respectively, p < 0.01] was observed. The early colectomy rate decreased from 1.5% in cohort A to 0.5% in cohort B [HR 0.14; 95% confidence interval 0.04-0.47], with no further decrease in cohort C [0.3%, HR 0.98; 95% confidence interval 0.20-4.85]. Late colectomy rate remained unchanged over time [4.0% vs 5.2% vs 3.6%, respectively, p = 0.54]. Hospitalisation rate was also similar among cohorts [22.3% vs 19.5% vs 18.3%, respectively, p = 0.10]. CONCLUSION: Over the past two decades, a reduction in early colectomy rate was observed, with no further reduction in the most recent era. Late colectomy rate and hospitalisation rate remained unchanged over time.