St Gallen 2019 guidelines understage the axilla in lobular breast cancer: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The St Gallen 2019 guidelines for primary therapy of early breast cancer recommend omission of completion axillary lymph node dissection (cALND), regardless of histological type, in patients with one or two sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastases. Concurrently, adjuvant chemotherapy is endorsed for luminal A-like disease with four or more axillary lymph node (ALN) metastases. The aim of this study was to estimate the proportion of patients with invasive lobular cancer (ILC) versus invasive ductal cancer of no special type (NST) with one or two SLN metastases for whom cALND would have led to a recommendation for adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with ILC and NST who had surgery between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the National Breast Cancer Register of Sweden. After exclusion of patients with incongruent or missing data, those who fulfilled the St Gallen 2019 criteria for cALND omission were included in the population-based study cohort. RESULTS: Some 1886 patients in total were included in the study, 329 with ILC and 1507 with NST. Patients with ILC had a higher metastatic nodal burden and were more likely to have a luminal A-like subtype than those with NST. The prevalence of at least four ALN metastases was higher in ILC (31.0 per cent) than NST (14.9 per cent), corresponding to an adjusted odds ratio of 2.26 (95 per cent c.i. 1.59 to 3.21). Luminal A-like breast cancers with four or more ALN metastases were over-represented in ILC compared with NST, 52 of 281 (18.5 per cent) versus 43 of 1299 (3.3 per cent) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with ILC more often have luminal A-like breast cancer with at least four nodal metastases. Omission of cALND in patients with luminal A-like invasive lobular cancer and one or two SLN metastases warrants future attention as there is a risk of nodal understaging and undertreatment in one-fifth of patients.

Nowadays patients who have breast cancer with one to two metastases in the first draining axillary lymph nodes are not recommended to undergo completion surgery of the axilla if they have breast-conserving surgery and will have adequate postoperative oncological treatment. Lobular breast cancer is the second most common type of breast cancer, and this study shows that patients with this type have an increased risk of having lymph node metastases remaining if completion surgery is omitted. The diagnosis of additional lymph node metastases is importance for guidance regarding adjuvant oncological therapy in lobular cancer with a hormonally sensitive low proliferative subtype.

Cosmetic Outcomes and Symmetry Comparison in Patients Undergoing Bilateral Therapeutic Mammoplasty for Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast-reduction techniques are increasingly used in oncoplastic breast surgery. Bilateral therapeutic mammoplasty has the benefit of decreasing breast volume, enabling resection of larger tumors, and the potential to assure good postoperative symmetry. The aims of this study were to objectively asses the cosmetic outcomes of therapeutic mammoplasty in patients with breast cancer, using the breast cancer conservative treatment cosmetic results (BCCT.core) software, to compare this score with the surgeon's score and the patient's assessment, and to evaluate if other defined parameters have an impact on cosmetic outcomes. The secondary aim was to compare breast symmetry pre- and postoperatively. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We enrolled 146 consecutive patients with primary breast cancer who underwent therapeutic mammoplasty between 2011 and 2018 in Kristianstad Central Hospital, Sweden. We retrospectively collected data from patients' records. We analyzed the BCCT.core score using postoperative photographs to objectively evaluate cosmetic outcomes on a four-grade scale and compared with preoperative photographs to evaluate symmetry. Cosmetic outcomes were also assessed subjectively by patients and surgeons, using a 10-point Likert scale. RESULTS: The majority of patients (89%) had good or excellent BCCT.core scores, which correlated with surgeons' scores, rs = - 0.22 (p < 0.001). Overall, patients were more satisfied with the cosmetic outcomes than the surgeons (p < 0.001). Evidence supporting an association between the defined clinicopathological variables, for example, tumor size, and cosmetic outcomes, was weak. CONCLUSION: Therapeutic mammoplasty yields a very good cosmetic outcome, evaluated both by subjective and objective measurements. Importantly, symmetry can be improved in patients with asymmetry.

Systematic screening as a tool for individualized rehabilitation following primary breast cancer treatment: study protocol for the ReScreen randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: It is well known that women suffer from negative consequences following breast cancer (BC) treatment and that their largely varying needs for rehabilitation are often unmet. Up to 43% of these women are at risk of developing chronic distress requiring complex interventions; however, how to early identify and meet these women's needs is unknown, leaving them with suboptimal chances of rehabilitation. The aim of the ReScreen study is to develop a model for and evaluate the effect of screening-based, individualized rehabilitation following primary BC treatment. METHODS: The ReScreen study is designed as a complex intervention. Women with newly diagnosed BC are consecutively included in a three-armed randomized controlled trial. At inclusion, patients score their distress level on the Distress Thermometer (scale of 0-10) aiming to identify patients with extended rehabilitation needs. Patients scoring ≥5 are randomized to the intervention or control group while patients scoring ≤4 are followed longitudinally as an observational group. Patients in the intervention group, in conjunction with a dedicated research nurse, create an individualized rehabilitation plan based on an evidence-based decision support tool that was developed to create a solid base for the intervention. The research nurse will act as a continuous health care contact and be responsible for proactively and systematically evaluating patients' needs to ensure that potential new problems or changed rehabilitation needs are identified throughout the 1-year follow-up period. The intervention will be evaluated through self-reported data focusing on physical and psychological outcomes as well as evaluation of satisfaction with care at baseline, 2 weeks and 3, 6, 9 and 12 months. Evaluation will also include health economic aspects based on register data and patients' and relatives' experiences of the rehabilitation process. In addition, optimal cut-off levels for distress as an indicator for extended rehabilitation needs will be investigated. DISCUSSION: This study will provide important knowledge related to effectiveness of screening-based identification of rehabilitation needs and standardized evidence-based, individualized rehabilitation after primary BC treatment. With a complex intervention design, this study has the potential to form a comprehensive knowledge base which includes tools and guidelines for implementation into clinical practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03434717. Registered February 15, 2018.

Atrial fibrillation increases the risk of dementia amongst older adults even in the absence of stroke.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation increases risk of stroke, and thus risk of cognitive impairment and dementia. Emerging evidence suggests an association also in the absence of stroke. We aimed to examine the association between atrial fibrillation and incident dementia, with and without exclusion of individuals with stroke, and if sex and genetic factors modify the possible association. METHODS: In 2000-2001, a population-based sample of 70-year-olds (N = 561) underwent comprehensive somatic and neuropsychiatric examinations, as part of the Gothenburg H70 Birth Cohort Studies. Participants were followed up at age 75 and 79. Atrial fibrillation at baseline was identified through ECG, proxy-reports and the National Patient Register (NPR). Stroke at baseline and follow-up was identified through self-reports, proxy-reports and the NPR. Dementia at baseline and follow-up was diagnosed according to the DSM-III-R criteria based on neuropsychiatric examinations, proxy-reports and the NPR. RESULTS: Individuals with atrial fibrillation had an almost threefold increased risk of dementia during 12-year follow-up (HR 2.8; 95% CI 1.3-5.7; P = 0.004), and this risk remained after excluding individuals with stroke at baseline and follow-up. After stratification for sex, the association was only found amongst men (HR 4.6; 95% CI 1.9-11.2; P < 0.001, interaction sex*atrial fibrillation; P = 0.047) and noncarriers of the APOE ε4 allele (HR 4.2; 95% CI 1.8-9.7; P < 0.001, interaction APOE*atrial fibrillation; P = 0.128). Population attributable risk for dementia resulting from atrial fibrillation was 13%. CONCLUSION: The relevance for atrial fibrillation as an indicator of subclinical brain vascular risk needs to be further explored. In addition, patients with atrial fibrillation should be screened for cognitive symptoms.

A comprehensive approach to rehabilitation interventions following breast cancer treatment - a systematic review of systematic reviews.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer (BC) is the most common type of cancer in women worldwide. Post-treatment, patients suffer from side effects and have various rehabilitation needs, which means that individualization is fundamental for optimal rehabilitation. This systematic review (SR) of SRs aims to evaluate the current evidence on rehabilitation interventions in female patients following BC treatment. METHODS: Full-text SRs published in English from 2009 were searched in Embase, PubMed, Cinahl Complete, PsycINFO, AMED, SCOPUS, and Cochrane Library. INCLUSION CRITERIA: SRs of randomized or non-randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of rehabilitation interventions in women following BC treatment. All outcomes were considered. Methodological quality was evaluated using the AMSTAR 2 tool and interrater agreement was evaluated. Out of 1269 citations retrieved, 37 SRs were included. RESULTS: Five rehabilitation areas were identified: exercise and physical activity (PA), complementary and alternative medicine (CAM), yoga, lymphoedema treatment, and psychosocial interventions. The most solid evidence was found in exercise/PA and yoga. Exercise interventions improved outcomes such as shoulder mobility, lymphoedema, pain, fatigue and quality of life (QoL). Effects of yoga were shown on QoL, anxiety, depression, sleep disturbance, fatigue and gastrointestinal symptoms. The effect of CAM was shown on nausea, pain, fatigue, anger and anxiety but these results need to be interpreted with caution because of low methodological quality in included studies in the SRs. Among the lymphoedema treatments, positive effects were seen for resistance training on volume reduction and muscle strength and psychosocial interventions such as cognitive behavioural therapy had positive effects on QoL, anxiety, depression and mood disturbance. CONCLUSIONS: This SR of SRs show solid positive effects of exercise/PA and yoga for women following BC treatment, and provides extended knowledge of the effects of CAM, yoga, lymphoedema treatment and psychosocial interventions. It is evident that more than one intervention could have positive effects on a specific symptom and that the effects depend not only on intervention type but also on how and when the intervention is provided. The results can be used as a foundation for individualized rehabilitation and aid health care professionals in meeting patients' individual needs and preferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ( CRD42017060912 ).

Clinical implications of cardiovascular outcome trials in type 2 diabetes.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main reason for premature death in patients with type 2 diabetes. Hyperglycemia, the hallmark of diabetes, has long been considered the link between diabetes and CVD, and many trials focused on preventing CVD manifestations by means of tight glucose control. However, diabetes is a multifactorial disease in which, e. g., insulin resistance, endothelial dysfunction, and factors such as hypertension and dyslipidemia contribute. Thus, treatment needs to be multifactorial and take cardiovascular aspects into account. Newer classes of drugs, originally launched for glucose lowering, among them dipeptidyl-peptidase (DPP)-4 inhibitors, sodium-glucose cotransporter (SGLT)-2 inhibitors, and glucagon-like peptide (GLP)-1 receptor agonists, have been studied in large cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOT). Several SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists are associated with a reduction of cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke). Although the mechanisms behind the effects are not fully understood, an important reason for the benefits of SGLT-2 inhibitors seems be a reduction in heart failure, while GLP-1 receptor agonists may retard the development of the atherosclerotic vascular disease or may be effective by stabilizing plaques. The outcomes of these studies have been taken into account in recently issued guidelines and an important task for diabetologists, cardiologists, and general practitioners is to incorporate the findings of these trials into clinical practice.

Minimizing inequality in access to precision medicine in breast cancer by real-time population-based molecular analysis in the SCAN-B initiative.

BACKGROUND: Selection of systemic therapy for primary breast cancer is currently based on clinical biomarkers along with stage. Novel genomic tests are continuously being introduced as more precise tools for guidance of therapy, although they are often developed for specific patient subgroups. The Sweden Cancerome Analysis Network - Breast (SCAN-B) initiative aims to include all patients with breast cancer for tumour genomic analysis, and to deliver molecular subtype and mutational data back to the treating physician. METHODS: An infrastructure for collection of blood and fresh tumour tissue from all patients newly diagnosed with breast cancer was set up in 2010, initially including seven hospitals within the southern Sweden regional catchment area, which has 1.8 million inhabitants. Inclusion of patients was implemented into routine clinical care, with collection of tumour tissue at local pathology departments for transport to the central laboratory, where routines for rapid sample processing, RNA sequencing and biomarker reporting were developed. RESULTS: More than 10 000 patients from nine hospitals have currently consented to inclusion in SCAN-B with high (90 per cent) inclusion rates from both university and secondary hospitals. Tumour samples and successful RNA sequencing are being obtained from more than 70 per cent of patients, showing excellent representation compared with the national quality registry as a truly population-based cohort. Molecular biomarker reports can be delivered to multidisciplinary conferences within 1 week. CONCLUSION: Population-based collection of fresh tumour tissue is feasible given a decisive joint effort between academia and collaborative healthcare groups, and with governmental support. An infrastructure for genomic analysis and prompt data output paves the way for novel systemic therapy for patients from all hospitals, irrespective of size and location.

Prognostic and predictive importance of the estrogen receptor coactivator AIB1 in a randomized trial comparing adjuvant letrozole and tamoxifen therapy in postmenopausal breast cancer: the Danish cohort of BIG 1-98.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the estrogen receptor coactivator amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) as a prognostic marker, as well as a predictive marker for response to adjuvant tamoxifen and/or aromatase inhibitors, in early estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. METHOD: AIB1 was analyzed with immunohistochemistry in tissue microarrays of the Danish subcohort (N = 1396) of the International Breast Cancer Study Group's trial BIG 1-98 (randomization between adjuvant tamoxifen versus letrozole versus the sequence of the two drugs). RESULTS: Forty-six percent of the tumors had a high AIB1 expression. In line with previous studies, AIB1 correlated to a more aggressive tumor-phenotype (HER2 amplification and a high malignancy grade). High AIB1 also correlated to higher estrogen receptor expression (80-100 vs. 1-79%), and ductal histological type. High AIB1 expression was associated with a poor disease-free survival (univariable: hazard ratio 1.35, 95% confidence interval 1.12-1.63. Multivariable: hazard ratio 1.29, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.58) and overall survival (univariable: hazard ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.07-1.68. Multivariable: hazard ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 0.99-1.60). HER2 did not seem to modify the prognostic effect of AIB1. No difference in treatment effect between tamoxifen and letrozole in relation to AIB1 was found. CONCLUSIONS: In a subset of the large international randomized trial BIG 1-98, we confirm AIB1 to be a strong prognostic factor in early breast cancer. Hence, although tumor AIB1 expression does not seem to be useful for the choice of tamoxifen versus an aromatase inhibitor in postmenopausal endocrine-responsive breast cancer, AIB1 is an interesting target for new anti-cancer therapies and further investigations of this biomarker is warranted.

Nomograms for preoperative prediction of axillary nodal status in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Axillary staging in patients with breast cancer and clinically node-negative disease is performed by sentinel node biopsy (SLNB). The aim of this study was to integrate feasible preoperative variables into nomograms to guide clinicians in stratifying treatment options into no axillary staging for patients with non-metastatic disease (N0), SLNB for those with one or two metastases, and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) for patients with three or more metastases. METHODS: Patients presenting to Skåne University Hospital, Lund, with breast cancer were included in a prospectively maintained registry between January 2009 and December 2012. Those with a preoperative diagnosis of nodal metastases were excluded. Patients with data on hormone receptor status, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 and Ki-67 expression were included to allow grouping into surrogate molecular subtypes. Based on logistic regression analyses, nomograms summarizing the strength of the associations between the predictors and each nodal status endpoint were developed. Predictive performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Bootstrap resampling was performed for internal validation. RESULTS: Of the 692 patients eligible for analysis, 248 were diagnosed with node-positive disease. Molecular subtype, age, mode of detection, tumour size, multifocality and vascular invasion were identified as predictors of any nodal disease. Nomograms that included these predictors demonstrated good predictive abilities, and comparable performances in the internal validation; the area under the ROC curve was 0·74 for N0 versus any lymph node metastasis, 0·70 for one or two involved nodes versus N0, and 0·81 for at least three nodes versus two or fewer metastatic nodes. CONCLUSION: The nomograms presented facilitate preoperative decision-making regarding the extent of axillary surgery.

St Gallen molecular subtypes in screening-detected and symptomatic breast cancer in a prospective cohort with long-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis by screening mammography is considered an independent positive prognostic factor, although the data are not fully in agreement. The aim of the study was to explore whether the mode of detection (screening-detected versus symptomatic) adds prognostic information to the St Gallen molecular subtypes of primary breast cancer, in terms of 10-year cumulative breast cancer mortality (BCM). METHODS: A prospective cohort of patients with primary breast cancer, who had regularly been invited to screening mammography, were included. Tissue microarrays were constructed from primary tumours and lymph node metastases, and evaluated by two independent pathologists. Primary tumours and lymph node metastases were classified into St Gallen molecular subtypes. Cause of death was retrieved from the Central Statistics Office. RESULTS: A total of 434 patients with primary breast cancer were included in the study. Some 370 primary tumours and 111 lymph node metastases were classified into St Gallen molecular subtypes. The luminal A-like subtype was more common among the screening-detected primary tumours (P = 0·035) and corresponding lymph node metastases (P = 0·114) than among symptomatic cancers. Patients with screening-detected tumours had a lower BCM (P = 0·017), and for those diagnosed with luminal A-like tumours the 10-year cumulative BCM was 3 per cent. For patients with luminal A-like lymph node metastases, there was no BCM. In a stepwise multivariable analysis, the prognostic information yielded by screening detection was hampered by stage and tumour biology. CONCLUSION: The prognosis was excellent for patients within the screening programme who were diagnosed with a luminal A-like primary tumour and/or lymph node metastases. Stage, molecular pathology and mode of detection help to define patients at low risk of death from breast cancer.

The role of AIB1 and PAX2 in primary breast cancer: validation of AIB1 as a negative prognostic factor.

Background The steroid-receptor coactivator amplified in breast cancer one (AIB1) is implicated to be a prognostic factor, although the results are not unanimous. Recently its effect was suggested to be modified by paired box 2 gene product (PAX2). Patients and methods Using immunohistochemistry (IHC) AIB1 and PAX2 were investigated in two cohorts of early breast cancer, including systemically untreated premenopausal lymph-node-negative women and pre- and postmenopausal women receiving tamoxifen. Results AIB1 scores were available for 490 patients and PAX2 scores were available for 463 patients. High AIB1 was a negative prognostic factor for distant disease-free survival (DDFS, P = 0.02) and overall survival (OS, P < 0.001) in systemically untreated women, while no prognostic effect was seen in the tamoxifen-treated cohort, indicating AIB1 to be a predictor of tamoxifen response. In systemically untreated patients, PAX2 was not a prognostic factor, nor did it modify the effect of AIB1. However, in ER-positive patients receiving tamoxifen, PAX2 appeared to be a positive prognostic factor in premenopausal patients, while a negative factor in postmenopausal. The interaction between the menopausal status and PAX2 was significant (P = 0.01). Conclusions In an independent cohort of low-risk premenopausal patients, we validate AIB1 as a negative prognostic factor, indicating AIB1 to be an interesting target for new anti-cancer therapies. The effect of PAX2 warrants further studies.

Early achievements in cardiovascular care as reflected in the Journal of Internal Medicine.

This review mirrors progress in cardiovascular medicine as reflected by scientific contributions published in the Journal of Internal Medicine (from 1989), Acta Medica Scandinavica (from 1919 until 1989) and Nordiskt Medicinskt Arkiv (before 1919). A total of 149 articles were identified within this field since the first, published work in this field 1877-1970. The latter year was set as and end for the review since this was the year the first contribution by the author of this review was published in the journal. To cope with the large number individual publications related to different aspects of cardiovascular medicine were grouped together into fields in which Scandinavian contributions were pioneering or for other reasons of particular interest. These articles were briefly summarized together with some information of the author(s) and the contributions were put into the perspective of subsequent importance and/or scientific and clinical development. Among topics with insightful contributions published in the journal are electrophysiology, diagnostic techniques including standardization, endurance exercise and the heart, electrocardiography, myocardial infarction, atrio-ventricular block and cardiac pacing. Some of these early contributions were indeed, considering the methods available at the time for the investigations impressive and many predictions truly insightful and imaginative. Other contributions may, at least by the present day reader, seem somewhat odd.

Sitagliptin improves beta-cell function in patients with acute coronary syndromes and newly diagnosed glucose abnormalities--the BEGAMI study.

BACKGROUND: Newly detected impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are common in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS; i.e. unstable angina/myocardial infarction) and related to disturbed beta-cell function. The aim of this study is to test the hypothesis that treatment with a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor initiated soon after a coronary event improves beta-cell function. METHODS: Acute coronary syndrome ACS patients with IGT or T2DM (n = 71), screened by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) 4-23 days (median 6 days) after hospital admission, were randomly assigned to sitagliptin 100 mg (n = 34) or placebo (n = 37) and treated for a duration of 12 weeks. All patients received lifestyle advice but no glucose-lowering agents other than the study drug. The study end-point was beta-cell function assessed using the insulinogenic index (IGI = ΔInsulin30 /ΔGlucose30 ), derived from an OGTT, and acute insulin response to glucose (AIRg) assessed by a frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test. RESULTS: The IGI and AIRg did not differ at baseline between the sitagliptin and placebo groups (69.9 vs. 66.4 pmol mmol(-1) and 1394 vs. 1106 pmol L(-1) min(-1) respectively). After 12 weeks, the IGI was 85.0 in the sitagliptin and 58.1 pmol/mmol in the placebo group (P = 0.013) and AIRg was 1909 and 1043 pmol L(-1) min(-1) (P < 0.0001) in the sitagliptin and placebo groups respectively. Fasting glucose at baseline was 6.1 mmol L(-1) in sitagliptin-treated patients and 6.0 mmol L(-1) in those who received placebo compared with 5.8 and 5.9 mmol L(-1) respectively, after 12 weeks of treatment. Post load glucose metabolism improved in significantly more sitagliptin-treated patients compared with the placebo group (P = 0.003). Sitagliptin was well tolerated. CONCLUSION: Sitagliptin improved beta-cell function and glucose perturbations in patients with ACS and newly diagnosed glucose disturbances.

A prospective cohort study identifying radiologic and tumor related factors of importance for breast conserving surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

INTRODUCTION: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is an established treatment option for early breast cancer, potentially downstaging the tumor and increasing the eligibility for breast-conserving surgery (BCS). The primary aim of this study was to assess the rate of BCS after NAC, and the secondary aim was to identify predictors of application of BCS after NAC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was an observational prospective cohort study of 226 patients in the SCAN-B (Clinical Trials NCT02306096) neoadjuvant cohort during 2014-2019. Eligibility for BCS was assessed at baseline and after NAC. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using covariates with clinical relevance and/or those associated with outcome (BCS versus mastectomy), including tumor subtype, by gene expression analysis. RESULTS: The overall BCS rate was 52%, and this rate increased during the study period (from 37% to 52%). Pathological complete response was achieved in 69 patients (30%). Predictors for BCS were smaller tumor size on mammography, visibility on ultrasound, histological subtype other than lobular, benign axillary status, and a diagnosis of triple-negative or HER2-positive subtype, with a similar trend for gene expression subtypes. Mammographic density was negatively related to BCS in a dose-response pattern. In the multivariable logistic regression model, tumor stage at diagnosis and mammographic density showed the strongest association with BCS. CONCLUSION: The rate of BCS after NAC increased during the study period to 52%. With modern treatment options for NAC the potential for tumor response and BCS eligibility might further increase.

Design, history and results of the Thiazolidinedione Intervention with vitamin D Evaluation (TIDE) randomised controlled trial.

AIMS/OBJECTIVE: Conflicting data regarding cardiovascular effects of thiazolidinediones (TZDs) and extra-skeletal effects of vitamin D supported the need for a definitive trial. The Thiazolidinedione Intervention with vitamin D Evaluation (TIDE) trial aimed to assess the effects of TZDs (rosiglitazone and pioglitazone) on cardiovascular outcomes and the effects of vitamin D (cholecalciferol) on cancers and mortality. METHODS: A large multicentre 3 × 2 factorial double-blind placebo-controlled randomised trial recruited from outpatient primary care and specialty clinics in 33 countries. From June 2009 to July 2010, 1,332 people with type 2 diabetes and other cardiovascular risk factors aged ≥ 50 years whose HbA(1c) was 6.5-9.5% (48-80 mmol/mol) when using two or fewer glucose-lowering drugs were randomised by a central computer system to placebo (n = 541), rosiglitazone 4-8 mg/day (n = 399) or pioglitazone 30-45 mg/day (n = 392); 1,221 participants were randomised to placebo (n = 614) or vitamin D 1,000 IU/day (n = 607). Participants and all study personnel were blind to treatment allocation. The primary outcome for the TZD arm was the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke or cardiovascular death, and for the vitamin D arm it was cancer or all-cause death. All randomised participants were included in the primary analysis. RESULTS: From the study design, 16,000 people were to be followed for approximately 5.5 years. However, the trial was stopped prematurely because of regulatory concerns after a mean of 162 days without consideration of the accrued data. In the TZD arm, the cardiovascular outcome occurred in five participants (0.9%) in the placebo groups and three participants (0.4%) in the TZD groups (two allocated to pioglitazone, one to rosiglitazone). In the vitamin D arm, the primary outcome occurred in three participants (0.5%) in the placebo group and in two participants (0.3%) receiving vitamin D. Adverse events were comparable in all groups. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Uncertainty persists regarding the clinically relevant risks and benefits of TZDs and vitamin D because of the early cancellation of this comprehensive trial.

Prognostic implications of glucose-lowering treatment in patients with acute myocardial infarction and diabetes: experiences from an extended follow-up of the Diabetes Mellitus Insulin-Glucose Infusion in Acute Myocardial Infarction (DIGAMI) 2 Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This post hoc analysis from the Diabetes Mellitus Insulin-Glucose Infusion in Acute Myocardial Infarction (DIGAMI) 2 trial reports on extended long-term outcome in relation to glucose-lowering agents in patients with myocardial infarction and type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Patients were randomised as follows: group 1, insulin-based treatment; group 2, insulin during hospitalisation followed by conventional glucose control; and group 3, conventional treatment. Treatment according to the above protocol lasted 2.1 years. Using the total DIGAMI 2 cohort as an epidemiological database, this study presents mortality rates in the randomised groups, and mortality and morbidity rates by glucose-lowering treatment during an extended period of follow-up (median 4.1 and max 8.1 years). RESULTS: Follow-up data were available in 1,145 of the 1,253 patients. The mortality rate was 31% (72% cardiovascular) without significant differences between treatment groups. The total number of fatal malignancies was 37, with a trend towards a higher risk in group 1. The HR for death from malignant disease, compared with group 2, was 1.77 (95% CI 0.87-3.61; p = 0.11) and 3.60 (95% CI 1.24-10.50; p = 0.02) compared with group 3. Insulin treatment was associated with non-fatal cardiovascular events (OR 1.89 95% CI 1.35-2.63; p = 0.0002), but not with mortality (OR 1.30, 95% CI 0.93-1.81; p = 0.13). Metformin was associated with a lower mortality rate (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.47-0.90; p = 0.01) and a lower risk of death from malignancies (HR 0.25, 95% CI 0.08-0.83; p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Patients with type 2 diabetes and myocardial infarction have a poor prognosis. Glucose-lowering drugs appear to be of prognostic importance. Insulin may be associated with an increased risk of non-fatal cardiac events, while metformin seems to be protective against risk of death.

Validation of the Skåne University Hospital nomogram for the preoperative prediction of a disease-free axilla in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Axillary staging via sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is performed for clinically node-negative (N0) breast cancer patients. The Skåne University Hospital (SUS) nomogram was developed to assess the possibility of omitting SLNB for patients with a low risk of nodal metastasis. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.74. The aim was to validate the SUS nomogram using only routinely collected data from the Swedish National Quality Registry for Breast Cancer at two breast cancer centres during different time periods. METHOD: This retrospective study included patients with primary breast cancer who were treated at centres in Lund and Malmö during 2008-2013. Clinicopathological predictors in the SUS nomogram were age, mode of detection, tumour size, multifocality, lymphovascular invasion and surrogate molecular subtype. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Validation performance was assessed using AUC and calibration. RESULTS: The study included 2939 patients (1318 patients treated in Lund and 1621 treated in Malmö). Node-positive disease was detected in 1008 patients. The overall validation AUC was 0.74 (Lund cohort AUC: 0.75, Malmö cohort AUC: 0.73), and the calibration was satisfactory. Accepting a false-negative rate of 5 per cent for predicting N0, a possible SLNB reduction rate of 15 per cent was obtained in the overall cohort. CONCLUSION: The SUS nomogram provided acceptable power for predicting a disease-free axilla in the validation cohort. This tool may assist surgeons in identifying and counselling patients with a low risk of nodal metastasis on the omission of SLNB staging.

Validated prediction model for positive resection margins in breast-conserving surgery based exclusively on preoperative data.

BACKGROUND: Positive margins after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) and subsequent second surgery are associated with increased costs and patient discomfort. The aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for positive margins based on risk factors available before surgery. METHODS: Patients undergoing BCS for in situ or invasive cancer between 2015 and 2016 at site A formed a development cohort; those operated during 2017 in site A and B formed two validation cohorts. MRI was not used routinely. Preoperative radiographic and tumour characteristics and method of operation were collected from patient charts. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop a prediction model for positive margins including variables with discriminatory capacity identified in a univariable model. The discrimination and calibration of the prediction model was assessed in the validation cohorts, and a nomogram developed. RESULTS: There were 432 patients in the development cohort, and 190 and 157 in site A and B validation cohorts respectively. Positive margins were identified in 77 patients (17.8 per cent) in the development cohort. A non-linear transformation of mammographic tumour size and six variables (visible on mammography, ductal carcinoma in situ, lobular invasive cancer, distance from nipple-areola complex, calcification, and type of surgery) were included in the final prediction model, which had an area under the curve of 0.80 (95 per cent c.i. 0.75 to 0.85). The discrimination and calibration of the prediction model was assessed in the validation cohorts, and a nomogram developed. CONCLUSION: The prediction model showed good ability to predict positive margins after BCS and might, after further validation, be used before surgery in centres without the routine use of preoperative MRI.Presented in part to the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, San Antonio, Texas, USA, December 2018 and the Swedish Surgical Society Annual Meeting, Helsingborg, Sweden, August 2018.

AIB1 is a predictive factor for tamoxifen response in premenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials implicate the estrogen receptor (ER) coactivator amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) to be a prognostic and a treatment-predictive factor, although results are not unanimous. We have further investigated this using a controlled randomised trial of tamoxifen versus control. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 564 premenopausal women were entered into a randomised study independent of ER status. Using a tissue microarray, AIB1 and ER were analysed by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: AIB1 scores were obtained from 349 women. High AIB1 correlated to factors of worse prognosis (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, Nottingham histological grade 3, and lymph node metastases) and to ER negativity. In the control arm, high AIB1 was a negative prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P = 0.02). However, ER-positive patients with high AIB1 responded significantly to tamoxifen treatment (P = 0.002), increasing RFS to the same level as for systemically untreated patients with low AIB1. Although ER-positive patients with low AIB1 had a better RFS from the beginning, this was not further improved by tamoxifen (P = 0.8). CONCLUSIONS: In the control group, high AIB1 was a negative prognostic factor. However, ER-positive patients with high AIB1 responded significantly to tamoxifen. This implicates high AIB1 to be an independent predictive factor of improved response to tamoxifen and not, as has previously been discussed, a factor predicting tamoxifen resistance.

Effect of gender on prognosis in patients with myocardial infarction and type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes is associated with a markedly increased cardiovascular risk, but the role of gender on the combined effects of diabetes and myocardial infarction has been less well explored. METHODS: The Diabetes Mellitus and Insulin Glucose Infusion in Acute Myocardial Infarction 2 (DIGAMI2) trial recruited 837 men and 416 women with type 2 diabetes hospitalized due to myocardial infarction and followed for a median of 2.1 years. The effects of gender on diabetes-specific risk factors and conventional cardiovascular risk predictors of unfavourable outcome were analysed using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Women were older, more frequently had hypertension and previous heart failure than men, and were more often treated with diuretics. More men were smokers. Treatment during hospitalization, at discharge and during follow-up, did not differ significantly, apart from the more frequent use of diuretics in women. Total mortality did not differ between genders, but the combined cardiovascular end-point of death, re-infarction or stroke was more common in women (38.9% vs. 32.1%). This difference disappeared after age adjustment. Age and previous heart failure were independent risk predictors in both genders, whereas diabetes complications were an additional risk factor in women only. Blood glucose level at randomization and updated glucose concentration during follow-up were independent predictors of poor outcome in men but not in women. CONCLUSIONS: Age and not gender itself explained the increased cardiovascular event rate seen in women compared with men. A heavier risk factor burden was seen amongst women. Improved risk factor control instituted before the development of a myocardial infarction should be attempted as a possible means of improving the outcome.