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Background: Remote physiological monitoring (RPM) is accessible, convenient, relatively inexpensive, and can improve clinical outcomes. Yet, it is unclear in which clinical setting or target population RPM is maximally effective. Objective: To determine whether patients' demographic characteristics or clinical settings are associated with data transmission and engagement. Methods: This is a prospective cohort study of adults enrolled in a diabetes RPM program for a minimum of 12 months as of April 2020. We developed a multivariable logistic regression model for engagement with age, gender, race, income, and primary care clinic type as variables and a second model to include first-order interactions for all demographic variables by time. The participants included 549 adults (mean age 53 years, 63% female, 54% Black, and 75% very low income) with baseline hemoglobin A1c ≥8.0% and enrolled in a statewide diabetes RPM program. The main measure was the transmission engagement over time, where engagement is defined as a minimum of three distinct days per week in which remote data are transmitted. Results: Significant predictors of transmission engagement included increasing age, academic clinic type, higher annual household income, and shorter time-in-program (p < 0.001 for each). Self-identified race and gender were not significantly associated with transmission engagement (p = 0.729 and 0.237, respectively). Conclusions: RPM appears to be an accessible tool for minority racial groups and for the aging population, yet engagement is impacted by primary care location setting and socioeconomic status. These results should inform implementation of future RPM studies, guide advocacy efforts, and highlight the need to focus efforts on maintaining engagement over time.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Participação do Paciente , Adulto , Idoso , Demografia , Feminino , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: National administrative datasets have demonstrated increased risk-adjusted mortality among patients undergoing interhospital transfer (IHT) compared to patients admitted through the emergency department (ED). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of patient-level data not available in larger administrative datasets on the association between IHT status and in-hospital mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study with logistic regression analyses to examine the association between IHT status and in-hospital mortality, controlling for covariates that were potential confounders. Model 1: IHT status, admit service. Model 2: model 1 and patient demographics. Model 3: model 2 and disease-specific conditions. Model 4: model 3 and vital signs and laboratory data. PARTICIPANTS: Nine thousand three hundred twenty-eight adults admitted to Medicine services. MAIN MEASURES: Interhospital transfer status, coded as an unordered categorical variable (IHT vs ED vs clinic), was the independent variable. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included unadjusted length of stay and total cost. KEY RESULTS: IHT patients accounted for 180 out of 484 (37%) in-hospital deaths, despite accounting for only 17% of total admissions. Unadjusted mean length of stay was 8.4 days vs 5.6 days (p < 0.0001) and mean total cost was $22,647 vs $12,968 (p < 0.0001) for patients admitted via IHT vs ED respectively. The odds ratios (OR) for in-hospital mortality for patients admitted via IHT compared to the ED were as follows: model 1 OR, 2.06 (95% CI 1.66-2.56, p < 0.0001); model 2 OR, 2.07 (95% CI 1.66-2.58, p < 0.0001); model 3 OR, 2.07 (95% CI 1.63-2.61, p < 0.0001); model 4 OR, 1.70 (95% CI 1.31-2.19, p < 0.0001). The AUCs of the models were as follows: model 1, 0.74; model 2, 0.76; model 3, 0.83; model 4, 0.88, consistent with a good prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: Patient-level characteristics affect the association between IHT and in-hospital mortality. After adjusting for patient-level clinical characteristics, IHT status remains associated with in-hospital mortality.
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Hospitalização , Transferência de Pacientes , Adulto , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of a 2016 South Carolina payor mandate to query the state prescription drug monitoring program (PDMP) before prescribing controlled substances on the rate of opioid prescribers in South Carolina. METHODS: South Carolina PDMP datasets from 2010-2017 were evaluated using interrupted time series regression to compare changes in the rate of opioid prescribers before and after the 2016 mandate. The rate of opioid prescribers was defined as the number of prescribers who prescribed class II to IV opioids on any one prescription in each quarter divided by the total number of South Carolina prescribers who prescribed any one class II to IV medication. The rate of high-dose opioid prescribers was defined as the number of prescribers who prescribed ≥90-morphine milligram equivalent per day on any one prescription in each quarter divided by all of the prescribers who prescribed an opioid analgesic prescription. RESULTS: The rates of South Carolina opioid prescribers decreased from 75% in 2010 to 60% in 2017, with no significant change in slope (P = 0.24) after the 2016 payor mandates. The rates of South Carolina high-dose opioid prescribers decreased from 40% in 2010 to 32% in 2017, with a significant decrease in slope (P < 0.001) after the payor mandate. CONCLUSIONS: The slope of the South Carolina high-dose opioid prescriber rate significantly decreased after the 2016 South Carolina payor mandate, while the slope of the South Carolina opioid prescriber rate did not. The long-term outcomes related to the change in opioid prescriber rates are unknown and warrant further study.
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Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Padrões de Prática Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Monitoramento de Prescrição de Medicamentos , Humanos , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Programas Obrigatórios/organização & administração , Padrões de Prática Médica/organização & administração , Programas de Monitoramento de Prescrição de Medicamentos/organização & administração , Programas de Monitoramento de Prescrição de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , South CarolinaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of a mandate from 2 large insurers in South Carolina for mandatory review of the state's prescription drug monitoring program (PDMP) for controlled substance (CS) prescriptions for more than 5 days' supply on the proportion of opioid prescriptions for less than or equal to 5 days in a statewide adult population. In addition, changes in the mean morphine milligram equivalents (MME) per day for prescriptions for 5 days or less were described to evaluate prescribing changes. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All prescriptions for opioids written for and filled by adults (≥ 18 years of age) and reported to the PDMP from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2017, were included in an interrupted time series analysis. OUTCOME MEASURES: An interrupted time series analysis was performed to determine if there was a significant change in the proportion of opioid prescriptions for less than or equal to 5 days' supply. RESULTS: Overall opioid prescriptions decreased over the time period by 11.5%, including a decreasing rate of opioid prescriptions for less than or equal to 5 days' supply. There was no statistical difference in the slope between the pre- and postmandate cohorts (P = 0.077, r2 = 0.951). There was not an identified corresponding increase in the MME per day of prescriptions. CONCLUSION: Our analysis found that 2 major insurer mandates that occurred in South Carolina in 2016, which required a review of the state PDMP for CS prescriptions for more than 5 days' supply, did not have a significant impact on the proportion of opioid prescriptions for less than or equal to 5 days' supply in the statewide population. In addition, we did not find any concern that prescribers attempted to circumvent the requirement by inappropriately adjusting dosing instructions.
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Analgésicos Opioides , Programas de Monitoramento de Prescrição de Medicamentos , Adulto , Humanos , Seguradoras , Padrões de Prática Médica , South CarolinaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Patient-centered medical homes incorporate strategies to increase healthcare access as a means of improving health at the patient and population level. We hypothesized that quality improvement initiatives based in a patient-centered medical home would improve hypertension control for adult patients, regardless of race. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included patients of a hospital-based Internal Medicine practice in the southeastern U.S. whose systolic blood pressure was uncontrolled (criteria ≥140mmHg) prior to patient-centered medical home certification. Mean systolic blood pressure and hypertension control rates were calculated from the average of the four quarterly means prior to patient-centered medical home designation and again from the last 4 quarters of the five-year study period (final). Quality improvement interventions included patient identification, multidisciplinary team meetings, targeted outreach, and dedicated office visits for addressing hypertension. Primary outcomes included the change in systolic blood pressure and the change in the proportion of the cohort with hypertension control. Chi-square, two sample t-tests, and ANOVA were used for comparison (SAS 9.3). RESULTS: The inception cohort had 1,702 patients (64% nonwhite, 36% white) with systolic blood pressure ≥140mmHg. Mean systolic blood pressure significantly decreased while hypertension control rates increased in both races after patient-centered medical home certification. White adults had lower mean systolic blood pressure and higher control rates at baseline and study conclusion compared to nonwhite adults. Similar trends persisted regardless of the number of office visits. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis of blood pressure before and after designation of an Internal Medicine clinic as a patient-centered medical home reveals disparities in rates of chronic disease control. Team-based outreach improves hypertension control for patients regardless of race or visit number. These findings suggest that patient-centered medical homes and a multidisciplinary care approach, not limited to increased access, improve chronic disease control and should be considered for diverse outpatient clinics.
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OBJECTIVE: This study investigated the efficacy of combining at-home anodal transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) of the left primary motor cortex (M1) with mindfulness meditation (MM) in fibromyalgia patients trained in mindfulness. METHODS: Thirty-seven patients were allocated to receive ten daily sessions of MM paired with either anodal or sham tDCS over the primary motor cortex. Primary outcomes were pain intensity and quality of life. Secondary outcomes were psychological impairment, sleep quality, mood, affective pain, mindfulness level, and transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) measures of cortical excitability. Outcomes were analyzed pre- and post-treatment, with a one-month follow-up. RESULTS: We found post-tDCS improvement in all clinical outcomes, including mindfulness level, except for positive affect and stress, in both groups without significant difference between active and sham conditions. No significant group*time interaction was found for all clinical and TMS outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate no synergistic or add-on efffect of anodal tDCS of the left M1 compared to the proper effect of MM in patients with fibromyalgia. SIGNIFICANCE: Our findings challenge the potential of combining anodal tDCS of the left M1 and MM in fibromyalgia.
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Fibromialgia , Meditação , Atenção Plena , Córtex Motor , Estimulação Transcraniana por Corrente Contínua , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fibromialgia/terapia , Fibromialgia/psicologia , Fibromialgia/fisiopatologia , Meditação/métodos , Atenção Plena/métodos , Córtex Motor/fisiopatologia , Córtex Motor/fisiologia , Estimulação Transcraniana por Corrente Contínua/métodos , Resultado do TratamentoAssuntos
Continuidade da Assistência ao Paciente/normas , Hepatopatias/diagnóstico , Hepatopatias/etnologia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/normas , Adulto , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , População Negra/estatística & dados numéricos , Continuidade da Assistência ao Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/etnologia , Humanos , Testes de Função Hepática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , South CarolinaRESUMO
A 62-year-old man with a past medical history of recently diagnosed type II diabetes mellitus presented for multiple episodes of nephrolithiasis after stopping Diet Mountain Dew ingestion. Stone analysis confirmed calcium oxalate stones. It was theorized that the high citrate in Diet Mountain Dew was protective against his newly recurrent nephrolithiasis. For lifestyle preference, the patient chose lemonade-flavored Crystal Light-known to be high in citrate-instead of potassium citrate 30-40 mEq supplementation. To date, the patient's nephrolithiasis has not recurred. Potassium citrate is a preventive strategy against calcium oxalate stones in patients with suspected or confirmed hypocitraturia. Citrate binds calcium, therefore, preventing the interaction between calcium and oxalate. Alternative supplementation strategies, such as citrus-flavored sodas (eg, Diet Mountain Dew), powdered drinks (eg, Crystal Light), and natural juices (eg, lemon juice), may be plausible alternatives to potassium citrate. Patient lifestyle and the risks and benefits to a particular supplemental choice must be considered for every patient.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Cálculos Renais , Cálcio , Oxalato de Cálcio/metabolismo , Citratos , Ácido Cítrico/metabolismo , Dieta , Humanos , Cálculos Renais/metabolismo , Cálculos Renais/prevenção & controle , Citrato de PotássioRESUMO
Herpes zoster (HZ) is a common illness caused by the reactivation of latent varicella zoster virus (VZV) due to waning immunity, often secondary to old age or an underlying immunocompromised state. Its complications can manifest in variety of ways, including persistent neuralgias, vasculopathies, and stroke. Here, we describe a case of a 45-year-old man with a history of cryptogenic stroke and smoldering myeloma who was admitted with sacral HZ complicated by right lumbosacral radiculopathy and myelitis, otherwise known as Elsberg syndrome (ES). He was found to have an enhancing lesion in the peripheral conus medullaris on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with nonspecific inflammation and necrosis on biopsy pathology and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) positive for VZV. The patient was initially treated with intravenous acyclovir and dexamethasone and discharged with a steroid taper and indefinite valacyclovir therapy. Twelve months postdischarge, the patient's right lumbosacral radiculopathy and myelitis had almost completely resolved; however, he continued to require bladder self-catheterization. We believe that the patient's underlying smoldering myeloma lead to an immunocompromised state, allowing for reactivation of latent VZV, resulting in both the patient's cryptogenic stroke years earlier and recent ES.
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Herpes Zoster , Mielite , Radiculopatia , Mieloma Múltiplo Latente , Assistência ao Convalescente , Herpes Zoster/complicações , Herpes Zoster/diagnóstico , Herpes Zoster/tratamento farmacológico , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mielite/etiologia , Alta do Paciente , Radiculopatia/etiologiaRESUMO
AIMS: We sought to determine whether underserved patients enrolled in a statewide remote patient monitoring (RPM) program for diabetes achieve sustained improvements in hemoglobin A1c at 6 and 12 months and whether those improvements are affected by demographic and clinical variables. METHODS: Demographic and clinical variables were obtained at baseline, 6 months and 12 months. Baseline HbA1c values were compared with those obtained at 6 and 12 months via paired t-tests. A multivariable regression model was developed to identify patient-level variables associated with HbA1c change at 12 months. RESULTS: HbA1c values were obtained for 302 participants at 6 months and 125 participants at 12 months. Compared to baseline, HbA1c values were 1.8% (19 mmol/mol) lower at 6 months (p < 0.01) and 1.3% (14 mmol/mol) lower at 12 months (p < 0.01). Reductions at 12 months were consistent across clinical settings. A regression model for change in HbA1c showed no statistically significant difference for patient age, sex, race, household income, insurance, or clinic type. CONCLUSIONS: Patients enrolled in RPM had improved diabetes control at 6 and 12 months. Neither clinic type nor sociodemographic variables significantly altered the likelihood that patients would benefit from this type of technology. These results suggest the promise of RPM for delivering care to underserved populations.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Populações Vulneráveis , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Humanos , Monitorização FisiológicaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) carries a substantial mortality and morbidity burden. The purpose of this study is to provide annual mean cost per patient and national level estimates of direct and indirect costs (lost productivity from morbidity and premature mortality) associated with AMI. METHODS: Nationally representative data spanning 12 years (2003-2014) with a sample of 324,869 patients with AMI from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) were analyzed. A novel 2-part model was used to examine the excess direct cost associated with AMI, controlling for covariates. To estimate lost productivity from morbidity, an adjusted Generalized Linear Model was used for the differential in wage earnings between participants with and without AMI. Lost productivity from premature mortality was estimated based on published data. RESULTS: The total annual cost of AMI in 2016 dollars was estimated to be $84.9 billion, including $29.8 billion in excess direct medical expenditures, $14.6 billion in lost productivity from morbidity and $40.5 billion in lost productivity from premature mortality between 2003 and 2014. In the adjusted regression, the overall excess direct medical expenditure of AMI was $7,076 (95% confidence interval [CI] $6,028-$8,125) higher than those without AMI. After adjustment, annual wages for patients with AMI were $10,166 (95% CI -$12,985 to -$7,347) lower and annual missed work days were 5.9 days (95% CI 3.57-8.27) higher than those without AMI. CONCLUSIONS: The study finds that the economic burden of AMI is substantial, for which effective prevention could result in significant health and productivity cost savings.
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Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Infarto do Miocárdio/economia , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Causas de Morte , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Bases de Dados Factuais , Eficiência , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Lactente , Pacientes Internados , Seguro Saúde , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Morbidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estados Unidos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
As the prevalence of obesity increases, the prevalence of associated comorbid diseases, obesity-related mortality rates and healthcare costs rise concordantly. Two main factors that hinder efforts to treat obesity include a lack of recognition by patients and documentation by physicians. This study evaluates the relationship between patient perception of obese weight and physician documentation of obesity. This quality improvement observational study surveyed patients of an academic internal medicine clinic on their perception of obesity. Responses were compared to longitudinal physician documentation of obesity and body mass index (BMI). A total of 59.9% of patients with obesity perceived their weight as obese. While 33.7% of patients with a BMI of 30 to 34.9 kg/m2 perceived themselves as having obesity, 71.4% of patients with a BMI of 45 to 49.9 kg/m2 perceived themselves as having obesity. A total of 42.4% of patients with obesity had physician documentation of obesity in the last year. While 25% of patients with a BMI of 30 to 34.9 kg/m2 had physician documentation of obesity, 85.7% of patients with a BMI of 45 to 49.9 kg/m2 had physician documentation of obesity. For patients with a BMI ≥50 kg/m2 , 52.9% perceived their weight to be obese and 76.5% had physician documentation of obesity in the last year. Both patient perception and physician documentation of obesity were significantly less than the prevalence of obesity. Patient perception of obesity and provider documentation of obesity increased as BMI increased until a BMI ≥50 kg/m2 . Both patients and providers must improve recognition of this disease.
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Obesidade/psicologia , Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Percepção , Médicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , Documentação , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prontuários Médicos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Médicos/psicologia , Médicos/normas , Melhoria de Qualidade , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Many guidelines addressing the approach to abnormal liver chemistries, including bilirubin, transaminases and alkaline phosphatase, recommend repeating the tests. However, when clinicians repeat testing is unknown. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This retrospective study followed adult patients with abnormal liver chemistries in a patient-centered medical home (PCMH) from 2007 to 2016. All PCMH patients possessing at least 1 abnormal liver test (total bilirubin, aminotransferases and alkaline phosphatase) were included. Patients were followed from the index abnormal liver chemistry until the next liver test result, or the end of the study period. The primary predictor variable of interest was the number of abnormal chemistries (out of 4) on index testing. Demographic and clinical variables served as other potential predictors of outcome. A Cox proportional hazards model was applied to investigate associations between the predictor variables and the time to repeat liver chemistry testing. RESULTS: Of 9,545 patients with at least 2 PCMH visits and 1 liver test abnormality, 6,489 (68%) obtained repeat testing within 1 year, and 80% of patients had follow-up tests within 2 years. Patients with multiple abnormal liver tests and those with higher degrees of abnormality were associated with shorter time to repeat testing. CONCLUSIONS: A large proportion of patients with abnormal liver tests still lack repeat testing at 1 year. The number of liver abnormal liver tests and degree of elevation were inversely associated with the time to repeat testing.
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Hepatopatias/diagnóstico , Fígado , Médicos de Atenção Primária/normas , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Fígado/metabolismo , Hepatopatias/epidemiologia , Hepatopatias/metabolismo , Testes de Função Hepática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , South Carolina , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Primary care clinicians encounter abnormal liver function tests (LFTs) frequently. This study assesses the prevalence of abnormal LFTs and patient follow-up patterns in response. METHODS: This is a retrospective study from 2007-2016 of adult patients with abnormal LFTs seen in an internal medicine clinic. The proportion of patients with follow-up testing and the time (in days) to repeat LFTs were the primary outcomes measured. Results were evaluated before and after the implementation of the institution's electronic health record (EHR). RESULTS: This study identified a period prevalence for abnormal LFTs of 39%. Of these, 9,545 unique patients met inclusion criteria, with 8,415 patients (88.2%) possessing follow-up LFTs and no significant difference in the proportion of patients receiving follow-up by degree of initial abnormality. Median time to follow-up in mild abnormalities (1-2 times normal) was 138 days, compared to 21 days for severe abnormalities (>4 times normal, P < 0.0001). Reduced time to repeat testing across all spectrums of abnormality was observed following EHR implementation, but proportions of missing follow-up did not improve. A multivariable logistic regression model identified younger age, poverty, living over 50 miles from clinic, recent cohort entry and a lower magnitude of abnormality as predictors for missing repeat LFT testing (area under the curve = 0.838 [95% CI: 0.827-0.849]). CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal LFTs were detected in 39% of all patients seen. The degree of LFT abnormality did not influence rates of follow-up testing, but does appear to play a role in the timing of repeat testing, when obtained. Follow-up rates did not improve with EHR implementation.
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Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Hepatopatias/diagnóstico , Testes de Função Hepática , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Medicina Interna/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: One in 3 US adults has high blood pressure, or hypertension. As prior projections suggest hypertension is the costliest of all cardiovascular diseases, it is important to define the current state of healthcare expenditures related to hypertension. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used a nationally representative database, the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, to calculate the estimated annual healthcare expenditure for patients with hypertension and to measure trends in expenditure longitudinally over a 12-year period. A 2-part model was used to estimate adjusted incremental expenditures for individuals with hypertension versus those without hypertension. Sex, race/ethnicity, education, insurance status, census region, income, marital status, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and year category were included as covariates. The 2003-2014 pooled data include a total sample of 224 920 adults, of whom 36.9% had hypertension. Unadjusted mean annual medical expenditure attributable to patients with hypertension was $9089. Relative to individuals without hypertension, individuals with hypertension had $1920 higher annual adjusted incremental expenditure, 2.5 times the inpatient cost, almost double the outpatient cost, and nearly triple the prescription medication expenditure. Based on the prevalence of hypertension in the United States, the estimated adjusted annual incremental cost is $131 billion per year higher for the hypertensive adult population compared with the nonhypertensive population. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with hypertension are estimated to face nearly $2000 higher annual healthcare expenditure compared with their nonhypertensive peers. This trend has been relatively stable over 12 years. Healthcare costs associated with hypertension account for about $131 billion. This warrants intense effort toward hypertension prevention and management.
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Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/tendências , Gastos em Saúde/tendências , Hipertensão/economia , Hipertensão/terapia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Transversais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Prevalência , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: As healthcare reform moves toward value based care, hospitals must reduce costs. As a first step, here we developed a predictive model to identify high-cost patients on admission. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study of 7,571 adults admitted to internal medicine services from July 1, 2013 to June 30, 2014. We compared the top 10% highest cost patients to other patients (controls) and identified clinical variables associated with high inpatient costs. Using logistic regression analyses, we developed a predictive model that could be used on admission to identify potential high utilization patients. RESULTS: In the 757 high utilizer patients, the median total hospital cost was $53,430 ± 60,679 compared to $8,431 ± 7,245 in the control group (P < 0.0001). The median length of stay for high utilization patients was 19.5 ± 32.5 days compared to 3.8 ± 3.9 days in the control group (P < 0.001). Variables associated with high utilization included transfer from an outside hospital (odds ratio [OR] = 1.6), admission to the pulmonary or medical intensive care unit (OR = 2.4), admission to cardiology (OR = 1.8), coagulopathy (OR = 2.6) and fluid and electrolyte disorders (OR = 2.1). A multivariate logistic regression model was used to fit a predictive model for high utilizers. The receiver operating characteristics curve of this prediction model yielded an area under the curve of 0.80. CONCLUSIONS: High resource utilization patients appear to have a specific phenotype that can be predicted with commonly available clinical variables. Our predictive formula holds promise as a tool that may help ultimately reduce hospital costs.