The predictive value of four serum biomarkers for major adverse events in patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysm.

BACKGROUND: The primary aim of this study was to test which of a group of four inflammation and thrombosis biomarkers were independently predictive of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). METHODS: A total of 471 participants with a 30- to 54-mm AAA had serum C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and homocysteine measured. The primary outcome was MACE, which was defined as the first occurrence of myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death. The association of biomarkers with events was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses. The net improvement in risk of event categorization with addition of a biomarker to clinical risk factors alone was assessed using net reclassification index. RESULTS: Participants were followed for a median of 2.4 years (interquartile range, 0.8-5.4 years), and 102 (21.7%) had a MACE. The incidence of MACE was 13.2% in participants with CRP >3.0 mg/L, compared with 10.1% in those with CRP ≤3.0 mg/L at 2.5 years (P = .047). After adjusting for other risk factors, higher CRP was associated with a significantly higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.35). None of the other biomarkers were associated with the risk of MACE. According to the net reclassification index, CRP significantly improved the risk classification of MACE compared with clinical risk factors alone. CONCLUSIONS: CRP can assist in classification of risk of MACE for patients with small AAA.

Association between aortic peak wall stress and rupture index with abdominal aortic aneurysm-related events.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess whether aortic peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) were associated with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture or repair (defined as AAA events) among participants with small AAAs. METHODS: PWS and PWRI were estimated from computed tomography angiography (CTA) scans of 210 participants with small AAAs (≥ 30 and ≤ 50 mm) prospectively recruited between 2002 and 2016 from two existing databases. Participants were followed for a median of 2.0 (inter-quartile range 1.9, 2.8) years to record the incidence of AAA events. The associations between PWS and PWRI with AAA events were assessed using Cox proportional hazard analyses. The ability of PWS and PWRI to reclassify the risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter was examined using net reclassification index (NRI) and classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. RESULTS: After adjusting for other risk factors, one standard deviation increase in PWS (hazard ratio, HR, 1.56, 95% confidence intervals, CI 1.19, 2.06; p = 0.001) and PWRI (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.29, 2.34; p < 0.001) were associated with significantly higher risks of AAA events. In the CART analysis, PWRI was identified as the best single predictor of AAA events at a cut-off value of > 0.562. PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the classification of risk of AAA events compared to the initial AAA diameter alone. CONCLUSION: PWS and PWRI predicted the risk of AAA events but only PWRI significantly improved the risk stratification compared to aortic diameter alone. KEY POINTS: • Aortic diameter is an imperfect measure of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture risk. • This observational study of 210 participants found that peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) predicted the risk of aortic rupture or AAA repair. • PWRI, but not PWS, significantly improved the risk stratification for AAA events compared to aortic diameter alone.

Rates of Stroke in Patients With Different Presentations of Carotid Artery Stenosis.

OBJECTIVE: Carotid artery stenosis may present without the classical symptoms of transient ischaemic attack or stroke but the rates of stroke for these presentations is unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the rates of stroke in patients with different presentations of carotid artery stenosis. METHODS: A multicentre prospective cohort study was conducted across three Australian vascular centres with low rates of surgical treatment of patients without transient ischaemic attack or stroke. Patients with a 50 - 99% carotid artery stenosis presenting with non-focal symptoms (e.g., dizziness or syncope; n = 47), prior contralateral carotid endarterectomy (n = 71), prior ipsilateral symptoms more than six months earlier (n = 82), and no symptoms (n = 304) were recruited. The primary outcome was ipsilateral ischaemic stroke. Secondary outcomes were any ischaemic stroke and cardiovascular death. Data were analysed using Cox proportional hazard and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2020, 504 patients were enrolled (mean age 71 years, 30% women) and followed for a median of 5.1 years (interquartile range 2.5, 8.8; 2 981 person years). Approximately 82% were prescribed antiplatelet therapy, 84% were receiving at least one antihypertensive drug, and 76% were prescribed a statin at entry. After five years the incidence of ipsilateral stroke was 6.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.3 - 9.5). There were no statistically significant differences in the annual rate of ipsilateral stroke among people with non-focal symptoms (2.1%; 95% CI 0.8 - 5.7), prior contralateral carotid endarterectomy (0.2%; 0.03 - 1.6) or ipsilateral symptoms > 6 months prior (1.0%; 0.4 - 2.5) compared with those with no symptoms (1.2%; 0.7 - 1.8; p = .19). There were no statistically significant differences in secondary outcomes across groups. CONCLUSION: This cohort study showed no large differences in stroke rates among people with different presentations of carotid artery stenosis.

Risk Factors for Hospital Re-admission for Diabetes Related Foot Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetes related foot disease (DFD) is a common reason for admission to hospital, but the predictive factors for repeat admission are poorly defined. The primary aim of this study was to identify rates and predictive factors for DFD related hospital re-admission. METHODS: Patients admitted to hospital for treatment of DFD at a single regional centre were recruited prospectively between January 2020 and December 2020. Participants were followed for 12 months to evaluate the primary outcome of hospital re-admission. The relationship between predictive factors and re-admission were examined using non-parametric statistical tests and Cox proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: The median age of the 190 participants was 64.9 (standard deviation 13.3) years and 68.4% were male. Forty-one participants (21.6%) identified themselves as Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander people. One hundred participants (52.6%) were re-admitted to hospital at least once over 12 months. The commonest reason for re-admission was for treatment of foot infection (84.0% of first re-admission). Absent pedal pulses (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.90; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26 - 2.85), loss of protective sensation (LOPS) (unadjusted HR 1.98; 95% CI 1.08 - 3.62), and male sex (unadjusted HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.03 - 2.54) increased the risk of re-admission. After risk adjustment, only absence of pedal pulses (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.27 - 2.91) and LOPS (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.09 - 3.74) significantly increased the risk of re-admission. CONCLUSION: Over 50% of patients admitted to hospital for treatment of DFD are re-admitted within one year. Patients with absent pedal pulses and those with LOPS are twice as likely to be re-admitted.

Cohort Study Examining the Presentation, Distribution, and Outcomes of Peripheral Artery Disease in Aboriginal, Torres Strait Islander, and Non-Indigenous Australians.

OBJECTIVE: This retrospective cohort study investigated the anatomical distribution, severity, and outcome of peripheral artery disease (PAD) in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders compared with non-indigenous Australians. METHODS: The distribution, severity, and outcome of PAD were assessed using a validated angiographic scoring system and review of medical records in a cohort of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-indigenous Australians. The relationship between ethnicity and PAD severity, distribution, and outcome were examined using non-parametric statistical tests, Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: Seventy-three Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders and 242 non-indigenous Australians were included and followed for a median of 6.7 [IQR 2.7, 9.3] years. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander patients were more likely to present with symptoms of chronic limb threatening ischaemia (81% vs. 25%; p < .001), had greater median [IQR] angiographic scores for the symptomatic limb (7 [5, 10] vs. 4 [2, 7]) and tibial arteries (5 [2, 6] vs. 2 [0, 4]) and had higher risk of major amputation (HR 6.1, 95% CI 3.6 - 10.5; p < .001) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0 - 2.3; p = .036) but not for revascularisation (HR 0.8, 95% CI 0.5 - 1.3; p = .37) compared with non-indigenous Australians. The associations with major amputation and major adverse cardiovascular events were no longer statistically significant when adjusted for limb angiographic score. CONCLUSION: Compared with non-indigenous patients, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians had more severe tibial artery disease and a higher risk of major amputation and major adverse cardiovascular events.

Cohort Study Examining the Prevalence and Relationship with Outcome of Standard Modifiable Risk Factors in Patients with Peripheral Artery Occlusive and Aneurysmal Disease.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to examine the presentation and outcome of patients with peripheral artery occlusive and aneurysmal disease (POAD) in relation to standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs; i.e., hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia, and smoking). METHODS: A total of 2 129 participants with POAD were recruited from three vascular clinics in Queensland, Australia. SMuRFs were defined using established criteria. Participants were followed via outpatient appointments and linked data to record the primary outcome event of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The association between SMuRFs and MACE was assessed using Cox proportional hazard analysis. Subanalyses examined the association of individual SMuRFs with MACE and assessed findings separately in participants with occlusive and aneurysmal disease. RESULTS: At recruitment 71 (3.3%), 551 (25.9%), 977 (45.9%), 471 (22.1%), and 59 (2.8%) participants had zero, one, two, three, and four SMuRFs. During a median follow up of 2.6 (interquartile range 0.4, 6.2) years, the risk of MACE was progressively higher with the increasing numbers of SMuRFs (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.09, 1.29 - 12.91; 4.28, 1.37 - 13.41; 5.82, 1.84 - 18.39; and 9.42, 2.77 - 32.08; for one, two, three, or four SMuRFs, respectively) by comparison with those who were SMuRF-less at recruitment. Participants with occlusive disease were significantly more likely to have a greater number of SMuRFs than those with aneurysmal disease. In a subanalysis, there was a significantly higher risk of MACE with three or four SMuRFs in participants presenting with either occlusive or aneurysmal disease compared with those who were SMuRF-less. Hypertension, diabetes, and smoking but not hypercholesterolaemia were independently associated with increased risk of MACE. CONCLUSION: Very few patients presenting with POAD had no SMuRFs. There was a progressive increase in the risk of MACE in relation to the number of SMuRFs identified at entry.

Genetic Predisposition to Diabetes and Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: A Two Stage Mendelian Randomisation Study.

OBJECTIVE: Observational studies demonstrate an inverse association between type II diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for reasons that are unclear. The aim of this study was to clarify the causal association between type II diabetes predisposition and AAA using Mendelian randomisation. METHODS: Effect estimates for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with diabetes were obtained from the DIAbetes Meta-ANalysis of Trans-Ethnic association studies (DIAMANTE) consortium to construct a genetic instrumental variable. Corresponding effect estimates for associations of these SNPs with AAA were obtained from the International Aneurysm Consortium comprising six separate AAA genomewide association studies (4 972 cases and 99 858 controls). Mendelian randomisation estimates were calculated using inverse variance, weighted median, and MR-Egger methods, and compared against recently published observational estimates. RESULTS: A genetic risk score was constructed from 206 SNPs associated with diabetes. All three Mendelian randomisation models showed no effect of genetic liability to diabetes and risk of AAA (inverse variance: odds ratio 1.04 per unit higher log odds, 95% 0.98 - 1.11, p = .19; MR-Egger slope p = .33; weighted median p = .50). Results were similar after excluding the TCF7L2 locus (inverse variance p = .075). Findings from the Mendelian randomisation analysis differed from previous observational reports of an inverse association (pdif < .001). CONCLUSION: Lifelong genetic predisposition to diabetes does not appear to protect against AAA. These findings differ from traditional epidemiological studies showing an inverse association between diabetes and AAA, for reasons that remain unclear.

Effect of Telmisartan on the Peak Wall Stress and Peak Wall Rupture Index of Small Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms: An Exploratory Analysis of the TEDY Trial.

OBJECTIVE: This study was an unplanned exploratory analysis of a subset of participants from the Telmisartan in the Management of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (TEDY) trial. It aimed to assess the efficacy of the angiotensin 1 receptor blocker telmisartan in reducing abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) peak wall stress (PWS) and peak wall rupture index (PWRI) among individuals with small AAAs. METHODS: Participants with AAAs measuring 35 - 49 mm in maximum diameter were randomised to receive telmisartan 40 mg or identical placebo in the TEDY trial. Participants who had computed tomography angiography performed at entry and at least one other time point during the trial (12 or 24 months) were included in the current study. Orthogonal AAA diameter, PWS, and PWRI were measured using previously validated methods. The annual change in PWS and PWRI from baseline was compared between participants allocated telmisartan or placebo using linear mixed effects models. These models were either unadjusted or adjusted for risk factors that were different in the groups at entry (p < .100) or systolic blood pressure (SBP) at one year. RESULTS: Of the 207 participants recruited to TEDY, 124 were eligible for inclusion in this study. This study included 65 and 59 participants from the telmisartan and placebo groups, respectively. The PWS and PWRI were not significantly different in the two groups at baseline. Participants allocated telmisartan had a slower annual increase in PWS (-4.19; 95% CI -8.24, -0.14 kPa/year; p = .043) and PWRI (-0.014; 95% CI -0.026, -0.001; p = .032) compared with those allocated placebo after adjusting for risk factors. After adjustment for SBP at one year, telmisartan did not significantly reduce annual increases in PWS or PWRI. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that telmisartan limits the rate of increase in PWS and PWRI of small AAAs by reducing blood pressure.

Athero-occlusive Disease Appears to be Associated with Slower Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth: An Exploratory Analysis of the TEDY Trial.

OBJECTIVE: The role of atherosclerosis in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) pathogenesis is controversial. The aim of this study was to compare AAA growth in patients who did and did not have concurrent athero-occlusive disease (AOD). METHODS: Patients with an AAA measuring 35 - 49 mm in maximum diameter were recruited as part of the TElmisartan in the management of abdominal aortic aneurysm (TEDY) trial. TEDY participants who had infrarenal aortic volume and orthogonal diameter assessed by computed tomography at entry and at least one other time point during the trial (12 and/or 24 months) were included. AOD was defined by prior diagnoses of coronary heart disease, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease or an ankle brachial pressure index < 0.90. The increase in AAA volume and diameter from entry for participants who did and did not have AOD was assessed using linear mixed effects models; 131 of the 210 participants recruited to TEDY were included. RESULTS: In an unadjusted analysis, the mean (95% confidence interval) annual increases in AAA volume and diameter for participants with AOD were 3.26 (0.82 - 5.70) cm3 and 0.70 (0.19 - 1.22) mm slower than those without AOD, p = .008 and .007 respectively. The association between AOD and significantly slower AAA growth was maintained after adjusting for risk factors and medications, significantly unequally distributed between participants with and without an AOD diagnosis. CONCLUSION: In an exploratory analysis of a selective cohort from the TEDY trial, AOD was associated with slower AAA growth. Validation of these findings in other cohorts is needed.

Cohort Study Examining the Association of Immunosuppressant Drug Prescription With Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Limb Events in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease.

AIM: Immune activation is strongly implicated in atherosclerotic plaque instability, however, the effect of immunosuppressant drugs on cardiovascular events in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) is not known. The aim of this study was to assess whether prescription of one or more immune suppressant drugs was associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular (MACE; i.e. myocardial infarction, stroke or cardiovascular events) or limb events (MALE; i.e. major amputation or requirement for peripheral revascularization) in patients with PAD. METHODS: A total of 1506 participants with intermittent claudication (n = 872) or chronic limb threatening ischemia (CLTI; n = 634) of whom 53 (3.5%) were prescribed one or more immunosuppressant drugs (prednisolone 41; methotrexate 17; leflunomide 5; hydroxychloroquine 3; azathioprine 2; tocilizumab 2; mycophenolate 1; sulfasalazine 1; adalimumab 1) were recruited from 3 Australian hospitals. Participants were followed for a median of 3.9 (inter-quartile range 1.2, 7.3) years. The association of immunosuppressant drug prescription with MACE or MALE was examined using Cox proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: After adjusting for other risk factors, prescription of an immunosuppressant drug was associated with a significantly greater risk of MACE (Hazard ratio, HR, 1.83, 95% confidence intervals, CI, 1.11, 3.01; P = 0.017) but not MALE (HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.90, 1.92; P = 0.153). In a sub-analysis restricted to participants with CLTI findings were similar: MACE (HR 2.44, 95% CI 1.32, 4.51; P = 0.005); MALE (HR 1.38, 95% CI 0.87, 2.19; P = 0.175); major amputation (HR 1.37, 95% CI 0.49, 3.86; P = 0.547). CONCLUSIONS: This cohort study suggested that immunosuppressant drug therapy is associated with a greater risk of MACE amongst patients with PAD.

Editor's Choice - Cohort Study Examining the Association Between Abdominal Aortic Size and Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Aortic and Peripheral Occlusive and Aneurysmal Disease.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine whether there were independent associations between abdominal aortic diameter, size index, and height index and the risk of major adverse events in patients referred for treatment of various types of aortic and peripheral occlusive and aneurysmal disease (APOAD). METHODS: In total, 1 752 participants with a variety of APOADs were prospectively recruited between 2002 and 2020 and had a maximum abdominal aortic diameter, aortic size index (aortic diameter relative to body surface area), and aortic height index (aortic diameter relative to height) measured by ultrasound at recruitment. Participants were followed for a median of 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.0 - 8.0 years) to record outcome events, including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), peripheral artery surgery, abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) events (rupture or repair), and all cause mortality. The association between aortic size and events was assessed using Cox proportional hazard analysis. The ability of aortic size to improve risk of events classification was assessed using the net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: After adjusting for other risk factors, larger aortic diameter was associated with an increased risk of MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 - 1.31), requirement for peripheral artery surgery (HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.90 - 2.22), AAA events (HR 3.01, 95% CI 2.77 - 3.26), and all cause mortality (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.08 - 1.32). Findings were similar for aortic size and aortic height indices. According to the NRI, all three aortic size measures significantly improved classification of risk of peripheral artery surgery and AAA events but not MACE. Aortic size index, but not aortic diameter or aortic height index, significantly improved the classification of all cause mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Larger abdominal aortic diameter, size index, and height index are all independently associated with an increased risk of major adverse events in patients with established vascular disease.

Editor's Choice - Association Between Metformin Prescription and Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth and Clinical Events: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: A meta-analysis of the association between metformin prescription and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) growth and events (rupture or surgical repair) was performed. METHODS: Open source databases were searched for observational studies reporting the association between metformin prescription and AAA growth or events. Meta-analyses were performed using random effects models. The risk of bias of included studies was assessed using a quality assessment tool developed in a previous systematic review. Sensitivity analyses restricted to people with diabetes, leave one out analyses, and an individual patient risk factor adjusted sub-analysis were performed. Funnel plots assessed reporting bias. RESULTS: Eight studies comprising 153 553 patients were included, of whom 35 240 were and 118 313 were not prescribed metformin. Pooled weighted mean (± standard deviation) AAA growth was significantly reduced in patients prescribed metformin (0.9 ± 0.4 mm/year) compared with those not receiving the medication (1.8 ± 0.4 mm/year; weighted mean difference [WMD] 0.8 mm/year, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.5 - 1.1; p < .001; I2 = 89%). Leave one out analysis suggested that the significance of findings did not change after removal of individual studies. A sub-analysis within people with diabetes suggested that metformin reduced AAA growth (WMD 0.7 mm/year, 95% CI 0.3 - 1.0). Metformin prescription was associated with a reduced risk of AAA events (risk ratio 0.6, 95% CI 0.4 - 0.9, p = .028). Three, four, and one studies had low, moderate, and high risk of bias, respectively. Individual patient data analysis suggested that metformin prescription slowed annual AAA growth by 0.5 mm/year (95% CI 0.2 - 0.7). The GRADE summary suggested that the certainty of evidence that metformin limited AAA growth and prevented AAA events was very low. CONCLUSION: Observational studies suggest that metformin prescription is associated with a clinically important significant reduction in both growth and clinically relevant events in people with AAA. These findings support the need for randomised trials to examine the benefit of metformin.

Major amputation rates and outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous people in North Queensland Australia between 2000 and 2015.

BACKGROUND: This study estimated the incidence of major amputation for people in North Queensland, Australia, examined changes in amputation rates over time and investigated survival after major amputation. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent a major amputation above the ankle between 2000 and 2015. Major amputation rates and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using census data to define the at-risk population. Associations between risk factors and calendar year with major amputation were assessed using quasipoisson regression. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox-proportional hazard analyses estimated the incidence of and risk factors for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The annual incidence of major amputation was estimated to be greater in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders than non-Indigenous people (IRR 2.75, 95 % CI 1.92 to 3.84). After adjusting for population growth, the annual incidence of major amputations did not change significantly over time for either groups. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people were at greater risk of all-cause mortality after major amputation compared to non-Indigenous people, although this association was not significant after adjusting for other risk factors (hazard ratio 1.24, 95 % CI 0.82 to 1.90). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of major amputation in North Queensland has not reduced over time, indicating the need for better preventative treatments, particularly in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the association between intraluminal thrombus volume and abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture.

BACKGROUND: Intraluminal thrombus (ILT) is present in most abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs), although its role in AAA progression is controversial. METHODS: A literature search was performed to identify studies that investigated the association between ILT volume and AAA rupture. A study assessment tool was developed to assess the methodologic quality of included studies. A meta-analysis was conducted using an inverse variance-weighted random-effects model to compare the ILT volume in ruptured and asymptomatic intact AAAs. Leave-one-out sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the findings. A subanalysis was performed including studies in which patients with asymptomatic intact and ruptured AAAs were matched for aortic diameter. Interstudy heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. RESULTS: Eight studies involving 672 patients were included in this systematic review. Meta-analysis of all studies found a greater ILT volume in patients with ruptured AAAs than in patients with asymptomatic intact AAAs (standardized mean difference, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.96; P = .005; I2 = 79.8%). Sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust; however, aortic diameter was significantly larger in ruptured than in asymptomatic intact AAAs (mean ± standard deviation, 78 ± 18 and 64 ± 15 mm, respectively; P < .001). In the subanalysis of studies that matched for diameter, no significant difference in ILT volume between groups was found (standardized mean difference, 0.03; 95% confidence interval, -0.27 to 0.33; P = .824; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis suggests that ILT volume is greater in patients with ruptured AAAs than in patients with asymptomatic intact AAAs, although this is most likely due to the larger diameter of ruptured AAAs.

Presentation and outcomes of indigenous Australians with peripheral artery disease.

BACKGROUND: The risk factors for peripheral artery disease (PAD) are more common in Indigenous than non-Indigenous Australians, however the presentation and outcome of PAD in Indigenous Australians has not been previously investigated. The aim of this prospective cohort study was to compare the presenting characteristics and clinical outcome of Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians with PAD. METHODS: PAD patients were prospectively recruited and followed-up since 2003 from an outpatient vascular clinic in Townsville, Australia. Presenting symptoms and risk factors in Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients were compared using Pearson's χ2 test and Mann Whitney U test. Kaplan Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard analysis were used to compare the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke or death (major cardiovascular events) among Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients. RESULTS: Four hundred and one PAD patients were recruited, of which 16 were Indigenous and 385 were non-Indigenous Australians. Indigenous Australians were younger at entry (median age 63.3 [54.7-67.8] vs 69.6 [63.3-75.4]), more commonly current smokers (56.3% vs 31.4%), and more frequently had insulin-treated diabetes (18.8% vs 5.2%). During a median follow-up of 2.5 years, five and 45 major cardiovascular events were recorded amongst Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians, respectively. Indigenous Australians were at ~ 5-fold greater risk of major cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio 4.72 [95% confidence intervals 1.41-15.78], p = 0.012) compared to non-Indigenous Australians. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that Indigenous Australians with PAD present at a younger age, have higher rates of smoking and insulin-treated diabetes, and poorer clinical outcomes compared to non-Indigenous Australians.

A meta-analysis of the efficacy of allopurinol in reducing the incidence of myocardial infarction following coronary artery bypass grafting.

BACKGROUND: The xanthine oxidase inhibitor allopurinol that is commonly used to treat gout, has been suggested to have pleiotropic effects that are likely to reduce the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) in at risk individuals. The aim of this meta-analysis was to assess the efficacy of allopurinol treatment in reducing the incidence of MI. METHOD: MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for randomised controlled trials examining the efficacy of allopurinol in reducing the incidence of MI. The quality of study methodology was assessed by two independent reviewers using the Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias. This meta-analysis was conducted using a fixed-effects model, and heterogeneity was assessed with the I2 index. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred twenty-three citations were screened and only six studies satisfied the inclusion criterion. Published between 1988 and 1995, all studies examined the cardioprotective efficacy of allopurinol in the setting of coronary artery bypass graft (CABG). From a total pooled sample size of 229, MI was reported in 2 (1.77%) allopurinol and 14 (12.07%) control patients. A fixed-effects meta-analysis (I2 = 0%) identified a statistically significant reduced incidence of myocardial infarction (RR 0.21, 95% CI: 0.06, 0.70, p = 0.01) in patients allocated to allopurinol. However, in the leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, the treatment effect became non-significant with the removal of one of the studies. CONCLUSION: Based on the limited evidence available, allopurinol appears to reduce the incidence of perioperative MI following CABG. Further research is required to confirm these findings.

Role of telehealth in diabetic foot ulcer management - A systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: To review the use of telehealth in subjects with diabetic foot ulcer; evaluating its clinical outcomes, diagnostic accuracy, cost-effectiveness and behavioural perceptions. DESIGN: Systematic review. SETTING: Selected studies were conducted in Australia, USA, the Netherlands, Denmark, Poland and UK. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 948 identified studies were evaluated against the inclusion criteria. Eleven eligible studies were included for review. Patients with diabetic foot ulcer had to have telehealth guided management. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Telehealth systems were evaluated against at least one of the following: clinical implications on ulcer healing and disease prognosis; diagnostic accuracy; cost-effectiveness; behavioural perceptions among health professionals or patients. RESULT: Eleven eligible studies were included for review. Studies that evaluated telehealth against clinical outcomes were underpowered by study design, sample sizes and short duration follow-up. Telehealth systems demonstrated good intra- and inter-observer reproducibility, high diagnostic accuracy and agreement with live assessments. Authors rationalised the cost-effectiveness of their respective telehealth systems, but could not support this with long-term cost analysis. Both patient and health professionals responded positively towards telehealth in surveys and face-to-face interviews. CONCLUSION: Telehealth yields high diagnostic accuracy, reproducibility and positive behavioural perceptions. However, it is not clear if telehealth use in diabetic foot management has favourable clinical and economic outcomes. More long-term prospective controlled trials on larger populations are needed to further characterise our findings.

Association of remoteness and ethnicity with major amputation following minor amputation to treat diabetes-related foot disease.

INTRODUCTION: Minor amputation is commonly needed to treat diabetes-related foot disease (DFD). Remoteness of residence is known to limit access to healthcare and has previously been associated with poor outcomes. The primary aim of this study was to examine the associations between ethnicity and remoteness of residency with the risk of major amputation and death following initial treatment of DFD by minor amputation. A secondary aim was to identify risk factors for major amputation and death following minor amputation to treat DFD. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of data from patients who required a minor amputation to treat DFD between 2000 and 2019 at a regional tertiary hospital in Queensland, Australia. Baseline characteristics were collected together with remoteness of residence and ethnicity. Remoteness was classified according to the 2019 Modified Monash Model (MMM) system. Ethnicity was based on self-identification as an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander or non-Indigenous person. The outcomes of major amputation, repeat minor amputation and death were examined using Cox-proportional hazard analyses. RESULTS: A total of 534 participants were included, with 306 (57.3%) residing in metropolitan or regional centres, 228 (42.7%) in rural and remote communities and 144 (27.0%) were Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander people. During a median (inter quartile range) follow-up of 4.0 (2.1-7.6) years, 103 participants (19.3%) had major amputation, 230 (43.1%) had repeat minor amputation and 250 (46.8%) died. The risks (hazard ratio [95% CI]) of major amputation and death were not significantly higher in participants residing in rural and remote areas (0.97, 0.67-1.47; and 0.98, 0.76-1.26) or in Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander people (HR 1.44, 95% CI 0.96, 2.16 and HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.67, 1.18). Ischemic heart disease (IHD), peripheral artery disease (PAD), osteomyelitis and foot ulceration (p<0.001 in all instances) were independent risk factors for major amputation. CONCLUSION: Major amputation and death are common following minor amputation to treat DFD and people with IHD, PAD and osteomyelitis have an increased risk of major amputation. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People and residents of remote areas were not at excess risk of major amputation.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Incidence and Risk Factors for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Unrepaired Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms.

Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and cardiovascular death, cause substantial morbidity and mortality. This review assessed the incidence rate of MACE and the association with modifiable risk factors (diabetes, hypertension) and medication use (aspirin, statins) in patients with unrepaired abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Electronic databases were searched systematically for observational studies reporting the incidence of MI, stroke or cardiovascular death in patients with unrepaired AAAs. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death reported as an incidence rate (events per 100 person-years (PY)). Fourteen studies, including 69,579 participants with a mean follow-up time of 5.4 years, were included. Meta-analysis revealed the overall incidence of cardiovascular death, MI and stroke of 2.31 per 100 PY (95% CI, 1.63-3.26; I2 = 98%), 1.65 per 100 PY (95% CI, 1.01-2.69, I2 = 88%) and 0.89 per 100 PY (95% CI, 0.53-1.48, I2 = 87.0%), respectively. The mean rates of statin and aspirin prescriptions were 58.1% and 53.5%, respectively. In conclusion, there is a substantial incidence of MACE in patients with unrepaired AAA, but the prescription of preventative medication is suboptimal. Greater emphasis should be placed on secondary prevention in this population.