Value of Dual-Energy CT-Derived Metrics for the Prediction of Bone Non-union in Distal Radius Fractures.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Bone non-union is a serious complication of distal radius fractures (DRF) that can result in functional limitations and persistent pain. However, no accepted method has been established to identify patients at risk of developing bone non-union yet. This study aimed to compare various CT-derived metrics for bone mineral density (BMD) assessment to identify predictive values for the development of bone non-union. MATERIALS AND METHODS: CT images of 192 patients with DRFs who underwent unenhanced dual-energy CT (DECT) of the distal radius between 03/2016 and 12/2020 were retrospectively identified. Available follow-up imaging and medical health records were evaluated to determine the occurrence of bone non-union. DECT-based BMD, trabecular Hounsfield unit (HU), cortical HU and cortical thickness ratio were measured in normalized non-fractured segments of the distal radius. RESULTS: Patients who developed bone non-union were significantly older (median age 72 years vs. 54 years) and had a significantly lower DECT-based BMD (median 68.1 mg/cm3 vs. 94.6 mg/cm3, p < 0.001). Other metrics (cortical thickness ratio, cortical HU, trabecular HU) showed no significant differences. ROC and PR curve analyses confirmed the highest diagnostic accuracy for DECT-based BMD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 for the ROC curve and an AUC of 0.46 for the PR curve. In logistic regression models, DECT-based BMD was the sole metric significantly associated with bone non-union. CONCLUSION: DECT-derived metrics can accurately predict bone non-union in patients who sustained DRF. The diagnostic performance of DECT-based BMD is superior to that of HU-based metrics and cortical thickness ratio.

Predictive Value of Dual-Energy CT-Derived Metrics for the Use of Bone Substitutes in Distal Radius Fracture Surgery.

(1) Background: Low bone mineral density (BMD) is a significant risk factor for complicated surgery and leads to the increased use of bone substitutes in patients with distal radius fractures (DRFs). No accepted model has yet been established to predict the use of bone substitutes to facilitate preoperative planning. (2) Methods: Unenhanced dual-energy CT (DECT) images of DRFs were retrospectively acquired between March 2016 and September 2020 using the internal PACS system. Available follow-up imaging and medical health records were reviewed to determine the use of bone substitutes. DECT-based BMD, trabecular Hounsfield units (HU), cortical HU, and cortical thickness ratio were measured in non-fractured segments of the distal radius. Diagnostic accuracy parameters were calculated for all metrics using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and associations of all metrics with the use of bone substitutes were evaluated using logistic regression models. (3) The final study population comprised 262 patients (median age 55 years [IQR 43-67 years]; 159 females, 103 males). According to logistic regression analysis, DECT-based BMD was the only metric significantly associated with the use of bone substitutes (odds ratio 0.96, p = 0.003). However, no significant associations were found for cortical HU (p = 0.06), trabecular HU (p = 0.33), or cortical thickness ratio (p = 0.21). ROC-curve analysis revealed that a combined model of all four metrics had the highest diagnostic accuracy with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76. (4) Conclusions: DECT-based BMD measurements performed better than HU-based measurements and cortical thickness ratio. The diagnostic performance of all four metrics combined was superior to that of the individual parameters.