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OBJECTIVE: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2019. To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD and construct a prediction model. METHODS: The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 2013 to 2019 in Sichuan Province were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological data Network. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the relationship between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors. Multiple regression model and support vector regression (SVR) model were used to construct HFMD incidence prediction models respectively. RESULTS: A total of 615 840 cases of HFMD and 81 deaths were reported from 2013 to 2019. The average annual incidence rate was 107.31/105, and the mortality rate was 0.16/106. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the monthly incidence rate of HFMD was correlated with monthly average relative humidity (r=0.342), monthly average temperature (r=0.284), monthly average water vapor pressure (r=0.304) and monthly average days of precipitation (r=0.259). The prediction effect of the SVR model (R2=0.836) was better than the multiple regression model (R2=0.375). The SVR model provided a good fit to the monthly incidence of HFMD from 2013 to 2018, and can predict the peak incidence of HFMD in 2019. CONCLUSION: Relative humidity has the greatest influence on the incidence of HFMD. The fitting value of SVR model is in good agreement with the actual value, which is valuable in predicting the incidence of HFMD in Sichuan Province.
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Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca , China/epidemiologia , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Conceitos Meteorológicos , TemperaturaRESUMO
Colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) plays an important role in marine ecosystems. In order to solve the current problems in measurement of CDOM absorption, an automated onboard analyzer based on liquid core waveguides (Teflon AF LWCC/LCW) was constructed. This analyzer has remarkable characteristics including adjusted optical pathlength, wide measurement range, and high sensitivity. The model of filtration and injection can implement the function of automated filtration, sample injection, and LWCC cleaning. The LabVIEW software platform can efficiently control the running state of the analyzer and acquire real time data including light absorption spectra, GPS data, and CTW data. By the comparison experiments and shipboard measurements, it was proved that the analyzer was reliable and robust.
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The spectral absorption and attenuation coefficients of 16 phytoplankton species were measured in the laboratory using acs instrument. Ancillary measurements included particle size distribution and chlorophyll a concentration (Chl a). The results indicated that both algal cell size and Chl a were the two major factors dominating the magnitudes of the spectral absorption and attenuation coefficients. The spectral behaviors of attenuation spectra were dominated by algal cell size, the relationship of them didn't follow the monotonic function. Both the ratio of absorption in blue and red waveband and the spectral slope of absorption coefficient were influenced by the product of algal cell density and squares of cell size rather than algal cell size alone. The relationship between algal cell size and both absorption and attenuation spectra would be interpreted by Mie theory for homogenous sphere, which imply that the heterogeneity and non-spherical shape in algal cell morphology and internal structure have little effect on the inherent association among them.
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Tamanho Celular , Clorofila/análise , Fitoplâncton/química , Fitoplâncton/citologia , Análise Espectral/métodos , Clorofila A , Técnicas de Cultura/métodos , Fitoplâncton/crescimento & desenvolvimentoRESUMO
Teflon AF is chemically very inert, quite physically and optically stable, a highly vapor-permeable polymer with optical transparency through much of the UV-Vis region and with an RI lower than that of water, so Teflon AF LWCC/LCW (Long path-length liquid waveguide capillary cell/liquid core waveguides) has been used with a range of different detection techniques, including absorbance spectroscopy, fluorescence spectroscopy, Raman spectroscopy, and gas sensor. The present article describes the properties and the aspects of Teflon AF LWCC/LCW instrumentation and applications. And finally,the future prospect and outlook of Teflon AF LWCC/LCW is also discussed.
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Sea ice plays an important role in the global climate systems. In the present article, a hyperspectral radiation system for the observation of optical properties of sea ice was designed. The system consists of three optical channels, which can operate simultaneously. Two kinds of optical detectors were designed, and the problem relevant to the water-tightness was resolved. The system can be used to measure the solar radiation beneath the sea ice by an "L" bracket. Another bracket for detecting bidirectional reflectance was designed, which can fix the optical detector at any angle ranging over 0-180 measured with an angle detector. In order to make a most suitable and automatic integrated time, the system can adjust the integrated time intelligently by itself. The system can work stably under extremely low temperature. Furthermore, the system was equipped with four thermistors and one GPS. The system was validated showing a good stability and veracity in situ in the Liaodong Bay.
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Marine optical buoy is of important value in terms of calibration and validation of ocean color remote sensing, scientific observation, coastal environment monitoring, etc. A marine optical buoy system was designed which consists of a main and a slave buoy. The system can measure the distribution of irradiance and radiance over the sea surface, in the layer near sea surface and in the euphotic zone synchronously, during which some other parameters are also acquired such as spectral absorption and scattering coefficients of the water column, the velocity and direction of the wind, and so on. The buoy was positioned by GPS. The low-power integrated PC104 computer was used as the control core to collect data automatically. The data and commands were real-timely transmitted by CDMA/GPRS wireless networks or by the maritime satellite. The coastal marine experimentation demonstrated that the buoy has small pitch and roll rates in high sea state conditions and thus can meet the needs of underwater radiometric measurements, the data collection and remote transmission are reliable, and the auto-operated anti-biofouling devices can ensure that the optical sensors work effectively for a period of several months.
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Nutrients are routine aspects for marine environment monitoring. With low concentration in oceans, nutrients are difficult to be measured with a routine spectrophotometer. Based on liquid core waveguides, a new high-sensitivity analyzer was constructed to measure trace nutrients in oceans. The analyzer can provide continuous measurement of spectral absorbance of water sample in the spectral range from 350 to 900 nm with a spectral resolution of 1.02 nm. The processes such as sample injection, data acquisition of absorbance and data analysis are automatically controlled by a built-in PC104 micro computer. The results of test proved that, with the reaction time of about three minutes, the analyzer could provide a detection limit of the order of nmol x L(-1), which is about 1 000 times lower than that of routine spectrophotometer. The analyzer is amenable to trace nutrients monitoring in oceans.