Proteogenomic Analysis Identifies a Causal Association between Plasma Apolipoprotein B Levels and Liver Cancer Risk.

Liver oncogenesis is accompanied by discernible protein changes in the bloodstream. By employing plasma proteomic profiling, we can delve into the molecular mechanisms of liver cancer and pinpoint potential biomarkers. In this nested case-control study, we applied liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry for proteome profiling in baseline plasma samples. Differential protein expression was determined and was subjected to functional enrichment, network, and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. We identified 193 proteins with notable differential levels between the groups. Of these proteins, MR analysis offered a compelling negative association between apolipoprotein B (APOB) and liver cancer. This association was further corroborated in the UK Biobank cohort: genetically predicted APOB levels were associated with a 31% (95% CI 19-42%) decreased risk of liver cancer; and phenotypic analysis indicated an 11% (95% CI 8-14%) decreased liver cancer risk for every 0.1 g/L increase of circulating APOB levels. Multivariable MR analysis suggested that the hepatic fat content might fully mediate the APOB-liver cancer connection. In summary, we identified some plasma proteins, particularly APOB, as potential biomarkers of liver cancer. Our findings underscore the intricate link between lipid metabolism and liver cancer, offering hints for targeted prophylactic strategies and early detection.

Impact of accelerated biological aging and genetic variation on esophageal adenocarcinoma: Joint and interaction effect in a prospective cohort.

Accelerated biological aging may be associated with increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). However, its relationship with genetic variation, and its effect on improving risk population stratification, remains unknown. We performed an exposome association study to determine potential associated factors associated with EAC. To quantify biological age and its difference from chronological age, we calculated the BioAge10 and Biological Age Acceleration (BioAgeAccel) based on chronological age and nine biomarkers. Multivariable Cox regression models for 362,310 participants from the UK Biobank with a median follow-up of 13.70 years were performed. We established a weighted polygenic risk score (wPRS) associated with EAC, to assess joint and interaction effects with BioAgeAccel. Four indicators were used to evaluate their interaction effects, and we fitted curves to evaluate the risk stratification ability of BioAgeAccel. Compared with biologically younger participants, those older had higher risk of EAC, with adjusted HR of 1.79 (95%CI: 1.52-2.10). Compared with low wPRS and biologically younger group, the high wPRS and biologically older group had a 4.30-fold increase in HR (95% CI: 2.78-6.66), at meanwhile, 1.15-fold relative excess risk was detected (95% CI: 0.30-2.75), and 22% of the overall EAC risk was attributable to the interactive effects (95% CI: 12%-31%). The 10-year absolute incidence risk indicates that biologically older individuals should begin screening procedures 4.18 years in advance, while youngers can postpone screening by 4.96 years, compared with general population. BioAgeAccel interacted positively with genetic variation and increased risk of EAC, it could serve as a novel indicator for predicting incidence.

Protein truncating variants in mitochondrial-related nuclear genes and the risk of chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Mitochondrial (MT) dysfunction is a hallmark of liver diseases. However, the effects of functional variants such as protein truncating variants (PTVs) in MT-related genes on the risk of liver diseases have not been extensively explored. METHODS: We extracted 60,928 PTVs across 2466 MT-related nucleus genes using whole-exome sequencing data obtained from 442,603 participants in the UK Biobank. We examined their associations with liver dysfunction that represented by the liver-related biomarkers and the risks of chronic liver diseases and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: 96.10% of the total participants carried at least one PTV. We identified 866 PTVs that were positively associated with liver dysfunction at the threshold of P value < 8.21e - 07. The coding genes of these PTVs were mainly enriched in pathways related to lipid, fatty acid, amino acid, and carbohydrate metabolisms. The 866 PTVs were presented in 1.07% (4721) of participants. Compared with participants who did not carry any of the PTVs, the carriers had a 5.33-fold (95% CI 4.15-6.85), 2.82-fold (1.69-4.72), and 4.41-fold (3.04-6.41) increased risk for fibrosis and cirrhosis of liver, liver cancer, and liver disease-related mortality, respectively. These adverse effects were consistent across subgroups based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and presence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed a significant impact of PTVs in MT-related genes on liver disease risk, highlighting the importance of these variants in identifying populations at risk of liver diseases and facilitating early clinical interventions.

The Cancer Incidence and Trends From 2011 to 2018 in Ma'anshan, China: A Registry-Based Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The cancer burden in China has been increasing over the decades. However, the cancer incidence remains unknown in Ma'anshan, which is one of the central cities in the Yangtze River Delta in Eastern China. The study was designed to describe the cancer incidence and trends in Ma'anshan from 2011 to 2018, providing information about cancer etiology that is useful for prevention programs. METHODS: The cancer incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) were calculated using the cancer registry data in Ma'anshan during 2011-2018. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the ASIR was analyzed by the Joinpoint regression analysis. Age, period, and cohort effects on cancer incidence were estimated through the age-period-cohort model. RESULTS: There were 13,508 newly diagnosed cancer cases in males and 9558 in females in Ma'anshan during 2011-2018. The ASIR maintained a steady trend in both males and females. Age effects showed that cancer risk increased with age in both genders; no visible period effects were detected during this study period. Cohort effects changed slowly until the end of the 1950s, then started decreasing in males while increasing in females after 1960. Lung, gastric, female breast, colorectal, cervical, esophageal, liver, thyroid, lymphoma, and pancreatic cancer were the most common cancers in Ma'anshan during the study period. The ASIR of gastric cancer (AAPC: -3.72%), esophageal cancer (AAPC: -8.30%), and liver cancer (AAPC: -5.55%) declined, while that of female breast cancer (AAPC: 3.91%), colorectal cancer (AAPC: 3.23%), and thyroid cancer (AAPC: 22.38%) rose. CONCLUSION: During 2011-2018, the cancer incidence in Ma'anshan was lower than that in China, nation-wide. The incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancer decreased gradually while female breast, colorectal, and thyroid cancers showed an upward trend, consistent with the changes in the cancer spectrum in China. Further studies should be designed to discover the underlying causes of these findings.

Unraveling the role of BMI and blood markers in the relationship between plant-based diets and osteoporosis: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The potential adverse effects of plant-based diets on bone health have raised significant concern, while the prospective evidence is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the association between plant-based diet indexes and incident osteoporosis while exploring the underlying mechanisms involved in this relationship. METHODS: The analysis included 202,063 UK Biobank participants conducted between 2006 and 2022. Plant-based diet indexes (hPDI and uPDI) were calculated using the 24-h dietary questionnaire. Cox proportional risk regression and mediation analysis were used to explore the associations of plant-based diet indexes with osteoporosis, estimating the contribution of BMI and blood markers. RESULTS: We found the highest quintile for hPDI (HR = 1.16; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.28) and uPDI (HR = 1.15; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.26) were associated with an increased risk of osteoporosis. BMI was identified as an important mediator in the association between hPDI and osteoporosis, with mediation proportions of 46.17%. For blood markers, the mediating (suppressing) effects of C-reactive protein, alkaline phosphatase, and insulin-like growth factor-1 on the association between uPDI (hPDI) and osteoporosis were significant, ranging from 5.63%-16.87% (4.57%-6.22%). CONCLUSION: Adherence to a plant-based diet is associated with a higher risk of osteoporosis, with BMI and blood markers potentially contributing to this relationship. Notably, even a healthy plant-based diet necessitates attention to weight management to mitigate its impact on bone loss. These findings emphasize the importance of personalized dietary recommendations and lifestyle interventions to decrease the risk of osteoporosis.

Lipid metabolism mediates the association between body mass index change and bone mineral density: The Taizhou imaging study.

BACKGROUND: Limited research explores the impact of body mass index (BMI) change on osteoporosis, regarding the role of lipid metabolism. We aimed to cross-sectionally investigate these relationships in 820 Chinese participants aged 55-65 from the Taizhou Imaging Study. METHODS: We used the baseline data collected between 2013 and 2018. T-score was calculated by standardizing bone mineral density and was used for osteoporosis and osteopenia diagnosis. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the effect of BMI change on bone health status. Multivariable linear regression was employed to identify the metabolites corrected with BMI change and T-score. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and mediation analysis were conducted to ascertain the involvement of the metabolites. RESULTS: BMI increase served as a protective factor against osteoporosis (OR = 0.79[0.71-0.88], P-value<0.001) and osteopenia (OR = 0.88[0.82-0.95], P-value<0.001). Eighteen serum metabolites were associated with both BMI change and T-score. Specifically, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) substructures demonstrated negative correlations (ß = -0.08 to -0.06 and - 0.12 to -0.08, respectively), while very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) substructions showed positive correlations (ß = 0.09 to 0.10 and 0.10 to 0.11, respectively). The two lipid factors (HDL and VLDL) extracted by EFA acted as mediators between BMI change and T-score (Prop. Mediated = 8.16% and 10.51%, all P-value<0.01). CONCLUSION: BMI gain among Chinese aged 55-65 is beneficial for reducing the risk of osteoporosis. The metabolism of HDL and VLDL partially mediates the effect of BMI change on bone loss. Our research offers novel insights into the prevention of osteoporosis, approached from the perspective of weight management and lipid metabolomics.

Disease trajectory of high neuroticism and the relevance to psychiatric disorders: A retro-prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Neuroticism is a psychological personality trait that has a significant impact on public health and is also a potential predisposing factor for adverse disease outcomes; however, comprehensive studies of the subsequently developed conditions are lacking. The starting point of disease trajectory in terms of genetic variation remains unclear. METHOD: Our study included 344,609 adult participants from the UK Biobank cohort who were virtually followed up from January 1, 1997. Neuroticism levels were assessed using 12 items from the Eysenck Personality Questionnaire. We performed a phenome-wide association analysis of neuroticism and subsequent diseases. Binomial tests and logistic regression models were used to test the temporal directionality and association between disease pairs to construct disease trajectories. We also investigated the association between polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for five psychiatric traits and high neuroticism. RESULTS: The risk for 59 diseases was significantly associated with high neuroticism. Depression, anxiety, irritable bowel syndrome, migraine, spondylosis, and sleep disorders were the most likely to develop, with hazard ratios of 6.13, 3.66, 2.28, 1.74, 1.74, and 1.71, respectively. The disease trajectory network revealed two major disease clusters: cardiometabolic and chronic inflammatory diseases. Medium/high genetic risk groups stratified by the PRSs of four psychiatric traits were associated with an elevated risk of high neuroticism. We further identified eight complete phenotypic trajectory clusters of medium or high genetic risk for psychotic, anxiety-, depression-, and stress-related disorders. CONCLUSION: Neuroticism plays an important role in the development of somatic and mental disorders. The full picture of disease trajectories from the genetic risk of psychiatric traits and neuroticism in early life to a series of diseases later provides evidence for future research to explore the etiological mechanisms and precision management.

GWAS-based polygenic risk scoring for predicting cerebral artery dissection in the Chinese population.

OBJECTIVE: Cerebral artery dissection (CeAD) is a rare but serious disease. Genetic risk assessment for CeAD is lacking in Chinese population. We performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) and computed polygenic risk score (PRS) to explore genetic susceptibility factors and prediction model of CeAD based on patients in Huashan Hospital. METHODS: A total of 210 CeAD patients and 280 controls were enrolled from June 2017 to September 2022 in Department of Neurology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University. We performed GWAS to identify genetic variants associated with CeAD in 140 CeAD patients and 210 control individuals according to a case and control 1:1.5 design rule in the training dataset, while the other 70 patients with CeAD and 70 controls were used as validation. Then Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analyses were utilized to identify the significant pathways. We constructed a PRS by capturing all independent GWAS SNPs in the analysis and explored the predictivity of PRS, age, and sex for CeAD. RESULTS: Through GWAS analysis of the 140 cases and 210 controls in the training dataset, we identified 13 leading SNPs associated with CeAD at a genome-wide significance level of P < 5 × 10- 8. Among them, 10 SNPs were annotated in or near (in the upstream and downstream regions of ± 500Kb) 10 functional genes. rs34508376 (OR2L13) played a suggestive role in CeAD pathophysiology which was in line with previous observations in aortic aneurysms. The other nine genes were first-time associations in CeAD cases. GO enrichment analyses showed that these 10 genes have known roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into two groups: (1) cellular biological processes (BP); (2) molecular function (MF). We used genome-wide association data to compute PRS including 32 independent SNPs and constructed predictive model for CeAD by using age, sex and PRS as predictors both in training and validation test. The area under curve (AUC) of PRS predictive model for CeAD reached 99% and 95% in the training test and validation test respectively, which were significantly larger than the age and sex models of 83% and 86%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that ten risk loci were associated with CeAD susceptibility, and annotated functional genes had roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into biological process and molecular function. The PRS derived from risk variants was associated with CeAD incidence after adjusting for age and sex both in training test and validation.

Mobility-related brain regions linking carotid intima-media thickness to specific gait performances in old age.

BACKGROUND: Gait disturbance is common in older adults with vascular diseases. However, how carotid atherosclerosis affects gait remains poorly understood. The objectives were to investigate the associations between carotid intima-media thickness and specific gait performances and explore the potential role of brain structure in mediating these associations. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of data from the Taizhou Imaging Study was conducted, including 707 individuals who underwent both gait and carotid ultrasound examinations. Gait assessments include the Timed-Up-and-Go test, the Tinetti test, and quantitative gait assessment using a wearable device. Quantitative parameters were summarized into independent gait domains with factor analysis. Magnetic resonance images were obtained on a 3.0-Tesla scanner, and the volumes of fifteen brain regions related to motor function (primary motor, sensorimotor), visuospatial attention (inferior posterior parietal lobules, superior posterior parietal lobules), executive control function (dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, anterior cingulate), memory (hippocampus, entorhinal cortex), motor imagery (precuneus, parahippocampus, posterior cingulated cortex), and balance (basal ganglia: pallidum, putamen, caudate, thalamus) were computed using FreeSurfer and the Desikan-Killiany atlas. Mediation analysis was conducted with carotid intima-media thickness as the predictor and mobility-related brain regions as mediators. RESULTS: Carotid intima-media thickness was found to be associated with the Timed-Up-and-Go performance (ß = 0.129, p = 0.010) as well as gait performances related to pace (ß=-0.213, p < 0.001) and symmetry (ß = 0.096, p = 0.045). Besides, gait performances were correlated with mobility-related brain regions responsible for motor, visuospatial attention, executive control, memory, and balance (all FDR < 0.05). Notably, significant regions differed depending on the gait outcomes measured. The primary motor (41.9%), sensorimotor (29.3%), visuospatial attention (inferior posterior parietal lobules, superior posterior parietal lobules) (13.8%), entorhinal cortex (36.4%), and motor imagery (precuneus, parahippocampus, posterior cingulated cortex) (27.3%) mediated the association between increased carotid intima-media thickness and poorer Timed-Up-and-Go performance. For the pace domain, the primary motor (37.5%), sensorimotor (25.8%), visuospatial attention (12.3%), entorhinal cortex (20.7%), motor imagery (24.9%), and balance (basal ganglia: pallidum, putamen, caudate, thalamus) (11.6%) acted as mediators. CONCLUSIONS: Carotid intima-media thickness is associated with gait performances, and mobility-related brain volume mediates these associations. Moreover, the distribution of brain regions regulating mobility varies in the different gait domains. Our study adds value in exploring the underlying mechanisms of gait disturbance in the aging population.

Changing prevalence of chronic hepatitis B virus infection in China between 1973 and 2021: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of 3740 studies and 231 million people.

OBJECTIVE: China concentrates a large part of the global burden of HBV infection, playing a pivotal role in achieving the WHO 2030 global hepatitis elimination target. METHODS: We searched for studies reporting HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) seroprevalence in five databases until January 2023. Eligible data were pooled using a generalised linear mixed model with random effects to obtain summary HBsAg seroprevalence. Linear regression was used to estimate annual percentage change (APC) and HBsAg prevalence in 2021. RESULTS: 3740 studies, including 231 million subjects, were meta-analysed. HBsAg seroprevalence for the general population decreased from 9.6% (95% CI 8.4 to 10.9%) in 1973-1984 to 3.0% (95% CI 2.1 to 3.9%) in 2021 (APC=-3.77; p<0.0001). Decreases were more pronounced in children <5 years (APC=-7.72; p<0.0001) and 5-18 years (-7.58; p<0.0001), than in people aged 19-59 years (-2.44; p<0.0001), whereas HBsAg seroprevalence increased in persons ≥60 years (2.84; p=0.0007). Significant decreases were observed in all six major Chinese regions, in both men (APC=-3.90; p<0.0001) and women (-1.82; p<0.0001) and in high-risk populations. An estimated 43.3 million (95% uncertainty interval 30.7-55.9) persons remained infected with HBV in China in 2021 (3.0%), with notable heterogeneity by region (<1.5% in North China to>6% in Taiwan and Hong Kong) and age (0.3%, 1.0%, 4.7% and 5.6% for <5 years, 5-18 years, 19-59 years and ≥60 years, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: China has experienced remarkable decreases in HBV infection over the last four decades, but variations in HBsAg prevalence persist in subpopulations. Ongoing prevention of HBV transmission is needed to meet HBV elimination targets by 2030. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO (CRD42021284217).

Metagenomic association analysis of cognitive impairment in community-dwelling older adults.

The gut microbiota is reportedly involved in neurodegenerative disorders, and exploration of differences in the gut microbiota in different cognitive status could provide clues for early detection and intervention in cognitive impairment. Here, we used data from the Taizhou Imaging Study (N = 516), a community-based cohort, to compare the overall structure of the gut microbiota at the species level through metagenomic sequencing, and to explore associations with cognition. Interestingly, bacteria capable of producing short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), such as Bacteroides massiliensis, Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum, Fusicatenibacter saccharivorans and Eggerthella lenta, that can biotransform polyphenols, were positively associated with better cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Although Diallister invisus and Streptococcus gordonii were not obviously related to cognition, the former was dominant in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), while the later was more abundant in cognitively normal (CN) than MCI groups, and positively associated with cognitive performance (p < 0.05). Functional analysis further supported a potential role of SCFAs and lactic acid in the association between the gut microbiota and cognition. The significant associations persisted after accounting for dietary patterns. Collectively, our results demonstrate an association between the gut microbiota and cognition in the general population, indicating a potential role in cognitive impairment. The findings provide clues for microbiome biomarkers of dementia, and insight for the prevention and treatment of dementia.

BMI trajectory of rapid and excessive weight gain during adulthood is associated with bone loss: a cross-sectional study from NHANES 2005-2018.

BACKGROUND: Studies have examined the effect of weight change on osteoporosis, but the results were controversial. Among them, few had looked at weight change over the life span. This study aimed to fill this gap and investigate the association between lifetime body mass index (BMI) trajectories and bone loss. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, participants at age 50 and above were selected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2018. Dual-energy X-ray Absorptiometry was used to measure the bone mineral density at the femoral neck and lumbar spine. Standard BMI criteria were used, with < 25 kg/m2 for normal, 25-29.9 kg/m2 for overweight, and ≥ 30 kg/m2 for obesity. The latent class trajectory model (LCTM) was used to identify BMI trajectories. Multinomial logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate the association between different BMI trajectories and osteoporosis or osteopenia. RESULTS: For the 9,706 eligible participants, we identified four BMI trajectories, including stable (n = 7,681, 70.14%), slight increase (n = 1253, 12.91%), increase to decrease (n = 195, 2.01%), and rapid increase (n = 577, 5.94%). Compared with individuals in the stable trajectory, individuals in the rapid increase trajectory had higher odds of osteoporosis (OR = 2.25, 95% CI 1.19-4.23) and osteopenia (OR = 1.49, 95% CI 1.02-2.17). This association was only found in the lumbar spine (OR = 2.11, 95% CI 1.06-4.2) but not in the femoral neck. In early-stage (age 25-10 years ago) weight change, staying an obesity and stable weight seemed to have protective effects on osteoporosis (OR = 0.26, 95% CI 0.08-0.77) and osteopenia (OR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.25-0.84). Meanwhile, keeping an early-stage stable and overweight was related to lower odds of osteopenia (OR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.34-0.83). No statistically significant association between recent (10 years ago to baseline) weight change and osteoporosis was found. CONCLUSIONS: Rapid and excess weight gain during adulthood is associated with a higher risk of osteoporosis. But this association varies by skeletal sites. Maintaining stable overweight and obesity at an early stage may have potentially beneficial effects on bone health.

Low thyroid function is associated with an increased risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease.

AIMS: Observational studies showed that low thyroid function may perturb liver function. We aimed to evaluate the association of low thyroid function with both metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and advanced hepatic fibrosis. METHODS: Participants who underwent abdominal ultrasonography and thyroid function test in a Chinese hospital from 2015 to 2021were enrolled. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) > 2.67 and/or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) > 0.676 were used to define advanced fibrosis. Descriptive analyses were performed to characterize the epidemiology of MAFLD according to levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). The logistic regression model was applied to estimate the association of low thyroid function with MAFLD and advanced fibrosis. RESULTS: A total of 19,946 participants (52.78% males, mean age: 47.31 years, 27.55% MAFLD) were included, among which 14,789 were strict-normal thyroid function, 4,328 were low-normal thyroid function, 829 were subclinical hypothyroidism. TSH levels were significantly higher in MAFLD patients with a FIB-4 > 2.67 and /or NFS > 0.676 than their counterparts. The logistic regression model adjusted for age and sex showed that low-normal thyroid function increased the risk of MAFLD (odds ratio [OR] = 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.18). Multivariable regression model adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension showed low-normal thyroid function increased the risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with MAFLD (FIB-4 > 2.67: OR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.02-1.93; NFS > 0.676: OR = 1.72, 95% CI 1.08-2.72). CONCLUSION: Elevated TSH concentrations are associated with advanced hepatic fibrosis, even in the euthyroid state.

[Construction of a Risk Prediction Model for Lung Cancer Based on Lifestyle Behaviors in the UK Biobank Large-Scale Population Cohort].

Objective: To identify the risk factors related to lifestyle behaviors that affect the incidence of lung cancer, to build a lung cancer risk prediction model to identify, in the population, individuals who are at high risk, and to facilitate the early detection of lung cancer. Methods: The data used in the study were obtained from the UK Biobank, a database that contains information collected from 502 389 participants between March 2006 and October 2010. Based on domestic and international guidelines for lung cancer screening and high-quality research literature on lung cancer risk factors, high-risk population identification criteria were determined. Univariate Cox regression was performed to screen for risk factors of lung cancer and a multifactor lung cancer risk prediction model was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Based on the comparison of Akaike information criterion and Schoenfeld residual test results, the optimal fitted model assuming proportional hazards was selected. The multiple factor Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to consider the survival time and the population was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set by a ratio of 7:3. The model was built using the training set and the performance of the model was internally validated using the validation set. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve ( AUC) was used to evaluate the efficacy of the model. The population was categorized into low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups based on the probability of occurrence of 0% to <25%, 25% to <75%, and 75% to 100%. The respective proportions of affected individuals in each risk group were calculated. Results: The study eventually covered 453 558 individuals, and out of the cumulative follow-up of 5 505 402 person-years, a total of 2 330 cases of lung cancer were diagnosed. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify 10 independent variables as predictors of lung cancer, including age, body mass index (BMI), education, income, physical activity, smoking status, alcohol consumption frequency, fresh fruit intake, family history of cancer, and tobacco exposure, and a model was established accordingly. Internal validation results showed that 8 independent variables (all the 10 independent variables screened out except for BMI and fresh fruit intake) were significant influencing factors of lung cancer ( P<0.05). The AUC of the training set for predicting lung cancer occurrence at one year, five years, and ten years were 0.825, 0.785, and 0.777, respectively. The AUC of the validation set for predicting lung cancer occurrence at one year, five years, and ten years were 0.857, 0.782, and 0.765, respectively. 68.38% of the individuals who might develop lung cancer in the future could be identified by screening the high-risk population. Conclusion: We established, in this study, a model for predicting lung cancer risks associated with lifestyle behaviors of a large population. Showing good performance in discriminatory ability, the model can be used as a tool for developing standardized screening strategies for lung cancer.

Association of Helicobacter pylori and gastric atrophy with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction in Taixing, China.

Gastric atrophy caused by Helicobacter pylori infection was suggested to influence the risk of adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEGJ), however, the evidence remains limited. We aimed to examine the associations of H. pylori infection and gastric atrophy (defined using serum pepsinogen [PG] I to PGII ratio) with AEGJ risk, based on a population-based case-control study in Taixing, China (2010-2014), with 349 histopathologically confirmed AEGJ cases and 1859 controls. We explored the potential effect modification by H. pylori serostatus and sex on the association of serum PGs with AEGJ risk. We used unconditional logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). H. pylori seropositivity was associated with an elevated AEGJ risk (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.47-2.63). Neither CagA-positive nor VacA-positive strains dramatically changed this association. Gastric atrophy (PGI/PGII ratio ≤4) was positively associated with AEGJ risk (OR = 2.36, 95% CI: 1.72-3.22). The fully adjusted ORs for AEGJ progressively increased with the increasing levels of PGII (P-trend <.001). H. pylori showed nonsignificant effect modification (P-interaction = .385) on the association of gastric atrophy with AEGJ. In conclusion, H. pylori and gastric atrophy were positively associated with AEGJ risk. These results may contribute evidence to the ongoing research on gastric atrophy-related cancers and guide the prevention and control of AEGJ.

The Health Impact of MAFLD, a Novel Disease Cluster of NAFLD, Is Amplified by the Integrated Effect of Fatty Liver Disease-Related Genetic Variants.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a newly proposed disease category that derived from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. The impact of MAFLD on health events has not been investigated. METHODS: UK Biobank participants were diagnosed for whether MAFLD presented at baseline. Five genetic variants (PNPLA3 rs738409 C/G, TM6SF2 rs58542926 C/T, GCKR rs1260326 T/C, MBOAT7 rs641738 C/T, and HSD17B13 rs72613567 T/TA) were integrated into a genetic risk score (GRS). Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the association of MAFLD with incident diseases. RESULTS: A total of 160 979 (38.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 37.9%, 38.2%) participants out of 423 252 were diagnosed as MAFLD. Compared with participants without MAFLD, MAFLD cases had multivariate adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for liver cancer of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.28, 1.98), cirrhosis of 2.77 (2.29, 3.36), other liver diseases of 2.09 (1.95, 2.24), cardiovascular diseases of 1.39 (1.34, 1.44), renal diseases of 1.56 (1.48, 1.65), and cancers of 1.07 (1.05, 1.10). The impact of MAFLD, especially on hepatic events, was amplified by high GRS, of which the genetic variations in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and MBOAT7 play the principal roles. MAFLD case with normal body weight is also associated with an increased risk of hepatic outcomes, but the genetic factor seems do not influence the risk in this subpopulation. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD is independently associated with an increased risk of both intrahepatic and extrahepatic events. Fatty liver disease related genetic variants amplify the effect of MAFLD on disease outcomes.

Alcohol consumption and hepatocellular carcinoma: novel insights from a prospective cohort study and nonlinear Mendelian randomization analysis.

BACKGROUND: Heavy drinking was well associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), whereas the effect of low-to-moderate drinking on HCC remains under debate. METHODS: Participants from the UK Biobank with detailed information on alcohol use and free of common diseases were included. Daily pure alcohol intake (g/day) was calculated, and the predominant alcoholic beverage type was assigned for each participant. Additive Cox regression model and nonlinear Mendelian randomization (NLMR) analyses were performed to evaluate the association of alcohol intake with HCC. RESULTS: Of 329,164 participants (52.3% females, mean [SD] age = 56.7 [8.0] years), 201 incident HCC cases were recorded during the median follow-up of 12.6 years. The best-fitted Cox regression model suggested a J-shaped relationship between daily alcohol intake level and HCC risk. However, NLMR analysis did not detect a nonlinear correlation between alcohol use and HCC (nonlinearity P-value: 0.386). The J-shaped correlation pattern was detected only in subjects who mainly drank wine but not in those who mainly drank beer, spirits, or fortified wine. Moderate wine drinking showed a significant alanine transaminase (ALT)- and aspartate aminotransferase-lowering effect compared to that of the nondrinkers. In low-risk populations of HCC including women, people aged < 60 years, subjects with normal ALT levels, and those carrying non-risk genotypes of PNPLA3 rs738409 and TM6SF2 rs58542926, we observed a J-shaped correlation between alcohol use and HCC; however, a positive dose-response correlation was found in their respective counterparts, even in those predominantly drinking wine. CONCLUSIONS: Low-to-moderate drinking may be inversely associated with the risk of HCC in low-risk populations, which may be largely driven by wine drinking. However, those in high-risk populations of HCC, such as men and older people, and those with abnormal ALT levels and carry genetic risk variants, should abstain from drinking alcohol. Given the small HCC case number, further validations with larger case numbers are warranted in future works.

Genetic predispositions to psychiatric disorders and the risk of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Whether a genetic predisposition to psychiatric disorders is associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is unknown. METHODS: Our analytic sample consisted of 287,123 white British participants in UK Biobank who were alive on 31 January 2020. We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) analysis for each psychiatric disorder (substance misuse, depression, anxiety, psychotic disorder, and stress-related disorders) in a randomly selected half of the study population ("base dataset"). For the other half ("target dataset"), the polygenic risk score (PRS) was calculated as a proxy of individuals' genetic predisposition to a given psychiatric phenotype using discovered genetic variants from the base dataset. Ascertainment of COVID-19 was based on the Public Health England dataset, inpatient hospital data, or death registers in UK Biobank. COVID-19 cases from hospitalization records or death records were considered "severe cases." The association between the PRS for psychiatric disorders and COVID-19 risk was examined using logistic regression. We also repeated PRS analyses based on publicly available GWAS summary statistics. RESULTS: A total of 143,562 participants (including 10,868 COVID-19 cases) were used for PRS analyses. A higher genetic predisposition to psychiatric disorders was associated with an increased risk of any COVID-19 and severe COVID-19. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for any COVID-19 was 1.07 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.13) and 1.06 (95% CI 1.01-1.11) among individuals with a high genetic risk (above the upper tertile of the PRS) for substance misuse and depression, respectively, compared with individuals with a low genetic risk (below the lower tertile). Slightly higher ORs were noted for severe COVID-19, and similar result patterns were obtained in analyses based on publicly available GWAS summary statistics. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a potential role of genetic factors in the observed phenotypic association between psychiatric disorders and COVID-19. Our data underscore the need for increased medical surveillance for this vulnerable population during the COVID-19 pandemic.

World-wide Prevalence of Substitutions in HCV Genome Associated With Resistance to Direct-Acting Antiviral Agents.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The efficacy of direct-acting antiviral agents against hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection can be compromised by substitutions in the HCV genome that occur before treatment (resistance-associated substitutions [RASs]). We performed a meta-analysis to determine the prevalence of RASs and their effects. METHODS: We searched publication databases for studies of HCV RNA substitutions that mediate resistance to direct-acting antiviral agents. Findings from 50 studies of the prevalence of RAS in HCV, from 32 countries, were used in a meta-analysis. We retrieved the HCV RNA sequence from the Los Alamos HCV sequence database to estimate the prevalence of the RASs. The degree of resistance to treatment conferred by each RAS was determined based on fold-change in the 50% effective concentration of the drugs. RESULTS: Our final analysis included data from 49,744 patients with HCV infection and 12,612 HCV sequences. We estimated the prevalence of 56 RASs that encoded amino acids and 114 specific RASs. The average prevalence of RASs was highest in HCV genotype (GT) 6, followed by HCV GT1a, GT2, GT1b, GT3, and GT4. The highest prevalence of RASs observed encoded Q80K in NS3 to NS4A of HCV GT1a, Y93T in NS5A of GT1a, and C316N in NS5B of GT1b. The greatest number of RASs were observed at D168 in NS3 to NS4A, at Y93 in NS5A, and at C316 in NS5B. The prevalence of RASs and mutation burdens were high in Japan, the United States, Germany, Thailand, and the United Kingdom; low in Russia, Brazil, Egypt, and India; and intermediate in China, Canada, Australia, Spain, and France. CONCLUSIONS: In a meta-analysis, we found evidence for 114 RASs in HCV of different genotypes. Patients with HCV infection should be tested for RASs before treatment is selected, especially in regions with a high prevalence of RASs.

The gut microbiome in subclinical atherosclerosis: a population-based multiphenotype analysis.

OBJECTIVES: An altered microbiota, which can be described quantitatively, has been identified as playing a pivotal role in host vascular physiology, and it may contribute to various diseases. The aim of this study was to better understand the role of the gut microbiota in vascular physiology in a subclinical elderly population, and to investigate how lifestyle affects the composition of host gut microbiota to further impact the pathogenesis of vascular diseases. METHODS: We performed a population-based faecal metagenomic study over 569 elderly asymptomatic subclinical individuals in rural China. An association network was built based on clinical measurements and detailed epidemiologic questionnaires, including blood chemistry, arterial stiffness, carotid ultrasonography, and metagenomic datasets. RESULTS: By analyzing the breadth, depth and impact of each node of the association network, we found carotid arterial atherosclerosis indices, including intima-media thickness (IMT), were essential in the network, and were significantly associated with living habits, socio-economic status, and diet. Using mediation analysis, we found that higher frequency of eating fresh fruits and vegetables, and more exercise significantly reduced carotid atherosclerosis in terms of IMT, peak systolic velocity and end-diastolic velocity values through the mediation of Alistepes, Oligella and Prevotella. Gut microbes explained 16.5% of the mediation effect of lifestyle on the pathogenesis of carotid atherosclerosis. After adjustment, Faecalicatena [odds ratio (OR) = 0.12 ∼0.65] was shown to be protective against the formation of carotid atherosclerosis, independently, while Libanicoccus (OR = 1.46 ∼4.20 ) was associated with increased carotid arterial IMT. KEGG/KO Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes/ KEGG Orthology (KEGG/KO) analyses revealed a loss of anti-inflammation function in IMT subjects. CONCLUSION: Our study revealed a Chinese population-wide phenotype-metagenomic association network and a mediation effect of gut microbiota on carotid artery atherosclerosis, hinting at potential therapeutic and preventive uses for microbiota in vascular diseases.